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HOW-TO: check whether your limit order will ever fill🎇🥰Every level on a chart looks like an entry. Most of them are a map. What separates the two is a question almost nobody asks before resting a limit: how often does price actually get that far?
We measured it. BTC, ETH and SOL on the 4 hour chart, every bar of the last 180 days. From each bar we placed a level a set distance away, measured in ATR (the average true range over 14 bars), and counted how often price reached it.
The table
Distance from price: reached within 1 day / within 5 days 0.5 ATR: 74% / 90% 1 ATR: 49% / 78% 1.5 ATR: 31% / 67% 2 ATR: 20% / 56% 3 ATR: 8% / 36% 4.5 ATR: 3% / 18% 6 ATR: 1% / 10%
It is almost the same for all three coins. A level 1 ATR away was reached within a day 49.9% of the time on BTC, 48.7% on ETH and 49.2% on SOL. That is the reason to measure in ATR: it turns a price gap into one number that means the same thing on every chart.
How to do it with Janus Atlas
Turn on the Distance Table in Janus Atlas (Inputs, Controls). It lists each level above and below price and how far away it is.
Add the Average True Range, length 14, on the same timeframe, and divide each distance by it.
Read the chance off the table above.
Worked example, 17:53 UTC on 30 September
BTC was at 83,984 and the 4 hour ATR was 970. The prior day high was 572 away, 0.59 ATR. A level that close was reached within a day 70% of the time. The day low was 1,100 away, 1.13 ATR: 43% within a day, 73% within five. The month high was 3,400 away, 3.51 ATR: 7% within a day, about one time in three within five days. The month low was 9,065 away, 9.35 ATR. In 180 days of data, price never travelled that far within a day, and only 2% of the time within five. A limit on the month low is a map, not an order.
Our own record says the same
Our scanner's 6,524 limit proposals between 29 July and 3 August were filled 62 to 78% of the time when they sat within 0.75 ATR of price, and 2 to 5% of the time when they sat beyond 4.5 ATR.
The trap we nearly published
Our first read of that record said 597 limits resting 4.5 ATR or more away had filled zero times. It was read before those setups had finished their window. Fully graded, it was 10 of 597. Close to zero is not zero, and a trade that is still young is not a miss. Count only what has had its full chance.
What this does not tell you
Reached is not profitable. The table says whether a limit would fill, not whether the trade works after it fills. In these 180 days, levels above price were reached a little more often than levels below, because the period drifted up. In sample, three coins, one timeframe.
Observations, not recommendations.
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
HOW-TO: check whether your limit order will ever fill🎇🥰
Every level on a chart looks like an entry. Most of them are a map. What separates the two is a question almost nobody asks before resting a limit: how often does price actually get that far?
We measured it. BTC, ETH and SOL on the 4 hour chart, every bar of the last 180 days. From each bar we placed a level a set distance away, measured in ATR (the average true range over 14 bars), and counted how often price reached it.
The table
Distance from price: reached within 1 day / within 5 days 0.5 ATR: 74% / 90% 1 ATR: 49% / 78% 1.5 ATR: 31% / 67% 2 ATR: 20% / 56% 3 ATR: 8% / 36% 4.5 ATR: 3% / 18% 6 ATR: 1% / 10%
It is almost the same for all three coins. A level 1 ATR away was reached within a day 49.9% of the time on BTC, 48.7% on ETH and 49.2% on SOL. That is the reason to measure in ATR: it turns a price gap into one number that means the same thing on every chart.
How to do it with Janus Atlas
Turn on the Distance Table in Janus Atlas (Inputs, Controls). It lists each level above and below price and how far away it is.
Add the Average True Range, length 14, on the same timeframe, and divide each distance by it.
Read the chance off the table above.
Worked example, 17:53 UTC on 30 September
BTC was at 83,984 and the 4 hour ATR was 970. The prior day high was 572 away, 0.59 ATR. A level that close was reached within a day 70% of the time. The day low was 1,100 away, 1.13 ATR: 43% within a day, 73% within five. The month high was 3,400 away, 3.51 ATR: 7% within a day, about one time in three within five days. The month low was 9,065 away, 9.35 ATR. In 180 days of data, price never travelled that far within a day, and only 2% of the time within five. A limit on the month low is a map, not an order.
Our own record says the same
Our scanner's 6,524 limit proposals between 29 July and 3 August were filled 62 to 78% of the time when they sat within 0.75 ATR of price, and 2 to 5% of the time when they sat beyond 4.5 ATR.
The trap we nearly published
Our first read of that record said 597 limits resting 4.5 ATR or more away had filled zero times. It was read before those setups had finished their window. Fully graded, it was 10 of 597. Close to zero is not zero, and a trade that is still young is not a miss. Count only what has had its full chance.
What this does not tell you
Reached is not profitable. The table says whether a limit would fill, not whether the trade works after it fills. In these 180 days, levels above price were reached a little more often than levels below, because the period drifted up. In sample, three coins, one timeframe.
Observations, not recommendations.
$BTC
We measured it. BTC, ETH and SOL on the 4 hour chart, every bar of the last 180 days. From each bar we placed a level a set distance away, measured in ATR (the average true range over 14 bars), and counted how often price reached it.
The table
Distance from price: reached within 1 day / within 5 days 0.5 ATR: 74% / 90% 1 ATR: 49% / 78% 1.5 ATR: 31% / 67% 2 ATR: 20% / 56% 3 ATR: 8% / 36% 4.5 ATR: 3% / 18% 6 ATR: 1% / 10%
It is almost the same for all three coins. A level 1 ATR away was reached within a day 49.9% of the time on BTC, 48.7% on ETH and 49.2% on SOL. That is the reason to measure in ATR: it turns a price gap into one number that means the same thing on every chart.
How to do it with Janus Atlas
Turn on the Distance Table in Janus Atlas (Inputs, Controls). It lists each level above and below price and how far away it is.
Add the Average True Range, length 14, on the same timeframe, and divide each distance by it.
Read the chance off the table above.
Worked example, 17:53 UTC on 30 September
BTC was at 83,984 and the 4 hour ATR was 970. The prior day high was 572 away, 0.59 ATR. A level that close was reached within a day 70% of the time. The day low was 1,100 away, 1.13 ATR: 43% within a day, 73% within five. The month high was 3,400 away, 3.51 ATR: 7% within a day, about one time in three within five days. The month low was 9,065 away, 9.35 ATR. In 180 days of data, price never travelled that far within a day, and only 2% of the time within five. A limit on the month low is a map, not an order.
Our own record says the same
Our scanner's 6,524 limit proposals between 29 July and 3 August were filled 62 to 78% of the time when they sat within 0.75 ATR of price, and 2 to 5% of the time when they sat beyond 4.5 ATR.
The trap we nearly published
Our first read of that record said 597 limits resting 4.5 ATR or more away had filled zero times. It was read before those setups had finished their window. Fully graded, it was 10 of 597. Close to zero is not zero, and a trade that is still young is not a miss. Count only what has had its full chance.
What this does not tell you
Reached is not profitable. The table says whether a limit would fill, not whether the trade works after it fills. In these 180 days, levels above price were reached a little more often than levels below, because the period drifted up. In sample, three coins, one timeframe.
Observations, not recommendations.
$BTC
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Article
BTC: day and week sit on the gamma flip, the monthly pulls towar🔥✨🎯At 04:00 UTC today BTC printed an hourly volume spike — 6× the weekly median — and ran from 85,450 to 86,900. Then, for the four hours into the 08:00 UTC expiry, price sat almost exactly on 86,000 — the largest strike of the expiring series.
Day and week (expiries Oct 3 and Oct 4, 08:00 UTC) • Gamma flip: 85,990 (day) / 85,770 (week). Price is just above it: dealers are long gamma and dampen moves, but the cushion is thin. • Call wall 87,000, put support 85,000, magnet 86,000. • Below ~85,800 the regime turns: dealers hedge by selling into drops.
Month (expiry Oct 30) • Call wall and magnet at 90,000, then 95,000 — the largest nodes in the whole BTC options market. • Put support 85,000; the monthly flip is far below at 82,400.
Across all expiries the market is in a "calm" regime: the flip sits at 78,400 and large moves tend to get absorbed.
On volume spikes. We tested the history. In BTC, an hourly volume spike of 5× the weekly median happens about twice a week, most often around 13:00–15:00 UTC (US open and data releases). After a spike, a strong move within the next 4 hours (two typical 4-hour moves or more) happens about 3× as often as usual — in BTC, ETH and SOL alike, across all years tested. The direction, however, is a coin flip: continuation and reversal are equally common. A spike tells you a move is likely — not which way.
Nobody knows where price goes next. What you can see is where moves get braked and where they get pushed.
Data: Deribit, Bybit, OKX and Binance options, combined; spot candles and volume from Binance. Levels snapshot Oct 2, 2026, 10:16 UTC. Volume-spike statistics: BTC hourly candles over 2 years; the "3× as often" result is pooled over BTC, ETH and SOL hourly data since 2017, checked separately on 2017–2022, 2023–2024 and 2025–2026
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC: day and week sit on the gamma flip, the monthly pulls towar🔥✨🎯
At 04:00 UTC today BTC printed an hourly volume spike — 6× the weekly median — and ran from 85,450 to 86,900. Then, for the four hours into the 08:00 UTC expiry, price sat almost exactly on 86,000 — the largest strike of the expiring series.
Day and week (expiries Oct 3 and Oct 4, 08:00 UTC) • Gamma flip: 85,990 (day) / 85,770 (week). Price is just above it: dealers are long gamma and dampen moves, but the cushion is thin. • Call wall 87,000, put support 85,000, magnet 86,000. • Below ~85,800 the regime turns: dealers hedge by selling into drops.
Month (expiry Oct 30) • Call wall and magnet at 90,000, then 95,000 — the largest nodes in the whole BTC options market. • Put support 85,000; the monthly flip is far below at 82,400.
Across all expiries the market is in a "calm" regime: the flip sits at 78,400 and large moves tend to get absorbed.
On volume spikes. We tested the history. In BTC, an hourly volume spike of 5× the weekly median happens about twice a week, most often around 13:00–15:00 UTC (US open and data releases). After a spike, a strong move within the next 4 hours (two typical 4-hour moves or more) happens about 3× as often as usual — in BTC, ETH and SOL alike, across all years tested. The direction, however, is a coin flip: continuation and reversal are equally common. A spike tells you a move is likely — not which way.
Nobody knows where price goes next. What you can see is where moves get braked and where they get pushed.
Data: Deribit, Bybit, OKX and Binance options, combined; spot candles and volume from Binance. Levels snapshot Oct 2, 2026, 10:16 UTC. Volume-spike statistics: BTC hourly candles over 2 years; the "3× as often" result is pooled over BTC, ETH and SOL hourly data since 2017, checked separately on 2017–2022, 2023–2024 and 2025–2026
$BTC
Day and week (expiries Oct 3 and Oct 4, 08:00 UTC) • Gamma flip: 85,990 (day) / 85,770 (week). Price is just above it: dealers are long gamma and dampen moves, but the cushion is thin. • Call wall 87,000, put support 85,000, magnet 86,000. • Below ~85,800 the regime turns: dealers hedge by selling into drops.
Month (expiry Oct 30) • Call wall and magnet at 90,000, then 95,000 — the largest nodes in the whole BTC options market. • Put support 85,000; the monthly flip is far below at 82,400.
Across all expiries the market is in a "calm" regime: the flip sits at 78,400 and large moves tend to get absorbed.
On volume spikes. We tested the history. In BTC, an hourly volume spike of 5× the weekly median happens about twice a week, most often around 13:00–15:00 UTC (US open and data releases). After a spike, a strong move within the next 4 hours (two typical 4-hour moves or more) happens about 3× as often as usual — in BTC, ETH and SOL alike, across all years tested. The direction, however, is a coin flip: continuation and reversal are equally common. A spike tells you a move is likely — not which way.
