#fed
fed
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Hot
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Bullish
$WLD
{spot}(WLDUSDT)
🚨📢 At a time when everyone is looking for economic reassurance, Alberto Musalem, President of the St. Louis Fed, steps forward to speak the plain truth: people remain worried about inflation at its current levels
Prices haven’t returned to the 2% target, and strong demand alongside supply disruptions is keeping the pressure high. Musalem stresses that monetary policy remains relatively accommodative, and that further tightening is needed soon
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
Moving early with gradual steps is far better than waiting and then taking sudden measures that could harm growth
This message isn't just a technical analysis, but a call to protect household incomes and market stability
When a Fed official speaks with such candour, the warning becomes compelling: tackling inflation now is the only way to restore confidence and sustainable prosperity
$XRP
{spot}(XRPUSDT)
#Fed #USGovernment
$WLD
🚨📢 At a time when everyone is looking for economic reassurance, Alberto Musalem, President of the St. Louis Fed, steps forward to speak the plain truth: people remain worried about inflation at its current levels
Prices haven’t returned to the 2% target, and strong demand alongside supply disruptions is keeping the pressure high. Musalem stresses that monetary policy remains relatively accommodative, and that further tightening is needed soon
$ETH
Moving early with gradual steps is far better than waiting and then taking sudden measures that could harm growth
This message isn't just a technical analysis, but a call to protect household incomes and market stability
When a Fed official speaks with such candour, the warning becomes compelling: tackling inflation now is the only way to restore confidence and sustainable prosperity
$XRP
#Fed #USGovernment
🚨📢 At a time when everyone is looking for economic reassurance, Alberto Musalem, President of the St. Louis Fed, steps forward to speak the plain truth: people remain worried about inflation at its current levels
Prices haven’t returned to the 2% target, and strong demand alongside supply disruptions is keeping the pressure high. Musalem stresses that monetary policy remains relatively accommodative, and that further tightening is needed soon
$ETH
Moving early with gradual steps is far better than waiting and then taking sudden measures that could harm growth
This message isn't just a technical analysis, but a call to protect household incomes and market stability
When a Fed official speaks with such candour, the warning becomes compelling: tackling inflation now is the only way to restore confidence and sustainable prosperity
$XRP
#Fed #USGovernment
96
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🛑 Is the Fed getting a strong reason to raise rates? Strong jobs data just landed:
Unemployment: 4.1% (4.2% expected)
October jobs added: 165K (65K expected)
Inflation: still running almost 2x the Fed's target
Strong hiring plus hot inflation gives the Fed more room to tighten, so the market could stay under pressure. Be careful with leverage and manage your risk. ⚠️
$BTC $XAU $XAG
#Fed #BTC #Gold #Silver
🛑 Is the Fed getting a strong reason to raise rates? Strong jobs data just landed:
Unemployment: 4.1% (4.2% expected)
October jobs added: 165K (65K expected)
Inflation: still running almost 2x the Fed's target
Strong hiring plus hot inflation gives the Fed more room to tighten, so the market could stay under pressure. Be careful with leverage and manage your risk. ⚠️
$BTC $XAU $XAG
#Fed #BTC #Gold #Silver
Unemployment: 4.1% (4.2% expected)
October jobs added: 165K (65K expected)
Inflation: still running almost 2x the Fed's target
Strong hiring plus hot inflation gives the Fed more room to tighten, so the market could stay under pressure. Be careful with leverage and manage your risk. ⚠️
$BTC $XAU $XAG
#Fed #BTC #Gold #Silver
1
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🚨NFP WATCH: The midterms shook the AI trade. Now stock and crypto investors are watching today’s U.S. jobs report for clues on a December Fed hike.
The report drops SOON at 8:30 AM ET.
The Nasdaq fell 5.52% Thursday, and Bitcoin slipped below $77,000. Treasury yields hit their
#Bitcoin $BTC #Fed
🚨NFP WATCH: The midterms shook the AI trade. Now stock and crypto investors are watching today’s U.S. jobs report for clues on a December Fed hike.
The report drops SOON at 8:30 AM ET.
The Nasdaq fell 5.52% Thursday, and Bitcoin slipped below $77,000. Treasury yields hit their
#Bitcoin $BTC #Fed
The report drops SOON at 8:30 AM ET.
The Nasdaq fell 5.52% Thursday, and Bitcoin slipped below $77,000. Treasury yields hit their
#Bitcoin $BTC #Fed
62
Partly True
Bitcoin Reclaims $60,000 After Fed's Warsh Says Inflation Threat EasedBitcoin climbed back above $60,000 on Wednesday, a level it had lost during the past couple of weeks of turbulence. $BTC
The move followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal, who said inflation expectations in surveys and bond prices had eased. He paired that with a warning that price growth remains too elevated and that the Fed will not accept inflation above its 2 percent target. "We're going to deliver price stability," Warsh said.
Bitcoin traded near $60,171 in the afternoon, up about 2.7% on the day, with a 24-hour high of $60,474 and a low of $57,718. Session volume reached $26.68 billion as U.S. stocks rose and the dollar retreated from a weekly high.
The reprieve comes in a hard year: Bitcoin sits roughly 30% below where it started 2026 and more than $66,000 under its record of $126,277, with a market value near $1.2 trillion. Bitcoin treasury stocks moved harder — Strategy rose close to 7.5% with intraday highs of 13%, while Strive jumped more than 10% at times to $12.02. Strive's treasury now tops 16,000 BTC, and its stock is up more than 100% over three months.
Earlier this week, Strategy raised the dividend on its STRC preferred shares to 12%, authorized up to $2 billion in buybacks, and set up a $2.55 billion dollar reserve covering at least 12 months of preferred dividends and debt interest. It also created a limited bitcoin monetization program, while reaffirming bitcoin as its primary treasury asset.
If the softer dollar and easing inflation expectations hold, risk assets like Bitcoin could keep finding buyers — but Warsh's warning that inflation is still too high means the relief may not last.
The takeaway worth saving: treasury stocks amplify Bitcoin's moves in both directions, so a 2.7% coin gain can become a double-digit stock swing.
Does $60,000 hold through the week — yes or no? 👇
#Bitcoin #Fed
Tap $BTC to trade
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
Bitcoin Reclaims $60,000 After Fed's Warsh Says Inflation Threat Eased
Bitcoin climbed back above $60,000 on Wednesday, a level it had lost during the past couple of weeks of turbulence. $BTC
The move followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal, who said inflation expectations in surveys and bond prices had eased. He paired that with a warning that price growth remains too elevated and that the Fed will not accept inflation above its 2 percent target. "We're going to deliver price stability," Warsh said.
