Swallow Academy
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Based on this $BTC chart, weโve been trading this since 2019โmaybe 2020 (canโt even remember exactly).
What we do know is this: this thing works. Itโs been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle weโre inโmainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.
Simple, but itโs done the job for years.
Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).
Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90โ150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.
But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
What we do know is this: this thing works. Itโs been one of our key indicators for understanding what kind of cycle weโre inโmainly focusing on bullish vs. bearish markets, rather than worrying about accumulation or expansion phases.
Simple, but itโs done the job for years.
Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from Trump, in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders).
Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the markets, we have successfully entered the bull market, where, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90โ150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well.
But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!
$XRP is not really a surprise here. We were never big believers in XRP, even though it had a strong push about a year ago. Since then, price has mostly been moving sideways, and now we are starting to see clearer signs of a sell-off building up
.
EMAs are shifting and slowly pointing the trend lower, which tells us buyers are losing control. In our personal opinion, XRP actually deserves a deeper correction compared to many other coins that already flushed harder.
What we are watching now is the local support zone. If sellers manage to take control below this area, we would expect XRP to transition into a proper downtrend from here. That move would open the door for continuation lower rather than another sideways phase. #XRPPriceAnalysis
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EMAs are shifting and slowly pointing the trend lower, which tells us buyers are losing control. In our personal opinion, XRP actually deserves a deeper correction compared to many other coins that already flushed harder.
What we are watching now is the local support zone. If sellers manage to take control below this area, we would expect XRP to transition into a proper downtrend from here. That move would open the door for continuation lower rather than another sideways phase. #XRPPriceAnalysis
$XLM recently had a weak break of the neckline, but the move itself does not look very convincing so far. Sellers did push below, but follow-through is lacking, which leaves room for a potential recovery attempt.
From here, we are watching two clear scenarios. If price manages to recover back above the neckline and hold, that would open a solid long opportunity as buyers regain control.
On the other hand, if price fails to recover and drops below the liquidity zone, then we likely slide straight into the freefall zone, where a short setup would make more sense. #XLMPriceAnalysis
From here, we are watching two clear scenarios. If price manages to recover back above the neckline and hold, that would open a solid long opportunity as buyers regain control.
On the other hand, if price fails to recover and drops below the liquidity zone, then we likely slide straight into the freefall zone, where a short setup would make more sense. #XLMPriceAnalysis
After a strong neckline breakdown on $ONDO , weโve been seeing clear downside pressure, which is a normal reaction after that kind of breakdown.
What we are looking for now is a proper reversal to form on the 4H timeframe. Once we get that confirmation in the form of an MSB + BOS, we would be targeting that neckline again, which will be acting as resistance in this case. #ONDOPriceAnalysis
What we are looking for now is a proper reversal to form on the 4H timeframe. Once we get that confirmation in the form of an MSB + BOS, we would be targeting that neckline again, which will be acting as resistance in this case. #ONDOPriceAnalysis
$HBAR has been under solid pressure from sellers recently, but weโre starting to see early signs that a reversal might be forming near this support area.
The game plan is clear here. We wait for a proper market structure break to form, which would push price back toward the local resistance zone (old support). Once buyers manage to reclaim that zone, it would line up with a break from the EMAs as well, giving us a clean confirmation.
If that setup plays out, it could lead to a similar explosive move like the last time we had a breakout from the EMAs. #HBARPriceAnalysis
The game plan is clear here. We wait for a proper market structure break to form, which would push price back toward the local resistance zone (old support). Once buyers manage to reclaim that zone, it would line up with a break from the EMAs as well, giving us a clean confirmation.
If that setup plays out, it could lead to a similar explosive move like the last time we had a breakout from the EMAs. #HBARPriceAnalysis
$UNI recently had a clean breakout above the EMAs, which marked a strong reversal and a clear shift in control to buyers. The move was impulsive and confirms that buyers managed to reclaim this area properly.
We do have a bearish CME gap below on the lower timeframe, which could get filled quickly, but the key point here is acceptance. As long as price holds above the CME zone and does not lose it, the bullish structure remains valid and further upside stays in play from here. #UNIPriceAnalysis
We do have a bearish CME gap below on the lower timeframe, which could get filled quickly, but the key point here is acceptance. As long as price holds above the CME zone and does not lose it, the bullish structure remains valid and further upside stays in play from here. #UNIPriceAnalysis
$ATOM is still following the same downside pattern weโve been seeing, which keeps the risk of another leg lower on the table. Structure remains weak and as long as price stays below the EMAs, sellers still have control.
That said, weโre entering a volatile period with the new year, so two scenarios matter here. If the local low fails, the move likely extends toward the doomsday low zone. On the flip side, a proper reversal would require price to reclaim both the 100 and 200 EMA, with the 200 EMA being the key level that needs to be secured for any meaningful upside continuation.