Nobody knows where price goes next. What you can see is where moves get braked and where they get pushed.
Data: Deribit, Bybit, OKX and Binance options, combined; spot candles and volume from Binance. Levels snapshot Oct 2, 2026, 10:16 UTC. Volume-spike statistics: BTC hourly candles over 2 years; the "3× as often" result is pooled over BTC, ETH and SOL hourly data since 2017, checked separately on 2017–2022, 2023–2024 and 2025–2026
$BTC
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Article
ATOM - Key levels to watch📣🙏ATOM is showing early signs of recovery, but the broader HTF structure remains bearish.
The key levels I'm watching:
~$1.50–$1.70 → Current support area
~$2.00 → First resistance / level to reclaim
$3.74 → Major HTF resistance / previous S/R flip
Price is currently approaching the $2.00 resistance area after an extended downtrend.
A successful reclaim and hold above this level would be the first sign of improving market structure.
The next major level to watch is $3.74, where previous support has turned into resistance.
Reclaim first, then watch the reaction.
Want a lower timeframe breakdown? Let me know in the comments.
$ATOM
{future}(ATOMUSDT)
ATOM - Key levels to watch📣🙏
ATOM is showing early signs of recovery, but the broader HTF structure remains bearish.
The key levels I'm watching:
~$1.50–$1.70 → Current support area
~$2.00 → First resistance / level to reclaim
$3.74 → Major HTF resistance / previous S/R flip
Price is currently approaching the $2.00 resistance area after an extended downtrend.
A successful reclaim and hold above this level would be the first sign of improving market structure.
The next major level to watch is $3.74, where previous support has turned into resistance.
Reclaim first, then watch the reaction.
Want a lower timeframe breakdown? Let me know in the comments.
$ATOM
The key levels I'm watching:
~$1.50–$1.70 → Current support area
~$2.00 → First resistance / level to reclaim
$3.74 → Major HTF resistance / previous S/R flip
Price is currently approaching the $2.00 resistance area after an extended downtrend.
A successful reclaim and hold above this level would be the first sign of improving market structure.
The next major level to watch is $3.74, where previous support has turned into resistance.
Reclaim first, then watch the reaction.
Want a lower timeframe breakdown? Let me know in the comments.
$ATOM
388
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Article
PEPE: 245 Days After the Original Forecast, It's Still Going!🎇🔥🎇What Played Out
On January 31, 2026, I published the original PEPE analysis as a textbook Elliott Wave case study.
245 days later, the larger structure is still playing out.
The original analysis projected a prolonged corrective phase following the previous major advance, with the forecasted bottom developing within the lower Fibonacci retracement area.
That correction has now extended into the projected bottom region.
More importantly, PEPE has already traded down toward the $0.00000223 potential-bottom level marked on the original structure.
This does not prove that the final low is in but it puts the market at a very different point from where the original analysis began.
The question is no longer simply whether PEPE can complete the correction.
It is whether the correction has already bottomed.
Current Structure
The latest weekly chart shows PEPE around $0.00000455, following a significant recovery from the lows.
The projected structure continues to favor the possibility that the long corrective sequence is approaching completion.
The chart identifies $0.00000223 as the potential bottom / invalidation level for the bullish idea.
Price has already traded close to that area and subsequently recovered.
That is important because the current structure is now showing the characteristics of a possible transition from the long corrective phase into a new bullish sequence.
The projected upside path points toward approximately $0.00001127.
However, the chart still allows for another retracement before that larger move develops. The Fibonacci levels around the current structure include the 0.5, 0.618 and 0.786 retracement areas.
What Happens Next
The chart's forward projection is notably different from the previous phase.
Instead of another large corrective decline being the primary expectation, the current setup allows for a bullish scenario following the potential bottom.
The projected timeframe is broad:
105–445 days.
That means the bullish case should be viewed as a long-duration structural projection, not a short-term price target.
From the current structure, PEPE could continue building a base before developing the larger impulsive move toward the projected $0.00001127 area.
Primary Scenario
The primary scenario is that PEPE has either already established, or is very close to establishing, the potential bottom of the larger correction.
If the bullish structure continues to hold, the market could transition into a prolonged advance over the next 105 to 445 days.
The key upside projection shown on the chart is:
$0.00001127
The important part of this setup is not the speed of the move.
It is whether PEPE can maintain the structure required for the larger bullish count to develop.
Invalidation
The critical level remains:
$0.00000223
This is explicitly marked on the chart as the Potential Bottom / Invalidation of Bullish Idea.
A sustained break below this level would weaken the bullish interpretation and indicate that the assumed bottom was premature.
Until then, the larger bullish scenario remains technically viable.
Fundamental Context
PEPE does not currently have a clear project-specific fundamental catalyst driving this structure.
Recent price action has instead been closely associated with broader crypto risk appetite and rotation into meme coins. PEPE surged during the September crypto rebound and significantly outperformed during periods of Bitcoin strength and meme-coin rotation.
More recently, PEPE has been consolidating after its September rally. Market coverage has highlighted the absence of a single PEPE-specific catalyst, with broader market flows and speculative positioning appearing more important to the recent move.
That distinction matters here.
Fundamentals are not what validates the Elliott Wave count. The chart is showing the structural possibility of a bottom.
Kap Waves Outlook
245 days after the original forecast, the PEPE structure remains remarkably consistent with the larger corrective thesis.
The market has now reached the area where the chart identified a potential bottom.
The next phase is the important one.
If $0.00000223 continues to hold, the bullish scenario remains viable, with the chart projecting a potential advance toward $0.00001127 over a 105–445 day horizon.
The potential bottom may already be in. Now the market has to prove it.
$PEPE
{alpha}(nullnull)
PEPE: 245 Days After the Original Forecast, It's Still Going!🎇🔥🎇
What Played Out
On January 31, 2026, I published the original PEPE analysis as a textbook Elliott Wave case study.
245 days later, the larger structure is still playing out.
The original analysis projected a prolonged corrective phase following the previous major advance, with the forecasted bottom developing within the lower Fibonacci retracement area.
That correction has now extended into the projected bottom region.
More importantly, PEPE has already traded down toward the $0.00000223 potential-bottom level marked on the original structure.
This does not prove that the final low is in but it puts the market at a very different point from where the original analysis began.
The question is no longer simply whether PEPE can complete the correction.
It is whether the correction has already bottomed.
Current Structure
The latest weekly chart shows PEPE around $0.00000455, following a significant recovery from the lows.
The projected structure continues to favor the possibility that the long corrective sequence is approaching completion.
The chart identifies $0.00000223 as the potential bottom / invalidation level for the bullish idea.
Price has already traded close to that area and subsequently recovered.
That is important because the current structure is now showing the characteristics of a possible transition from the long corrective phase into a new bullish sequence.
The projected upside path points toward approximately $0.00001127.
However, the chart still allows for another retracement before that larger move develops. The Fibonacci levels around the current structure include the 0.5, 0.618 and 0.786 retracement areas.
What Happens Next
The chart's forward projection is notably different from the previous phase.
Instead of another large corrective decline being the primary expectation, the current setup allows for a bullish scenario following the potential bottom.
The projected timeframe is broad:
105–445 days.
That means the bullish case should be viewed as a long-duration structural projection, not a short-term price target.
From the current structure, PEPE could continue building a base before developing the larger impulsive move toward the projected $0.00001127 area.
Primary Scenario
The primary scenario is that PEPE has either already established, or is very close to establishing, the potential bottom of the larger correction.
If the bullish structure continues to hold, the market could transition into a prolonged advance over the next 105 to 445 days.
The key upside projection shown on the chart is:
$0.00001127
The important part of this setup is not the speed of the move.
It is whether PEPE can maintain the structure required for the larger bullish count to develop.
Invalidation
The critical level remains:
$0.00000223
This is explicitly marked on the chart as the Potential Bottom / Invalidation of Bullish Idea.
A sustained break below this level would weaken the bullish interpretation and indicate that the assumed bottom was premature.
Until then, the larger bullish scenario remains technically viable.
Fundamental Context
PEPE does not currently have a clear project-specific fundamental catalyst driving this structure.
Recent price action has instead been closely associated with broader crypto risk appetite and rotation into meme coins. PEPE surged during the September crypto rebound and significantly outperformed during periods of Bitcoin strength and meme-coin rotation.
More recently, PEPE has been consolidating after its September rally. Market coverage has highlighted the absence of a single PEPE-specific catalyst, with broader market flows and speculative positioning appearing more important to the recent move.
That distinction matters here.
Fundamentals are not what validates the Elliott Wave count. The chart is showing the structural possibility of a bottom.
Kap Waves Outlook
245 days after the original forecast, the PEPE structure remains remarkably consistent with the larger corrective thesis.
The market has now reached the area where the chart identified a potential bottom.
The next phase is the important one.
If $0.00000223 continues to hold, the bullish scenario remains viable, with the chart projecting a potential advance toward $0.00001127 over a 105–445 day horizon.
The potential bottom may already be in. Now the market has to prove it.
$PEPE
On January 31, 2026, I published the original PEPE analysis as a textbook Elliott Wave case study.
245 days later, the larger structure is still playing out.
The original analysis projected a prolonged corrective phase following the previous major advance, with the forecasted bottom developing within the lower Fibonacci retracement area.
That correction has now extended into the projected bottom region.
More importantly, PEPE has already traded down toward the $0.00000223 potential-bottom level marked on the original structure.
This does not prove that the final low is in but it puts the market at a very different point from where the original analysis began.
The question is no longer simply whether PEPE can complete the correction.
It is whether the correction has already bottomed.
Current Structure
The latest weekly chart shows PEPE around $0.00000455, following a significant recovery from the lows.
The projected structure continues to favor the possibility that the long corrective sequence is approaching completion.
The chart identifies $0.00000223 as the potential bottom / invalidation level for the bullish idea.
Price has already traded close to that area and subsequently recovered.
That is important because the current structure is now showing the characteristics of a possible transition from the long corrective phase into a new bullish sequence.
The projected upside path points toward approximately $0.00001127.
However, the chart still allows for another retracement before that larger move develops. The Fibonacci levels around the current structure include the 0.5, 0.618 and 0.786 retracement areas.
What Happens Next
The chart's forward projection is notably different from the previous phase.
Instead of another large corrective decline being the primary expectation, the current setup allows for a bullish scenario following the potential bottom.
The projected timeframe is broad:
105–445 days.
That means the bullish case should be viewed as a long-duration structural projection, not a short-term price target.
From the current structure, PEPE could continue building a base before developing the larger impulsive move toward the projected $0.00001127 area.
Primary Scenario
The primary scenario is that PEPE has either already established, or is very close to establishing, the potential bottom of the larger correction.
If the bullish structure continues to hold, the market could transition into a prolonged advance over the next 105 to 445 days.
The key upside projection shown on the chart is:
$0.00001127
The important part of this setup is not the speed of the move.
It is whether PEPE can maintain the structure required for the larger bullish count to develop.
Invalidation
The critical level remains:
$0.00000223
This is explicitly marked on the chart as the Potential Bottom / Invalidation of Bullish Idea.
A sustained break below this level would weaken the bullish interpretation and indicate that the assumed bottom was premature.
Until then, the larger bullish scenario remains technically viable.
Fundamental Context
PEPE does not currently have a clear project-specific fundamental catalyst driving this structure.
Recent price action has instead been closely associated with broader crypto risk appetite and rotation into meme coins. PEPE surged during the September crypto rebound and significantly outperformed during periods of Bitcoin strength and meme-coin rotation.
More recently, PEPE has been consolidating after its September rally. Market coverage has highlighted the absence of a single PEPE-specific catalyst, with broader market flows and speculative positioning appearing more important to the recent move.
That distinction matters here.
