叮叮幣圈投資筆記

📍 #BNB Technical Analysis (2025/12/08) #Crypto
BNB 【12H】
【Summary】
Trend: Range
Why: Price oscillates below 921.01 while holding above EMA9 and EMA21, trapped between 921.01 and 745.09 with neutral momentum.
Strategy:
• Plan: Treat【745.09～921.01】as a range; consider staggered buys only near 745.09 and take profits into bounces toward 1,051.23
• Size: Keep higher-timeframe exposure light, within 30% of capital, avoid chasing
• Invalid: A confirmed close below 745.09 would signal a new bearish leg and invalidate the medium-term long bias
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BNB 【4H】
【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bullish
Why: Price closes above 874.77, EMA9, EMA21 and AVWAP, holding key weekly support with MACD and RSI turning bullish.
Strategy:
• Plan: Buy dips into【874.77～911.21】, then add on breakout above 947.84 targeting 1,001.31 and 1,074.38
• Size: 60% via limit buys in the zone, 40% on breakout above 947.84
• Invalid: Bullish structure fails if price closes below 821.30
🟢 Long Setup:
• SL: 821.30
• Zone: 874.77 ~ 911.21
• Breakout: 947.84
• TP: 947.84 / 1,001.31 / 1,074.38
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BNB 【1H】
【Summary】
Trend: Strong Bullish
Why: Price closes above 910.17, EMA9, EMA21 and an upward session VWAP, breaking intraday resistance with MACD, RSI and DMI aligned bullish.
Strategy:
• Plan: Scale in longs on pullbacks into【890.20～910.17】, then add on volume breakout above 925.97 aiming for 945.94 and 1,001.31
• Size: 60% scale-in on dips, 40% on breakout above 925.97
• Invalid: Short-term long signal fails if price closes below 874.40
🟢 Long Setup:
• SL: 874.40
• Zone: 890.20 ~ 910.17
• Breakout: 925.97
• TP: 925.97 / 945.94 / 1,001.31
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📍#BNB Technical Analysis (2025/12/08) #Crypto
BNB 【12H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Consolidation
Reason: Price oscillates below 921.01, still above EMA9 and EMA21, being pulled between 921.01 and 745.09, momentum is neutral.
Action:
• Scenario: View the larger scale as a range of 745.09～921.01, consider buying in batches when close to 745.09, mainly reduce positions when rebounding close to 1,051.23
• Capital: Primarily wait and see with a light long position for the long term, do not chase orders, control within 30% of total capital
• Defense: If the close effectively breaks below 745.09, consider it a new wave of bearish activation, overall bullish thinking invalidated
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BNB 【4H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Moderately Bullish
Reason: Price closes above 874.77, EMA9, EMA21, and AVWAP, stabilizing above key support for the week, MACD and RSI are bullish.
Action:
• Scenario: Gradually build long positions in the 874.77～911.21 range, add positions after breaking 947.84, target towards 1,001.31 and 1,074.38
• Capital: It is recommended to patiently place orders at 60% + chase 40% after breaking 947.84
• Defense: If the close falls below 821.30, the bullish structure is damaged, retreat all wave long positions
🟢 Long Position Setup:
• Stop Loss: 821.30
• Range: 874.77～911.21
• Chase Long: 947.84
• Take Profit: 947.84／1,001.31／1,074.38
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BNB 【1H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Strongly Bullish
Reason: Price closes above 910.17 and EMA9, EMA21, and upward VWAP, breaking through key intraday pressure, MACD, RSI, DMI in bullish arrangement.
Action:
• Scenario: Gradually enter long positions in the 890.20～910.17 range, if it breaks 925.97 with volume, can chase long, short term targets 945.94 and 1,001.31
• Capital: It is recommended to patiently place orders at 60% + chase 40% after breaking 925.97
• Defense: If the close falls below 874.40, the short-term bullish right-side signal becomes invalid
🟢 Long Position Setup:
• Stop Loss: 874.40
• Range: 890.20～910.17
• Chase Long: 925.97
• Take Profit: 925.97／945.94／1,001.31
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📍 #SOL Technical Analysis (2025/12/08) #Crypto
SOL 【12H】
【Summary】
Trend: Strong Bearish
Why: Price trades well below 148.09 and stays under EMA9, EMA21 and AVWAP with MACD and DMI dominated by sellers.
