The Crypto Basic

#XRP now trades in a fragile zone, slipping below a support range that held the market together for more than a year. 
Amid the ongoing downtrend that has persisted since the drop from $3.66 in July 2025, XRP is now breaking below a critical support area within the $1.8 to $2.1 range. This area had held for over a year, providing a cushion against steeper declines during periods of sustained price struggles.
The latest collapse below this range could spell doom for XRP if the next support levels do not hold up well. Specifically, XRP now looks to the $1.7 to $1.75 range for immediate support, with the $1.8 to $2.1 level now acting as resistance. If XRP can reclaim the $2 mark, its fortunes could change for the better.
Key Points
XRP has now slipped below the $1.8 to $2.1 support range amid the latest wave of bearish pressure.This support range acted as a critical defense against steeper drops during periods of sustained downturns, protecting XRP for over a year.With the latest breach, XRP now needs to maintain the $1.7 to $1.75 support area to cushion further declines.A recovery above $2 from the current position could flip the trend bullish, allowing XRP to aim for higher targets.
How XRP Established Support Around $1.8 to $2.1
Market analyst Krillin first called attention to this long-standing support range last month. As XRP held this area despite the Q4 2025 downturn, he commended the asset’s resilience, stressing that XRP had maintained the support for over a year.
The current price structure began in late 2024. Specifically, in November 2024, XRP surged from around $0.50 to above $2.00 in just a few 3-day candles. XRP then turned $2.00 into a significant psychological level after pushing above it by December 2024. 

The rally continued through early 2025, pushing XRP into the $3.00 to $3.30 range before a pullback tested support near $2.00. This marked the first major corrective phase of the cycle. Between April and June 2025, XRP settled into a consolidation above the $1.8 to $2.1 red support zone, repeatedly testing this area. 
However, a recovery effort pushed prices to $3.66 by July 2025, a nearly sevenfold move from the November 2024 lows. After this peak, XRP entered a distribution phase, forming lower highs and lower lows, eventually losing $2.80 and $2.50. By Q4 2025 and into January 2026, XRP returned to the red support zone as prices corrected.
New XRP Support Levels to Watch
Now, Krillin confirmed that the support seems to be breaking. From here, the next and most important support sits between $1.70 and $1.75, which lines up with the current price area. XRP must hold this zone to avoid another sharp leg down. 
Below this area, the next level to watch is $1.50, a psychological price zone where buyers may attempt to slow the move. If XRP fails to hold $1.50, the chart opens toward the $1.00 to $1.10 range, which marks a broader structural support area. 
Previous Support Flips to Resistance
On the upside, XRP faces heavy resistance just above current levels. The most critical barrier stands at $1.8 to $2.1, the same red zone that previously acted as strong support. XRP has already broken below this area, and the price now struggles to move back above it. As long as XRP trades under $2.00, sellers remain in control.
If buyers defend the $1.70 to $1.75 area and push prices back above $2.00, the market could begin to stabilize. In this case, XRP may grind higher toward $2.50, using the former support zone as a base. However, if price fails to hold current levels, a drop below $1.70 would likely pull XRP toward $1.60, followed by a test of $1.50. 
Analyst Expects Steeper Declines Before Rebound
Meanwhile, analyst Protechtor believes the recent drop below $1.95 is a sign that the latest rally lacked strength. He sees the move as a corrective one and believes the market risks sliding toward $1.60 if selling pressure continues, even though some lower-probability bullish outcomes still exist.

Another market watcher, Chart Nerd, suggested that XRP may need to move lower before any strong recovery begins. He placed potential downside targets around $1.50 and $1.30, where the market could experience deeper stress before sentiment improves.
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Despite recent weakness, #Shiba Inu buyers are stepping in to defend a key support zone, increasing the chances of a short-term rebound. 
The broader financial downturn continues to pressure cryptocurrencies, driving major assets lower. Notably, Shiba Inu has repeatedly tested a critical support level, and analysts now suggest the token may be preparing for a bounce.
Key Points 
Shiba Inu is repeatedly defending a critical support level around $0.00000724. The token last traded near this zone last month and has since returned amid a broader market pullback. Sustained support at this level strengthens the case for a potential short-term rebound. However, any meaningful upside would require SHIB to reclaim and hold above $0.00000809. 
Rebound Imminent? 
Popular community analyst SHIB KNIGHT highlighted the observation in his latest Shiba Inu analysis. The accompanying chart shows SHIB pressing into a well-defined support zone around $0.00000724 after a sharp pullback. 
As a result, he noted that buyers have repeatedly defended the price from falling below this crucial support. This pattern signals strong demand at lower levels and growing seller exhaustion. As support continues to hold, KNIGHT suggested that the setup may signal an imminent rebound. 