Fundamentals are not what validates the Elliott Wave count. The chart is showing the structural possibility of a bottom.
Kap Waves Outlook
245 days after the original forecast, the PEPE structure remains remarkably consistent with the larger corrective thesis.
The market has now reached the area where the chart identified a potential bottom.
The next phase is the important one.
If $0.00000223 continues to hold, the bullish scenario remains viable, with the chart projecting a potential advance toward $0.00001127 over a 105–445 day horizon.
The potential bottom may already be in. Now the market has to prove it.
$PEPE
240
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Article
BTC Short SELL idea🎊🎊We will be having a short sell BTC
Note: we are on a bullish trend so taking this SELL should be just a short one…
Entry: 86947.59
SL: 87661.89
Stay active!
BTC Short SELL idea🎊🎊
We will be having a short sell BTC
Note: we are on a bullish trend so taking this SELL should be just a short one…
Entry: 86947.59
SL: 87661.89
Stay active!
Note: we are on a bullish trend so taking this SELL should be just a short one…
Entry: 86947.59
SL: 87661.89
Stay active!
351
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Bitcoin - Has the bullmarket started?📣📣📣 Bitcoin has shown a strong recovery from the lows established earlier this year, with price now trading around the $86k area. The recent move higher has been supported by a significant expansion in volume, suggesting strong participation during the breakout. Price has now pushed above an important weekly high and is currently attempting to establish acceptance above this level. However, the latest price action is starting to show some signs of slowing momentum as volume decreases while price continues to move higher. This makes the current area particularly important for determining whether Bitcoin can continue the rally or needs a deeper retracement first.
Deviation Range Lows
The move started with a clear deviation below the previous range lows around $60k. Bitcoin briefly traded below this important support before quickly reclaiming the range, creating what can be viewed as a liquidity sweep or deviation. This type of move can often trap sellers below the range and provide fuel for a reversal once price moves back inside the structure. Since then, Bitcoin has completely recovered from the deviation and established a significant move to the upside. The fact that the range low was rejected so strongly makes the $60k area an important structural level to keep in mind.
Strong Volume Up
One of the strongest aspects of the current setup is the volume that accompanied the initial move higher. Bitcoin broke out of the long consolidation with a very aggressive move while volume expanded significantly. This suggests that the breakout was supported by substantial market participation rather than simply being a low-volume move. The strength of this impulse also allowed Bitcoin to reclaim several important levels in a relatively short period of time. As long as the broader structure remains intact, this strong volume expansion supports the idea that the market has shifted into a more bullish phase.
Holding Above the Weekly High
Bitcoin has now moved above the previous weekly high around $82.8k and is currently attempting to hold above it. This level is important because it represents the previous range boundary and could now act as support instead of resistance. Price briefly moved back toward this level after the breakout but has so far remained above it. If Bitcoin continues to hold above $82.8k, it would strengthen the current bullish structure and provide a clear level for buyers to defend. A sustained move back below this level, however, would weaken the breakout and could signal that price needs more time to consolidate.
Decreasing Volume
While the price structure remains bullish, there is one important warning sign developing: volume is decreasing as Bitcoin continues moving higher. This means the latest upside movement is happening with less participation than the initial breakout. It does not automatically mean that the trend is reversing, but it does suggest that momentum could be running out of steam in the short term. If price continues pushing higher while volume keeps declining, we could see a pullback or consolidation before another significant move. The reaction around the $82.8k weekly high will therefore be particularly important.
Final Thoughts
Overall, Bitcoin's structure remains constructive after the strong recovery from the range-low deviation. The breakout was accompanied by strong volume, and price has now reclaimed and held above the previous weekly high around $82.8k. The main concern is that volume has started to decline while price continues pushing higher, suggesting that the current move may be losing momentum. If $82.8k continues to hold as support, Bitcoin could remain positioned for further upside, while losing this level would raise the possibility of a deeper retracement.
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
Bitcoin - Has the bullmarket started?📣📣📣
Bitcoin has shown a strong recovery from the lows established earlier this year, with price now trading around the $86k area. The recent move higher has been supported by a significant expansion in volume, suggesting strong participation during the breakout. Price has now pushed above an important weekly high and is currently attempting to establish acceptance above this level. However, the latest price action is starting to show some signs of slowing momentum as volume decreases while price continues to move higher. This makes the current area particularly important for determining whether Bitcoin can continue the rally or needs a deeper retracement first.
Deviation Range Lows
The move started with a clear deviation below the previous range lows around $60k. Bitcoin briefly traded below this important support before quickly reclaiming the range, creating what can be viewed as a liquidity sweep or deviation. This type of move can often trap sellers below the range and provide fuel for a reversal once price moves back inside the structure. Since then, Bitcoin has completely recovered from the deviation and established a significant move to the upside. The fact that the range low was rejected so strongly makes the $60k area an important structural level to keep in mind.
Strong Volume Up
One of the strongest aspects of the current setup is the volume that accompanied the initial move higher. Bitcoin broke out of the long consolidation with a very aggressive move while volume expanded significantly. This suggests that the breakout was supported by substantial market participation rather than simply being a low-volume move. The strength of this impulse also allowed Bitcoin to reclaim several important levels in a relatively short period of time. As long as the broader structure remains intact, this strong volume expansion supports the idea that the market has shifted into a more bullish phase.
Holding Above the Weekly High
Bitcoin has now moved above the previous weekly high around $82.8k and is currently attempting to hold above it. This level is important because it represents the previous range boundary and could now act as support instead of resistance. Price briefly moved back toward this level after the breakout but has so far remained above it. If Bitcoin continues to hold above $82.8k, it would strengthen the current bullish structure and provide a clear level for buyers to defend. A sustained move back below this level, however, would weaken the breakout and could signal that price needs more time to consolidate.
Decreasing Volume
While the price structure remains bullish, there is one important warning sign developing: volume is decreasing as Bitcoin continues moving higher. This means the latest upside movement is happening with less participation than the initial breakout. It does not automatically mean that the trend is reversing, but it does suggest that momentum could be running out of steam in the short term. If price continues pushing higher while volume keeps declining, we could see a pullback or consolidation before another significant move. The reaction around the $82.8k weekly high will therefore be particularly important.
Final Thoughts
Overall, Bitcoin's structure remains constructive after the strong recovery from the range-low deviation. The breakout was accompanied by strong volume, and price has now reclaimed and held above the previous weekly high around $82.8k. The main concern is that volume has started to decline while price continues pushing higher, suggesting that the current move may be losing momentum. If $82.8k continues to hold as support, Bitcoin could remain positioned for further upside, while losing this level would raise the possibility of a deeper retracement.
$BTC
Deviation Range Lows
The move started with a clear deviation below the previous range lows around $60k. Bitcoin briefly traded below this important support before quickly reclaiming the range, creating what can be viewed as a liquidity sweep or deviation. This type of move can often trap sellers below the range and provide fuel for a reversal once price moves back inside the structure. Since then, Bitcoin has completely recovered from the deviation and established a significant move to the upside. The fact that the range low was rejected so strongly makes the $60k area an important structural level to keep in mind.
Strong Volume Up
One of the strongest aspects of the current setup is the volume that accompanied the initial move higher. Bitcoin broke out of the long consolidation with a very aggressive move while volume expanded significantly. This suggests that the breakout was supported by substantial market participation rather than simply being a low-volume move. The strength of this impulse also allowed Bitcoin to reclaim several important levels in a relatively short period of time. As long as the broader structure remains intact, this strong volume expansion supports the idea that the market has shifted into a more bullish phase.
Holding Above the Weekly High
Bitcoin has now moved above the previous weekly high around $82.8k and is currently attempting to hold above it. This level is important because it represents the previous range boundary and could now act as support instead of resistance. Price briefly moved back toward this level after the breakout but has so far remained above it. If Bitcoin continues to hold above $82.8k, it would strengthen the current bullish structure and provide a clear level for buyers to defend. A sustained move back below this level, however, would weaken the breakout and could signal that price needs more time to consolidate.
Decreasing Volume
While the price structure remains bullish, there is one important warning sign developing: volume is decreasing as Bitcoin continues moving higher. This means the latest upside movement is happening with less participation than the initial breakout. It does not automatically mean that the trend is reversing, but it does suggest that momentum could be running out of steam in the short term. If price continues pushing higher while volume keeps declining, we could see a pullback or consolidation before another significant move. The reaction around the $82.8k weekly high will therefore be particularly important.
Final Thoughts
Overall, Bitcoin's structure remains constructive after the strong recovery from the range-low deviation. The breakout was accompanied by strong volume, and price has now reclaimed and held above the previous weekly high around $82.8k. The main concern is that volume has started to decline while price continues pushing higher, suggesting that the current move may be losing momentum. If $82.8k continues to hold as support, Bitcoin could remain positioned for further upside, while losing this level would raise the possibility of a deeper retracement.
$BTC
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BTCUSDT: Channel Breakout Puts Target $90K🙏🙏Bitcoin is showing a familiar structure on the H4 chart. The previous descending channel ended with a clean breakout around $78K, followed by a strong expansion toward $87K. Now BTC is attempting the same transition again.
Price has pushed above the upper boundary of the latest downward channel and is trading around $86,000, while both EMAs remain below price near $84,100 and $83,000. That keeps the broader recovery structure constructive.
The important area now is roughly $84,500–$85,200. A controlled pullback into the broken channel resistance, followed by buyers defending it as support, would provide much stronger confirmation than chasing the initial breakout.
If BTC holds above this area and continues printing H4 closes outside the channel, the recent high around $87K becomes the first obstacle. A break through that level could open the next expansion toward the projected $90,209 target.
Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish after breakout
Retest zone: $84,500–$85,200
First resistance: $87,000
Main target: $90,209
Invalidation: Sustained H4 move back below roughly $84,000
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
BTCUSDT: Channel Breakout Puts Target $90K🙏🙏
Bitcoin is showing a familiar structure on the H4 chart. The previous descending channel ended with a clean breakout around $78K, followed by a strong expansion toward $87K. Now BTC is attempting the same transition again.
Price has pushed above the upper boundary of the latest downward channel and is trading around $86,000, while both EMAs remain below price near $84,100 and $83,000. That keeps the broader recovery structure constructive.
The important area now is roughly $84,500–$85,200. A controlled pullback into the broken channel resistance, followed by buyers defending it as support, would provide much stronger confirmation than chasing the initial breakout.
If BTC holds above this area and continues printing H4 closes outside the channel, the recent high around $87K becomes the first obstacle. A break through that level could open the next expansion toward the projected $90,209 target.
Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish after breakout
Retest zone: $84,500–$85,200
First resistance: $87,000
Main target: $90,209
Invalidation: Sustained H4 move back below roughly $84,000
$BTC
Price has pushed above the upper boundary of the latest downward channel and is trading around $86,000, while both EMAs remain below price near $84,100 and $83,000. That keeps the broader recovery structure constructive.
The important area now is roughly $84,500–$85,200. A controlled pullback into the broken channel resistance, followed by buyers defending it as support, would provide much stronger confirmation than chasing the initial breakout.
If BTC holds above this area and continues printing H4 closes outside the channel, the recent high around $87K becomes the first obstacle. A break through that level could open the next expansion toward the projected $90,209 target.
Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish after breakout
Retest zone: $84,500–$85,200
First resistance: $87,000
Main target: $90,209
Invalidation: Sustained H4 move back below roughly $84,000
$BTC
1
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$BTC UPDATE: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE📈📈📈BTC UPDATE: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE
Bitcoin is consolidating below the key 2H bearish order block at $85,300–$86,000
🔹 $86,000 reclaim & hold → bullish confirmation, opening $100K+
🔹 Key Support: $82,886/$80,300/$76,400
The $100K macro Setup remains dependent on BTC reclaiming and holding above $86K.
Don’t chase the first breakout. Wait for confirmation and acceptance.