Strategy:
• Plan: Treat【148.09～174.52】as a swing short sell zone, scale in on rallies, hold if price breaks below 107.05
• Size: 70% via limit shorts in the zone, 30% added on breakdown below 107.05
• Invalid: Medium-term bearish view fails if price closes above 174.52
🛑 Short Setup:
• SL: 215.56
• Zone: 148.09 ~ 174.52
• Breakdown: 107.05
• TP: 107.05 / 80.62 / 39.58
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SOL 【4H】
【Summary】
Trend: Range
Why: Price oscillates around 134.09 mid-channel with EMAs flat and no clean break above 145.06 or below 121.26; momentum is mixed.
Strategy:
• Plan: Range-trade only, fade moves around 134.09, trim into strength, buy small near support, do not chase
• Size: 30% on each side of the range, keep 40% in cash for post-breakout trends
• Invalid: Range idea fails if price breaks below 121.26 or above 145.06 on strong volume
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SOL 【1H】
【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bullish
Why: Price closes above 132.10, EMA9, EMA21 and rides an upward VWAP near the 136.49～140.75 resistance band with bullish momentum.
Strategy:
• Plan: Buy pullbacks into【132.10～136.49】, add on breakout above 140.75 targeting the 145.14 zone
• Size: 60% scale-in on dips, 40% on breakout above 140.75
• Invalid: Short-term bullish structure breaks if price closes below 127.84
🟢 Long Setup:
• SL: 127.84
• Zone: 132.10 ~ 136.49
• Breakout: 140.75
• TP: 140.75 / 145.14 / 150.00 (short-term extension above R3)
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📍#SOL Technical Analysis (2025/12/08) #Crypto
SOL 【12H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Major Bearish
Reason: Price has been consistently below 148.09, positioned under EMA9, EMA21, and AVWAP, with MACD and DMI leaning bearish.
Action:
• Scenario: A rebound to 148.09～174.52 is considered the bearish sweet spot; gradually set up short positions, and hold if it breaks below 107.05.
• Funding: It is recommended to patiently place 70% of orders + chase 30% short after breaking below 107.05.
• Defense: If the closing price stays above 174.52, it indicates the medium-term bearish structure is broken.
🛑 Short Position Setup:
• Stop Loss: 215.56
• Range: 148.09～174.52
• Chasing Short: 107.05
• Take Profit: 107.05／80.62／39.58
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SOL 【4H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Consolidation
Reason: Price is fluctuating around 134.09, positioned in the midsection of a descending channel. Although it closed near EMA9 and EMA21 in the short term, it has not stabilized above 145.06, with momentum indicators alternating between bullish and bearish.
Action:
• Scenario: Watch for fluctuations in the range first, oscillating around 134.09; reduce positions at high levels and accumulate small amounts at low levels without chasing.
• Funding: 30% each way, keep 40% cash waiting for a breakout before taking action.
• Defense: If it effectively breaks below 121.26 or breaks out above 145.06 with volume, the original range scenario is deemed invalid.
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SOL 【1H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Medium Bullish
Reason: Price closed above 132.10 and EMA9, EMA21, close to the range of 136.49～140.75, with upward VWAP support and bullish momentum prevailing.
Action:
• Scenario: Gradually set up long positions in the range of 132.10～136.49 on pullbacks; add to positions if it breaks above 140.75, targeting 145.14.
• Funding: It is recommended to patiently place 60% of orders + chase 40% long after breaking above 140.75.
• Defense: If the closing price breaks below 127.84, the short-term bullish structure is invalid.
🟢 Long Position Setup:
• Stop Loss: 127.84
• Range: 132.10～136.49
• Chasing Long: 140.75
• Take Profit: 140.75／145.14／150.00 (if it reaches above R3, short-term extension pressure zone)
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📍 #ETH Technical Analysis (2025/12/08) #Crypto
ETH 【12H】
【Summary】
Trend: Strong Bearish
Why: Bounce remains capped below 3,177.69 with price still inside the larger descending channel and below major MAs.
Strategy:
• Plan: Treat【3,177.69～3,731.80】as a sell-on-rally zone, focus on trimming longs or taking tactical shorts
• Size: No new long-scale positions, keep short-term exposure within 30%
• Invalid: Consider shifting bias only if price closes above 3,731.80
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ETH 【4H】
【Summary】
Trend: Medium Bullish
Why: Price holds above 3,005.41 along with EMA9 and EMA21, tracking near upward AVWAP with MACD and RSI biased bullish.
