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China’s Vaulted Silver Continues to Decline, Is Demand for Precious Metals Still Being Maintained?

China’s precious metals market report for 25/06 shows that the amount of physical silver in the SHFE warehouses continued to fall by 3,628 kg on the day.
At the same time, silver inventories at the SGE also decreased by 4,950 kg over the week from 15–19/06.

🔷 The simultaneous decline in silver inventories across both of China’s major exchanges indicates that physical supply is still being withdrawn from the system, reflecting stable demand for silver amid ongoing market uncertainty.

🔶 Meanwhile, the gold price converted on the SGE and SHFE is still holding around USD 3,990/oz, suggesting that gold continues to play the role of a safe-haven asset that investors remain interested in.

If the downward trend in inventory continues to persist, this could be a sign that demand for physical precious metals—especially silver—is still being maintained.$XAG
$XAUT
$XAU

$BTC Losing the $60,000 Mark: Will the $10 Billion Options Expiry Stir the Market?

Bitcoin is entering a sensitive phase as the price loses the $60,000 support zone, with nearly $10 billion worth of BTC options contracts set to expire on 26/06.

🔷 On the daily chart, BTC has broken through an important support area around $60,000, while also forming a new lower low near $58,000.
This indicates that selling pressure is still in control, while buying momentum is not strong enough to reclaim the lost price zone.

🔶 Pressure on Bitcoin is not only driven by technical factors. Continuous outflows from Spot Bitcoin ETF funds, high interest-rate levels, and tighter liquidity conditions are making investors more cautious.

Notably, the nearly $10 billion options expiry happening at the end of the quarter could increase volatility as institutions rebalance their portfolios. In the past, large expiries have often come with strong price-movement waves.

In the short term, $60,000 will be the key area that needs to be reclaimed to improve the price structure.
If it cannot rebound above this level, Bitcoin may continue to face pressure to test lower support zones.
Conversely, holding the $58,000 area could help the market build a base before new buying pressure emerges.

In your view, will this options expiry create an opportunity for Bitcoin to recover, or will it continue to act as a catalyst for an even stronger volatility wave?

The Real Price Momentum of Short-Term Investors Continues to Weaken, Is $BTC Approaching the Reset Zone?

The chart shows that the year-over-year growth momentum of the real price for the short-term investor group has fallen to -24%, marking a prolonged weakening trend since March.

🔷 This indicator reflects that the rate of increase in the real price for short-term investors is slowing significantly, suggesting that speculative sentiment has cooled after the strong run-up earlier.

🔶 However, the current -24% is still not as negative as the "deep reset" zones that appeared in previous deep downturn cycles.
This indicates the market is in a correction phase, but there is no sign yet of a large-scale capitulation.

📌 If the indicator continues to decline, short-term pressure may persist.
Conversely, once this momentum bottoms out and recovers, it could be a signal that capital inflows are gradually returning to the market.

In your opinion, has Bitcoin moved close to the cycle bottoming zone, or does the market still need more time to complete the correction process?

More than $1.42 Billion Liquidated in 24 Hours, the Long Side Suffers Overwhelming Losses

The crypto market has just gone through a major fluctuation as more than $1.42 billion in positions were liquidated over the past 24 hours, affecting more than 200,000 traders.

🔷 The Long side suffered the most, with about $1.12 billion, accounting for nearly 79% of the total liquidation value. Meanwhile, the Short side recorded roughly $301.8 million wiped out.

🔶 $BTC and $ETH lead in liquidation value, with $641.8 million and $349.8 million respectively, indicating that selling pressure is concentrated mainly on the two largest-cap assets in the market.

This large-scale liquidation wave reflects strong downside pressure along with the use of high leverage.
If the volatility continues, the market may still see additional liquidation sweeps in the short term.

In your opinion, is this the necessary “shakeout” before the market rebounds, or has the correction trend not ended yet?

A Whale Wallet Was Liquidated Completely: Long Positions in BTC and XRP, Over $8.4 Million Lost

A major market correction caused whale wallet 0xf79C to have all Long positions liquidated.

🔷 Specifically, the positions 809,9 $BTC (about $47.68 million) and 27.92 million $XRP (about $28.45 million) were forcibly closed, recording a loss of roughly $8.42 million.