Bitcoin traded near $60,171 in the afternoon, up about 2.7% on the day, with a 24-hour high of $60,474 and a low of $57,718. Session volume reached $26.68 billion as U.S. stocks rose and the dollar retreated from a weekly high.
The reprieve comes in a hard year: Bitcoin sits roughly 30% below where it started 2026 and more than $66,000 under its record of $126,277, with a market value near $1.2 trillion. Bitcoin treasury stocks moved harder — Strategy rose close to 7.5% with intraday highs of 13%, while Strive jumped more than 10% at times to $12.02. Strive's treasury now tops 16,000 BTC, and its stock is up more than 100% over three months.
Earlier this week, Strategy raised the dividend on its STRC preferred shares to 12%, authorized up to $2 billion in buybacks, and set up a $2.55 billion dollar reserve covering at least 12 months of preferred dividends and debt interest. It also created a limited bitcoin monetization program, while reaffirming bitcoin as its primary treasury asset.
If the softer dollar and easing inflation expectations hold, risk assets like Bitcoin could keep finding buyers — but Warsh's warning that inflation is still too high means the relief may not last.
The takeaway worth saving: treasury stocks amplify Bitcoin's moves in both directions, so a 2.7% coin gain can become a double-digit stock swing.
Does $60,000 hold through the week — yes or no? 👇
#Bitcoin #Fed
Tap $BTC to trade
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
The move followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal, who said inflation expectations in surveys and bond prices had eased. He paired that with a warning that price growth remains too elevated and that the Fed will not accept inflation above its 2 percent target. "We're going to deliver price stability," Warsh said.
Bitcoin traded near $60,171 in the afternoon, up about 2.7% on the day, with a 24-hour high of $60,474 and a low of $57,718. Session volume reached $26.68 billion as U.S. stocks rose and the dollar retreated from a weekly high.
The reprieve comes in a hard year: Bitcoin sits roughly 30% below where it started 2026 and more than $66,000 under its record of $126,277, with a market value near $1.2 trillion. Bitcoin treasury stocks moved harder — Strategy rose close to 7.5% with intraday highs of 13%, while Strive jumped more than 10% at times to $12.02. Strive's treasury now tops 16,000 BTC, and its stock is up more than 100% over three months.
Earlier this week, Strategy raised the dividend on its STRC preferred shares to 12%, authorized up to $2 billion in buybacks, and set up a $2.55 billion dollar reserve covering at least 12 months of preferred dividends and debt interest. It also created a limited bitcoin monetization program, while reaffirming bitcoin as its primary treasury asset.
If the softer dollar and easing inflation expectations hold, risk assets like Bitcoin could keep finding buyers — but Warsh's warning that inflation is still too high means the relief may not last.
The takeaway worth saving: treasury stocks amplify Bitcoin's moves in both directions, so a 2.7% coin gain can become a double-digit stock swing.
Does $60,000 hold through the week — yes or no? 👇
#Bitcoin #Fed
Tap $BTC to trade
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
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Bullish
$BTC
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
🚨🚨 Baurin’s thorough analysis reveals a robust and resilient US economy, even if its effects are missing from certain sectors. Firms remain cautious about hiring, yet they haven't resorted to redundancies just yet, thanks to strong profits that drive them to invest and hold on to their workforce
However, the accumulated cost pressures over the past 18 months—starting with tariffs and spreading widely—are forcing businesses to pass these increases on. We do not expect inflation to accelerate, nor do we currently see signs of it falling
$ETH
{spot}(ETHUSDT)
The policy path is crystal clear, and the only remaining question is the pace and gradation of the adjustment, which seems entirely logical
Monetary policy currently stands close to the neutral zone, giving policymakers wise flexibility to maintain stability without damaging growth. This clever balance underscores the economy's ability to withstand things with steadfast resilience
$SOL
{spot}(SOLUSDT)
#Fed #USGovernment
$BTC
🚨🚨 Baurin’s thorough analysis reveals a robust and resilient US economy, even if its effects are missing from certain sectors. Firms remain cautious about hiring, yet they haven't resorted to redundancies just yet, thanks to strong profits that drive them to invest and hold on to their workforce
However, the accumulated cost pressures over the past 18 months—starting with tariffs and spreading widely—are forcing businesses to pass these increases on. We do not expect inflation to accelerate, nor do we currently see signs of it falling
$ETH
The policy path is crystal clear, and the only remaining question is the pace and gradation of the adjustment, which seems entirely logical
Monetary policy currently stands close to the neutral zone, giving policymakers wise flexibility to maintain stability without damaging growth. This clever balance underscores the economy's ability to withstand things with steadfast resilience
$SOL
#Fed #USGovernment
🚨🚨 Baurin’s thorough analysis reveals a robust and resilient US economy, even if its effects are missing from certain sectors. Firms remain cautious about hiring, yet they haven't resorted to redundancies just yet, thanks to strong profits that drive them to invest and hold on to their workforce
However, the accumulated cost pressures over the past 18 months—starting with tariffs and spreading widely—are forcing businesses to pass these increases on. We do not expect inflation to accelerate, nor do we currently see signs of it falling
$ETH
The policy path is crystal clear, and the only remaining question is the pace and gradation of the adjustment, which seems entirely logical
Monetary policy currently stands close to the neutral zone, giving policymakers wise flexibility to maintain stability without damaging growth. This clever balance underscores the economy's ability to withstand things with steadfast resilience
$SOL
#Fed #USGovernment
266
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#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
📈 Dec Hike Odds Hit 79% Before Friday's Jobs Report
Markets already lean toward another Fed hike, so payrolls need a big surprise to change that.
📈 Dec 9 hike odds: 79%, up from about 70% last week
📊 Consensus: +65K jobs vs +29K in September (FactSet)
🏦 Vanguard sees +120K; EY-Parthenon's Daco about 74K
⚠️ July was revised from +21K to a 10K loss
Watch next: Vanguard says 100K+ with 4.1% unemployment would add 2027 hikes, not December.
Jobs Friday: 100K+ or a miss below 65K? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#NFP #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
📈 Dec Hike Odds Hit 79% Before Friday's Jobs Report
Markets already lean toward another Fed hike, so payrolls need a big surprise to change that.
📈 Dec 9 hike odds: 79%, up from about 70% last week
📊 Consensus: +65K jobs vs +29K in September (FactSet)
🏦 Vanguard sees +120K; EY-Parthenon's Daco about 74K
⚠️ July was revised from +21K to a 10K loss
Watch next: Vanguard says 100K+ with 4.1% unemployment would add 2027 hikes, not December.
