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🔴🔴 HIGH IMPACT — Friday September 26 PCE Price Index August 🔥 biggest of week 📅 8:30 AM ET · Forecast: ~3.5% YoY The PCE is due on September 26 — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. First PCE after the rate hike — this tells us if the hike is working. Cool PCE = rate hike doing its job = December pause possible. Hot PCE = second hike December confirmed. Most important number of the week. 🌡️ UoM Consumer Sentiment Final (September) 📅 10:00 AM ET Followed by the final U-Mich Consumer Sentiment. How do Americans feel one week after the first rate hike since 2023 and the death of the CLARITY Act? 🧭 #PCE #Inflation #dyor {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(LINKUSDT) {future}(SOLUSDT)
🔴🔴 HIGH IMPACT — Friday September 26
PCE Price Index August 🔥 biggest of week
📅 8:30 AM ET · Forecast: ~3.5% YoY
The PCE is due on September 26 — the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. First PCE after the rate hike — this tells us if the hike is working. Cool PCE = rate hike doing its job = December pause possible. Hot PCE = second hike December confirmed. Most important number of the week. 🌡️

UoM Consumer Sentiment Final (September)
📅 10:00 AM ET
Followed by the final U-Mich Consumer Sentiment. How do Americans feel one week after the first rate hike since 2023 and the death of the CLARITY Act? 🧭

#PCE #Inflation #dyor
🎯note: This week has no single explosive event like last week's FOMC — but 10+ Fed speakers + Friday PCE make it dangerous in a different way. Every casual Fed comment can swing December hike probability between 50% and 80%. Friday PCE at 8:30AM is your main event. Cool print = relief rally for $BTC. Hot print = December hike locked in = $BTC tests $80K support. Don't sleep on this week just because there's no FOMC. 💪 #PCE #Inflation #dyor {future}(BTCUSDT)
🎯note: This week has no single explosive event like last week's FOMC — but 10+ Fed speakers + Friday PCE make it dangerous in a different way. Every casual Fed comment can swing December hike probability between 50% and 80%. Friday PCE at 8:30AM is your main event. Cool print = relief rally for $BTC . Hot print = December hike locked in = $BTC tests $80K support. Don't sleep on this week just because there's no FOMC. 💪

#PCE #Inflation #dyor
U.S. June PCE data is out—this is the inflation indicator the Federal Reserve pays the most attention to! Income rose 0.2%, but consumption rose 0.3%. Americans are spending faster than they earn, and there are clear signs of consumers propping up spending. But the overall numbers are mild—nothing exploded. Inflation is indeed cooling. The soft-landing script is on track, and the Fed has one more reason to feel confident about cutting rates. Remember this logic chain: rate-cut expectations → flooding the dollar with liquidity → looser financial conditions → bullish tailwinds for the “big pie.” In the short term, the market may still churn, but once a loosening cycle begins, the crypto market is never absent. Hold your positions—don’t get shaken out and tossed off the car during the volatility. #PCE #美联储降息 $BTC $ETH
U.S. June PCE data is out—this is the inflation indicator the Federal Reserve pays the most attention to!

Income rose 0.2%, but consumption rose 0.3%. Americans are spending faster than they earn, and there are clear signs of consumers propping up spending.

But the overall numbers are mild—nothing exploded. Inflation is indeed cooling. The soft-landing script is on track, and the Fed has one more reason to feel confident about cutting rates.

Remember this logic chain: rate-cut expectations → flooding the dollar with liquidity → looser financial conditions → bullish tailwinds for the “big pie.”

In the short term, the market may still churn, but once a loosening cycle begins, the crypto market is never absent. Hold your positions—don’t get shaken out and tossed off the car during the volatility.

