陈方华论势

#ETH走势分析 $ETH Reviewing Thursday's midday market trends, the overall running trend after a strong surge in the morning also aligns with what we discussed in our live broadcast, expecting the midday to continue focusing on a fluctuating operation for recovery. The overall market trend is currently showing a slight pullback, with Bitcoin operating around 93000 and Ethereum around 3200. We are still firmly holding our long positions at midday!

The four-hour level shows strong rebound potential breaking new highs, after a series of convoluted consolidations, a double bottom support has formed below in the short term, with the lows gradually rising, multiple bottoms being built to create solid support, once again presenting a strong rebound momentum. The coin price is continuously attempting to recover towards the mid-track, recently Bitcoin and Ethereum's volatility base has increased, affected by previous sharp declines, currently the bulls are in a brewing phase, and the expectations for a pullback are gradually decreasing. The continuation of the trend is a natural process of alternating rises and falls; pullbacks during upward movements and rebounds during downward movements are all normal. Currently, the expectations for recovery are becoming increasingly strong. For the future market, we still focus on the continuation of the bullish trend, primarily engaging in buying on pullbacks in the short term.

Bitcoin: Buy around 92500 Target 94500
Ethereum: Buy around 3170 Target 3300

$BTC Daily line callback concludes, short-term low point confirmed, bullish rebound pattern is positive. Bitcoin stabilizes after standing on the daily middle track with two consecutive positives, the cross-shaped negative K is only a brief correction;

Ethereum returns to the middle track with consecutive positives, showing a strong short-term bias after breaking through in a smaller cycle, but has not entered an extremely strong one-sided trend. After a sharp drop, a V-shaped reversal has formed, breaking through the previous resistance of 95000 during the day, and the bulls will officially continue their strength.

#ETH走势分析 $ETH Reviewing the market trends in the early morning, last night the US stock market opened with a slight pullback overall, and in the early morning, the market welcomed a collective rebound, with Bitcoin reaching a peak of 94185 before being pressured to stop, and Ethereum touching a high of 3216 before halting. The current coin prices are still running at high levels. The bullish strategy we provided last night has also been validated, indicating that the strategy is effective! Bitcoin successfully gained 1754 points of space, while Ethereum successfully gained 126 points of space!

From the current market perspective, both Bitcoin and Ethereum daily charts have completed their pullbacks, short-term lows have been confirmed, forming a healthy bullish rebound trend. After stabilizing the mid-track, Bitcoin first formed two consecutive bullish candles, with a slight adjustment in between with a doji candle. Ethereum also regained its position above the mid-track thanks to the consecutive bullish candles. Overall, the market has formed a breakout of a smaller cycle, temporarily leaning strong in the short term, but it is not yet a very strong one-sided move. On the 4-hour level, after Bitcoin's price touched a low, it formed a V-shaped reversal pattern. If it breaks through the previous resistance of 95000 today, then the bulls will officially enter a strong continuation phase; otherwise, it will still form a strong oscillation trend with a step-back pattern. On Thursday morning, Lao Chen suggested continuing to treat it with a pullback bullish mindset.

Bitcoin: 92500-93000 can go long Target 94500
Ethereum: 3130-3150 can go long Target 3250

$BTC Review of the market trend in the early morning, last night the US stock market opened with a slight pullback overall, and in the early morning, the market saw a collective rebound. Bitcoin reached a peak of 94185 before facing resistance, while Ethereum peaked at 3216 and then stopped. Currently, the coin prices are still operating at a high level. The bullish outlook we provided last night has also been validated, indicating that the strategy is effective! Bitcoin successfully gained 1754 points, and Ethereum successfully gained 126 points!

From the current market perspective, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have completed their daily corrections, and the short-term lows have been confirmed, forming a healthy bullish rebound trend. After stabilizing at the middle track on the daily chart, Bitcoin initially formed two consecutive bullish candles, with a slight adjustment in between. Ethereum also regained above the middle track by leveraging the consecutive bullish candles. Overall, the market is forming a breakout in a small cycle, temporarily leaning towards strength in the short term, but it is not an extremely strong one-sided trend. On the 4-hour level, after Bitcoin's price hit a low, it formed a V-shaped reversal pattern. If it breaks the previous resistance of 95000 today, then the bulls will officially enter a strong continuation trend; otherwise, it will still form a strong oscillating trend with a step-by-step reversal. On Thursday morning, Lao Chen suggested continuing to treat it with a pullback to buy approach.

Bitcoin: 92500-93000 can buy Target 94500
Ethereum: 3130-3150 can buy Target 3250#ETH走势分析

$ETH The contract is not a casino, but a battlefield! Here, discipline is your armor, and strategy is your sword. Every trade is a game against yourself—overcoming greed and controlling fear, and you will be the winner. Looking back at Wednesday's intraday market trend, the overall market rebounded after a rise during the day, with Bitcoin facing resistance around the 94000 level and consolidating, while Ethereum began to pull back near 3145. In the evening, as U.S. stocks opened, the market once again faced a pullback and bottoming trend, with Bitcoin's price retreating to around 92000 and Ethereum's price retreating to around 3070.

