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Bullish
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$WLD {spot}(WLDUSDT) 🚨📢 At a time when everyone is looking for economic reassurance, Alberto Musalem, President of the St. Louis Fed, steps forward to speak the plain truth: people remain worried about inflation at its current levels Prices haven’t returned to the 2% target, and strong demand alongside supply disruptions is keeping the pressure high. Musalem stresses that monetary policy remains relatively accommodative, and that further tightening is needed soon $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) Moving early with gradual steps is far better than waiting and then taking sudden measures that could harm growth This message isn't just a technical analysis, but a call to protect household incomes and market stability When a Fed official speaks with such candour, the warning becomes compelling: tackling inflation now is the only way to restore confidence and sustainable prosperity $XRP {spot}(XRPUSDT) #Fed #USGovernment
$WLD
🚨📢 At a time when everyone is looking for economic reassurance, Alberto Musalem, President of the St. Louis Fed, steps forward to speak the plain truth: people remain worried about inflation at its current levels

Prices haven’t returned to the 2% target, and strong demand alongside supply disruptions is keeping the pressure high. Musalem stresses that monetary policy remains relatively accommodative, and that further tightening is needed soon

$ETH

Moving early with gradual steps is far better than waiting and then taking sudden measures that could harm growth

This message isn't just a technical analysis, but a call to protect household incomes and market stability

When a Fed official speaks with such candour, the warning becomes compelling: tackling inflation now is the only way to restore confidence and sustainable prosperity

$XRP
#Fed #USGovernment
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Bullish
🚨 The U.S. added 100,000 more jobs than expected. Why could that complicate Bitcoin’s rebound? THE MARKET FILE — STRONG JOBS, RATE HIKE BETS November 6, 2026 The U.S. added 165,000 jobs in October, versus the 65,000 Wall Street expected. Unemployment came in at 4.1%, and hourly earnings rose 0.4% for the month. After the report, the market-implied odds of a December rate hike rose from 70% to 78%, according to Reuters. 🏦 WHY DID RATE HIKE BETS RISE? A resilient labor market gives the Fed less reason to cut rates to support the economy. If inflation stays elevated, it also gives the Fed more room to raise them. Hiring and wage growth can support consumer spending. If supply can’t keep up, stronger demand can make inflation harder to bring down. ₿ HOW DOES THAT AFFECT BITCOIN? Markets can react before the Fed makes a decision. Expectations of higher rates can push Treasury yields up and strengthen the dollar. Higher yields make bonds more attractive relative to assets like BTC, and higher borrowing costs can make leveraged trades more expensive. 📖 MY TAKE Strong hiring eases recession fears. For Bitcoin, the question is whether that relief outweighs the prospect of higher rates. I’m watching the two-year Treasury yield and the dollar. If both keep climbing and BTC still holds its rebound, that would tell me something about the strength of demand. 💬 What matters more for BTC right now: an economy that’s holding up or a Fed with more room to raise rates? $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) #Bitcoin #Fed #jobsreportraiseshikeodds
🚨 The U.S. added 100,000 more jobs than expected. Why could that complicate Bitcoin’s rebound?
THE MARKET FILE — STRONG JOBS, RATE HIKE BETS
November 6, 2026
The U.S. added 165,000 jobs in October, versus the 65,000 Wall Street expected. Unemployment came in at 4.1%, and hourly earnings rose 0.4% for the month.
After the report, the market-implied odds of a December rate hike rose from 70% to 78%, according to Reuters.
🏦 WHY DID RATE HIKE BETS RISE?
A resilient labor market gives the Fed less reason to cut rates to support the economy. If inflation stays elevated, it also gives the Fed more room to raise them.
Hiring and wage growth can support consumer spending. If supply can’t keep up, stronger demand can make inflation harder to bring down.
₿ HOW DOES THAT AFFECT BITCOIN?
Markets can react before the Fed makes a decision. Expectations of higher rates can push Treasury yields up and strengthen the dollar. Higher yields make bonds more attractive relative to assets like BTC, and higher borrowing costs can make leveraged trades more expensive.
📖 MY TAKE
Strong hiring eases recession fears. For Bitcoin, the question is whether that relief outweighs the prospect of higher rates.
I’m watching the two-year Treasury yield and the dollar. If both keep climbing and BTC still holds its rebound, that would tell me something about the strength of demand.
💬 What matters more for BTC right now: an economy that’s holding up or a Fed with more room to raise rates?
$BTC