#PCE #美联储降息 $BTC $ETH
The “Understands King” talked today: The Fed will cut rates on September 1! — I checked the calendar… oh wow, it’s September 1st today. Trump’s rate-cut rationale (logic in the “Understands King” style): - The U.S. GDP could surge to 14%, 15%, 16%, even 20% in the future - The economy is so strong, so of course you can’t raise rates—cut them now! - Translation: If the economy is good, cut rates; if the economy is bad, cut rates even more—just don’t raise rates. But the Fed’s data is a different story: - July PCE inflation is already 3.7% - The Fed’s target is 2% - Elevated inflation + a strong economy = a textbook “rate-hike environment” Even more surreal is the market: - Trump is obsessively pushing for a rate cut - The Fed is watching inflation and preparing to raise rates - And the direction the market is betting on—possibly even a “rate hike in September” Three parties talk past each other: Trump: The economy is too good—rates must be cut! (political logic) The Fed: Inflation is too high—don’t even think about cutting! (data logic) The market: Will it be a hike or not? I’m betting on a hike! (trading logic) What does this three-way standoff mean for the crypto market (key point): 1. If there really is a rate hike in September (the market’s bet): - The dollar strengthens → BTC pressured - Liquidity tightens → valuation compression for risk assets - A short-term move, but after the “bearish news is priced in,” it may bounce back (the market has already priced in part of it) 2. If there is a rate cut in September (Trump’s pressure succeeds): - The dollar weakens → BTC takes off - More liquidity → bull market accelerates - The long-term bull logic is solidified 3. If they do nothing (most likely): - A waiting period → choppy trading - Wait for the next CPI/PCE data to determine the direction Why is Trump so急 (so urgent)? - Election year: rate cuts = better economy = accomplishments - Debt pressure: $40 trillion in U.S. Treasuries—interest payments are getting hard to cover - The stock market as hostage: if U.S. stocks drop, the White House calls the Fed But the Fed’s independence (if it still exists): If inflation is 3.7% and the Fed cuts rates—then the inflation that Volcker crushed in the 1980s with high interest rates would be sent back again. Operation reference for veteran retail “old bulls” (old investors): 1. Before the September meeting: don’t go all-in betting on a direction—three-way games create huge volatility 2. Trump’s remarks = noise—he’s been calling for cuts for two years; the Fed should raise rates and it should still raise rates 3. The real signal is the data—September CPI/PCE, not Trump’s Twitter 4. Prepare for both scripts: if the rate cut lands → BTC rockets to new highs; if the rate hike lands → first down then up (bearish news runs out) Last line: When the “Understands King” calls for rate cuts, the Fed looks at inflation, and the market bets on rate hikes— the Fed’s September meeting is a three-party drama of “politics vs data vs trading.” Remember: Trump’s mouth, the Fed’s brain, the market’s legs—your mouth can talk, the brain has to do the math, and the legs will walk on their own. #特朗普 #美联储 #降息 #PCE
The “Understands King” talked today: The Fed will cut rates on September 1! — I checked the calendar… oh wow, it’s September 1st today.

Trump’s rate-cut rationale (logic in the “Understands King” style):
- The U.S. GDP could surge to 14%, 15%, 16%, even 20% in the future
- The economy is so strong, so of course you can’t raise rates—cut them now!
- Translation: If the economy is good, cut rates; if the economy is bad, cut rates even more—just don’t raise rates.

But the Fed’s data is a different story:
- July PCE inflation is already 3.7%
- The Fed’s target is 2%
- Elevated inflation + a strong economy = a textbook “rate-hike environment”

Even more surreal is the market:
- Trump is obsessively pushing for a rate cut
- The Fed is watching inflation and preparing to raise rates
- And the direction the market is betting on—possibly even a “rate hike in September”

Three parties talk past each other:
Trump: The economy is too good—rates must be cut! (political logic)
The Fed: Inflation is too high—don’t even think about cutting! (data logic)
The market: Will it be a hike or not? I’m betting on a hike! (trading logic)

What does this three-way standoff mean for the crypto market (key point):

1. If there really is a rate hike in September (the market’s bet):
- The dollar strengthens → BTC pressured
- Liquidity tightens → valuation compression for risk assets
- A short-term move, but after the “bearish news is priced in,” it may bounce back (the market has already priced in part of it)

2. If there is a rate cut in September (Trump’s pressure succeeds):
- The dollar weakens → BTC takes off
- More liquidity → bull market accelerates
- The long-term bull logic is solidified

3. If they do nothing (most likely):
- A waiting period → choppy trading
- Wait for the next CPI/PCE data to determine the direction

Why is Trump so急 (so urgent)?
- Election year: rate cuts = better economy = accomplishments
- Debt pressure: $40 trillion in U.S. Treasuries—interest payments are getting hard to cover
- The stock market as hostage: if U.S. stocks drop, the White House calls the Fed

But the Fed’s independence (if it still exists):
If inflation is 3.7% and the Fed cuts rates—then the inflation that Volcker crushed in the 1980s with high interest rates would be sent back again.