Historical Context 
For context, SHIB last traded at $0.0000072 in December 2025 during a broader market decline. Although early recovery attempts failed, bulls regained control earlier this month, pushing the token toward $0.00001. 
However, persistent selling pressure soon dragged SHIB back to the $0.0000072 support yesterday amid the broader market slump. Despite ongoing volatility, buyers have stepped in aggressively to defend this level, limiting further downside. 
Currently, SHIB trades near this support zone at approximately $0.000007276 and could be aiming for a rebound, according to KNIGHT. However, a clean break below the level would invalidate the setup and could open the door to further downside. 
Shiba Inu Next Move
Meanwhile, Shiba Inu has faced sharp volatility over the past day, with prices swinging between $0.0000075 and $0.0000071. As a result, SHIB lost a key support at $0.00000748, which has now flipped into resistance, while $0.00000724 serves as the immediate support. However, if this level fails, the next support lies at $0.0000069, which could offer temporary relief if selling pressure persists. 
Moreover, SHIB must reclaim the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level around $0.00000809 to trigger any meaningful upside. Else, recovery attempts may remain limited. 
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The #Ethereum record contract deployments in Q4 2025 signal growth, but key resistance and support levels will determine its next move.
Notably, Ethereum (ETH) has experienced a 1.7% decline in the past 24 hours, erasing some of this week’s gains. The price has ranged between a low of $2,937.74 and a high of $3,036.85 during this period, showing a trend towards the lower end of this range. 
Despite some volatility, Ethereum remains above the $2,900 mark, making it a crucial support level. Over the past 7 days, ETH has faced a more significant 2% decline, and in the last 14 days, it has decreased by 10.7%.
With its price action fluctuating around the $2,950 mark, traders are closely watching for a potential breakout or further declines. Where’s ETH headed?
Ethereum Price Prediction
Looking at technical charts, Ethereum is currently trading below the Ichimoku Cloud. For Ethereum to initiate an upward move, it must break above the cloud, which starts at $3,091.

This level represents a key resistance zone, and a breach above it would suggest a potential bullish continuation towards the upper boundary above $3,180. Additionally, the conversion line is still below the baseline, which is a bearish signal. For a shift in momentum, the conversion line must cross above the baseline at $3,091.
If Ethereum fails to breach the cloud and the conversion line does not flip above the baseline, the price could face further downward pressure. In this scenario, Ethereum may test lower levels, with the immediate support at $2,811. A failure to hold above this level could lead to a deeper retracement toward the next significant support at $2,720.
Ethereum Hits Record Contract Deployments
Meanwhile, further data from Token Terminal show that Ethereum reached an all-time high of 9.1 million contracts deployed in Q4 2025. This surge in contract deployments proves Ethereum’s increasing network activity and adoption.

The chart also shows the divergence between the volume of contracts deployed and transaction fees. While Ethereum is experiencing heightened usage and adoption, the network is becoming more efficient, leading to lower transaction costs. Overall, this positions Ethereum for more sustainable growth in the long term.
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#Dogecoin is testing key support and resistance levels, and bulls would need to breach Supertrend resistance for a potential breakout.
Dogecoin (DOGE) has experienced a 1.9% decline in the past 24 hours, currently trading at $0.1219. Over the last 24 hours, the price has hit a low of $0.1214 and a high of $0.1271, showing a general downtrend within the period. During this press, the price is trading at the lowest end of its 1-day range.
This decline maintains the trend seen over the past week, where Dogecoin has lost approximately 3.8% of its value. Over the last 30 days, DOGE has also shown a modest 1.2% decline.
The chart highlights a sharp decline in price over the past few days, with the token losing momentum after an earlier-week surge. Despite this, DOGE has managed to stabilize above the $0.121 support level, which traders will be closely watching to see if it can hold. 
Can DOGE Support Hold?
In the daily Dogecoin chart, the Supertrend indicator plays a pivotal role in identifying key levels for potential price movement. Currently, the price has broken below the lower boundary of the Supertrend at $0.12658, which has been acting as a barrier to bearish momentum. 