#Bitcoin #Fed

#jobsreportraiseshikeodds
A Fed rate HIKE is now the market's base case, and crypto is pricing it in. October payrolls: 165,000 jobs added vs a 59,000 forecast. December hike odds jumped toward 80%. Bitcoin ETFs saw about $430M of outflows on Thursday, led by Fidelity and BlackRock (TradingGain). $BTC sits near $75.9K, $ETH near $2.23K. My take: strong data used to be good news. With hikes on the table, it's a headwind for risk assets, and ETF flows are the tell to watch. Will $BTC reclaim $80K before the December Fed meeting, yes or no? Not financial advice. #Fed #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #ETF
A Fed rate HIKE is now the market's base case, and crypto is pricing it in.

October payrolls: 165,000 jobs added vs a 59,000 forecast. December hike odds jumped toward 80%.
Bitcoin ETFs saw about $430M of outflows on Thursday, led by Fidelity and BlackRock (TradingGain).
$BTC sits near $75.9K, $ETH near $2.23K.

My take: strong data used to be good news. With hikes on the table, it's a headwind for risk assets, and ETF flows are the tell to watch.

Will $BTC reclaim $80K before the December Fed meeting, yes or no?

Not financial advice.

#Fed #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #ETF
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Strong jobs data just changed the game. US added 165,000 jobs in October way above expectations. Unemployment dropped to 4.1%. Now traders see nearly 80% chance of a Fed rate hike in December. For crypto, this is a double-edged sword. Strong economy is good… but higher rates usually pressure risk assets. Question: Do you think Bitcoin can still push higher even if the Fed hikes again? #JobsReportRaisesHikeOdds #bitcoin #Fed $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
Strong jobs data just changed the game.
US added 165,000 jobs in October way above expectations.
Unemployment dropped to 4.1%.
Now traders see nearly 80% chance of a Fed rate hike in December.
For crypto, this is a double-edged sword.
Strong economy is good… but higher rates usually pressure risk assets.
Question:
Do you think Bitcoin can still push higher even if the Fed hikes again?
#JobsReportRaisesHikeOdds #bitcoin #Fed $BTC
Good news for crypto users in the US 🇺🇸 The US Treasury (FinCEN) and the Federal Reserve have just dropped a plan that would have forced banks and crypto firms to collect and share information on international transfers as small as $250. The $3,000 threshold stays in place. Why does this matter? The proposal, from back in 2020, would have covered crypto transfers too — including convertible virtual currencies. Nearly 3,000 comments came in, mostly against it, warning about compliance costs and privacy risks. The agencies said they will take no further action on it, pointing to how much the crypto market has changed and to the new GENIUS Act stablecoin rules. This is not a buy or sell call, and it will not move prices by itself. But it is a real step in the other direction: less tracking of small crypto transfers, not more. Analysis Only — Not Financial Advice (NFA). Trading involves risk. Follow Profit Direction for more signals, best signals and market updates. Share your opinion in the comments. Do you think this news will push BTC up or down? #CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed
Good news for crypto users in the US 🇺🇸

The US Treasury (FinCEN) and the Federal Reserve have just dropped a plan that would have forced banks and crypto firms to collect and share information on international transfers as small as $250. The $3,000 threshold stays in place.

Why does this matter?

The proposal, from back in 2020, would have covered crypto transfers too — including convertible virtual currencies. Nearly 3,000 comments came in, mostly against it, warning about compliance costs and privacy risks. The agencies said they will take no further action on it, pointing to how much the crypto market has changed and to the new GENIUS Act stablecoin rules.

This is not a buy or sell call, and it will not move prices by itself. But it is a real step in the other direction: less tracking of small crypto transfers, not more.

Analysis Only — Not Financial Advice (NFA). Trading involves risk.

Follow Profit Direction for more signals, best signals and market updates. Share your opinion in the comments.

Do you think this news will push BTC up or down?