Operation reference for veteran retail “old bulls” (old investors):

1. Before the September meeting: don’t go all-in betting on a direction—three-way games create huge volatility
2. Trump’s remarks = noise—he’s been calling for cuts for two years; the Fed should raise rates and it should still raise rates
3. The real signal is the data—September CPI/PCE, not Trump’s Twitter
4. Prepare for both scripts: if the rate cut lands → BTC rockets to new highs; if the rate hike lands → first down then up (bearish news runs out)

Last line:
When the “Understands King” calls for rate cuts, the Fed looks at inflation, and the market bets on rate hikes— the Fed’s September meeting is a three-party drama of “politics vs data vs trading.”

Remember: Trump’s mouth, the Fed’s brain, the market’s legs—your mouth can talk, the brain has to do the math, and the legs will walk on their own.

#特朗普 #美联储 #降息 #PCE
🌡️ macro — inflation stable, growth steady PCE came in with 12-month rate at 3.7% — sticky but not accelerating. GDP growth is stable — the economy is not collapsing but not booming either. As you said — stable is not the same as go to the moon. The macro environment improved from the lows of May-June but remains fragile. One geopolitical shock or one hot inflation print away from reversing. 🧠 #PCE #GDP #dyor #inflation {future}(BTCUSDT) {future}(LINKUSDT) {future}(BNBUSDT)
🌡️ macro — inflation stable, growth steady
PCE came in with 12-month rate at 3.7% — sticky but not accelerating. GDP growth is stable — the economy is not collapsing but not booming either. As you said — stable is not the same as go to the moon. The macro environment improved from the lows of May-June but remains fragile. One geopolitical shock or one hot inflation print away from reversing. 🧠

#PCE #GDP #dyor #inflation
#BitcoinTops$80KThreeMonthHigh 🚨 BITCOIN’S NEXT MOVE COULD GET WILD 👀 ₿ $BTC is holding near $78K after briefly breaking above $81K — but hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation just changed the mood. 🔥 July PCE: 3.7% YoY 📊 Forecast: 3.6% ⚡ Core PCE: 3.3% YoY Now traders are watching two major catalysts: 💥 $6.4B+ Bitcoin options expiry on Friday 🏦 Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech A hawkish Fed message could pressure risk assets, while a dovish tone could give Bitcoin another shot at $80K–$82K+. 🎯 $78K is the battleground. The next 48 hours could decide whether BTC breaks higher… or faces another pullback. 👀🔥 $ETH #bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Fed #PCE #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare
#BitcoinTops$80KThreeMonthHigh
🚨 BITCOIN’S NEXT MOVE COULD GET WILD 👀

₿ $BTC is holding near $78K after briefly breaking above $81K — but hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation just changed the mood.

🔥 July PCE: 3.7% YoY
📊 Forecast: 3.6%
⚡ Core PCE: 3.3% YoY

Now traders are watching two major catalysts:

💥 $6.4B+ Bitcoin options expiry on Friday
🏦 Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech

A hawkish Fed message could pressure risk assets, while a dovish tone could give Bitcoin another shot at $80K–$82K+.

🎯 $78K is the battleground.

