Anthony “Pomp” Pompliano’s ProCap BTC has finalized its SPAC merger with Columbus Circle Capital (BRR). The newly formed ProCap Financial will begin trading on Nasdaq under ticker BRR starting Monday.
Key Points for Traders:
📉 Rough Year for Bitcoin SPACs: This year's wave of bitcoin treasury companies has seen sharp declines, with many down >90% post-merger. BRR itself fell over 50% this week ahead of the deal closure.
⚖️ Leadership Commitment: Pompliano addressed investor concerns by pledging a $1 annual salary** and delaying equity compensation until BRR shares reach **$15+ — over 3x current levels (~$4.36). Board incentives are also tied to stock performance.
💡 Why This Matters: For crypto investors, this represents another publicly traded avenue for Bitcoin exposure, though past SPAC performances warrant caution. Pomp’s alignment with retail shareholders could set a new standard for crypto-linked public companies.
This week, major central banks and treasuries activated significant liquidity injections:
🇨🇳 China: Injected ¥1.48 trillion into its financial system. 🇺🇸 U.S. Federal Reserve: Added $16 billion in bank support. 🇺🇸 **U.S. Treasury:** Bought back $14 billion in debt & released $70 billion from its TGA account.
Why This Matters for Crypto: When this much liquidity enters the global system,it often flows into risk assets — including Bitcoin and altcoins. Historical patterns suggest that aggressive monetary expansion tends to be bullish for crypto markets.
All eyes are now on how the U.S. administration responds, as these moves could accelerate capital rotation into digital assets.
What to Know: Euro Stablecoins Surge Post-MiCA, Offering New Opportunities for Traders
The euro stablecoin market has rebounded strongly in the year since the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) took effect, with market cap more than doubling after regulations rolled out in June 2024 — reversing a 48% decline from the prior year.
Key Highlights for Crypto Traders:
· Market Cap Growth: Euro stablecoin market capitalization climbed to ~$680M (per CoinGecko), still a fraction of the $300B USD stablecoin market, but showing explosive growth potential. · Top Performers: EURS (Stasis), EURC (Circle), and EURCV (Societe Generale’s SG-Forge) led the rally, with EURS soaring 644% to $283.9M by October 2025. · Trading Volume Boom: Monthly euro stablecoin activity jumped from $383M to **$3.83B** — nearly a 9x increase — with EURC and EURCV volumes up 1,139% and 343%, respectively. · Growing Awareness: Consumer search interest rose sharply across the EU, especially in Finland (+400%) and Italy (+313%), signaling rising adoption. · For Binance Users: This growth means more EUR-based trading pairs, better fiat on-ramps, and increased liquidity for euro-denominated crypto trades. Binance continues to support euro liquidity through listed stablecoins like EURS and EURC.
Why This Matters: MiCA’s clear rules have boosted confidence in euro-pegged stablecoins, providing a regulated alternative to USD stablecoins for European traders. For active traders on platforms like Binance, this translates to more options for hedging, payments, and accessing the European digital economy.
Bitcoin’s Key Valuation Model Under Pressure: Power Law Shows Rare 32% Discount
#Bitcoin has largely tracked its long-standing power law trend this cycle, but currently trades at a ~32% discount to the model’s value of ~$118,000.
This is the largest deviation since August 2024. Historically, price tends to mean revert to this trend.
Key Context:
· Power Law Model: A long-term trend framework showing Bitcoin’s price follows a power law distribution on a log scale. It’s been the dominant narrative this cycle. · Failed Models: Earlier models like Stock-to-Flow have broken down. Its current implied price is ~$1.3M per BTC, starkly disconnected from reality. · Cycle Behavior: Unlike prior cycles with huge swings above/below the trend, Bitcoin has tracked closer to the power law this time—until now.
The Big Question: Will Bitcoin mean revert back toward the power law trend, or break lower and invalidate another long-term model?
The total crypto market cap has pulled back from ~$3.14T to **$3.05T**. Rather than panic, see this as a healthy reset before the next leg up.
History shows: corrections like this often create stronger foundations and fresh entry points. Smart money accumulates when sentiment cools, not when it’s euphoric.