#CryptoNews #Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed
🚨NFP WATCH: The midterms shook the AI trade. Now stock and crypto investors are watching today’s U.S. jobs report for clues on a December Fed hike. The report drops SOON at 8:30 AM ET. The Nasdaq fell 5.52% Thursday, and Bitcoin slipped below $77,000. Treasury yields hit their #Bitcoin $BTC #Fed
🚨NFP WATCH: The midterms shook the AI trade. Now stock and crypto investors are watching today’s U.S. jobs report for clues on a December Fed hike.

The report drops SOON at 8:30 AM ET.

The Nasdaq fell 5.52% Thursday, and Bitcoin slipped below $77,000. Treasury yields hit their

#Bitcoin $BTC #Fed
🛑 Is the Fed getting a strong reason to raise rates? Strong jobs data just landed: Unemployment: 4.1% (4.2% expected) October jobs added: 165K (65K expected) Inflation: still running almost 2x the Fed's target Strong hiring plus hot inflation gives the Fed more room to tighten, so the market could stay under pressure. Be careful with leverage and manage your risk. ⚠️ $BTC $XAU $XAG #Fed #BTC #Gold #Silver
🛑 Is the Fed getting a strong reason to raise rates? Strong jobs data just landed:
Unemployment: 4.1% (4.2% expected)
October jobs added: 165K (65K expected)
Inflation: still running almost 2x the Fed's target
Strong hiring plus hot inflation gives the Fed more room to tighten, so the market could stay under pressure. Be careful with leverage and manage your risk. ⚠️
$BTC $XAU $XAG
#Fed #BTC #Gold #Silver
Partly True
Bitcoin Reclaims $60,000 After Fed's Warsh Says Inflation Threat EasedBitcoin climbed back above $60,000 on Wednesday, a level it had lost during the past couple of weeks of turbulence. $BTC The move followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal, who said inflation expectations in surveys and bond prices had eased. He paired that with a warning that price growth remains too elevated and that the Fed will not accept inflation above its 2 percent target. "We're going to deliver price stability," Warsh said. Bitcoin traded near $60,171 in the afternoon, up about 2.7% on the day, with a 24-hour high of $60,474 and a low of $57,718. Session volume reached $26.68 billion as U.S. stocks rose and the dollar retreated from a weekly high. The reprieve comes in a hard year: Bitcoin sits roughly 30% below where it started 2026 and more than $66,000 under its record of $126,277, with a market value near $1.2 trillion. Bitcoin treasury stocks moved harder — Strategy rose close to 7.5% with intraday highs of 13%, while Strive jumped more than 10% at times to $12.02. Strive's treasury now tops 16,000 BTC, and its stock is up more than 100% over three months. Earlier this week, Strategy raised the dividend on its STRC preferred shares to 12%, authorized up to $2 billion in buybacks, and set up a $2.55 billion dollar reserve covering at least 12 months of preferred dividends and debt interest. It also created a limited bitcoin monetization program, while reaffirming bitcoin as its primary treasury asset. If the softer dollar and easing inflation expectations hold, risk assets like Bitcoin could keep finding buyers — but Warsh's warning that inflation is still too high means the relief may not last. The takeaway worth saving: treasury stocks amplify Bitcoin's moves in both directions, so a 2.7% coin gain can become a double-digit stock swing. Does $60,000 hold through the week — yes or no? 👇 #Bitcoin #Fed Tap $BTC to trade $BTC غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.