Strategy:
• Plan: Buy pullbacks into【3,005.41～3,039.12】, add on breakout above 3,294.79
• Size: 60% limit buys on dip, 40% on breakout
• Invalid: Bullish plan fails if price closes below 2,770.48
🟢 Long Setup:
• SL: 2,770.48
• Zone: 3,005.41 ~ 3,039.12
• Breakout: 3,294.79
• TP: 3,294.79 / 3,529.72 / 3,819.10
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ETH 【1H】
【Summary】
Trend: Strong Bullish
Why: Price closes above 3,039.12, EMA9, EMA21 and an upward-sloping VWAP with bullish momentum signals.
Strategy:
• Plan: Scale in near 3,039.12 on pullbacks, then add on breakout above 3,170.73 targeting 3,281.60
• Size: 60% on dip entries, 40% on breakout
• Invalid: Short-term bullish structure breaks if price closes below 2,928.25
🟢 Long Setup:
• SL: 2,928.25
• Zone: 3,039.12 ~ 3,151.01
• Breakout: 3,170.73
• TP: 3,170.73 / 3,281.60 / 3,413.21
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📍#ETH Technical Analysis (2025/12/08) #Crypto
ETH 【12H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Major Bearish
Reason: Price rebound remains below 3,177.69, long-term moving averages and downtrend line continue to decline, structure remains bearish.
Action:
• Scenario: 3,177.69～3,731.80 considered as rebound resistance zone, biased towards reducing positions on rallies or shorting
• Capital: Do not increase positions long-term, keep short-term control within 30%
• Defense: Only consider switching from short to long if the close effectively breaks above 3,731.80
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ETH 【4H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Medium Bullish
Reason: Price stands above 3,005.41 and EMA9, EMA21, close to upper AVWAP, MACD and RSI are bullish.
Action:
• Scenario: Accumulate long positions on pullbacks at 3,005.41～3,039.12, add on break above 3,294.79
• Capital: Suggest patient order at 60% + 40% for breakout chasing
• Defense: If the close falls below 2,770.48, the bullish scenario becomes invalid
🟢 Long Position Setup:
• Stop Loss: 2,770.48
• Range: 3,005.41～3,039.12
• Add Long: 3,294.79
• Take Profit: 3,294.79／3,529.72／3,819.10
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ETH 【1H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Major Bullish
Reason: Price closes above 3,039.12, simultaneously above EMA9, EMA21, and upward VWAP, momentum indicators are bullish.
Action:
• Scenario: Accumulate long positions in batches near 3,039.12, add on break above 3,170.73 targeting 3,281.60
• Capital: Suggest patient order at 60% + 40% for breakout chasing
• Defense: If the close falls below 2,928.25, the short-term bullish structure is damaged
🟢 Long Position Setup:
• Stop Loss: 2,928.25
• Range: 3,039.12～3,151.01
• Add Long: 3,170.73
• Take Profit: 3,170.73／3,281.60／3,413.21
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📍 #BTC Technical Analysis (2025/12/08) #Crypto
BTC 【12H】
【Summary】
Trend: Strong Bearish
Why: Price closes below 94,070 under EMA9, EMA21 and the major downtrend line with MACD and RSI both weak.
Strategy:
• Plan: Scale in shorts on bounces toward 94,070～95,889, add or hold if price breaks below 84,762
• Size: 60% limit orders near resistance, 40% added on breakdown below 84,762
• Invalid: Setup fails if price closes above 99,783
🛑 Short Setup:
• SL: 101,500
• Zone: 94,070 ~ 95,889
• Breakdown: 84,762
• TP: 89,456 / 84,762 / 76,890
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BTC 【4H】
【Summary】
Trend: Range
Why: Price is trapped between 89,456 and 95,889 around EMA9, EMA21 and AVWAP with mixed indicators.
Strategy:
• Plan: Range-trade only, scalp longs near 89,456 and shorts near 95,889, avoid chasing breakouts
• Size: 30% size for each side of the range, keep 40% in cash
• Invalid: Range plan fails if price breaks below 84,762 or above 99,783 on a close
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BTC 【1H】
【Summary】
Trend: Small Bullish
Why: Price holds above 89,958, EMA9, EMA21 and an upward-sloping VWAP with MACD and RSI leaning bullish.