Stay calm and watch for signals:
· Key support levels holding · Fear turning back into momentum · BTC dominance shifts
Recovery signs are already emerging. This isn’t the end of the cycle—it’s a recharge phase.
Keep your watchlist ready and your strategy clear. The next wave is being built right now.
FED RATE CUT IN 120 HOURS: Market Braces for Impact
The countdown is on. The Federal Reserve’s next decision is just 5 days away, with market pricing showing a 97% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut.
The atmosphere is a mix of anticipation and tension. A cut is widely expected, but the real question is the Fed’s guidance for the path ahead. This decision could set the tone for global markets for months to come.
Adding to the narrative, President Trump is poised to frame this cut as a validation of his economic policies, setting the stage for renewed political focus on the Fed’s actions.
For Crypto Traders: 📉 A cut is likely priced in. Watch the dollar index (DXY) and bond yields for the real reaction. ⚡ The signal for future cuts is key. A "hawkish cut" (cutting but hinting at a pause) could limit upside for risk assets. 🔍 Bitcoin's reaction will be a major test of its correlation to macro liquidity expectations.
Stay alert. The decision itself may be less volatile than the statement and press conference that follow.
Trump’s New Security Strategy: A Global Inflation & Debt Boost? What It Means for Crypto
The White House’s latest National Security Strategy isn’t just about defense—it reads like a blueprint for global fiscal expansion. For traders hoping for aggressive rate cuts, this could be the cold shower that changes the macro game.
Here’s the core of it:
· NATO allies are being pushed to raise defense spending to 5% of GDP, up from the old 2% target. · Japan, South Korea, and other partners are also expected to significantly increase military budgets. · The U.S. plans to harden its military presence in the Western Pacific, emphasizing an “America First” agenda.
Why This Matters for Markets: 🔸 More Spending = More Borrowing: Funding this surge means a major increase in global government bond supply. 🔸 Yields & Inflation Could Stay High: Rising bond supply typically pushes yields up, complicates central bank rate cuts, and could keep inflation sticky. 🔸 Labor Market Twist: The strategy declares the “era of mass migration is over,” potentially reducing cheap labor flow and adding wage-driven inflation pressure.
The Crypto Angle: This environment looks like a tailwind for inflation-hedge assets. Gold is already up ~60% this year. Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” hasn’t followed that trend yet (down YTD). Will BTC finally step up as a macro hedge if fiscal risks grow?
With the Fed expected to cut rates soon, this new push for global defense spending could limit how far and fast central banks can move. Traders should watch bond yields and inflation data closely—the “higher for longer” narrative might get a new lease on life.
Bitcoin is trading around $91,300, down 2.2% in 24 hours but outperforming the broader market (CD20 index: -3.2%). The backdrop remains uncertain with delayed U.S. economic data due to the ongoing government shutdown.
🔹 Institutional adoption continues:
· Vanguard now offers crypto ETF access · Bank of America allows wealth advisors up to 4% portfolio allocation to digital assets · Charles Schwab plans BTC & ETH trading in early 2026
🔹 Fed rate cuts expected this month, supporting risk assets.
Despite recent volatility, Bitcoin remains in the green since its November low of $80,600.
Analyst Insights:
· Lewis Harland, Re7 Capital: "Bitcoin’s move back into $92–93K shows strong dip-buying. We’re in consolidation before bullish momentum resumes." · Will Papper, Syndicate: "Shift toward yield strategies signals market maturity and long-term thinking."
Today’s Key Events to Watch:
· 8:30 AM ET: Canada Unemployment Rate · 10:00 AM ET: U.S. PCE Inflation Data (Fed’s preferred gauge) · 11:00 AM ET: QuickSwap AMA on X Spaces
· Renzo (REZ) conducting burn & distribution today · Aavegotchi & Compound DAO votes ongoing
While short-term consolidation may continue, institutional adoption and macroeconomic trends suggest underlying strength. Stay tuned for PCE data later today — a positive surprise could shift sentiment.
Binance Square is thrilled to be the Official Partner of this year’s BeInCrypto 100 Awards, hosted by @BeInCrypto Global!
