币圈冥灯哥

My analysis is inevitably prone to misjudgment, at which point you can refer to "reverse thinking"—when market sentiment goes to extremes (such as panic selling or FOMO chasing highs), a reverse layout may be an opportunity, but it must be combined with simple indicators for cross-validation.

Adhere to low leverage (1-3 times) as the survival bottom line. It can protect your principal, withstand violent fluctuations, and give you time and space to wait for a reversal even if you enter the market at less than ideal points.

Facing a vast number of cryptocurrencies every day, I prioritize focusing on high liquidity mainstream coins like BTC, ETH, as their trends are more stable and their analytical value is higher. My methods usually revolve around three scenarios: trend following (referencing moving average trends), ranging (identifying support/resistance levels), and breakout (structural breakout, similar to triangle breakout or rectangle breakout).

Trading is not about being right every time, but about holding on at the right times and cutting losses at the wrong times. Encouraging each other, feel free to share your practical insights.

The non-farm data will be announced at 9:30 PM tonight, please pay attention to the risk ⚠️$BTC $ETH $SOL

ZEN 十美元已到达$ZEN

@Square-Creator-3091cead2cfb1

Given the current breakdown pattern, weakening technical indicators, and the test of key support levels, we believe the short-term downside risk for ZEC has increased, and we recommend entering a short position at the current price of 425.30.
The long-term ascending trend line in purple on the chart has been effectively broken, signaling that the previous uptrend may have ended and could now shift into a downtrend.

Entry 425.30
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Stop Loss 452.00 (approximately 6.3% stop space)
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Target
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380.00 (approximately 10.6% potential gain)
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344.11 (approximately 19.1% potential gain)
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Position Suggestion: 3%-5% of total capital
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If using leverage, the multiplier should not exceed 2x$ZEC

Based on the current price trend, volume divergence, and pressure from key resistance levels, I assess that BROCCOLI714 faces significant short-term correction risks, and recommend entering a short position at the current price of 0.03302.
Entry: 0.03302

Stop-loss: 0.03550 (approximately 7.5% stop-loss space)
Target: 0.02700
0.02000


Position size: Suggested 3%-5% of total capital

Leverage: If using leverage, do not exceed 3x.$BROCCOLI714

Based on current market overbought signals, historical resistance levels, and macro risks, I believe the short-term upward momentum of JASMY has nearly exhausted, and I recommend entering a short position decisively at the current price of 0.00978 USDT.

Suggest establishing a position directly around 0.00978.

Set a strict stop-loss at 0.01100.
Target levels:
0.00800
0.00671

Suggest that the risk exposure for a single instrument should not exceed 5% of total capital.
If the stop-loss level is breached, exit immediately and do not average down.

Risk:

If the price breaks above 0.01100 effectively, this strategy becomes invalid and a stop-loss must be taken immediately.$JASMY

Looking at the time cycle, ZEN has completed sufficient adjustment. On the daily chart, the price has retraced from the previous high point and formed a solid bottom around 6.204. It has now successfully broken through the previous consolidation range and returned to an uptrend.

Analyzing the spatial structure, the price is currently below the key resistance level of 9.963, with limited gains from the bottom, indicating significant room for further upside. The RSI indicator at 56.137 shows ample bullish momentum, while the MACD has formed a golden cross and the momentum bars continue to expand, all sending positive signals for long positions.

Considering the above factors, place a long position around 9.579, targeting the $10-11 range. $ZEN

GUN structure gives clear signal! Downward trendline forms strong resistance, current rebound structure lacks strength to break through, technical overbought condition intensifies the need for correction! Enter short decisively, target 0.020, stop-loss only placed above 0.024, excellent risk-reward ratio! $GUN

PARTI has broken below the key support level of 0.0900, and the downward trend is clear. It is recommended to lightly short around 0.0900, with a stop-loss set above 0.1000.

Price Targets

First Target: 0.0779

Second Target: 0.0600$PARTI

GLM rose sharply to the key resistance level of 0.2941, then encountered resistance and pulled back, indicating exhaustion of upward momentum. The short-term risk of a correction is extremely high. It is recommended to cautiously initiate short positions near 0.2590, with stop-loss placed slightly above the 0.2941 high point.
After a rapid surge, the price's upward slope sharply slowed down and turned downward, which is a typical characteristic of exhausted upward momentum.