Jobs Friday: 100K+ or a miss below 65K? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#NFP #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
📈 Dec Hike Odds Hit 79% Before Friday's Jobs Report
Markets already lean toward another Fed hike, so payrolls need a big surprise to change that.
📈 Dec 9 hike odds: 79%, up from about 70% last week
📊 Consensus: +65K jobs vs +29K in September (FactSet)
🏦 Vanguard sees +120K; EY-Parthenon's Daco about 74K
⚠️ July was revised from +21K to a 10K loss
Watch next: Vanguard says 100K+ with 4.1% unemployment would add 2027 hikes, not December.
Jobs Friday: 100K+ or a miss below 65K? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#NFP #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
59
US ADP employment for October came in at 8.6, well above the 6.9 forecast. It's a touch below the prior reading of 9. 📊
The market expected a slowdown, and the print beat that call by about 1.7 points. Hiring is still holding up, but it isn't accelerating.
The Fed raised rates on 16/09, its first hike since 2023. A resilient labor market gives Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's team less reason to pause. Rate-cut hopes get pushed further out.
For markets, a firm jobs print tends to support the USD and Treasury yields. It also pressures gold and other assets that don't pay a yield.
For crypto, $BTC reacts to liquidity. Higher-for-longer rates are a headwind for risk appetite, though a number this close to the prior reading is no shock. My read is that ADP alone won't move the Fed. The official jobs report is the real test.
If the next jobs data confirms this strength, do you think the Fed holds the hike or goes again?
#ADP #Fed #Bitcoin
US ADP employment for October came in at 8.6, well above the 6.9 forecast. It's a touch below the prior reading of 9. 📊
The market expected a slowdown, and the print beat that call by about 1.7 points. Hiring is still holding up, but it isn't accelerating.
The Fed raised rates on 16/09, its first hike since 2023. A resilient labor market gives Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's team less reason to pause. Rate-cut hopes get pushed further out.
For markets, a firm jobs print tends to support the USD and Treasury yields. It also pressures gold and other assets that don't pay a yield.
For crypto, $BTC reacts to liquidity. Higher-for-longer rates are a headwind for risk appetite, though a number this close to the prior reading is no shock. My read is that ADP alone won't move the Fed. The official jobs report is the real test.
If the next jobs data confirms this strength, do you think the Fed holds the hike or goes again?
#ADP #Fed #Bitcoin
The market expected a slowdown, and the print beat that call by about 1.7 points. Hiring is still holding up, but it isn't accelerating.
The Fed raised rates on 16/09, its first hike since 2023. A resilient labor market gives Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's team less reason to pause. Rate-cut hopes get pushed further out.
For markets, a firm jobs print tends to support the USD and Treasury yields. It also pressures gold and other assets that don't pay a yield.
For crypto, $BTC reacts to liquidity. Higher-for-longer rates are a headwind for risk appetite, though a number this close to the prior reading is no shock. My read is that ADP alone won't move the Fed. The official jobs report is the real test.
If the next jobs data confirms this strength, do you think the Fed holds the hike or goes again?
#ADP #Fed #Bitcoin
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The biggest macro test this week - Friday Nov 6, 8:30 AM ET
What we know - Per BLS / Fed:
September (Last Confirmed):
NFP: +29,000 only - big miss vs ∼90K expected
Unemployment: 4.2%
Wage growth: 3.0% YoY - cooling
Revisions: July + Aug cut by -60,000 combined
October Forecast - Per Bloomberg Poll:
NFP Expected: +60,000 to +65,000
Unemployment Expected: 4.2% unchanged
Breakeven now near 0-45K (KPMG) due to retirements + lower immigration - so even 60K is NOT weak
Fed Position - Oct 28 Meeting:
Fed HELD at 3.75% - 4.00% - Vote 10-2
2 dissents wanted HIKE, not cut - Cook + Hammack
Fed called growth "strong", inflation "remains elevated"
Inflation Sep: 3.7% - almost 2x Fed's 2% target
Market Pricing NOW - Per CME FedWatch / Kalshi Nov 4:*
Dec 8-9 FOMC: ∼77-78% chance of 25bp HIKE
Hold: ∼24%
Cut: Only ∼1%
This is a complete flip from 3 weeks ago when cut was 90% priced
Why Cuts Look UNLIKELY right now:
1. JOLTS Sep: Job openings JUMPED to 7.52M vs 7.15M expected - 4-month high
2. Quits rose to 3.36M - highest since March 2025 - workers confident
3. Layoffs fell to lowest since March 2025
4. Manufacturing PMI Oct: 55.5 - 2nd highest in 4 years
5. Initial Claims: 194K - near lowest since 1969, 7 weeks below 200K
Low-hire, low-fire market - losing momentum, but NOT breaking.
3 Scenarios for Friday:
🟥 HOT NFP >100K + Wages firm = Hike locked. USD up, yields up, BTC / ETH pressure.
🟡 IN-LINE 55K-65K = Fed stays cautious. Higher-for-longer continues. Choppy crypto.
🟢 WEAK NFP <30K + Unemployment 4.3% = Cut talk returns. Yields fall, BTC relief rally. But 1 weak print ≠ cut.
My Take:
Rate CUTS still possible in 2027 - but NOT in December unless Friday is very weak AND Nov 10 CPI cools. Right now, Fed is data-dependent, not dovish.
Don't bet on cuts. Trade the reaction.
Source: BLS, Fed Oct 28 Statement, Bloomberg, CME FedWatch Nov 4
#USOctoberNFP #Fed #Bitcoin #BinancePick #EarningsSeason
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
The biggest macro test this week - Friday Nov 6, 8:30 AM ET
What we know - Per BLS / Fed:
September (Last Confirmed):
NFP: +29,000 only - big miss vs ∼90K expected
Unemployment: 4.2%
Wage growth: 3.0% YoY - cooling
Revisions: July + Aug cut by -60,000 combined
October Forecast - Per Bloomberg Poll:
NFP Expected: +60,000 to +65,000
Unemployment Expected: 4.2% unchanged
Breakeven now near 0-45K (KPMG) due to retirements + lower immigration - so even 60K is NOT weak
Fed Position - Oct 28 Meeting:
Fed HELD at 3.75% - 4.00% - Vote 10-2
2 dissents wanted HIKE, not cut - Cook + Hammack
Fed called growth "strong", inflation "remains elevated"
Inflation Sep: 3.7% - almost 2x Fed's 2% target
Market Pricing NOW - Per CME FedWatch / Kalshi Nov 4:*
Dec 8-9 FOMC: ∼77-78% chance of 25bp HIKE
Hold: ∼24%
Cut: Only ∼1%
This is a complete flip from 3 weeks ago when cut was 90% priced
Why Cuts Look UNLIKELY right now:
1. JOLTS Sep: Job openings JUMPED to 7.52M vs 7.15M expected - 4-month high
2. Quits rose to 3.36M - highest since March 2025 - workers confident
3. Layoffs fell to lowest since March 2025
4. Manufacturing PMI Oct: 55.5 - 2nd highest in 4 years
5. Initial Claims: 194K - near lowest since 1969, 7 weeks below 200K
Low-hire, low-fire market - losing momentum, but NOT breaking.