🔶 This event shows that strong market volatility is still putting heavy pressure on leveraged positions, even for traders holding portfolios worth tens of millions of dollars.

What do you think—this is only a short-term liquidation sweep, or a sign that the market still has significant risks ahead?

A Whale Wallet Linked to Matrixport Suffers Unrealized Loss of Over $92.5 Million After Market Adjustment

A whale wallet allegedly associated with Matrixport is reportedly bearing an unrealized loss of more than $92.5 million following a major market adjustment.

🔷 The current portfolio includes 120,000 $ETH (about $187 million) and 500 $BTC (about $29.33 million), but the value has dropped significantly as the market declined.

🔶 This large loss shows that even wallets holding assets worth hundreds of millions of dollars are not immune to the effects of sharp market swings.
No signs yet indicate that this wallet has cut losses or closed its entire position.

What do you think—will the whale continue to hold in hopes of a market recovery, or will it be forced to restructure its portfolio if selling pressure persists?

Spot Trading Volume $BTC Is Rebounding After 8 Months — Is Money Flow Returning?

After 8 months of consecutive decline and hitting the lowest level in 3 years, Bitcoin’s spot trading volume began to recover in June, coinciding with the time BTC tested an important support zone around $60,000.

🔷 Data shows trading activity increased sharply when the price fell to the $60,000 area.
This reflects bottom-buying demand, which helped absorb much of the selling pressure following the correction from the $82,000 zone.

🔶 However, the rise in volume is not enough to confirm a new uptrend.
Instead, it suggests that investors are participating in the market more actively, while buyers and sellers are still locked in a fierce battle around the current price zone.

If volume continues to stay high along with the price’s recovery momentum, this could be a positive sign for Bitcoin in the coming period.
However, additional confirmation is needed before expecting a sustainable uptrend.

Taiko Updates Security Incident, Committing to Users’ Assets

Taiko has announced the latest update on the security incident that occurred on 21/06, confirming that no users lost any assets.

🔷 The project states that the bridge is currently operating with insufficient collateral, but it will be fully topped up before it resumes operation, ensuring that all balances are backed at a 1:1 ratio.

🔶 At the same time, Taiko has submitted an official report to Singapore’s relevant authorities and is coordinating with the investigation to identify the individuals behind the incident.
The team is currently testing the bug-fix patches before reopening the network and the bridge in the coming period.

According to the project, users do not need to take any action at this time and should only monitor announcements from official channels, while remaining cautious of fake websites or messages requesting compensation.

If Taiko completes refinancing and restores the bridge as promised, this could be an important factor in helping the project regain the community’s trust after the recent security incident.

BlackRock Moves Over 209 Million USD $BTC , Preparing for a Big Move?

BlackRock has just transferred 3.410 BTC, worth about 209.6 million USD, to a custody address.
On-chain data suggests this organization is likely to continue making similar transactions.

🔷 Large-scale transfers from institutions always draw market attention, but they do not necessarily mean the assets will be sold.
This could also be wallet restructuring or reallocations to meet asset management needs.

🔶 With its massive Bitcoin holdings, every on-chain action by BlackRock is a notable indicator for institutional capital flows.

What do you think—just normal reallocation activity, or a signal that a bigger move is about to happen?

$SOL Is SOL Creating a Bottom or Preparing for Another Dip?

Solana (SOL) is trading around the $68 mark after a bounce back from the low near $60.
However, looking at the technical structure, the short-term trend is still not really bullish, with the price continuing to sit below the important resistance zone of $74–76.

🔷 On the daily candlestick chart, SOL has lost the support level of $82–85, confirming a bearish trend and forming a series of lower highs.
Even though buying pressure is appearing around the $60 mark, the recovery momentum is quite weak and not enough to reverse the trend.

🔶 Derivatives data also reflects a cautious sentiment.
The Long/Short ratio has dropped to 0.94 with a negative funding rate (-0.008%), indicating that the shorts are still in control and most traders expect the price to continue adjusting.

On the bright side, institutional capital has not exited Solana, as Spot Solana ETFs are still seeing inflows. This indicates that long-term buying pressure remains, despite the short-term market still facing significant pressure.

In the short term, the $62–63 range remains a crucial support level that needs to hold.
If this area is successfully defended, SOL could aim for the $70, $74–76 levels.
Conversely, if the support is lost, the $50–40 range could become the next accumulation zone that many investors are watching.

