甜梦讲币

Private messaging method, scan the Binance QR code to proceed

$FIS $REI $VOXEL announced today the delisting of three spot assets, all with a market value below ten million! Binance has accelerated the process of cleaning up these abandoned coins! But it's still not fast enough! Coins with a market value of less than twenty million should be cleaned up as well! Contracts should be treated this way too!

The large-scale trend of BTC is merely a corrective rebound after an earlier excessive decline, and no structurally significant recovery has yet occurred. The bearish arrangement of the moving average system continues in the medium and short-term trends, and the status of wide fluctuations has not changed. The primary focus is on reducing the frequency of operations.

The short-term resistance is in the current area, with the second resistance at 98340~101140,
Monitor the support at 90580~90042 (not much space, quick in and out), short-term support at 88018~87314 (not much space, quick in and out), previous large-scale orders remain effective, and other points will not be updated for now.

Due to space constraints, I won't write much more; we can look at specifics after fluctuations occur!

FIR 重磅动态：AI音乐生态开启价值共享新纪元，3000万美金版权收益全民共享！
市场热度持续攀升——
谢安琪AI金曲《城光逐梦》强势登陆腾讯音乐榜第2位，播放量破亿，版权收益持续飙升
周星驰IP联名+黄贯中+温碧霞…全明星AI音乐矩阵形成爆款内容库
核心利好正式落地：
2026年生态版权收入预估突破3000万美金，12月底正式开放「版权收益质押池」，其中50%收益将以USDT形式实时分配至FIR-LP持有者
——真金白银，收益可视，打造可持续分红模型
价值窗口已然打开：
当前流通市值仅600万美金，价值严重低估
技术面放量突破关键阻力，上涨动能持续增强
生态收入可验证、分红机制透明、明星IP加持
FIR —— 不止是代币，更是融合明星IP+AI创作+链上分红的创新金融资产
布局正当时，抢占AI音乐金融化赛道龙头位置！

Is the BTC price going to surge to 100,000?
The target position is definitely around the 100,000 line, but will it reach 100,000 that quickly? Before hitting 100,000, there is a very important and relatively wide pressure zone, [94600-96000]. Although this range will eventually be overcome by the main force, it is a resistance area that can cause price stagnation in the short term. So it deserves some respect. When the 96000 line is effectively broken through and stabilized, then we can talk about 100,000.
Currently, the price is moving in a relatively smooth pattern, mainly because the selling pressure above is not significant, with one wave of continuous declines followed by a wave of violent washout, leaving the bears in a tough spot. It will take some time for the bears to regroup. So in the short term, look for low buy positions, small dips for buying, and big dips for substantial purchases. A more reliable effective support range below is [90800-91200], but it may not necessarily retrace to this level today. I think if the price can retrace to this level in the next couple of days, those who are out of the market might as well enter a position, and if it breaks below, they can add to their positions. Unless there is an extremely strong bearish signal, we can still hold off on the small essay for tomorrow.
Additionally, pay attention to a closer support level, which is around the 91900 line. If this holds, then the [90800-91200] range will naturally not be an issue.
To summarize, if you really want to short, wait for the price to reach the large resistance zone [94600-96000] before proceeding. Otherwise, just focus on the support levels below, one at the 91900 line and the other at the [90800-91200] range.

以太坊Fusaka升级，是今年继 Pectra 之后的第二次硬分叉。

先说一下有什么用：

1.Layer 2 网络交易成本显著降低，降幅预计在 40% 至 60% 左右，

网络活跃度较高时手续费的峰值也会有效控制。

2.提升以太坊网络的区块容量上限，一定程度缓解热点事件（如空投申领、Memecoin 爆发、链上交易激增）出现网络拥堵的状况。

3.账户抽象，减少对复杂助记词的依赖，说白了就是用Web2的面容等登录方式操作钱包。

对以太坊本身也是一种利好，降本增效就不提了。

升级后Layer 2 网络产生的费用和主网绑定促进通缩，

另一方面升级后的费用机制和销毁机制能让 $ETH 的现金流和手续费收入报表比较清晰，可能是为了向机构投资者阐述 $ETH 的正向现金流逻辑，支撑ETF和估值体系，

因为传统机构投资者更关注ETH类似传统商业的财务指标而不是币圈的网络效应和共识价值。

具体带来的盈利机会放到现在这个市场阶段并不会太多，除了专门绑定Fusaka概念的新项目或代币，一些积分任务、交互奖励或新空投快照可以在升级以后重点刷一刷，成本应该是历史最低，包括不限于L2、跨链桥和支付应用。

纯短线玩家可以在升级后开个多，一部分空投用户会增持ETH进行交互和交易可能会拉高一部分价格，但要及时止盈。

The current funding structure of the cryptocurrency market is actually very simple. The foundation is Bitcoin, which is the market's barometer. The middle layer is Ethereum, a high-risk version of Bitcoin, and the top layer consists of altcoins, which carry the highest risk and are most easily abandoned.