Join us as we honor the top 100 leaders, projects, and products that are defining the future of Web3 in 2025. This is more than an award — it’s a celebration of innovation and community.
🎤 Live Award Ceremony on Binance Square 📅 When: December 10th ⏰ Time: 12 PM UTC 📍 Where: Live right here on Binance Square
Be among the first to discover who made the #Top100, and celebrate the builders shaping our digital future.
🔥 Save the date, set a reminder, and join us live!
Bitcoin Drops to $90K in Early U.S. Trading — Altcoins and Crypto Stocks Follow
Bitcoin has extended its overnight losses, falling back to the $90,000 level during early U.S. trading hours. This move reverses much of last Sunday’s rebound and signals ongoing market pressure ahead of the weekend.
Ethereum is down about 2%, while major altcoins like Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Hyperliquid (HYPE) have each dropped more than 4%. Crypto-related equities are also sharply lower, with declines of 4–7% for companies such as MicroStrategy (MSTR), Galaxy Digital (GLXY), CleanSpark (CLSK), and American Bitcoin (ABTC).
Data from Velo indicates that the hour before and after U.S. market open has been the most bearish period over the past six months, with Friday consistently being the weakest day of the week.
Inflation Data Offers a Glimmer of Hope
The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment survey released Friday morning showed a decline in inflation expectations—both one-year and five-year outlooks fell more than anticipated. This helped Bitcoin briefly recover toward $91,000.
With the Fed nearly certain to cut rates next week, traders are now looking ahead to early 2025. Further easing in inflation could open the door to additional rate cuts in Q1 2026, which would likely support risk assets—including cryptocurrencies.
Analysts See Consolidation, Not Collapse
The price action reinforces earlier forecasts that the crypto market may see continued consolidation into year-end rather than a sharp rebound. Monitoring intraday patterns and macroeconomic cues remains key for short-term direction.
📊 Bitcoin ETF Outflows: Not Panic, But Arbitrage Unwinds
Recent data reveals a nuanced story behind recent Bitcoin ETF outflows:
🔍 Key Insights:
· Outflows were highly concentrated, not broad-based institutional selling. · BlackRock's IBIT accounted for 97-99% of recent weekly outflows, while Fidelity's FBTC saw inflows. · The primary driver was the closure of "basis trade" arbitrage positions, not long-term conviction selling.
📉 The Mechanics: As Bitcoin's price fell~35%, the spread between spot and futures prices (the "basis") collapsed, making arbitrage trades unprofitable. This triggered a mechanical unwind:
✅ The Takeaway: The market has shed leveraged,tactical positions. Remaining ETF holdings (~1.43M BTC) represent "stickier" institutional capital focused on long-term appreciation, setting the stage for a cleaner, o conviction-driven rally.
🚨 Meta Plans Major Metaverse Cuts: Up to 30% Budget Reduction in 2026
Key points:
· Meta’s metaverse division, including Quest VR & Horizon Worlds, faces steep cuts. · Layoffs expected as adoption lags and priorities shift toward AI. · Reality Labs has lost over $70B since 2021. · Meta stock (META) rose 4% on the news.
Why it matters for crypto: Meta’s pullback reflects a cooling metaverse hype cycle,potentially redirecting tech investment and attention toward AI and other high-growth areas like crypto infrastructure and gaming.
The era of unlimited metaverse spending may be over. 📉
Bitcoin Holds Near $93.5K as Market Sentiment Cautiously Improves
The crypto market showed resilience on Thursday, with Bitcoin trading around $93,500 and Ether rising above $3,200 post-Fusaka upgrade. While the Fear & Greed Index has moved out of "Extreme Fear," the broader trend remains cautious.
📊 Key Market Takeaways:
· BTC's Critical Level: The downtrend since October remains intact. A sustained break above $98,500 is needed to signal a true bullish reversal. · Altcoin Sentiment Weak: The "Altcoin Season" indicator has dropped to 20/100, showing clear preference for Bitcoin over riskier altcoins. · Privacy Coins Correct: After a strong rally, ZEC and DASH have dropped over 20% this week, entering a corrective phase. · Derivatives Signal Calm: Bitcoin's implied volatility has fallen to its lowest since mid-November, pointing to a lower-volatility environment ahead—often supportive for a steady bullish move.
