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Quantum fears focus on vulnerable early wallets, but market data suggests even a worst case sell-off would be large, not catastrophic.
Quantum doomsayers warn that this would unleash a flood of supply and crash the market. The numbers suggest otherwise.
The threat of quantum computing is not in question.
Roughly 1.7 million BTC sit in Satoshi-era addresses that could be vulnerable under such a scenario. That is about $145 billion at current prices in potential sell pressure, which sounds catastrophic, but is in fact manageable.
During bull markets, long-term holders (investors that have held bitcoin for at least 155 days) routinely distribute between 10,000 and 30,000 BTC per day. At that pace, the entire Satoshi-era supply equates to roughly two to three months of typical profit taking. In the most recent bear market, more than 2.3 million BTC changed hands in a single quarter, exceeding the full quantum “target,” with no systemic collapse.
In addition, monthly exchange inflows approach 850,000 BTC. Derivatives markets cycle through notional volumes equivalent to the entire Satoshi stash every few days. What appears massive in isolation becomes relatively ordinary when set against bitcoin’s existing liquidity and turnover
A sudden, concentrated release would still matter. It would likely drive volatility and could trigger a prolonged downturn, according to Check. But even that scenario assumes economically irrational behavior. Any actor capable of accessing such a trove would be incentivized to distribute gradually, likely hedging through derivatives to minimize slippage and maximize returns.
Bitcoin markets routinely absorb supply on the same order of magnitude as the P2PK era coins. The timeframe is measured in months, not years.
The real issue is not mechanical sell pressure. It is governance. The bigger issue is potentially freezing the Satoshi coins, through BIP-361, then letting everything play out as it should.
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The trade policies of the Trump administration have hurt the standing of the U.S. debt around the world, principally with heavy treasury holders like China that have been directly affected by these measures. According to recent data published by the U.S. Treasury, Chinese holdings of U.S. treasuries fell to a new low since 2009, with the Chinese government reducing its exposure by nearly $1 billion from the number reported in April.
While this might not be seen as a significant drop by some analysts, others claim that it signals a new direction in the Chinese policy towards acquiring American foreign debt, amidst the dangers of retaliation if trade negotiations go south.
In March, China reduced its exposure to the U.S. debt by nearly $19 billion, falling to the third place among the top holders of treasuries behind Japan and the U.K., while it sold $8.2 billion of its American debt stash in April
Despite the continued selling and ongoing trade tensions between the two nations, China still holds $756.3 billion in U.S. securities, which contradicts the theory that the Chinese government is weaponizing these assets.
Nonetheless, the offloading moves echo the recommendations of Chinese analysts about diversifying the exposure from these potentially risky assets to less troubled commodities, including safe havens like gold and other metals.
The U.S. government’s measures have driven debt holders worldwide to adjust their exposures, driving a substitution of international investors for local buyers. While foreign buyers held 57% of the treasury issuance in 2008, this number has fallen to 32%, signaling potential trust issues in the proficiency of the current administration in dealing with the spiraling debt issue.
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CEO Paul Prager said the 20-year lease reflects surging demand for AI computing and validates TeraWulf's strategy of owning power, land and operations.
Prager said the Kentucky project won Anthropic through a competitive bidding process centered on access to grid power and long-term infrastructure.
The contract is valued at roughly $19 billion over its life, exceeding TeraWulf's current market capitalization, according to the interview.
Prager said TeraWulf already works with Anthropic and Google at its Lake Mariner campus in New York, giving the companies an established relationship.
Prager was interviewed by Jennifer Sanasie on CoinDesk's Public Keys at the New York Stock Exchan
TeraWulf is shedding non-core assets to focus capital on AI data centers it fully controls.
Prager said the company's sale of its interest in the Abernathy project reflects a disciplined capital allocation strategy rather than a change in AI ambitions.
He said TeraWulf earned a strong return on the sale and plans to reinvest the proceeds into wholly owned AI infrastructure projects, including additional sites in eastern Kentucky.
Prager said owning the site, power supply and operations gives TeraWulf greater control over customer relationships and long-term return
Prager argued the AI infrastructure boom is constrained by power quality rather than available land.
He said the U.S. faces a shortage of electricity and warned investors that "not all megawatts are created equally."
