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ada小真真1688
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ada小真真1688

自学脚本套利 ingBP-07B2CC4F6912
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$BTC There hasn’t been a major drop, but does that mean the coins in your wallet are definitely safe? This Ledger investigation is a reminder to pay attention to where you buy your device. Ledger’s official support account confirmed that it is investigating reports of financial losses from Southeast Asian users who bought devices from CryptoBilis. It has asked the reseller to suspend sales and shipments as a precaution. Chinese-language reports today say CryptoBilis has suspended sales of hardware wallets from all brands at its stores and through online channels in Malaysia, the Philippines, and Indonesia. Ledger has advised users who bought devices from this reseller in the past 90 days not to initialize them if they haven’t been set up yet. Those who have already set them up may consider transferring their funds to a new signing device with a new recovery phrase. The sales suspension is a measure taken while the investigation is ongoing; it does not mean that all Ledger devices have a vulnerability. At 19:55 Beijing time, Binance BTC perpetuals were down about 0.4% over the past 24 hours. These market figures don’t tell us whether a device is safe. This time, I’m more concerned about where the device was purchased. Click $BTC to see today’s candlestick chart and trading volume. Order-book movements can be checked, while device security should be assessed against Ledger’s official updates. $BTC
$BTC There hasn’t been a major drop, but does that mean the coins in your wallet are definitely safe? This Ledger investigation is a reminder to pay attention to where you buy your device.

Ledger’s official support account confirmed that it is investigating reports of financial losses from Southeast Asian users who bought devices from CryptoBilis. It has asked the reseller to suspend sales and shipments as a precaution. Chinese-language reports today say CryptoBilis has suspended sales of hardware wallets from all brands at its stores and through online channels in Malaysia, the Philippines, and Indonesia.

Ledger has advised users who bought devices from this reseller in the past 90 days not to initialize them if they haven’t been set up yet. Those who have already set them up may consider transferring their funds to a new signing device with a new recovery phrase. The sales suspension is a measure taken while the investigation is ongoing; it does not mean that all Ledger devices have a vulnerability.

At 19:55 Beijing time, Binance BTC perpetuals were down about 0.4% over the past 24 hours. These market figures don’t tell us whether a device is safe. This time, I’m more concerned about where the device was purchased.

Click $BTC to see today’s candlestick chart and trading volume. Order-book movements can be checked, while device security should be assessed against Ledger’s official updates.

$BTC
$XRP adds a public-company angle to the story, but I’m not ready to count it as new buying. Evernorth announced that it has completed its merger with Armada and expects to begin trading on Nasdaq as XRPN on October 12. The company disclosed that, at closing, it already held about 473 million XRP, along with roughly $300 million in gross cash proceeds, before transaction expenses. Those XRP were already held at closing, so counting them as new buying today would count the same tokens twice. The roughly $300 million is gross cash proceeds, and the announcement doesn’t promise that all of it will go toward buying XRP. Stock investors are buying equity in the company; whether the company adds to its holdings will depend on future disclosures. As of 11:43 a.m. Beijing time on October 10, Binance XRP perpetuals were up about 0.6% over the past 24 hours. That window includes trading before the announcement, so the price gain can’t prove how much buying the news brought in. Tap $XRP to check the daily chart and trading volume: after this merger news came out, did volume continue to rise? $XRP
$XRP adds a public-company angle to the story, but I’m not ready to count it as new buying.

Evernorth announced that it has completed its merger with Armada and expects to begin trading on Nasdaq as XRPN on October 12. The company disclosed that, at closing, it already held about 473 million XRP, along with roughly $300 million in gross cash proceeds, before transaction expenses.

Those XRP were already held at closing, so counting them as new buying today would count the same tokens twice. The roughly $300 million is gross cash proceeds, and the announcement doesn’t promise that all of it will go toward buying XRP. Stock investors are buying equity in the company; whether the company adds to its holdings will depend on future disclosures.

As of 11:43 a.m. Beijing time on October 10, Binance XRP perpetuals were up about 0.6% over the past 24 hours. That window includes trading before the announcement, so the price gain can’t prove how much buying the news brought in.

Tap $XRP to check the daily chart and trading volume: after this merger news came out, did volume continue to rise?