3 Scenarios for Friday:
🟥 HOT NFP >100K + Wages firm = Hike locked. USD up, yields up, BTC / ETH pressure.
🟡 IN-LINE 55K-65K = Fed stays cautious. Higher-for-longer continues. Choppy crypto.
🟢 WEAK NFP <30K + Unemployment 4.3% = Cut talk returns. Yields fall, BTC relief rally. But 1 weak print ≠ cut.
My Take:
Rate CUTS still possible in 2027 - but NOT in December unless Friday is very weak AND Nov 10 CPI cools. Right now, Fed is data-dependent, not dovish.
Don't bet on cuts. Trade the reaction.
Source: BLS, Fed Oct 28 Statement, Bloomberg, CME FedWatch Nov 4
#USOctoberNFP #Fed #Bitcoin #BinancePick #EarningsSeason
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
What we know - Per BLS / Fed:
September (Last Confirmed):
NFP: +29,000 only - big miss vs ∼90K expected
Unemployment: 4.2%
Wage growth: 3.0% YoY - cooling
Revisions: July + Aug cut by -60,000 combined
October Forecast - Per Bloomberg Poll:
NFP Expected: +60,000 to +65,000
Unemployment Expected: 4.2% unchanged
Breakeven now near 0-45K (KPMG) due to retirements + lower immigration - so even 60K is NOT weak
Fed Position - Oct 28 Meeting:
Fed HELD at 3.75% - 4.00% - Vote 10-2
2 dissents wanted HIKE, not cut - Cook + Hammack
Fed called growth "strong", inflation "remains elevated"
Inflation Sep: 3.7% - almost 2x Fed's 2% target
Market Pricing NOW - Per CME FedWatch / Kalshi Nov 4:*
Dec 8-9 FOMC: ∼77-78% chance of 25bp HIKE
Hold: ∼24%
Cut: Only ∼1%
This is a complete flip from 3 weeks ago when cut was 90% priced
Why Cuts Look UNLIKELY right now:
1. JOLTS Sep: Job openings JUMPED to 7.52M vs 7.15M expected - 4-month high
2. Quits rose to 3.36M - highest since March 2025 - workers confident
3. Layoffs fell to lowest since March 2025
4. Manufacturing PMI Oct: 55.5 - 2nd highest in 4 years
5. Initial Claims: 194K - near lowest since 1969, 7 weeks below 200K
Low-hire, low-fire market - losing momentum, but NOT breaking.
3 Scenarios for Friday:
🟥 HOT NFP >100K + Wages firm = Hike locked. USD up, yields up, BTC / ETH pressure.
🟡 IN-LINE 55K-65K = Fed stays cautious. Higher-for-longer continues. Choppy crypto.
🟢 WEAK NFP <30K + Unemployment 4.3% = Cut talk returns. Yields fall, BTC relief rally. But 1 weak print ≠ cut.
My Take:
Rate CUTS still possible in 2027 - but NOT in December unless Friday is very weak AND Nov 10 CPI cools. Right now, Fed is data-dependent, not dovish.
Don't bet on cuts. Trade the reaction.
Source: BLS, Fed Oct 28 Statement, Bloomberg, CME FedWatch Nov 4
#USOctoberNFP #Fed #Bitcoin #BinancePick #EarningsSeason
$BTC $ETH $BNB
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
cryptogirl007:
Friday's employment print will test whether the current rate-hike probability has already been priced into $BTC spot derivatives.
3
1
1
172
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#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
💼 Job Openings Jumped 333K Days Before Friday's Payrolls
September JOLTS beat forecasts, which keeps a December Fed hike in play.
📊 Openings hit 7.52M vs about 7.1M expected, the most since May
📈 Quits rose to 3.36M, the highest since March 2025
📉 Layoffs fell to 1.64M
🏦 Traders priced about 73% odds of a December hike (CME FedWatch)
Watch next: October payrolls on Friday, consensus 55K-65K. A firm labor market keeps rate-hike risk on the table for $BTC.
Does a hot Friday print seal the December hike, or is it priced in? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#CryptoNews #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
💼 Job Openings Jumped 333K Days Before Friday's Payrolls
September JOLTS beat forecasts, which keeps a December Fed hike in play.
📊 Openings hit 7.52M vs about 7.1M expected, the most since May
📈 Quits rose to 3.36M, the highest since March 2025
📉 Layoffs fell to 1.64M
🏦 Traders priced about 73% odds of a December hike (CME FedWatch)
Watch next: October payrolls on Friday, consensus 55K-65K. A firm labor market keeps rate-hike risk on the table for $BTC .
Does a hot Friday print seal the December hike, or is it priced in? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#CryptoNews #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
💼 Job Openings Jumped 333K Days Before Friday's Payrolls
September JOLTS beat forecasts, which keeps a December Fed hike in play.
📊 Openings hit 7.52M vs about 7.1M expected, the most since May
📈 Quits rose to 3.36M, the highest since March 2025
📉 Layoffs fell to 1.64M
🏦 Traders priced about 73% odds of a December hike (CME FedWatch)
Watch next: October payrolls on Friday, consensus 55K-65K. A firm labor market keeps rate-hike risk on the table for $BTC .
Does a hot Friday print seal the December hike, or is it priced in? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#CryptoNews #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
3
The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in October, below market expectations of 4.2% and September’s 4.2%.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released October’s nonfarm payrolls data today (November 6), and the figures were significantly better than expected. Job gains in August were revised up from 133,000 to 186,000, while September’s were revised up from 29,000 to 60,000—a combined upward revision of 84,000 jobs over the two months.
This report matters because the Fed just raised rates on September 16, its first rate hike since 2023. The labor market hasn’t cooled, suggesting that rate hikes have yet to curb demand. The challenge facing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has grown.
The market reaction was immediate:
- Spot gold briefly plunged by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce
- Short-term interest rate futures fell, as traders increased their bets on another Fed rate hike in December
- Canada’s unemployment rate edged up to a six-month high in October, pointing to diverging trends across North America
For crypto markets, this is a bearish combination. Higher rate expectations can drain liquidity from risk assets. $BTC and $ETH are most sensitive to the U.S. dollar and real interest rates. My view is that expectations for a December rate hike will continue to build, so short-term rebounds should be treated with caution.
