FOMO港美股
256 Posts
FOMO港美股
Report
Block User
关注港股与美股的重要财报、行业热点和交易主线，持续更新一图读懂、主题梳理和核心信息拆解。
12 Following
311 Followers
331 Liked
Posts
All
Quotes
Videos
PINNED
·
--
Binance Wallet held 20 trading competitions—did these tokens later go up or down?
From August to now, Binance Wallet has held 20 trading competitions on Binance Alpha in rapid succession. There’s nearly one every two or three days, with prize pools worth between $100,000 and $200,000 each.
Let’s start with three key conclusions:
1. From the day each competition started—buying, holding until today—the median return of the 20 events is −10.8%, and only 6 of them were up.
2. Selling pressure was pushed systematically to after the contest. During the 7 days following the end of the competition, the median return was −1.8%. If you convert “the week after” into “holding from the start date,” the median is −23.8%, with 0 positive results in 14 events.
3. But during the contest period, there’s meat: in 16 out of 20 events, prices reached above the opening price at some point, with a median high of +14.3%. What makes money is the person who takes profit—not the one who just holds and does nothing.
If you want to participate, or buy these promotional tokens during the trading competition period, pay attention to:
1. Don’t chase on the competition start day. By T+1 the median is already negative; day one is the most crowded moment for buy orders.
2. If you’re going to participate, wait until after the 0 to 7 day post-competition selling pressure has been released before reassessing—this window itself doesn’t provide direction, but at least it’s free of contest interference.
3. If you trade during the contest period, treat it like a swing trade—not an investment: 16/20 offer the chance to tag the highs, but 18 of them broke below the opening price and the other 2 merely went flat. None had a lowest point higher than the opening price. You must pre-plan take-profit and stop-loss.
4. Keep position sizing within one-third of total capital, and never exceed 15% per trade.
5. You must close positions 1 to 2 days before the schedule ends, because reward distribution is the timing when selling pressure is released.
Currently ongoing: $AEON $COAI
#交易竞赛 #币安活动 #币安钱包
Binance Wallet held 20 trading competitions—did these tokens later go up or down?
From August to now, Binance Wallet has held 20 trading competitions on Binance Alpha in rapid succession. There’s nearly one every two or three days, with prize pools worth between $100,000 and $200,000 each.
Let’s start with three key conclusions:
1. From the day each competition started—buying, holding until today—the median return of the 20 events is −10.8%, and only 6 of them were up.
2. Selling pressure was pushed systematically to after the contest. During the 7 days following the end of the competition, the median return was −1.8%. If you convert “the week after” into “holding from the start date,” the median is −23.8%, with 0 positive results in 14 events.
3. But during the contest period, there’s meat: in 16 out of 20 events, prices reached above the opening price at some point, with a median high of +14.3%. What makes money is the person who takes profit—not the one who just holds and does nothing.
If you want to participate, or buy these promotional tokens during the trading competition period, pay attention to:
1. Don’t chase on the competition start day. By T+1 the median is already negative; day one is the most crowded moment for buy orders.
2. If you’re going to participate, wait until after the 0 to 7 day post-competition selling pressure has been released before reassessing—this window itself doesn’t provide direction, but at least it’s free of contest interference.
3. If you trade during the contest period, treat it like a swing trade—not an investment: 16/20 offer the chance to tag the highs, but 18 of them broke below the opening price and the other 2 merely went flat. None had a lowest point higher than the opening price. You must pre-plan take-profit and stop-loss.
4. Keep position sizing within one-third of total capital, and never exceed 15% per trade.
5. You must close positions 1 to 2 days before the schedule ends, because reward distribution is the timing when selling pressure is released.
Currently ongoing: $AEON $COAI
#交易竞赛 #币安活动 #币安钱包
From August to now, Binance Wallet has held 20 trading competitions on Binance Alpha in rapid succession. There’s nearly one every two or three days, with prize pools worth between $100,000 and $200,000 each.
Let’s start with three key conclusions:
1. From the day each competition started—buying, holding until today—the median return of the 20 events is −10.8%, and only 6 of them were up.
2. Selling pressure was pushed systematically to after the contest. During the 7 days following the end of the competition, the median return was −1.8%. If you convert “the week after” into “holding from the start date,” the median is −23.8%, with 0 positive results in 14 events.
3. But during the contest period, there’s meat: in 16 out of 20 events, prices reached above the opening price at some point, with a median high of +14.3%. What makes money is the person who takes profit—not the one who just holds and does nothing.
If you want to participate, or buy these promotional tokens during the trading competition period, pay attention to:
1. Don’t chase on the competition start day. By T+1 the median is already negative; day one is the most crowded moment for buy orders.
2. If you’re going to participate, wait until after the 0 to 7 day post-competition selling pressure has been released before reassessing—this window itself doesn’t provide direction, but at least it’s free of contest interference.
3. If you trade during the contest period, treat it like a swing trade—not an investment: 16/20 offer the chance to tag the highs, but 18 of them broke below the opening price and the other 2 merely went flat. None had a lowest point higher than the opening price. You must pre-plan take-profit and stop-loss.
4. Keep position sizing within one-third of total capital, and never exceed 15% per trade.
5. You must close positions 1 to 2 days before the schedule ends, because reward distribution is the timing when selling pressure is released.
Currently ongoing: $AEON $COAI
#交易竞赛 #币安活动 #币安钱包
4
2
22
15.3k
PINNED
·
--
Pinned｜What are the main updates for FOMO Hong Kong and US stocks?
This is FOMO HK/US stocks.
This account mainly focuses on US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and tech stock earnings reports, as well as the link between BTC, macro liquidity, and traditional markets.
We will continuously update several types of content:
1. Breakdown and core data of popular company earnings reports
2. Main lines in US tech, semiconductors, AI, and other industries
3. Market hotspots, ETF holdings stocks, and changes in institutional positions
4. Market observations on BTC and US stocks, interest rates, the US dollar, gold, and other assets
5. Tracking market content related to BStock and stocks
I’ll do my best to use shorter text and charts to make two things clear:
1. What the market is trading right now
2. What data or events ahead still need to be verified
If you’re also into US stocks, tech stocks, BTC, and market hotspots, feel free to follow and track along together.
Binance trading invitation: [FOMOBSTOCK](https://www.bsmkweb.cc/register?ref=FOMOBSTOCK)
Trading involves risk—please make decisions based on your own circumstances.
Pinned｜What are the main updates for FOMO Hong Kong and US stocks?
This is FOMO HK/US stocks.
This account mainly focuses on US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and tech stock earnings reports, as well as the link between BTC, macro liquidity, and traditional markets.
We will continuously update several types of content:
1. Breakdown and core data of popular company earnings reports
2. Main lines in US tech, semiconductors, AI, and other industries
3. Market hotspots, ETF holdings stocks, and changes in institutional positions
4. Market observations on BTC and US stocks, interest rates, the US dollar, gold, and other assets
5. Tracking market content related to BStock and stocks
I’ll do my best to use shorter text and charts to make two things clear:
1. What the market is trading right now
2. What data or events ahead still need to be verified
If you’re also into US stocks, tech stocks, BTC, and market hotspots, feel free to follow and track along together.
Binance trading invitation: FOMOBSTOCK
Trading involves risk—please make decisions based on your own circumstances.
This is FOMO HK/US stocks.
This account mainly focuses on US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and tech stock earnings reports, as well as the link between BTC, macro liquidity, and traditional markets.
We will continuously update several types of content:
1. Breakdown and core data of popular company earnings reports
2. Main lines in US tech, semiconductors, AI, and other industries
3. Market hotspots, ETF holdings stocks, and changes in institutional positions
4. Market observations on BTC and US stocks, interest rates, the US dollar, gold, and other assets
5. Tracking market content related to BStock and stocks
I’ll do my best to use shorter text and charts to make two things clear:
1. What the market is trading right now
2. What data or events ahead still need to be verified
If you’re also into US stocks, tech stocks, BTC, and market hotspots, feel free to follow and track along together.
Binance trading invitation: FOMOBSTOCK
Trading involves risk—please make decisions based on your own circumstances.
1
393
·
--
Bullish
Storage Chip ETF in September: up 6%; the two leaders from last month both fell
The Storage Chip ETF $DRAMB 9 rose 6.08% in September, based on adjusted closing prices. After excluding non-equity positions and consolidating duplicate holdings, it held 11 companies: 7 gained and 4 fell. The gain was only half of August’s 12.96%.
The biggest gainer wasn’t the largest holding. Micron $MUB had a combined weight of 26.45%; $STXB had a weight of 4.76% and gained 11.43%, the best performance this period. SanDisk rose 11.05%, putting all three close to the 11% mark.
Performance diverged sharply at the other end. GigaDevice fell 12.83%, the biggest drop this period; ChangXin Technology fell 5.55%. On a combined, exposure-weighted basis, Samsung and SK Hynix gained just 3.27% and 6.25%, respectively. Together with Micron, the two companies account for 73.75% of the holdings.
