Tradzar

$FIL is coiling at S1: tactical long into $2.16 if $2.10 breaks — here’s the detailed setup and plan.

Context: After a volatility shock on Nov 7 (intraday high ~$3.88), FIL has been mean-reverting lower and is now consolidating around $2.08. The last 24–36 hours show a slide from ~2.21 to ~2.01, a basing attempt and a mild recovery into the $2.08–$2.12 band. That consolidation around S1/VWAP suggests short-term stabilization inside a broader corrective trend.

Structure and technical edge: On the 1h/4h, price has formed a tightening descending wedge with flat-to-slightly-higher lows and a triple-bottom accumulation band at $2.00–$2.03. Immediate overhead resistance sits at $2.10–$2.12 (wedge top and minor LH cluster), then $2.16–$2.17 (prior intraday rejection) and $2.20–$2.21 (daily pivot). A decisive push/close above ~$2.10 is the practical signal that the wedge is breaking and that a move toward $2.14–$2.16 is likely.

Supporting indicators: Price trades above the 20-day SMA (~$1.90), signalling short-term stabilization, though it remains below the 50-day (~$2.30) — so treat any rally as tactical within a corrective medium-term trend. Momentum (1h RSI and MACD) shows recovery from oversold and a positive MACD histogram after the $2.01–$2.03 base, which supports a near-term upswing if $2.10 clears. Bollinger Bands on 1h have tightened around $2.08, implying an imminent expansion; price is riding the mid/upper band on bounces, skewing slightly bullish if $2.05 holds.

Volume
$FIL
#FIL

$EOS is showing signs of a tactical rebound — buy the dip into the 0.24s for a quick run at the 0.25s. The dominant picture remains bearish since the Oct capitulation, but price has found a well-defined demand shelf around 0.235–0.232 and printed a high-volume hammer on 2025-11-18. Today’s modest follow-through (price ~0.2423) favors a mean-reversion bounce over the next 24 hours rather than an immediate continuation lower.

Why the bounce is plausible: the long lower wick on 11-18 combined with the largest weekly volume (~2.08M) reads like capitulation-to-absorption. Momentum indicators (RSI ~43.6, Stochastic in the lower quartile, compressing MACD histogram) show downside exhaustion and room for a short-lived bullish tick. Price is also near the Bollinger lower band and ~8.2% below the 20-day SMA (~0.2639), classic ingredients for a corrective pop toward nearby high-volume nodes.

Key technical map: immediate buy zone 0.241–0.239, strong shelf/support at 0.235, and lower anchors at 0.2319 and 0.2193. Near-term resistance clusters sit at 0.247–0.253 (primary supply) and then 0.261–0.267. ATR(14) ~0.015 implies a typical 24h swing of roughly ±0.015 (putting 1-ATR up near 0.257 and down near 0.227), so expect volatility and keep objectives tight.

Trade plan (tactical, not structural): use a buy-limit within 0.241–0.239 to capture a routine liquidity dip. Primary take-profit around the 0.252–0.253 supply node — avoid fighting the cluster; consider trimming into 0.247–0.253 and
$EOS
#EOS

$JASMY : Short-term set-up favors a tactical long from the lower value edge into a 0.0102 test within 24 hours.

Market context — Despite a broader daily downtrend since mid‑August, JASMY has settled into a defined range between ~0.0084 and ~0.0107 after the October capitulation. Recent trading is clustered between ~0.0096 and ~0.0103, with today’s 0.009766 close just below the 20‑day mean. That keeps the higher‑timeframe bias modestly bearish, but price is stabilizing in the lower half of the value area — an environment that typically favors mean‑reversion trades.

Near‑term technical read — Intraday structure shows a defended shelf at ~0.00973–0.00976 and supply around 0.01010–0.01025. Oscillators (4H RSI, Stochastics) are neutral-to‑mildly bearish rather than oversold, MACD is contracting, and Bollinger positioning places price below the midline but well above the lower band. Volatility has compressed (ATR ~0.0006), so a bounce toward the mid/high value area is statistically likely absent fresh bearish volume.

Key levels — Support: 0.00973–0.00976 (today’s defended shelf), then 0.00955–0.00958 (61.8% Fib). Resistance: 0.00990–0.00998 (VWAP/20EMA zone), then 0.01010–0.01025 (intraday supply). The most probable magnet in the next 24 hours is ~0.01010–0.01018.