DOGE bulls will be aiming to breach this level for a bullish move toward the upper boundary of the Supertrend indicator at $0.14, now acting as the major resistance. If successful, this could lead to a further rally to levels like $0.156, but failure to break the resistance could result in a rejection, causing a potential pullback.
The Standard Deviation indicator below the chart shows declining volatility, which suggests that DOGE’s price movement may continue within this narrow range until a breakout or breakdown occurs. Traders should keep an eye on the Supertrend levels, as breaking either the resistance or support will likely dictate the next significant price move.
Dogecoin Breaks Key Trendline Resistance
Analyst Trader Tardigrade recently shared on X that Dogecoin on the 4-hour chart appears to be forming a Diamond Continuation Pattern. This comes after breaking a key resistance trendline just below the $0.1230 level. 

The breakout from this resistance suggests that Dogecoin is now aiming for the continuation pattern, and hence the next target at around $0.1290. To reach $0.129, Dogecoin must surge by over 5.8% from the current price of $0.1219.
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While #XRP has maintained a position within the broader crypto market, some believe this has limited its image and, by extension, pricing.
XRP still trades around the $2 level, but some community figures argue that this price does not reflect what the asset was built to do. These individuals have persistently insisted that XRP remains undervalued. They believe the market still treats XRP like a speculative crypto when its purpose rests on payments and cross-border settlement. 
From this perspective, XRP’s value should come from how well it supports global liquidity, not speculation. This could lead to a price rise as institutions rely on it for settlement, hold it on balance sheets, and require larger liquidity buffers.
Key Points
XRP changes hands around $2, but multiple community figures insist that it trades well below its true value.This narrative suggests that the XRP valuation should center on liquidity and balance-sheet demand instead of speculation.For instance, Swift’s global payments flows reach about $150 trillion annually, and XRP could see a price spike if it handled 15% or roughly $22.5 trillion.In such a scenario, modeled XRP price ranges span $2.50 to $7.50 in a basic role, $10 to $200 as a systemic liquidity asset, and $50 to $100 or more as a reserve asset.
XRP Price is Not a “Crypto” Question
This model was presented by Rob Cunningham, host of the KUWL Show, who challenged how people think about XRP’s price. He argued that XRP’s valuation has little to do with typical crypto discussions. 