$XRP
🚨 80 Bitcoin were just deposited into a newly purchased cold wallet—and gone the very same day. Could the device you bought to protect your assets have been tampered with before it even reached you? According to Lookonchain, 80 BTC belonging to a CryptoBilis customer were stolen. The exact cause is still under investigation. Ledger has asked the Southeast Asian reseller to suspend sales and shipments. CZ believes this looks more like a supply chain issue involving a single reseller, and that some users may have purchased counterfeit or tampered devices. It’s too early to say that Ledger devices across the board have been compromised. On-chain researcher Specter estimates the losses at more than $86 million, but the total has not yet been officially confirmed. 🔐 How can everyday users add another layer of protection? ① Passphrase: Add a secret phrase on top of your recovery phrase If someone gets your recovery phrase but doesn’t know the correct passphrase, they can’t access the wallet associated with it. But keep a few key points in mind: • It corresponds to a separate wallet. You need to transfer your coins into it; assets in your original wallet won’t be protected automatically. • Use a strong passphrase and back it up separately from your recovery phrase. If you forget it, you could lose your assets permanently. • If the device itself has been tampered with, the passphrase you enter could also be exposed. A passphrase is no silver bullet. ② MPC wallets: Reduce the burden of storing a recovery phrase yourself For example, Binance’s keyless wallet uses MPC to split and distribute key custody. But you still need to protect your phone, cloud backups, and recovery methods. Signing a malicious approval can still result in lost funds.
🚨 80 Bitcoin were just deposited into a newly purchased cold wallet—and gone the very same day.
Could the device you bought to protect your assets have been tampered with before it even reached you?
According to Lookonchain, 80 BTC belonging to a CryptoBilis customer were stolen. The exact cause is still under investigation. Ledger has asked the Southeast Asian reseller to suspend sales and shipments.
CZ believes this looks more like a supply chain issue involving a single reseller, and that some users may have purchased counterfeit or tampered devices. It’s too early to say that Ledger devices across the board have been compromised.
On-chain researcher Specter estimates the losses at more than $86 million, but the total has not yet been officially confirmed.
🔐 How can everyday users add another layer of protection?
① Passphrase: Add a secret phrase on top of your recovery phrase
If someone gets your recovery phrase but doesn’t know the correct passphrase, they can’t access the wallet associated with it.
But keep a few key points in mind:
• It corresponds to a separate wallet. You need to transfer your coins into it; assets in your original wallet won’t be protected automatically.
• Use a strong passphrase and back it up separately from your recovery phrase. If you forget it, you could lose your assets permanently.
• If the device itself has been tampered with, the passphrase you enter could also be exposed. A passphrase is no silver bullet.
② MPC wallets: Reduce the burden of storing a recovery phrase yourself
For example, Binance’s keyless wallet uses MPC to split and distribute key custody.
But you still need to protect your phone, cloud backups, and recovery methods. Signing a malicious approval can still result in lost funds.
$KAIA The gain is still showing 40%, but it has already given back the move from its peak. On October 9, Upbit announced that it would add KRW, BTC, and USDT markets for KAIA. There’s now one more KRW trading option, so the channels for buying and selling have indeed changed. At 01:23 Beijing time on October 10, KAIA perpetuals on Binance were still up about 40.9% over the past 24 hours, but the current price was about 17% below the high for that period. Trading volume over the same window was about $359 million. That’s the total value of repeated buying and selling—not new inflows. I’m not convinced that adding a trading pair alone is enough to say Korean funds will keep buying. A new market creates an opportunity to trade, but whether the momentum continues depends on actual trading activity afterward. These figures are from Binance perpetuals; they don’t represent spot buying on Upbit, nor do they prove that the entire price gain was driven by this announcement. Tap $KAIA to check the current candlestick chart and trading volume: after the pullback, is trading activity still picking up, or is the 24-hour gain just looking good on paper? $KAIA
$KAIA The gain is still showing 40%, but it has already given back the move from its peak.

On October 9, Upbit announced that it would add KRW, BTC, and USDT markets for KAIA. There’s now one more KRW trading option, so the channels for buying and selling have indeed changed.

At 01:23 Beijing time on October 10, KAIA perpetuals on Binance were still up about 40.9% over the past 24 hours, but the current price was about 17% below the high for that period. Trading volume over the same window was about $359 million. That’s the total value of repeated buying and selling—not new inflows.

I’m not convinced that adding a trading pair alone is enough to say Korean funds will keep buying. A new market creates an opportunity to trade, but whether the momentum continues depends on actual trading activity afterward. These figures are from Binance perpetuals; they don’t represent spot buying on Upbit, nor do they prove that the entire price gain was driven by this announcement.

Tap $KAIA to check the current candlestick chart and trading volume: after the pullback, is trading activity still picking up, or is the 24-hour gain just looking good on paper?

$KAIA
Verified
If it can still be traded, does that mean $BICO has passed? Binance added a monitoring tag to it today. In an announcement on October 9, Binance named two assets: Biconomy (BICO) and Civic (CVC). Other services are unaffected. Binance will continue reviewing them, and they still risk being delisted if they fail to meet listing standards. The announcement gave no delisting date. At 17:54 Beijing time, in Binance perpetual markets, BICO was down about 4.1% over the past 24 hours, and CVC was down about 10.8%. These figures cover the past 24 hours, including trading before the announcement. On their own, they don’t show who is selling, nor can the drops be attributed entirely to today’s announcement. I’m not convinced that “still tradable” is proof of safety. A price rebound is just a price rebound; whether a project passes its next review depends on the outcome of that review. The monitoring tag may be added or removed later, depending on the review results. Open $BICO to check today’s candlestick chart and trading volume: after the announcement, is the volatility narrowing, or is it still increasing? $BICO $CVC
If it can still be traded, does that mean $BICO has passed? Binance added a monitoring tag to it today.

