阿二说币

The market plunged directly. The Nasdaq futures fell 1.5% right after opening. Bitcoin was even harsher, dropping 6% within half an hour. The screen was filled with green, causing quite a few people in the group to panic.

Some rushed to send messages saying the black swan has arrived, frantically clicking to cut positions. It wasn't until after cutting that they realized this drop was not an accident; it was a clear signal of significant capital withdrawal.

First, let's look at the actions of the Treasury. The U.S. government has been in a shutdown for nearly 40 days, and the TGA account is nearly empty. Last week, over 160 billion in short-term government bonds was issued urgently. The market had to take on real money, and liquidity at the hundred-billion level was directly withdrawn. The stock and currency market was already supported by capital; a drop was inevitable.

Then there’s the Federal Reserve's cooling remarks. A statement about the policy direction has not yet been set, reducing the probability of a rate cut in December from 70% to below 45%. Short-term funds quickly reduced leverage overnight, and a pile of closing positions emerged. The already tight liquidity became even tighter, magnifying the downward trend.

Additionally, there’s hidden tightness between banks. The usage of the Federal Reserve’s emergency liquidity tools has reached a post-pandemic high. Banks are starting to tighten lending overnight. Although the market seems to be flush with cash, active funds are all trapped in government bonds and reverse repos, unable to flow into the stock and currency market.

This drop is not the start of a bear market. Once the government shutdown ends and the Federal Reserve provides warming signals, the withdrawn funds will definitely return. Panicking to cut losses now is just throwing chips at a low point. Holding cash and watching for the oversold leading coins is the rational approach.

The market is never short of volatility; what’s lacking is the calm to see the logic clearly. The previously mentioned position control and not blindly following the trend are most effective at times like this. Once the signal for capital inflow appears, opportunities will naturally arise. Earning in the crypto circle is fundamentally about understanding the fluctuations. @阿二说币
#美联储重启降息步伐
#ETH走势分析
#美SEC推动加密创新监管

Contract liquidation warning!

8000U lost 4000 in fifteen minutes, I relied on 3 iron rules to earn 30 times

Contracts are like this, heaven is just an inch of land, hell is just a blink of an eye! The first time I played contracts, I had 8000U and got a bit heated, using 100 times leverage to hard hit $BTC, and the market just shook
0.8%, less than fifteen minutes half of the position 4000U directly evaporated!

At that moment, I stared at the screen with red letters, my mind was blank, my heart was beating so fast it could break the drum, the smoke burned to my fingers without feeling —— it wasn't until that moment that I understood, liquidation is not an accident? It’s simply the market's “gentle” welcome gift for beginners!

Since then, I have completely respected the market, no longer dreaming of getting rich, absolutely not letting emotions make decisions! Recently, my friend A Kai, earned a little money and got carried away, saying he was the chosen one in the crypto world, but ended up playing $ETH contracts and blew up twice in three days, losing 12000U, staring at the screen until four in the morning, his eyes red like a rabbit, all crushed by emotions!

Real experts are waiting: seventy percent of the time empty watching the show, thirty percent of the time looking for the right opportunity to heavily invest, making a clean profit in one go! Last year, I relied on the BOLL indicator to catch the market, it was sideways for half a month, others were groping, I just watched the rhythm: the closing is accumulating strength, when it opens and breaks through the upper track with volume, I entered in batches, stop-loss nailed at the previous low, three weeks later SOL rose to 310U, directly earning 30 times!

Now I have three iron rules engraved in my heart: a single loss not exceeding 2%, no more than two trades a day, floating profit of 50% means pulling the stop-loss to the cost line! It sounds rigid, but it’s precisely this “rigidity” that kept me from getting liquidated in last year’s bear market, steadily surviving until now!

The market never lacks bold rookies, what it lacks is people who can survive steadily! If you are still trading based on emotions, being led by the market, stop and calm down first —— want to double your money? You must first learn not to get liquidated, surviving gives you a chance!

Those who can survive and still earn in the market have always been those who dare to reach out first and follow the rules, are you ready? @阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析

Earned 140,000 U and still bringing people along? Mutual benefit in the crypto world is the way to go!

Recently, many people have asked: “You’ve rolled from 10,000 U to 140,000 U relying on $SOL, why don’t you quietly make a fortune and still bother to help others?”

I’ll be honest: people with different paths cannot collaborate! Of course, I can earn with my eyes closed, but keeping my trading experience to myself isn’t as good as helping more people avoid pitfalls. I earn a reasonable share, and everyone makes real money; mutual benefit is worthwhile!

Most of the people who come to me are friends who have suffered great losses, some left with only a few U still holding on, insisting on not turning back until they hit a wall! Don't think of yourself as the chosen one; industry data shows:

In 2025, 78% of newcomers in the crypto space lost all their capital within 3 months, and 90% of contract traders ended up losing money!

Last week, BTC surged to $93,000, and my spot trading portfolio earned 12% in a week, while retail investors faced a more than 60% rate of getting trapped by chasing highs! A student, Xiao Li, had only 80 U left, stubbornly holding onto ETH contracts, even buying more when it broke the $1,800 support level, ultimately leading to a direct liquidation—this is a snapshot of those 90% losers!