Trade plan (edge, entry, targets) — Edge: mean‑reversion from the lower value boundary into overhead supply. Entry: patient limit in the 0.00965–0.00970 zone to capture potential Asian session liquidity sweeps; alterna
$JASMY
#JASMY

$EIGEN : Buy-the-retest opportunity at ~0.82 — tactical long with a 0.820 entry and a 0.878 24-hour target.

Context and thesis
After a steep run down from the September peak (~2.09), EIGEN has carved out a plausible early-stage bottom from 11/03–11/06 (0.703–0.726) and has since produced higher lows into the 0.816–0.822 area. That shift from lower-lows to higher-lows, combined with expanding volume on up-days and an intraday thrust to 0.868–0.886 on 11/09, frames the current setup as a classic buy-the-retest scenario: price has broken above a neckline region and is now retesting the 0.820–0.825 pivot for confirmation.

Technical read
Short-term structure: bullish (higher-lows on intraday and hourly frames) within a broader medium-term downtrend (price still below the 20-day SMA near ~0.95). Key supports include 0.820–0.825 (immediate pivot/neckline), 0.803–0.806 (minor shelf), and the major base 0.726–0.709 (invalidation zone). Resistances to respect are 0.844–0.852 (intraday supply), 0.868–0.885 (61.8% cluster and recent swing high), and the 0.90–0.95 band that sits just under the 20-day mean.

Confluence and indicators
- Fibonacci: Price is retesting the 38.2% zone of the 0.726→0.886 leg (~0.824) — a classic pullback buy band. A sustained hold here preserves the bullish microstructure.
- Momentum: MACD histogram is turning up; RSI has rebounded from oversold into a neutral-to-slightly-bullish posture. No overbought signals yet.
- Volume/flow: Up-day volume expansion with OBV
$EIGEN
#EIGEN

$ICP : A textbook buy-the-dip is forming after the two-day surge — here’s how to play the next 24 hours. The Internet Computer printed a sharp impulsive thrust into Nov 1–2, then pulled back into the 38.2–50% retracement pocket (low 3.691). That pullback looks healthy: volume shows profit-taking rather than distribution, RSI sits mid-60s (bullish but not overbought), and price remains well above the short-term 20D SMA — all supportive of a continuation toward the 4.10–4.20 supply zone.

Context and structure: On higher timeframes ICP is still beneath medium/long-term moving averages (50D/200D context), so rallies will face meaningful overhead supply near ~4.2–4.7. Practically, however, price has carved a multi-week base since the Oct 10 capitulation and has produced higher lows from the Oct 30 trough (2.892) to today’s low (3.691). That higher-low structure is intact as long as the 3.60–3.70 area holds, which is why the 3.74–3.80 confluence becomes the preferred buy zone.

Why this setup is compelling: Multiple threads align at 3.74–3.80 — the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the 2.892→4.303 move, recent intraday demand, and a defended intraday floor. Momentum indicators (MACD positive, RSI ~61–62, Stochastics mid-high) confirm short-term bullish energy but also show the pullback paused froth rather than reversing it. Bollinger Bands show a classic mean-reversion after a band-ride; ATR remains elevated (~0.4–0.5), so expect 10–15% noise and size positions accordingly.

Trade plan
$ICP
#ICP

$PNUT is flashing a short-term tactical setup: buy the $0.1368 dip for a rotation toward $0.1425 within the next 24 hours. Peanut the Squirrel looks poised to use the daily pivot/50% retracement as a springboard if hourly support holds.

Context and thesis: After the mid-October capitulation, PNUT has been compressing into a clearly defined range between roughly $0.126 and $0.161. The macro trend remains down, but price has established a stabilizing mid-pivot zone (≈$0.136–$0.139) and an ascending sequence on the hourly that favors tactical longs on weakness. The technical confluence — daily pivot (~$0.1368), 50% fib (~$0.1362), hourly 20EMA/Kijun (~$0.1367–$0.1373) — makes $0.1368 a high-quality limit entry for a short 24h trade.

Why this setup works: Multiple timeframes line up for a dip-buy approach. Hourly momentum has recently turned constructive (higher lows/higher highs and an hourly 20>50 EMA cross), while intraday indicators (RSI and stochastic) are hinting at a modest unwinding before continuation. Volatility measures show compression after the crash — favoring range rotations instead of breakouts. Pivot analysis projects a likely fade from R1 into P followed by a rotation to R2; classic pivot behavior gives this trade structure high probability in the near term.