Next, we’ll need to see whether November’s CPI confirms that inflation is rising again in tandem. If it does, do you think $BTC can hold its current range?⚠️
#NFP #Fed #InterestRates
The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in October, below market expectations of 4.2% and September’s 4.2%.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released October’s nonfarm payrolls data today (November 6), and the figures were significantly better than expected. Job gains in August were revised up from 133,000 to 186,000, while September’s were revised up from 29,000 to 60,000—a combined upward revision of 84,000 jobs over the two months.
This report matters because the Fed just raised rates on September 16, its first rate hike since 2023. The labor market hasn’t cooled, suggesting that rate hikes have yet to curb demand. The challenge facing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has grown.
The market reaction was immediate:
- Spot gold briefly plunged by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce
- Short-term interest rate futures fell, as traders increased their bets on another Fed rate hike in December
- Canada’s unemployment rate edged up to a six-month high in October, pointing to diverging trends across North America
For crypto markets, this is a bearish combination. Higher rate expectations can drain liquidity from risk assets. $BTC and $ETH are most sensitive to the U.S. dollar and real interest rates. My view is that expectations for a December rate hike will continue to build, so short-term rebounds should be treated with caution.
Next, we’ll need to see whether November’s CPI confirms that inflation is rising again in tandem. If it does, do you think $BTC can hold its current range?⚠️
#NFP #Fed #InterestRates
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released October’s nonfarm payrolls data today (November 6), and the figures were significantly better than expected. Job gains in August were revised up from 133,000 to 186,000, while September’s were revised up from 29,000 to 60,000—a combined upward revision of 84,000 jobs over the two months.
This report matters because the Fed just raised rates on September 16, its first rate hike since 2023. The labor market hasn’t cooled, suggesting that rate hikes have yet to curb demand. The challenge facing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has grown.
The market reaction was immediate:
- Spot gold briefly plunged by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce
- Short-term interest rate futures fell, as traders increased their bets on another Fed rate hike in December
- Canada’s unemployment rate edged up to a six-month high in October, pointing to diverging trends across North America
For crypto markets, this is a bearish combination. Higher rate expectations can drain liquidity from risk assets. $BTC and $ETH are most sensitive to the U.S. dollar and real interest rates. My view is that expectations for a December rate hike will continue to build, so short-term rebounds should be treated with caution.
Next, we’ll need to see whether November’s CPI confirms that inflation is rising again in tandem. If it does, do you think $BTC can hold its current range?⚠️
#NFP #Fed #InterestRates
97
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--
The U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.1% in October, below the 4.2% forecast, and gold lost more than $30 per ounce right afterward 📉
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its October jobs report on November 6. Nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations. Unemployment also improved from 4.2% the previous month.
The revisions were noteworthy:
• August: revised from 133,000 to 186,000
• September: revised from 29,000 to 60,000
• 84,000 additional jobs across both months
The labor market is stronger than the Fed thought when it raised interest rates on September 16. U.S. short-term interest rate futures fell. Traders increased their bets that the Fed will raise rates again in December.
Gold felt the impact immediately: its price fell by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce. Higher interest rates make non-yielding assets less attractive.
For $BTC, this data is a short-term headwind because liquidity is tightening further. I’m watching October CPI ahead of the December meeting. If CPI also comes in hot, another Fed rate hike will be difficult to avoid. Do you think the Fed will raise rates again? 🤔
#NFP #Fed #Gold
The U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.1% in October, below the 4.2% forecast, and gold lost more than $30 per ounce right afterward 📉
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its October jobs report on November 6. Nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations. Unemployment also improved from 4.2% the previous month.
The revisions were noteworthy:
• August: revised from 133,000 to 186,000
• September: revised from 29,000 to 60,000
• 84,000 additional jobs across both months
The labor market is stronger than the Fed thought when it raised interest rates on September 16. U.S. short-term interest rate futures fell. Traders increased their bets that the Fed will raise rates again in December.
Gold felt the impact immediately: its price fell by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce. Higher interest rates make non-yielding assets less attractive.
For $BTC , this data is a short-term headwind because liquidity is tightening further. I’m watching October CPI ahead of the December meeting. If CPI also comes in hot, another Fed rate hike will be difficult to avoid. Do you think the Fed will raise rates again? 🤔
#NFP #Fed #Gold
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its October jobs report on November 6. Nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations. Unemployment also improved from 4.2% the previous month.
The revisions were noteworthy:
• August: revised from 133,000 to 186,000
• September: revised from 29,000 to 60,000
• 84,000 additional jobs across both months
The labor market is stronger than the Fed thought when it raised interest rates on September 16. U.S. short-term interest rate futures fell. Traders increased their bets that the Fed will raise rates again in December.
Gold felt the impact immediately: its price fell by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce. Higher interest rates make non-yielding assets less attractive.
For $BTC , this data is a short-term headwind because liquidity is tightening further. I’m watching October CPI ahead of the December meeting. If CPI also comes in hot, another Fed rate hike will be difficult to avoid. Do you think the Fed will raise rates again? 🤔
#NFP #Fed #Gold
532
·
--
Bullish
BREAKING NEWS:
🇺🇸The odds of the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates by 25 basis points at this month's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting have fallen sharply.
$APP $LYN $UVXY 👀👀👀👀
{future}(UVXYUSDT)
{future}(LYNUSDT)
{future}(APPUSDT)
#news #Fed #USMidterms-WhatAreMarketsExpecting? #USStocksSlipandCryptoMarketUnderBroadPressure #bullish
BREAKING NEWS:
🇺🇸The odds of the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates by 25 basis points at this month's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting have fallen sharply.
$APP $LYN $UVXY 👀👀👀👀
#news #Fed #USMidterms-WhatAreMarketsExpecting? #USStocksSlipandCryptoMarketUnderBroadPressure #bullish
🇺🇸The odds of the Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates by 25 basis points at this month's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting have fallen sharply.
$APP $LYN $UVXY 👀👀👀👀
#news #Fed #USMidterms-WhatAreMarketsExpecting? #USStocksSlipandCryptoMarketUnderBroadPressure #bullish
294
Odds of a Fed rate hike collapse ahead of this month’s meeting… What changed?The odds of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points at this month’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting have collapsed, marking a notable shift just days before the widely anticipated decision.
Previously, markets had priced in a greater likelihood of further monetary tightening, but current pricing points to a clear decline in those expectations.
The decline refers to the odds of a rate hike, not confirmation of a rate cut. The final decision remains with the Fed, and no official confirmation has been issued regarding the path of monetary policy.