After following me, using the MACD golden cross signal to enter at $3,150, and judging overbought and oversold conditions with the RSI index, strictly executing profit-taking and stop-loss strategies, my account is now stable at 1,200 U!

The crypto world is never a gamble! What I provide is not just points, but a complete set of risk control logic and trading discipline. Earning money alone is certainly pleasant, but helping everyone to avoid pitfalls and profit together is far more valuable than solo revelry!

Those who can survive in the market and still make money are always the ones who dare to actively reach out for opportunities. Are you ready? @阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析

Half a year 10,000 U rolled to 140,000 U!

$SOL Sealing God Secret: 6 rules of volume to avoid losses

Stop believing in the mysticism of the coin circle!

I relied on hard work on volume and analysis of K-lines, turning 10,000 U into 140,000 U in half a year,

$SOL this wave directly made it enjoyable! Today I share 6 core insights; understanding just one can save you tens of thousands!

Fast rise, slow fall = Main force washing the盘! Last year $ETH after a high surge, slowly adjusted,

I held on without cutting losses, and sure enough, after the wash ended, it surged again,

This wave alone earned 20,000 U; a real peak is a volume drop, giving no time to react!

Sharp fall and weak rebound = Never try to catch the bottom! In 2025, $SOL sharply fell and then rebounded in small steps

All my friends rushed in and got trapped, I resisted and didn't move, avoiding a subsequent 15% drop — the main force never gives a second chance!

High volume reduction = Dangerous signal!

If there is volume at the top, there can still be speculation, but a sudden drop in volume is deadly!

Last time $BTC had high volume reduction, I decisively reduced my holdings, directly avoiding a 30% retracement!

Single day volume increase at the bottom = Trap for speculators! Don't get excited just because of volume; wait for consistency!

$ADA after half a month of fluctuations continued to increase in volume, I decisively entered, easily making 40%!

Volume is the thermometer of the market! K-line is the result, volume is the reason! In 2025, 80% of cryptocurrency trends can be predicted in advance based on volume!

Being in cash is the strongest skill! When the market hasn't arrived, hold on to cash; when the opportunity comes, act decisively, don’t chase, don’t panic, don’t kill randomly — it seems simple, but it can filter out 90% of the retail investors!

The coin circle is not lacking in opportunities; what’s lacking is composure and clear vision!

Follow the rhythm of volume, don’t fumble around, and your funds can steadily grow!

Only those who can survive in the market and still earn are those who understand review and discipline. Are you ready? @阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察

Newbie contract to the god!

Starting with 1000U without liquidation, $DYM has been tested to roll to 8000U

Newbies should not be “chives” when trading contracts! Take my advice: start with a principal of 1000U, follow this method to ensure profit without liquidation. All the newbies I’ve guided have rolled from 1000U to 8000U!

Recently, $DYM has been extremely volatile, and too many newbies are blindly rushing in, resulting in total liquidation losses! The key points are just two: don’t go all in, and stick to the rules!

First, split 1000U into two parts, each 500U! Use only 500U to open the first position, prioritizing mainstream coins like ETH, which are stable and have controllable risks. Don’t follow the trend of chasing high-volatility coins like $DYM!

Even if you can open a 100x leverage, only open 1 position, don’t be greedy! There are two hard rules that must be memorized: set a stop loss at 20%, if 500U drops to 400U, cut the position immediately. Last week, a newbie stubbornly held onto $DYM during a pullback, losing from 500U to 100U before realizing.

Take profit at 100%, once you earn 1000U, take it and secure it, that’s real profit!

The stage goal is crystal clear: win 3 times in a row, directly roll 1000U to 8000U! Each time, only use half of the funds to operate, leaving enough room for backup!

After reaching 8000U, change the strategy, open positions with only 1000U each time, leaving 8 chances for trial and error;

Before reaching 10000U, must use a position-by-position model, only lose the funds of a single position, without affecting the principal!

Finally, adhere to four iron rules: if the direction is wrong, admit defeat, cut losses at 20%; never go all in, leave half as reserve funds; run when you earn enough 100%; stick to position-by-position!

The crypto world lacks wealth myths but lacks people who can survive! Newbies should first take 1000U as a small cost to build habits, learn to set stop losses, refuse greed, and understand position allocation, to earn more and more! Those who can survive in the market and still earn are always the ones who dare to take the first step and follow the rules. Are you ready? @阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析

出 U 冻卡接到 “叔叔” 电话？3 句救命回答亲测能扛！

谁懂啊家人们！出 U 刚到账银行卡就被冻，隔天接到派出所电话时，我手都抖成筛子了！后来帮朋友处理过两次类似情况，才算摸透应对关键，这 3 个回答思路记死，冻卡时能帮你稳住阵脚不慌神！

第一问：“虚拟币交易违法，你不知道？”千万别急着认 “违法” 的锅！直接这么说：“我查过相关规定，法律没明确说个人间买卖 U 是违法的。我清楚这交易不受法律保护，但‘不受保护’和‘违法’完全是两码事，我这就是个人处置自己的资产而已。”—— 这句话是底线，怎么都不能松口！