NFA | DYOR
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$BTC UPDATE: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE📈📈📈
BTC UPDATE: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE
Bitcoin is consolidating below the key 2H bearish order block at $85,300–$86,000
🔹 $86,000 reclaim & hold → bullish confirmation, opening $100K+
🔹 Key Support: $82,886/$80,300/$76,400
The $100K macro Setup remains dependent on BTC reclaiming and holding above $86K.
Don’t chase the first breakout. Wait for confirmation and acceptance.
NFA | DYOR
$BTC
Bitcoin is consolidating below the key 2H bearish order block at $85,300–$86,000
🔹 $86,000 reclaim & hold → bullish confirmation, opening $100K+
🔹 Key Support: $82,886/$80,300/$76,400
The $100K macro Setup remains dependent on BTC reclaiming and holding above $86K.
Don’t chase the first breakout. Wait for confirmation and acceptance.
NFA | DYOR
$BTC
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BTC — ASCENDING TRIANGLE TIGHTENING📣📣⚡️
BTC is carving out a 🌀 tightening ascending triangle, with price currently compressing against the descending resistance. A series of higher lows confirms building demand, forcing a decision near the apex. We look for a breakout to sustain momentum toward the upper range; failure to clear this barrier would risk a retest of the lower trendline support.
📉 FACT - The $85.5k pop faded as bond yields remain stubborn.
🏛️ FACT - Institutional focus is shifting toward BTC financial plumbing.
🔑 Key Levels
🚧 Resistance: $86,500
🛡️ Support: $83,000
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC — ASCENDING TRIANGLE TIGHTENING📣📣
⚡️
BTC is carving out a 🌀 tightening ascending triangle, with price currently compressing against the descending resistance. A series of higher lows confirms building demand, forcing a decision near the apex. We look for a breakout to sustain momentum toward the upper range; failure to clear this barrier would risk a retest of the lower trendline support.
📉 FACT - The $85.5k pop faded as bond yields remain stubborn.
🏛️ FACT - Institutional focus is shifting toward BTC financial plumbing.
🔑 Key Levels
🚧 Resistance: $86,500
🛡️ Support: $83,000
$BTC
BTC is carving out a 🌀 tightening ascending triangle, with price currently compressing against the descending resistance. A series of higher lows confirms building demand, forcing a decision near the apex. We look for a breakout to sustain momentum toward the upper range; failure to clear this barrier would risk a retest of the lower trendline support.
📉 FACT - The $85.5k pop faded as bond yields remain stubborn.
🏛️ FACT - Institutional focus is shifting toward BTC financial plumbing.
🔑 Key Levels
🚧 Resistance: $86,500
🛡️ Support: $83,000
$BTC
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BTC: Bullish Position Remains Intact So Far - Further Growth Exp,📈📈BTC: Bullish Position Remains Intact So Far - Further Growth Expected
From our previous analysis, Bitcoin reached our first target at 85180 and is falling back to the support zone.
The retest looks clear and strong so far and BTC looks well positioned to rise further, as we had our previous prediction.
Unless this is another major transformation, then BTC should reach our targets soon.
Bullish Targets:
85180
86780
88500
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you! 🍀
⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC: Bullish Position Remains Intact So Far - Further Growth Exp,📈📈
BTC: Bullish Position Remains Intact So Far - Further Growth Expected
From our previous analysis, Bitcoin reached our first target at 85180 and is falling back to the support zone.
The retest looks clear and strong so far and BTC looks well positioned to rise further, as we had our previous prediction.
Unless this is another major transformation, then BTC should reach our targets soon.
Bullish Targets:
85180
86780
88500
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you! 🍀
⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
$BTC
From our previous analysis, Bitcoin reached our first target at 85180 and is falling back to the support zone.
The retest looks clear and strong so far and BTC looks well positioned to rise further, as we had our previous prediction.
Unless this is another major transformation, then BTC should reach our targets soon.
Bullish Targets:
85180
86780
88500
You can find more details on the chart.
Thank you! 🍀
⚠️PS: Do your own analysis and use your own strategy to join the trade.
❤️ If this analysis helps your trading day, please support it with a like or comment ❤️
$BTC
1
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MONERO WILL GO ABOVE 10 000$ BY 2028 !!!!🙏🎊🎇MONERO ABOVE $10,000 BY 2028? HERE’S MY BULL CASE. 👇
🔒 FINANCIAL PRIVACY
Monero protects transaction details by default. My thesis: as financial surveillance expands, demand for private digital money could grow significantly.
💎 LOW SUPPLY GROWTH
XMR’s annual supply inflation is below 1% and declines over time. Stronger demand against slow supply growth could support a major repricing.
🚀 THE FCMP++ CATALYST
A developer-proposed schedule has targeted early February 2027 for activation, subject to development progress and security reviews.
Alongside stronger privacy, the upgrade would introduce improved optional view keys, allowing selected auditors to see incoming AND outgoing transfers without gaining spending rights.
My interpretation: better auditability could make XMR easier for some funds and institutions to evaluate while preserving privacy by default. Institutional adoption and exchange listings remain uncertain.
👀 X + COINBASE
X has added Coinbase as a trading partner through its Cashtag program. However, Monero is still NOT tradable on Coinbase. I’m watching for an actual XMR listing announcement—not treating an interface or partnership as confirmation.
🎯 WHY $10,000+?
With approximately 19 million coins, $10,000 per XMR implies around $190 BILLION in market capitalization.
Reaching that valuation by 2028 would require massive growth in adoption, liquidity and investment demand. My bull case combines growing demand for privacy, slow supply growth and improved technology.
Regulation, restricted exchange access and technical setbacks could derail it.
$XMR
{future}(XMRUSDT)
MONERO WILL GO ABOVE 10 000$ BY 2028 !!!!🙏🎊🎇
MONERO ABOVE $10,000 BY 2028? HERE’S MY BULL CASE. 👇
🔒 FINANCIAL PRIVACY
Monero protects transaction details by default. My thesis: as financial surveillance expands, demand for private digital money could grow significantly.
💎 LOW SUPPLY GROWTH
XMR’s annual supply inflation is below 1% and declines over time. Stronger demand against slow supply growth could support a major repricing.
🚀 THE FCMP++ CATALYST
A developer-proposed schedule has targeted early February 2027 for activation, subject to development progress and security reviews.
Alongside stronger privacy, the upgrade would introduce improved optional view keys, allowing selected auditors to see incoming AND outgoing transfers without gaining spending rights.
My interpretation: better auditability could make XMR easier for some funds and institutions to evaluate while preserving privacy by default. Institutional adoption and exchange listings remain uncertain.
👀 X + COINBASE
X has added Coinbase as a trading partner through its Cashtag program. However, Monero is still NOT tradable on Coinbase. I’m watching for an actual XMR listing announcement—not treating an interface or partnership as confirmation.
🎯 WHY $10,000+?
With approximately 19 million coins, $10,000 per XMR implies around $190 BILLION in market capitalization.
Reaching that valuation by 2028 would require massive growth in adoption, liquidity and investment demand. My bull case combines growing demand for privacy, slow supply growth and improved technology.
Regulation, restricted exchange access and technical setbacks could derail it.
$XMR
🔒 FINANCIAL PRIVACY
Monero protects transaction details by default. My thesis: as financial surveillance expands, demand for private digital money could grow significantly.
💎 LOW SUPPLY GROWTH
XMR’s annual supply inflation is below 1% and declines over time. Stronger demand against slow supply growth could support a major repricing.
🚀 THE FCMP++ CATALYST
A developer-proposed schedule has targeted early February 2027 for activation, subject to development progress and security reviews.
Alongside stronger privacy, the upgrade would introduce improved optional view keys, allowing selected auditors to see incoming AND outgoing transfers without gaining spending rights.
My interpretation: better auditability could make XMR easier for some funds and institutions to evaluate while preserving privacy by default. Institutional adoption and exchange listings remain uncertain.
👀 X + COINBASE
X has added Coinbase as a trading partner through its Cashtag program. However, Monero is still NOT tradable on Coinbase. I’m watching for an actual XMR listing announcement—not treating an interface or partnership as confirmation.
🎯 WHY $10,000+?
With approximately 19 million coins, $10,000 per XMR implies around $190 BILLION in market capitalization.
Reaching that valuation by 2028 would require massive growth in adoption, liquidity and investment demand. My bull case combines growing demand for privacy, slow supply growth and improved technology.
Regulation, restricted exchange access and technical setbacks could derail it.
$XMR
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Ethereum coils into 85 points - what breaks first?📈✅📣Ethereum rallied about 450 points between 15 and 21 September. The nine days since have not been quiet, price has travelled 179.52 points from the high to the 24 September low, but each swing has been smaller than the last and the space left is now 85 points wide.
Price is 2,734.73 on the ThinkMarkets feed, up 1.43% on the session, with the live candle reaching 2,735.70. The line that has capped every high since 21 September sits four dollars above that.
The two lines that matter
The upper boundary runs from the 21 September high at 2,806.27 through the 29 September high at 2,747.11, falls about eight points a day, and is worth 2,739.4 at this candle. No high has printed above it.
The lower one rises from the 20 September low at 2,562.98 through the 28 September low at 2,634.13, gains about nine points a day, and is worth 2,654.5. No low has printed below it. Each has two anchors, so read them as developing reference lines, but the geometry is clean: the gap between them is 85 points against a 35 point average true range, and it closes by about 17 points a day.
The support that keeps appearing
2,626 to 2,636 is the most crowded ten points on this chart. Using a provisional Fibonacci measurement of the 15 to 21 September advance, it holds the 24 September low at 2,626.75, the 28 September low at 2,634.13, the 100 EMA at 2,631.41 and the 38.2% retracement at 2,634.37. Four separate references, and the 28 September low undercut the retracement by 0.24 points before turning.
Above it, 2,654 to 2,676 carries the rising boundary and the 50 EMA at 2,675.53, and 2,688 to 2,701 holds the 20 EMA at 2,688.79 with the provisional 23.6% retracement at 2,700.07, which price reclaimed this morning. All four moving averages sit beneath price, which makes them potential dynamic support references rather than confirmed support until price interacts with them again.
Overhead, 2,735 to 2,748 contains today's high, the 29 September high and the upper boundary. Then 2,787 to 2,807, where the 23 September high and the September peak sit.
Momentum
RSI is 59.6 against its own average at 50.6. Checked by hand, the last two lows at 2,634.13 on 28 September and 2,655.94 this morning came with higher readings each time, so momentum agrees with price rather than warning about it, and there is no divergence to lean on. The four moving averages are in bullish order beneath price at 2,688.79, 2,675.53, 2,631.41 and 2,531.03.
Scenarios
● Bullish: A four-hour close above the descending reference boundary, currently near 2,739.4, is the first indication of an upside break. Because that boundary runs through the 2,735 to 2,748 resistance band, a close above 2,748 clears the whole zone and is the stronger confirmation, leaving 2,787 to 2,807 as the next test. The boundary value moves as each candle forms.
● Bearish: A four-hour close below 2,688 loses the first support zone and puts price beneath the 20 EMA, the first deterioration in the recovery. The 2,654 to 2,676 zone is then the next test, holding the 50 EMA and the rising boundary. A close below roughly 2,654 breaks both and is the stronger confirmation, exposing 2,626 to 2,636, with the provisional 50% retracement at 2,581.28 as the deeper measured reference beneath it.
● No confirmation: Four-hour closes between the two developing boundaries, currently near 2,654.5 and 2,739.4, leave Ethereum inside the compression. Closes inside 2,735 to 2,748 but below the descending boundary are resistance testing rather than a structural break, and a close above the boundary but below 2,748 is an initial break without full clearance of the zone. Both boundary values should be refreshed as new candles form.
What this tells us
A developing converging structure is a framework for watching the distance between two boundaries narrow. It does not predict the timing or the direction of the next confirmed break, and what it gives you instead is two prices that are easier to define than any opinion about direction.