Notably, the pundit insisted that it was a balance-sheet and liquidity issue. According to him, once institutions stop comparing XRP to Bitcoin and start using it as financial infrastructure, its pricing logic would change completely.
Cunningham explained that XRP would take on a different role when institutions treat it as financial plumbing. In that role, XRP could act as neutral collateral and provide certainty in settlement, instead of acting as a speculative asset. He suggested that this could move XRP into the category of globally important liquidity.
The market pundit highlighted comments from Ripple CTO, David Schwartz, to support this idea. Specifically, Schwartz has long said that XRP must trade at a higher price to work efficiently as a cross-border settlement token.
For context, a higher price allows large amounts of value to move using fewer tokens, which reduces friction in global payments. According to Cunningham, this is a design requirement, not a price prediction.
How the Model Connects Flow, Liquidity, and XRP Price
Cunningham then shared a graphic that presents a model linking transaction flow, liquidity needs, and the XRP price. It shows that processing large volumes does not directly set XRP’s price. Instead, price rises or falls based on how much XRP institutions must hold to settle payments smoothly and reliably.
Notably, the model assumes that XRP-related systems capture 15% of Swift’s annual transaction flow of $150 trillion, equal to roughly $22.5 trillion. Of this amount, the model assumes that 25% actually settles using XRP itself. This results in about $5.6 trillion in annual settlement volume handled by XRP. 
Liquidity Needs and Price Scenarios
Meanwhile, the second section of the graphic focuses on liquidity requirements. Based on $5.6 trillion in annual settlements, the model assumes XRP circulates between 6 and 12x per year. This reuse rate produces an estimated base liquidity need of about $140 billion.
To account for risk management, the model then applies a buffer of 2 to 5x, raising the total required XRP liquidity to a range between $280 billion and $700 billion. Per the graphic, institutions would hold this XRP on balance sheets rather than trade it. This would ensure there are stable corridors, low volatility, and instant settlement.
The final section then translates these liquidity figures into price ranges. Specifically, in a basic settlement role, XRP prices fall between $2.50 and $7.50. In a broader scenario where XRP becomes a systemic liquidity asset, required liquidity ranges from $100 billion to $700 billion, with prices spanning $10 to $200. 
Meanwhile, in the most ambitious case, XRP acts as a reserve or treasury asset. Within this scenario, the prices could reach $50 to $100 or higher as institutions accumulate XRP to absorb global payment flows.
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#Solana has held key support and is testing crucial resistance levels, with traders closely monitoring for a potential breakout to higher levels.
For perspective, Solana (SOL) has experienced a positive 2.8% increase in the past 24 hours, now attempting to recover some of last week’s losses. The price ranged between a low of $123.05 and a high of $127.51 during this period, showing a clear upward movement. 
In the past 7 days, however, Solana has seen a 0.2% decline, reflecting a slight loss in momentum over the past week. In the last 30 days, SOL has shown a modest increase of 1.2%, indicating some positive momentum, while the token is down 46.6% year-on-year.
Despite these longer-term challenges, the recent 24-hour surge has lifted Solana’s market capitalization to $71.98 billion. The price action, though showing recovery in the short term, is still below its recent highs, leaving traders to monitor for any potential breakouts.
Can Solana Break Further Resistance?
On the daily chart, #Solana is currently approaching a crucial resistance level around the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $128.92. This level is key for the potential continuation of its uptrend, as a sustained breakout here could lead to a move toward higher Fibonacci levels, with $132.63 (0.5 level) and $136.33 (0.382 level) acting as resistance.

However, if Solana fails to hold its support at $123.65, it could retrace further towards the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $97.55. The Awesome Oscillator indicator shows a negative reading of 7.73, signaling that bearish momentum is still present.
If the AO starts turning positive with green bars, it could indicate a shift in momentum towards the bullish side. For now, Solana’s ability to hold above $123 and break through resistance at $128 will be crucial in determining whether it can continue its upward movement.
Solana Has Held Key Support
Adding to those levels, expert analyst Ali Martinez recently shared on X that an important support level has been held.

Martinez mentions that if Solana can break through the $131.45 and $144.62 resistance levels, it could signal a continuation of the upward movement. Notably, to reach $144, SOL’s price would need to change by approximately 13.3% from the current price of $127.
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#XRP is once again drawing attention on higher timeframes, as an analyst highlighted a bullish structure described as a “pattern within a pattern.”
This comes at a time when XRP recently dipped below the $1.90 support level, with analysts continuing to map out a recovery path toward a new all-time high.
Key Points
XRP forms a Triple Bottom, signaling a potential major breakout.Pattern stacks within a larger structure, boosting bullish conviction.Fibonacci targets suggest $9.28–$31.65 upside from $1.89.Analysts warn support breach could trigger a drop to $0.50.
XRP Forms Patterns Within a Pattern
Analyst EGRAG shared a promising outlook for XRP in his latest post on X. At the center of the analysis is a Triple Bottom formation, a classic reversal setup that marks the end of prolonged consolidation.
According to EGRAG, XRP is not just forming a single bullish pattern, but stacking multiple technical structures on top of each other.
The Triple Bottom Formation
Notably, the Triple Bottom pattern forms when price tests the same support zone three separate times without breaking lower. On XRP’s chart, each dip was met with strong buying interest, as sellers are losing control while long-term holders continue defending key levels.
This repeated defense of support indicates exhaustion of downside pressure, confidence among buyers, and lays the foundation for a sustained upside breakout.
Indeed, as EGRAG’s chart illustrates, the triple bottom pattern has played out repeatedly over several years in XRP’s history, each time leading to massive breakouts. Based on the formation over the past year, he now expects a breakout to a new all-time high.