Trade plan (24h tactical):
- Entry (limit): $0.1368 (near daily Pivot P, hourly 20EMA/Kijun and 50% fib confluence)
- Target: $0.1425 (just under R2 $0.1427 to increase fill odds)
- Protective stop (guides
$PNUT
#PNUT

$BAT : Buy the dip at the 38.2% Fib — the 0.210–0.214 shelf is the collision point where a 24h rebound toward ~0.226 becomes the high-probability path.

Thesis and regime
BAT remains in a medium-term uptrend that began in late October, with higher highs and higher lows and daily closes decisively above the pre-November range. The recent intraday pullback has brought price to a textbook support confluence: the 38.2% Fibonacci of the Nov move (~0.2107), a dense horizontal shelf at 0.210–0.214, and a high-volume value node around 0.20–0.21. Those factors tilt the odds toward a mean-reversion bounce rather than a change of trend.

Technical context
Measured from the Nov 1 low (~0.162) to the Nov 10 high (~0.241), retracements sit at 23.6% ≈ 0.222, 38.2% ≈ 0.211, 50% ≈ 0.201 and 61.8% ≈ 0.192. Price currently sits at ~0.21094, essentially on the 38.2% level — a classic termination zone for corrective wave 4s or ABC pullbacks in an ongoing impulse. Moving averages (20–50D) remain below current price, and daily indicators likely still favor bullish momentum, so this pullback is corrective in character.

Intraday structure, momentum and volume
The hourly slide lost slope into the last candles and printed stabilizing signals near 21:58, consistent with buyers re-entering near value. Hourly oscillators were likely stretched toward oversold, improving the probability for a short-term bounce. Historically, the stronger November advances printed higher volume on upticks while corrective dow
$BAT
#BAT

$FTT : Teetering below $0.70, FTX Token looks set to extend its slide — sell the likely bounce into $0.707–$0.712 for a drive toward $0.682. The daily picture is a clear downtrend, with a chain of lower highs and lower lows and an accelerating decline over the past three sessions. Intraday, price repeatedly failed at the 0.711–0.713 shelf, closed the last hour at session lows and now sits marginally beneath the $0.700 psychological level — a setup that favors sellers while also making short-term bounces likely.

Why the bias is bearish: price is ~13% below the 20‑day SMA and well under the falling 50‑day, the Ichimoku components sit overhead, and OBV/volume patterns show distribution on recent down legs. Momentum tools are oversold (daily RSI ≈ 29.5; Stochastics near 0–10%) which raises the probability of a tactical relief rally, but in a trending market oscillators can remain depressed while the decline continues. Bollinger lower band and classical pivot S2 converge around $0.682, giving a neat target confluence.

Intraday nuance: 1‑hour action shows a breakdown from an intraday shelf at 0.705–0.712 and an inability to reclaim VWAP (~0.712) — repeated rejections there mark an objective zone to sell into. A mild 1‑hour RSI divergence suggests a short-term bounce to roughly 0.707–0.712 (base case ~60% probability) before the next leg lower. Alternate scenarios include a stronger squeeze into 0.721–0.726 (25%) that would invalidate some near-term short conviction if sustained, or
$FTT
#FTT

$WLD is setting up for a tactical mean-reversion pop — buy the dip into intraday support with a 24h target near $0.918. Current price sits ~ $0.889 and the technical picture favors a short, disciplined mean-reversion scalp rather than any bullish regime change. The daily context remains bearish since early October (price below 20/50 SMAs, lower highs/lows), but price has stabilized after the Oct 10 dislocation and printed a classic liquidity sweep / SFP on Oct 17 near $0.8259. Since that low, the 1h structure shows a sequence of higher lows (~$0.872 → $0.889) and hourly momentum (RSI, MACD cross) supporting a measured bounce.

Why this trade works: multiple tools converge on a modest retrace. The 0.5 Fibonacci of the last leg aligns at ~$0.918, Tenkan and a daily pivot cluster sit in the $0.92–0.93 band, and the 20-day mean (~$1.12) implies room for a short-term reversion. Volatility-based projections (ATR) center a 24h range around $0.854–$0.944 with a realistic mid-target ~ $0.918. Orderflow context supports the thesis: Oct 17’s sweep cleared liquidity below, and there’s a resting shelf around $0.872–$0.876 acting as intraday demand.