Until one of these scenarios plays out, we wait. #ATOMPriceAnalysis
That said, weโre entering a volatile period with the new year, so two scenarios matter here. If the local low fails, the move likely extends toward the doomsday low zone. On the flip side, a proper reversal would require price to reclaim both the 100 and 200 EMA, with the 200 EMA being the key level that needs to be secured for any meaningful upside continuation.
Until one of these scenarios plays out, we wait. #ATOMPriceAnalysis
$CAKE has been seeing a series of steep dips, and each time price managed to recover, buyers were stopped near the EMAs. That pattern has repeated multiple times and so far sellers have been keeping control at that level.
Right now price is sitting near local support again. If this structure repeats, the next valid long opportunity only comes after a proper market structure break. Once we see a BOS and buyers start to reclaim structure, that would be our confirmation to look for continuation toward the EMAs again.
Until that happens, this remains a waiting game for structure to shift. #CAKEPriceAnalysis
Right now price is sitting near local support again. If this structure repeats, the next valid long opportunity only comes after a proper market structure break. Once we see a BOS and buyers start to reclaim structure, that would be our confirmation to look for continuation toward the EMAs again.
Until that happens, this remains a waiting game for structure to shift. #CAKEPriceAnalysis
$APT is still trading at the local low after a series of clear breaks of structure to the downside. For now, price is stabilizing at this support zone, but buyers havenโt confirmed control yet.
The game plan is simple: we wait for a proper market structure break to form. Once that happens, we then look for a confirmational BOS, which would be our entry trigger. Until structure shifts, this remains a wait-for-confirmation setup rather than a full send. #APTPriceAnalysis
The game plan is simple: we wait for a proper market structure break to form. Once that happens, we then look for a confirmational BOS, which would be our entry trigger. Until structure shifts, this remains a wait-for-confirmation setup rather than a full send. #APTPriceAnalysis
$FIL has already seen two massive manipulation moves. First the dump of around -78%, followed by a +200% expansion into the upper zones. Since then, price has been moving sideways, respecting the local support zone while repeatedly reacting around the 200 EMA.
Right now itโs a clear decision area. A reclaim and hold above the 200 EMA would open the door for upside continuation. On the other hand, a clean breakdown below the local support would shift control back to sellers and open lower levels. We wait for either acceptance above the EMA or acceptance below support before acting. #FILPriceAnalysis
Right now itโs a clear decision area. A reclaim and hold above the 200 EMA would open the door for upside continuation. On the other hand, a clean breakdown below the local support would shift control back to sellers and open lower levels. We wait for either acceptance above the EMA or acceptance below support before acting. #FILPriceAnalysis
$ETH buyers need to secure the zone near the EMAs, which is a crucial area if we want to see any kind of bullish movement here at all.
Now as we are entering the NEW YEAR, we are expecting volatility before, during, and after that period, so most likely we will not see the proper breakout that we want before it.
So what we are expecting is a smaller decline towards the support zone, which then would drag the EMAs lower and form a zone of tensions, giving us a volatile movement from here! #ETHPriceAnalysis
Now as we are entering the NEW YEAR, we are expecting volatility before, during, and after that period, so most likely we will not see the proper breakout that we want before it.
So what we are expecting is a smaller decline towards the support zone, which then would drag the EMAs lower and form a zone of tensions, giving us a volatile movement from here! #ETHPriceAnalysis
The calm before the storm is what we are seeing currently.
While $BTC is doing some ups and downs, we are not seeing anything clearโnot a breakdown from local support, not a breakout from 200EMA. Most likely it is due to the new year approaching us.
What we are seeing, though, is a potential sideways movement (with slight downside pressure) before the new year. Whereafter that we will be looking for either a break of 200 EMA, which would be our long entry or a breakdown from local support (which would mean nothing good).
So we wait, and so should you...do not rush...sometimes it is better just to sit and watch, and that's exactly what we are doing right now! #BTCPriceAnalysis
While $BTC is doing some ups and downs, we are not seeing anything clearโnot a breakdown from local support, not a breakout from 200EMA. Most likely it is due to the new year approaching us.
What we are seeing, though, is a potential sideways movement (with slight downside pressure) before the new year. Whereafter that we will be looking for either a break of 200 EMA, which would be our long entry or a breakdown from local support (which would mean nothing good).
So we wait, and so should you...do not rush...sometimes it is better just to sit and watch, and that's exactly what we are doing right now! #BTCPriceAnalysis
$TAO is showing a very similar setup to what weโve seen before. After the EMA crossover, price had a strong dip and is now sitting back at the same local support zone where we previously saw a solid bounce.
This area is acting as a buy zone again. If buyers step in the same way they did last time, we could be looking at a similar upside move from here. As long as this support holds, the bias stays in favor of a bounce and continuation toward higher levels. #TAOPriceAnalysis
This area is acting as a buy zone again. If buyers step in the same way they did last time, we could be looking at a similar upside move from here. As long as this support holds, the bias stays in favor of a bounce and continuation toward higher levels. #TAOPriceAnalysis
$LTC has been moving in a clear upโdown sequence with strong impulsive moves on both sides. Right now weโre coming from a downtrend, and the focus is on seeing a proper MSB form, which would mark a local support zone.
