2026.6.23
#brc After a big uptrend on Monday, momentum is lacking, leading to a pullback with a long upper wick on the daily chart. As mentioned in the night session analysis, we are currently in a 1-hour adjustment phase. The 1 and 2-hour adjustments are nearing their end; if we see a sharp drop and a retest, it could be a good entry for long positions. The 12-hour chart remains in a bullish cycle, so there's still an expectation for an upward breakout today. The 4-hour shows neutral oscillation, while the 6 and 8-hour charts indicate a bearish cycle. The lack of consensus suggests continued volatility. Overall, the market remains weak.
Bitcoin: Range-bound oscillation. There's a chance for another push against resistance today, but relying purely on market behavior (without news catalysts) makes a breakout less likely. BTC funding rates have jumped to 7% (a three-week high), boosting bullish confidence; however, the options market shows put/call premiums exceeding 2x, indicating traders are actively seeking downside protection. The coexistence of these factors highlights significant market divergence. In the last 24 hours, there have been liquidations totaling $326 million across the board, affecting both longs and shorts. In summary, focus on low longs as the 1-hour adjustment completes, then look to range trade before entering higher shorts at resistance.