第二问：“收了脏钱，必须退这么多才能解冻！”别一被唬就点头全认！留个活话才稳妥：“退钱比例咱们可以商量，不是我完全不知情就您说多少是多少。我肯定积极配合调查，能不能帮忙联系受害人，协商个合理方案？只要谈妥了，应该就能解冻了吧？”—— 既表了配合态度，又不会让自己当 “冤大头”。

第三问：“不解冻就封你所有卡，还要留案底！”别被 “留案底” 吓破胆！淡定回应：“我已经准备好所有交易材料了，肯定全力配合调查。现在冻卡只是调查阶段，又不是已经定罪，哪来的案底呀？而且只要我的卡不是直接收诈骗款的一级涉案卡，一般也不会影响其他卡使用吧？”—— 让对方知道你懂行，就不容易被糊弄！

其实事后应对不如事前预防！交易前一定要查对方账户流水、问清资金来源，别嫌麻烦，这步才是真 “保命”！怕记不住应对要点的，点个关注 @阿二说币 ，我把整理好的应答模板发你，出 U 变现少踩坑～

Last week, a fan asked me whether the price drop of 30% was a shakeout or a sell-off. As soon as I looked at the K-line, I knew he mistook the seller's actions for a shakeout and got trapped at a high position.

Having been in the crypto space for 7 years, I found that retail investors are most likely to fall into the pit of mistaking a sell-off for a shakeout. They keep buying as the price drops, thinking it's a shakeout, and sell as soon as it rises. In fact, the two are worlds apart. Today, I'll use a real case to teach you how to distinguish them in 3 seconds.

Last month, there was a cryptocurrency called mec, which had a non-genuine name. It rose from 2U to 5U and suddenly started to plummet. Many people thought it was a shakeout.

As a result, they got trapped until now. Its selling method is actually very typical. In the first phase, there was volume but no price increase. The price hovered around 5U, and the daily trading volume was 3 times larger than before, yet the price wouldn't budge. At this point, the market maker had already been quietly selling off.

They just used a small amount of capital to prop up the price, making retail investors believe it could still rise. In the second phase, there was a sudden cliff-like drop. One day, the market maker removed the support orders, and the price fell directly from 5U to 3U with no rebound in between.

At this time, the trading volume was still large, and many retail investors thought it was a golden pit and rushed in to bottom-fish, resulting in them all getting trapped. In the third phase, there was a rebound that lured in more buyers. The price bounced from 3U to 4U, looking like a V-shaped reversal. However, upon closer inspection, the trading volume during the rebound was getting smaller. This is the market maker luring in buyers to trap the last batch of retail investors before continuing to sell off.

And as for shakeouts, in the previously discussed GAMA case, although there was also a drop during a shakeout, the trading volume was very low during the decline, and the volume would increase during the rebound, and it wouldn't break through key support levels.

To summarize, to distinguish between a sell-off and a shakeout, you look for 3 signals: Observe the trading volume. In a shakeout, the drop is on low volume, while the rebound is on high volume; in a sell-off, the drop is on high volume, and the rebound is on low volume.

Look at the support levels. A shakeout will not break through key support, while a sell-off will crash through it. Look at the speed. A shakeout drops slowly and rebounds quickly, while a sell-off drops quickly and rebounds slowly.

Next time you encounter a crash, don’t rush to bottom-fish or cut losses. First, look at these 3 signals to distinguish between a sell-off and a shakeout, so you won't be led by the market maker. @阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析

Dare not to touch contracts, then roll the spot into a snowball. Written for ordinary people who are still stuck in place.

A friend asked me, "With contracts being like a heaven and earth needle in a second, my heart can’t take it, is there still a way out for spot trading?" I replied, "Spot trading is not a way out; it's the expressway for ordinary people. It's just that most people have handed the steering wheel over to their emotions."

Three years ago, I was left with 3000U. After my contract blew up, I vowed never to touch leverage again. I only did one thing: roll the position. Twelve months later, my account net increased six times. Someone asked me for the secret. I shrugged, "Profits nurture profits."

Don't feed emotions. In one sentence, it reveals the essence of rolling positions: continually turning earned money into new principal, letting compound interest work for you instead of letting adrenaline lead you into pitfalls.

How to roll? I break it down into three steps that even elementary school students can copy.

Step 1: Wait for the wind to come. Spot trading earns direction tax, not volatility tax. Open the daily, weekly, and moving averages of BTC and ETH. Once in a bullish arrangement, take action. The winning rate immediately rises from 30% to 70%. If the trend hasn't emerged, do not hold positions; being itchy to short is equivalent to working for the exchange.

Step 2: Cut the position into three parts. Start by throwing in 30% of the position, confirm the trend, then add another 30%. For the final touch, 40%. Also break down the profit-taking: once it rises enough, 25%, sell half first, pocket the principal, and let the profit continue to fly. This way, even if there’s a waterfall the next day, you only have profit drawdown left, and you won’t wake up at midnight to hit your thigh.

Step 3: At the end of each round, cut yourself loose. Once the market finishes moving, immediately transfer 30% to 40% of the profits to cold wallets or fiat accounts. Use part of the remaining funds to reinvest the principal and regroup. Remember, compound interest is not a number game; it’s a discipline game. The profits taken out are the money earned; what stays in the market is just chips.