In an announcement on October 9, Binance named two assets: Biconomy (BICO) and Civic (CVC). Other services are unaffected. Binance will continue reviewing them, and they still risk being delisted if they fail to meet listing standards. The announcement gave no delisting date.

At 17:54 Beijing time, in Binance perpetual markets, BICO was down about 4.1% over the past 24 hours, and CVC was down about 10.8%. These figures cover the past 24 hours, including trading before the announcement. On their own, they don’t show who is selling, nor can the drops be attributed entirely to today’s announcement.

I’m not convinced that “still tradable” is proof of safety. A price rebound is just a price rebound; whether a project passes its next review depends on the outcome of that review. The monitoring tag may be added or removed later, depending on the review results.

Open $BICO to check today’s candlestick chart and trading volume: after the announcement, is the volatility narrowing, or is it still increasing?

$BICO $CVC
$ETH holders may see security warnings and rush to move their wallets—potentially losing money in the process. On October 7, Vitalik posted a reminder urging people to take seriously the cryptographic risks posed by AI accelerating mathematical research. According to a report today, he is concerned that advances in AI over the next two years could weaken the security of lattice-based cryptographic schemes. This is a potential future risk. The report offers no evidence that Ethereum wallets have already been cracked, and “two years” is not a definite countdown to a break. Another risk comes from the act of moving assets itself: he explicitly advises against rushing to switch wallets today, warning that mistakes during migration could also cause losses. Seeing a security warning and immediately transferring your assets may not make you safer. I checked Lean’s public development roadmap, which does include hash-based signature schemes. But having a development plan does not mean the replacement has already been completed on Ethereum’s mainnet. We still need to verify which signature schemes have been tested and which are still under research. Click $ETH to view the price and trading volume, then follow the testing and upgrade progress for signature schemes: what concrete changes will come out of this security discussion? $ETH #Vitalik_warns_AI_could_accelerate_the_weakening_of_cryptographic_security
$ETH holders may see security warnings and rush to move their wallets—potentially losing money in the process.

On October 7, Vitalik posted a reminder urging people to take seriously the cryptographic risks posed by AI accelerating mathematical research. According to a report today, he is concerned that advances in AI over the next two years could weaken the security of lattice-based cryptographic schemes.

This is a potential future risk. The report offers no evidence that Ethereum wallets have already been cracked, and “two years” is not a definite countdown to a break.

Another risk comes from the act of moving assets itself: he explicitly advises against rushing to switch wallets today, warning that mistakes during migration could also cause losses. Seeing a security warning and immediately transferring your assets may not make you safer.

I checked Lean’s public development roadmap, which does include hash-based signature schemes. But having a development plan does not mean the replacement has already been completed on Ethereum’s mainnet. We still need to verify which signature schemes have been tested and which are still under research.

Click $ETH to view the price and trading volume, then follow the testing and upgrade progress for signature schemes: what concrete changes will come out of this security discussion?

$ETH #Vitalik_warns_AI_could_accelerate_the_weakening_of_cryptographic_security
Verified
At 40.6 million transactions per second, did $SUI really write all those transactions to mainnet? Sui announced a new peak in its stress test at Basecamp in Singapore. The number is certainly huge, but the key phrase in the official explanation is “off-chain channels”: high-frequency interactions are processed in channels, and the results are settled on the Sui mainnet only when a channel closes. More than 10,000 channels were opened during the event, covering use cases such as payments, gaming, and chat. The demonstration showed a division of labor: large volumes of interactions run off-chain first, while the mainnet handles final settlement and verification. This peak shouldn’t be directly compared with TPS rankings based on individual on-chain transactions. CertiK participated in the on-site verification. Officials also said the complete data and evidence are still under review, with a report expected in the coming days. It’s important to distinguish between the live demonstration and the full audit report, which is still forthcoming. Having read this far, I’m more interested in the test conditions in the report—and which applications are actually being used. Test throughput alone doesn’t tell us anything about everyday users, fee revenue, or new buying demand. Open $SUI to check the daily chart and trading volume, then compare them with the upcoming audit report: Is the market focused on this peak, or are applications already seeing sustained use? $SUI #SuiSets40.6MillionTPSRecord
At 40.6 million transactions per second, did $SUI really write all those transactions to mainnet?