Bitcoin Reclaims $60,000 After Fed's Warsh Says Inflation Threat Eased

Bitcoin climbed back above $60,000 on Wednesday, a level it had lost during the past couple of weeks of turbulence. $BTC
The move followed comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh at the European Central Bank forum in Sintra, Portugal, who said inflation expectations in surveys and bond prices had eased. He paired that with a warning that price growth remains too elevated and that the Fed will not accept inflation above its 2 percent target. "We're going to deliver price stability," Warsh said.
Bitcoin traded near $60,171 in the afternoon, up about 2.7% on the day, with a 24-hour high of $60,474 and a low of $57,718. Session volume reached $26.68 billion as U.S. stocks rose and the dollar retreated from a weekly high.
The reprieve comes in a hard year: Bitcoin sits roughly 30% below where it started 2026 and more than $66,000 under its record of $126,277, with a market value near $1.2 trillion. Bitcoin treasury stocks moved harder — Strategy rose close to 7.5% with intraday highs of 13%, while Strive jumped more than 10% at times to $12.02. Strive's treasury now tops 16,000 BTC, and its stock is up more than 100% over three months.
Earlier this week, Strategy raised the dividend on its STRC preferred shares to 12%, authorized up to $2 billion in buybacks, and set up a $2.55 billion dollar reserve covering at least 12 months of preferred dividends and debt interest. It also created a limited bitcoin monetization program, while reaffirming bitcoin as its primary treasury asset.
If the softer dollar and easing inflation expectations hold, risk assets like Bitcoin could keep finding buyers — but Warsh's warning that inflation is still too high means the relief may not last.
The takeaway worth saving: treasury stocks amplify Bitcoin's moves in both directions, so a 2.7% coin gain can become a double-digit stock swing.
Does $60,000 hold through the week — yes or no? 👇
#Bitcoin #Fed
Tap $BTC to trade
$BTC
غيرك سبقك وتابع. ادخل بروفايلي وخلك مع اللي يقرأ قبل ما ينتشر الخبر.
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Bullish
$BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) 🚨🚨 Baurin’s thorough analysis reveals a robust and resilient US economy, even if its effects are missing from certain sectors. Firms remain cautious about hiring, yet they haven't resorted to redundancies just yet, thanks to strong profits that drive them to invest and hold on to their workforce However, the accumulated cost pressures over the past 18 months—starting with tariffs and spreading widely—are forcing businesses to pass these increases on. We do not expect inflation to accelerate, nor do we currently see signs of it falling $ETH {spot}(ETHUSDT) The policy path is crystal clear, and the only remaining question is the pace and gradation of the adjustment, which seems entirely logical Monetary policy currently stands close to the neutral zone, giving policymakers wise flexibility to maintain stability without damaging growth. This clever balance underscores the economy's ability to withstand things with steadfast resilience $SOL {spot}(SOLUSDT) #Fed #USGovernment
$BTC
🚨🚨 Baurin’s thorough analysis reveals a robust and resilient US economy, even if its effects are missing from certain sectors. Firms remain cautious about hiring, yet they haven't resorted to redundancies just yet, thanks to strong profits that drive them to invest and hold on to their workforce

However, the accumulated cost pressures over the past 18 months—starting with tariffs and spreading widely—are forcing businesses to pass these increases on. We do not expect inflation to accelerate, nor do we currently see signs of it falling

$ETH

The policy path is crystal clear, and the only remaining question is the pace and gradation of the adjustment, which seems entirely logical

Monetary policy currently stands close to the neutral zone, giving policymakers wise flexibility to maintain stability without damaging growth. This clever balance underscores the economy's ability to withstand things with steadfast resilience

$SOL
#Fed #USGovernment
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible 📈 Dec Hike Odds Hit 79% Before Friday's Jobs Report Markets already lean toward another Fed hike, so payrolls need a big surprise to change that. 📈 Dec 9 hike odds: 79%, up from about 70% last week 📊 Consensus: +65K jobs vs +29K in September (FactSet) 🏦 Vanguard sees +120K; EY-Parthenon's Daco about 74K ⚠️ July was revised from +21K to a 10K loss Watch next: Vanguard says 100K+ with 4.1% unemployment would add 2027 hikes, not December. Jobs Friday: 100K+ or a miss below 65K? 👇 $BTC $ETH #NFP #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible

📈 Dec Hike Odds Hit 79% Before Friday's Jobs Report

Markets already lean toward another Fed hike, so payrolls need a big surprise to change that.

📈 Dec 9 hike odds: 79%, up from about 70% last week
📊 Consensus: +65K jobs vs +29K in September (FactSet)
🏦 Vanguard sees +120K; EY-Parthenon's Daco about 74K
⚠️ July was revised from +21K to a 10K loss

Watch next: Vanguard says 100K+ with 4.1% unemployment would add 2027 hikes, not December.