After rolling the position for a year, the account won’t explode or crash. After rolling for three years, you have a printing machine that only produces coins without overtime. Don’t underestimate a single 20%; five consecutive times is 2.5 times, ten consecutive times is six times. Drawdowns are controllable, sleep soundly. The market rewards those who live long. Replace contract leverage with time leverage.

Exchange the passion for all-in with the discipline of rolling. Ordinary people can also grow an orchard in a bear market.

The path has already been drawn; whether to walk it is up to you. If you want to make quick money, turn left to contracts; one second to heaven. If you want to slowly become rich, turn right to spot trading; roll out a snowball. On the road of compound interest, I walk fast alone, a group walks far together. You are welcome to join me @阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut shouldn't be rushed into: 3 life-saving tips for newbies in the crypto world

At three in the morning, my phone suddenly vibrated. I opened it to find a barrage of messages from Xiao Zhang: "Bro, have you seen the news about the Federal Reserve cutting rates? I've put together 20,000 in capital. Should I throw it all in to catch the bottom?"

He had seen news that the probability of a rate cut in December was skyrocketing. Afraid of missing out on the market but also scared of being cut, he was so conflicted that he couldn't sleep all night.

Recently, many newbies have been the same way. As soon as they hear about liquidity, they get excited, but they haven't seen the true nature of this rate cut. It's not a massive injection of liquidity; it's just the Federal Reserve squeezing toothpaste. Last week's Federal Reserve meeting had a lot of disagreements: the dove faction argued for a 50 basis point cut to help small and medium-sized enterprises, while the hawk faction opposed it based on the August inflation data. In the end, they compromised on a 25 basis point cut, and the post-meeting statement was ambiguous, clearly wanting to stabilize the market while preventing inflation from rebounding.

When discussing this with senior figures in the circle, opinions were polarized. Optimists believe that the easing signal can stop the decline of gold and BTC, and even save a little on mortgage and auto loans. Cautious individuals bluntly state that a 25 basis point cut is a drop in the bucket for cash-strapped small businesses; if CPI rebounds, it could instead lead to a market crash. Having been in the crypto space for 7 years, I offer 3 practical tips for newbies:

First, don't focus on interest rates; focus on CPI. The data on the 24th is key. Stability in inflation is the real good news.

Second, only invest in resilient assets like BTC and ETH. Keep your position at most half; small coins can drop 80% in a week.

Third, take profits when you can. This wave can't be compared to 2020. Earning 10% to 20% is enough to cash out; greed will only lead to losses of principal.

The Federal Reserve's intentions are harder to guess than the sweetness of milk tea. A rate cut is never a guaranteed profit signal. Making money in the crypto world relies on risk management rather than betting on news. Most people are trapped in a vicious cycle; it's not about lack of effort, it's about lacking a guiding light @阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析

After failing in entrepreneurship in 2016, I held onto the remaining 50,000 yuan in savings and wandered around the trading platform for a week, ultimately purchasing 8 bitcoins for around 6,000 yuan.

The ups and downs of those two years are unforgettable. In 2017, during the bull market, my account peaked at 800,000. I was so excited that I couldn't sleep all night. But after the crash in 2018, I was left with only 180,000. It was then that I understood the weight of paper wealth.

2020 was a key turning point. I shifted my funds towards mining and DeFi, patiently operating like tilling the land. Over three years, my account steadily grew to 3 million. Nine years of ups and downs taught me that the core of surviving in the crypto space is risk control. These three iron rules saved me.

Firstly, preservation of capital is paramount. I once held onto altcoins out of greed, making 10 times profit but ultimately losing everything. Now I have set strict rules: if profits reach 50%, I must withdraw my principal. I use profits for speculation, without any worries.

Secondly, only earn money within my understanding. I observed the IEO boom in 2019 without participating because I couldn't understand the logic. In 2021, I heavily invested in Layer 2 only because I comprehended the technical documents, white papers, teams, and economic models six months in advance. If there’s any ambiguity, I won’t touch it.

Thirdly, position size beats timing. Over ten years, my position has never been chaotic: 60% in Bitcoin and Ethereum as a ballast, 20% in mainstream public chains, 10% in trial and error of new tracks, and 10% in cash on standby. I never exceed 15% in a single asset.

In a bull market, everyone is praised, but the true character shows in a bear market. I've seen too many contract players double their investment in the short term only to face liquidation and exit. If you really want to take profits, you need to restrain yourself in a bull market and stock up in a bear market. I recommend newcomers to first play with a three-month simulated account before using spare cash for real trading.

If you want the content to be more memorable, you could add "the specific lessons from altcoins that didn't take profits in 2017" and "the three key judgment points in the Layer 2 technical documents".

Or add a touching insight (for example, "In the crypto space for nine years, what I earned wasn't the market's money, but the money to resist temptation"), and I can help you optimize it to be more impactful – @阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察

Alpha Retail Investor New Rule Survival Guide Practical Skills Collection

The Alpha platform has recently completed rule iteration, significantly increasing the airdrop score threshold and introducing a dynamic score decay mechanism that deducts 5 points every 5 minutes.