Examining the short-term trend, Bitcoin's rebound is weak, and the bearish sentiment is evident, with heavy pressure overhead; even if there are occasional rebounds, it is difficult to break through the encirclement. Ethereum is also constrained by the high resistance zone, indicating that bearish forces still exist in the market. Intraday strategies should focus on the pressure drop after limited rebounds, as well as further declines after weak rebounds. Therefore, operations need to be flexible; if the pressure area holds, arrange for short positions and wait for a pullback; if low support appears, capture rebounds with long positions, maintaining a range-bound strategy. The market changes rapidly; if a breakout occurs during trading, adjustments should be made. The current trend still leans towards a rebound recovery after price consolidation, so one should first observe the strength of the rebound before following the shorts.

Bitcoin: 91300-91700 can go long Target 94000
Ethereum: 3030-3050 can go long Target 3150#ETH走势分析

$BTC The contract is not a casino, but a battlefield! Here, discipline is your armor, and strategy is your sword. Every trade is a game against yourself—overcoming greed and controlling fear makes you the winner. Looking back at Wednesday's intraday market trends, the overall market rebounded after a rise, with Bitcoin facing resistance and consolidating around the 94000 level, while Ethereum started to retreat near 3145. In the evening, with the opening of the US stock market, the market saw another pullback and bottoming trend, currently Bitcoin's price is running near 92000, and Ethereum is retreating to around 3070.

Examining the short-term trend, Bitcoin's rebound is weak, and the downside pressure is evident, with heavy resistance above; even occasional rebounds find it hard to break through. Ethereum is also constrained by the high resistance zone, indicating that bearish forces still exist in the market. The intraday strategy should focus on the pressure drop after the limited rebound and the re-downward movement after the weak rebound. Therefore, operations need to be flexible; if the pressure area holds, then establish short positions and wait for a pullback; if low support appears, then capture rebounds with long positions, maintaining a range-bound strategy. The market changes rapidly, and if a breakout is seen, adjustments should be made. The current trend still leans towards a rebound recovery after price consolidation, so first observe the strength of the price rebound before following the short.

Bitcoin: 91300-91700 can go long Target 94000
Ethereum: 3030-3050 can go long Target 3150#ETH走势分析

$BTC The current big pie in the 1-hour cycle shows a structure of "V-shaped rebound after decline + high-level fluctuations". The price dropped to a low of 83786 and then rebounded with increased volume, reaching a high of 93932 before experiencing a slight pullback and entering a period of consolidation. The middle track of the Bollinger Bands rises in sync with the rebound, providing short-term support, while the upper track of the Bollinger Bands exerts pressure on the price at high levels. Overall, the opening of the Bollinger Bands presents a rhythm of "contraction during the decline phase and expansion during the rebound phase." In the short term, continue to pay attention to whether the price can effectively break through the previous high-level resistance and maintain the previous rebound trend to reach around 94500, while being cautious of pressure-induced pullbacks and seeking new support below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands.

$BTC From the daily chart perspective, after a four-day decline, the market welcomed a significant bullish rebound with increased volume. The bulls successfully reclaimed most of the previous losses and achieved an effective breakthrough of the middle Bollinger Band, with prices stabilizing in a key support area. On the technical indicators front, the MACD indicator formed a golden cross resonance and continued to diverge upward. The KDJ and RSI indicators showed a synchronized upward turn in all three lines, indicating a substantial reversal of bullish momentum and clearly signaling a market recovery. The four-hour chart displays a strong unilateral upward structure, and the bullish dominance remains unchanged. Although the current price has entered a brief consolidation phase, the core trading logic remains to trade long; short-term fluctuations may accompany technical corrections, but these pullbacks are essentially a process of building bullish momentum, laying the foundation for the next round of upward movement.

$BTC From the four-hour level perspective, the price surged to 91253 and faced resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at 91200, leading to a pullback. Currently, it is oscillating between the upper and middle bands, with the Bollinger Bands not showing a significant opening, and bullish momentum has noticeably weakened. The upper band pressure continues to be effective, and since the price has not stabilized at the high after the surge, there is a need for a pullback. If it subsequently breaks below the middle band support, bearish momentum may gradually be released, likely approaching the lower Bollinger Band. Short-term bearish signals are gradually emerging, and the one-hour Bollinger Band trend is flattening. The price is running above the middle band but is close to the upper band, facing resistance. The distance between the upper and lower bands is narrowing, indicating an oscillating pattern, and the risk of breaking out after oscillation is increasing. The short-term rebound has not prompted the Bollinger Bands to open upwards, and the hourly line has repeatedly tested the upper band without success. If there is no strength to break through the upper band pressure, it is likely to test the middle band support downwards. Once the middle band is lost, the bears may dominate the market and push towards the lower band, with an increased probability of bearishness after short-term oscillation.

