๐ LINA MARKET NEWS | 21:37 ICT, SEP 12, 2026
OIL SUPPLY RISK RETURNS
It is Saturday: equities, FX and commodities reflect their latest closes. Crypto prices are live at publication.
1๏ธโฃ SAUDI PIPELINE SHUT | IMPACT 9/10
Saudi Arabia temporarily closed its EastโWest pipeline after an aerial attack originating from Iraq.
The pipeline had been moving 4โ5 million barrels per dayโroughly 4โ5% of global supply. Houthis also seized Perim Island near the Bab elโMandeb Strait.
This is the most important new development since the midday report. The damage and actual export impact remain unconfirmed.
2๏ธโฃ U.S. CPI REINFORCES FED HIKE BETS | 9/10
โข Headline CPI: +0.4% MoM, in line; prior +0.1%.
โข Annual CPI: +3.4%.
โข Core CPI: +0.3%, above the +0.2% forecast; prior +0.2%.
โข Markets price an 85โ87% probability of a 25bp Fed hike.
The 10-year Treasury yield ended near 4.97%, supporting USD while increasing pressure on rate-sensitive assets.
3๏ธโฃ EQUITIES REBOUNDED FRIDAY | 7/10
โข S&P 500 +0.86%
โข Dow +0.98%
โข Nasdaq +0.96%
โข Euro Stoxx 50 +0.90%
โข FTSE 100 +0.39%
Lower oil prices helped Fridayโs rebound, but the S&P 500 still lost approximately 0.8% for the week.
4๏ธโฃ COMMODITIES | 8/10
โข Brent: $104.61, โ2.8% Friday but +8.7% weekly.
โข WTI: $100.05, +9.4% weekly.
โข Spot gold: about $4,363/oz, +1.1% Friday.
โข Silver: around $64.55/oz.
โข DXY: near 99.1.
Gold faces opposing forces: geopolitical haven demand versus higher USD and Treasury yields.
5๏ธโฃ CRYPTO / VIETNAM | 7/10
At 21:37 ICT:
โข BTC $77,424, โ1.57%
โข ETH $2,543, โ2.44%
โข SOL $102.05, โ1.02%
Vietnam is closed for the weekend. The VN-Index last closed at 1,795.21, down 1.86%.
SCENARIOS
โข Oil: upside reopening risk โ 75% confidence.
โข XAUUSD: two-way volatility with an upside bias if tensions persist โ 65%.
โข USD/yields: supported into the Fed โ 70%.
โข Equities/crypto: downside-sensitive if both oil and yields rise โ 65%.
Next: Saudi pipeline updates, proposed Oman talks on Sep 14, China activity data, Fed Sep 15โ16 and BOJ Sep 17โ18.
Market information only, not investment advice.
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