我是村长

Today's cryptocurrency fear and greed index is 29 (yesterday was 29), currently still in a 'fear' state, with a weekly average of 28. ​​​

#币圈

On the morning of the 11th at 3 o'clock, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell pressed the button that the market had long priced in: a 25 basis point rate cut.
The subsequent plot should have unfolded according to the script of the crypto market: the liquidity floodgates opened, the US dollar index plummeted, and Bitcoin surged towards the $100,000 mark. In fact, the first 15 minutes played out exactly like that—with Bitcoin violently soaring to $94,476, and the alerts for liquidated short positions ringing out across the network.
However, the revelry lasted less than an hour. As Wall Street traders parsed the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement and the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) line by line, market sentiment underwent a dramatic reversal. Bitcoin not only gave back all its gains but also declined to $91,384 in the following hours, forming a standard 'inverted V' shape.

#币圈

As of this morning, the Bitcoin price is fluctuating around $92,700. Looking back at yesterday's (December 9) market, the price once surged to a high of $94,556 but then faced pressure and retreated, entering a consolidation phase. This pattern of 'rising and then falling, high-level adjustment' clearly indicates a significant divergence in the market at this position.
From a technical structure perspective, the 4-hour candlestick chart shows an alternating pattern of rising and falling, with the price recovering above the upper Bollinger Band, where bullish momentum has somewhat paused; the market is gathering strength for the next directional choice. On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are parallel, with the price retracing from the upper band. The $95,000 level, along with the upper Bollinger Band on the daily chart, forms an important defensive position for short-term bears.
If it can break through, it may trigger a new round of explosive growth; if it cannot break through, the market will continue to operate within the current high-level fluctuation range.

#币圈

Last week, MicroStrategy bought 10,624 Bitcoins, worth $962.7 million, with an average purchase price of $90,615, achieving a Bitcoin return of 24.7% from 2025 to present.

Every time someone questions MicroStrategy's capability, saying it will crash, MicroStrategy once again slaps these people's faces hard with action.

#币圈

Cryptanalysis expert 'TXMC' stated on platform X that despite the recent decline in Bitcoin prices, the liveliness of this cycle continues to rise, indicating that there is a bottom in the demand for spot Bitcoin, which has not been reflected in the price trend. This may mean that the bull market cycle of this round has not yet ended. The analyst claims that this indicator reflects the long-term moving average of Bitcoin's on-chain activity, which is the sum of all lifecycle spending and on-chain holding activity. During a bull market, as supplies change hands at higher prices, market 'liveliness' typically increases, indicating a new influx of investment capital.

#币圈

This morning, the simultaneous rise of Bitcoin and Ethereum has brought a rare warmth to the market, proving that buying power still exists near key support levels. However, we must clearly recognize that this is more like the calm before the storm. This week's Federal Reserve FOMC meeting is like the 'Sword of Damocles' hanging over the market, and the policy signals it releases will directly determine the short-term fate of global risk assets.
For Bitcoin, the support zone of $87,000-$88,000 is the bottom line that cannot be lost, while the resistance range of $92,000-$95,000 is the ceiling that requires all efforts to break through. For Ethereum, stabilizing above $3,100 is the basis for maintaining strength, but it needs to quickly move away from this area to expand upward space to avoid changes after prolonged consolidation.

#币圈

Early this morning, the price of Bitcoin fell below the key psychological level of $91,000, with a daily decline reaching as much as 1.87%. Although there was a technical rebound afterward, the decline narrowed to about 1.2%, with prices hovering around $92,300. This volatility has undoubtedly sounded the alarm for the market.
After several weeks of significant rebound from a low of $80,000, Bitcoin has failed to establish a solid position above $94,000, instead revealing signs of fatigue once again. Currently, the market is at a critical crossroads defined by a macroeconomic storm, a fragile technical structure, and conflicting bullish and bearish expectations.

#币圈

Yesterday's high fell from 93915 to around 91370, continuing the daytime rebound early in the morning, rising to 94127 and then fluctuating around 93000. It still maintains a high-level consolidation pattern after the rebound, as technical indicators show overbought conditions leading to profit-taking. The price faced pressure when attempting to break higher resistance levels, but market trading remained active, and overall volatility narrowed, indicating a cautious sentiment at high levels. Currently, the price is still constrained by the daily MA30 moving average at 94300, with strong resistance remaining in the 95000-96000 range. Looking at the short-term four-hour chart, after experiencing seven consecutive bullish candles, the price action has narrowed, indicating a weakening upward momentum, and the risk of a short-term pullback has increased. During the day, attention should be paid to the strength of the pullback repair, with support levels to watch at 92500 (which broke through an important resistance yesterday and confirmed support on the pullback) and the 91500-91000 range! However, Bitcoin's overall rebound today is lower than that of Ethereum, so be mindful of subsequent recovery situations.

#币圈

Yesterday, there were several major positive factors that led to the rise

1. Next year, Powell confirmed his resignation, and expectations for interest rate cuts have increased
2. The world's second-largest asset management company, Vanguard, will allow investors to trade BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF
3. Yesterday, the Federal Reserve officially confirmed the end of quantitative tightening

With these three positive news items, BTC rebounded strongly, and it's only a matter of time before it breaks through 100,000 again

#币圈

Today is Wednesday. After experiencing significant fluctuations in the previous trading day, Bitcoin exhibited a strong rebound on December 3rd. Bitcoin broke above the $92,000 level during early Asian trading, with a maximum increase of nearly 8% in the past 24 hours, currently trading above $92,700. Meanwhile, Ethereum also strongly broke through the $3,000 barrier, and the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market has significantly improved.

#币圈

The start of December has been hit again, directly plummeting to five points early in the morning! Currently, BTC 86700 ETH 2850, it looks like the beginning of this month is again a story of looking for support levels: in the short term, ETF funds are flowing back, and in the long term, the chips are starting to loosen; below, we still honestly respect the trend, not gambling on V-shaped carbohydrates, and if there is another drop, we will wait for an exhilarating or exciting surprise to take action. Looking for support levels, patiently waiting,

#币圈

On November 28, according to Coinbob's popular address monitoring, in the past 5 hours, the "largest short on ZEC on Hyperliquid" has continuously increased its MON short position by approximately $1.2 million, with an average price rising to $0.0369. The floating loss has narrowed from yesterday's $1.3 million to $30,000, with the current position size approximately $6.57 million, making it the largest short on MON on Hyperliquid.

In addition, the current floating loss on ZEC short position for this address has further narrowed from yesterday's $6.14 million to a current floating loss of $2.9 million (50%), with a position size of $30 million and an average price of $419. Previously, on the 17th, the maximum floating loss reached $21 million.#币圈

The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December is currently 84.9% and is still increasing.

The market has been rebounding as expected, with Bitcoin at 95,000 and Ethereum at 3,400.

A flourishing market gives the feeling of a bull market again.

If the monthly line can be pulled more aggressively, it would be even more comfortable to have a big market movement.

#币圈