BREAKING :Fed’s January Pause at 84.5% — What It Means for Crypto 📉🔒
The latest CME FedWatch data shows an 84.5% probability that the Fed will hold interest rates unchanged in January 2026. With only 15.5% expecting a cut, the market is bracing for a "no gift" start to the new year.
This shift signals fewer expectations for early 2026 easing, reinforcing a higher-for-longer rate environment. A stronger U.S. dollar and tighter liquidity could maintain pressure on risk assets — including crypto.
We’re already seeing outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and stablecoin contractions. Without a supportive macro backdrop, the crypto market may need to rely more on internal catalysts and adoption narratives in early 2026.
Stay sharp, watch liquidity, and trade with the macro in mind.
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