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Dongda has struck against cryptocurrency 4 times so far The most serious one was on the 519, which directly caused countless people to go bankrupt Recently, there has been another crackdown, and this round is even broader
The first to be affected is the u merchant, the u price has already said it all, once caught it is illegal operation, enough to drink a pot of it
Next, there may be agents, channels, and other promotional services of exchanges, but nothing has been seen yet. Previously, some small exchanges were identified as scams
There are also some KOLs who are cutting leeks, if their physical body is in Dongda, one day during the winter window it will be revealed
In short, the u merchants are now silent, and agents should take care of themselves Ps: Personal investment in Bitcoin will not have problems, provided it does not involve other illegal activities #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
Why are most retail investors in the square talking about liquidation and losing money?
The fees clearly indicated that everyone should not short $PIPPIN , yet a bunch of retail investors rushed in to short,
Even if they shorted, they still leveraged to the max. The world doesn't just have one smart person; do you think you're very smart, while the operator is dumber than you? #美联储重启降息步伐 #美联储降息预期升温 #加密市场观察
狻猊公子
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Do not short $PIPPIN Do not short Do not short
The Pippin fee is -0.4%. Assuming a ten times leverage short, it is now settled once an hour, which means a short position has to pay 4% of the margin every hour, 40% after 10 hours.
Even if Pippin does not rise, a sideways market for half a day means half of the margin, and a day means the entire margin.
Going short now is like a big leek; I would rather go long and pay the fee than short. {future}(PIPPINUSDT)
Last night, Black Friday successfully predicted In fact, there were signs as soon as the U.S. stock market opened yesterday, with Bitcoin typically following the downturn instead of the upturn. Therefore, as the U.S. stock market dropped, Bitcoin directly flooded downwards.
Bitcoin fell from 915 to 880, and the larger cycle remains volatile. Next Wednesday is the interest rate meeting, and a significant drop is certain on that day. There will be no liquidity over the weekend, so there will basically be no fluctuations. Time is running out for Bitcoin; if it doesn't rise to a high position on Monday and Tuesday, the opening drop on Wednesday will only be lower.
Looking at the smaller cycle, it appears to be a converging triangle, a breakout pattern, with clear small fluctuations between 880-900 over the weekend. Some mainstream altcoins may experience slightly larger fluctuations. #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
Tonight at 11 PM, pec data will be released This is the first CPI data since the U.S. government shutdown
CPI-related data is not as clear-cut as employment data, with mixed implications As long as CPI is above expectations, it is generally considered negative, while below expectations is seen as positive
Yesterday, cz's debate on Bitcoin and gold was very exciting.
cz pointed out that verifying gold is very difficult and requires damaging the gold itself. But does this mean that the scarcity of gold does not constitute value? Archimedes invented the method of displacement 2000 years ago, calculating density by measuring mass and volume.
Even if it is true, as cz says, that the difficulty of verifying gold means it has no value? Or does the difficulty of verifying gold mean that Bitcoin is definitely superior to gold? The two do not seem to be a mutually exclusive relationship.
Is there no fake Bitcoin? If someone is a novice, they might really be unable to distinguish between a real and fake Bitcoin. Stablecoins can be faked and packaged into scams, not to mention Bitcoin; the complexity of blockchain is such that there must be a certain threshold. Who comes in and immediately knows what a public chain is, or what this coin or that coin is? #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
Morning Analysis Yesterday's morning analysis basically executed the strategy and profited. After various signals indicating a peak appeared, entering on the right side feels more comfortable. Many friends chose to enter in the middle, which makes it easy to exit (there were no signals, and it's not a high point).
Yesterday, after the US stock market opened, the trend was almost the same as the day before, with a large bearish candlestick crashing down, followed by a large bullish candlestick recovering, resembling a roller coaster going up and down. Aside from the increased trading volume, there were no directional signals. Additionally, it's worth mentioning that the short position taken yesterday was not solely due to the large bearish candlestick from the US stock market opening; it was more because the morning analysis indicated a top divergence in Bitcoin on the 1-hour chart and a bearish candlestick pattern, with the signal appearing only after the US market opened.