Odds of a Fed rate hike collapse ahead of this month’s meeting… What changed?
The odds of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points at this month’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting have collapsed, marking a notable shift just days before the widely anticipated decision.
Previously, markets had priced in a greater likelihood of further monetary tightening, but current pricing points to a clear decline in those expectations.
The decline refers to the odds of a rate hike, not confirmation of a rate cut. The final decision remains with the Fed, and no official confirmation has been issued regarding the path of monetary policy.
Previously, markets had priced in a greater likelihood of further monetary tightening, but current pricing points to a clear decline in those expectations.
The decline refers to the odds of a rate hike, not confirmation of a rate cut. The final decision remains with the Fed, and no official confirmation has been issued regarding the path of monetary policy.
1
39
·
--
Bullish
🐋 WHAT IS THE FED QUIETLY SIGNALING? WHAT’S NEXT FOR BITCOIN AND ALTCOINS? ⚠️
The crypto market should pay attention to the latest moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED).
🏦 What’s happening?
* On October 28, the FED held interest rates at 3.75%–4%.
* Two members wanted to raise rates by another 0.25%.
* Inflation remains above the 2% target.
* The possibility of a rate hike in December is being closely watched by the market. <Cite refs={[“turn218117news22”,“turn218117search0”,“turn218117news24”]}/>
📉 If the FED raises interest rates:
* The U.S. dollar could strengthen.
* Investors may become more cautious with their money.
* Bitcoin and altcoins could face downward pressure.
📈 If the FED holds rates steady or signals easing:
* Risk appetite could improve.
* Money could flow back into the crypto market.
* Altcoins could have a chance to recover if liquidity increases.
🐋 Ca Voi San Day’s take: Don’t focus only on the interest rate decision. Also watch the FED’s statements, inflation and employment data, and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Sometimes markets move sharply in response to signals that emerge before the official decision.
💬 Do you think the FED will raise interest rates or keep them steady in December? How will Bitcoin react?
$MASK $BTC
#FED #Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoin #CaVoiSanDay
🐋 WHAT IS THE FED QUIETLY SIGNALING? WHAT’S NEXT FOR BITCOIN AND ALTCOINS? ⚠️
The crypto market should pay attention to the latest moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED).
🏦 What’s happening?
* On October 28, the FED held interest rates at 3.75%–4%.
* Two members wanted to raise rates by another 0.25%.
* Inflation remains above the 2% target.
* The possibility of a rate hike in December is being closely watched by the market. <Cite refs={[“turn218117news22”,“turn218117search0”,“turn218117news24”]}/>
📉 If the FED raises interest rates:
* The U.S. dollar could strengthen.
* Investors may become more cautious with their money.
* Bitcoin and altcoins could face downward pressure.
📈 If the FED holds rates steady or signals easing:
* Risk appetite could improve.
* Money could flow back into the crypto market.
* Altcoins could have a chance to recover if liquidity increases.
🐋 Ca Voi San Day’s take: Don’t focus only on the interest rate decision. Also watch the FED’s statements, inflation and employment data, and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Sometimes markets move sharply in response to signals that emerge before the official decision.
💬 Do you think the FED will raise interest rates or keep them steady in December? How will Bitcoin react?
$MASK $BTC
#FED #Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoin #CaVoiSanDay
The crypto market should pay attention to the latest moves by the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED).
🏦 What’s happening?
* On October 28, the FED held interest rates at 3.75%–4%.
* Two members wanted to raise rates by another 0.25%.
* Inflation remains above the 2% target.
* The possibility of a rate hike in December is being closely watched by the market. <Cite refs={[“turn218117news22”,“turn218117search0”,“turn218117news24”]}/>
📉 If the FED raises interest rates:
* The U.S. dollar could strengthen.
* Investors may become more cautious with their money.
* Bitcoin and altcoins could face downward pressure.
📈 If the FED holds rates steady or signals easing:
* Risk appetite could improve.
* Money could flow back into the crypto market.
* Altcoins could have a chance to recover if liquidity increases.
🐋 Ca Voi San Day’s take: Don’t focus only on the interest rate decision. Also watch the FED’s statements, inflation and employment data, and the strength of the U.S. dollar. Sometimes markets move sharply in response to signals that emerge before the official decision.
💬 Do you think the FED will raise interest rates or keep them steady in December? How will Bitcoin react?
$MASK $BTC
#FED #Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoin #CaVoiSanDay
1
267
·
--
Article
The real problem isn't Congress. It's the FEDA Democratic Congress can block crypto laws, but it can't print dollars.
What really moves Bitcoin now is liquidity: interest rates, QT, and whether the FED cuts rates in December.
That's why the drop was brief.
The market understood that politics can change, but macroeconomics rules. Watch out: If the FED keeps rates high, breaking through $78,000–$80,000 will be tough.
#FED #Macro #Tasas #Midterms2026
$ZEC
The real problem isn't Congress. It's the FED
A Democratic Congress can block crypto laws, but it can't print dollars.
What really moves Bitcoin now is liquidity: interest rates, QT, and whether the FED cuts rates in December.
That's why the drop was brief.
The market understood that politics can change, but macroeconomics rules. Watch out: If the FED keeps rates high, breaking through $78,000–$80,000 will be tough.
#FED #Macro #Tasas #Midterms2026
$ZEC
What really moves Bitcoin now is liquidity: interest rates, QT, and whether the FED cuts rates in December.
That's why the drop was brief.
The market understood that politics can change, but macroeconomics rules. Watch out: If the FED keeps rates high, breaking through $78,000–$80,000 will be tough.
#FED #Macro #Tasas #Midterms2026
$ZEC
1
725
·
--
🇺🇸 #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible — THE DECISION DAY IS HERE!
📅 Release: Friday, Nov 6 at 8:30 AM ET
All eyes on the US October Jobs Report — it will decide if the Fed hikes or cuts next
📊 WHAT TO EXPECT:
- September NFP: Only +29K jobs (huge miss)
- October Forecast: +55K to +65K jobs expected
- Unemployment: 4.2%
- Fed Rate Right Now: 3.75% - 4.00% held on Oct 28 (10-2 vote) e6c903fd0a04
🏦 WHY THIS MATTERS FOR CRYPTO?
Markets are pricing a 75% chance of a RATE HIKE in December, not a cut e6c9
🟢 Weak NFP (<50K) + Higher Unemployment = Rate cuts back on table → Bullish for BTC, ETH
🔴 Strong NFP (>65K) + Hot Wages = Higher for longer → Dollar up, Crypto pressure
September was weak, but October is expected to rebound. If jobs come hot, the dream of rate cuts in 2026 is over.