The two major Korean stocks are the ones to watch next. Samsung and SK Hynix together make up 47.3% of the portfolio, yet their gains lagged well behind Micron’s. For the index to climb to the next level, they’ll need to take the baton. Nanya Technology, which surged 50.62% in August, and Winbond Electronics, up 40.38%, both fell in September. That suggests the whole supply chain isn’t rising in unison; I’d interpret it instead as heavyweight stocks propping up the index.
The above is compiled from publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#存储芯片 #美股ETF #半导体
Storage Chip ETF in September: up 6%; the two leaders from last month both fell
The Storage Chip ETF $DRAMB 9 rose 6.08% in September, based on adjusted closing prices. After excluding non-equity positions and consolidating duplicate holdings, it held 11 companies: 7 gained and 4 fell. The gain was only half of August’s 12.96%.
The biggest gainer wasn’t the largest holding. Micron $MUB had a combined weight of 26.45%; $STXB had a weight of 4.76% and gained 11.43%, the best performance this period. SanDisk rose 11.05%, putting all three close to the 11% mark.
Performance diverged sharply at the other end. GigaDevice fell 12.83%, the biggest drop this period; ChangXin Technology fell 5.55%. On a combined, exposure-weighted basis, Samsung and SK Hynix gained just 3.27% and 6.25%, respectively. Together with Micron, the two companies account for 73.75% of the holdings.
The two major Korean stocks are the ones to watch next. Samsung and SK Hynix together make up 47.3% of the portfolio, yet their gains lagged well behind Micron’s. For the index to climb to the next level, they’ll need to take the baton. Nanya Technology, which surged 50.62% in August, and Winbond Electronics, up 40.38%, both fell in September. That suggests the whole supply chain isn’t rising in unison; I’d interpret it instead as heavyweight stocks propping up the index.
The above is compiled from publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#存储芯片 #美股ETF #半导体
The Storage Chip ETF $DRAMB 9 rose 6.08% in September, based on adjusted closing prices. After excluding non-equity positions and consolidating duplicate holdings, it held 11 companies: 7 gained and 4 fell. The gain was only half of August’s 12.96%.
The biggest gainer wasn’t the largest holding. Micron $MUB had a combined weight of 26.45%; $STXB had a weight of 4.76% and gained 11.43%, the best performance this period. SanDisk rose 11.05%, putting all three close to the 11% mark.
Performance diverged sharply at the other end. GigaDevice fell 12.83%, the biggest drop this period; ChangXin Technology fell 5.55%. On a combined, exposure-weighted basis, Samsung and SK Hynix gained just 3.27% and 6.25%, respectively. Together with Micron, the two companies account for 73.75% of the holdings.
The two major Korean stocks are the ones to watch next. Samsung and SK Hynix together make up 47.3% of the portfolio, yet their gains lagged well behind Micron’s. For the index to climb to the next level, they’ll need to take the baton. Nanya Technology, which surged 50.62% in August, and Winbond Electronics, up 40.38%, both fell in September. That suggests the whole supply chain isn’t rising in unison; I’d interpret it instead as heavyweight stocks propping up the index.
The above is compiled from publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#存储芯片 #美股ETF #半导体
137
·
--
Lumentum: Optical components sold out through 2029; capacity is the constraint
Lumentum$LITEB CEO said on Bloomberg on October 9 that the company’s AI optical component capacity is already sold out through early 2029. Six months ago, he was saying 2028.
The shortfall isn’t on the demand side; it’s on the production-line side. For some products, the company still can’t meet about 70% of demand in 2027; for others, the shortfall is around 30% in 2028. Those figures don’t refer to the same thing: they involve different products and different time periods, not one and the same shortfall narrowing.
Nvidia invested $2 billion in March and also made multiyear purchase commitments, but that hasn’t closed the gap. Coherent $COHRB and AAOI$AAOIB , in the same supply chain, are among the companies with production capacity to spare. Optical components are the link that connects GPUs. Even the fastest chips are no use if the data can’t be moved.
Going forward, the thing to watch is production capacity. The new InP plant won’t reach mass production until mid-2028, and until then the shortfall will only become more acute. In this supply chain, I’d rather look at suppliers that already have capacity in place than those simply riding the AI theme.
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#光模块 #AI基础设施 #美股超话
Original article: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-09/nvidia-backed-lumentum-sees-opto-parts-capacity-sold-out-to-2029
Lumentum: Optical components sold out through 2029; capacity is the constraint
Lumentum$LITEB CEO said on Bloomberg on October 9 that the company’s AI optical component capacity is already sold out through early 2029. Six months ago, he was saying 2028.
The shortfall isn’t on the demand side; it’s on the production-line side. For some products, the company still can’t meet about 70% of demand in 2027; for others, the shortfall is around 30% in 2028. Those figures don’t refer to the same thing: they involve different products and different time periods, not one and the same shortfall narrowing.
Nvidia invested $2 billion in March and also made multiyear purchase commitments, but that hasn’t closed the gap. Coherent $COHRB and AAOI$AAOIB , in the same supply chain, are among the companies with production capacity to spare. Optical components are the link that connects GPUs. Even the fastest chips are no use if the data can’t be moved.
Going forward, the thing to watch is production capacity. The new InP plant won’t reach mass production until mid-2028, and until then the shortfall will only become more acute. In this supply chain, I’d rather look at suppliers that already have capacity in place than those simply riding the AI theme.
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#光模块 #AI基础设施 #美股超话
Original article: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-09/nvidia-backed-lumentum-sees-opto-parts-capacity-sold-out-to-2029
Lumentum$LITEB CEO said on Bloomberg on October 9 that the company’s AI optical component capacity is already sold out through early 2029. Six months ago, he was saying 2028.
The shortfall isn’t on the demand side; it’s on the production-line side. For some products, the company still can’t meet about 70% of demand in 2027; for others, the shortfall is around 30% in 2028. Those figures don’t refer to the same thing: they involve different products and different time periods, not one and the same shortfall narrowing.
Nvidia invested $2 billion in March and also made multiyear purchase commitments, but that hasn’t closed the gap. Coherent $COHRB and AAOI$AAOIB , in the same supply chain, are among the companies with production capacity to spare. Optical components are the link that connects GPUs. Even the fastest chips are no use if the data can’t be moved.
Going forward, the thing to watch is production capacity. The new InP plant won’t reach mass production until mid-2028, and until then the shortfall will only become more acute. In this supply chain, I’d rather look at suppliers that already have capacity in place than those simply riding the AI theme.
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#光模块 #AI基础设施 #美股超话
Original article: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-10-09/nvidia-backed-lumentum-sees-opto-parts-capacity-sold-out-to-2029
71
·
--
On September 27, I reviewed 20 trading competitions: buying on launch day and holding until now would have yielded a median return of -10.8%, with only 6 competitions in positive territory.
Four more competitions have launched in 12 days: Doppler (9/29), O Round 2 (9/30), Concrete (10/1), and Zest Round 2 (10/8). All four are still underway: each competition has two 7-day rounds, and only the first round has finished so far.
Returns since launch for the four competitions: Doppler -21.8%, O Round 2 -18.3%, Concrete -35.6%, and Zest +1.8%. Concrete surged as high as +29.9% intraday, but has since fallen to -35.6%. If you can’t hold on to the gains during the competition, they’ll go to someone else.
Among the 20 completed competitions, the median return during the competition was -6.6%, with only 6 in positive territory. Seven days after the competitions ended, all 14 were trading below their launch prices. Over the same period, $BTC rose, while competition tokens underperformed the median by 11.9 percentage points during the competition.
There were positive-return examples, but they were few and far between: PIEVERSE +42.5%, DEBIT +29.5%, and AEON +14.9%—these were the only 6 positive finishes among the 20 competitions.
Adding one more rule: beware of a return for another round. It isn’t good news; it’s another round of “buying for the rewards.”
Currently underway: $XDP $CT ZEST
#交易竞赛 #币安钱包 #币安Alpha
On September 27, I reviewed 20 trading competitions: buying on launch day and holding until now would have yielded a median return of -10.8%, with only 6 competitions in positive territory.
Four more competitions have launched in 12 days: Doppler (9/29), O Round 2 (9/30), Concrete (10/1), and Zest Round 2 (10/8). All four are still underway: each competition has two 7-day rounds, and only the first round has finished so far.
Returns since launch for the four competitions: Doppler -21.8%, O Round 2 -18.3%, Concrete -35.6%, and Zest +1.8%. Concrete surged as high as +29.9% intraday, but has since fallen to -35.6%. If you can’t hold on to the gains during the competition, they’ll go to someone else.
