84

Contract Quantitative Brief #84 | The momentum continues, but the highs have already stretched out; I’ll wait for a pullback and won’t chase the hottest.

Market Status:
The market is on the stronger side, continuing the trend; however, Lobster USDT, VELVETUSDT, and SKYAIUSDT have all already stretched. Today is more suitable for watching for a pullback confirmation, not for chasing at these highs.

Top Candidates:
1) Lobster USDT
Watch Level: Around 0.0180, first see if it holds during the pullback.
Trigger Condition: After the pullback, if it re-establishes above 0.0180, then check if it continues to strengthen.
Invalidation Condition: If it drops back near 0.0174 and the rebound is weak, short-term scaling starts to loosen.

2) VELVETUSDT
Watch Level: Between 0.44 and 0.45, wait for it to return to this range to see if there’s support.
Trigger Condition: If the pullback doesn’t break 0.44, and it strengthens again, then follow.
Invalidation Condition: If it breaks below 0.435 and continues to show weak bounces, let it go.

Alternative Observations / Not Chasing:
SKYAIUSDT is still in a strong zone, but the 1h has turned weak. Today feels more like a watch level, not for chasing.

Risk Warning:
In this type of continuing trend, the biggest risk is chasing at the highs to catch the last segment. First confirm the pullback and support before considering following.

Summary in One Sentence:
I’ll focus on Lobster and VELVET, with SKYAI on watch; once the pullback is confirmed, it’s likely that only chasing prices will remain.