The next 48 hours could decide whether BTC breaks higher… or faces another pullback. 👀🔥
$ETH
#bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Fed #PCE #CryptoNews #BinanceSquare
🔥 PCE Inflation Slightly Hotter Than Expected US PCE inflation came in at 3.7% vs. 3.6% expected. The monthly reading also rose 0.2% vs. 0.1% expected, while Core PCE stayed at 3.3%. It’s just a small miss, but it matters because inflation is still well above the Fed’s 2% target. If the next few reports remain sticky, expectations for aggressive rate cuts could weaken — creating pressure on BTC, altcoins and other risk assets. ⚠️ One report doesn’t confirm a trend. For now, I’m watching the next PCE/CPI print, Treasury yields and the dollar closely.$TUT $GIGGLE $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) {spot}(GIGGLEUSDT) {spot}(TUTUSDT) #PCE #Inflation #Inflation #Bitcoin #Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins #Trading #Macro
🔥 PCE Inflation Slightly Hotter Than Expected
US PCE inflation came in at 3.7% vs. 3.6% expected. The monthly reading also rose 0.2% vs. 0.1% expected, while Core PCE stayed at 3.3%.
It’s just a small miss, but it matters because inflation is still well above the Fed’s 2% target.
If the next few reports remain sticky, expectations for aggressive rate cuts could weaken — creating pressure on BTC, altcoins and other risk assets.
⚠️ One report doesn’t confirm a trend. For now, I’m watching the next PCE/CPI print, Treasury yields and the dollar closely.$TUT $GIGGLE $BTC

#PCE #Inflation #Inflation #Bitcoin #Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins #Trading #Macro
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Market is already on edge — Fear & Greed at 80 (Greed), Market Cap 2.63T -0.58% and 24H Volume down -24% to $80.23B. Plus $6.44B in BTC options expire this Friday. 📈 If PCE > 3.6% → Hotter than expected = Fed stays hawkish = pressure on $BTC & alts, volatility spike 📉 If PCE < 3.6% → Cooler than expected = Rate cut hopes up = boost for crypto, risk-on rally $BTC is already primed for a volatile move around the $80K expiry level. PCE will decide the direction. Do NOT over-leverage before data. #PCE #CryptoFearGreedIndexHits74 #Write2Earn
Market is already on edge — Fear & Greed at 80 (Greed), Market Cap 2.63T -0.58% and 24H Volume down -24% to $80.23B. Plus $6.44B in BTC options expire this Friday.

📈 If PCE > 3.6% → Hotter than expected = Fed stays hawkish = pressure on $BTC & alts, volatility spike

📉 If PCE < 3.6% → Cooler than expected = Rate cut hopes up = boost for crypto, risk-on rally

$BTC is already primed for a volatile move around the $80K expiry level. PCE will decide the direction.

Do NOT over-leverage before data.

#PCE #CryptoFearGreedIndexHits74 #Write2Earn
🚨 US PCE INFLATION DATA IS OUT! 🇺🇸 📊 Previous: 3.7% 🎯 Forecast: 3.6% 🔥 Actual: 3.7% Inflation came in higher than expected, which could bring volatility to the crypto market. ⚡ 👀 BTC and altcoins may see strong moves now. Don't FOMO. Don't panic. Wait for confirmation and trade the market, not your emotions. 📈 Bullish or 📉 Bearish? Drop your view below! 👇 #BTC $BTC {spot}(BTCUSDT) #Crypto #Bitcoin #PCE #Binance
🚨 US PCE INFLATION DATA IS OUT! 🇺🇸
📊 Previous: 3.7%
🎯 Forecast: 3.6%
🔥 Actual: 3.7%
Inflation came in higher than expected, which could bring volatility to the crypto market. ⚡
👀 BTC and altcoins may see strong moves now.
Don't FOMO. Don't panic.
Wait for confirmation and trade the market, not your emotions.
📈 Bullish or 📉 Bearish? Drop your view below! 👇
#BTC $BTC
#Crypto #Bitcoin #PCE #Binance
🚨 PCE DATA JUST DROPPED — AND IT CAME IN HOTTER THAN EXPECTED! 🇺🇸 U.S. headline PCE printed at 3.7% YoY, above the 3.6% consensus. Core PCE held at 3.3%, matching expectations. For crypto, this is a slightly bearish signal: 🔴 Hotter inflation → higher-for-longer rate expectations → pressure on risk assets. $BTC and alts may see volatility as the market digests the data. Simple rule: Don’t trade the headline — trade the reaction and structure. 📊 Stay patient, manage risk, and watch the next move closely. 👀🔥 #Crypto #PCE #Fed #BTC #Altcoins
🚨 PCE DATA JUST DROPPED — AND IT CAME IN HOTTER THAN EXPECTED!