Key levels to note:
- Entry (preferred): $0.884–$0.886 (optimal limit into 1h support/VWAP congestion; $0.885 used as reference)
- 24h target (take-profit): $0.918 (0.5 fib / daily pivot confluence)
- Secondary target if momentum extends: $0.940–$0.945 (0.618 fib / POC zone)
- Invalidates/stop: decisive hourly close below $0.872; suggested stop
$WLD
#WLD

$LINK sits on the knife-edge of a short-term pivot, probing the 13.86–14.00 shelf that could trigger a fast mean-reversion pop.

After a sustained medium-to-strong downtrend since late August, Chainlink has accelerated lower into early November and just swept intraday lows at 13.866. That sweep appears to have cleared stops and elicited responsive buying: an hourly pattern of higher lows, a long lower wick on the daily candle, and contracting downside momentum suggest short-term exhaustion. While the daily regime remains firmly bearish (price well below the 20/50/100/200 SMAs and EMAs stacked lower), the setup today favors a tactical countertrend long as a mean-reversion trade into the mid-14s.

Why the bounce has edge
- Price tagged and reclaimed the lower Bollinger band and formed a micro double-bottom intraday.
- Hourly RSI and stochastics show bullish divergence/flattening from oversold levels.
- Volume spikes and wicks near 13.9 indicate absorption and a nascent demand block.
- Pivot and intraday structure place first resistance near 14.46 (R1) and an efficient profit zone at ~14.62–14.65.

Key technical levels
- Support: 13.86 (today’s sweep), 14.00 round shelf; below that 13.74 (S1) then 13.45 (S2).
- Resistance: 14.28–14.32 (minor intraday supply), 14.46 (R1 pivot), 14.62–14.65 (tactical target/supply shelf), then 14.95+ (Fib).
- Expected 24h range (base): 13.85–14.65; expansion case as low as 13.45 or as high as ~14.90.

Trade plan (tactical, 24h horizon)
-
$LINK
#LINK

$DEXE is coiling for a push — the setup favors buying short-term pullbacks as momentum aims for 7.75–7.80.

Executive snapshot
Expect a moderately bullish 24‑hour profile: short-term trend is up while the broader medium-term downtrend remains intact. The clean trade is a buy‑the‑dip in the 7.20–7.24 pocket (trendline + 38.2% Fib confluence) with a primary take‑profit zone into 7.75–7.80. Key pivots to watch: reclaiming 7.29 opens the path to 7.57–7.60; failing 7.10/6.98 would flip the bias.

Market structure and context
Daily price action shows a nascent uptrend since the Oct 30 low (6.199) with higher lows and higher highs across recent sessions. Short term (hourly) price respected the rising intraday trendline and printed a higher low at 7.178, then compressed around 7.25–7.30 — a classic coil before continuation. Volume profile supports accumulation: elevated buys on green days and absorption on dips.

What’s working technically
- Support cluster: 7.18–7.24 (intraday trendline and session low); secondary supports at 7.10–7.12 (38.2% Fib) and 6.96–6.98 (S1 / Oct 31 close).
- Resistance stack: immediate supply 7.35–7.37, stronger cap 7.57–7.60, and overhead supply into 7.73–7.76.
- Momentum: SMA(8/20) below spot, short EMAs curling up, RSI/stochastics in bullish territory but not extreme — room to carry upward. ATR suggests intraday room to reach the 7.75–7.85 stretch zone.

Patterns and probabilities
Price action hints at a micro cup‑and‑handle/ascending triangle — higher‑l​
$DEXE
#DEXE

$FIL is coiling under $3.00 — a textbook golden-pocket dip that’s primed for a 2.95–3.05 retest. After a regime-changing breakout on Nov 7 (3.883) and a strong volume impulse, Filecoin has pulled back into the 50–61.8% Fibonacci “golden pocket” and is carving higher intraday lows. That setup, combined with stabilizing momentum and on-balance-volume that has not shown material distribution, gives a moderately bullish bias over the next 24 hours: buy the dip.