Actual test data shows that scores typically decay and get fully claimed after 10 points; for example, an airdrop marked at 240 points is actually claimed around 230 points.

This change has created a two-stage airdrop claiming model. At the initial 240-point threshold, there is basically no need to compete; everyone can claim. After 10 minutes, when the score drops to 230 points, it enters a fast-paced exchange phase. Core techniques are worth noting. Currently, most users adopt a daily method of adding 16 + 2 points, accumulating 18 points in a single day, and can save up to 270 points in one cycle.

After receiving two airdrops, the score just falls back to 240 points. Most current airdrops have this initial threshold, so there is no need to rush to exchange at this point. It is recommended to wait for multiple opportunities, at least one fish two eats. After all, the 240-point stage is a guaranteed period at 100% payout, allowing you to receive full rewards while avoiding competition for exchanges.

After the platform adjusted to a 4x trading rule, the risk of trading has sharply increased. Before operating, it is essential to use a stable leaderboard to filter for tokens with stable prices. If there are no suitable targets, be patient and wait. Do not enter blindly; once the market fluctuates and gets stuck, it could very well waste a month's effort.

Additionally, make sure to subscribe to the airdrop's WeChat or Telegram notification channels to get the launch information as soon as possible and be aware of pre-market prices.

Recently, some airdrops have opened at just 20U. Unless your score is maxed out and has no use, definitely do not rush; it is purely a loss. The platform is continuously optimizing rules and experiences. Retail investors just need to remain patient and skillfully adapt to stand firm under the new regulations.

If you want the techniques to be more practical, you can add "3 key indicators for filtering tokens on the stable leaderboard" and "specific operational paths for daily 16+2 point scoring."

Or add a reminder for retail investors to avoid pitfalls (such as "Randomly scoring under new rules = wasted effort, find the right rhythm to profit"), I can help you optimize it to be more practical～@阿二说币
#加密市场反弹
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察

Don't keep bottom-fishing 8000U lost down to 1600U the deadly trap of a bear market is more ruthless than being stuck

Last week at the café, I met Old Zhou. He looked pale and said 8000U was almost gone. I was surprised, he wasn't heavily stuck nor had he been liquidated. How could he lose so much? It turned out he was fixated on a certain altcoin that dropped from 2U to 1U. The more he looked, the more tempted he became. It had already been halved, surely it wouldn't drop further. Without consulting anyone, he went all in to bottom-fish.

But after buying, the coin price free-fell directly from 1U to 0.2U, and 8000U instantly shrank to 1600U. All his bottom-fishing confidence completely collapsed. Only then did Old Zhou realize that the scariest thing in a bear market is not the crash, but the illusion that you’ve hit the bottom. Newbies always make these mistakes, mistaking a halving for a bottom and a rebound for a reversal, thinking that after a drop it should rise. But the truth is, there is no real bottom in a bear market, only a continuously deepening pit.

Having been in the crypto space for these years, I've seen too many people shouting to bottom-fish and ending up in dire straits. Here are three survival rules for a bear market:

1. A halving is not a safe zone. Cases of dropping 50% and then dropping another 80% are everywhere. Judging the bottom by the drop is simply falling into the traps set by the manipulators.

2. A rebound is not a reversal signal. Bear market rebounds are mostly sugar-coated bombs. Just one big bullish candle and people shout reversal, but in the end, they will all be stuck.

3. After liquidating, don’t reach out randomly. Risk aversion is not about being timid, but about having top-notch strategies. True experts observe calmly in a bear market and act precisely in a bull market.

Now Old Zhou finally understands. The smartest operation in a bear market is never bottom-fishing, but staying in cash. If you don’t act blindly, the manipulators won’t have the chance to cut you. Staying calm and waiting is the only way to seize real opportunities. There are many traps in a bear market, less impulsiveness and more patience. Waiting for signals before getting in is the way to win.

If you want the content to resonate more, you could add common characteristics of certain altcoins (for example, “altcoins with no real projects, relying on hype”) or a heartfelt insight (like “bottom-fishing in a bear market isn’t about opportunities, it’s about the manipulators' scythe”). I can help you optimize it further for better dissemination.~@阿二说币
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察
#美联储重启降息步伐

In the cryptocurrency world, don't let stubbornness drain your capital

Recently, I encountered a retail friend with the ALLO account who suffered five consecutive losses but stubbornly refused to stop the losses. I felt anxious for him; if this continues, he will exhaust his capital. After discussing in detail, I found that his situation is not unique. Most retail investors fall into the same trap. Initially, they lose a few points and think the market will rebound, holding on stubbornly without cutting losses. As a result, losses expand until the account is liquidated, leaving them regretting too late. By the time the capital is depleted, there is no chance to turn things around.

In fact, losing big money in the cryptocurrency world is never the fault of the market but rather that most people cannot escape the three disarrays: mindset chaos, position chaos, and rhythm chaos. To turn losses into profits, one must first correct these three points.

First, stabilize your mindset. A market crash is never the end of the world. Don't be led by panic; first, pause and review, understand the trend before taking action. Real veterans know to find opportunities when others are in a panic rather than blindly cutting losses.
Next, control your positions.

