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🇺🇸 S&P Futures: stable
📈 Treasury 10Y: 5.23%
🇪🇺 Stoxx 600: +0.6%
🛢️ Brent: US$ 105.08 | -0.2%
🥇 Gold: US$ 4,149 | +0.8%
1. INTEREST RATES AT 5.23%
The 10-year Treasury remains very high, but something important is starting to happen: large managers are returning to buy bonds.
The logic is simple: with rates above 5%, the investor already receives a very attractive return just by holding U.S. Treasuries. This could start to create a ceiling for yields.
2. OIL IS STILL A RISK

The boss of a global haulage firm has said the two-year lane closures on part of one of the south coast's busiest roads has cost the firm £2.4m.
National Highways' work to resurface the M27 between junction five at Eastleigh and junction seven at Hedge End first began in 2024. It fully reopened from 06:00 BST, although a temporary 50mph limit is expected to be in place until the end of June.
Speaking ahead of its reopening, Bob Terris, from the Southampton-based haulage firm Meachers Global Logistics, said he was "relieved" the "critical" route would be back up and running.
National Highways praised motorists' "patience" and said the works would create "smoother, quieter and safer" journeys.
Terris estimated the disruption had cost the company, which runs 60 lorries in the Southampton area each day, £2.4m.
We know exactly what it costs for the trucks, we know how much time we're losing - it's not rocket science, it's a lot of money," he said.We know exactly what it costs for the trucks, we know how much time we're losing - it's not rocket science, it's a lot of money," he said.
Terris, who began working at Meachers in 1962 and went on to own the company, welcomed the resurfacing project but bemoaned the economic impact.
It's reduced the productivity of the vehicles, so our costs are higher, and our revenues lower because we don't get paid if they're not moving," he explained.
It's not just the trucks, it's the admin, the telecom, the systems and everything [you have to do] to accommodate all this.
It's an absolutely huge thing, but we're only one company, just multiply this across the whole region and see how much it's costing."
Professional magician Darren Snelgar said the traffic caused by the roadworks had been a problem as he has been travelling to gigs
It's been a bit of a nightmare, with the traffic building up every night around about three, half-past three, so it's been a right pain," he said.
The two-year £83m project to upgrade the motorway, which runs between the New Forest and Portsmouth, first began in March 2024.
It came as part of a National Highways scheme to replace routes built using concrete with asphalt to reduce noise and ensure the road lasted longer.
It has also involved work to improve drainage and strengthen the central reservation.
Richard Scrase, programme delivery manager at National Highways, said they were "grateful" for motorists' "continued patience".
These improvements have created a smoother, quieter and safer journey for drivers, while helping the road last for generations to come," he added.
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The Indian government is seeking to expedite the implementation of a 2023 law that reserves 33 percent of seats in parliament and state assemblies for women, but has linked the move to a sweeping redrawing of parliamentary constituencies, sharpening political tensions.
We’re set to take historic steps to empower women,” Prime Minister Narendra Modi said before a special sitting of parliament on Thursday as his government introduced three bills to be debated in the Lok Sabha, the lower house of parliament.
While two of the three bills relate to extending the number of women in parliament and state assemblies, a third bill relates to “delimitation”, as the process to redraw parliamentary boundaries based on population is called in India. The bill aims to increase the overall size of parliament from 543 Lok Sabha seats to 850
The bills are being taken up during a three-day special session and will require a two-thirds majority in both houses to pass. Modi’s National Democratic Alliance (NDA) holds 293 seats in lower house of parliament while a two-thirds majority would require 360 votes
Women currently account for 14 percent of the Lok Sabha members. “We are all united to give rightful positions to women in India,” Parliamentary Affairs Minister Kiren Rijiju said on Thursday
Several Asian countries, including India’s neighbours like Nepal and Bangladesh, have similar quotas for women in national legislatures. India already mandates that one-third of seats be set aside for women in local governing bodies
But the opposition was not convinced. Some members from southern states turned up in parliament dressed in black as a mark of protest.
MK Stalin, chief minister of the southern state of Tamil Nadu and a rival to the BJP, burned a copy of the bill and raised a black flag in protest, urging people across the state to do the same.
“Let the flames of resistance spread across Tamil Nadu,” Stalin said, accusing the BJP of trying to marginalise the state through redrawn boundaries. “Let the arrogance of the fascist BJP be brought down
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