The gap between the boundaries is now about 85 points, roughly 2.4 current four-hour ATRs. That shows how much the available space has narrowed against recent volatility; it says nothing about when or which way the break comes. So: does the side that has held every high since the peak give way first, or the one that has held every low?
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
Ethereum coils into 85 points - what breaks first?📈✅📣
Ethereum rallied about 450 points between 15 and 21 September. The nine days since have not been quiet, price has travelled 179.52 points from the high to the 24 September low, but each swing has been smaller than the last and the space left is now 85 points wide.
Price is 2,734.73 on the ThinkMarkets feed, up 1.43% on the session, with the live candle reaching 2,735.70. The line that has capped every high since 21 September sits four dollars above that.
The two lines that matter
The upper boundary runs from the 21 September high at 2,806.27 through the 29 September high at 2,747.11, falls about eight points a day, and is worth 2,739.4 at this candle. No high has printed above it.
The lower one rises from the 20 September low at 2,562.98 through the 28 September low at 2,634.13, gains about nine points a day, and is worth 2,654.5. No low has printed below it. Each has two anchors, so read them as developing reference lines, but the geometry is clean: the gap between them is 85 points against a 35 point average true range, and it closes by about 17 points a day.
The support that keeps appearing
2,626 to 2,636 is the most crowded ten points on this chart. Using a provisional Fibonacci measurement of the 15 to 21 September advance, it holds the 24 September low at 2,626.75, the 28 September low at 2,634.13, the 100 EMA at 2,631.41 and the 38.2% retracement at 2,634.37. Four separate references, and the 28 September low undercut the retracement by 0.24 points before turning.
Above it, 2,654 to 2,676 carries the rising boundary and the 50 EMA at 2,675.53, and 2,688 to 2,701 holds the 20 EMA at 2,688.79 with the provisional 23.6% retracement at 2,700.07, which price reclaimed this morning. All four moving averages sit beneath price, which makes them potential dynamic support references rather than confirmed support until price interacts with them again.
Overhead, 2,735 to 2,748 contains today's high, the 29 September high and the upper boundary. Then 2,787 to 2,807, where the 23 September high and the September peak sit.
Momentum
RSI is 59.6 against its own average at 50.6. Checked by hand, the last two lows at 2,634.13 on 28 September and 2,655.94 this morning came with higher readings each time, so momentum agrees with price rather than warning about it, and there is no divergence to lean on. The four moving averages are in bullish order beneath price at 2,688.79, 2,675.53, 2,631.41 and 2,531.03.
Scenarios
● Bullish: A four-hour close above the descending reference boundary, currently near 2,739.4, is the first indication of an upside break. Because that boundary runs through the 2,735 to 2,748 resistance band, a close above 2,748 clears the whole zone and is the stronger confirmation, leaving 2,787 to 2,807 as the next test. The boundary value moves as each candle forms.
● Bearish: A four-hour close below 2,688 loses the first support zone and puts price beneath the 20 EMA, the first deterioration in the recovery. The 2,654 to 2,676 zone is then the next test, holding the 50 EMA and the rising boundary. A close below roughly 2,654 breaks both and is the stronger confirmation, exposing 2,626 to 2,636, with the provisional 50% retracement at 2,581.28 as the deeper measured reference beneath it.
● No confirmation: Four-hour closes between the two developing boundaries, currently near 2,654.5 and 2,739.4, leave Ethereum inside the compression. Closes inside 2,735 to 2,748 but below the descending boundary are resistance testing rather than a structural break, and a close above the boundary but below 2,748 is an initial break without full clearance of the zone. Both boundary values should be refreshed as new candles form.
What this tells us
A developing converging structure is a framework for watching the distance between two boundaries narrow. It does not predict the timing or the direction of the next confirmed break, and what it gives you instead is two prices that are easier to define than any opinion about direction.
The gap between the boundaries is now about 85 points, roughly 2.4 current four-hour ATRs. That shows how much the available space has narrowed against recent volatility; it says nothing about when or which way the break comes. So: does the side that has held every high since the peak give way first, or the one that has held every low?
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
$ETH
Price is 2,734.73 on the ThinkMarkets feed, up 1.43% on the session, with the live candle reaching 2,735.70. The line that has capped every high since 21 September sits four dollars above that.
The two lines that matter
The upper boundary runs from the 21 September high at 2,806.27 through the 29 September high at 2,747.11, falls about eight points a day, and is worth 2,739.4 at this candle. No high has printed above it.
The lower one rises from the 20 September low at 2,562.98 through the 28 September low at 2,634.13, gains about nine points a day, and is worth 2,654.5. No low has printed below it. Each has two anchors, so read them as developing reference lines, but the geometry is clean: the gap between them is 85 points against a 35 point average true range, and it closes by about 17 points a day.
The support that keeps appearing
2,626 to 2,636 is the most crowded ten points on this chart. Using a provisional Fibonacci measurement of the 15 to 21 September advance, it holds the 24 September low at 2,626.75, the 28 September low at 2,634.13, the 100 EMA at 2,631.41 and the 38.2% retracement at 2,634.37. Four separate references, and the 28 September low undercut the retracement by 0.24 points before turning.
Above it, 2,654 to 2,676 carries the rising boundary and the 50 EMA at 2,675.53, and 2,688 to 2,701 holds the 20 EMA at 2,688.79 with the provisional 23.6% retracement at 2,700.07, which price reclaimed this morning. All four moving averages sit beneath price, which makes them potential dynamic support references rather than confirmed support until price interacts with them again.
Overhead, 2,735 to 2,748 contains today's high, the 29 September high and the upper boundary. Then 2,787 to 2,807, where the 23 September high and the September peak sit.
Momentum
RSI is 59.6 against its own average at 50.6. Checked by hand, the last two lows at 2,634.13 on 28 September and 2,655.94 this morning came with higher readings each time, so momentum agrees with price rather than warning about it, and there is no divergence to lean on. The four moving averages are in bullish order beneath price at 2,688.79, 2,675.53, 2,631.41 and 2,531.03.
Scenarios
● Bullish: A four-hour close above the descending reference boundary, currently near 2,739.4, is the first indication of an upside break. Because that boundary runs through the 2,735 to 2,748 resistance band, a close above 2,748 clears the whole zone and is the stronger confirmation, leaving 2,787 to 2,807 as the next test. The boundary value moves as each candle forms.
● Bearish: A four-hour close below 2,688 loses the first support zone and puts price beneath the 20 EMA, the first deterioration in the recovery. The 2,654 to 2,676 zone is then the next test, holding the 50 EMA and the rising boundary. A close below roughly 2,654 breaks both and is the stronger confirmation, exposing 2,626 to 2,636, with the provisional 50% retracement at 2,581.28 as the deeper measured reference beneath it.
● No confirmation: Four-hour closes between the two developing boundaries, currently near 2,654.5 and 2,739.4, leave Ethereum inside the compression. Closes inside 2,735 to 2,748 but below the descending boundary are resistance testing rather than a structural break, and a close above the boundary but below 2,748 is an initial break without full clearance of the zone. Both boundary values should be refreshed as new candles form.
What this tells us
A developing converging structure is a framework for watching the distance between two boundaries narrow. It does not predict the timing or the direction of the next confirmed break, and what it gives you instead is two prices that are easier to define than any opinion about direction.
The gap between the boundaries is now about 85 points, roughly 2.4 current four-hour ATRs. That shows how much the available space has narrowed against recent volatility; it says nothing about when or which way the break comes. So: does the side that has held every high since the peak give way first, or the one that has held every low?
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
$ETH
262
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Bitcoin Cash Retest: How Deep Could BCH Correct?❗❗❗📈 Bitcoin Cash After the EMA 200 Breakout: How Deep Could the Retest Go?
Bitcoin Cash has finally given us something technically interesting after spending a long period under pressure.
On the daily chart, BCH managed to reclaim the 200-day EMA and then accelerated sharply higher. That move changed the character of the chart and established a more constructive rising structure.
But strong moves rarely continue in a straight line.
After the breakout, BCH became stretched, the RSI pushed into overbought territory, and price has now started giving back part of the advance.
So instead of focusing on the breakout itself, I’m interested in the next question:
Where could this correction find support before the larger structure is challenged?
🚀 Reclaiming the EMA 200 Was the First Important Change
The 200-day EMA is one of the main features I’m watching on this chart.
BCH spent a significant amount of time trading below this long-term average. The recent move above it therefore represented a meaningful technical change.
More importantly, price didn’t simply touch the EMA and stop.
Momentum expanded after the breakout and BCH pushed substantially higher.
That is constructive, but it also created a new problem: price moved very quickly away from its previous structure.
Markets often need time to digest moves like that.
A pullback after a breakout is therefore not automatically bearish.
What matters is what happens during the pullback.
🌡️ RSI Was Already Warning That the Move Was Getting Hot
The RSI adds useful context.
As BCH accelerated higher, the daily RSI moved into overbought territory.
An overbought RSI does not mean price has to fall immediately. Strong trends can remain overbought for surprisingly long periods.
But it does tell us that momentum has become stretched.
Now both price and RSI are cooling down.
That makes the current correction relatively understandable after such a rapid expansion.
The important question is whether this remains a healthy reset or develops into something structurally more significant.
📐 Fibonacci Gives Us a Map for the Pullback
I’ve applied a Fibonacci retracement to the recent advance because I want to identify several potential areas where BCH could react.
Rather than selecting one exact target, I’m watching the sequence:
0.382 → 0.5 → 0.618 → 0.786
Each level represents another checkpoint.
If BCH finds strong demand around one of the earlier retracement areas, there may be no reason for price to travel all the way toward the deeper levels.
If selling pressure remains strong, however, the next Fibonacci zone becomes relevant.
This is why I prefer treating Fibonacci levels as a roadmap rather than a prediction tool.
🎯 The 0.786 Area Could Become Particularly Interesting
The deeper 0.786 retracement stands out on this chart because it approaches another important part of the rising structure.
That creates potential technical confluence.
If BCH were to correct that far, it would obviously represent a much deeper retracement from the recent move.
But even then, simply reaching 0.786 would not be enough for me to call a bottom.
I would still want to see the reaction.
Does price reject the area?
Does momentum begin improving?
Does the rising structure remain intact?
Or does BCH break straight through?
The Fibonacci level tells us where to look. Price action tells us whether it matters.
📉 Does BCH Have to Correct Another 19%?
No.
The path drawn on the chart represents one possible scenario, not a forecast.
A correction toward the deeper structure could mean roughly another 19% move from the area shown, but BCH is under no obligation to follow that path.
Price could stabilize much earlier.
It could consolidate sideways.
A higher low could develop around one of the shallower Fibonacci levels.
Or the correction could become deeper than expected.
That uncertainty is exactly why I wouldn’t present the 19% figure as a price target.
It is simply one scenario worth having on the map.
📈 What If the Correction Ends Early?
That possibility is just as important.
If BCH starts finding buyers before reaching the deeper retracement zones and subsequently rebuilds momentum, attention would shift back toward the recent high.
A successful continuation above that area would make the current decline look much more like a conventional reset following the EMA breakout.
In other words, I’m not waiting specifically for 0.786.
I’m waiting for evidence of where the correction actually ends.
That distinction matters.
🧠 Several Tools, One Structure
This chart is a good example of why I don’t like relying on a single indicator.
The EMA 200 gives us information about the broader trend.
RSI helps us understand momentum and the recent overextension.
Fibonacci provides potential retracement areas.
And the rising trend structure gives us additional context for deciding whether the larger setup remains intact.
This type of multi-layered analysis is also something we work with in our trading courses: not using indicators to predict the future, but combining them to build scenarios and understand what would confirm or invalidate an idea.
Ultimately, none of these tools should make the decision by themselves.