Never think about going all-in to recover losses. The more urgently you try to gamble back, the more likely you are to lose everything. Allocate funds in layers; use small positions to test and explore. Confirm the trend before increasing positions; this is the key to survival.

Finally, follow the rhythm. Many people don’t fail to understand the market; they just get the rhythm wrong. They hesitate to enter when the market rises and are reluctant to exit when it falls. They only regret it after the market moves on. Remember, when it's time to take profits, do so; when it's time to cut losses, be decisive.

The cryptocurrency world is never afraid of losses; what is feared is not summarizing after losing. To recover from losses relies not on luck but on systematic strategies combined with unwavering execution. Currently, the market is in a brewing period. Instead of continuing to stubbornly test and make mistakes, it is better to change your thinking to follow the right rhythm, turning volatility into profit opportunities.

If you want to strengthen practicality, you can also add specific stop-loss ratios (for example, single trade stop-loss 3%-5%), specific tiers for position splitting, or add a short phrase that hits retail investors' pain points (like "Stubbornness is a slow suicide for capital"). I can help you optimize it to be more eye-catching!~@阿二说币
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
#巨鲸动向

From 2300U to 57,000 U, I have never relied on so-called insider information; I have persisted solely on two words: do not gamble.

Three years ago, when I entered the cryptocurrency circle, I was holding the remaining 2300U after clearing my credit card bill. In the first month, I often stared at the K-line until late at night, my palms sweaty. Around me were people shouting that with 30 times leverage, one could win easily. But I saw them blowing up their accounts every few days, with some losing their entire year-end bonuses.

I dared not follow the crowd, so I split the 2300U into five parts, each part being 460U, carefully selecting stable cryptocurrencies, buying low and selling high to take profits. In the first week, I earned 480U, and by the third week, my account had directly risen to 6700U. The speed surprised even me. It’s not that I had some secret; it was just that while others chased high, I withdrew, and when others cut losses, I bought.

From 6700U to 48,000 U, I still adhered to this clumsy method. When the market panicked and prices crashed, I replenished in batches. When the market surged and people shouted that a bull market had come, I quietly withdrew. I don’t listen to the group’s calls for trades and never chase new highs. Ultimately, it’s all about being steady and cautious.

After my account broke 50,000 U, I became even more cautious. I used scripts to place orders, only dealing with mainstream coins like BTC and ETH. Each time I opened a position, I set profit-taking and stop-loss limits, even if it meant earning just enough for a cup of milk tea. I would never hold onto a losing position. Some laugh at me for being timid, but they have never seen the tragedies of blown accounts. Not losing is always more important than making more.

After years of ups and downs, I have summarized three points: betting everything is a dead end; diversifying is the way to survive; do not gamble on one-sided market trends; calculate the winning rate; maintaining a stable mindset is essential for long-term profits. The cryptocurrency circle is never short of opportunities, but what’s lacking is the ability to control oneself.

Most people are trapped in a vicious cycle, not due to a lack of effort, but a lack of a guiding light. The market is often present, but opportunities do not wait for anyone—only by following the right people @阿二说币 can one walk out of the darkness.
#美联储重启降息步伐
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
$BTC

Last week, I reviewed with my apprentice Xiao Lin. She suddenly had tears in her eyes. "Second Brother, I had leveraged my entire position before, with 400,000 in capital, but it was down to less than 40,000 in the end." I handed her a cup of warm water and joked, "Back then, I told you to use 80,000 to practice first, and you said the master was too cautious. When the wind comes, you have to dare to charge forward. Forget it.

Xiao Lin pounded the table in frustration. "At that time, I was so focused on missing out that it felt worse than being trapped. I couldn't listen to any advice." I sighed. "In the crypto world, one doesn't remember the pitfalls until they experience them personally. Even if I say it every day, you probably would have still wanted to go all in back then." She leaned in and asked, "Are there really big funds watching us retail investors? Every time I buy, it drops; the moment I cut losses, it rises. It's so strange."

I pointed to the K-line, the market that runs 24 hours non-stop. "Our little positions are like duckweed in a pond. We feel targeted, but in reality, beginners often take their own operations too seriously. So how do I turn things around?" She anxiously asked for ways to make money in the crypto world. "It's so simple that no one believes it," I said slowly. "The difficult part isn't finding methods; it's controlling your impulses."

I previously mentioned to you that a finance professor who engaged in quantitative trading lost money, while the aunt selling fruits in the community made gains through systematic investment. It's not a lack of knowledge, but rather the acceptance that lying down is better than blindly fidgeting. "What should I buy now?" she pressed. "Bitcoin has stabilized at a key position; buy in batches and set stop-losses to hold on." I said frankly. Xiao Lin was stunned. "It's that simple?"

"It's that simple," I retorted. "But can you manage not to watch the market? If you're down 30% on paper and still don't act?" She fell silent. In fact, beginners in the crypto world are all like this; they keep staring at hundred-fold altcoins, thinking that if they don't stay up late looking for information, they aren't working hard. It's like someone who has never touched a fishing rod thinking the skills are complicated. True experts understand that the hardest part is keeping a steady mindset in turbulent times.