📈 Derivatives & Futures Snapshot:
· BTC & ETH volatility indices have declined, suggesting a calmer market structure. · $100K BTC calls remain the most popular options play ($2.82B in open interest). · Notable OI increases in ZEC (+6%) and ETH (+4%) futures indicate speculative interest.
🪙 Altcoin & Token Focus: The altcoin market remains quiet,with liquidity and attention still concentrated on Bitcoin. However, a few outperformers included TAO, ENA, and AVAX (up 4.5%-8.5%). Notably, the current market appears driven more by development and fundamentals than pure speculation—a sign of maturation since the memecoin frenzy of late 2024.
🔍 The Bottom Line for Traders: While short-term sentiment is improving,the key level to watch is BTC above $98.5K for a confirmed trend change. Lower volatility in derivatives and selective altcoin movements suggest a more disciplined market is forming. Watch privacy coins for a potential second wave, and keep an eye on ETH's momentum post-upgrade.
U.S. Treasury Makes Historic $12.5B Debt Buyback – Why Traders Are Watching Closely
Markets are reacting after an unexpected move from the U.S. Treasury. In a historic shift, $12.5 billion of U.S. debt was bought back in a single operation—the largest such buyback on record.
This isn’t just a routine financial operation. The scale and timing have sparked intense speculation:
· Is this a signal of underlying liquidity stress? · A tactical move to stabilize the bond market? · The beginning of a new form of monetary-fiscal coordination?
Such a direct intervention raises questions about market functioning, future debt management, and potential ripple effects across asset classes, including crypto. When the world's largest economy changes how it manages its debt, all markets pay attention.
Amid the analysis, political narrative has also entered the conversation, with former President Trump suggesting "even bigger decisions" may follow—adding another layer of uncertainty to the macro outlook.
What This Means for Traders:
· Watch liquidity conditions and U.S. bond yields closely. · Monitor Bitcoin and crypto reactions to shifts in Treasury market sentiment. · Consider increased volatility in risk assets as markets digest this new tool.
Major fiscal moves often create indirect but meaningful waves in digital asset markets. Staying informed is key.
ETH Shows Strength: Bullish Engulfing Pattern Signals Potential Reversal
Traders, take note! Ethereum (ETH) just printed a classic bullish reversal signal on the 1-hour chart, hinting at a shift in momentum.
🔍 The Signal: Bullish Engulfing Pattern As captured on the 1-hour candle closing at12-05 00:00 (UTC), a clear Bullish Engulfing Pattern has emerged. This technical formation occurs when a green (bullish) candle completely "engulfs" the body of the preceding red (bearish) candle. It suggests that buying pressure has decisively overwhelmed the prior selling pressure, often indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
📈 What This Means for ETH The appearance of this pattern,especially after a period of downward or consolidating movement, is a key watch item for short-term traders. It signals that buyers are stepping in aggressively, potentially marking a local bottom and the start of a new upward leg.
⚠️ Important Trading Considerations
1. Confirmation is Key: While a strong signal, prudent traders often wait for additional confirmation, such as a break above the next resistance level or increased volume on the following candles.
2. Context Matters: Always consider the broader market trend and key support/resistance zones. This pattern is more significant when aligned with major support levels.
3. Risk Management First: Never base a trade solely on one pattern. Always define your stop-loss and take-profit levels. The crypto market is volatile; manage your risk accordingly.
This Bullish Engulfing Candle on ETH's 1-hour chart is a notable development for active traders.It flags a potential shift in short-term sentiment and warrants close attention to ETH's price action in the coming hours. Will the buyers maintain control?
Stay alert, trade smart, and always do your own research (DYOR).
BREAKING: Fed Chair Powell's Statement Ignites Markets, Then Cautions Traders
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's remarks today triggered a massive surge across global risk assets, followed by a sobering reminder of the Fed's ongoing influence.