When Bitcoin declines, institutions will definitely first cut altcoins, then Ethereum, and only then will they touch Bitcoin itself. So the overall market dynamics become that as long as Bitcoin drops a little, Ethereum drops more, and ecosystem coins split directly.

This is not a coincidence; it is determined by the ecological niche of the entire market at present.

日本加息市场为什么那么敏感？
主要原因担心24年8.5冲击会不会重现？

都在担心日本加息导致套息交易大退潮的冲击。其实这种讨论在去年8月5号之后也很多，也有各种宏大叙事也开始流行了。其实我记得之前也聊过几次日本加息的问题，但是到现在再去看我的观点和那时候又有些变化，其实市场的信息都是碎片组成，每多一张碎片所得到的图案都是不同的！

当时的感觉日本加息就是一个大雷，现在的话稍微觉得和那时候又不是一样性质的，首先现在的仓位体系没有那么夸张，这次更像延续，不是新周期开头。

再就是仓位结构：去年大家一致看空日元，150 往上空头堆得离谱。日元一反拉，大量空头被迫平仓，踩踏就是那样来的。今年完全反过来，市场主要是看空美元。做空日元的仓位直接砍到去年的一半，CME 数据摆着。现在日元这边没有去年那种“炸雷阵”。

包括去年的突然袭击和衰退buff是没有的，去年那次的杀伤力主要在“意外”。
今年则是财政刺激太猛、长债被打懵，市场担心债务，日本央行不得不出手稳汇率。
关键是：田村直树去年就说过“利率最多看到 1%”。这就等于告诉市场：日本不玩高利率那套。自然没有去年那么吓人。日本要的是把利率从极低拉回“稍微正常一点”的水平，长期还是低利率国家，不会突然变成美国那种风格。

这次确实有冲击，但跟去年那种“半条命都吓掉”的级别完全不是一回事。
更多是例行修正，没那么多宏大剧情。

Fireverse

1. Popularization of AI Music Creation
Fireverse has built a complete closed loop of “AI creation + instant on-chain”, allowing users without a professional background to complete the entire process from lyric writing and arrangement to NFT minting, truly realizing a convenient experience of “creation equals rights confirmation, issuance equals monetization”.
2. Deep Empowerment of Star Resources
The platform has established strategic partnerships with several iconic artists in the Chinese music scene (Kay Tse / Veronica Yip / Beyond's Wong Guan Chung) and is building a content ecosystem that integrates star influence and community creativity through regular star creation camps and national music competitions.
3. Innovative Evolution of Economic Model
The incentive system based on user interaction points has successfully cultivated the first batch of highly engaging creator groups. The upcoming ecological co-construction plan and liquidity upgrade program are expected to open a new cycle of value growth.
4. Continuous Accumulation of Market Momentum
Technical forms indicate that the market has completed bottom building, and recent price and volume increases have effectively broken through key resistance zones, optimizing the market position structure and laying a solid foundation for future upward movements.
5. Value Discovery Window Opens
Current valuations are still at the early stage of ecological development. As the product matrix is perfected and market sentiment warms up, the project has the potential to break through to a higher market value range, and the growth space is worth attention.

The lower edge of the 4-hour level oscillation channel has gained support, followed by a rebound with volume that gradually decreases. It seems the judgment is correct, and the market has officially entered a range oscillation!

In the short term, it seems there is hope to first create an ascending wedge to test the midline of the 4-hour channel, followed by completing a structural pullback and then testing the high point of the range.

In short, I feel there is not much to do in this market. If I have to do something, I might consider making a contract to short the grid...

No desire to trade, all the groups have gone quiet.
There are no small coins in CEX, just some ETH spot lying around, preparing for a long battle.
In DEX, a few lotteries that couldn't come out due to liquidity issues have now been halved a lot, not looking anymore.
NFT is waiting for the Moonbird TGE.
The part for new investments is waiting for the Stable TGE and MegaETH refunds.

I heard that CEX has started laying off employees, and after some people exit the circle, tomorrow will be better.

2024 年 7 月，美联储降息，而日本央行加息，导致套利交易平仓。

比特币屈服于这种趋势，并在1周后触底反弹。

12月10日很有可能再次发生这种情况（美联储降息，日本央行加息）。

所以比特币或许会在12月中旬触底？

#BTC #ETH
Last night, when Ethereum dropped to around 2700, spot leverage players in the market began to concentrate on increasing their positions. Considering the previous buying situation, 2700-2600 can temporarily be viewed as the buying range for this round of Ethereum's fluctuations;

Last night, some spot leverage players bought Bitcoin around 86, but after it broke below 85, some players stopped out and left the market, while the remaining players gradually exited near their cost or with a small profit during the subsequent rebound;

Currently, it appears that in the spot market, the main force has started to favor Ethereum, and for a period of time, Ethereum may be more resilient than Bitcoin.

