The biggest lie in trading is "the market is difficult"
The truth is the market is "often" clear... but it's the trader who complicates things!!! You enter without a plan, chase the candle, and blame the market if it goes against you 😒
As soon as you get out of this loop... and enter a single trade with a clear plan (Entry — Stop — Target) You discover that the problem over the years was not in the market... it was in you
💡 Try combining moving averages with Fibonacci extension to find the best entry and exit points.
↗️ When the EMA 50 moving average intersects with the EMA 200 moving average, this is a good signal to look for buy trades. The 0.618 level is in the support zone of the 200 exponential moving average, making it an ideal convergence area.
🌷💥 Is Bitcoin the "Tulip of the Era"? The answer that no one tells you!
In the seventeenth century, the world experienced the first economic bubble in history… the tulip mania. A flower that cost as much as a whole house… then it collapsed and ended forever. Since then, anything that rises quickly is called: "the Tulip of the Era".
But is Bitcoin really like the tulip? 🤔
The answer: No. And some don’t want you to know why.
❌ Tulip → Just a flower
No technology, no use, no real value… just mania and speculation.
✔ Bitcoin → A new financial system
Built on blockchain technology
Limited supply: Only 21 million
Used today by companies, banks, and countries
It has gone through significant fluctuations but comes back stronger each time
✔ The real difference:
The tulip is a trend… Bitcoin is a revolution.
The bubble bursts once. But Bitcoin has collapsed and risen four times… and it continues to break new peaks. This is not a "bubble" behavior… this is the behavior of a rare asset that is becoming more relied upon.
🔥 Summary:
If the Age of Tulips ended in a few months… The Age of Bitcoin began in 2009 and is still in its early stages.
Explaining when the confirmation candle is accepted and when it is strong or weak? 📉👇 The larger the size of the candle, the stronger the confirmation signal. The smaller the size of the candle, the weaker the confirmation signal.
📌 What is the OBV indicator?
OBV = On Balance Volume
It is an indicator that measures volume flow in the market, and it is used to determine whether money is entering the market (accumulation) or leaving it (distribution). In other words: 📥 If liquidity is entering → the trend is likely to rise 📤 If liquidity is leaving → the trend is likely to fall 📌 How is it calculated? The idea is very simple: If the candle closes bullish → we add its size to OBV
The Bitcoin market now is a replica of early 2022 And this is what it means for your wallet What we see in Bitcoin is not just a price correction, but a precise and concerning echo of the conditions that preceded a bearish phase in the first quarter of 2022. The market stands on the edge of a cliff, between a potential bottom and an imminent collapse. Let's dive into the analysis of data from on-chain and off-chain to understand the big picture.
📌 A secret of price action: the price always returns to its average
Have you ever noticed how the price suddenly takes off in a certain direction... then suddenly returns as if it is visiting a forgotten area? This is not a coincidence — it is the law of market equilibrium. 🔹 No matter how far the price moves away 🔹 No matter how much it pushes up or down It often returns to retest its price average (Mean Reversion). 💡 The idea is simple: The price cannot stay away from the equilibrium zone for long, so it always returns to retest, gathers new contracts, captures liquidity... then it takes off again.
The Order Block is an area on the chart that represents the last candle that caused a strong price movement, either upwards or downwards. In this area, institutions and banks intervened with large orders, leading to a clear change in direction or the launch of a strong price wave. Therefore, the price often returns to retest it before continuing its path. 🔥 Why is the Order Block important?
Do not enter a trade before knowing the following levels👇
The concept of 'supply clusters' or what is known as Supply Clusters. What are supply clusters and why are they important? Supply clusters are simply price levels that have seen a significant concentration of buying in the past. In other words, they are the areas where a large number of investors purchased Bitcoin. These areas are considered critical points in the market, as they often represent strong resistance or support levels.
Smart rebound with filtering to reduce losses 🔥 Did you know that the best Bollinger opportunities are not with breakouts… but with returns inside the range? The method is very simple: 🔻 If a candle closes below the lower Bollinger line, it means price expansion and selling saturation. 🔺 The next candle, if it closes above the lower line again → here is a strong buy signal because the price often returns to equilibrium.
What is the hidden driver of Bitcoin? Could it be another currency unrelated to crypto that is shaping the future of BT
The answer is yes, and the key lies in the US Dollar Index (DXY) The US Dollar Index (DXY) and its relationship with Bitcoin (BTC) have reached a major pivot point, a critical moment that could chart the market's roadmap for the upcoming period. Thanks to accurate data from Swissblock Technologies, we have deep insight into what is happening: 1. Bitcoin Bottom in April: Do you remember how Bitcoin reached its bottom last April? That was just the beginning.
What is momentum? How do we read it from price + volume? And how do we distinguish between a real breakout and a false breakout? Now we connect everything in a simple practical plan you can use as a template in your trading 👇 ✅ Strategy Steps (Uptrend) 1️⃣ Identify the overall direction On the 1H or 4H timeframe: Higher highs and higher lows Price above moving averages (like EMA 20 and EMA 50) 2️⃣ Identify an important resistance area
"The false breakout… The biggest trap a trader falls into"
The most painful thing for the trader: He sees the price breaking resistance, enters a buy eagerly... Then the price collapses right below it! 😅 This is called: the false breakout – Fake Breakout 🔹 What is a false breakout? It is a movement where the price breaks: An important resistance (or support) level But it doesn't continue in the same direction And it quickly returns inside the old area The target is often: hitting stop losses
🔥 Momentum in trading… the secret that precedes the price explosion!
Many traders only focus on the shape of the candles and the current price… But the professional trader always asks: “Is there real momentum supporting the movement? Or is it just an illusionary movement?” In this post, let's simply understand: What is momentum? And how do we use it to enter and exit intelligently instead of getting stuck at the peaks or troughs of the movement? 🧠 First: What is momentum?
Macroeconomic Storm: A Shift in Sentiment Towards "Risk Aversion"
Macroeconomic Storm: A Shift in Sentiment Towards "Risk Aversion" The recent decline is not a crypto-specific event, but part of a broader sell-off that has included high-risk assets, led by technology and artificial intelligence stocks. 1️⃣Fading Hopes for Interest Rate Cuts: The main driver of this shift has been the markets' reassessment of their expectations regarding Federal Reserve policy. After pricing in a nearly 90% chance of interest rate cuts in December, that probability has dropped to around 40% only.
Have we reached the bottom? Dangerous data from inside the market reveals what is coming
In times of extreme fear, professionals make their fortunes. While everyone is selling in a panic, let’s calmly analyze what the real numbers say, away from the noise of the headlines. 1. The capitulation of small investors (peak fear) We just witnessed a massive sell-off of -62,400 bitcoins at a loss by "short-term holders". From an economic and behavioral perspective, this is the definition of "capitulation" at its extreme. This group of investors, who recently entered the market, is the most affected by volatility, and selling at a loss of this magnitude is a classic indicator that panic has peaked, a stage where amateurs often sell at the bottom completely.
Most traders lose not because their analyses are bad… but because their psychology can't handle the market 🧠💔 Let's organize the most important emotions that control our decisions and how we deal with them: 1️⃣ Fear (Fear) The fear of entering makes you miss the best opportunities. The fear of loss makes you close the trade early. ✅ Solution: Set a fixed risk percentage for each trade (for example, 1–2% of capital) and let the stop-loss do the talking instead of your emotions deciding.