Sui announced a new peak in its stress test at Basecamp in Singapore. The number is certainly huge, but the key phrase in the official explanation is “off-chain channels”: high-frequency interactions are processed in channels, and the results are settled on the Sui mainnet only when a channel closes.

More than 10,000 channels were opened during the event, covering use cases such as payments, gaming, and chat. The demonstration showed a division of labor: large volumes of interactions run off-chain first, while the mainnet handles final settlement and verification. This peak shouldn’t be directly compared with TPS rankings based on individual on-chain transactions.

CertiK participated in the on-site verification. Officials also said the complete data and evidence are still under review, with a report expected in the coming days. It’s important to distinguish between the live demonstration and the full audit report, which is still forthcoming.

Having read this far, I’m more interested in the test conditions in the report—and which applications are actually being used. Test throughput alone doesn’t tell us anything about everyday users, fee revenue, or new buying demand.

Open $SUI to check the daily chart and trading volume, then compare them with the upcoming audit report: Is the market focused on this peak, or are applications already seeing sustained use?

$SUI #SuiSets40.6MillionTPSRecord
$SAMSUNG 's profits surged, but its perpetual market is falling. Samsung issued its preliminary third-quarter guidance today: operating profit is approximately 107.4 trillion won, a sharp increase year over year. But market estimates reported by CLSA were 108.67 trillion won. Even with higher earnings, it may still fall short of expectations. In a Binance snapshot at 08:17 Beijing time, Samsung perpetuals were down about 2.84% over the past 24 hours. This window includes trading before the announcement was released, so it cannot be treated as an immediate post-earnings reaction or as the decline in Korean spot shares. So this guidance needs to be viewed from two angles: the company's earnings growth is backed by figures, but whether the market has already priced in expectations will depend on trading after the announcement. This is preliminary guidance, and the performance of individual business segments cannot be inferred from a single total-profit figure. Tap $SAMSUNG to view the current candlestick chart and trading volume: after the news came out, is selling pressure easing, or are people still selling? This is a Korean stock perpetual contract, not direct ownership of the stock. $SAMSUNG
$SAMSUNG 's profits surged, but its perpetual market is falling.

Samsung issued its preliminary third-quarter guidance today: operating profit is approximately 107.4 trillion won, a sharp increase year over year. But market estimates reported by CLSA were 108.67 trillion won. Even with higher earnings, it may still fall short of expectations.

In a Binance snapshot at 08:17 Beijing time, Samsung perpetuals were down about 2.84% over the past 24 hours. This window includes trading before the announcement was released, so it cannot be treated as an immediate post-earnings reaction or as the decline in Korean spot shares.

So this guidance needs to be viewed from two angles: the company's earnings growth is backed by figures, but whether the market has already priced in expectations will depend on trading after the announcement. This is preliminary guidance, and the performance of individual business segments cannot be inferred from a single total-profit figure.

Tap $SAMSUNG to view the current candlestick chart and trading volume: after the news came out, is selling pressure easing, or are people still selling?

This is a Korean stock perpetual contract, not direct ownership of the stock.

$SAMSUNG
Verified
Don’t count the $100 million from $ZEC as buying that’s already come in. The Winklevoss Zcash ETF application has been filed with the SEC. The S-1 dated October 6 states that the fund intends to hold ZEC directly, with a proposed annual fee of 0.25%. Privacy coins now have a more concrete path into U.S. investment markets. The headline-grabbing detail is that Winklevoss Capital Fund and its affiliates have indicated an interest in buying up to $100 million of the fund’s shares. But the very next sentence says this is not a commitment to purchase: they may ultimately buy more, less, or nothing at all. And the filing is still a preliminary prospectus; shares cannot be sold until the registration statement becomes effective. Treating an application as an approval, then treating an indication of interest as an inflow of funds, would price in two things that haven’t happened yet. The news shows that someone is willing to move the product forward. Whether it will bring sustained buying depends on the product launching and actual subscription data. Open $ZEC to check the daily chart and trading volume, then come back and verify whether subsequent filings have become effective and whether the number of shares has actually started to increase. Will the money in the headline ultimately turn into buying? $ZEC #WinklevossFilesSpotZcashETFApplicationWithUSSEC
Don’t count the $100 million from $ZEC as buying that’s already come in.

The Winklevoss Zcash ETF application has been filed with the SEC. The S-1 dated October 6 states that the fund intends to hold ZEC directly, with a proposed annual fee of 0.25%. Privacy coins now have a more concrete path into U.S. investment markets.

The headline-grabbing detail is that Winklevoss Capital Fund and its affiliates have indicated an interest in buying up to $100 million of the fund’s shares. But the very next sentence says this is not a commitment to purchase: they may ultimately buy more, less, or nothing at all.

And the filing is still a preliminary prospectus; shares cannot be sold until the registration statement becomes effective. Treating an application as an approval, then treating an indication of interest as an inflow of funds, would price in two things that haven’t happened yet.