🇺🇸 U.S. headline PCE printed at 3.7% YoY, above the 3.6% consensus. Core PCE held at 3.3%, matching expectations.

For crypto, this is a slightly bearish signal: 🔴
Hotter inflation → higher-for-longer rate expectations → pressure on risk assets.

$BTC and alts may see volatility as the market digests the data.

Simple rule: Don’t trade the headline — trade the reaction and structure. 📊

Stay patient, manage risk, and watch the next move closely. 👀🔥

#Crypto #PCE #Fed #BTC #Altcoins
🚨 PCE DATA IS OUT 🚨 US PCE INFLATION REMAINS HOT 🔥 📊 Headline PCE: 3.7% YoY 📊 Core PCE: 3.3% YoY 📈 Monthly PCE: +0.2% 📈 Core PCE: +0.2% The BIG point 👇 Inflation is still well above the Fed's 2% target. ⚠️ This can keep pressure on the Fed and reduce hopes for aggressive rate cuts. Stocks & Crypto traders should watch: 🇺🇸 DXY 💵 Treasury Yields 📈 Nasdaq ₿ BTC Inflation = still a major market risk. What do you think? 📈 Bullish or 📉 Bearish for Crypto? #PCE #Inflation #BTC #Fed #Nasdaq {spot}(BTCUSDT)
🚨 PCE DATA IS OUT 🚨
US PCE INFLATION REMAINS HOT 🔥
📊 Headline PCE: 3.7% YoY
📊 Core PCE: 3.3% YoY
📈 Monthly PCE: +0.2%
📈 Core PCE: +0.2%
The BIG point 👇
Inflation is still well above the Fed's 2% target.
⚠️ This can keep pressure on the Fed and reduce hopes for aggressive rate cuts.
Stocks & Crypto traders should watch:
🇺🇸 DXY
💵 Treasury Yields
📈 Nasdaq
₿ BTC
Inflation = still a major market risk.
What do you think?
📈 Bullish or 📉 Bearish for Crypto?
#PCE #Inflation #BTC #Fed #Nasdaq
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PCE lands: Overall 3.7% slightly above expectations; core 3.3% steady—2-year U.S. Treasury yields return to 4.21%; BTC breaks below 78,000; Nvidia earnings step in hours laterPCE lands: Overall 3.7%, slightly above expectations; core 3.3%, steady—2-year U.S. Treasury yields rebound to 4.21%, BTC breaks below 78,000, and Nvidia’s earnings take over hours later August 26 at 20:30: The inflation indicator the Fed watches most closely is released—July’s headline PCE rose 3.7% year over year (consensus 3.6%) and 0.2% month over month (consensus 0.1%); core PCE was up 3.3% year over year and 0.2% month over month, both in line with expectations. Personal income rose 0.4% month over month (consensus +0.2%), while consumer spending in July stalled (per Caixin/Hexun, 8/26 reporting). Nominal data came in slightly above expectations, and markets immediately voted with yields and risk assets: the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to above 4.21%; BTC fell from above $81,000 before the PCE release to below $78,000; and gold slipped by about 1.3%.

PCE lands: Overall 3.7% slightly above expectations; core 3.3% steady—2-year U.S. Treasury yields return to 4.21%; BTC breaks below 78,000; Nvidia earnings step in hours later