Strategy:
• Plan: Buy pullbacks into 90,000～90,800 and add on breakout above 92,197
• Size: 60% scale-in on pullback, 40% on breakout
• Invalid: Long idea fails if price closes below 89,000
🟢 Long Setup:
• SL: 89,000
• Zone: 90,000 ~ 90,800
• Breakout: 92,197
• TP: 92,197 / 93,999 / 96,238
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📍#BTC Technical Analysis (2025/12/08) #Crypto
BTC 【12H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Major Bear
Reason: Price closes below 94,070, constrained under EMA9, EMA21, and long-term downward trend line, MACD and RSI are weak.
Action:
• Script: Rebound near 94,070～95,889 to gradually build short positions; if it drops below 84,762, continue holding or add short
• Capital: It is recommended to patiently place orders with 60% + follow up with 40% after breaking 84,762
• Defense: If closing stands above 99,783, then the script is invalid
🛑 Short Position Layout:
• Stop Loss: 101,500
• Range: 94,070～95,889
• Follow Short: 84,762
• Take Profit: 89,456／84,762／76,890
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BTC 【4H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Consolidation
Reason: Price is stuck in the 89,456～95,889 range, closely adhering to EMA9, EMA21, and AVWAP, indicator signals are divergent.
Action:
• Script: Focus on range trading, long near 89,456, short near 95,889, do not chase breakouts
• Capital: It is recommended to allocate 30% in both directions and keep 40% in cash
• Defense: If it effectively drops below 84,762 or stands above 99,783, then the range script is invalid
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BTC 【1H】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Minor Bull
Reason: Price stands above 89,958 with EMA9, EMA21, located above the upward VWAP, MACD and RSI are bullish.
Action:
• Script: Pullback to 90,000～90,800 to build short-term long positions; breakout above 92,197 can add to long
• Capital: It is recommended to patiently place orders with 60% + follow-up on breakout with 40%
• Defense: If closing drops below 89,000, then the bullish script is invalid
🟢 Long Position Layout:
• Stop Loss: 89,000
• Range: 90,000～90,800
• Follow Long: 92,197
• Take Profit: 92,197／93,999／96,238
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DingDing Crypto Technical Outlook (2025/12/08 - 22:50 UTC+8) #BTC #ETH #Crypto
【⭐ Key Action Cheatsheet ⭐】

📈 [BTC Bitcoin]: Short-term bounce but still inside a bigger bearish channel, pops are for sellers
→ Core action: Trade with a bearish bias inside【92,197～94,070】, place short orders near【94,070】, and keep holding shorts if price falls back below【89,958】
📉 [ETH Ethereum]: Slightly stronger than BTC, but still mainly a rebound inside a broader downtrend
→ Core action: Range-trade between【3,039～3,170】, take profits on longs near the top; if price closes below【3,039】, step aside and wait to reload closer to【2,928】
🚀 [Alt Focus (SOL/BNB)]: SOL shows the best relative strength, both structure and momentum beat BNB
→ Action idea: For SOL, try staggered longs on pullbacks into【136.49～132.10】, take partial profits around【145.14】, and cut the trade if price loses【127.84】
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Ding Ding Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis (2025/12/08 - 22:50 UTC+8) #BTC #ETH #Crypto
【⭐ Ding Ding Today's Operation Highlights (Lazy Package) ⭐】

📈 [BTC Bitcoin]: Short-term rebound is observed, but still within a large bearish channel, viewing the rise with a bearish outlook
→ Core Action: Operate bearishly within the range of 【92,197～94,070】, place short orders near 【94,070】, and if it falls back below 【89,958】, continue holding short orders
📉 [ETH Ethereum]: Slightly stronger than BTC, but still in a rebound pattern in the medium term
→ Core Action: Focus on high selling and low buying within the range of 【3,039～3,170】, if it closes below 【3,039】, first close long positions and switch to wait-and-see, waiting to buy again near 【2,928】
🚀 [Altcoin Picks (SOL/BNB)]: SOL is relatively the strongest, with short-term momentum and structure better than BNB
→ Action Suggestion: If SOL retraces to the range of 【136.49～132.10】, consider buying in batches, initially looking to reduce positions near 【145.14】, and exit if it falls below 【127.84】
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DingDing Crypto Technical Analysis (2025/12/08 - 08:20 UTC+8) #BTC #ETH #CryptoUpdate
【⭐ Quick Playbook for Today ⭐】
📈 [BTC Bitcoin]: Post-rally correction now stuck in a choppy zone; direction unclear and chasing here is asking to get chopped.