The news shows that someone is willing to move the product forward. Whether it will bring sustained buying depends on the product launching and actual subscription data.

Open $ZEC to check the daily chart and trading volume, then come back and verify whether subsequent filings have become effective and whether the number of shares has actually started to increase. Will the money in the headline ultimately turn into buying?

$ZEC #WinklevossFilesSpotZcashETFApplicationWithUSSEC
$BTC This time, things feel contradictory: the Fed raised interest rates, yet ETF buying didn’t let up. In its monthly report today, Binance Research said the total crypto market cap rose 11.0% in September to $2.99 trillion. More concrete evidence of capital flows: U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw net inflows of $3.49 billion that month, and cumulative net flows for the year turned positive for the first time on September 23. Rate hikes increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, yet ETFs are still net buyers. I’m not convinced the word “rate hikes” alone can explain this market move. There’s a catch, too: monthly net inflows measure what has already happened; they can’t be counted directly as new buying tonight. They cover only the ETF channel, not the entire market, and inflows don’t guarantee that prices will keep rising. Tap $BTC to check the daily chart and trading volume, then compare them with the latest ETF net flows: if inflows continue, can prices keep up? $BTC
$BTC This time, things feel contradictory: the Fed raised interest rates, yet ETF buying didn’t let up.

In its monthly report today, Binance Research said the total crypto market cap rose 11.0% in September to $2.99 trillion. More concrete evidence of capital flows: U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw net inflows of $3.49 billion that month, and cumulative net flows for the year turned positive for the first time on September 23.

Rate hikes increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, yet ETFs are still net buyers. I’m not convinced the word “rate hikes” alone can explain this market move.

There’s a catch, too: monthly net inflows measure what has already happened; they can’t be counted directly as new buying tonight. They cover only the ETF channel, not the entire market, and inflows don’t guarantee that prices will keep rising.

Tap $BTC to check the daily chart and trading volume, then compare them with the latest ETF net flows: if inflows continue, can prices keep up?

$BTC
$BTC Bitcoin surged to $87,000 before retreating. Even with trading heating up, don’t rush to call it a breakout. CoinDesk reported early this morning that Bitcoin briefly approached this level before falling back below $86,000. At 16:16 Beijing time, Binance’s BTCUSDT perpetual contract was trading at around 86,400 USDT, still below the level reached in this rally. Keep spot-market reports and futures quotes separate—don’t mistake a screenshot from this morning for the current price. This perpetual contract recorded about 9.95 billion USDT in trading volume over the past 24 hours. Trading is active, but repeated buying and selling also add to volume; it can’t be treated directly as new capital flowing in. I’m not convinced by the claim that “huge volume means the breakout is secure.” If the pullback continues after the surge, chasing the rally with a story can make it easy to overlook selling pressure. Tap $BTC to check this candlestick and its trading volume: after the surge and pullback, has the price stabilized? Decide for yourself. $BTC #BitcoinHitsResistanceAt87000AndRetreats
$BTC Bitcoin surged to $87,000 before retreating. Even with trading heating up, don’t rush to call it a breakout.

CoinDesk reported early this morning that Bitcoin briefly approached this level before falling back below $86,000. At 16:16 Beijing time, Binance’s BTCUSDT perpetual contract was trading at around 86,400 USDT, still below the level reached in this rally. Keep spot-market reports and futures quotes separate—don’t mistake a screenshot from this morning for the current price.

This perpetual contract recorded about 9.95 billion USDT in trading volume over the past 24 hours. Trading is active, but repeated buying and selling also add to volume; it can’t be treated directly as new capital flowing in.

I’m not convinced by the claim that “huge volume means the breakout is secure.” If the pullback continues after the surge, chasing the rally with a story can make it easy to overlook selling pressure.

Tap $BTC to check this candlestick and its trading volume: after the surge and pullback, has the price stabilized? Decide for yourself.

$BTC #BitcoinHitsResistanceAt87000AndRetreats
Verified
An ETF on $ZEC saw a weekly outflow of $93.6 million—can it really retain buy-side demand after listing? On October 3, BeInCrypto cited SoSoValue data, saying Grayscale’s ZCSH first recorded a weekly net outflow. Two weeks earlier, it was still a net inflow of $98.2 million. On October 4 at 13:37, Binance ZEC perpetuals were trading at $1,319, roughly flat over 24 hours. Looking only at today’s small fluctuations would miss the pullback from the previous week. I don’t buy the idea that “an ETF means institutions will provide long-term backing.” Once listing opens the gateway, the incoming money can also leave. The net outflow records the subscription/redemption direction; it can’t be directly equated to fund losses, nor can it be used to explain the entire decline as investors withdrawing. If the price rebounds in the next round, I’d rather verify whether ETF subscriptions and redemptions have improved as well. Open $ZEC to check the daily chart and trading volume—whether this rebound has volume. Verify first, then make a judgment. $ZEC #Zcash spot ETF first shows a weekly net outflow of $93.6 million
An ETF on $ZEC saw a weekly outflow of $93.6 million—can it really retain buy-side demand after listing?