Jobs Friday: 100K+ or a miss below 65K? 👇

$BTC $ETH
#NFP #Fed #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
US ADP employment for October came in at 8.6, well above the 6.9 forecast. It's a touch below the prior reading of 9. 📊 The market expected a slowdown, and the print beat that call by about 1.7 points. Hiring is still holding up, but it isn't accelerating. The Fed raised rates on 16/09, its first hike since 2023. A resilient labor market gives Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's team less reason to pause. Rate-cut hopes get pushed further out. For markets, a firm jobs print tends to support the USD and Treasury yields. It also pressures gold and other assets that don't pay a yield. For crypto, $BTC reacts to liquidity. Higher-for-longer rates are a headwind for risk appetite, though a number this close to the prior reading is no shock. My read is that ADP alone won't move the Fed. The official jobs report is the real test. If the next jobs data confirms this strength, do you think the Fed holds the hike or goes again? #ADP #Fed #Bitcoin
US ADP employment for October came in at 8.6, well above the 6.9 forecast. It's a touch below the prior reading of 9. 📊

The market expected a slowdown, and the print beat that call by about 1.7 points. Hiring is still holding up, but it isn't accelerating.

The Fed raised rates on 16/09, its first hike since 2023. A resilient labor market gives Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's team less reason to pause. Rate-cut hopes get pushed further out.

For markets, a firm jobs print tends to support the USD and Treasury yields. It also pressures gold and other assets that don't pay a yield.

For crypto, $BTC reacts to liquidity. Higher-for-longer rates are a headwind for risk appetite, though a number this close to the prior reading is no shock. My read is that ADP alone won't move the Fed. The official jobs report is the real test.

If the next jobs data confirms this strength, do you think the Fed holds the hike or goes again?

#ADP #Fed #Bitcoin
The biggest macro test this week - Friday Nov 6, 8:30 AM ET What we know - Per BLS / Fed: September (Last Confirmed): NFP: +29,000 only - big miss vs ∼90K expected Unemployment: 4.2% Wage growth: 3.0% YoY - cooling Revisions: July + Aug cut by -60,000 combined October Forecast - Per Bloomberg Poll: NFP Expected: +60,000 to +65,000 Unemployment Expected: 4.2% unchanged Breakeven now near 0-45K (KPMG) due to retirements + lower immigration - so even 60K is NOT weak Fed Position - Oct 28 Meeting: Fed HELD at 3.75% - 4.00% - Vote 10-2 2 dissents wanted HIKE, not cut - Cook + Hammack Fed called growth "strong", inflation "remains elevated" Inflation Sep: 3.7% - almost 2x Fed's 2% target Market Pricing NOW - Per CME FedWatch / Kalshi Nov 4:* Dec 8-9 FOMC: ∼77-78% chance of 25bp HIKE Hold: ∼24% Cut: Only ∼1% This is a complete flip from 3 weeks ago when cut was 90% priced Why Cuts Look UNLIKELY right now: 1. JOLTS Sep: Job openings JUMPED to 7.52M vs 7.15M expected - 4-month high 2. Quits rose to 3.36M - highest since March 2025 - workers confident 3. Layoffs fell to lowest since March 2025 4. Manufacturing PMI Oct: 55.5 - 2nd highest in 4 years 5. Initial Claims: 194K - near lowest since 1969, 7 weeks below 200K Low-hire, low-fire market - losing momentum, but NOT breaking. 3 Scenarios for Friday: 🟥 HOT NFP >100K + Wages firm = Hike locked. USD up, yields up, BTC / ETH pressure. 🟡 IN-LINE 55K-65K = Fed stays cautious. Higher-for-longer continues. Choppy crypto. 🟢 WEAK NFP <30K + Unemployment 4.3% = Cut talk returns. Yields fall, BTC relief rally. But 1 weak print ≠ cut. My Take: Rate CUTS still possible in 2027 - but NOT in December unless Friday is very weak AND Nov 10 CPI cools. Right now, Fed is data-dependent, not dovish. Don't bet on cuts. Trade the reaction. Source: BLS, Fed Oct 28 Statement, Bloomberg, CME FedWatch Nov 4 #USOctoberNFP #Fed #Bitcoin #BinancePick #EarningsSeason $BTC $ETH $BNB #USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
The biggest macro test this week - Friday Nov 6, 8:30 AM ET