🔍 What Matters From Here
BCH has already achieved something important by reclaiming the 200-day EMA after a prolonged period of weakness.
The subsequent rally pushed momentum into overbought territory, so seeing price cool off afterward isn’t particularly surprising.
Now I’m watching the quality and depth of the retracement.
📐 Does BCH react around an earlier Fibonacci level?
📉 Does the correction extend toward 0.618 or 0.786?
📊 Can the rising structure remain intact?
🚀 Or does momentum return before the deeper levels are ever reached?
There’s no need to decide the answer in advance.
My framework is simply:
EMA 200 breakout → momentum expansion → correction → reaction → reassess.
The breakout gave us the first piece of information.
Now the retest may tell us whether that change in structure has staying power.
For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Fibonacci levels and projected paths shown on the chart represent possible scenarios, not price forecasts or recommendations.
$BCH
{future}(BCHUSDT)
Bitcoin Cash Retest: How Deep Could BCH Correct?❗❗❗
📈 Bitcoin Cash After the EMA 200 Breakout: How Deep Could the Retest Go?
Bitcoin Cash has finally given us something technically interesting after spending a long period under pressure.
On the daily chart, BCH managed to reclaim the 200-day EMA and then accelerated sharply higher. That move changed the character of the chart and established a more constructive rising structure.
But strong moves rarely continue in a straight line.
After the breakout, BCH became stretched, the RSI pushed into overbought territory, and price has now started giving back part of the advance.
So instead of focusing on the breakout itself, I’m interested in the next question:
Where could this correction find support before the larger structure is challenged?
🚀 Reclaiming the EMA 200 Was the First Important Change
The 200-day EMA is one of the main features I’m watching on this chart.
BCH spent a significant amount of time trading below this long-term average. The recent move above it therefore represented a meaningful technical change.
More importantly, price didn’t simply touch the EMA and stop.
Momentum expanded after the breakout and BCH pushed substantially higher.
That is constructive, but it also created a new problem: price moved very quickly away from its previous structure.
Markets often need time to digest moves like that.
A pullback after a breakout is therefore not automatically bearish.
What matters is what happens during the pullback.
🌡️ RSI Was Already Warning That the Move Was Getting Hot
The RSI adds useful context.
As BCH accelerated higher, the daily RSI moved into overbought territory.
An overbought RSI does not mean price has to fall immediately. Strong trends can remain overbought for surprisingly long periods.
But it does tell us that momentum has become stretched.
Now both price and RSI are cooling down.
That makes the current correction relatively understandable after such a rapid expansion.
The important question is whether this remains a healthy reset or develops into something structurally more significant.
📐 Fibonacci Gives Us a Map for the Pullback
I’ve applied a Fibonacci retracement to the recent advance because I want to identify several potential areas where BCH could react.
Rather than selecting one exact target, I’m watching the sequence:
0.382 → 0.5 → 0.618 → 0.786
Each level represents another checkpoint.
If BCH finds strong demand around one of the earlier retracement areas, there may be no reason for price to travel all the way toward the deeper levels.
If selling pressure remains strong, however, the next Fibonacci zone becomes relevant.
This is why I prefer treating Fibonacci levels as a roadmap rather than a prediction tool.
🎯 The 0.786 Area Could Become Particularly Interesting
The deeper 0.786 retracement stands out on this chart because it approaches another important part of the rising structure.
That creates potential technical confluence.
If BCH were to correct that far, it would obviously represent a much deeper retracement from the recent move.
But even then, simply reaching 0.786 would not be enough for me to call a bottom.
I would still want to see the reaction.
Does price reject the area?
Does momentum begin improving?
Does the rising structure remain intact?
Or does BCH break straight through?
The Fibonacci level tells us where to look. Price action tells us whether it matters.
📉 Does BCH Have to Correct Another 19%?
No.
The path drawn on the chart represents one possible scenario, not a forecast.
A correction toward the deeper structure could mean roughly another 19% move from the area shown, but BCH is under no obligation to follow that path.
Price could stabilize much earlier.
It could consolidate sideways.
A higher low could develop around one of the shallower Fibonacci levels.
Or the correction could become deeper than expected.
That uncertainty is exactly why I wouldn’t present the 19% figure as a price target.
It is simply one scenario worth having on the map.
📈 What If the Correction Ends Early?
That possibility is just as important.
If BCH starts finding buyers before reaching the deeper retracement zones and subsequently rebuilds momentum, attention would shift back toward the recent high.
A successful continuation above that area would make the current decline look much more like a conventional reset following the EMA breakout.
In other words, I’m not waiting specifically for 0.786.
I’m waiting for evidence of where the correction actually ends.
That distinction matters.
🧠 Several Tools, One Structure
This chart is a good example of why I don’t like relying on a single indicator.
The EMA 200 gives us information about the broader trend.
RSI helps us understand momentum and the recent overextension.
Fibonacci provides potential retracement areas.
And the rising trend structure gives us additional context for deciding whether the larger setup remains intact.
This type of multi-layered analysis is also something we work with in our trading courses: not using indicators to predict the future, but combining them to build scenarios and understand what would confirm or invalidate an idea.
Ultimately, none of these tools should make the decision by themselves.
🔍 What Matters From Here
BCH has already achieved something important by reclaiming the 200-day EMA after a prolonged period of weakness.
The subsequent rally pushed momentum into overbought territory, so seeing price cool off afterward isn’t particularly surprising.
Now I’m watching the quality and depth of the retracement.
📐 Does BCH react around an earlier Fibonacci level?
📉 Does the correction extend toward 0.618 or 0.786?
📊 Can the rising structure remain intact?
🚀 Or does momentum return before the deeper levels are ever reached?
There’s no need to decide the answer in advance.
My framework is simply:
EMA 200 breakout → momentum expansion → correction → reaction → reassess.
The breakout gave us the first piece of information.
Now the retest may tell us whether that change in structure has staying power.
For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Fibonacci levels and projected paths shown on the chart represent possible scenarios, not price forecasts or recommendations.
$BCH
Bitcoin Cash has finally given us something technically interesting after spending a long period under pressure.
On the daily chart, BCH managed to reclaim the 200-day EMA and then accelerated sharply higher. That move changed the character of the chart and established a more constructive rising structure.
But strong moves rarely continue in a straight line.
After the breakout, BCH became stretched, the RSI pushed into overbought territory, and price has now started giving back part of the advance.
So instead of focusing on the breakout itself, I’m interested in the next question:
Where could this correction find support before the larger structure is challenged?
🚀 Reclaiming the EMA 200 Was the First Important Change
The 200-day EMA is one of the main features I’m watching on this chart.
BCH spent a significant amount of time trading below this long-term average. The recent move above it therefore represented a meaningful technical change.
More importantly, price didn’t simply touch the EMA and stop.
Momentum expanded after the breakout and BCH pushed substantially higher.
That is constructive, but it also created a new problem: price moved very quickly away from its previous structure.
Markets often need time to digest moves like that.
A pullback after a breakout is therefore not automatically bearish.
What matters is what happens during the pullback.
🌡️ RSI Was Already Warning That the Move Was Getting Hot
The RSI adds useful context.
As BCH accelerated higher, the daily RSI moved into overbought territory.
An overbought RSI does not mean price has to fall immediately. Strong trends can remain overbought for surprisingly long periods.
But it does tell us that momentum has become stretched.
Now both price and RSI are cooling down.
That makes the current correction relatively understandable after such a rapid expansion.
The important question is whether this remains a healthy reset or develops into something structurally more significant.
📐 Fibonacci Gives Us a Map for the Pullback
I’ve applied a Fibonacci retracement to the recent advance because I want to identify several potential areas where BCH could react.
Rather than selecting one exact target, I’m watching the sequence:
0.382 → 0.5 → 0.618 → 0.786
Each level represents another checkpoint.
If BCH finds strong demand around one of the earlier retracement areas, there may be no reason for price to travel all the way toward the deeper levels.
If selling pressure remains strong, however, the next Fibonacci zone becomes relevant.
This is why I prefer treating Fibonacci levels as a roadmap rather than a prediction tool.
🎯 The 0.786 Area Could Become Particularly Interesting
The deeper 0.786 retracement stands out on this chart because it approaches another important part of the rising structure.
That creates potential technical confluence.
If BCH were to correct that far, it would obviously represent a much deeper retracement from the recent move.
But even then, simply reaching 0.786 would not be enough for me to call a bottom.
I would still want to see the reaction.
Does price reject the area?
Does momentum begin improving?
Does the rising structure remain intact?
Or does BCH break straight through?
The Fibonacci level tells us where to look. Price action tells us whether it matters.
📉 Does BCH Have to Correct Another 19%?
No.
The path drawn on the chart represents one possible scenario, not a forecast.
A correction toward the deeper structure could mean roughly another 19% move from the area shown, but BCH is under no obligation to follow that path.
Price could stabilize much earlier.
It could consolidate sideways.
A higher low could develop around one of the shallower Fibonacci levels.
Or the correction could become deeper than expected.
That uncertainty is exactly why I wouldn’t present the 19% figure as a price target.
It is simply one scenario worth having on the map.
📈 What If the Correction Ends Early?
That possibility is just as important.
If BCH starts finding buyers before reaching the deeper retracement zones and subsequently rebuilds momentum, attention would shift back toward the recent high.
A successful continuation above that area would make the current decline look much more like a conventional reset following the EMA breakout.
In other words, I’m not waiting specifically for 0.786.
I’m waiting for evidence of where the correction actually ends.
That distinction matters.
🧠 Several Tools, One Structure
This chart is a good example of why I don’t like relying on a single indicator.
The EMA 200 gives us information about the broader trend.
RSI helps us understand momentum and the recent overextension.
Fibonacci provides potential retracement areas.
And the rising trend structure gives us additional context for deciding whether the larger setup remains intact.
This type of multi-layered analysis is also something we work with in our trading courses: not using indicators to predict the future, but combining them to build scenarios and understand what would confirm or invalidate an idea.
Ultimately, none of these tools should make the decision by themselves.
🔍 What Matters From Here
BCH has already achieved something important by reclaiming the 200-day EMA after a prolonged period of weakness.
The subsequent rally pushed momentum into overbought territory, so seeing price cool off afterward isn’t particularly surprising.
Now I’m watching the quality and depth of the retracement.
📐 Does BCH react around an earlier Fibonacci level?
📉 Does the correction extend toward 0.618 or 0.786?
📊 Can the rising structure remain intact?
🚀 Or does momentum return before the deeper levels are ever reached?
There’s no need to decide the answer in advance.
My framework is simply:
EMA 200 breakout → momentum expansion → correction → reaction → reassess.
The breakout gave us the first piece of information.
Now the retest may tell us whether that change in structure has staying power.
For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice. Fibonacci levels and projected paths shown on the chart represent possible scenarios, not price forecasts or recommendations.
$BCH
1
335
·
--
Article
BTC order flow: rejected at the sell wall🙏💥Order Flow Pressure Map reads TradingView's footprint: the buying and selling that actually executed at each price. Where one side clearly won and price moved away, it draws a wall, and the wall stays until a candle closes back through it. This is BTC since 16 Sep, the base of the last leg.
▌ THE REJECTION
Today's push ran straight into the nearest selling wall, 84,927. The candle wicked to about 85,600 and closed back under it. A wick is a test; only a close through the far side removes a wall, so it is still on the chart.
▌ THE FLOW IN THREE NUMBERS
- $1.79B of active buying pressure against $219.4M of selling. 89 / 11.
- The busiest price since 16 Sep: 83,931, the POC, with $3.93B traded, just under price.
- The strongest wall still standing: 79,117, $95.5M of net buying, 6.2% below.
▌ READING IT
1. Above price, selling pressure is thin, and it answered: 84,927, then about 86,500 ($66.9M) just under the top.
2. Below price, buyers built this leg in steps, and most of them have not been revisited: 82,769 first (HEAVY, 1.8% away), about 82,100 ($84.3M), 79,117, then near 77,900 and 77,300 ($88.1M).