Context matters: FIL moved from a capitulative base below $2 in October to a decisive breakout with record turnover on Nov 7. The recent two-day retracement (3.36 → 2.95) and today’s inside-day consolidation beneath prior range indicate digestion, not a trend reversal. Intraday supports are clustering at 2.74–2.76 and 2.66–2.68, while resistance congestion sits at 2.95–3.00 (61.8% Fib), then 3.10–3.36 and the spike zone at 3.55–3.88.

Technical read: Price remains above the daily MAs and the fast EMAs are rising — a classic post-breakout stack. Daily RSI has reset from overbought into the upper-50s/low-60s, hourly RSI and stochastics are workable for another push, and MACD has a bullish cross with a contracting histogram that’s stabilizing. Volatility (expanded ATR and widened BBs) means 15–25% intraday moves remain likely; volume structure shows HVNs at 2.66–2.76 and an LVN gap into 2.88–2.95 that could allow a quick traverse on a clean breakout.

Trade plan (24h tactical): The recommended approach is buy-the-dip into the
$FIL
#FIL

$TIA is perched at a strategic crossroads — the 20D SMA and the 50% Fibonacci retracement are colliding right under price, setting up a high-probability bounce toward ~1.02. Celestia’s price action since the Oct 10 flash event shows a constructive repair: a broad base formed into early November, a momentum spike on Nov 7 to ~1.1712, and a controlled pullback that has now landed in the 0.963–0.978 confluence band.

Digging into the structure: daily momentum remains constructive so long as the immediate supports hold. The November 4–7 swing maps a 38.2% retrace at ~1.024, 50% at ~0.978, and 61.8% at ~0.933. Spot (0.969) sits just below the 50% and above the 61.8% — the classic golden-pocket area. That band aligns with the 20D SMA (~0.965) and intraday lower-channel support (~0.963), producing a layered tactical buy zone.

Short-term indicators are consistent with a mean-reversion opportunity. Price traders will note the 10D SMA near 0.93 (short-term recovery intact) and the 20D mid-band acting like a magnet for mean reversion. Bollinger dynamics show a reversion to the mid-band; holding above it typically favors a re-test of the upper band and the 38.2% fib near 1.02. Intraday oscillators (1H RSI/Stoch) are cycling out of oversold while MACD histograms are contracting — both signals often precede a bounce into overhead resistance.

Volume context supports the bullish base case. The Nov 7–8 participation spike validated the impulse; recent pullbacks have occurred on lighter or in
$TIA
#TIA

$OP : After the Oct 10 crash, Optimism is carving out a battered but credible base — a short-term relief rally toward 0.47–0.48 is the highest‑probability move over the next 24 hours.

Context and structure
The tape shows a clear regime shift: a violent breakdown on Oct 10 (intraday low ≈0.254, close ≈0.499) left price below multi‑month value and opened a low‑volume corridor beneath 0.50. Since then the market has drifted down to ~0.42–0.43 while daily ranges contracted. That compression, coupled with repeated defenses of 0.420, looks like post‑capitulation basing rather than an active continuation lower.

Why a 24h relief rally is probable
- Intraday bullish divergence: 1H RSI is forming higher troughs against repeated price tests of 0.420, signalling demand absorption on the micro timeframe.
- Volatility squeeze: ATR and Bollinger behavior show a mini‑squeeze; squeezes after capitulation commonly release upward first if the intraday floor holds.
- Volume profile gap: The fast crash left a low‑volume band between ~0.43 and ~0.49 — price can traverse this quickly once momentum builds.
- Confluence target: The 38.2% retrace (~0.476) aligns with prior daily closes and a fresh overhead supply block (0.485–0.505), making 0.47–0.48 a natural magnet.

Key levels
- Support / invalidation: 0.418–0.420 is the immediate intraday floor; a decisive loss here reopens 0.396–0.400 and risks a deeper probe. For tactical risk management, a stop below ~0.409–0.412 is prudent to avoid noise.
-
$OP
#OP

$WIF is perched on the 50% Fib pivot — momentum is building for a tactical re-test of ~0.52 over the next 24 hours. The setup is medium‑high quality: price reclaimed the 0.485 50% retracement after a classic capitulation in early October and a secondary washout in early November, and intraday structure now shows higher highs and higher lows with rising volume.

Context and trend: On the daily timeframe the market moved from distribution into a capitulation (Oct 10) and has since shown signs of accumulation — a sharp V‑recovery, an accepted reprieve above the 50% Fib, and participation on bounces. On the 4H/1H frames the bias is clearly bullish: ascending channels, 1H MAs sloping up, price walking the upper volatility bands and OBV rising into the US session.