Prager said successful AI campuses require reliable generation, redundant transmission, favorable regulation and strong community relationships.
He added that TeraWulf focuses on redeveloping former industrial sites and, where needed, adding new power generation to support both AI facilities and the broader electric gri
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The U.S. Department of Justice [DOJ] plans to dismiss its criminal case against Matthew Goettsche, the alleged founder of the BitClub Network cryptocurrency investment scheme, Bloomberg Law reported. This could potentially bring one of the longest-running crypto fraud prosecutions to an end.
The reported move comes nearly seven years after federal prosecutors accused Goettsche and several co-defendants of operating a global cryptocurrency mining scheme that allegedly defrauded investors of at least $722 million.
While the DOJ is reportedly preparing to dismiss the case with prejudice, no dismissal motion had appeared on the public court docket at the time of writing.
Bloomberg Law reported that the DOJ has instructed prosecutors in New Jersey to dismiss the charges against Goettsche with prejudice. This means the case could not be refiled if the court approves the request.
The report also said Goettsche’s lawyers informed the court on July 8 that they had reached “an agreement in principle to resolve the pending charges.” A DOJ spokesperson told Bloomberg that the department routinely reviews long-running prosecutions and noted that the case has been pending for seven years.
The spokesperson also said the government is recovering a substantial amount for victims and denied that lobbying efforts influenced the decision.
Federal prosecutors unsealed the BitClub Network indictment in December 2019. It is alleged that Goettsche created and operated a fraudulent cryptocurrency mining investment scheme that collected at least $722 million from investors worldwide.
Prosecutors alleged that the defendants manipulated the mining earnings they displayed to investors while using new participant funds to sustain the operation.
The indictment also included internal messages in which prosecutors alleged members of the scheme discussed inflating mining figures.
They also referred to prospective investors using derogatory terms, arguing that the communications demonstrated knowledge that the business was operating fraudulently.
He agreed to plead guilty to conspiracy to commit money laundering and tax-related offenses arising from his role in laundering BitClub proceeds and assisting with false tax returns.
The reported move, therefore, appears limited to Goettsche’s prosecution rather than signaling the end of all enforcement actions stemming from the BitClub investigation.
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The Senate’s crypto ethics agreement faces yet another hurdle. This roadblock comes as Senator Thom Tillis states that it still requires some work before it can move forward with the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act.
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Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has ground to a near halt as the 60-day truce lapses with no deal, reviving the oil-price risk that has capped crypto all summer. ETF flows, meanwhile, are quietly turning.
The 60-day US-Iran ceasefire is set to expire Monday with no deal and the two sides at an impasse, and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has ground to a near halt.
Only five cargo ships passed through the waterway on Saturday and none registered on Sunday, per Kpler data, against 31 the prior weekend.
Traffic is down about 90% from before the war began in February, through a strait that normally carries a fifth of the world's oil.
The read for crypto runs through oil. A frozen strait and a lapsing ceasefire keep the risk of an oil-price spike alive, and higher crude feeds the inflation pressure that has kept the Fed leaning hawkish and capped bitcoin all summer.
Spot volumes have fallen to two-and-a-half-year lows, perpetual volumes to three-year lows, and volatility sits near multi-year troughs, Fakhro said.
Fresh demand arriving into the thinnest tape in years, when nobody is watching, is how durable bottoms tend to form. He reads bitcoin's six months stuck between $60,000 and $80,000, holding near a 50% drawdown rather than grinding lower the way the 2014, 2018 and 2022 bear markets did, as apathy rather than deterioration, with on-chain data starting to show bottoming characteristics as sentiment shifts from panic to caution.
The risk sits on both sides. Bitcoin is as stuck below $64,000 as it is above $62,000, a box rather than a launchpad, and leverage sharpens it. Perpetual open interest has held above 300,000 BTC through the summer, elevated against its average while volumes collapsed, which leaves the market exposed to a sharp liquidation move in either direction.
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The world of cryptocurrency is complex and ever-evolving, with market making playing a pivotal role in maintaining liquidity and stability. This article explores the concept of crypto market making, its importance, and how it operates within the digital asset ecosystem.