Among the 20 completed competitions, the median return during the competition was -6.6%, with only 6 in positive territory. Seven days after the competitions ended, all 14 were trading below their launch prices. Over the same period, $BTC rose, while competition tokens underperformed the median by 11.9 percentage points during the competition.
There were positive-return examples, but they were few and far between: PIEVERSE +42.5%, DEBIT +29.5%, and AEON +14.9%—these were the only 6 positive finishes among the 20 competitions.
Adding one more rule: beware of a return for another round. It isn’t good news; it’s another round of “buying for the rewards.”
Currently underway: $XDP $CT ZEST
#交易竞赛 #币安钱包 #币安Alpha
Four more competitions have launched in 12 days: Doppler (9/29), O Round 2 (9/30), Concrete (10/1), and Zest Round 2 (10/8). All four are still underway: each competition has two 7-day rounds, and only the first round has finished so far.
Returns since launch for the four competitions: Doppler -21.8%, O Round 2 -18.3%, Concrete -35.6%, and Zest +1.8%. Concrete surged as high as +29.9% intraday, but has since fallen to -35.6%. If you can’t hold on to the gains during the competition, they’ll go to someone else.
Among the 20 completed competitions, the median return during the competition was -6.6%, with only 6 in positive territory. Seven days after the competitions ended, all 14 were trading below their launch prices. Over the same period, $BTC rose, while competition tokens underperformed the median by 11.9 percentage points during the competition.
There were positive-return examples, but they were few and far between: PIEVERSE +42.5%, DEBIT +29.5%, and AEON +14.9%—these were the only 6 positive finishes among the 20 competitions.
Adding one more rule: beware of a return for another round. It isn’t good news; it’s another round of “buying for the rewards.”
Currently underway: $XDP $CT ZEST
#交易竞赛 #币安钱包 #币安Alpha
FOMO港美股
·
--
Binance Wallet held 20 trading competitions—did these tokens later go up or down?
From August to now, Binance Wallet has held 20 trading competitions on Binance Alpha in rapid succession. There’s nearly one every two or three days, with prize pools worth between $100,000 and $200,000 each.
Let’s start with three key conclusions:
1. From the day each competition started—buying, holding until today—the median return of the 20 events is −10.8%, and only 6 of them were up.
2. Selling pressure was pushed systematically to after the contest. During the 7 days following the end of the competition, the median return was −1.8%. If you convert “the week after” into “holding from the start date,” the median is −23.8%, with 0 positive results in 14 events.
3. But during the contest period, there’s meat: in 16 out of 20 events, prices reached above the opening price at some point, with a median high of +14.3%. What makes money is the person who takes profit—not the one who just holds and does nothing.
If you want to participate, or buy these promotional tokens during the trading competition period, pay attention to:
1. Don’t chase on the competition start day. By T+1 the median is already negative; day one is the most crowded moment for buy orders.
2. If you’re going to participate, wait until after the 0 to 7 day post-competition selling pressure has been released before reassessing—this window itself doesn’t provide direction, but at least it’s free of contest interference.
3. If you trade during the contest period, treat it like a swing trade—not an investment: 16/20 offer the chance to tag the highs, but 18 of them broke below the opening price and the other 2 merely went flat. None had a lowest point higher than the opening price. You must pre-plan take-profit and stop-loss.
4. Keep position sizing within one-third of total capital, and never exceed 15% per trade.
5. You must close positions 1 to 2 days before the schedule ends, because reward distribution is the timing when selling pressure is released.
Currently ongoing: $AEON $COAI
#交易竞赛 #币安活动 #币安钱包
From August to now, Binance Wallet has held 20 trading competitions on Binance Alpha in rapid succession. There’s nearly one every two or three days, with prize pools worth between $100,000 and $200,000 each.
Let’s start with three key conclusions:
1. From the day each competition started—buying, holding until today—the median return of the 20 events is −10.8%, and only 6 of them were up.
2. Selling pressure was pushed systematically to after the contest. During the 7 days following the end of the competition, the median return was −1.8%. If you convert “the week after” into “holding from the start date,” the median is −23.8%, with 0 positive results in 14 events.
3. But during the contest period, there’s meat: in 16 out of 20 events, prices reached above the opening price at some point, with a median high of +14.3%. What makes money is the person who takes profit—not the one who just holds and does nothing.
If you want to participate, or buy these promotional tokens during the trading competition period, pay attention to:
1. Don’t chase on the competition start day. By T+1 the median is already negative; day one is the most crowded moment for buy orders.
2. If you’re going to participate, wait until after the 0 to 7 day post-competition selling pressure has been released before reassessing—this window itself doesn’t provide direction, but at least it’s free of contest interference.
3. If you trade during the contest period, treat it like a swing trade—not an investment: 16/20 offer the chance to tag the highs, but 18 of them broke below the opening price and the other 2 merely went flat. None had a lowest point higher than the opening price. You must pre-plan take-profit and stop-loss.
4. Keep position sizing within one-third of total capital, and never exceed 15% per trade.
5. You must close positions 1 to 2 days before the schedule ends, because reward distribution is the timing when selling pressure is released.
Currently ongoing: $AEON $COAI
#交易竞赛 #币安活动 #币安钱包
538
·
--
Citrini disclosed a 15-token portfolio; DRV initially surged 20% that day
Citrini’s 79-page report, published on October 8, argues that AI agents don’t sleep, so capital needs to be in markets that never close. One example it gives is Hyperliquid $HYPE : during the Iran conflict, when crude oil futures markets were closed for the weekend, it was one of the few places where crude derivatives could still be traded.
This isn’t an obscure firm. Its earlier analysis of AI’s impact on employment triggered a wave of U.S. stock selling. Its Substack has about 260,000 subscribers, and it was acquired by SemiAnalysis just last September.
What’s more notable is that the report disclosed its portfolio weights: of the 15 tokens, Derive’s DRV, LIT, and ETHFI each received a 10% allocation. On the day the report was published, DRV briefly rose more than 20%.
However, the report itself also notes that increased on-chain activity doesn’t guarantee token price gains. During the same period, #solana and #Hyperliquid were still falling.
Going forward, I’m watching three variables: whether the SEC’s five-year exemption can translate into trading volume; whether Coinbase$COINB gets approval for stock perpetuals; and whether the smaller tokens mentioned can generate real fee revenue. For now, I’d treat this as a narrative, not a trend.
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
Original article: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/breaking-the-wall
Citrini disclosed a 15-token portfolio; DRV initially surged 20% that day
Citrini’s 79-page report, published on October 8, argues that AI agents don’t sleep, so capital needs to be in markets that never close. One example it gives is Hyperliquid $HYPE : during the Iran conflict, when crude oil futures markets were closed for the weekend, it was one of the few places where crude derivatives could still be traded.
This isn’t an obscure firm. Its earlier analysis of AI’s impact on employment triggered a wave of U.S. stock selling. Its Substack has about 260,000 subscribers, and it was acquired by SemiAnalysis just last September.
What’s more notable is that the report disclosed its portfolio weights: of the 15 tokens, Derive’s DRV, LIT, and ETHFI each received a 10% allocation. On the day the report was published, DRV briefly rose more than 20%.
However, the report itself also notes that increased on-chain activity doesn’t guarantee token price gains. During the same period, #solana and #Hyperliquid were still falling.
Going forward, I’m watching three variables: whether the SEC’s five-year exemption can translate into trading volume; whether Coinbase$COINB gets approval for stock perpetuals; and whether the smaller tokens mentioned can generate real fee revenue. For now, I’d treat this as a narrative, not a trend.
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
Original article: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/breaking-the-wall
Citrini’s 79-page report, published on October 8, argues that AI agents don’t sleep, so capital needs to be in markets that never close. One example it gives is Hyperliquid $HYPE : during the Iran conflict, when crude oil futures markets were closed for the weekend, it was one of the few places where crude derivatives could still be traded.
This isn’t an obscure firm. Its earlier analysis of AI’s impact on employment triggered a wave of U.S. stock selling. Its Substack has about 260,000 subscribers, and it was acquired by SemiAnalysis just last September.
What’s more notable is that the report disclosed its portfolio weights: of the 15 tokens, Derive’s DRV, LIT, and ETHFI each received a 10% allocation. On the day the report was published, DRV briefly rose more than 20%.
However, the report itself also notes that increased on-chain activity doesn’t guarantee token price gains. During the same period, #solana and #Hyperliquid were still falling.
Going forward, I’m watching three variables: whether the SEC’s five-year exemption can translate into trading volume; whether Coinbase$COINB gets approval for stock perpetuals; and whether the smaller tokens mentioned can generate real fee revenue. For now, I’d treat this as a narrative, not a trend.
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
Original article: https://www.citriniresearch.com/p/breaking-the-wall
265
·
--
Verified
Based on the previous price action, $CBRSB has entered the buying zone at the bottom of the 160–240 range. Previously, it traded in a wide range within this band.