Key levels to watch: Support at 0.486–0.490 (primary intraday demand box and prior breakout shelf), secondary support 0.478–0.482 (VWAP/MA confluence) and invalidation zone 0.471–0.475 (prior swing base). Immediate resistance cluster sits at 0.495–0.500, with the principal targets at 0.517–0.525 and a stretch to 0.545–0.552 if momentum accelerates.

Why this matters: Reclaiming the 50% Fib (≈0.485) is a constructive technical signal. Short‑term momentum indicators (1H RSI ~60–70, MACD positive, price above cloud on 1H Ichimoku) support continuation. Volatility is elevated (daily ATR expanded), so moves of 5–10% intraday are plausible — reaching 0.520–0.525 fits well within this environment.

Tactical trade plan (preferred
$WIF
#WIF

$LTC : Sell-the-rip remains the highest-probability trade — tactical short into the 0.382–0.50 fib is the play.

Executive snapshot: The next 24 hours look mildly bearish to range-bound. Expect a tactical fade from hourly resistance into ~85.0–85.5 (with a potential liquidity sweep near 84.5). Baseline tactical range: ~84.8–89.8 with a center of gravity near 86.7–87.2. The highest-expectancy setup is a short in the 87.9–88.4 area; invalidation comes on an hourly close above ~89.6–90.0.

Why this trade? Multiple trend and momentum filters align with a sellers-first environment. Daily and intraday structure show persistent lower highs/lower lows and a bear-flag consolidation after the 11/03–11/04 breakdown. Moving averages and Ichimoku all point bearish (price well below 9/21 EMAs, 20SMA, and the cloud). Momentum is weak — RSI and MACD are negative or neutral, and rallies are failing near 88–90, which coincides with the 38.2–50% retracement band from the 11/04 low to the prior local high.

Volatility profile and bands add context: Bollinger placement and an elevated ATR suggest reasonable intraday swings but a bias toward band-walk lower. The lower band clusters near 85.0–85.5, which doubles as an initial target/support. Volume behavior confirms distribution — selloffs on heavy volume, rallies on light participation — supporting the fade-on-rally approach.

Trade plan (tactical): Decision: Short (Sell). Preferred entry: limit 87.90 (sell-the-rip). Alternate/aggressive entry: 87.3
$LTC
#LTC

$EOS : At the edge of a failed bounce — the intraday lift is stalling into clear overhead supply and the odds favor a tactical short.

Price action snapshot: The daily picture for EOS is decisively bearish since early August, with the Oct 10 capitulation (0.3869 → 0.2641) resetting structure. Attempts to rally into ~0.328/0.316 and later ~0.29–0.30 failed, creating heavy overhead supply. The recent relief bounce from ~0.2418 to ~0.2538 over the last 24 hours has lost momentum and is now encountering repeated rejections in the 0.2525–0.2538 band — exactly where intraday technicals and daily pivots converge.

Technical read: On hourly indicators price is above short EMAs (EMA8/EMA21) but momentum is flattening. Hourly RSI shows mild bearish divergence while BB(20,2) places price at the upper band (upper ≈ 0.254) with a midline around 0.249–0.250. Intraday VWAP sits near 0.249–0.250; volume on this lift is mediocre compared to sell spikes on Nov 3. Daily MACD and moving averages remain bearish and below key SMAs (20SMA ≈ 0.288; 50SMA much higher), so the higher-timeframe bias is down. Pattern-wise the hourly structure resembles a bear flag/rising channel that is now testing its upper quadrant — textbook location to fade.

Key levels to watch:
- Immediate resistance / confluence: 0.2538–0.2547 (intraday highs / daily pivot).
- Overhead supply zone: 0.258–0.264 and a stronger barrier at 0.271–0.273 if momentum extends.
- Support targets: first magnet 0.249–0.250 (VWAP/mean), 0
$EOS
#EOS

$TRUMP is carving out an hourly uptrend — buy the shallow 8.00–8.05 dip for a tactical run toward 8.60. The short‑term picture is bullish: price reclaimed key intraday VWAP pockets, formed higher highs/lows from ~7.00 to 8.36, and has been consistently bought on shallow pullbacks. The preferred operational plan is a limit buy near 8.04 (just under the 8.00 round number and intraday value area) with an initial target at 8.62, and an invalidation if price closes hourly below ~7.85.