On October 3, BeInCrypto cited SoSoValue data, saying Grayscale’s ZCSH first recorded a weekly net outflow. Two weeks earlier, it was still a net inflow of $98.2 million.

On October 4 at 13:37, Binance ZEC perpetuals were trading at $1,319, roughly flat over 24 hours. Looking only at today’s small fluctuations would miss the pullback from the previous week.

I don’t buy the idea that “an ETF means institutions will provide long-term backing.” Once listing opens the gateway, the incoming money can also leave. The net outflow records the subscription/redemption direction; it can’t be directly equated to fund losses, nor can it be used to explain the entire decline as investors withdrawing. If the price rebounds in the next round, I’d rather verify whether ETF subscriptions and redemptions have improved as well.

Open $ZEC to check the daily chart and trading volume—whether this rebound has volume. Verify first, then make a judgment.

$ZEC #Zcash spot ETF first shows a weekly net outflow of $93.6 million
$BTC 回到原点,三倍产品却可能已经亏了。 SEC approved listing rules for triple-leveraged products tied to bitcoin, ethereum, and others on October 2. The filing says: aiming for three times the daily performance of the futures benchmark, and without deducting fees. This “daily” part cannot be missed. Here’s a hypothetical example: if the futures benchmark first rises 10%, then falls by about 9.09%, it returns to the starting point. The ideal 3x product would first rise 30%, then fall by about 27.27%, and after two days it would be down roughly 5.45%. This only considers daily compounding; it excludes fees and tracking differences. With the same end point, how you get there makes a big difference. The more volatile the market, the less you should interpret “3x” as simply holding long enough for gains to naturally triple. In one-way trends, the compounding outcome is also different. These products primarily obtain exposure through futures, so you can’t use that to infer spot buying demand. How much real demand the approval news brings still needs to be seen in the product and trading data. Open $BTC to view the daily chart and volume: after the approval news, did volatility expand and did trading activity continue? First verify the price action, then discuss the impact of this news. $BTC
$BTC 回到原点,三倍产品却可能已经亏了。

SEC approved listing rules for triple-leveraged products tied to bitcoin, ethereum, and others on October 2. The filing says: aiming for three times the daily performance of the futures benchmark, and without deducting fees. This “daily” part cannot be missed.

Here’s a hypothetical example: if the futures benchmark first rises 10%, then falls by about 9.09%, it returns to the starting point. The ideal 3x product would first rise 30%, then fall by about 27.27%, and after two days it would be down roughly 5.45%. This only considers daily compounding; it excludes fees and tracking differences.

With the same end point, how you get there makes a big difference. The more volatile the market, the less you should interpret “3x” as simply holding long enough for gains to naturally triple. In one-way trends, the compounding outcome is also different.

These products primarily obtain exposure through futures, so you can’t use that to infer spot buying demand. How much real demand the approval news brings still needs to be seen in the product and trading data.

Open $BTC to view the daily chart and volume: after the approval news, did volatility expand and did trading activity continue? First verify the price action, then discuss the impact of this news.

$BTC
$NEAR This time the money was追回了—I've also been waiting for a vulnerability post-mortem. NEAR Intents lead Alex Shevchenko announced that the $3.8 million in stolen funds has been fully returned, and the team will stop investigating. Previously, he gave the attackers a 48-hour deadline to return the money; now that it’s back, he has once again urged people to disclose the issue through the bug bounty program. Getting the money back is definitely good news—fewer affected people will suffer losses. But seeing “stop investigating,” the question I most want answered is: how did the vulnerability get in, and how was it verified after the fix? The “fully returned” result is what the responsible party has publicly stated. Relying on just this announcement, I won’t vouch for the security of the entire service, and I certainly won’t translate it directly into a promise that the coin price will rise. Keep an eye on $NEAR for the follow-up public post-mortem: was the full vulnerability incident described clearly, including the patch and how the fix was validated? This one is worth waiting for more than a victory announcement. $NEAR
$NEAR This time the money was追回了—I've also been waiting for a vulnerability post-mortem.

NEAR Intents lead Alex Shevchenko announced that the $3.8 million in stolen funds has been fully returned, and the team will stop investigating. Previously, he gave the attackers a 48-hour deadline to return the money; now that it’s back, he has once again urged people to disclose the issue through the bug bounty program.

Getting the money back is definitely good news—fewer affected people will suffer losses. But seeing “stop investigating,” the question I most want answered is: how did the vulnerability get in, and how was it verified after the fix?