The biggest headwind is still the successive waves of insider share unlocks:
1. The largest single unlock is on September 30, directly putting pressure on the share price: approximately 19.4 million insider shares become eligible for sale that day, representing about 8% of the float. After the news was announced, CBRS promptly fell below its IPO price of $185.
2. Insiders have already sold shares on a large scale: CEO Andrew Feldman and CTO Sean Lie sold a combined total of more than $240 million worth of shares between August 20 and September 25. The COO and CFO also filed notices of intent to sell a combined total of approximately $84 million worth of shares.
3. The final unlock date (November 9) remains a sword hanging over the market: all remaining locked-up shares will become eligible for sale at once, and the ultimate scale of the supply shock is still unclear, creating ongoing downward pressure.
I think it may be worth looking at how $SPCXB traded when its lock-up expired in early August: it briefly fell below the range, then recovered and staged a major rebound. That said, overall market indices and Treasury yields are indeed risky at the moment, so size your positions accordingly.
{future}(CBRSUSDT)
#芯片 #美债收益率
Based on the previous price action, $CBRSB has entered the buying zone at the bottom of the 160–240 range. Previously, it traded in a wide range within this band.
The biggest headwind is still the successive waves of insider share unlocks:
1. The largest single unlock is on September 30, directly putting pressure on the share price: approximately 19.4 million insider shares become eligible for sale that day, representing about 8% of the float. After the news was announced, CBRS promptly fell below its IPO price of $185.
2. Insiders have already sold shares on a large scale: CEO Andrew Feldman and CTO Sean Lie sold a combined total of more than $240 million worth of shares between August 20 and September 25. The COO and CFO also filed notices of intent to sell a combined total of approximately $84 million worth of shares.
3. The final unlock date (November 9) remains a sword hanging over the market: all remaining locked-up shares will become eligible for sale at once, and the ultimate scale of the supply shock is still unclear, creating ongoing downward pressure.
I think it may be worth looking at how $SPCXB traded when its lock-up expired in early August: it briefly fell below the range, then recovered and staged a major rebound. That said, overall market indices and Treasury yields are indeed risky at the moment, so size your positions accordingly.
#芯片 #美债收益率
The biggest headwind is still the successive waves of insider share unlocks:
1. The largest single unlock is on September 30, directly putting pressure on the share price: approximately 19.4 million insider shares become eligible for sale that day, representing about 8% of the float. After the news was announced, CBRS promptly fell below its IPO price of $185.
2. Insiders have already sold shares on a large scale: CEO Andrew Feldman and CTO Sean Lie sold a combined total of more than $240 million worth of shares between August 20 and September 25. The COO and CFO also filed notices of intent to sell a combined total of approximately $84 million worth of shares.
3. The final unlock date (November 9) remains a sword hanging over the market: all remaining locked-up shares will become eligible for sale at once, and the ultimate scale of the supply shock is still unclear, creating ongoing downward pressure.
I think it may be worth looking at how $SPCXB traded when its lock-up expired in early August: it briefly fell below the range, then recovered and staged a major rebound. That said, overall market indices and Treasury yields are indeed risky at the moment, so size your positions accordingly.
#芯片 #美债收益率
338
·
--
Trump’s August trades: a major Meta purchase, and plenty of sales
Meta $METAB had a purchase worth $5 million–$25 million on August 21, the most striking transaction in this disclosure. The filing was released by the U.S. Office of Government Ethics on October 8 and contains 517 records.
Nvidia $NVDAB is easy to misread based on the headlines. The five purchase ranges add up to about $767,000–$1.58 million. On August 21, there was also a sale worth $500,000–$1 million. The ranges overlap, so the net direction can’t be determined. AMD $AMDB had a sale worth $1 million–$5 million on the same day.
One other detail is easy to get wrong: the SpaceX purchase on August 18 was, according to the original filing, senior unsecured bonds maturing in 2031 with a 5.35% coupon—not stock.
Going forward, I’ll treat this as a sample to watch. The Meta purchase is worth following, and the sales should also be presented in full. What we see in October reflects activity from August; prices and sentiment have changed. It has informational value, but shouldn’t be treated directly as a basis for buying or selling today.
The above is a summary of public information and does not constitute investment advice.
#美股超话 #特朗普 #Aİ
Trump’s August trades: a major Meta purchase, and plenty of sales
Meta $METAB had a purchase worth $5 million–$25 million on August 21, the most striking transaction in this disclosure. The filing was released by the U.S. Office of Government Ethics on October 8 and contains 517 records.
Nvidia $NVDAB is easy to misread based on the headlines. The five purchase ranges add up to about $767,000–$1.58 million. On August 21, there was also a sale worth $500,000–$1 million. The ranges overlap, so the net direction can’t be determined. AMD $AMDB had a sale worth $1 million–$5 million on the same day.
One other detail is easy to get wrong: the SpaceX purchase on August 18 was, according to the original filing, senior unsecured bonds maturing in 2031 with a 5.35% coupon—not stock.
Going forward, I’ll treat this as a sample to watch. The Meta purchase is worth following, and the sales should also be presented in full. What we see in October reflects activity from August; prices and sentiment have changed. It has informational value, but shouldn’t be treated directly as a basis for buying or selling today.
The above is a summary of public information and does not constitute investment advice.
#美股超话 #特朗普 #Aİ
Meta $METAB had a purchase worth $5 million–$25 million on August 21, the most striking transaction in this disclosure. The filing was released by the U.S. Office of Government Ethics on October 8 and contains 517 records.
Nvidia $NVDAB is easy to misread based on the headlines. The five purchase ranges add up to about $767,000–$1.58 million. On August 21, there was also a sale worth $500,000–$1 million. The ranges overlap, so the net direction can’t be determined. AMD $AMDB had a sale worth $1 million–$5 million on the same day.
One other detail is easy to get wrong: the SpaceX purchase on August 18 was, according to the original filing, senior unsecured bonds maturing in 2031 with a 5.35% coupon—not stock.
Going forward, I’ll treat this as a sample to watch. The Meta purchase is worth following, and the sales should also be presented in full. What we see in October reflects activity from August; prices and sentiment have changed. It has informational value, but shouldn’t be treated directly as a basis for buying or selling today.
The above is a summary of public information and does not constitute investment advice.
#美股超话 #特朗普 #Aİ
438
·
--
Semiconductor ETF September: 14 stocks rose; only Broadcom fell
Semiconductor ETF $SOXX.ETF 9 month-end adjusted gains: up 11.34%. Based on the Sept. 30 portfolio snapshot, the top 15 holdings account for 78.14% of the weight: 14 rose and 1 fell.
The two biggest gainers happen to be the top two by weight. Intel $INTCB 9 had a weight of 9.59% and rose 34.32% by month-end; AMD $AMDB had a weight of 9.28% and rose 29.96%. Equipment stocks strengthened in tandem: Applied Materials rose 11.56%, KLA rose 11.10%, and Lam Research rose 9.08%.
The list also changed. Teradyne and SK Hynix newly entered the top 15, while TSMC and NXP slid to positions 16 and 17. TSMC’s shares decreased from 4.6689 million to 3.1544 million, down 32.44%; its weight fell from 4.65% to 3.00%. Meanwhile, the stock price still rose 10.14% in the same period—so it was reduced in allocation but not fully sold. NXP saw its share count increase, but its weight declined.
Going forward, I’m watching two things: whether Broadcom can stop its two consecutive months of declines, and whether this round of gains led by Intel and AMD will spread to equipment stocks and memory. September’s advance coverage is much broader than August, but the weight is concentrated in just two names. Once it turns back, index volatility will be amplified.
The above is a compilation of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#半导体 #美股ETF #美股科技
Semiconductor ETF September: 14 stocks rose; only Broadcom fell
Semiconductor ETF $SOXX.ETF 9 month-end adjusted gains: up 11.34%. Based on the Sept. 30 portfolio snapshot, the top 15 holdings account for 78.14% of the weight: 14 rose and 1 fell.
The two biggest gainers happen to be the top two by weight. Intel $INTCB 9 had a weight of 9.59% and rose 34.32% by month-end; AMD $AMDB had a weight of 9.28% and rose 29.96%. Equipment stocks strengthened in tandem: Applied Materials rose 11.56%, KLA rose 11.10%, and Lam Research rose 9.08%.
The list also changed. Teradyne and SK Hynix newly entered the top 15, while TSMC and NXP slid to positions 16 and 17. TSMC’s shares decreased from 4.6689 million to 3.1544 million, down 32.44%; its weight fell from 4.65% to 3.00%. Meanwhile, the stock price still rose 10.14% in the same period—so it was reduced in allocation but not fully sold. NXP saw its share count increase, but its weight declined.
Going forward, I’m watching two things: whether Broadcom can stop its two consecutive months of declines, and whether this round of gains led by Intel and AMD will spread to equipment stocks and memory. September’s advance coverage is much broader than August, but the weight is concentrated in just two names. Once it turns back, index volatility will be amplified.