What we know - Per BLS / Fed:

September (Last Confirmed):
NFP: +29,000 only - big miss vs ∼90K expected
Unemployment: 4.2%
Wage growth: 3.0% YoY - cooling
Revisions: July + Aug cut by -60,000 combined

October Forecast - Per Bloomberg Poll:
NFP Expected: +60,000 to +65,000
Unemployment Expected: 4.2% unchanged
Breakeven now near 0-45K (KPMG) due to retirements + lower immigration - so even 60K is NOT weak

Fed Position - Oct 28 Meeting:
Fed HELD at 3.75% - 4.00% - Vote 10-2
2 dissents wanted HIKE, not cut - Cook + Hammack
Fed called growth "strong", inflation "remains elevated"
Inflation Sep: 3.7% - almost 2x Fed's 2% target

Market Pricing NOW - Per CME FedWatch / Kalshi Nov 4:*
Dec 8-9 FOMC: ∼77-78% chance of 25bp HIKE
Hold: ∼24%
Cut: Only ∼1%
This is a complete flip from 3 weeks ago when cut was 90% priced

Why Cuts Look UNLIKELY right now:
1. JOLTS Sep: Job openings JUMPED to 7.52M vs 7.15M expected - 4-month high
2. Quits rose to 3.36M - highest since March 2025 - workers confident
3. Layoffs fell to lowest since March 2025
4. Manufacturing PMI Oct: 55.5 - 2nd highest in 4 years
5. Initial Claims: 194K - near lowest since 1969, 7 weeks below 200K

Low-hire, low-fire market - losing momentum, but NOT breaking.

3 Scenarios for Friday:

🟥 HOT NFP >100K + Wages firm = Hike locked. USD up, yields up, BTC / ETH pressure.
🟡 IN-LINE 55K-65K = Fed stays cautious. Higher-for-longer continues. Choppy crypto.
🟢 WEAK NFP <30K + Unemployment 4.3% = Cut talk returns. Yields fall, BTC relief rally. But 1 weak print ≠ cut.

My Take:
Rate CUTS still possible in 2027 - but NOT in December unless Friday is very weak AND Nov 10 CPI cools. Right now, Fed is data-dependent, not dovish.

Don't bet on cuts. Trade the reaction.

Source: BLS, Fed Oct 28 Statement, Bloomberg, CME FedWatch Nov 4

#USOctoberNFP #Fed #Bitcoin #BinancePick #EarningsSeason
$BTC $ETH $BNB

#USOctoberNFP-AreRateCutsStillPossible
cryptogirl007:
Friday's employment print will test whether the current rate-hike probability has already been priced into $BTC spot derivatives.
Breaking news for $BTC: the price just fell below $75,000 📉 On Friday evening, the US announced that October jobs had increased by 165,000, far above expectations. That sounds like good news for the economy, but not necessarily for crypto. Strong figures led the market to think the Fed might raise interest rates in December (a probability of around 77–79%, according to CME FedWatch). High interest rates usually make investors wary of risky assets. Tech stocks have rebounded, but $BTC hasn’t caught up yet. On Thursday, $BTC lost around 5% in a single day, alongside more than $1 billion in liquidated positions. If you’re new: prices can swing sharply on macroeconomic news, so be careful with leverage. Do you think $BTC can hold the $75,000 level? 👇 #Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #Fed {spot}(BTCUSDT) Personal opinion, not investment advice
Breaking news for $BTC : the price just fell below $75,000 📉
On Friday evening, the US announced that October jobs had increased by 165,000, far above expectations.
That sounds like good news for the economy, but not necessarily for crypto. Strong figures led the market to think the Fed might raise interest rates in December (a probability of around 77–79%, according to CME FedWatch).
High interest rates usually make investors wary of risky assets. Tech stocks have rebounded, but $BTC hasn’t caught up yet.
On Thursday, $BTC lost around 5% in a single day, alongside more than $1 billion in liquidated positions.
If you’re new: prices can swing sharply on macroeconomic news, so be careful with leverage.
Do you think $BTC can hold the $75,000 level? 👇
#Bitcoin #BinanceSquare #Fed
Personal opinion, not investment advice
Article
The Jobs Report That Changed EVERYTHING: The Fed Is Going to Raise Rates in December#JobsReportRaisesHikeOdds If you don't understand why BTC fell today, here's the answer in 30 seconds: THE NUMBER: The US created 165,000 jobs in October. The market expected just 65,000. In other words, almost TRIPLE! Unemployment fell to 4.1% (from 4.2%) Wages rose +0.4% monthly / +3.1% annually And on top of that, August and September were revised UP by +84,000 jobs. WHY DOES THIS MATTER FOR CRYPTO? Yesterday, with the Nasdaq crashing -5.5%, the odds of the Fed raising rates in December had fallen to 67%. The market was thinking: "with this crash, the Fed won't dare".