In your opinion, has SOL created a short-term bottom around $60, or will the market see another adjustment before entering a new bullish trend?$HYPE

Only 231 out of 1,200 crypto firms have been granted MiCA licenses, is a major shake-up underway in Europe?

With just 5 days left before the EU's Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation officially kicks in, data reveals that only 231 of the more than 1,200 crypto companies that applied have secured operating licenses.

🔷 This means that less than 20% of businesses have completed the licensing process, reflecting the strict compliance standards that MiCA imposes on the crypto sector.

🔶 For the firms that haven't been approved, their ability to offer services in the EU market may be severely impacted if they fail to meet the legal requirements.

MiCA is expected to create a more transparent and unified environment for the digital asset market in Europe. However, the licensing process is also leading to a significant culling, where compliant businesses will have a clear competitive edge moving forward.

In your opinion, will MiCA foster sustainable growth in the crypto industry or create hurdles for smaller projects due to legal barriers?

Whale Withdraws 17.675 $ETH from Binance, New Accumulation Signal?

A new wallet has just withdrawn 17.675 ETH, worth around 28.58 million USD, from Binance.

🔷 Moving a large amount of ETH from the exchange to a personal wallet is often seen as an accumulation signal, as the asset is being stored rather than being ready to sell.

🔶 Although we can't yet identify the owner of this wallet, the scale of the transaction indicates that it's a move from an investor or organization with deep pockets.

This will be a noteworthy flow of funds if this wallet continues to increase its ETH holdings in the near future.

What do you think, is this a long-term accumulation signal from a whale or just a regular asset transfer?$BNB $HYPE

Russia Delays Crypto Regulation – What’s the Impact on the Market?

🔷 Russia has confirmed that the crypto circulation regulation bill will not come into effect on July 1 as planned.
Although the bill is ready to enter the second reading at the State Duma, the approval time will be pushed back by a few weeks.

🔷 The delay means that the legal framework for crypto trading in Russia remains unfinished, potentially causing the rollout of the proposed monitoring and legal trading mechanism in Q3–Q4/2026 to also be postponed.

🔷 From a market perspective, this isn't directly negative news for Bitcoin or other digital assets, but it could slow down the participation of domestic financial institutions that are still waiting for clear legal guidance.

🔶 In the long term, Russia is still pursuing the goal of establishing a legal corridor for digital assets.
Therefore, the market will continue to monitor the Duma sessions in the coming weeks to assess the pace of rollout and its impact on the adoption of crypto in this major economy.$HYPE $BTC $ETH

Dormant whale awakens after 7 years, cashes out a total of 27,585 $ETH , netting over $39 million in profit

🔷 A whale wallet with address 0x096 has liquidated its entire holding of 27,585 ETH after 7 years of inactivity, swapping for $44.84 million USDS at an average price of $1,625/ETH.

🔷 According to on-chain data, this trade allows the whale to lock in profits of about $39.1 million, marking the end of one of the notable long-term investments in the market.

🔶 Movements from dormant wallets often attract attention as they can add short-term supply.
However, a single transaction is not enough to confirm a trend, and the market will continue to watch if other long-term wallets start to take profits in the current phase.$HYPE

$BTC breaks below $60,000 – Massive sell-off wave erupts on Binance

🔷 Selling pressure reached extreme levels as BTC lost the $60,000 mark.
According to data, around $470 million in active sell orders were executed on Binance within just one minute.
Within an hour, the total sell order value exceeded $1.2 billion, reflecting a panic sentiment as the price broke through a crucial psychological support level.

🔷 The chart shows Taker Sell Volume spiking right as BTC plunged below $60,000.
This marks the third time since the last ATH peak that Bitcoin has breached this price level, indicating that stop-loss orders and momentum selling have been triggered en masse.

🔷 The pressure arises not only from technical factors but also from macroeconomic influences.
The DXY index has returned above the 100 mark, while expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates soon continue to weaken following the US-Iran tensions.
The tightening liquidity environment is causing capital to flow away from risk assets, particularly in the derivatives market.

🔶 Despite the magnitude of the sell-off, the enormous trading volume also indicates that the market still has strong liquidity absorption capacity.
In the short term, volatility may remain high, but if selling pressure begins to ease after this sharp liquidation, the market could gradually find a new equilibrium before forming the next trend.