After mentoring a few waves of apprentices, I finally understood that the true essence of the crypto world lies in basic discipline. Don't be greedy, don't be anxious, don't make random moves. Most people are trapped in a vicious cycle, not due to a lack of effort, but due to a lack of a guiding light. The market is always there, opportunities wait for no one; only by following the right people can you walk out of the darkness.@阿二说币
#加密市场观察
#美联储重启降息步伐
#ETH走势分析

The Core Logic of Turning 10,000 U into 150,000 U in the Crypto World

Last year, a crypto enthusiast faced a liquidation, and his account shrank from over 300,000 U to just 10,000 U. He was nearly on the brink of collapse. Who would have thought that five months later, he not only recovered his losses but also made a net profit of 50,000 U? The logic behind this is worth deep reflection for all crypto enthusiasts.

Reviewing his past trading records, the typical symptoms of a novice trader were fully exposed: chasing prices, emotional trading, and stubbornly holding onto losses. I advised him to stop trading for a week to review his strategies, and the results were astonishing. 90% of his losses stemmed from two main points: impulsive trading without restraint and treating stop-loss rules as mere decoration.

To address these issues, I helped him set two strict rules: never let a single trade lose more than 5%, and stop trading if daily losses reach 10%. He should focus only on the key support and resistance levels of BTC and ETH, setting stop-loss orders just outside these critical levels. If he achieves a profit of 5%, he should withdraw the principal and only use profits for further trading, which directly minimizes risk.

The final trick is even more crucial: allocate 2,000 U to invest in three small cryptocurrencies, but it must not be blind investment. It has to meet two conditions: on-chain data shows that major players have not exited, and the coin's supply on the exchange continues to decrease. This is a strong signal for potential upward movement.

In this way, 10,000 U can break even in five months and still gain 50,000 U. In fact, in the crypto world, 10,000 U is not a dire situation. Most people fall into the trap of desperately wanting to recover losses. Remember, living longer is always more important than earning quickly. Success in the crypto world is not about immediate aggression but about long-term stability. Understanding this point means you've already won half the battle.

Most people are trapped in a vicious cycle. It's not a lack of effort but a lack of guidance. Markets are always moving, and opportunities wait for no one. Only by following the right people can one escape the darkness@阿二说币
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析
#美联储重启降息步伐

In the cryptocurrency circle, I've seen too many people fall into the cycle of making and losing money over the years. In fact, most of it is not about poor skills, but rather not grasping the key of position control.

Not long ago, a fan who learned trading from me relied on the rolling position strategy I taught and turned 3000U into 9700U in three weeks, completely breaking free from the previous cycle of losses. This fan had been trading cryptocurrencies for two years, always thinking of making a fortune in one go, starting with heavy positions and never setting stop-loss orders. After several liquidations, he almost lost confidence.

When I broke down the rolling position strategy for him, I didn't mention complicated theories, just clarified the core logic: start with small positions to experiment, and when profits are made, roll them into the next order. Even if there’s a stop-loss, the loss is only from the previous profits, and the principal is never touched. For example, in the first order, he only invested 20% of his capital. Once the profit reached 2%, he locked in part of the profit and used the remaining profits to open a new order.

I also told him that before opening each order, he must go through three checks: assess market sentiment. If there are loud bullish voices everywhere, he should pause and observe the main capital's movements, waiting for clear signs of accumulation before entering the market. Check his own state; if he feels anxious or has a gambling mindset, he must not operate. He strictly followed these instructions, no longer over-leveraging and not blindly following signal groups, but steadily forging ahead.

Later, he told me that now, even if he makes 100U, he won’t rush to withdraw it. Instead, he uses this portion of profit to open new orders. Even if he incurs losses, it doesn’t affect the principal, and he feels particularly secure. This is what I often tell my students: ordinary people withdraw a little when they earn, thinking it’s safer to take money off the table, but those who can truly earn in the long term are the ones who roll their profits like bullets.

Rolling positions don’t have to be perfect every time. Winning six out of ten trades can steadily double the account. The cryptocurrency market never lacks luck; what it lacks is discipline. Watching him transform from the mindset of a retail investor eager to make quick money to a steady approach of protecting the principal before earning profits, I am even happier than he is. This is the way to survive longer in the market. I have organized the details of the rolling position strategy, specific methods of position control, and how to assess market sentiment into clear steps. The road is laid out; it just depends on whether you are willing to step in @阿二说币
#美联储重启降息步伐
#ETH走势分析
#加密市场观察

Trump hardens his stance against the Supreme Court! The controversy over tariff policies explodes, with tensions running high.

BlockBeats reports that on December 9, Trump "fired" on Truth Social, fiercely defending the tariff policy and directly stating: if the Supreme Court dares to issue an unfavorable ruling, it would be a "historic threat"!

What does Trump mean by this? In simple terms, he believes that the tariff policy has fully "buffed" national security, and the economic strength is directly raised to the "world's strongest" level; anyone who opposes it is an "evil force". Especially targeting the Supreme Court, he warned that if the ruling is unfavorable, the American economy could face catastrophic "defense breaches" at any moment, with tensions practically spilling off the screen.