3. The rail on the right shows the candle forming now: $53.6M of selling against $46.8M of buying.
▌ WHAT TO WATCH
Two first touches. A close above 84,927 clears the selling wall. A return to 82,769 tests the nearest buying wall. Either way, the rail shows which side turns up.
Numbers as shown on the chart at the time of posting.
Not advice.
21 minutes ago
Note
▌ UPDATE · THE REJECTION, UNPACKED
The push to 85,600 had help. HEATMAP showed shorts' liquidity right under the 84,927 wall, and the Liquidation Pain Map printed the liquidations as price ran into it. Forced buying met chosen selling, and the wall held. The $1.79B of buying pressure sits below price, across the whole leg. Next: 82,769, the nearest buying wall.
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC order flow: rejected at the sell wall🙏💥
Order Flow Pressure Map reads TradingView's footprint: the buying and selling that actually executed at each price. Where one side clearly won and price moved away, it draws a wall, and the wall stays until a candle closes back through it. This is BTC since 16 Sep, the base of the last leg.
▌ THE REJECTION
Today's push ran straight into the nearest selling wall, 84,927. The candle wicked to about 85,600 and closed back under it. A wick is a test; only a close through the far side removes a wall, so it is still on the chart.
▌ THE FLOW IN THREE NUMBERS
- $1.79B of active buying pressure against $219.4M of selling. 89 / 11.
- The busiest price since 16 Sep: 83,931, the POC, with $3.93B traded, just under price.
- The strongest wall still standing: 79,117, $95.5M of net buying, 6.2% below.
▌ READING IT
1. Above price, selling pressure is thin, and it answered: 84,927, then about 86,500 ($66.9M) just under the top.
2. Below price, buyers built this leg in steps, and most of them have not been revisited: 82,769 first (HEAVY, 1.8% away), about 82,100 ($84.3M), 79,117, then near 77,900 and 77,300 ($88.1M).
3. The rail on the right shows the candle forming now: $53.6M of selling against $46.8M of buying.
▌ WHAT TO WATCH
Two first touches. A close above 84,927 clears the selling wall. A return to 82,769 tests the nearest buying wall. Either way, the rail shows which side turns up.
Numbers as shown on the chart at the time of posting.
Not advice.
21 minutes ago
Note
▌ UPDATE · THE REJECTION, UNPACKED
The push to 85,600 had help. HEATMAP showed shorts' liquidity right under the 84,927 wall, and the Liquidation Pain Map printed the liquidations as price ran into it. Forced buying met chosen selling, and the wall held. The $1.79B of buying pressure sits below price, across the whole leg. Next: 82,769, the nearest buying wall.
$BTC
▌ THE REJECTION
Today's push ran straight into the nearest selling wall, 84,927. The candle wicked to about 85,600 and closed back under it. A wick is a test; only a close through the far side removes a wall, so it is still on the chart.
▌ THE FLOW IN THREE NUMBERS
- $1.79B of active buying pressure against $219.4M of selling. 89 / 11.
- The busiest price since 16 Sep: 83,931, the POC, with $3.93B traded, just under price.
- The strongest wall still standing: 79,117, $95.5M of net buying, 6.2% below.
▌ READING IT
1. Above price, selling pressure is thin, and it answered: 84,927, then about 86,500 ($66.9M) just under the top.
2. Below price, buyers built this leg in steps, and most of them have not been revisited: 82,769 first (HEAVY, 1.8% away), about 82,100 ($84.3M), 79,117, then near 77,900 and 77,300 ($88.1M).
3. The rail on the right shows the candle forming now: $53.6M of selling against $46.8M of buying.
▌ WHAT TO WATCH
Two first touches. A close above 84,927 clears the selling wall. A return to 82,769 tests the nearest buying wall. Either way, the rail shows which side turns up.
Numbers as shown on the chart at the time of posting.
Not advice.
21 minutes ago
Note
▌ UPDATE · THE REJECTION, UNPACKED
The push to 85,600 had help. HEATMAP showed shorts' liquidity right under the 84,927 wall, and the Liquidation Pain Map printed the liquidations as price ran into it. Forced buying met chosen selling, and the wall held. The $1.79B of buying pressure sits below price, across the whole leg. Next: 82,769, the nearest buying wall.
$BTC
182
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Article
THETA MACRO BOTTOM BREAKOUT – PAY CLOSE ATTENTION📈⭐THETA MACRO BOTTOM BREAKOUT – PAY CLOSE ATTENTION! 🚀📈
THETA (Theta Network/USDT) has officially broken out of its long-term accumulation base on the 1W chart! After bouncing strongly off macro demand around $0.2013, price is pushing upward with strong momentum, confirming a clear shift from consolidation to a new bullish expansion wave.
Holding cleanly above the key horizontal pivot at $0.2013 sets up an exceptional risk-to-reward opportunity, with price trending toward major multi-month resistance targets! 🎯
📊 Technical Snapshot:
• Timeframe: 1-Week (1W) Chart
• Pattern: Macro Base Breakout / Support Bounce 🔥
• Status: Breakout Confirmed / Bullish Momentum Active
• Current Price: ~$0.2309
• Key Macro Support: $0.2013
• Intermediate Target: $0.3692
• Primary Target Region: $0.6156 – $0.7848 (~+160% to +240% upside potential)
As long as price holds above the $0.20 support floor, a solid bullish rally will remain intact in the coming days and weeks! 📈
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice (NFA). Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before entering any trade.
💬 Are you accumulating THETA at these bottom levels or waiting for a push past $0.36? Share your price targets below! 👇
$THETA
{future}(THETAUSDT)
THETA MACRO BOTTOM BREAKOUT – PAY CLOSE ATTENTION📈⭐
THETA MACRO BOTTOM BREAKOUT – PAY CLOSE ATTENTION! 🚀📈
THETA (Theta Network/USDT) has officially broken out of its long-term accumulation base on the 1W chart! After bouncing strongly off macro demand around $0.2013, price is pushing upward with strong momentum, confirming a clear shift from consolidation to a new bullish expansion wave.
Holding cleanly above the key horizontal pivot at $0.2013 sets up an exceptional risk-to-reward opportunity, with price trending toward major multi-month resistance targets! 🎯
📊 Technical Snapshot:
• Timeframe: 1-Week (1W) Chart
• Pattern: Macro Base Breakout / Support Bounce 🔥
• Status: Breakout Confirmed / Bullish Momentum Active
• Current Price: ~$0.2309
• Key Macro Support: $0.2013
• Intermediate Target: $0.3692
• Primary Target Region: $0.6156 – $0.7848 (~+160% to +240% upside potential)
As long as price holds above the $0.20 support floor, a solid bullish rally will remain intact in the coming days and weeks! 📈
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice (NFA). Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before entering any trade.
💬 Are you accumulating THETA at these bottom levels or waiting for a push past $0.36? Share your price targets below! 👇
$THETA
THETA (Theta Network/USDT) has officially broken out of its long-term accumulation base on the 1W chart! After bouncing strongly off macro demand around $0.2013, price is pushing upward with strong momentum, confirming a clear shift from consolidation to a new bullish expansion wave.
Holding cleanly above the key horizontal pivot at $0.2013 sets up an exceptional risk-to-reward opportunity, with price trending toward major multi-month resistance targets! 🎯
📊 Technical Snapshot:
• Timeframe: 1-Week (1W) Chart
• Pattern: Macro Base Breakout / Support Bounce 🔥
• Status: Breakout Confirmed / Bullish Momentum Active
• Current Price: ~$0.2309
• Key Macro Support: $0.2013
• Intermediate Target: $0.3692
• Primary Target Region: $0.6156 – $0.7848 (~+160% to +240% upside potential)
As long as price holds above the $0.20 support floor, a solid bullish rally will remain intact in the coming days and weeks! 📈
⚠️ Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice (NFA). Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before entering any trade.
💬 Are you accumulating THETA at these bottom levels or waiting for a push past $0.36? Share your price targets below! 👇
$THETA
1
299
·
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Article
The Roadmap to $300 SOL🔔🎇The Roadmap to $300 SOL: How Bitcoin and Relative Strength Make It Happen
If you only look at crypto charts in USDT, you miss half the story. To truly understand if a coin is getting ready for a massive move, you need to look at its Bitcoin pair, such as SOL/BTC.
Here is a simple breakdown of what we are looking at on the chart and why everything points toward a $300 Solana.
1. What is a BTC Pair and Why Does It Matter?
Instead of asking if Solana is going up in dollars, a BTC pair asks if Solana is beating Bitcoin.
When a coin's chart against Bitcoin goes up, it means smart money and heavy liquidity are rotating out of the market leader and flowing directly into that altcoin.
On our weekly SOL/BTC chart, Solana spent years building a solid accumulation base, carving out higher lows, and holding strong support even when broader market chop tested traders' patience.
2. Why Does Bitcoin Need to Hit $100k First?
Some people ask why Bitcoin needs to pump to $100,000 for SOL to reach $300 if Solana is already beating Bitcoin.
The answer comes down to how crypto liquidity flows in waves:
Step 1 (The Macro Wave): Institutional money enters Bitcoin first, driving the leader toward the six-figure milestone and lifting the entire crypto economy upward.
Step 2 (The Rotation Wave): Once Bitcoin stabilizes near those higher levels, capital rotates into top-tier altcoins that show relative strength.
Step 3 (The Math): If Bitcoin climbs to $100,000, which is roughly a 19% gain from current levels, and Solana simultaneously outperforms BTC by breaking out of its multi-year ratio resistance at 0.003 BTC, the math compounds cleanly:
0.003 BTC x $100,000 (Bitcoin price) = $300 SOL
3. What Are We Watching For Next?
Holding the Invalidation Floor: The current re-accumulation phase must hold its structural support line. As long as that floor stays intact, the bullish thesis remains valid.
Clearing the Mid-Range: Watch for price to chew through the mid-range chopping zone and head toward the major 0.003 ratio ceiling.
When Bitcoin provides the macro tailwind and Solana delivers the relative outperformance, the path to $300 becomes a matter of market mechanics playing out.
Educational breakdown only, not financial advice.
$SOL
{future}(SOLUSDT)
The Roadmap to $300 SOL🔔🎇
The Roadmap to $300 SOL: How Bitcoin and Relative Strength Make It Happen
If you only look at crypto charts in USDT, you miss half the story. To truly understand if a coin is getting ready for a massive move, you need to look at its Bitcoin pair, such as SOL/BTC.
Here is a simple breakdown of what we are looking at on the chart and why everything points toward a $300 Solana.
1. What is a BTC Pair and Why Does It Matter?
Instead of asking if Solana is going up in dollars, a BTC pair asks if Solana is beating Bitcoin.
When a coin's chart against Bitcoin goes up, it means smart money and heavy liquidity are rotating out of the market leader and flowing directly into that altcoin.
On our weekly SOL/BTC chart, Solana spent years building a solid accumulation base, carving out higher lows, and holding strong support even when broader market chop tested traders' patience.
2. Why Does Bitcoin Need to Hit $100k First?
Some people ask why Bitcoin needs to pump to $100,000 for SOL to reach $300 if Solana is already beating Bitcoin.
The answer comes down to how crypto liquidity flows in waves:
Step 1 (The Macro Wave): Institutional money enters Bitcoin first, driving the leader toward the six-figure milestone and lifting the entire crypto economy upward.
Step 2 (The Rotation Wave): Once Bitcoin stabilizes near those higher levels, capital rotates into top-tier altcoins that show relative strength.
Step 3 (The Math): If Bitcoin climbs to $100,000, which is roughly a 19% gain from current levels, and Solana simultaneously outperforms BTC by breaking out of its multi-year ratio resistance at 0.003 BTC, the math compounds cleanly:
0.003 BTC x $100,000 (Bitcoin price) = $300 SOL
3. What Are We Watching For Next?
Holding the Invalidation Floor: The current re-accumulation phase must hold its structural support line. As long as that floor stays intact, the bullish thesis remains valid.