“Patterns Within a Pattern”
What makes the present setup stand out is its position within a larger market structure. The Triple Bottom is forming inside a broader consolidation and breakout framework, supported by long-term moving averages and rising price channels.
In technical analysis, this kind of “pattern stacking” strengthens conviction. Rather than relying on a single indicator, multiple signals align. This layered setup is why EGRAG focuses on market structure rather than short-term price swings.
How High Will the Price Go?
EGRAG’s chart projects upside targets using Fibonacci extensions tied to the Triple Bottom breakout. The pattern suggests a move toward higher Fibonacci levels at the 1.272 and 1.618 extensions.
These levels correspond to XRP prices of $9.28 and $31.65, implying around a 5X to 17X surge from XRP’s current price of $1.89. While no specific timeline is attached, the chart suggests a potential window between 2026 and 2027.
The bullish case for XRP remains intact as long as it holds above former resistance, now acting as support. Maintaining this zone confirms the Triple Bottom, while a drop below it would require reevaluation.
Essentially, EGRAG’s analysis emphasizes that XRP’s chart isn’t showing exhaustion; it’s showing preparation.
Opposing View
Interestingly, while EGRAG is calling for new XRP peaks, some analysts argue that the price could crash below $1. For instance, analyst The Great Martis warns that #XRP may fall further, as the market is still in a correction rather than at a bottom.
If the current support breaks, he said XRP could drop toward $0.50, which is a 73% decline from today’s price. The analyst stresses this wouldn’t be a sudden crash but a gradual, technical move within the market cycle.
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#Dogecoin is facing consolidation after recent volatility, with analysts watching for a potential breakout to determine its next move.
Notably, Dogecoin (DOGE) is seeing a slight 0.5% increase in the past day, now trading around $0.1218. This comes after testing a range between $0.1206–$0.1233. The price shows a consolidating trend after notable volatility. 
Dogecoin remains down 4% over 7 days and 11.9% in the last 14 days, showing it is struggling with short-term selling pressure. Further, the coin has declined over 30 days, with a slight decrease of 1.8% during that period. The price seems to be holding steady above key support levels around $0.12, but for a more sustained upward move, Dogecoin would need to break through its resistance levels.
Dogecoin Price Analysis
Notably, on Dogecoin’s daily chart from TradingView, the Supertrend indicator remains above the price, signaling a bearish trend as the coin faces resistance around $0.1416. On the other end, the price is held by a support level near $0.117, where price has previously reverted. 

The price action shows continued pressure on the downside, and for Dogecoin to shift momentum, it would need to break above this resistance. If it fails to break the resistance and sustain a move higher, further downside toward $0.10 could be expected.
The Relative Strength Index is at 38.47, which is below the neutral 50 level, suggesting weak momentum and that the coin is nearing oversold conditions. This indicates that Dogecoin could be due for a short-term bounce. With the Supertrend still in bearish territory, and the RSI indicating limited buying momentum, Dogecoin could continue to consolidate or face more downside before a meaningful recovery. 
Will Dogecoin Test Next Resistance
Elsewhere, analyst World of Charts suggests that Dogecoin is showing signs of potential upward movement after breaking out of its current consolidation range. 

Per the analyst, once the price moves above the horizontal zone, DOGE could begin targeting the next resistance levels, which lie between the $0.15 to $0.16 range in the coming period. 
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The #Bitcoin RSI against gold has dropped below the 30 mark for only the fourth time in history, suggesting that BTC may be oversold compared to XAU.
This structure recently played out amid the divergence in performance between Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency, and gold (XAU), the leading precious metal. Specifically, while BTC has failed to impress since Q4 2025, XAU has leveraged the fearful environment to post rapid gains, consistently setting new highs over the last few months.
With Bitcoin down 22.7% since Q4 2025 and gold up 31% within the same period, the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the BTC/XAU pair has consistently slipped lower after dropping from the 62.18 peak in July 2025. This persistent drop led to the decline below 30 for the first time since the 2022 crypto bear market.
Key Points
While Bitcoin has struggled since Q4 2025, gold has continued to see gains, recently crossing the $5,000 mark to set new highs.Amid this divergence in performance, the BTC/XAU pair has collapsed considerably, leading to a drop in the RSI.This consistent drop resulted in the weekly RSI slipping below 30 for the first time in 2022.Before now, the BTC/XAU 1W RSI had only dropped below 30 three times in history, and it represented the floor for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin RSI Against Gold Slips
This pattern was identified by crypto market veteran Michaël van de Poppe, who recently suggested that the latest slip below 30 would not turn out differently from the previous three occurrences. Van de Poppe’s commentary comes as Bitcoin continues to face bearish pressure, while capital flows into gold for its safe-haven properties.

