cryptonewss

🚨Most people are watching oil. The real danger lies elsewhere.
#EarningsSeason
Two pieces of news came out of the US and Japan today.
In the US, the market is all but certain of an interest rate hike in December, even as oil falls.
In Japan, the Finance Minister issued a warning about the yen.
The same reason is also behind the drop in Bitcoin and gold prices this week.
I'll show you the reason and the dates to watch.
The Iran war began in February, and oil prices rose. Inflation accelerated in the US, and the Fed raised interest rates in September for the first time in 3 years.
That's why markets have been watching oil for months.
Brent crude, which topped $110 last month, is around $96 today.
When oil falls, you'd expect interest rates to stop rising too.
The opposite happened. The market is pricing in a nearly 100% chance of a Fed rate hike in December.
Oil fell, but other prices didn't.
In the wholesale prices the US released today, energy got cheaper, but the rest of the prices kept rising. While diesel fell 7.9%, truck freight rose 3.9%.
The reason is debt-fueled growth in artificial intelligence.
The path from artificial intelligence to gold and Bitcoin prices can be seen in 4 steps.
1. Artificial intelligence is pushing prices up.
According to the minutes of the Fed's September meeting, some of the rise in goods prices is coming from artificial intelligence investments.
Some Fed officials warned that demand could outstrip production because of these investments.
2. When prices keep rising, interest rates go up.
The US government's 10-year borrowing rate rose above 5% again this week.
3. As interest rates rise, debt-fueled growth in artificial intelligence comes under strain.
According to Goldman Sachs, borrowing for artificial intelligence has approached $600 billion worldwide this year.
Sectors with high debt fall harder on bad news.
Nvidia shares have been falling since the beginning of October.
After the election in the US last week, investors feared that data center investments would slow. Artificial intelligence stocks fell sharply.
CoreWeave buys Nvidia chips with debt and rents them out. This week, investors demanded interest rates above 15% to lend to the company.
That's about 3 times the interest rate the US government pays. CoreWeave announced that it would not borrow at that rate.
Jensen Huang resigned on Thursday, and the decline in Nvidia accelerated.
4. When stocks fall, indebted investors look for cash.
Lenders demand more money on days like these. To find the money, investors sell whatever they can sell fastest.
Someone who needs cash sells their bracelet first, not their house.
At the end of September, the debt investors had taken on to buy stocks in the US was close to $1.5 trillion.
Since gold and Bitcoin don't pay interest, rising interest rates were already pulling both down.
On a day when technology stocks fell at the end of October, gold hit its lowest level in a year. According to Commerzbank analysts, investors forced to pay off their debts may have sold gold.
This Thursday, Nvidia, gold and Bitcoin all fell on the same day again.
Gold hit its lowest level of 2026. Bitcoin fell below $70,000 for the first time since August.
Oil fell. The debt is still there.
The warning in Japan is also a result of step 2.
Expectations of higher interest rates strengthened the dollar. The dollar rose above 160 yen this week, and Japan's Finance Minister warned the market today.
It isn't a development in Japan that's weakening the yen.
Some of the lenders funding artificial intelligence are also in Japan.
SoftBank signed a $40 billion loan agreement this year and allocated most of the money to OpenAI. The lenders include Japan's 3 largest banks.
When Nvidia was shaken, SoftBank shares also fell more than 5%.
According to the Bank of Japan, Japanese banks are strong enough to withstand a sharp downturn in artificial intelligence.
If you hold Bitcoin or gold, watching the price of oil is no longer enough.
There are 4 dates on the calendar.
On November 17, Nvidia will report its quarterly results. The figures will show whether artificial intelligence companies are continuing to buy chips.
On December 9, the Fed will announce its interest rate decision.
On December 10, the price data for November will come out. The Fed will make its decision before seeing this data.
On December 18, the Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision.
Charles Prince, who was at the helm of Citigroup, said this in the summer of 2007.
As long as the music is playing, you have to get up and dance.
We're still dancing.
This is my personal analysis.
#CryptoNewss #worldnewswithfatema
$PAXG
$XAUT
$XAG

Cardano remains trapped in a bearish market structure after failing to reclaim the $0.19 range low, leaving ADA vulnerable to further downside until buyers break the sequence of lower highs.
ADA currently trades around $0.175, down roughly 2% over the past 24 hours and nearly 31% over the past month. The latest weakness leaves price well beneath the former range floor that previously supported the market.
The immediate technical problem is straightforward: ADA has bounced from the lower-$0.17 region, but the recovery has not been strong enough to reclaim lost structure.
ADA Remains Below the Former $0.19 Range Low
The Binance 12-hour structure developed a broad trading range with support near $0.19 and resistance around $0.258-$0.26.
ADA initially spent weeks oscillating inside this range before the structure deteriorated through October and early November.
Once $0.19 failed, sellers pushed ADA toward roughly $0.17, establishing another lower low.
At $0.175, ADA remains approximately 8% below the former $0.19 support, based on our calculation. That means the latest bounce has yet to turn the breakdown into a failed move.
The Crypto Basic recently highlighted how ADA’s loss of $0.1762 shifted attention toward $0.1705 and $0.1658. Price has since continued trading close to that lower support region.
$0.20-$0.202 Is the More Important Bullish Test
Reclaiming $0.19 would improve the immediate structure, but it would not be enough by itself to establish a bullish trend.
ADA still faces a lower high around $0.20-$0.202. This is the level buyers need to break to interrupt the sequence of lower highs that has defined the decline.
From $0.175, a move to $0.202 would require an advance of approximately 15.4%.
A sustained break above that area would provide the first stronger evidence that sellers are losing control and could open the way toward the middle of the previous range.
Until then, a rebound into $0.19-$0.20 could simply become another lower high within the downtrend. This is consistent with previous analysis showing that ADA needed to clear resistance around $0.195-$0.204 before a stronger recovery could develop.
Range High Near $0.26 Only Matters After Structure Changes
The larger upside level remains around $0.258-$0.26, which formed the previous range high. From $0.175, a return to $0.26 would represent nearly 49% upside. However, that target remains distant while ADA continues trading below $0.19 and the last lower high.
The more immediate sequence is:
$0.19: reclaim the former range low.
$0.20-$0.202: break the latest lower high.
$0.24-$0.26: broader recovery area if market structure turns bullish.
On the downside, the $0.17 region remains the first area buyers need to defend. Previous The Crypto Basic analysis has also identified a deeper bearish path toward approximately $0.15 if ADA fails to stabilize.
For now, Cardano remains in a downtrend. The first meaningful improvement would come from reclaiming $0.19, but stronger confirmation requires ADA to break the $0.20-$0.202 lower high.
#CryptoNewss