The above is a compilation of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#半导体 #美股ETF #美股科技
Semiconductor ETF $SOXX.ETF 9 month-end adjusted gains: up 11.34%. Based on the Sept. 30 portfolio snapshot, the top 15 holdings account for 78.14% of the weight: 14 rose and 1 fell.
The two biggest gainers happen to be the top two by weight. Intel $INTCB 9 had a weight of 9.59% and rose 34.32% by month-end; AMD $AMDB had a weight of 9.28% and rose 29.96%. Equipment stocks strengthened in tandem: Applied Materials rose 11.56%, KLA rose 11.10%, and Lam Research rose 9.08%.
The list also changed. Teradyne and SK Hynix newly entered the top 15, while TSMC and NXP slid to positions 16 and 17. TSMC’s shares decreased from 4.6689 million to 3.1544 million, down 32.44%; its weight fell from 4.65% to 3.00%. Meanwhile, the stock price still rose 10.14% in the same period—so it was reduced in allocation but not fully sold. NXP saw its share count increase, but its weight declined.
Going forward, I’m watching two things: whether Broadcom can stop its two consecutive months of declines, and whether this round of gains led by Intel and AMD will spread to equipment stocks and memory. September’s advance coverage is much broader than August, but the weight is concentrated in just two names. Once it turns back, index volatility will be amplified.
The above is a compilation of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#半导体 #美股ETF #美股科技
1
166
·
--
Verified
On October 8, the U.S. Department of Labor reported 197,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending October 3, below the market expectation of 200,000. After the data came out, Bitcoin $BTC fell back below $83,000 that evening.
The direction of these figures is a little puzzling. Companies are neither laying people off nor hiring. September nonfarm payrolls grew by just 29,000, far below expectations, while July and August were revised down by a combined 60,000. Continuing claims rose to 1.716 million, slightly above expectations, suggesting that unemployed people are finding it harder to get jobs.
Markets are reflecting the same picture: the U.S. Dollar Index held above 102, the 10-year Treasury yield remained near 5.3% and briefly topped 5.36% intraday, its highest level since 2002, while gold fell to a two-month low.
Looking ahead, watch for CPI in mid-October and the rate decision on October 28. Inflation is now the main factor determining the direction of markets, with employment taking a back seat. After September's unexpectedly weak nonfarm payrolls report, the market-implied probability of an October rate hike fell from about 69% to around 20%, yet long-term yields hit new highs.
#美联储何时降息？ #比特币 #美股超话
On October 8, the U.S. Department of Labor reported 197,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending October 3, below the market expectation of 200,000. After the data came out, Bitcoin $BTC fell back below $83,000 that evening.
The direction of these figures is a little puzzling. Companies are neither laying people off nor hiring. September nonfarm payrolls grew by just 29,000, far below expectations, while July and August were revised down by a combined 60,000. Continuing claims rose to 1.716 million, slightly above expectations, suggesting that unemployed people are finding it harder to get jobs.
Markets are reflecting the same picture: the U.S. Dollar Index held above 102, the 10-year Treasury yield remained near 5.3% and briefly topped 5.36% intraday, its highest level since 2002, while gold fell to a two-month low.
Looking ahead, watch for CPI in mid-October and the rate decision on October 28. Inflation is now the main factor determining the direction of markets, with employment taking a back seat. After September's unexpectedly weak nonfarm payrolls report, the market-implied probability of an October rate hike fell from about 69% to around 20%, yet long-term yields hit new highs.
#美联储何时降息？ #比特币 #美股超话
The direction of these figures is a little puzzling. Companies are neither laying people off nor hiring. September nonfarm payrolls grew by just 29,000, far below expectations, while July and August were revised down by a combined 60,000. Continuing claims rose to 1.716 million, slightly above expectations, suggesting that unemployed people are finding it harder to get jobs.
Markets are reflecting the same picture: the U.S. Dollar Index held above 102, the 10-year Treasury yield remained near 5.3% and briefly topped 5.36% intraday, its highest level since 2002, while gold fell to a two-month low.
Looking ahead, watch for CPI in mid-October and the rate decision on October 28. Inflation is now the main factor determining the direction of markets, with employment taking a back seat. After September's unexpectedly weak nonfarm payrolls report, the market-implied probability of an October rate hike fell from about 69% to around 20%, yet long-term yields hit new highs.
#美联储何时降息？ #比特币 #美股超话
443
·
--
Penguin Q4: Revenue up 68% YoY, net cash outflow
Penguin $PENG 2026 fiscal Q4 revenue was $567 million, up 68% year over year. Non-GAAP operating income was $89.796 million, up 129%.
But memory accounted for most of that 68% growth. Q4 integrated memory revenue was $340.8 million, up about 157.9%, while advanced computing revenue was $154.0 million, up only about 11.4%. The 68% figure needs to be viewed with some skepticism.
Profit also needs a closer look. Net income attributable to the company of $93.204 million included an income tax benefit of $57.595 million. Operating margin rose to 15.8%, but gross margin fell from 30.9% to 28.8%.
Cash flow hasn’t caught up. Q4 operating cash flow was a net outflow of $163 million, and the full-year net outflow was $152 million. At year-end, accounts receivable stood at $796 million and inventory at $749 million.
Looking ahead, I’m watching two things: whether the midpoint of FY27 guidance, raised from $2.17 billion to $2.43 billion, can be converted into revenue and cash collections on schedule; and whether growth will continue to require upfront investment. The 36,000-card AI factory in Norway and the GB300 partnership are worth watching, but project scale does not equal order value.
{future}(PENGUSDT)
The above is compiled from public information and does not constitute investment advice.
#penguin #AI基础设施 #美股财报季来袭
Penguin Q4: Revenue up 68% YoY, net cash outflow
Penguin $PENG 2026 fiscal Q4 revenue was $567 million, up 68% year over year. Non-GAAP operating income was $89.796 million, up 129%.
But memory accounted for most of that 68% growth. Q4 integrated memory revenue was $340.8 million, up about 157.9%, while advanced computing revenue was $154.0 million, up only about 11.4%. The 68% figure needs to be viewed with some skepticism.
Profit also needs a closer look. Net income attributable to the company of $93.204 million included an income tax benefit of $57.595 million. Operating margin rose to 15.8%, but gross margin fell from 30.9% to 28.8%.
Cash flow hasn’t caught up. Q4 operating cash flow was a net outflow of $163 million, and the full-year net outflow was $152 million. At year-end, accounts receivable stood at $796 million and inventory at $749 million.
Looking ahead, I’m watching two things: whether the midpoint of FY27 guidance, raised from $2.17 billion to $2.43 billion, can be converted into revenue and cash collections on schedule; and whether growth will continue to require upfront investment. The 36,000-card AI factory in Norway and the GB300 partnership are worth watching, but project scale does not equal order value.
The above is compiled from public information and does not constitute investment advice.
#penguin #AI基础设施 #美股财报季来袭
Penguin $PENG 2026 fiscal Q4 revenue was $567 million, up 68% year over year. Non-GAAP operating income was $89.796 million, up 129%.
But memory accounted for most of that 68% growth. Q4 integrated memory revenue was $340.8 million, up about 157.9%, while advanced computing revenue was $154.0 million, up only about 11.4%. The 68% figure needs to be viewed with some skepticism.
Profit also needs a closer look. Net income attributable to the company of $93.204 million included an income tax benefit of $57.595 million. Operating margin rose to 15.8%, but gross margin fell from 30.9% to 28.8%.
Cash flow hasn’t caught up. Q4 operating cash flow was a net outflow of $163 million, and the full-year net outflow was $152 million. At year-end, accounts receivable stood at $796 million and inventory at $749 million.
Looking ahead, I’m watching two things: whether the midpoint of FY27 guidance, raised from $2.17 billion to $2.43 billion, can be converted into revenue and cash collections on schedule; and whether growth will continue to require upfront investment. The 36,000-card AI factory in Norway and the GB300 partnership are worth watching, but project scale does not equal order value.
The above is compiled from public information and does not constitute investment advice.
#penguin #AI基础设施 #美股财报季来袭
371
·
--
I looked around the US stock pre-market and it was all green… the power of the ChiNext A-share is too strong. #美股超话
I looked around the US stock pre-market and it was all green… the power of the ChiNext A-share is too strong. #美股超话
110
·
--
The second installment after the National Day holiday: let’s take another look at how the three major U.S. stock indexes performed during the “seven-day holiday”:
Nasdaq: up 2.52% over the seven days, while the Dow gained only a fraction of that.
Nvidia $NVDAB hit another all-time high during the holiday, and the Nasdaq followed suit. Over the five trading days from the September 30 close to the October 7 close, the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.52%, the S&P 500 gained 1.96%, and the Dow rose just 0.54%.