Price Targets
First Target: 0.2489
Second Target: 0.2271$GLM

ZEC structure has changed,配合消息面破位下跌
Key neckline breached, price has broken below the critical neckline at 480
This is a strong signal of trend reversal.
Continuously pressured by the downward trendline, the bearish pattern is evident. Suggest light short position around 400.00, with stop-loss set above the downward trendline.

Price targets

First target: 350.00
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Second target: 300.00$ZEC

LAB rose sharply to the key resistance level of 0.15699, then faced resistance and retreated. The RSI indicator has now entered the overbought zone, indicating a high risk of short-term correction. It is recommended to lightly short around 0.15500, with the stop-loss placed just above the 0.15699 high point.

Price Targets

First Target: 0.13214

Second Target: 0.10000$LAB

COLLECT was blocked at the key pressure level of 0.09859 and entered a broad-range consolidation, currently testing the lower end of the consolidation range at 0.08827 for support.
Suggestion: Consider light short positions around 0.08750, with stop-loss placed above the high of 0.09419. If support at 0.08827 breaks, consider adding positions.

Price Targets

First Target: 0.07728

Second Target: 0.06766
$COLLECT

JST Key Resistance Level Encountered: Price has formed a clear resistance level around 0.04500, which previously failed to break through during the earlier rise. The current price is once again approaching this level, indicating a potential double top pattern.
Suggestion: Consider light short positions around 0.04400, with stop-loss set slightly above 0.04500.

Price Targets

First Target: 0.04180
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Second Target: 0.03819$JST

TAO has peaked at 280.8 and is now回落 from the top, currently testing the key support level at 261.4. It is recommended to lightly short around 270.0, with stop-loss set above the 280.8 high. If the support at 261.4 breaks, consider adding to the position.

Price Targets

First Target: 239.6
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Second Target: 219.6$TAO

The upward momentum of 1000RATS is weakening. Although the price remains in a high-range fluctuation, the slope of the rise has significantly slowed down compared to the previous rapid ascent, which is a typical characteristic of exhausted upward momentum.

It is recommended to cautiously go short around 0.05450, with a stop-loss set slightly above 0.06000.

Price Targets

First Target: 0.04500

Second Target: 0.03362$1000RATS

RENDER has peaked from a high of 2.579 and is now回落, breaking below the key support level of 2.226, confirming a short-term downward trend. It is recommended to lightly short around 2.110, with a stop-loss set above 2.226.

Price Targets

First Target: 1.870

Second Target: 1.571$RENDER

ZEC has completed the M-top pattern and broken below the key neckline, currently operating within a standard downtrend channel. The rebound is weak, and the bearish structure is solid. It is recommended to go short around 393.00, with the stop-loss set above the upper boundary of the downtrend channel.

Price Targets

First Target: 350.00 (near the lower boundary of the channel)

Second Target: 300.00 (previous historical support area)

Price formed a clear M-top pattern near $750.00.
This is a classic bearish reversal signal, marking the end of the uptrend.


Key Neckline Broken
The red line in the chart indicates the neckline at $598.77 for this M-top pattern.
Price breaking below this level confirms the start of the downtrend.
The neckline has shifted from support to resistance, becoming a strong barrier for any rebound.


Downtrend Channel Established
Price has entered the downtrend channel marked by the purple line.
Higher highs are diminishing, forming a clear bearish structure.$ZEC

IRYS rose to 0.047404 and then faced resistance, pulling back. There is a short-term need for a correction. It is recommended to lightly short around 0.04590, with stop-loss set slightly above the 0.047404 high point.

Price Targets

First Target: 0.039380 (previous consolidation zone)

Second Target: 0.032260 (key support area)$IRYS

DOGE has been continuously declining from its high of 0.15656, showing a clear short-term downtrend. It is recommended to cautiously go short around 0.1410, with a stop-loss set above 0.14898.

Price Targets

First Target: 0.13016 (previous support level)

Second Target: 0.12186 (key support area)$DOGE