The Jobs Report That Changed EVERYTHING: The Fed Is Going to Raise Rates in December

#JobsReportRaisesHikeOdds
If you don't understand why BTC fell today, here's the answer in 30 seconds:
THE NUMBER:
The US created 165,000 jobs in October.
The market expected just 65,000. In other words, almost TRIPLE!
Unemployment fell to 4.1% (from 4.2%)
Wages rose +0.4% monthly / +3.1% annually
And on top of that, August and September were revised UP by +84,000 jobs.
WHY DOES THIS MATTER FOR CRYPTO?
Yesterday, with the Nasdaq crashing -5.5%, the odds of the Fed raising rates in December had fallen to 67%.
The market was thinking: "with this crash, the Fed won't dare".
The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in October, below market expectations of 4.2% and September’s 4.2%. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released October’s nonfarm payrolls data today (November 6), and the figures were significantly better than expected. Job gains in August were revised up from 133,000 to 186,000, while September’s were revised up from 29,000 to 60,000—a combined upward revision of 84,000 jobs over the two months. This report matters because the Fed just raised rates on September 16, its first rate hike since 2023. The labor market hasn’t cooled, suggesting that rate hikes have yet to curb demand. The challenge facing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has grown. The market reaction was immediate: - Spot gold briefly plunged by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce - Short-term interest rate futures fell, as traders increased their bets on another Fed rate hike in December - Canada’s unemployment rate edged up to a six-month high in October, pointing to diverging trends across North America For crypto markets, this is a bearish combination. Higher rate expectations can drain liquidity from risk assets. $BTC and $ETH are most sensitive to the U.S. dollar and real interest rates. My view is that expectations for a December rate hike will continue to build, so short-term rebounds should be treated with caution. Next, we’ll need to see whether November’s CPI confirms that inflation is rising again in tandem. If it does, do you think $BTC can hold its current range?⚠️ #NFP #Fed #InterestRates
The U.S. unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in October, below market expectations of 4.2% and September’s 4.2%.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released October’s nonfarm payrolls data today (November 6), and the figures were significantly better than expected. Job gains in August were revised up from 133,000 to 186,000, while September’s were revised up from 29,000 to 60,000—a combined upward revision of 84,000 jobs over the two months.

This report matters because the Fed just raised rates on September 16, its first rate hike since 2023. The labor market hasn’t cooled, suggesting that rate hikes have yet to curb demand. The challenge facing Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has grown.

The market reaction was immediate:
- Spot gold briefly plunged by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce
- Short-term interest rate futures fell, as traders increased their bets on another Fed rate hike in December
- Canada’s unemployment rate edged up to a six-month high in October, pointing to diverging trends across North America

For crypto markets, this is a bearish combination. Higher rate expectations can drain liquidity from risk assets. $BTC and $ETH are most sensitive to the U.S. dollar and real interest rates. My view is that expectations for a December rate hike will continue to build, so short-term rebounds should be treated with caution.

Next, we’ll need to see whether November’s CPI confirms that inflation is rising again in tandem. If it does, do you think $BTC can hold its current range?⚠️

#NFP #Fed #InterestRates
U.S. releases unexpectedly 'hot' jobs report— is the crypto market bracing for headwinds? The U.S. added 165,000 jobs in October, double the forecast! The unemployment rate also fell sharply to 4.1%, far exceeding all expectations. This solid labor market data is bolstering the likelihood of a Fed rate hike in December. The Fed now has more reasons to focus on curbing inflation rather than worrying about a recession. Higher interest rates are usually not good news for risk assets like $BTC and $ETH. Capital could shift elsewhere. Could we see a major correction before the Fed's decision? #Crypto #Fed #Bitcoin $BTC $ETH
U.S. releases unexpectedly 'hot' jobs report— is the crypto market bracing for headwinds?