The gains were uneven. On October 1, all three indexes barely moved. On October 2, U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by just 29,000 in September, far below expectations, cooling rate-hike expectations; the Nasdaq rose 1.19% that day. The rally continued on October 5 and 6, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq setting fresh all-time highs.
The more heavily weighted stocks rose more. This rally was still driven by the AI-related names. On October 7, all three indexes edged lower.
I’m watching two things next: third-quarter earnings season, which kicks off on October 13—the market expects S&P 500 earnings to grow about 30% year over year in the third quarter, with AI accounting for much of the growth, so whether companies deliver will be key; and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which remains above 5.3% and could weigh on valuations if it doesn’t fall. Which of these moves first will determine whether U.S. stocks keep climbing in the fourth quarter or move sideways.
{spot}(NVDABUSDT)
{spot}(QQQBUSDT)
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#美股超话 #纳斯达克 #英伟达 $QQQB
The second installment after the National Day holiday: let’s take another look at how the three major U.S. stock indexes performed during the “seven-day holiday”:
Nasdaq: up 2.52% over the seven days, while the Dow gained only a fraction of that.
Nvidia $NVDAB hit another all-time high during the holiday, and the Nasdaq followed suit. Over the five trading days from the September 30 close to the October 7 close, the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.52%, the S&P 500 gained 1.96%, and the Dow rose just 0.54%.
The gains were uneven. On October 1, all three indexes barely moved. On October 2, U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by just 29,000 in September, far below expectations, cooling rate-hike expectations; the Nasdaq rose 1.19% that day. The rally continued on October 5 and 6, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq setting fresh all-time highs.
The more heavily weighted stocks rose more. This rally was still driven by the AI-related names. On October 7, all three indexes edged lower.
I’m watching two things next: third-quarter earnings season, which kicks off on October 13—the market expects S&P 500 earnings to grow about 30% year over year in the third quarter, with AI accounting for much of the growth, so whether companies deliver will be key; and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which remains above 5.3% and could weigh on valuations if it doesn’t fall. Which of these moves first will determine whether U.S. stocks keep climbing in the fourth quarter or move sideways.
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#美股超话 #纳斯达克 #英伟达 $QQQB
Nasdaq: up 2.52% over the seven days, while the Dow gained only a fraction of that.
Nvidia $NVDAB hit another all-time high during the holiday, and the Nasdaq followed suit. Over the five trading days from the September 30 close to the October 7 close, the Nasdaq Composite rose 2.52%, the S&P 500 gained 1.96%, and the Dow rose just 0.54%.
The gains were uneven. On October 1, all three indexes barely moved. On October 2, U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by just 29,000 in September, far below expectations, cooling rate-hike expectations; the Nasdaq rose 1.19% that day. The rally continued on October 5 and 6, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq setting fresh all-time highs.
The more heavily weighted stocks rose more. This rally was still driven by the AI-related names. On October 7, all three indexes edged lower.
I’m watching two things next: third-quarter earnings season, which kicks off on October 13—the market expects S&P 500 earnings to grow about 30% year over year in the third quarter, with AI accounting for much of the growth, so whether companies deliver will be key; and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which remains above 5.3% and could weigh on valuations if it doesn’t fall. Which of these moves first will determine whether U.S. stocks keep climbing in the fourth quarter or move sideways.
The above is a summary of publicly available information and does not constitute investment advice.
#美股超话 #纳斯达克 #英伟达 $QQQB
FOMO港美股
·
--
The first update after the National Day holiday: let’s first take a look at how Hong Kong stocks fared during the “seven-day holiday”:
A review of today’s A-share market: Hong Kong stocks had a worrying session. MiniMax $MINIMAX fell more than 12% in the closing session, while Zhipu $ZHIPU dropped nearly 9%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index was pushed down again. Over the seven-day National Day holiday (market close on 9/30 → market close on 10/7), the Hang Seng Index fell 1.96% and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.40%—the first time in nearly five years that the Tech Index failed to rise over this period.
The market had four trading days during the holiday, with two up and two down: it fell 2.26% on 10/2, rose for two straight days on 10/5 and 10/6, then closed lower again on 10/7—down on both the first and last days. A-shares reopened today, and Hong Kong stocks continued to fall in the morning: the Hang Seng Index was down 0.69% and the Hang Seng Tech Index was down 1.93%, with the half-day losses exceeding those of the entire holiday.
Semiconductors were the main drag. SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor fell more than 5% and 7%, respectively, by midday. This was the hardest-hit sector, with optical communications and PCBs also following the decline.
The Hang Seng Tech Index hit a new low for the year.
#港股 #恒生科技指数 #半导体
A review of today’s A-share market: Hong Kong stocks had a worrying session. MiniMax $MINIMAX fell more than 12% in the closing session, while Zhipu $ZHIPU dropped nearly 9%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index was pushed down again. Over the seven-day National Day holiday (market close on 9/30 → market close on 10/7), the Hang Seng Index fell 1.96% and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.40%—the first time in nearly five years that the Tech Index failed to rise over this period.
The market had four trading days during the holiday, with two up and two down: it fell 2.26% on 10/2, rose for two straight days on 10/5 and 10/6, then closed lower again on 10/7—down on both the first and last days. A-shares reopened today, and Hong Kong stocks continued to fall in the morning: the Hang Seng Index was down 0.69% and the Hang Seng Tech Index was down 1.93%, with the half-day losses exceeding those of the entire holiday.
Semiconductors were the main drag. SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor fell more than 5% and 7%, respectively, by midday. This was the hardest-hit sector, with optical communications and PCBs also following the decline.
The Hang Seng Tech Index hit a new low for the year.
#港股 #恒生科技指数 #半导体
156
·
--
Verified
The first update after the National Day holiday: let’s first take a look at how Hong Kong stocks fared during the “seven-day holiday”:
A review of today’s A-share market: Hong Kong stocks had a worrying session. MiniMax $MINIMAX fell more than 12% in the closing session, while Zhipu $ZHIPU dropped nearly 9%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index was pushed down again. Over the seven-day National Day holiday (market close on 9/30 → market close on 10/7), the Hang Seng Index fell 1.96% and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.40%—the first time in nearly five years that the Tech Index failed to rise over this period.
The market had four trading days during the holiday, with two up and two down: it fell 2.26% on 10/2, rose for two straight days on 10/5 and 10/6, then closed lower again on 10/7—down on both the first and last days. A-shares reopened today, and Hong Kong stocks continued to fall in the morning: the Hang Seng Index was down 0.69% and the Hang Seng Tech Index was down 1.93%, with the half-day losses exceeding those of the entire holiday.
Semiconductors were the main drag. SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor fell more than 5% and 7%, respectively, by midday. This was the hardest-hit sector, with optical communications and PCBs also following the decline.
The Hang Seng Tech Index hit a new low for the year.
{future}(MINIMAXUSDT)
{future}(ZHIPUUSDT)
#港股 #恒生科技指数 #半导体
The first update after the National Day holiday: let’s first take a look at how Hong Kong stocks fared during the “seven-day holiday”:
A review of today’s A-share market: Hong Kong stocks had a worrying session. MiniMax $MINIMAX fell more than 12% in the closing session, while Zhipu $ZHIPU dropped nearly 9%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index was pushed down again. Over the seven-day National Day holiday (market close on 9/30 → market close on 10/7), the Hang Seng Index fell 1.96% and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.40%—the first time in nearly five years that the Tech Index failed to rise over this period.
The market had four trading days during the holiday, with two up and two down: it fell 2.26% on 10/2, rose for two straight days on 10/5 and 10/6, then closed lower again on 10/7—down on both the first and last days. A-shares reopened today, and Hong Kong stocks continued to fall in the morning: the Hang Seng Index was down 0.69% and the Hang Seng Tech Index was down 1.93%, with the half-day losses exceeding those of the entire holiday.
Semiconductors were the main drag. SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor fell more than 5% and 7%, respectively, by midday. This was the hardest-hit sector, with optical communications and PCBs also following the decline.
The Hang Seng Tech Index hit a new low for the year.
#港股 #恒生科技指数 #半导体
A review of today’s A-share market: Hong Kong stocks had a worrying session. MiniMax $MINIMAX fell more than 12% in the closing session, while Zhipu $ZHIPU dropped nearly 9%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index was pushed down again. Over the seven-day National Day holiday (market close on 9/30 → market close on 10/7), the Hang Seng Index fell 1.96% and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.40%—the first time in nearly five years that the Tech Index failed to rise over this period.
The market had four trading days during the holiday, with two up and two down: it fell 2.26% on 10/2, rose for two straight days on 10/5 and 10/6, then closed lower again on 10/7—down on both the first and last days. A-shares reopened today, and Hong Kong stocks continued to fall in the morning: the Hang Seng Index was down 0.69% and the Hang Seng Tech Index was down 1.93%, with the half-day losses exceeding those of the entire holiday.