Once that MSB appears and buyers step in with control, this would signal a potential trend shift. Thatโs where we start looking for continuation to the upside, following the same type of move weโve seen in previous cycles on this chart. #LTCPriceAnalysis
Once that MSB appears and buyers step in with control, this would signal a potential trend shift. Thatโs where we start looking for continuation to the upside, following the same type of move weโve seen in previous cycles on this chart. #LTCPriceAnalysis
$BNB is getting pressed between the support zone below and the EMAs above, which is creating a clear zone of pressure. Price has very little room left here, so a volatile move is likely.
Bias stays slightly in favor of buyers. Weโre looking for a clean break and acceptance above the 200 EMA. Once buyers manage to secure that level, that would open the door for a long continuation toward the upper zone. #BNBPriceAnalysis
Bias stays slightly in favor of buyers. Weโre looking for a clean break and acceptance above the 200 EMA. Once buyers manage to secure that level, that would open the door for a long continuation toward the upper zone. #BNBPriceAnalysis
$DOT is in a pretty deep place currently, with the price just dipping and dipping, with the closest support being 50% away from the current market price. Despite that, there are places where trades can be taken with certain confirmations, and that's what we are looking at as well! #DOTPriceAnalysis
More in-depth info is in the videoโenjoy!
More in-depth info is in the videoโenjoy!
$FET is coming back into the same support zone where we previously saw a very strong and volatile reaction from buyers. That area already gave us a sharp move up before, so this zone clearly matters.
If price reacts again from here and buyers start stepping in, we could be looking at a similar high-volatility bounce like the last one. For now, weโre simply watching how price behaves at this zone and whether buyers show control again. #FETPriceAnalysis
If price reacts again from here and buyers start stepping in, we could be looking at a similar high-volatility bounce like the last one. For now, weโre simply watching how price behaves at this zone and whether buyers show control again. #FETPriceAnalysis
$VET is forming a similar setup again where previous pushes above the EMAs failed to hold, and sellers kept control after those fake breakouts. Right now price has formed a small support and is compressing back into the EMA zone.
Game plan is clear: we want to see a clean breakout above the EMAs and a BOS after that. If buyers manage to reclaim the EMAs and break the local top, that would be our confirmation that control is shifting and we can look for upside continuation from there. #VETPriceAnalysis
Game plan is clear: we want to see a clean breakout above the EMAs and a BOS after that. If buyers manage to reclaim the EMAs and break the local top, that would be our confirmation that control is shifting and we can look for upside continuation from there. #VETPriceAnalysis
$ETH is cooking up something here, yet we are a little early to talk about that big breakout bounce we are looking for.
The game plan is simple here; EMAs are the keyโas soon as we see a proper breakout from here, we can talk about a reversal taking place, which then would possibly lead to another wave of upside movement. #ETHPriceAnalysis
The game plan is simple here; EMAs are the keyโas soon as we see a proper breakout from here, we can talk about a reversal taking place, which then would possibly lead to another wave of upside movement. #ETHPriceAnalysis
$BTC is going for the break of structure here, where after another wave of liquidity grabs, buyers took full control over this zone and are now pushing the price up, which can lead to a decent breakout here.
The game plan is simple and the R:R for this setup is good. We wait for proepr break and then we go in with a long here! #BTCPriceAnalysis
The game plan is simple and the R:R for this setup is good. We wait for proepr break and then we go in with a long here! #BTCPriceAnalysis
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USGDPUpdate
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๐จ BREAKING NEWS ๐จ
๐บ๐ธ TRUMP DECLARES ECONOMIC WIN โ MARKETS REACT, CONFIDENCE RISES ๐บ๐ธ
In a bold statement that immediately grabbed Wall Streetโs attention, President Donald Trump claimed the U.S. economy is entering a historic phase of strength โ and the figures he highlighted are turning heads. ๐
๐ฃ๏ธ โWe have a record stock market, no inflation, and 4.3% GDP growth,โ Trump said, projecting confidence at a moment when global markets are searching for clarity.
๐ Record-High Markets
U.S. equities continue to push into new territory, reflecting strong investor confidence, resilient earnings, and sustained risk appetite.
๐ง Inflation in Check
With inflation described as contained, pressure on purchasing power appears muted โ keeping hopes for easier financial conditions and potential rate cuts alive.
๐ 4.3% GDP Growth
A 4.3% GDP reading signals an economy running hot, driven by solid consumer demand, business expansion, and growth that outpaces many global peers.
๐ฎ What This Means for Markets
โข Risk assets remain supported ๐
โข Rate-cut expectations resurface ๐๏ธ
โข Global capital keeps its focus on the U.S. ๐
โข Volatility may rise as politics and markets intersect โ ๏ธ
Whether celebrated or questioned, one thing is clear: the narrative has shifted. Markets are paying attention, traders are adjusting positions, and the world is watching what comes next.
#USGDPUpdate #USCryptoStakingTaxReview #Write2Earn #TrumpNFT
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