We can see that Bitcoin dipped down to 910, indicating that the support level is particularly strong, and the candlestick signals are also strong. It seems relatively difficult to break through 910 at the moment, and this pullback might be caused by the 1-hour top divergence.
We are still in a wide-range fluctuation; if BTC does not rise above 940, a short position will still be considered, or placing a short order at 940 with a $500 stop loss, which would result in a very high risk-reward ratio. Bitcoin is currently showing weak upward momentum, and there is a significant chance it will retrace to the 917 or even 910 level, so everyone can consider entering long positions in batches at 917 and 910. PS: Today is Friday; I wonder if there will be a Black Friday. #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC
狻猊公子
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Morning Sharing After the ADP data came out, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut has not only not decreased but has risen to 89%. However, yesterday's market did not soar; even if Buffett came, he would still have to drop it for two days, with alternating large bullish and bearish candles.
This morning, BTC continued to test 940 upwards, evolving into a false breakout. As of the time of writing, this is already the third upward attempt, and each upward test shows a gradual weakening of strength, which can easily lead to a major reversal.
The BTC 1-hour cycle has already shown a top divergence, and there is a high probability of a small adjustment today. At this stage, still testing at a high level, it is primarily shorting with a target of 920, as there is relatively little room for movement. From the candlestick pattern, BTC has formed a wedge, which is also a reversal pattern. Now with a top divergence + wedge reversal + multiple false breakouts upwards, the probability of shorting is increasing, but it does not necessarily mean a reversal. It is recommended to look for patterns in the hour and find entry points in the 15-minute timeframe, then enter on the right side.
The 15-minute cycle is a 925-940 irregular box fluctuation. Those with rich trading experience can short high and long low within the box, but there will be many false breakouts.
ETH Analysis ETH, BNB, and SOL are much stronger than BTC. After ETH retraced to 3100, it formed a gap and moved north, but it also formed a top divergence. The trend in the 15-minute timeframe is extremely clear and strong. If you want to short, it is recommended to place a limit order at 3240 on the left side, with a stop loss of 10 US dollars and a small position for entry. On the right side, it is recommended to enter after breaking the trend line, which has a higher win rate. #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美国ADP数据超预期 #美联储重启降息步伐 $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT) $BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
21Shares launches the first leveraged SUI ETF Then SUI directly rises by 2 points Off-exchange ETFs can also be leveraged #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 $SUI
The number of initial unemployment claims in the United States is lower than expected, and the number of unemployed people has decreased, weakening the Fed's motivation to cut interest rates. The Chicago Fed expects the unemployment rate to be 4.4%, which is still relatively high.
Currently, the impact of macro data is too significant; any data at 4🌟 level can cause fluctuations. #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场观察
Although the Federal Reserve currently has a high probability of lowering interest rates, it is significantly affected by macro data, and the monetary policy meeting may even be postponed for non-farm payroll data.
Currently, BTC is at a high level, and whether interest rates are lowered or not on the day of the meeting will be negative.
If a rate cut is confirmed, the positive effects will turn negative, leading to a high probability of a short-term drop. Looking long-term, combined with the cessation of balance sheet reduction, there is a high possibility of future increases. If no rate cut occurs, it will go bearish directly, heading to 70,000 to find Bitcoin, possibly even lower.
Recently favorable cryptocurrencies ETH upgrade, ETH was upgraded on December 3rd, and only increased on December 4th AAVE deposits have been consistently rising, and many whales are also hoarding spot BNB, is Binance holding a community conference to discuss benefits? The Franklin ETF for SOL has been listed, which can only be considered a small positive
Favorable information shared, not as investment advice, everyone should choose to invest selectively based on their research $ETH $SOL $BNB #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