Clearing the Mid-Range: Watch for price to chew through the mid-range chopping zone and head toward the major 0.003 ratio ceiling.
When Bitcoin provides the macro tailwind and Solana delivers the relative outperformance, the path to $300 becomes a matter of market mechanics playing out.
Educational breakdown only, not financial advice.
$SOL
If you only look at crypto charts in USDT, you miss half the story. To truly understand if a coin is getting ready for a massive move, you need to look at its Bitcoin pair, such as SOL/BTC.
Here is a simple breakdown of what we are looking at on the chart and why everything points toward a $300 Solana.
1. What is a BTC Pair and Why Does It Matter?
Instead of asking if Solana is going up in dollars, a BTC pair asks if Solana is beating Bitcoin.
When a coin's chart against Bitcoin goes up, it means smart money and heavy liquidity are rotating out of the market leader and flowing directly into that altcoin.
On our weekly SOL/BTC chart, Solana spent years building a solid accumulation base, carving out higher lows, and holding strong support even when broader market chop tested traders' patience.
2. Why Does Bitcoin Need to Hit $100k First?
Some people ask why Bitcoin needs to pump to $100,000 for SOL to reach $300 if Solana is already beating Bitcoin.
The answer comes down to how crypto liquidity flows in waves:
Step 1 (The Macro Wave): Institutional money enters Bitcoin first, driving the leader toward the six-figure milestone and lifting the entire crypto economy upward.
Step 2 (The Rotation Wave): Once Bitcoin stabilizes near those higher levels, capital rotates into top-tier altcoins that show relative strength.
Step 3 (The Math): If Bitcoin climbs to $100,000, which is roughly a 19% gain from current levels, and Solana simultaneously outperforms BTC by breaking out of its multi-year ratio resistance at 0.003 BTC, the math compounds cleanly:
0.003 BTC x $100,000 (Bitcoin price) = $300 SOL
3. What Are We Watching For Next?
Holding the Invalidation Floor: The current re-accumulation phase must hold its structural support line. As long as that floor stays intact, the bullish thesis remains valid.
Clearing the Mid-Range: Watch for price to chew through the mid-range chopping zone and head toward the major 0.003 ratio ceiling.
When Bitcoin provides the macro tailwind and Solana delivers the relative outperformance, the path to $300 becomes a matter of market mechanics playing out.
Educational breakdown only, not financial advice.
$SOL
1
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Article
BTC/USD | Bitcoin Defends Demand Again, Is $90K The Next Move?📈💥By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after reaching around $87,400, BTC entered a correction and dropped toward $82,600. Buyers reacted from this area and pushed price back toward $85,000, while Bitcoin is currently trading around $83,500.
The most important area now is the $80,500 – $82,400 demand zone. As long as BTC can hold and stabilize above this region, I still expect the broader bullish scenario to remain valid, with $90,000 as the first major upside target.
If you've been following these Bitcoin updates and found them useful, give this analysis a Boost to support my work. 🙌
Above that, the key supply area from the previous analysis remains the $90,000 – $98,000 Bearish Order Block. A strong breakout through this zone could open the way toward $100,000, $106,000 and eventually $112,000 – $126,000.
On the downside, if the current demand fails, the next important area remains around $78,000 – $80,000. For now, the main structure remains bullish as long as buyers continue defending the current demand zone.
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
BTC/USD | Bitcoin Defends Demand Again, Is $90K The Next Move?📈💥
By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after reaching around $87,400, BTC entered a correction and dropped toward $82,600. Buyers reacted from this area and pushed price back toward $85,000, while Bitcoin is currently trading around $83,500.
The most important area now is the $80,500 – $82,400 demand zone. As long as BTC can hold and stabilize above this region, I still expect the broader bullish scenario to remain valid, with $90,000 as the first major upside target.
If you've been following these Bitcoin updates and found them useful, give this analysis a Boost to support my work. 🙌
Above that, the key supply area from the previous analysis remains the $90,000 – $98,000 Bearish Order Block. A strong breakout through this zone could open the way toward $100,000, $106,000 and eventually $112,000 – $126,000.
On the downside, if the current demand fails, the next important area remains around $78,000 – $80,000. For now, the main structure remains bullish as long as buyers continue defending the current demand zone.
$BTC
The most important area now is the $80,500 – $82,400 demand zone. As long as BTC can hold and stabilize above this region, I still expect the broader bullish scenario to remain valid, with $90,000 as the first major upside target.
If you've been following these Bitcoin updates and found them useful, give this analysis a Boost to support my work. 🙌
Above that, the key supply area from the previous analysis remains the $90,000 – $98,000 Bearish Order Block. A strong breakout through this zone could open the way toward $100,000, $106,000 and eventually $112,000 – $126,000.
On the downside, if the current demand fails, the next important area remains around $78,000 – $80,000. For now, the main structure remains bullish as long as buyers continue defending the current demand zone.
$BTC
242
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Article
HBAR Rejected at Resistance — Bulls Still Can’t Get Through🎯🎯Recovery From the Lows
HBAR has staged a strong recovery from the multi-month low around $0.064, with the move initially helped by bullish RSI divergence at the lows.
Buying Volume Surges
Buying volume has increased significantly during the latest move higher. This gives the recovery more conviction and shows buyers have returned with considerably more strength.
Weekly EMAs Turn Bullish
The 21/8-week EMAs have now bullishly crossed. This is another positive development and adds weight to the improving medium-term picture.
RSI Reclaims 50
RSI has moved above 50 for the first time since July 2025, confirming a significant improvement in weekly momentum. StochRSI, however, is now overbought after the sharp rally.
Big Rejection at $0.1099
HBAR spiked as high as $0.13096 but was quickly sold back below the key $0.1099 resistance. That rejection shows sellers are still very active around this important structural level.
Bulls Still Need the Breakout
For me, a break and close above $0.1099 is still required to confirm a bullish weekly change of character. Until that happens, the primary structure hasn't fully turned despite the improving signals underneath.
Higher Levels Come Into Play
If bulls can eventually confirm the breakout, attention can begin shifting towards the 0.618 Fib around $0.16035. Above there, the 0.786 Fib sits around $0.18647.
In Summary
HBAR’s weekly picture has improved considerably, with increased buying volume, a bullish 21/8-week EMA cross and RSI finally back above 50. However, the rejection after spiking through $0.1099 shows the main battle is far from won. For me, a break and close above that level is still needed to confirm a bullish change of character. Until then, the recovery looks promising, but resistance remains firmly in play.
$HBAR
{future}(HBARUSDT)
HBAR Rejected at Resistance — Bulls Still Can’t Get Through🎯🎯
Recovery From the Lows
HBAR has staged a strong recovery from the multi-month low around $0.064, with the move initially helped by bullish RSI divergence at the lows.
Buying Volume Surges
Buying volume has increased significantly during the latest move higher. This gives the recovery more conviction and shows buyers have returned with considerably more strength.
Weekly EMAs Turn Bullish
The 21/8-week EMAs have now bullishly crossed. This is another positive development and adds weight to the improving medium-term picture.
RSI Reclaims 50
RSI has moved above 50 for the first time since July 2025, confirming a significant improvement in weekly momentum. StochRSI, however, is now overbought after the sharp rally.
Big Rejection at $0.1099
HBAR spiked as high as $0.13096 but was quickly sold back below the key $0.1099 resistance. That rejection shows sellers are still very active around this important structural level.
Bulls Still Need the Breakout
For me, a break and close above $0.1099 is still required to confirm a bullish weekly change of character. Until that happens, the primary structure hasn't fully turned despite the improving signals underneath.
Higher Levels Come Into Play
If bulls can eventually confirm the breakout, attention can begin shifting towards the 0.618 Fib around $0.16035. Above there, the 0.786 Fib sits around $0.18647.
In Summary
HBAR’s weekly picture has improved considerably, with increased buying volume, a bullish 21/8-week EMA cross and RSI finally back above 50. However, the rejection after spiking through $0.1099 shows the main battle is far from won. For me, a break and close above that level is still needed to confirm a bullish change of character. Until then, the recovery looks promising, but resistance remains firmly in play.
$HBAR
HBAR has staged a strong recovery from the multi-month low around $0.064, with the move initially helped by bullish RSI divergence at the lows.
Buying Volume Surges
Buying volume has increased significantly during the latest move higher. This gives the recovery more conviction and shows buyers have returned with considerably more strength.
Weekly EMAs Turn Bullish
The 21/8-week EMAs have now bullishly crossed. This is another positive development and adds weight to the improving medium-term picture.
RSI Reclaims 50
RSI has moved above 50 for the first time since July 2025, confirming a significant improvement in weekly momentum. StochRSI, however, is now overbought after the sharp rally.
Big Rejection at $0.1099
HBAR spiked as high as $0.13096 but was quickly sold back below the key $0.1099 resistance. That rejection shows sellers are still very active around this important structural level.
Bulls Still Need the Breakout
For me, a break and close above $0.1099 is still required to confirm a bullish weekly change of character. Until that happens, the primary structure hasn't fully turned despite the improving signals underneath.
Higher Levels Come Into Play
If bulls can eventually confirm the breakout, attention can begin shifting towards the 0.618 Fib around $0.16035. Above there, the 0.786 Fib sits around $0.18647.
In Summary
HBAR’s weekly picture has improved considerably, with increased buying volume, a bullish 21/8-week EMA cross and RSI finally back above 50. However, the rejection after spiking through $0.1099 shows the main battle is far from won. For me, a break and close above that level is still needed to confirm a bullish change of character. Until then, the recovery looks promising, but resistance remains firmly in play.
$HBAR
416
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AAVE BUY SETUP Long from $158.50✨✨AAVE PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $158.50
Currently $158.50
Targeting $166 or Above
(Trading plan IF AAVE go down to $155
will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
$AAVE
{future}(AAVEUSDT)
AAVE BUY SETUP Long from $158.50✨✨
AAVE PERPETUAL TRADE
BUY SETUP
Long from $158.50
Currently $158.50
Targeting $166 or Above
(Trading plan IF AAVE go down to $155
will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
$AAVE
BUY SETUP
Long from $158.50
Currently $158.50
Targeting $166 or Above
(Trading plan IF AAVE go down to $155
will add more longs)
Follow the notes for updates
In the event of an early exit,
this analysis will be updated.
Its not a Financial advice
$AAVE
2
425
·
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Article
CVXUSDT Forming Falling WedgeCVXUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 40% to 50% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching CVXUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in CVXUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
$CVX
{future}(CVXUSDT)
CVXUSDT Forming Falling Wedge
CVXUSDT is forming a clear falling wedge pattern, a classic bullish reversal signal that often indicates an upcoming breakout. The price has been consolidating within a narrowing range, suggesting that selling pressure is weakening while buyers are beginning to regain control. With consistent volume confirming accumulation at lower levels, the setup hints at a potential bullish breakout soon. The projected move could lead to an impressive gain of around 40% to 50% once the price breaks above the wedge resistance.
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching CVXUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in CVXUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
$CVX
This falling wedge pattern is typically seen at the end of downtrends or corrective phases, and it represents a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. Traders closely watching CVXUSDT are noting the strengthening momentum as it nears a breakout zone. The good trading volume adds confidence to this pattern, showing that market participants are positioning early in anticipation of a reversal.
Investors’ growing interest in CVXUSDT reflects rising confidence in the project’s long-term fundamentals and current technical strength. If the breakout confirms with sustained volume, this could mark the start of a fresh bullish leg. Traders might find this a valuable setup for medium-term gains, especially as the wedge pattern completes and buying momentum accelerates.
✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and
✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin)
Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
$CVX
1
201
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