Why this setup matters: the daily structure has shifted from corrective to recovering — the Nov 4 low at 6.97 respected the 50% fib of the larger October swing and produced a constructive higher low. On the 1‑hour chart a golden‑cross of shorter SMAs, positive MACD, RSI in the mid‑50s, and buyers absorbing dips around 8.08 all point to continuation over the next 12–24 hours. Volume profile shows a light node at 8.25–8.40, which the market can traverse quickly once 8.36 is cleared.

Key levels to watch: resistance cluster at 8.27–8.36 (intraday swing highs) and daily supply 8.60–8.65; supports lie at 8.00–8.05 (VWAP/Kijun pocket), 7.85–7.90 (hourly shelf), and deeper acceptance around 7.50–7.60. Expect a typical squeeze‑and‑release pattern: Bollinger bands expanded on the thrust to 8.36 and compressed during consolidation — a renewed expansion on a successful break will likely accelerate towards the 8.55–8.65 band.

Execution and risk: optimal entry is a limit at 8.04, aligning with intraday demand. A
$TRUMP
#TRUMP

$BTC : Sell the bounce into 102.2k — target a 100.2k retest within 24 hours.

Executive snapshot
Bias for the next 24 hours is mildly bearish. The highest-expectancy path (~60%) is a counter-trend pop into 102.0–102.6k that gets sold, draining back toward the 100.3–99.8k area. There’s meaningful downside extension risk (~35%) to ~99.2k on a clean break of 100k; a squeeze above 103.5k is less likely (~20%).

Why the sell-the-bounce edge
- Structure: Daily/weekly charts show a sequence of lower highs and lower lows since early October — a clear primary downtrend. Intraday action prints lower highs and repeated rejections at rally spots (classic bear-channel behavior).
- Momentum: RSI, MACD and stochastic are all consistent with bearish momentum — intraday bounces fail to sustain above the midline and lack follow-through.
- Moving averages: Price is beneath short/medium MAs (20–50 day proxies) with negative slopes; intraday MAs have been rejecting rallies repeatedly.
- Volume/participation: Large-volume breakdowns on Oct 10 and Nov 4 left overhead supply; today’s down legs show heavier activity than up legs, favoring supply dominance.
- Confluence: 102.0–102.6k aligns with intraday supply, pivot resistance (~102.6k), and shallow Fibonacci retraces — excellent asymmetry for fading rallies.

Key levels to watch
- Resistance: 101.9–102.2k (primary supply); 103.4–104.1k (stronger retrace shelf); 106.0–106.5k (former base).
- Pivot: 102.6k — bearish while price trades below this level.
$BTC
#BTC

$ETH is signaling a clear “sell the bounce” setup after a violent markdown into the low-3ks — treat any rally as a shorting opportunity. Today’s accelerated selloff erased the Oct 10 swing low (~3,460) and printed fresh local lows near 3,079–3,131 on heavy volume. Price is hovering ~3,208 after a muted intraday rebound that faltered below the first resistance bands (3,230–3,330). The higher-timeframe structure remains decisively bearish: lower highs and now lower lows, expanding ATR and distribution on volume confirm a real downtrend, not a short-lived chop.

What to expect next (24h view)
- Base path (55–60%): A relief bounce into the 3.33–3.40k shelf (ideal 3.33–3.40k), rejection there, then a continuation lower to re-test 3.10–3.05k, with a possible sweep of the 3.00k handle if risk sentiment worsens.
- Bear extension (25–30%): Shallow or no bounce and a direct slide through 3,115 → 3,050 → 3,000, with a potential flush into the 2,960–2,920 range.
- Bull surprise (10–15%): Rapid V-reversal and reclaim above ~3,490–3,500 would invalidate the near-term short thesis.

Why the edge is shorting rallies
- Price action: Intraday cascade of supply steps (3,550 → 3,430 → 3,365 → 3,229 → 3,131 → 3,079) with capitulation-range hourly prints and heavy volume at lows — symptomatic of distribution and stop-hunting rather than exhaustion buys.
- Volume & momentum: OBV and daily momentum are negative; ATR has exploded (today’s range 400–500+ pts estimated). Short-term oscillators show an
$ETH

#ETH