Specifically, this trend picked up in August 2025 after the BTC/XAU pair dropped from the high of 37. From here, Bitcoin declined to 29 ounces of gold in early October 2025 before recovering to 32 ounces a week later. However, as Q4 2025 introduced fresh bearish pressure for the crypto market, the BTC/XAU pair collapsed again and has since dropped to 17 at press time. 
Amid the downtrend, the 1W RSI has continued to drop since reaching 62.18 in July 2025. Today, the RSI sits at 27.92, representing its lowest reading since June 2022, shortly after the Terra ecosystem implosion.
Historical Data Sends Encouraging Signals
Van de Poppe highlighted that this decline below 30 has only happened three times since Bitcoin launched. Notably, the structure has only played out during bear markets, and each time marked the bottom for Bitcoin. 
Specifically, the first time this happened was in January 2015, when the RSI dropped to 27.62. This coincided with the BTC bottom price of $152. From here, Bitcoin saw a recovery push. The structure emerged again in 2018, when the RSI declined to 29.21 in December, coinciding with the bear market bottom of $3,122 at the time. Again, BTC recovered from this low.
Notably, during the 2022 bear market, the weekly RSI crashed below 30, hitting a low of 26.62 in June. While Bitcoin still saw further declines after this, the steeper drops occurred due to the FTX collapse in November 2022, as prices hit new lows around $15,632. From here, BTC recovered again.
With Bitcoin now trading for $87,681, van de Poppe has expressed conviction that this time may not be different, suggesting that a recovery for BTC may not be far behind. However, past successes do not guarantee future results. As a result, investors should not make investment decisions based on this commentary.
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#Cardano currently battling suppression within a channel in the hourly chart, with a recent support rebound keeping hopes of a breakout alive.
Cardano (ADA) defended the $0.33 support level during the Sunday market downturn amid fears of another US government shutdown. Having rebounded from this level, it now targets the upper boundary in its current price structure.
Key Points
Cardano is suppressed within a channel in the hourly chart, with a recent support rebound keeping hopes of a breakout alive.ADA defended the $0.33 support level during the Sunday market downturn, amid fears of another US government shutdown.Prices are tightening within the broader descending channel, suggesting a volatility squeeze in preparation for a directional move.If the current momentum holds, ADA could target the channel’s upper resistance level at $0.38.A drop below the $0.33 price level, which is the lower support boundary, would invalidate this move.
Cardano Bulls Keep Breakout Hopes Alive
Notably, the January 25 decline saw Cardano drop to the lower support trendline of a descending channel. It dropped to a low of $0.33, which aligned with the $0.33-$0.32 demand zone.
However, bulls stepped in as they did during the previous retest on January 19 to prevent prices from falling below the trendline support. So far, ADA has rallied 6% from the low to its current market price of $0.35.
Meanwhile, prices are tightening within the broader descending channel, suggesting a volatility squeeze. This also indicates that Cardano may be preparing for a directional move, potentially breaking out of the structure.

Key Levels to Watch
Cardano defended the $0.33 support violently and swiftly, suggesting momentum is building. If the current momentum holds, then it would target the channel’s upper resistance level at $0.38.
The token last retested this level on January 14, when it reached a high of $0.42 but couldn’t conquer the selling pressure there. Closing above $0.38 would pave the way for a move to higher prices, such as $0.40 and $0.50. However, this remains uncertain, as current momentum might stall or the resistance prove too strong.
A drop below the $0.33 support would invalidate this move. This would mean a drop below the structure’s lower band, with further downsides for Cardano in the short to medium term.
Remarkably, ecosystem development looks positive for ADA. Founder Charles Hoskinson recently hinted at another major integration for Cardano, with rising transaction volume adding to the optimism. For context, the mainnet has processed over 118 million transactions, signaling traction.
Nonetheless, the next direction for the Cardano price depends more on the broader market mood than on its individual progress. If Bitcoin remains choppy, the broader altcoin market is likely to correct with it.
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