The short-term decline of BTC has temporarily ended, with minor signals indicating a stop in the downturn. The pattern shows signs of a head and shoulders formation, so if there is a right shoulder pullback in the short term, it will be the last opportunity to enter long positions, targeting around 85600, which is a chance to go long.

Additionally, from a 4-hour perspective, the recent accelerated decline is considered a second bottom test, with bearish volume continuously decreasing, indicating that bulls are starting to take control. Moreover, the current price aligns with the second bottom low point, so we should expect a wave of upward momentum in the short term.

$BTC daily line drops, don't rush to rebound, wait for 2-4 days of consolidation, and after the market digests the emotions, then draw lines. For rebounds, go long; if the rebound still can't break through the dense area, go short.

2. Don't enter the market when trading volume is high or when the market is in FOMO, as it's easy to get a spike. Pay attention to assets with public sentiment not high, but where the main force is still present; the main force will be in a bit of an awkward position, so just avoid participating, such as ALCH.

3. How to look at trial trading, you can look at $ALCH, with a very short body plus a long Pin bar, and then subsequent prices are all above the body, that's trial trading.

4. $Tradoor, the main force's holding cost is very low (around 1.4), basically, you have to wait for a month to distribute, don't short it now, it's easy to get spiked and then rebound explosively, stay away. Pay attention to the maximum capital accumulation, consider shorting only after it's out 30%.

5. After a K-line quickly rises, market makers need to maintain the price difference, market makers hold both long and short positions, how to maintain the price difference will first smash, and then establish longs at the bottom. In large cycles, the principle of symmetry is very accurate; market making has the principle of symmetry.

6. Why retail investors fear heights? Because they only look at K-lines, chasing high to enter the market, stop loss on pullbacks. Pay attention to the main force's cost, break through and chase one hand, stop loss once or twice can catch a big trend; it's hard to catch it all in one go, you can try a few more times, and set stop losses a bit closer.

7. Go short at the upper edge of the dense area, go long at the lower edge, and stop loss on breakouts. Pay attention to whether volume and price are synchronized.

8. Try to target assets with a market value of over 100 million USD, avoid assets with a daily trading volume of 10-20 million, as they are too easily manipulated with spikes.

9. Don't enter on the first wave of rapid rise, wait for a pullback and stabilization before looking for an opportunity to enter.

10. Don't look at time indicators below 1 hour, they have no reference significance.

TRADOOR 突破新高了

今天合约缩量上涨
主要原因应该是小幅拉盘导致市场空单爆仓
产生链锁效应，价格进一步上涨

按照以往合约市场暴涨币玩法
如果庄家不提前收手
资金费率到达-2.5%之后不久
将会出现顶部信号 ​​​

After the major level pullback of BTC ends, it returns to the original downward trend. The minor level has newly developed selling pressure after consecutive declines, which is not favorable for short-term increases. Prepare for operations with a mindset of making moves after pullbacks.
Aggressive support at 83910~82710 (can enter during a slow decline, do not enter during a sharp decline)
Short-term support at 81920~80330 (if reached within the day, quick in and out; if reached after 3~5 days, it can be held for the medium term), second support at 78760~76260~74110 (1:1:2 can be placed, seize rebounds during sharp declines)
Short-term resistance at 87640~88410 (for monitoring reference, a selling pressure area formed after declines in the early morning, expected to play a role in slowing the rise), structural resistance lower bound at 89510~90144.
Note: The validity period for aggressive strategies is usually 2~8 hours, and short-term points are valid within 24 hours, while the second points are valid for 48~72 hours. The major level support and resistance that have not been reached previously are generally effective.

The double top of ZEC has been confirmed
It’s tough for those who bought mining machines at high prices
They originally wanted to make a profit
But unexpectedly got trapped
The dog stock won't pump for no reason
In the future, you still need to think more in the coin circle
Otherwise, there are many pits waiting for you ahead

各位抄底早的 $zec 的又有福啦！

这个走势明显就是狗庄缓慢出货，再一边去发利好吸引韭菜进场再直接崩盘去吸走流动性！

抄底至少也要等到一百多再去抄底，现在静等狗庄去表演吧！

上周btc从80600触底后反弹上来，我跟很多人讲过，狗庄不会轻易再让套在97200以上的btc多单，3800以上的eth多单，177以上的sol多单解套。如果上方有多单被套，该减仓就减点仓，起码要T一下，如果反弹上来不减仓，等又下去了再减仓就是被动割更多肉。这么扛下去，后面再扎个大针直接会被送走。因为你合约都是加的杠杆，死扛没用，即使短期内不爆，也很影响你的心态。

永远不能跟大趋势对抗。短线上心态乱了容易丢盔弃甲。

前天后半夜我讲btc 90000守不住，昨天白天还拉到了91900。今早就一泻千里。狗庄现在就是这么狡猾，让你不断的期待，不断的掐断你的期望。