Hacker KyberSwap continues to launder another 2,000 ETH through Tornado Cash

🔷 According to PeckShield, the wallet address labeled as the KyberSwap hacker just transferred another 2,000 ETH into Tornado Cash to further obscure the flow of funds.

🔷 Over the past 2 years, this hacker has laundered a total of 16,100 $ETH (around 40 million USD), which is over 80% of the 48.8 million USD stolen in the KyberSwap attack in November 2023.

🔶 This move indicates that the asset laundering process is still ongoing after a long period.
At the same time, the use of mixing services remains a major challenge for law enforcement in their efforts to trace and recover stolen assets on the blockchain.$HYPE

MSTR is trading below the value of $BTC held – Is this a signal for a bottom in the cycle?

🔷 The mNAV index of Strategy (MSTR) has dropped to 0.72x, approaching the bottom level of 0.70x that was seen back in May 2022.
This index reflects the valuation of MSTR shares compared to the Bitcoin holdings of the company.
When mNAV < 1, the market is pricing MSTR lower than the value of its Bitcoin assets, indicating a prevailing bearish sentiment.

🔷 Historical data shows that the mNAV bottom typically appears before Bitcoin's bottom.
In the previous cycle, mNAV hit a low of 0.70x in May 2022 when BTC was around $31,000, but Bitcoin didn't actually bottom out until November 2022 at around $15,500, roughly 6 months later.

🔷 Based on a 4-year cycle model and assuming that Bitcoin's volatility range narrows as market cap increases, some analyses predict that Bitcoin could find a bottom between October and December 2026, with a target price range of about $42,000–$44,000.

🔶 This is just a statistical model based on historical data and market sentiment, not a guarantee that Bitcoin will repeat the previous scenario.
However, the drop of mNAV into historical low territory suggests that sentiment towards MSTR is very negative, while the bottom formation for Bitcoin may still take some time before a new bullish cycle can emerge.

Whales participating in the BAT ICO after 9 years continue to cash out, having sold over 12,500 $ETH in just 2 days.

🔷 A well-known "whale" that participated in the BAT ICO back in 2017 has returned to the market after 6 years of silence.
In the past two days, this wallet has unloaded 12,586 ETH, raking in around 20.59 million USDS at an average selling price of 1,636 USD/ETH.

🔷 The investment journey of this wallet is considered one of the most successful trades in the market:

In 2017, the whale spent 17,789 ETH (about 4.12 million USD at that time) to acquire 113.8 million BAT during the ICO at a price of 0.036 USD/BAT.
Over the next 2.5 years, the entire BAT stash was sold off gradually at an average price of 0.245 USD, yielding a total profit of around 23.77 million USD.
The BAT sold on-chain was converted into 27,586 ETH, which was then held for several years.

🔷 After years of no significant trades, this whale has now started to realize profits from the accumulated ETH.
Even after selling over 12,500 ETH, the wallet still holds about 15,000 ETH, equivalent to nearly 24.3 million USD.

🔶 This move indicates that veteran investors from the ICO phase are gradually cashing out after years of holding.
However, the sales have been executed in tranches rather than dumping the entire stack, suggesting that the whale is still managing the portfolio cautiously to minimize significant market impact.

Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs continue to see significant outflows on June 24

🔷 The crypto ETF market is still under pressure as both Bitcoin ETF and Ethereum ETF reported negative cash flow over the past 24 hours.

🔷 For the $BTC ETF, the total net outflow for the day reached -2.548 BTC, equivalent to about $155.42 million. Over the last 7 days, the net outflow has climbed to 6.728 BTC (~$410.3 million).

🔷 The $ETH ETF fared no better, recording -42.157 ETH in the last 24 hours, which is around $69.26 million. The 7-day net outflow stands at -104.526 ETH (~$171.74 million).

🔷 The outflow pressure mainly comes from large funds, while some like Fidelity and ARK still show inflows, but it's not enough to offset the withdrawals across the market.

🔶 Commentary:
The ETF cash flow is indicating a cautious sentiment among institutions as Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to trade below key resistance levels. The ongoing negative NetFlow in ETFs over several consecutive days could create short-term pressure on prices, but it's also a signal to monitor for determining when institutional capital might return to the market.