Semiconductors were the main drag. SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor fell more than 5% and 7%, respectively, by midday. This was the hardest-hit sector, with optical communications and PCBs also following the decline.
The Hang Seng Tech Index hit a new low for the year.
#港股 #恒生科技指数 #半导体
FOMO港美股
·
--
BullishStarting tomorrow, the A-share market will be closed for seven days. The Hong Kong stock market will be closed for only one day (10/1)—but during these seven days, Stock Connect will be suspended, so mainland capital cannot enter. Hong Kong stocks will be priced based on overseas investors’ sentiment.
Look at the same window over the past five years:
In the past five years, the Hang Seng Tech Index had gains in all five years, with an average return of +3.77%. The Hang Seng Index had four up years and one down year, with an average return of +2.67%. The most extreme case was in 2024, when the Hang Seng Tech Index rose cumulatively by +13.36% over the holidays.
But the other side is what we should remember: on the first trading day after the A-share market reopened, three out of the five years saw Hong Kong stocks decline. In 2024, the +13.36% gain during the holiday was given back by -12.82% on the reopening day. In 2022, the holiday gain of +2.60% turned into -3.98% on the reopening day.
Gains during the holidays, followed by pullbacks on reopening, happen because there is no participation from mainland capital within this window—so the rise and fall looks more like an immediate price adjustment driven by overseas sentiment. Once A-shares open, the power to price returns.
In this year’s window, Hong Kong stocks have four trading days (10/2, 10/5–10/7); 10/8 connects seamlessly with A-shares.
For the methodology and data sources, see the figure caption. Historical data does not indicate future performance and does not constitute investment advice.
#恒生指数 $MINIMAX $ZHIPU $HK1810
Look at the same window over the past five years:
In the past five years, the Hang Seng Tech Index had gains in all five years, with an average return of +3.77%. The Hang Seng Index had four up years and one down year, with an average return of +2.67%. The most extreme case was in 2024, when the Hang Seng Tech Index rose cumulatively by +13.36% over the holidays.
But the other side is what we should remember: on the first trading day after the A-share market reopened, three out of the five years saw Hong Kong stocks decline. In 2024, the +13.36% gain during the holiday was given back by -12.82% on the reopening day. In 2022, the holiday gain of +2.60% turned into -3.98% on the reopening day.
Gains during the holidays, followed by pullbacks on reopening, happen because there is no participation from mainland capital within this window—so the rise and fall looks more like an immediate price adjustment driven by overseas sentiment. Once A-shares open, the power to price returns.
In this year’s window, Hong Kong stocks have four trading days (10/2, 10/5–10/7); 10/8 connects seamlessly with A-shares.
For the methodology and data sources, see the figure caption. Historical data does not indicate future performance and does not constitute investment advice.
#恒生指数 $MINIMAX $ZHIPU $HK1810
1
1
1.5k
·
--
When mainland A-shares reopen after the holiday tomorrow, all the other financial assets will be “scared shitless” 😅 The big bear is here—everyone else, make way! 😅$BTC
When mainland A-shares reopen after the holiday tomorrow, all the other financial assets will be “scared shitless” 😅 The big bear is here—everyone else, make way! 😅$BTC
456
·
--
🚀 Exclusive perks for new Binance users! Share a pool of 110 SPCXB rewards—join now and grab your share!
For the #BStocks Convert campaign, complete a few simple steps for a chance to share up to 110 $SPCXB token vouchers!
📅 Campaign period: October 6, 2026, 08:00 – November 3, 07:59 (UTC+8)
🎯 Eligibility: New users who have never traded on Binance before October 6, 2026, 08:00 (KYC required)
🔥 Two tasks, first come, first served (time to act fast):
✅ Activity A: Trade to share 100 SPCXB
Slots: First 4,000 users
Task: Sign up + accumulate at least 50 USDC in bStocks Convert trades
Reward: Share 100 SPCXB equally (maximum 0.025 per user)
✅ Activity B: Set up recurring buys to share 10 SPCXB
Slots: First 1,000 users
Task: Sign up + set up a bStocks recurring buy + complete 4 consecutive executions + accumulate at least 25 USDC in trades
Reward: Share 10 SPCXB equally (maximum 0.01 per user)
There are currently 3,295 participants, and spots are still available. Newly registered users can join and grab some rewards.
[完整公告](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/support/announcement/detail/197b9abe9a61458a8b191493b9f7e80c)
[参加活动页面](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/activity/trading-competition/bstocksnewusersoct26)
#币安
🚀 Exclusive perks for new Binance users! Share a pool of 110 SPCXB rewards—join now and grab your share!
For the #BStocks Convert campaign, complete a few simple steps for a chance to share up to 110 $SPCXB token vouchers!
📅 Campaign period: October 6, 2026, 08:00 – November 3, 07:59 (UTC+8)
🎯 Eligibility: New users who have never traded on Binance before October 6, 2026, 08:00 (KYC required)
🔥 Two tasks, first come, first served (time to act fast):
✅ Activity A: Trade to share 100 SPCXB
Slots: First 4,000 users
Task: Sign up + accumulate at least 50 USDC in bStocks Convert trades
Reward: Share 100 SPCXB equally (maximum 0.025 per user)
✅ Activity B: Set up recurring buys to share 10 SPCXB
Slots: First 1,000 users
Task: Sign up + set up a bStocks recurring buy + complete 4 consecutive executions + accumulate at least 25 USDC in trades
Reward: Share 10 SPCXB equally (maximum 0.01 per user)
There are currently 3,295 participants, and spots are still available. Newly registered users can join and grab some rewards.
完整公告
参加活动页面
#币安
For the #BStocks Convert campaign, complete a few simple steps for a chance to share up to 110 $SPCXB token vouchers!
📅 Campaign period: October 6, 2026, 08:00 – November 3, 07:59 (UTC+8)
🎯 Eligibility: New users who have never traded on Binance before October 6, 2026, 08:00 (KYC required)
🔥 Two tasks, first come, first served (time to act fast):
✅ Activity A: Trade to share 100 SPCXB
Slots: First 4,000 users
Task: Sign up + accumulate at least 50 USDC in bStocks Convert trades
Reward: Share 100 SPCXB equally (maximum 0.025 per user)
✅ Activity B: Set up recurring buys to share 10 SPCXB
Slots: First 1,000 users
Task: Sign up + set up a bStocks recurring buy + complete 4 consecutive executions + accumulate at least 25 USDC in trades
Reward: Share 10 SPCXB equally (maximum 0.01 per user)
There are currently 3,295 participants, and spots are still available. Newly registered users can join and grab some rewards.
完整公告
参加活动页面
#币安
333
·
--
After yesterday’s rebound, there’s more news: Seagate $STXB and Toshiba are competing to acquire TDK’s HDD head business, sparking fresh financial concerns. According to Bloomberg, Seagate and Toshiba are vying to acquire TDK’s hard disk drive head business. TDK is currently the world’s only independent supplier of HDD heads, supplying Seagate, Toshiba, and Western Digital $WDCB .
The market has interpreted this as negative news. If Seagate acquires TDK’s head business for billions of dollars, it would mean substantial capital expenditure and potentially put pressure on its balance sheet. Heads are, after all, one of the most critical components of an HDD. With Toshiba expanding capacity and the industry’s supply dynamics potentially shifting, Seagate would also be spending heavily to “lock in upstream supply.” Investors may worry that this is defensive rather than proactive expansion.
Meanwhile, the broader storage sector is also falling; use $DRAMB as a reference for the sector’s performance. Given that investors still have substantial unrealized gains in the storage sector from earlier this year, a stream of negative news could prompt continued short-term profit-taking and put further pressure on the sector.
#存储
After yesterday’s rebound, there’s more news: Seagate $STXB and Toshiba are competing to acquire TDK’s HDD head business, sparking fresh financial concerns. According to Bloomberg, Seagate and Toshiba are vying to acquire TDK’s hard disk drive head business. TDK is currently the world’s only independent supplier of HDD heads, supplying Seagate, Toshiba, and Western Digital $WDCB .
The market has interpreted this as negative news. If Seagate acquires TDK’s head business for billions of dollars, it would mean substantial capital expenditure and potentially put pressure on its balance sheet. Heads are, after all, one of the most critical components of an HDD. With Toshiba expanding capacity and the industry’s supply dynamics potentially shifting, Seagate would also be spending heavily to “lock in upstream supply.” Investors may worry that this is defensive rather than proactive expansion.
Meanwhile, the broader storage sector is also falling; use $DRAMB as a reference for the sector’s performance. Given that investors still have substantial unrealized gains in the storage sector from earlier this year, a stream of negative news could prompt continued short-term profit-taking and put further pressure on the sector.