PCE lands: Overall 3.7%, slightly above expectations; core 3.3%, steady—2-year U.S. Treasury yields rebound to 4.21%, BTC breaks below 78,000, and Nvidia’s earnings take over hours later
August 26 at 20:30: The inflation indicator the Fed watches most closely is released—July’s headline PCE rose 3.7% year over year (consensus 3.6%) and 0.2% month over month (consensus 0.1%); core PCE was up 3.3% year over year and 0.2% month over month, both in line with expectations. Personal income rose 0.4% month over month (consensus +0.2%), while consumer spending in July stalled (per Caixin/Hexun, 8/26 reporting). Nominal data came in slightly above expectations, and markets immediately voted with yields and risk assets: the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield rebounded to above 4.21%; BTC fell from above $81,000 before the PCE release to below $78,000; and gold slipped by about 1.3%.
U.S. inflation data release #PCE The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data has been released. The core PCE index rose in line with expectations (about 3.3% year-over-year in recent readings), with a calm month-over-month change. Although it remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, the release does not appear to be a major upside surprise. The market will now assess the implications for Fed Chair Kevin Wirth and the interest-rate path. What do you think about the data and the market’s likely reaction? $BTC #BTC #bnb #ETHETFS #Ethereum $BNB BTCUSDT Perpetual
U.S. inflation data release #PCE
The latest Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index data has been released.
The core PCE index rose in line with expectations (about 3.3% year-over-year in recent readings), with a calm month-over-month change.
Although it remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, the release does not appear to be a major upside surprise. The market will now assess the implications for Fed Chair Kevin Wirth and the interest-rate path.
What do you think about the data and the market’s likely reaction?
$BTC #BTC #bnb #ETHETFS #Ethereum $BNB
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🇺🇸 JUST IN: July Core PCE rose 0.2% MoM and 3.3% YoY, both in line with expectations. Not hot enough to shock the market, but definitely not cool enough for the Fed to relax. 👀 Morgan Stanley’s Ellen Zentner said the data, alongside relatively strong economic activity, isn’t enough to shift the near-term FOMC decision balance. Translation: the Fed is still walking the tightrope. 📊 #BrainrotCrypto #PCE #Fed
🇺🇸 JUST IN: July Core PCE rose 0.2% MoM and 3.3% YoY, both in line with expectations.

Not hot enough to shock the market, but definitely not cool enough for the Fed to relax. 👀

Morgan Stanley’s Ellen Zentner said the data, alongside relatively strong economic activity, isn’t enough to shift the near-term FOMC decision balance.

Translation: the Fed is still walking the tightrope. 📊

#BrainrotCrypto #PCE #Fed
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Copycats are getting smashed—Big Pie is moving sideways waiting for the PCE, and HYPE turned red against the trendPump.fun officially announced support for trading HyperEVM tokens, $HYPE directly pulled up in defiance of the trend, rising 1.4 points in 24 hours and holding steady above $81. The whole room was green—only it and BNB were staying in the red. Big Pie has been trading between 78,000 and 79,500 all day, and the current price is around 78,500—neither longs nor shorts gained any advantage. But for copycats, it’s not so lucky: XRP is down more than 4%, DOGE collapsed from 831 back to 775, INJ is down nearly 7%, and ENA is also down around 6%. By the end of the day, the whole screen was filled with liquidation and margin calls. The most interesting split between longs and shorts is at this level: some are heavily buying the dip around 78,600 on $BTC, while others are heavily shorting the second pie around 2,457. Both exact prices are pinning the current price, and neither side is willing to concede—everyone is waiting for a directional signal.

Copycats are getting smashed—Big Pie is moving sideways waiting for the PCE, and HYPE turned red against the trend