The U.S. added 165,000 jobs in October, double the forecast! The unemployment rate also fell sharply to 4.1%, far exceeding all expectations. This solid labor market data is bolstering the likelihood of a Fed rate hike in December.

The Fed now has more reasons to focus on curbing inflation rather than worrying about a recession.

Higher interest rates are usually not good news for risk assets like $BTC and $ETH . Capital could shift elsewhere.

Could we see a major correction before the Fed's decision?

#Crypto #Fed #Bitcoin $BTC $ETH
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Bearish
📊 All eyes are on the Federal Reserve. If inflation continues to slow, we could see more favorable conditions for risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins. 🎯 The upcoming macroeconomic data could determine the market’s direction in the coming weeks. #Fed #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT)
📊 All eyes are on the Federal Reserve.
If inflation continues to slow, we could see more favorable conditions for risk assets like Bitcoin and altcoins.
🎯 The upcoming macroeconomic data could determine the market’s direction in the coming weeks.
#Fed #Bitcoin #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare $BTC
Verified
The U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.1% in October, below the 4.2% forecast, and gold lost more than $30 per ounce right afterward 📉 The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its October jobs report on November 6. Nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations. Unemployment also improved from 4.2% the previous month. The revisions were noteworthy: • August: revised from 133,000 to 186,000 • September: revised from 29,000 to 60,000 • 84,000 additional jobs across both months The labor market is stronger than the Fed thought when it raised interest rates on September 16. U.S. short-term interest rate futures fell. Traders increased their bets that the Fed will raise rates again in December. Gold felt the impact immediately: its price fell by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce. Higher interest rates make non-yielding assets less attractive. For $BTC, this data is a short-term headwind because liquidity is tightening further. I’m watching October CPI ahead of the December meeting. If CPI also comes in hot, another Fed rate hike will be difficult to avoid. Do you think the Fed will raise rates again? 🤔 #NFP #Fed #Gold
The U.S. unemployment rate was just 4.1% in October, below the 4.2% forecast, and gold lost more than $30 per ounce right afterward 📉

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its October jobs report on November 6. Nonfarm payrolls significantly exceeded expectations. Unemployment also improved from 4.2% the previous month.

The revisions were noteworthy:
• August: revised from 133,000 to 186,000
• September: revised from 29,000 to 60,000
• 84,000 additional jobs across both months

The labor market is stronger than the Fed thought when it raised interest rates on September 16. U.S. short-term interest rate futures fell. Traders increased their bets that the Fed will raise rates again in December.

Gold felt the impact immediately: its price fell by more than $30 to $4,042 per ounce. Higher interest rates make non-yielding assets less attractive.

For $BTC , this data is a short-term headwind because liquidity is tightening further. I’m watching October CPI ahead of the December meeting. If CPI also comes in hot, another Fed rate hike will be difficult to avoid. Do you think the Fed will raise rates again? 🤔

#NFP #Fed #Gold
Odds of a Fed rate hike collapse ahead of this month’s meeting… What changed?The odds of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points at this month’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting have collapsed, marking a notable shift just days before the widely anticipated decision. Previously, markets had priced in a greater likelihood of further monetary tightening, but current pricing points to a clear decline in those expectations. The decline refers to the odds of a rate hike, not confirmation of a rate cut. The final decision remains with the Fed, and no official confirmation has been issued regarding the path of monetary policy.

Odds of a Fed rate hike collapse ahead of this month’s meeting… What changed?

The odds of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points at this month’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting have collapsed, marking a notable shift just days before the widely anticipated decision.
Previously, markets had priced in a greater likelihood of further monetary tightening, but current pricing points to a clear decline in those expectations.
The decline refers to the odds of a rate hike, not confirmation of a rate cut. The final decision remains with the Fed, and no official confirmation has been issued regarding the path of monetary policy.
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