#存储
The market has interpreted this as negative news. If Seagate acquires TDK’s head business for billions of dollars, it would mean substantial capital expenditure and potentially put pressure on its balance sheet. Heads are, after all, one of the most critical components of an HDD. With Toshiba expanding capacity and the industry’s supply dynamics potentially shifting, Seagate would also be spending heavily to “lock in upstream supply.” Investors may worry that this is defensive rather than proactive expansion.
Meanwhile, the broader storage sector is also falling; use $DRAMB as a reference for the sector’s performance. Given that investors still have substantial unrealized gains in the storage sector from earlier this year, a stream of negative news could prompt continued short-term profit-taking and put further pressure on the sector.
#存储
FOMO港美股
·
--
BullishUS stock mechanical hard drive duel: Seagate Technology $STXB and Western Digital $WDCB suffered a severe setback. Seagate fell by more than 16% at one point during the session, while Western Digital’s maximum drop also exceeded 14%; in the end, both closed down about 10%.
What triggered this sell-off was a report from The Nikkei: Toshiba plans to invest about 60 billion yen (around $380 million) to expand its factory in the Philippines, aiming to double HDD (mechanical hard drive) capacity used for AI data centers by fiscal year 2027.
The panic point is:
1. The supply landscape could change. The HDD industry is highly concentrated, with the market mainly split among three players: Seagate, Western Digital, and Toshiba.
2. “Doubling capacity” hits the most sensitive nerves. Toshiba’s current market share is slightly above 10%, with a goal to raise it to 30% in the medium term—this would erode the shares of the other two.
3. The impulse to take profits after a high run-up.
But overall, it feels like a case of emotional stampede and being unfairly punished. Even if the news is true, capacity expansion takes time and cannot change the tight supply situation in the short term. The real driving force behind the decline is that an extremely high year-to-date gain meets fragile sentiment, leading to profit-taking and emotion-driven liquidation.
Is this a good Buy the dip opportunity? #西部数据单日暴跌13
What triggered this sell-off was a report from The Nikkei: Toshiba plans to invest about 60 billion yen (around $380 million) to expand its factory in the Philippines, aiming to double HDD (mechanical hard drive) capacity used for AI data centers by fiscal year 2027.
The panic point is:
1. The supply landscape could change. The HDD industry is highly concentrated, with the market mainly split among three players: Seagate, Western Digital, and Toshiba.
2. “Doubling capacity” hits the most sensitive nerves. Toshiba’s current market share is slightly above 10%, with a goal to raise it to 30% in the medium term—this would erode the shares of the other two.
3. The impulse to take profits after a high run-up.
But overall, it feels like a case of emotional stampede and being unfairly punished. Even if the news is true, capacity expansion takes time and cannot change the tight supply situation in the short term. The real driving force behind the decline is that an extremely high year-to-date gain meets fragile sentiment, leading to profit-taking and emotion-driven liquidation.
Is this a good Buy the dip opportunity? #西部数据单日暴跌13
325
·
--
Verified
【Binance BStock Announcement | MRVL and ORCL Dividends Coming Soon】
📅 Snapshot time: October 9, 2026, 08:00 (UTC+8)
📌 Key points:
1️⃣ Users holding $MRVLB and $ORCLB will receive the corresponding stock dividends, which will be automatically distributed in token form.
2️⃣ ⚠️ Starting October 9 at 07:30, token conversions, deposits, withdrawals, and instant swaps will be suspended (spot trading will not be affected). Please allow enough time to complete any transactions in advance!
3️⃣ Services will resume after the dividend distribution is complete. No separate announcement will be made.
💡 Reminder: These dividends will be reinvested as a net amount after withholding tax. [完整原文链接](https://app.binance.com/uni-qr/cart/374258121744140?r=ZWG4VOBD&l=zh-TW&uco=m5-lBDyabyHxjZlB1VLzaw&uc=app_square_share_link&us=copylink)
#币安 #MRVL #bstock
【Binance BStock Announcement | MRVL and ORCL Dividends Coming Soon】
📅 Snapshot time: October 9, 2026, 08:00 (UTC+8)
📌 Key points:
1️⃣ Users holding $MRVLB and $ORCLB will receive the corresponding stock dividends, which will be automatically distributed in token form.
2️⃣ ⚠️ Starting October 9 at 07:30, token conversions, deposits, withdrawals, and instant swaps will be suspended (spot trading will not be affected). Please allow enough time to complete any transactions in advance!
3️⃣ Services will resume after the dividend distribution is complete. No separate announcement will be made.
💡 Reminder: These dividends will be reinvested as a net amount after withholding tax. 完整原文链接
#币安 #MRVL #bstock
📅 Snapshot time: October 9, 2026, 08:00 (UTC+8)
📌 Key points:
1️⃣ Users holding $MRVLB and $ORCLB will receive the corresponding stock dividends, which will be automatically distributed in token form.
2️⃣ ⚠️ Starting October 9 at 07:30, token conversions, deposits, withdrawals, and instant swaps will be suspended (spot trading will not be affected). Please allow enough time to complete any transactions in advance!
3️⃣ Services will resume after the dividend distribution is complete. No separate announcement will be made.
💡 Reminder: These dividends will be reinvested as a net amount after withholding tax. 完整原文链接
#币安 #MRVL #bstock
2
2.1k
·
--
On October 5, 2026, Huawei and Qualcomm$QCOMB announced a multi-year patent licensing agreement—the first to cover 5G technology. The two companies will cross-license patents in 5G, AI, computing, and networking, while Qualcomm will acquire some of Huawei’s U.S. patents.
Pros and cons:
1. Positive impact on Qualcomm: This removes uncertainty around the “Huawei gap” in QTL licensing and adds AI, computing, and networking patents, supporting its data center strategy.
2. Negative impact/risks for Qualcomm: Foreign media reports say Qualcomm may be a net payer (a claim Qualcomm has denied), reflecting Huawei’s growing influence over 5G patents and Qualcomm’s relatively reduced leverage. The agreement also does not cover chip sales, so competitive pressure from Huawei’s self-developed chips remains.
Overall, the news is neutral to slightly negative in the short term and strategically positive in the long term, but Qualcomm’s absolute advantage in the patent landscape is beginning to erode.
{spot}(QCOMBUSDT)
#高通 #华为韬定律
On October 5, 2026, Huawei and Qualcomm$QCOMB announced a multi-year patent licensing agreement—the first to cover 5G technology. The two companies will cross-license patents in 5G, AI, computing, and networking, while Qualcomm will acquire some of Huawei’s U.S. patents.
Pros and cons:
1. Positive impact on Qualcomm: This removes uncertainty around the “Huawei gap” in QTL licensing and adds AI, computing, and networking patents, supporting its data center strategy.
2. Negative impact/risks for Qualcomm: Foreign media reports say Qualcomm may be a net payer (a claim Qualcomm has denied), reflecting Huawei’s growing influence over 5G patents and Qualcomm’s relatively reduced leverage. The agreement also does not cover chip sales, so competitive pressure from Huawei’s self-developed chips remains.
Overall, the news is neutral to slightly negative in the short term and strategically positive in the long term, but Qualcomm’s absolute advantage in the patent landscape is beginning to erode.
#高通 #华为韬定律
Pros and cons:
1. Positive impact on Qualcomm: This removes uncertainty around the “Huawei gap” in QTL licensing and adds AI, computing, and networking patents, supporting its data center strategy.
2. Negative impact/risks for Qualcomm: Foreign media reports say Qualcomm may be a net payer (a claim Qualcomm has denied), reflecting Huawei’s growing influence over 5G patents and Qualcomm’s relatively reduced leverage. The agreement also does not cover chip sales, so competitive pressure from Huawei’s self-developed chips remains.
Overall, the news is neutral to slightly negative in the short term and strategically positive in the long term, but Qualcomm’s absolute advantage in the patent landscape is beginning to erode.
#高通 #华为韬定律
420
Log in to explore more content
Join global crypto users on Binance Square
⚡️ Get latest and useful information about crypto.
💬 Trusted by the world’s largest crypto exchange.
👍 Discover real insights from verified creators.
Email / Phone number
Trending Topics
STRKRisesAbout20%In24Hours
25,328 views
274 Discussing
🚀STRK🔺 pumps hard after Starknet floats leaving Ethereum L2 for its own quantum-resistant L1 by 2027. Hit 9-month high near $0.07, +25-40% 🔺in a day. Futures OI up 50%+.
STARKNET also strike on Indian Market,it's effects comeout👍
$STRK
#STRKRisesAbout20%In24Hours
#TetherFreezesUSDTLinkedToLedgerTheft #CFTCMovesToFoldEventContractsIntoSwapsRules #LedgerPausesCryptoBilisSales #NEARAccountsSupportPostQuantumMLDSA
Trikuta Analyst
·1 Likes
·346 views
TetherFreezesUSDTLinkedToLedgerTheft
3,806 views
119 Discussing
CFTCMovesToFoldEventContractsIntoSwapsRules
1,249 views
78 Discussing