The current drop of $BTC and cryptocurrencies in general is part of a market phase known as a bear market, this is not new, it is well known. From:
> Dec 2013 - Feb 2015: bitcoin went from $1,156.15 to $171.50
> Feb 2015 - Dec 2017: $171.50 to $20,089
> Dec 2017 - Dec 2018: $20,089 to $3,191.30
> Dec 2018 - Nov 2021: $3,191.30 to $68,789.63
> Nov 2021 - Nov 2022: $68,789.63 to $15,599.04
> Nov 2022 - Oct 2025: $15,599.04 - $126,198.07
Notice that each phase of decline lasts on average about 1 year and that the trough (or lowest price) of each of them is higher than its predecessor. In this logic, we can assert that the trough of this ongoing decline will be above $15,599.04 and will be reached around October 2026.
Buy the dips
The fact that the trough (or lowest price) of each bear market is higher than that of the previous bear market proves that despite the phases of declines, the long-term trend of bitcoin is undoubtedly bullish. With this trend, buying bitcoin is synonymous with profit if you are willing to hold long enough to realize it, hence HODL (hold without selling in panic).
The trough of a bear market is the buying point with the highest return on investment. But given that market analyses cannot predict with certainty the trough (or low price) that the market will reach during the bear market, it is recommended during a bear market to buy using the DCA method to capture an optimal average price.
Honestly, what were you doing before reading this article and what will you do now? Sell? HOLD? or Buy the dip?
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When you take a position or make an analysis, don’t panic too much because of sudden dips.
Sometimes the market starts following your setup perfectly… then suddenly dumps very hard in the opposite direction.
Don’t be too quick to conclude. First, wait for the candle close.
For example, if you’re trading on H4 or Daily and you’re bullish, a brutal drop during the candle does not automatically mean your setup is invalidated.
In my opinion, there are mainly a few reasons why these moves happen:
> whale manipulation to hunt stop losses > leverage liquidations on futures markets or sudden sentiment reactions/news
But when there’s no major announcement, it’s often one of the first two.
That’s why patience matters a lot in trading.
A brutal dip does NOT automatically mean price is going back to the starting point. Very often, these moves retrace quickly after liquidity gets extracted.
So always pay attention to the candle close first, especially on higher timeframes like H4 or +. 👀
When you take a position or make an analysis, don’t panic too much because of sudden dips.
Sometimes the market starts following your setup perfectly… then suddenly dumps very hard in the opposite direction.
Don’t be too quick to conclude. First, wait for the candle close.
For example, if you’re trading on H4 or Daily and you’re bullish, a brutal drop during the candle does not automatically mean your setup is invalidated.
In my opinion, there are mainly a few reasons why these moves happen:
> whale manipulation to hunt stop losses > leverage liquidations on futures markets or sudden sentiment reactions/news
But when there’s no major announcement, it’s often one of the first two.
That’s why patience matters a lot in trading.
A brutal dip does NOT automatically mean price is going back to the starting point. Very often, these moves retrace quickly after liquidity gets extracted.
So always pay attention to the candle close first, especially on higher timeframes like H4 or +. 👀
$BTC It still looks bullish for the upcoming week in my opinion.
I expected a pump move to happen this weekend… but liquidity seemed weaker than expected.
I don’t know if it’s because institutions are on weekend mode or because U.S. markets were less active, but I clearly feel there is less strength behind the current moves.
Crypto never closes, yes… but liquidity definitely doesn’t feel the same right now.
Still, I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Bitcoin break above $90K during the week we’re starting tomorrow. I really hope so. At least $85k.
The structure still looks very bullish to me.
And if momentum comes back with stronger liquidity… things could accelerate very quickly.
$SAHARA and $BILL , two tokens linked to the artificial intelligence sector, have skyrocketed in the last few days and were among the top performers in the market.
Interestingly, there hasn't really been any major fundamental announcement directly related to this surge.
The move seems to be fueled more by strong speculative hype and an influx of capital into the top-performing AI tokens, primarily from investors chasing high returns in the sector.
And the leveraged trading activities in the futures markets have likely amplified the movement even further.
So it might become very interesting to keep an eye on other tokens related to the AI sector in the coming days.
Because if this trend confirms, it could be that other AI tokens explode quite unexpectedly too.
That's often how narrative rotations start in crypto: some tokens explode first… then the attention gradually spreads to the rest of the sector.
Whether you believe it's already the start of the bull run or not… you don't have to take my word for it.
In the end, the ultimate confirmation will be the next ATH $BTC . That's what will really settle the debates. 👀
But either way, I’d be happy to chat about it with you later during my livestream.
Feel free to hit the notification bell and join me.
👉🏽 If you think Bitcoin is going to hit $35,000, come explain why. 👉🏽 And I’ll also be glad to explain why, in my opinion, it probably won't hit $35,000.
Treat yourself and join me on the live stream!
And by the way, don’t hesitate to join my two chat groups so we can debate even more in detail:
$BTC is it forming a bull trap… or a real trend reversal move?
Saying that the current movement is just a bull trap is to compare it to what happened between the end of October 2025 and mid-January 2026 (A): a classic correction in a bear market trend.
But there are some very important differences.
The correction from October to January was a classic consolidation. Just a simple price relaxation move.
It didn’t form a real strong reversal chart pattern. And above all… it didn’t really hold.
A few weeks of consolidation… about eight weeks… then the market dropped violently again.
Now let’s look at the current structure.
> First, it’s forming a very well-known chart pattern, typical of trend reversals in charting theories.
> Second, the structure continues to confirm itself. The classic movements of the pattern are continuing cleanly.
> And most importantly: the market has already spent more than 12 weeks without reversing despite:
* the various trendlines, * geopolitical events, * macro announcements, * market tensions.
The price has held. The price continues to consolidate.
And that… wasn’t the case during the late 2025 correction.
So it’s important to recognize this break in market behavior.
If you’re used to simple bear market corrections, you’ll naturally tend to see the current move as another bull trap.
But sometimes, the market changes structure before the majority realizes it.
And generally… when everyone finally understands that it wasn’t a bull trap, the price is already much higher. 🧏🏽
$BTC The trend shaped by Bitcoin's bear market since October 2025 is starting to form a trend reversal.
The price is moving from the bear market into a bull run.
The reversal pattern detected (the double top) on the prices is very interesting and suggests a strong probability of Bitcoin hitting new highs very soon.
The chart setup of the double top continues. The neckline has been broken, the pullback has occurred, and the bullish acceleration is ongoing, confirming... and for now, I hope until the end of the week: > nothing but pumps > nothing but pumps > nothing but new highs
Don't forget: the price doesn't have to hit 35,000.
As a trader, your role isn't to predict... 👉 it's to analyze and identify the most probable scenarios.
And right now, the market is showing you something. It's up to you to decide whether to listen... or to miss out.