Are you positioned for a surprise? Long or Short before NFP? 👇
#NFP #FOMC #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
🇺🇸 #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible — THE DECISION DAY IS HERE!
📅 Release: Friday, Nov 6 at 8:30 AM ET
All eyes on the US October Jobs Report — it will decide if the Fed hikes or cuts next
📊 WHAT TO EXPECT:
- September NFP: Only +29K jobs (huge miss)
- October Forecast: +55K to +65K jobs expected
- Unemployment: 4.2%
- Fed Rate Right Now: 3.75% - 4.00% held on Oct 28 (10-2 vote) e6c903fd0a04
🏦 WHY THIS MATTERS FOR CRYPTO?
Markets are pricing a 75% chance of a RATE HIKE in December, not a cut e6c9
🟢 Weak NFP (<50K) + Higher Unemployment = Rate cuts back on table → Bullish for BTC, ETH
🔴 Strong NFP (>65K) + Hot Wages = Higher for longer → Dollar up, Crypto pressure
September was weak, but October is expected to rebound. If jobs come hot, the dream of rate cuts in 2026 is over.
Are you positioned for a surprise? Long or Short before NFP? 👇
#NFP #FOMC #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
📅 Release: Friday, Nov 6 at 8:30 AM ET
All eyes on the US October Jobs Report — it will decide if the Fed hikes or cuts next
📊 WHAT TO EXPECT:
- September NFP: Only +29K jobs (huge miss)
- October Forecast: +55K to +65K jobs expected
- Unemployment: 4.2%
- Fed Rate Right Now: 3.75% - 4.00% held on Oct 28 (10-2 vote) e6c903fd0a04
🏦 WHY THIS MATTERS FOR CRYPTO?
Markets are pricing a 75% chance of a RATE HIKE in December, not a cut e6c9
🟢 Weak NFP (<50K) + Higher Unemployment = Rate cuts back on table → Bullish for BTC, ETH
🔴 Strong NFP (>65K) + Hot Wages = Higher for longer → Dollar up, Crypto pressure
September was weak, but October is expected to rebound. If jobs come hot, the dream of rate cuts in 2026 is over.
Are you positioned for a surprise? Long or Short before NFP? 👇
#NFP #FOMC #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
82
·
--
U.S. ADP employment in October came in at 8.6, beating expectations of 6.9 but still below the previous month's 9. 📊
Figures released on November 4 showed that the labor market has not cooled completely, although growth has slowed slightly compared with the previous period.
Notably, the figure beat forecasts just after the Fed raised interest rates on 16/09, for the first time since 2023. As long as employment holds up, the Fed will have little reason to ease policy early, even though ADP is only a reference indicator for the official NFP report.
For the broader market, this data points toward support for the USD and bond yields. Gold is unlikely to gain further momentum from rate-cut expectations.
For crypto, $BTC is sensitive to interest-rate expectations, so stronger-than-expected data is making investors more cautious. I think the upcoming NFP report will be the real test. Do you think the Fed will raise rates again?
#ADP #Fed #USJobs
U.S. ADP employment in October came in at 8.6, beating expectations of 6.9 but still below the previous month's 9. 📊
Figures released on November 4 showed that the labor market has not cooled completely, although growth has slowed slightly compared with the previous period.
Notably, the figure beat forecasts just after the Fed raised interest rates on 16/09, for the first time since 2023. As long as employment holds up, the Fed will have little reason to ease policy early, even though ADP is only a reference indicator for the official NFP report.
For the broader market, this data points toward support for the USD and bond yields. Gold is unlikely to gain further momentum from rate-cut expectations.
For crypto, $BTC is sensitive to interest-rate expectations, so stronger-than-expected data is making investors more cautious. I think the upcoming NFP report will be the real test. Do you think the Fed will raise rates again?
#ADP #Fed #USJobs
Figures released on November 4 showed that the labor market has not cooled completely, although growth has slowed slightly compared with the previous period.
Notably, the figure beat forecasts just after the Fed raised interest rates on 16/09, for the first time since 2023. As long as employment holds up, the Fed will have little reason to ease policy early, even though ADP is only a reference indicator for the official NFP report.
For the broader market, this data points toward support for the USD and bond yields. Gold is unlikely to gain further momentum from rate-cut expectations.
For crypto, $BTC is sensitive to interest-rate expectations, so stronger-than-expected data is making investors more cautious. I think the upcoming NFP report will be the real test. Do you think the Fed will raise rates again?
#ADP #Fed #USJobs
396
·
--
The U.S. ADP employment figure for October came in at 8.6, well above market expectations of 6.9 📊
Data at a glance:
• Actual: 8.6
• Expected: 6.9
• Previous: 9
This is the U.S. ADP employment data for October. It was marked as a four-star event on the calendar, making it one of the most closely watched indicators ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report. The result was better than expected, but slightly below the previous reading of 9, so it’s not quite right to say things are “heating up”; it’s more accurate to say the data was steadier than people expected.
Why does this number matter? The Fed just raised interest rates on September 16, its first hike since 2023. After a rate hike, the market’s biggest question is whether employment has been dampened. If the labor market remains resilient, the Fed has little reason to ease up in the short term, and Treasury yields and the dollar tend to react accordingly.
For the broader market, a stronger-than-expected reading generally cools rate-cut expectations, which can support the dollar and yields. Gold and risk assets, meanwhile, depend on where investors put their money. However, ADP often diverges from the official nonfarm payrolls report, so don’t rush to conclusions based on this one figure alone.
In the crypto market, $BTC has recently seemed to be tracking interest-rate expectations. Strong employment data would weaken the case for easier liquidity, but the reading of 8.6, below the previous 9, gives both bulls and bears something to argue about. Personally, I think the upcoming official nonfarm payrolls report and the Fed’s comments will matter more than this ADP figure.
Do you think this data is helping the Fed keep tightening, or is it just normal fluctuation?
#ADP #NFP #Fed
The U.S. ADP employment figure for October came in at 8.6, well above market expectations of 6.9 📊
Data at a glance:
• Actual: 8.6
• Expected: 6.9
• Previous: 9
This is the U.S. ADP employment data for October. It was marked as a four-star event on the calendar, making it one of the most closely watched indicators ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report. The result was better than expected, but slightly below the previous reading of 9, so it’s not quite right to say things are “heating up”; it’s more accurate to say the data was steadier than people expected.
Why does this number matter? The Fed just raised interest rates on September 16, its first hike since 2023. After a rate hike, the market’s biggest question is whether employment has been dampened. If the labor market remains resilient, the Fed has little reason to ease up in the short term, and Treasury yields and the dollar tend to react accordingly.