The “fully returned” result is what the responsible party has publicly stated. Relying on just this announcement, I won’t vouch for the security of the entire service, and I certainly won’t translate it directly into a promise that the coin price will rise.

Keep an eye on $NEAR for the follow-up public post-mortem: was the full vulnerability incident described clearly, including the patch and how the fix was validated? This one is worth waiting for more than a victory announcement.

$NEAR
Verified
$PEPE ’s ETF application has moved forward another step—why can’t it still be treated as institutional buying? Canary submitted its first pre-effective amendment on October 2. The proposed listing venue is listed as Cboe BZX, custody is listed as BitGo, and the price benchmark is also filled in: CoinDesk’s 60-minute weighted price. There’s one line in the prospectus you can’t skip: no offers may be made before the registration statement becomes effective. Creation and redemption are arranged in baskets of 10,000 shares—this is the planned operating method, and it still can’t be used to prove that money has already flowed in. I don’t like framing every time a filing is supplemented as institutions rushing to accumulate. Even after the product launches, you still have to see whether actual subscriptions keep up. Counting this money in ahead of time can hurt you if expectations fall short. Open up $PEPE to look at the daily chart and volume: after this news, did the higher volume continue? Check it yourself—don’t treat application progress as approval. $PEPE #Canary submitted PEPE spot ETF amendment S-1 file
$PEPE ’s ETF application has moved forward another step—why can’t it still be treated as institutional buying?

Canary submitted its first pre-effective amendment on October 2. The proposed listing venue is listed as Cboe BZX, custody is listed as BitGo, and the price benchmark is also filled in: CoinDesk’s 60-minute weighted price.

There’s one line in the prospectus you can’t skip: no offers may be made before the registration statement becomes effective. Creation and redemption are arranged in baskets of 10,000 shares—this is the planned operating method, and it still can’t be used to prove that money has already flowed in.

I don’t like framing every time a filing is supplemented as institutions rushing to accumulate. Even after the product launches, you still have to see whether actual subscriptions keep up. Counting this money in ahead of time can hurt you if expectations fall short.

Open up $PEPE to look at the daily chart and volume: after this news, did the higher volume continue? Check it yourself—don’t treat application progress as approval.

$PEPE #Canary submitted PEPE spot ETF amendment S-1 file
Verified
$BTC 碰上弱非农,就能放心当利好吗? Tonight the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September jobs report: nonfarm payrolls only increased by 29,000, with a combined downward revision of 60,000 for July and August. Even the earlier figures are weaker as well. But the unemployment rate is 4.2%, and the official line is that the change is not significant. In the trending headline that says “rose to,” don’t read it as the unemployment rate suddenly jumping up. A cooling in employment could ease rate-hike pressure—or it could also make investors worry about the economy. For Bitcoin, easing rate pressure is one layer; if investors start cutting exposure to risk assets, another layer of pressure will follow. I’m not comfortable declaring $BTC a “good thing” based only on the headline number for new jobs. Weak data can change rate expectations, but whether buy-side demand can hold up still depends on trading. Open $BTC and compare the price and trading volume before and after the nonfarm release: if it spikes higher, can subsequent volume keep up? $BTC #U.S. September nonfarm payrolls added only 29,000; unemployment rate rose to 4.2%
$BTC 碰上弱非农,就能放心当利好吗?

Tonight the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September jobs report: nonfarm payrolls only increased by 29,000, with a combined downward revision of 60,000 for July and August. Even the earlier figures are weaker as well.

But the unemployment rate is 4.2%, and the official line is that the change is not significant. In the trending headline that says “rose to,” don’t read it as the unemployment rate suddenly jumping up.

A cooling in employment could ease rate-hike pressure—or it could also make investors worry about the economy. For Bitcoin, easing rate pressure is one layer; if investors start cutting exposure to risk assets, another layer of pressure will follow.

I’m not comfortable declaring $BTC a “good thing” based only on the headline number for new jobs. Weak data can change rate expectations, but whether buy-side demand can hold up still depends on trading.

Open $BTC and compare the price and trading volume before and after the nonfarm release: if it spikes higher, can subsequent volume keep up?

$BTC #U.S. September nonfarm payrolls added only 29,000; unemployment rate rose to 4.2%
$WLFI This round of 150 million token airdrops—what’s easiest to miss isn’t the prize pool, but the snapshots. Binance today at 08:00 starts the continuation of the USD1 airdrop. The campaign is split into two phases, each with 75 million WLFI tokens, plus up to 2.5 million USD1 tokens; rewards are distributed weekly. But this isn’t ‘just hold and you automatically get everything based on your balance.’ The system looks at hourly snapshots taken multiple times per day and uses the day’s lowest balance for calculation. If a contract or leveraged account wants to get 1.2x, the USD1 contract’s daily minimum open positions must also reach 300 USD1. Borrowing other stablecoins, swapping into USD1, and then participating will also receive a 70% value discount based on the announcement rules. So a big prize pool doesn’t mean everyone gets more, and it also doesn’t mean demand has already entered the market. First, open $WLFI to check the real-time trading volume: if after the campaign starts the volume doesn’t increase in step, then 150 million tokens is just a pool figure—not what the market has already voted for. $WLFI $USD1
$WLFI This round of 150 million token airdrops—what’s easiest to miss isn’t the prize pool, but the snapshots.

