🥇 1) General trend (Trend)
Bitcoin rose to a historical peak of $120,000 and then entered a structured downward correction.
The HL path was broken and the short-term price behavior shifted to Lower High + Lower Low = weakening momentum.
But the correction is still within a macro bullish trend.
🟨 2) Fibonacci Retracement
The price is trading around the 0.5 level = $87,654 — a critical Pivot area.
The golden discount area for institutions at: 0.618 = 78,518$
Additional liquidity depth between: 0.705 – 0.786 = 74K – 69K
These levels are used to reassemble “Smart Money” positions.
🟩 3) Demand zones and Order Blocks
There are clear buying demand blocks between: 78K – 70K
This area represents Liquidity Discount + Unmitigated OB.
At the top of the chart, there is a strong supply block of 110K from which the drop occurred—an institutional base.
🟥 4) Price gaps (Fair Value Gaps – FVG)
The price is pulling back down to fill unfilled upward gaps below 80K.
Above the price, there are liquidity magnets (Liquidity Magnets):
1. 96.7K (first target)
2. 108K
3. 120K
💥 Final consolidation – expectation scenario
🟢 Institutional bearish scenario before the launch
If the price breaks 87,000$ with a daily close:
Visiting 78,500$ is very likely
Because it = 0.618 + Order Block + Liquidity Zone
This is the “Smart Money Reload.”
🔥 Bullish scenario towards the first target
To achieve the first target at 96,700$, we need 3 conditions:
1. Stability above 88,000$
2. Another break of a short Lower High
3. Flow of liquidity towards Buy-side Liquidity
The price will head directly to: 🎯 Target 1 = 96,700$
Why this target?
Located at Fib 0.382
Represents a balance area after correction
Above it, there is suspended liquidity at a sub-peak
Means: Magnetic target + Institutional + High Probability.
🧨 Execution model (Business Play)
Entry Trigger
If a daily candle closes above: 88,500$
Stop Loss
83,900$ (below the last swing low)
Take Profit 1
🎯 96,700$
R/R
= approximately 3 : 1
🏁 What happens after the first target?
If it breaks 96,700$:
The price is looking for liquidity at 108K
And if it fails:
Returns for mitigation at 87–85K then a second attempt