This is not a joke. The tariff policy has been controversial for a long time, with supporters claiming it protects industries and preserves jobs, while opponents criticize it as a "trade war that collapses the economy".

Now Trump is directly putting the Supreme Court on the hot seat, while binding "national security" with rampant rhetoric, and labeling any unfavorable rulings as a "historic threat", ramping up the political game.

Netizens are also erupting: some shout, "Understanding King is at it again, just enjoy the show", while others are serious, asking, "Do tariffs actually help or harm America?", and there are concerns about whether the Supreme Court has the guts to stand firm.

Regardless of how things unfold, this "White House vs Supreme Court" drama is undoubtedly the hottest political issue recently, and we'll just have to wait and see how it develops!
#美联储重启降息步伐
#ETH走势分析
#巨鲸动向

The more gold rises crazily, the more I worry about this matter. Recently, while reviewing the gold market trends, I discovered an interesting pattern: in every round of gold bull markets, there is always a world financial crisis that hits in the middle. This is something everyone really needs to be alert about.

Take the gold bull market from 1971 to 1980 for example; the 1974 world financial crisis directly interrupted it. The gold bull market that started in 2001 is even more obvious, as the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis coincided perfectly. This solidifies the pattern of bull markets being accompanied by crises.

What I currently find most puzzling is the direction of the US dollar. I fear it will repeat the type of crash-style devaluation seen in 1971. This risk is not nonexistent, and if it really happens, I can’t even imagine how crazy gold could rise.

Even if it doesn't reach the point of collapse, if Trump is re-elected, the dollar will likely continue to weaken in the long term. The current rise in gold is, in fact, partly due to the market digesting expectations of a devalued dollar in advance.

Once the dollar really starts to plummet, gold might actually follow a pattern of buying expectations and selling facts. After the expectations are played out, when the facts land, a correction may happen. However, I must clarify that gold may face short-term risks.

If a world financial crisis suddenly erupts, gold might first drop along with everything else. After all, in the early stages of a crisis, everyone needs to sell assets for cash. But looking at the previous two bull markets, it's clear that after the crisis, gold will still surge big time before reaching a true peak. So right now, I just want to remind everyone not to blindly chase high prices in gold; at the very least, one needs to understand the current gold price's position in the entire trend.

Moreover, if a financial crisis truly erupts, it’s not just gold that can be picked up cheaply; global assets will fall as well. There are plenty of cheap chips among stocks and commodities, so there’s no need to fixate solely on gold.

Ultimately, the word 'crisis' consists of two parts: danger and opportunity. What should be done now is actually to earn more money and save more in reality. Otherwise, when the opportunity comes, if you don't have capital, you can only watch others pick up bargains, which is really painful.

I can’t guarantee that this opportunity will definitely come, but if it does, I will certainly remind everyone. The only thing I can be sure of is that the crazier gold rises now, the closer the risk of a world financial crisis is. Based on the current trend, I feel that something big might happen within the next year: @阿二说币
#巨鲸动向
#加密市场观察
#ETH走势分析

Understanding Bitcoin is actually this simple

There is a remote island where 100 villagers live. Some grow corn, some fish, and some pick coconuts. They usually rely on barter for their daily needs. You trade 2 fish for 3 corns; I trade 1 coconut for a sickle. But carrying things around for barter is too cumbersome. Everyone thought of keeping accounts; we keep a small ledger privately. For example, I owe you 5 fish, and you owe me 2 coconuts. But when the two of us compare our records, they don't match, and that's where the trouble starts.

Later, someone discovered that there were unique patterned stones at the island's volcano that no one could replicate. It was agreed that 1 stone equals 1 fish. Using stones as currency made trading easier. But as transactions increased, it became hard to keep track. So everyone pooled money together to build a trading station, hiring two people to manage the accounts and ensure they couldn't be changed. This was the earliest form of a bank.

But the good times didn't last. One time, the person managing the accounts acted out of self-interest and secretly recorded 10 extra stones under their name, using fake numbers to trade for others' corn. This caused panic among everyone; if money could be altered at will, then everything in hand would have been in vain. This is what is commonly referred to as inflation.

The key turning point came when a clever person proposed that instead of letting a few individuals manage the accounts, we should give each of the 100 people a blank ledger. From then on, anyone trading would have to call out their transaction for everyone to hear, and then everyone would record clearly in their ledgers that Zhang San traded 2 stones for Li Si's 5 fish.

In this way, everyone’s ledger would be identical. Even if someone lost their ledger, they could reconcile with the majority. To change a ledger, you would need to convince 51 people to agree to the change; only then would the ledger be valid. This is the distributed ledger of Bitcoin. Attempting to cheat with a 51% attack is nearly impossible.

But a new problem arose; it was too tedious to call out every transaction. Why should anyone help others keep their accounts? Later, the internet came along, and calling out became unnecessary. Everyone installed the same accounting software, and whenever someone made a transaction, the software automatically sent the message to everyone.

Mobile ledgers sync updates. As for the incentive to keep accounts, every time a transaction occurs, the payer receives a little extra reward. Whoever records the transaction accurately first must also match everyone else's ledger for the reward to be theirs.

This reward is Bitcoin, and the process of assisting in ledger-keeping is mining @阿二说币 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析