📍#ETH Technical Analysis (2025/12/08)
ETH 【1W】
【Strategy Summary】
Trend: Major bear market
Reason: The weekly close is below 【3,181.86】, and it simultaneously breaks EMA9, EMA21; MACD and RSI momentum is bearish.
Operation:
• Script: Short rebound at 【3,181.86～3,294.79】; continue to short if it breaks 【2,770.48】
• Fund: Suggest 【50%】 limit order for short in the range + 【50%】 to chase short if it breaks 【2,770.48】
• Defense: If the weekly close is above 【3,529.72】, then the swing short script is invalid
🛑 Short layout:
• Stop loss: 3,529.72
• Range: 3,181.86～3,294.79
• Short Entry: 2,770.48
• Take Profit: 2,481.10, 2,255.92
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ETH [1D]
[Strategy Summary]
Trend: Medium bearish
Reason: Price is still below EMA200, closing pressure is near EMA9 and EMA21, with strong resistance at【3,294.79】above and support at【2,770.48】below.
Operation:
• Script: Daily range within【2,770.48～3,294.79】high sell low buy as the main strategy, do not chase price for now
• Capital: Daily position control within total capital【30%】, remaining for 4H～1H right-side signals
• Defense: If daily closing breaks below【2,770.48】then bearish extension; reassess to go long if it closes above【3,294.79】
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ETH [4H]
[Strategy Summary]
Trend: Slightly bearish consolidating
Reason: 4H price is slightly fluctuating above【3,005.34】but still under pressure from EMA9, EMA21 and the upper【3,294.64】pressure.
Operation:
• Script: Key observation on【3,005.34】gains and losses, do not chase shorts until it breaks down, look for short positions when the bounce approaches【3,181.86～3,294.64】
• Capital: 4H single trade not exceeding total capital【20%】, in conjunction with 1H entries and exits
• Defense: If 4H closes above【3,294.64】then temporarily pause the short strategy
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ETH [1H]
[Strategy Summary]
Trend: Slightly bearish
Reason: 1H closing fell below【3,039.05】, positioned below EMA9, EMA21 and the downward VWAP, MACD and RSI momentum are bearish.
Operation:
• Script: Bounce test from【3,039.05～3,170.58】to establish short positions; continue short if it breaks【2,928.10】
• Capital: Suggest【60%】orders short in the range +【40%】chase short if breaks below【2,928.10】
• Defense: If 1H closes above【3,281.53】then all short positions should stop loss
🛑 Short Position Layout:
• Stop Loss: 3,281.53
• Range: 3,039.05～3,170.58
• Short Entry: 2,928.10
• Take Profit: 2,796.57, 2,695.62
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