At 10 a.m. on October 21, a group of people will find their exchange accounts locked. They’re not hackers. They’re ordinary people who came to deposit money, open positions, and trade.
The one locking them out is Bitget. On October 16, it changed its terms, adding Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan to its list of restricted regions. Starting at 10 a.m. on the 18th, people in those regions won’t be able to open new positions, place orders, or subscribe to any products. At 10 a.m. on the 21st, any remaining positions will be liquidated by the system, and withdrawals will be disabled at the same time.
From receiving the notice to having to move their money: three days.
Just three weeks ago, this exchange was hacked. On September 24, attackers breached its wallet infrastructure. The initial reported loss was $351 million; after rechecking the on-chain data, that figure was revised to $387.5 million. Withdrawals were suspended for four days. Bitcoin withdrawals resumed first, with Ethereum and stablecoins following later. By the end of September, Bitget announced a reserve ratio of 131%, covering 19 coins.
A lot of people assume that after something like this happens, the exchange’s top priority should be fixing vulnerabilities and recovering the stolen funds. That’s not how it works. Recovering the funds is handled by the security team; offboarding accounts is handled by compliance. The two tracks proceed independently, without coordinating with each other. The action taken in October was on the latter track.
The people being offboarded have absolutely nothing to do with the late-September theft. The company itself says so. Its announcement didn’t mention a security investigation or a regulatory directive, or say that these accounts had done anything wrong. It said nothing more than that it was discontinuing services for some users—a one-off action.
So why do it now? Russia has incorporated crypto into its property laws over the past two years, and starting in July 2027, peer-to-peer transfers between individuals will also be banned. It’s not surprising that exchanges are getting ahead of the rules. But the way they’re carrying it out is striking: accounts across an entire country, notified by an in-app message, with three days to act.
There’s a lot to deal with in those three days. Futures positions have to be closed first. Closing them takes money. Real money. Unrealized losses on the books instantly become realized losses. Money in investment products has to be redeemed; some products haven’t reached their lock-up period, so redemptions have to wait in a queue. There may not be enough time. And withdrawals mean choosing a network: USDT on Ethereum and USDT on Tron use different addresses. Get it wrong, and the money is gone.
If someone is using a perpetual contract as a hedge while holding the spot asset elsewhere, and the position on this exchange is forcibly closed by the system, the hedge disappears right then and there. No matter which way the price moves, they’re left exposed—and they’ll still have to pay a fee for that forced closing on their way out.
For people trading across exchanges, the scariest thing isn’t really the short deadline. It’s not knowing whether they’re even among the people being targeted. The announcement says anyone who hasn’t received a notice can keep using the service. But notices are sent through three channels: email, in-app message, and push notification. If even one gets missed, does that count as not receiving the notice?
Anyone who still has positions on the exchange in Russia should really open the app and check for that message now. Don’t wait until the 21st. When that day comes, you’ll still be able to log in. You just won’t be able to get your money out.
As for Bitget, it hasn’t said how many accounts are affected or explained how it selected these users. The $387.5 million hole and this latest offboarding are both pushing people out. That 131% reserve ratio is a figure Bitget reported itself. The only thing that can be checked is the Merkle tree layer; nobody knows what’s underneath it.
After thinking it over, I’ve come to believe the most reliable rule of exchanges these days is this: technical quality comes second. What comes first is whether they can withstand that email from the compliance department arriving in the middle of the night. Technology can be fixed. If the rules say no, then the answer is no.
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