Pump.fun officially announced support for trading HyperEVM tokens, $HYPE directly pulled up in defiance of the trend, rising 1.4 points in 24 hours and holding steady above $81. The whole room was green—only it and BNB were staying in the red.
Big Pie has been trading between 78,000 and 79,500 all day, and the current price is around 78,500—neither longs nor shorts gained any advantage. But for copycats, it’s not so lucky: XRP is down more than 4%, DOGE collapsed from 831 back to 775, INJ is down nearly 7%, and ENA is also down around 6%. By the end of the day, the whole screen was filled with liquidation and margin calls.
The most interesting split between longs and shorts is at this level: some are heavily buying the dip around 78,600 on $BTC , while others are heavily shorting the second pie around 2,457. Both exact prices are pinning the current price, and neither side is willing to concede—everyone is waiting for a directional signal.
PCE might spike to 3.9%, Fed officials lining up to hawk – Rate hikes are on the way April CPI year-over-year jumped to 3.8%, hitting a nearly three-year high, while PPI surged to 6%. Energy costs are fully transmitting to the service sector. Market expectations for April's core PCE have been raised to 3.2%-3.3%, with the overall PCE potentially reaching 3.9%. The internal sentiment at the Fed has shifted. The minutes from the April meeting reveal that the "majority" of officials believe that if inflation remains above 2%, rate hikes "might become appropriate," with even "many" officials calling for the removal of language suggesting future rate cuts. This marks the largest internal divergence within the FOMC since 1992. The interest rate futures market has priced in over a 60% chance of a rate hike before December, with the 10-year Treasury yield nearing 4.7% at one point, and the 30-year surpassing 5.2%, hitting a new high since 2007. Rate hikes are no longer a "black swan" event but are being factored into the baseline scenario. #PCE #宏观预警 $HYPE
PCE might spike to 3.9%, Fed officials lining up to hawk – Rate hikes are on the way

April CPI year-over-year jumped to 3.8%, hitting a nearly three-year high, while PPI surged to 6%. Energy costs are fully transmitting to the service sector. Market expectations for April's core PCE have been raised to 3.2%-3.3%, with the overall PCE potentially reaching 3.9%.

The internal sentiment at the Fed has shifted. The minutes from the April meeting reveal that the "majority" of officials believe that if inflation remains above 2%, rate hikes "might become appropriate," with even "many" officials calling for the removal of language suggesting future rate cuts. This marks the largest internal divergence within the FOMC since 1992.

The interest rate futures market has priced in over a 60% chance of a rate hike before December, with the 10-year Treasury yield nearing 4.7% at one point, and the 30-year surpassing 5.2%, hitting a new high since 2007. Rate hikes are no longer a "black swan" event but are being factored into the baseline scenario.

#PCE #宏观预警 $HYPE
🚨 BREAKING: US PCE INFLATION DATA JUST HIT THE WIRES — AND IT CAME IN EXACTLY IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS 📊🇺🇸 This is a big one for the markets. Headline PCE (YoY): Actual: 3.8% Expected: 3.8% Core PCE (YoY): Actual: 3.3% Expected: 3.3% The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge just delivered no upside surprise, and that matters. Why traders care: 🔥 Inflation did not come in hotter than feared 🔥 Rate-cut hopes are still alive 🔥 Bond yields could ease if markets take this as a cooling signal 🔥 Bitcoin, stocks, and other risk assets may catch a bid if sentiment improves Core PCE is the key number here because it strips out food and energy, giving a cleaner look at underlying inflation trends. And right now, the message is clear: Inflation is still elevated — but it is not re-accelerating. That’s a relief for markets and a key data point for the Fed. Now all eyes turn to: 👀 Federal Reserve commentary 👀 Bond market reaction 👀 Bitcoin + Nasdaq volatility 👀 Future rate-cut odds This was one of the most important macro prints on the calendar — and it landed without triggering a shockwave. For traders, that’s a win. 🚀📈 #PCE #Inflation #FederalReserve #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets
🚨 BREAKING: US PCE INFLATION DATA JUST HIT THE WIRES — AND IT CAME IN EXACTLY IN LINE WITH EXPECTATIONS 📊🇺🇸

This is a big one for the markets.

Headline PCE (YoY):
Actual: 3.8%
Expected: 3.8%

Core PCE (YoY):
Actual: 3.3%
Expected: 3.3%

The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge just delivered no upside surprise, and that matters.

Why traders care:
🔥 Inflation did not come in hotter than feared
🔥 Rate-cut hopes are still alive
🔥 Bond yields could ease if markets take this as a cooling signal
🔥 Bitcoin, stocks, and other risk assets may catch a bid if sentiment improves

Core PCE is the key number here because it strips out food and energy, giving a cleaner look at underlying inflation trends. And right now, the message is clear:

Inflation is still elevated — but it is not re-accelerating.
That’s a relief for markets and a key data point for the Fed.