Market makers are crucial for healthy market dynamics as they ensure liquidity and price stability, reducing the spread between buy and sell orders and enabling traders to execute orders efficiently.
This section delves into the process and mechanisms of market making in crypto, highlighting the use of algorithms and automated systems to manage orders and maintain market liquidity.
Market makers employ various strategies to profit from spread differentials and market movements, including high-frequency trading, arbitrage, and order book manipulation.
A market maker provides liquidity to the market by continuously buying and selling assets, thereby facilitating smoother transactions and maintaining price stability. They profit from the spread between buy and sell prices. In contrast, a regular trader looks to profit from market movements by buying low and selling high or vice versa, and does not have the obligation to provide liquidity.
Market makers profit by taking advantage of the bid-ask spread, which is the difference between the highest price a buyer is willing to pay (bid) and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept (ask). They buy at the bid price and sell at the ask price, earning the spread between these two prices. Additionally, they may engage in arbitrage and other trading strategies to capitalize on price discrepancies across different markets.
The main risks include market volatility, where sudden price swings can lead to significant losses; credit risk, particularly in decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms where counterparty risks are prevalent; and regulatory risks, as the legal landscape for cryptocurrencies is still evolving and can impact market making activities.
Regulatory changes can have a profound impact on market making by altering the legal and operational framework within which market makers operate. New regulations can introduce compliance requirements, affect the cost of doing business, and change the risk profile of market making activities. They can also influence market structure and liquidity, affecting the profitability and viability of market making strategies.
While technology, especially advanced algorithms and artificial intelligence, can automate many aspects of market making, complete automation is challenging. Human oversight is still necessary to manage risk, make strategic decisions, and comply with regulatory requirements. Moreover, market conditions can change rapidly and unpredictably, requiring human intervention to adapt strategies and mitigate risks effectively.
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With the Senate facing a narrow window to pass the Clarity Act before the August recess, White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt has secured a deferment from the Georgia Army National Guard service that threatened to pull him away at a very crucial moment.
In the official post, Patrick Witt said, “Last week, it was reported that I was set to leave for mandatory training as part of my service in the Georgia Army National Guard, right before Clarity hits the Senate floor. While I remain committed to fulfilling my service obligation, I am grateful to report that my training has been deferred, and that I will be able to see this effort through to the end
According to multiple sources, the bill still needs 7 votes of Democratic members to reach the required threshold of 60 votes to pass. However, there is still major debate on final negotiations over ethics language and consumer protections.
Witt had already postponed his Guard training once in April to advance the CLARITY Act. In the post, he thanked President Trump and former crypto czar David Sacks for the opportunity to remain on the job.
Earlier today, Patrick Witt took an indirect shot at US lawmakers for the delay in the approval of the Clarity Act while countries like Russia are actively working with pro-crypto legislation. Patrick Witt quoted an earlier post which he shared a few days ago, saying that “The world won’t wait on America forever. We can either lead the way on digital assets by passing the Clarity Act, or watch as someone else sets the rules of global finance for us.”
This week is one of the final opportunities for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act (CLARITY Act) to appear in the Senate before the August recess. There is a very small window of legislative days as lawmakers are planning to depart Washington around August 7-10. If the bill misses this time period, then it would be postponed until the post-midterm lame-duck session or even 2027 due to the midterm election campaign.
This bill will divide regulatory roles between the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for digital assets. This bill has already been approved by the House in 2025 and advanced through the Senate Banking Committee with a 15-9 vote in May 2026.
The bill is currently on the Senate calendar, but a floor vote has not yet been scheduled. Senator Cynthia Lummis has stated that the bill is “ready for prime time” and it could be introduced in the coming days.
However, there is still discussion around major provisions mentioned in the bill. Democrats are demanding stronger ethics rules. In their demand, they need provisions that would ban federal officials from holding or trading certain digital assets. This includes the President, Vice President, and members of Congress.
U.S. President Donald Trump has publicly urged the Senate to pass the bill with the support of Senate leaders Cynthia Lummis, Tim Scott, who chairs the Banking Committee, and Majority Leader John Thune. A revised merged draft is expected to be introduced this week. The possible cloture motion or floor debate is expected to be targeted before the August recess.
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