　　→ Core move: 【Stay sidelined】; look for fresh shorts only if price closes below【87,428】, or consider aggressive longs only after a strong close back above【95,089】with volume.
📉 [ETH Ethereum]: Holding up slightly better than BTC but still pinned under sell pressure from recent longs.
　　→ Core move: 【Wait】; key support is【2,770～2,900】. A breakdown below【2,770】opens room for trend shorts; only look for longs if ETH can reclaim the【3,294】area with a clean momentum shift.
🚀 [Alt Pick (SOL/BNB)]: SOL is clearly weaker than the majors while BNB is relatively resilient but not fully bullish yet.
　　→ Focus on SOL shorts today: place sell orders in the【136.49～140.75】zone, first target【121.26】then【110.29】, invalidation above【145.06】; keep BNB on the watchlist but avoid chasing it for now.
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#USDT.D [Trend: Bullish]: Stablecoin dominance hovering near the【6.158】zone after a strong spike, showing capital still hiding in cash.
#DXY [Trend: Range]: Dollar index trapped inside【98.502～99.456】tight range, impact on risk assets is neutral for now.
#TOTAL2 [Trend: Bearish]: Altcoin market cap has slipped back toward【1,226.67】with room lower if selling resumes, so bounces face heavy overhead supply.
🛡️ Liquidity Verdict: [Bearish]. USDT.D holding above【6.158】while TOTAL2 stalls around【1,226.67】signals rotation out of alts into stables. Strategy bias: 【Sell into strength / trend-following shorts】. Only if BTC can reclaim【95,089】and drag TOTAL2 back above【1,301.78】does a more aggressive long bias make sense again.
Full breakdown in the pinned post. Like and follow to keep up with the next moves.

Ding Ding Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis (2025/12/08 - 08:20 UTC+8) #BTC #ETH #CryptoUpdate
【⭐ Ding Ding Today's Operation Highlights (Lazy Package) ⭐】
📈 [BTC Bitcoin]: After a high-level correction, it has entered a washout area, the direction is unclear, and random chasing can easily lead to double losses.
　　→ Suggestion: 【Watch】, wait for an effective drop below 【87,428】 before shorting; or consider short-term buying only if it breaks above 【95,089】 with volume.
📉 [ETH Ethereum]: The trend is slightly stronger than BTC, but is stuck at the rebound resistance zone, with a lot of selling pressure above from those who need to cut losses.
　　→ Core Action: First 【Watch】, focus on whether the support at 【2,770～2,900】 can hold; if it drops below 【2,770】, short in line with the trend, and consider going long only if it strongly breaks above 【3,294】.
🚀 [Altcoin Selection (SOL/BNB)]: SOL is significantly weaker than the market, the structure is bearish; BNB resists declines but has not fully turned bullish.
　　→ Today's main focus is on SOL short positions: place shorts in the range of 【136.49～140.75】, with the first target at 【121.26】, the second target at 【110.29】, and set the stop above 【145.06】; BNB is temporarily on the watchlist and will not actively chase prices.
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#USDT.D [Trend: Bullish]: Stablecoins maintain a high proportion near 【6.158】, experiencing a sharp rise followed by only a slight pullback, with funds still avoiding risks.
#DXY [Trend: Consolidation]: The US dollar index oscillates narrowly between 【98.502～99.456】, with a neutral impact on risk assets.
#TOTAL2 [Trend: Bearish]: The total market cap of altcoins has dropped back near 【1,226.67】, with still room for decline, and any rebound is likely to encounter selling pressure from those cutting losses.
🛡️ Overall Judgment on Capital: [Bearish], USDT.D stands above 【6.158】, TOTAL2 is pressed near 【1,226.67】, indicating that money is moving from altcoins back to stablecoins, leading to reduced liquidity. The strategy focuses on 【reducing positions on rebounds + shorting in line with the trend】; unless BTC reclaims 【95,089】 and drives TOTAL2 back above 【1,301.78】, do not rush to add long positions for the long term.
For the complete analysis, see the pinned comment, and remember to like and follow for the latest market analysis!