For the broader market, a stronger-than-expected reading generally cools rate-cut expectations, which can support the dollar and yields. Gold and risk assets, meanwhile, depend on where investors put their money. However, ADP often diverges from the official nonfarm payrolls report, so don’t rush to conclusions based on this one figure alone.
In the crypto market, $BTC has recently seemed to be tracking interest-rate expectations. Strong employment data would weaken the case for easier liquidity, but the reading of 8.6, below the previous 9, gives both bulls and bears something to argue about. Personally, I think the upcoming official nonfarm payrolls report and the Fed’s comments will matter more than this ADP figure.
Do you think this data is helping the Fed keep tightening, or is it just normal fluctuation?
#ADP #NFP #Fed
Data at a glance:
• Actual: 8.6
• Expected: 6.9
• Previous: 9
This is the U.S. ADP employment data for October. It was marked as a four-star event on the calendar, making it one of the most closely watched indicators ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report. The result was better than expected, but slightly below the previous reading of 9, so it’s not quite right to say things are “heating up”; it’s more accurate to say the data was steadier than people expected.
Why does this number matter? The Fed just raised interest rates on September 16, its first hike since 2023. After a rate hike, the market’s biggest question is whether employment has been dampened. If the labor market remains resilient, the Fed has little reason to ease up in the short term, and Treasury yields and the dollar tend to react accordingly.
For the broader market, a stronger-than-expected reading generally cools rate-cut expectations, which can support the dollar and yields. Gold and risk assets, meanwhile, depend on where investors put their money. However, ADP often diverges from the official nonfarm payrolls report, so don’t rush to conclusions based on this one figure alone.
In the crypto market, $BTC has recently seemed to be tracking interest-rate expectations. Strong employment data would weaken the case for easier liquidity, but the reading of 8.6, below the previous 9, gives both bulls and bears something to argue about. Personally, I think the upcoming official nonfarm payrolls report and the Fed’s comments will matter more than this ADP figure.
Do you think this data is helping the Fed keep tightening, or is it just normal fluctuation?
#ADP #NFP #Fed
68
·
--
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
🇺🇸 October Jobs Report: Markets Price a Hike, Not a Cut
📅 The October jobs report lands Friday, Nov 6, at 8:30 AM ET
📊 Consensus is roughly 55K-65K new jobs, with unemployment holding at 4.2%
📉 September added only 29K jobs vs 84K expected, and July-August were revised down by 60K combined
💵 Wage growth was just 0.1% in September; forecasters expect about 0.3% for October
🏦 The Fed held at 3.75-4.00% on Oct 28, with two officials voting for a hike
⚠️ CME FedWatch shows about 72% odds of a December hike and 28% for a hold, with no cut priced
What it means for crypto: a strong print could lift yields and the dollar, a headwind for $BTC. A weak one could cool hike bets, but with inflation still elevated, a cut looks unlikely for now.
Hot or cold jobs number on Friday? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#CryptoNews #Fed #NFP #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
🇺🇸 October Jobs Report: Markets Price a Hike, Not a Cut
📅 The October jobs report lands Friday, Nov 6, at 8:30 AM ET
📊 Consensus is roughly 55K-65K new jobs, with unemployment holding at 4.2%
📉 September added only 29K jobs vs 84K expected, and July-August were revised down by 60K combined
💵 Wage growth was just 0.1% in September; forecasters expect about 0.3% for October
🏦 The Fed held at 3.75-4.00% on Oct 28, with two officials voting for a hike
⚠️ CME FedWatch shows about 72% odds of a December hike and 28% for a hold, with no cut priced
What it means for crypto: a strong print could lift yields and the dollar, a headwind for $BTC . A weak one could cool hike bets, but with inflation still elevated, a cut looks unlikely for now.
Hot or cold jobs number on Friday? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#CryptoNews #Fed #NFP #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
🇺🇸 October Jobs Report: Markets Price a Hike, Not a Cut
📅 The October jobs report lands Friday, Nov 6, at 8:30 AM ET
📊 Consensus is roughly 55K-65K new jobs, with unemployment holding at 4.2%
📉 September added only 29K jobs vs 84K expected, and July-August were revised down by 60K combined
💵 Wage growth was just 0.1% in September; forecasters expect about 0.3% for October
🏦 The Fed held at 3.75-4.00% on Oct 28, with two officials voting for a hike
⚠️ CME FedWatch shows about 72% odds of a December hike and 28% for a hold, with no cut priced
What it means for crypto: a strong print could lift yields and the dollar, a headwind for $BTC . A weak one could cool hike bets, but with inflation still elevated, a cut looks unlikely for now.
Hot or cold jobs number on Friday? 👇
$BTC $ETH
#CryptoNews #Fed #NFP #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
1
·
--
Dec $CL finished October up 17.76%, and over the two sessions after the Fed's 28 October hold, fed funds futures took December hike pricing from 0.85 of a hike at that settle down to 0.68 at Friday's settle. If oil is supposed to push the Fed toward hiking, that's the wrong sign.
I think the data's outvoting the barrel for now... wages and salaries in the Q3 ECI slowed to +0.7% from +0.9%, and German October CPI came in at 2.8% against a 3.0% forecast. Musalem still asked for a hike "soon" on 30 October and I read that as December, so the Fed speakers and the futures are leaning different ways.
I'm watching whether the oil move starts showing up in the inflation prints before the 9 December FOMC, where the new dots will likely decide it.
#Oil #Fed #Rates #Inflation #Macro
Dec $CL finished October up 17.76%, and over the two sessions after the Fed's 28 October hold, fed funds futures took December hike pricing from 0.85 of a hike at that settle down to 0.68 at Friday's settle. If oil is supposed to push the Fed toward hiking, that's the wrong sign.
I think the data's outvoting the barrel for now... wages and salaries in the Q3 ECI slowed to +0.7% from +0.9%, and German October CPI came in at 2.8% against a 3.0% forecast. Musalem still asked for a hike "soon" on 30 October and I read that as December, so the Fed speakers and the futures are leaning different ways.
I'm watching whether the oil move starts showing up in the inflation prints before the 9 December FOMC, where the new dots will likely decide it.
#Oil #Fed #Rates #Inflation #Macro
I think the data's outvoting the barrel for now... wages and salaries in the Q3 ECI slowed to +0.7% from +0.9%, and German October CPI came in at 2.8% against a 3.0% forecast. Musalem still asked for a hike "soon" on 30 October and I read that as December, so the Fed speakers and the futures are leaning different ways.
I'm watching whether the oil move starts showing up in the inflation prints before the 9 December FOMC, where the new dots will likely decide it.
#Oil #Fed #Rates #Inflation #Macro
338
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