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Ki Young Ju expects a Bitcoin cycle of 3x to 5x instead of another 10x

According to Ki Young Ju, founder of CryptoQuant, bitcoin’s bull cycle would multiply its price by three to five, compared with more than ten during some historical phases. This forecast is based on less extreme volatility and a significant institutional presence, but it does not represent a guaranteed price target.

Ki Young Ju anticipates a less explosive Bitcoin bull cycle, with a potential return of 3 to 5 times.

Starting from $58,000 would place bitcoin between $174,000 and $290,000, without constituting an official target.

An increase in market capitalization and the arrival of institutional investors could reduce volatility compared with previous cycles.

On-chain data supports the idea of a more mature market, with potentially less severe drawdowns.

These indicators do not guarantee any price path, and the scenario will depend especially on flows and long-term holders.

CryptoQuant expects a less explosive bull cycle

On September 22, Ki Young Ju delivered a presentation about a scenario in which bitcoin’s progression would remain below the explosions seen during its early cycles.

CryptoQuant’s leader believes that market expansion reduces the influence of speculative capital. When bitcoin’s valuation was lower, limited inflows were enough to trigger sharp rallies. Then, outflows would cause corrections that could reach 80%.

Price could multiply by three to five during the cycle ;

The next bear market could trigger a less severe correction ;

Institutional investors would curb some speculative moves ;

A higher market cap could reduce the impact of each new inflow.

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🟠 Bitcoin's Real Threat: Not a Crash, But Crushing Boredom, Says CryptoQuant CEO

Bitcoin's biggest danger isn't a sudden price collapse, but a slow, grinding sideways market that kills conviction. Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, argues that extended periods of boredom are far more destructive than sharp drawdowns, which often reignite optimism. This prolonged stagnation quietly erodes narratives, suppresses demand, and makes future upside feel like a distant dream. The institutional adoption narrative, built on sustained confidence and capital formation, faces a critical test. MicroStrategy's capital-raising model, for instance, becomes precarious if Bitcoin enters a low-excitement cycle, compressing premiums and weakening participation. The digital gold thesis is losing its luster, and the cypherpunk ideals are being overshadowed by new challenges like AI and quantum computing. Bitcoin needs a fresh narrative, a new 'center of gravity,' to unite believers and attract the next wave of liquidity, especially as retail enthusiasm wanes and institutional buying alone struggles to drive momentum. The market is showing signs of weakness, with a breakdown in its rising channel potentially pushing BTC towards support zones, but the long-term outlook remains constructive if a compelling new story emerges.

📊 A prolonged period of sideways price action for BTC and ETH will likely lead to increased volatility in altcoins as traders seek higher returns. Institutional flows may slow, and stablecoin demand could rise as risk appetite diminishes.

What new narrative will reignite Bitcoin's fire? Will it be digital credit, or something else entirely? 👇

#bitcoin #btc #cryptoquant #kiyoungju #narrative

🚨 BITCOIN NEEDS $1 TRILLION OF NEW MONEY

According to data from CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju, in 2011 it took only $5M of new money to double Bitcoin’s price. In this cycle, doing the same would require $101B. Now Bitcoin is so big that to kick off the next major parabolic bull run, the market needs a fresh $1 Trillion capital inflow!

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🟠 The Real Threat to Bitcoin: It's Not a Crash, But a Crushing Boredom, Says CEO of CryptoQuant

The biggest danger for Bitcoin isn't a sudden price drop, but a slow, exhausting sideways market that kills conviction. Ki Yong Joo, CEO of CryptoQuant, claims that prolonged periods of boredom are far more destructive than sharp declines that often rekindle optimism. This drawn-out stagnation quietly undermines narratives, dampens demand, and makes future growth feel like a distant dream. The institutional adoption narrative, built on sustained confidence and capital formation, faces a critical test. For example, MicroStrategy's capital attraction model becomes shaky if Bitcoin enters a low-hype cycle, tightening premiums and weakening participation. The digital gold thesis is losing its luster, while cyberpunk ideals are overshadowed by new challenges like AI and quantum computing. Bitcoin needs a fresh narrative, a new 'magnet' to unite supporters and attract the next wave of liquidity, especially as retail investor enthusiasm fades and institutional buys struggle to maintain momentum on their own. The market shows signs of weakness, with a breakout from the upward channel that could push BTC to support zones, but the long-term outlook remains constructive if a compelling new story emerges.

📊 Prolonged sideways price action for BTC and ETH is likely to lead to increased volatility in altcoins as traders seek higher returns. Institutional flows may slow down, and demand for stablecoins could rise as risk appetite decreases.

What new narrative will reignite Bitcoin's fire? Will it be digital credit or something entirely different? 👇

#bitcoin #btc #cryptoquant #kiyoungju #narrative