Binance today at 08:00 starts the continuation of the USD1 airdrop. The campaign is split into two phases, each with 75 million WLFI tokens, plus up to 2.5 million USD1 tokens; rewards are distributed weekly.

But this isn’t ‘just hold and you automatically get everything based on your balance.’ The system looks at hourly snapshots taken multiple times per day and uses the day’s lowest balance for calculation. If a contract or leveraged account wants to get 1.2x, the USD1 contract’s daily minimum open positions must also reach 300 USD1. Borrowing other stablecoins, swapping into USD1, and then participating will also receive a 70% value discount based on the announcement rules.

So a big prize pool doesn’t mean everyone gets more, and it also doesn’t mean demand has already entered the market.

First, open $WLFI to check the real-time trading volume: if after the campaign starts the volume doesn’t increase in step, then 150 million tokens is just a pool figure—not what the market has already voted for.

$WLFI $USD1
$BTC has net inflows for 9 consecutive trading days of an ETF, yet the price has not broken through. On September 29, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $66.19 million. BlackRock’s IBIT added $51.09 million, Ark Invest’s ARKB added $33.24 million, while Bitwise’s BITB recorded net outflows of $18.14 million. The total is positive, but the capital isn’t consistently standing on the same side. At the same time, Binance’s BTCUSDT is around $83,828, down 0.64% over the past 24 hours, still below the day’s high of $84,555. I don’t really believe the words “consecutive 9 days” by themselves. ETF inflows are only part of the picture—whether the market can absorb them depends on sell pressure and trading volume. Open $BTC to check the daily chart and volume: if ETFs keep flowing in, but that $84,000 support still can’t hold, this divergence is more worth watching than “9 consecutive days.” $BTC
$BTC has net inflows for 9 consecutive trading days of an ETF, yet the price has not broken through.

On September 29, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of $66.19 million. BlackRock’s IBIT added $51.09 million, Ark Invest’s ARKB added $33.24 million, while Bitwise’s BITB recorded net outflows of $18.14 million. The total is positive, but the capital isn’t consistently standing on the same side.

At the same time, Binance’s BTCUSDT is around $83,828, down 0.64% over the past 24 hours, still below the day’s high of $84,555.

I don’t really believe the words “consecutive 9 days” by themselves. ETF inflows are only part of the picture—whether the market can absorb them depends on sell pressure and trading volume.

Open $BTC to check the daily chart and volume: if ETFs keep flowing in, but that $84,000 support still can’t hold, this divergence is more worth watching than “9 consecutive days.”

$BTC
BTC+0.22%
IBITETF+1.03%
ARKBETF+1.13%
$BTC tiny upticks, yet Strategy bought another 1,665 shares. On September 28, the company disclosed that this purchase cost $142.7 million at an average price of $85,681, bringing its holdings up to 847,666 shares. Tonight, Binance perpetuals are trading at 83,956.5 USDT, up 1.245% over the past 24 hours—still below the average price of this purchase. Even more interesting: in the same week, it also repurchased $152 million worth of STRC, and the amount was actually higher than the buy-in for the coin. Money isn’t just being concentrated in BTC; the company is also managing its own financing structure. The easy mistake is to equate “bought again” directly with an immediate pump. The corporate buy is real, but whether the price can hold depends on execution and subsequent disclosures. First, open $BTC and take a look at this daily candle: whether it can hold around 83,900. Then see if Strategy continues adding next week. $BTC
$BTC tiny upticks, yet Strategy bought another 1,665 shares.

On September 28, the company disclosed that this purchase cost $142.7 million at an average price of $85,681, bringing its holdings up to 847,666 shares. Tonight, Binance perpetuals are trading at 83,956.5 USDT, up 1.245% over the past 24 hours—still below the average price of this purchase.

Even more interesting: in the same week, it also repurchased $152 million worth of STRC, and the amount was actually higher than the buy-in for the coin. Money isn’t just being concentrated in BTC; the company is also managing its own financing structure.

The easy mistake is to equate “bought again” directly with an immediate pump. The corporate buy is real, but whether the price can hold depends on execution and subsequent disclosures.

First, open $BTC and take a look at this daily candle: whether it can hold around 83,900. Then see if Strategy continues adding next week.

$BTC
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