What He Said:
· The Spark: Powell stated there has been "clear progress on inflation," a signal markets interpreted as dovish and a potential precursor to rate cuts. · The Immediate Effect: A powerful, simultaneous rally erupted: · Crypto surged (Bitcoin & Ethereum spiked higher). · Equities blasted through key resistance levels. · Bonds rallied sharply (yields fell). · The Quick Caveat: Powell almost immediately cautioned that "too much celebration" could undermine progress and risk a market reversal, tempering the initial euphoria.
Why It Matters: Powell demonstrated the Fed's outsized control over market sentiment.A single phrase can unleash bullish frenzy, but the central bank remains focused on cooling overheated reactions. This isn't a clear "all-clear" signal, but a reminder that the path to rate cuts will be carefully managed.
Market Impact:
· Crypto: Shows extreme sensitivity to Fed liquidity expectations. The initial pop confirms its role as a leading risk-on asset. · Outlook: Every future word from Powell will be hyper-scrutinized. The tug-of-war between "mission accomplished" on inflation and preventing a renewed bubble will define 2024's close.
Bitcoin dipped from ~$93,000 to under $92,000 following a slide in tech stocks, triggered by a report about Microsoft adjusting AI growth expectations.
Key Points:
· Trigger: A report from The Information stated Microsoft scaled back sales growth targets for its next wave of AI "agents" due to slower adoption. (Microsoft later denied lowering "sales quotas," and the headline was adjusted). · Market Reaction: Tech stocks fell swiftly. MSFT dropped ~3%, and the Nasdaq 100 reversed gains. · Crypto Impact: BTC followed the downside correlation with tech, dropping from overnight highs to near $91,800 before stabilizing around $92,300. ETH also pulled back from its session high. · Mixed Moves in Crypto Equities: · Miners: Mostly muted (IREN -2%, others slightly down). · Brokers/Others: MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN) gained, while newer entrants like Circle (CRCL) and eToro (ETOR) saw modest rises.
The Takeaway: The crypto rally paused as the market showed continued sensitivity to Big Tech and AI narrative shifts. The quick reversal highlights the current high correlation between crypto and equity momentum.
🚀 Bitcoin Roars Back Above $90K as Major Institutions Embrace Crypto
📈 Price Action: Bitcoin surged past **$90,000** Tuesday, recovering sharply from Sunday’s drop below $84,000. Ethereum also broke above $3,000, with large-cap alts like SOL, XRP, and DOGE up 7–10%.
🔥 Catalysts:
· Vanguard now allows clients access to crypto ETFs · Bank of America advisors can recommend up to 4% allocation in BTC ETFs · Sentiment boosted further by easing Fed policy signals
📊 Market Insights:
· Derivatives markets show bullish positioning, with strong support seen in the $80,000–$85,000 zone · Traders are selling downside puts and buying upside calls, signaling confidence in a year-end rally
⚠️ Warning Flag: One analyst warns that rising Japanese bond yields could pull capital from global markets—potentially impacting crypto due to Asia-heavy liquidity and high leverage exposure (especially on platforms like Binance).
🎯 The Takeaway: Institutional adoption is accelerating, technicals suggest solid support, but macro crosswinds remain. Keep an eye on Fed and Bank of Japan meetings later this month.
Big shift from the Fed: Quantitative Tightening (QT) is over. The move to cut rates and inject $28 billion signals a major pivot toward easing—a potential catalyst for risk assets, including crypto.
5 Key Insights You Need to Know:
1️⃣ Liquidity Boost – The $28B injection increases available cash, often sparking buying across stocks and crypto.
2️⃣ Rate Cuts Ahead – Lower rates encourage risk-taking, which could lift altcoins significantly in coming weeks.
3️⃣ Sentiment Shift – Ending QT removes a headwind; investors are already reacting positively.
4️⃣ Altcoin Timing – Crypto rallies often follow Fed easing moves. Watch for momentum in high-conviction alts.
5️⃣ Stay Alert on Data – Inflation and employment reports will fine-tune the timing of market moves.
Traders, this could spark one of the most dynamic market periods in recent months. Stay informed, watch liquidity flows, and plan your moves accordingly.