Goolsbee warns the Fed may need to act more aggressively if U.S. demand remains overheated

๐Ÿ“Œ Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the Fed cannot automatically look through supply shocks if oil, tariffs, and supply-chain disruptions become persistent. Services inflation remains elevated, while AI and data-center investment could continue adding pressure to overall demand.

โš ๏ธ In remarks to reporters, he said that if inflation is being driven by excessive demand, the policy response may need to be more aggressive and front-loaded, with another 25-basis-point hike potentially not enough.

๐Ÿ“Š The key takeaway is that the Fedโ€™s debate is broadening from oil-driven supply shocks to the strength of domestic demand. If incoming data confirms sticky services inflation, expectations for higher-for-longer rates could add pressure to long-duration bonds and growth stocks, particularly AI-related names.

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