Now all eyes turn to:
👀 Federal Reserve commentary
👀 Bond market reaction
👀 Bitcoin + Nasdaq volatility
👀 Future rate-cut odds

This was one of the most important macro prints on the calendar — and it landed without triggering a shockwave.
For traders, that’s a win. 🚀📈

#PCE #Inflation #FederalReserve #Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets
·
--
Bullish
$BEAT $XLM $JELLYJELLY 🚨📊 THE NEXT BIG MARKET TRIGGER IS ALMOST HERE 🇺🇸🔥 All eyes are now locked on the upcoming PCE inflation report — the Federal Reserve’s FAVORITE inflation gauge 👀⚡ 📌 WHY THIS DATA IS SO IMPORTANT: The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) index heavily influences the Fed’s next interest rate decisions 💣🏦 ⚠️ MARKETS ARE ON EDGE: • A HOT inflation print could revive rate hike fears 📈 • A COOLER reading may boost hopes for future cuts 📉 • Stocks, crypto & bonds could all see major volatility 💥 📊 WHY TRADERS CARE: The next PCE release may shape the entire near-term direction of: ₿ Bitcoin 📈 Stocks 💵 Treasury yields 🏦 Fed policy expectations 💭 BOTTOM LINE: This isn’t just another economic report… It could become the next major catalyst for global financial markets 🌍🔥 #PCE #FED #Crypto #Stocks #Macro
$BEAT $XLM $JELLYJELLY
🚨📊 THE NEXT BIG MARKET TRIGGER IS ALMOST HERE 🇺🇸🔥

All eyes are now locked on the upcoming PCE inflation report — the Federal Reserve’s FAVORITE inflation gauge 👀⚡

📌 WHY THIS DATA IS SO IMPORTANT:
The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) index heavily influences the Fed’s next interest rate decisions 💣🏦

⚠️ MARKETS ARE ON EDGE:
• A HOT inflation print could revive rate hike fears 📈
• A COOLER reading may boost hopes for future cuts 📉
• Stocks, crypto & bonds could all see major volatility 💥

📊 WHY TRADERS CARE:
The next PCE release may shape the entire near-term direction of:

₿ Bitcoin
📈 Stocks
💵 Treasury yields
🏦 Fed policy expectations

💭 BOTTOM LINE:
This isn’t just another economic report…
It could become the next major catalyst for global financial markets 🌍🔥

#PCE #FED #Crypto #Stocks #Macro
Next week has three key events, each one more crucial than the last—Monday starts with China's LPR, and Friday brings the PCE which will determine our fate. But what I'm really keeping an eye on is Thursday's Nvidia shareholder meeting; with Blackwell+Vera ramping up production, last year this news shot NV up 4.3% to a new high. Bitcoin has been grinding at 64k for a month now, and if the PCE turns out soft + AI narrative sparks, someone might just flip the table in this mud pit. The catch is, PCE has been sticky above 3% for a while, and Waller is sticking to data-driven rhetoric. If PCE exceeds expectations—rate hike fears will rear their heads again, and 64k may not hold. Conversely, if PCE drops + Nvidia leads the charge, the alpha in the AI chain should start to accumulate early. How do you prioritize these three risks? Let's chat in the comments. #下周事件 #宏观数据 #PCE
Next week has three key events, each one more crucial than the last—Monday starts with China's LPR, and Friday brings the PCE which will determine our fate. But what I'm really keeping an eye on is Thursday's Nvidia shareholder meeting; with Blackwell+Vera ramping up production, last year this news shot NV up 4.3% to a new high. Bitcoin has been grinding at 64k for a month now, and if the PCE turns out soft + AI narrative sparks, someone might just flip the table in this mud pit.

The catch is, PCE has been sticky above 3% for a while, and Waller is sticking to data-driven rhetoric. If PCE exceeds expectations—rate hike fears will rear their heads again, and 64k may not hold. Conversely, if PCE drops + Nvidia leads the charge, the alpha in the AI chain should start to accumulate early.

How do you prioritize these three risks? Let's chat in the comments.

#下周事件 #宏观数据 #PCE
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