Encrypted market one-sided trend, which key support level should we focus on? Let's talk.

$BTC The technical structure remains unchanged as a fluctuation structure. In the short term, it is basically running around the previous adjustment range, but today there is a slightly larger space for a rise. A strong trend without a deep adjustment was mentioned before; if it goes too deep, it can easily affect the structure. Currently, the probability of a short-term pullback is still high, and the only option is to wait to go long. In the evening, focus on the strong trend to follow long positions. After the bullish continuation is recovered in the early morning, we can consider going short at midnight or tomorrow.

On Wednesday early morning, pay attention to long positions in Bitcoin around 91500-91300, with a target near 93500. For Ethereum, pay attention to long positions around 3000-2980, with a target near 3100.

$BTC Common Solutions for Being Stuck in Positions!
　　The following solutions for being stuck in positions are based on the practical experience of Master Duan Chen over many years, and I hope they can provide some insights for everyone:
　　After being stuck in a position (for example, a long position), we can make the following actions based on technical analysis:
　　1. When stuck, based on chart analysis, if the price level at which you bought is high, you must immediately stop loss.
　　2. If the price level at which you bought is at a medium level, you can temporarily observe according to the situation at that time, seeking to exit or reduce positions at a high to minimize losses.
　　3. If the price level at which you bought is low, there is no need to rush to stop loss; you should wait for the price to stabilize after falling below the buying price and bravely add to your position at important support levels to average down costs, and rescue the high positions during the subsequent rebound.
　　4. If the price level at which you bought is in an upward trend, there is no need to stop loss; be patient and hold for a while, as it will inevitably break even, and there is even a significant possibility of profit.
　　5. If the price level at which you bought is in a balanced fluctuation trend, there is also no need to stop loss immediately; patiently wait for that price level to enter a fluctuating cycle at a high level. Once it breaks even or the loss is minimal, you should decisively exit.
　　6. If the price level at which you bought is in a downward trend, once it is confirmed that a downward trend has formed, you should immediately stop loss and must not harbor illusions. Any hesitation and indecision may lead to a deep entrapment that is difficult to escape.
　　Regarding reducing positions or cutting losses after being stuck, based on my experience, investors must act decisively and decisively when taking such actions, especially in a downward trend. Many investors have such operational experiences, hoping to break even every day after being stuck. Finally, when the day comes to break even, they feel reluctant: I have held for so many days, I must earn some money. As a result, they miss the best opportunity to close positions, and when the market re-enters a decline, they get stuck again. Ultimately, they are completely desperate, lose confidence, and exit with losses. This is the most taboo in a downward trend.

$BTC Last night, the big coin began to decline all the way down, reaching a low of around 83700, then it started to gain strength, bouncing back to around 86800. The trading ideas in the morning and evening yesterday were successfully validated. From a technical structure analysis, looking at the 1-hour chart of the big coin, it touched the upper Bollinger Band and then began to run towards the middle Bollinger Band. The KDJ three lines started to turn downward, and it can rebound for operations in the morning.

$ETH Cutting meat is for living, while stubbornly holding on may lead to zero. Stopping losses is not giving up, but rather for better entry next time. When each wave of trends arrives, your first instinct is often wrong, especially during market panic or euphoria. The three most dangerous words in the crypto world: 'This time is different.' "Earning oil relies on cognition, while losing bamboo shoots relies on emotions. The opening of a new month unexpectedly led to a sharp drop in the market. On Monday, Bitcoin's price plummeted from above 90000 to a low of 83786 and then stopped. Ethereum closely followed Bitcoin's drop, reaching a low of 2718. We adjusted our bearish outlook in a timely manner on Monday afternoon, which helped recover some losses.

From the current market perspective, after a slight rebound in the daily line level, a continuous bearish trend has formed. Today's closing has a long upper shadow, presenting a bearish candlestick, with a certain continuation. The daily line level is operating below the middle track, and the overall trend remains bearish. On the short term, the 4-hour level sees frequent exchanges between bullish and bearish movements, with rebounds accompanied by pullbacks and vice versa. In the short term, the battle between bulls and bears is quite fierce, but the volatility base is relatively small. However, the bearish strength is still stronger than the bullish side, so for morning operations, we still maintain a primarily bearish stance.

Bitcoin: Short around 87500 Target 84500
Ethereum: Short around 2850 Target 2700#加密市场回调

$BTC Cutting meat is for the sake of living; stubbornly holding on may lead to a total loss. Stop-loss is not about giving up, but rather for a better entry next time. When every wave of trend arrives, your first instinct is often wrong, especially during market panic or euphoria. The three most dangerous words in the cryptocurrency world: 'This time is different.' "Making profits depends on understanding, losing money depends on emotions. The opening of the new month unexpectedly led to a sharp decline in the market. On Monday, Bitcoin's price sharply retraced from above the 90000 mark to a low of 83786. Ethereum synchronized with Bitcoin's drop, reaching a low of 2718. We timely adjusted our bearish outlook on Monday afternoon, which helped recover some losses.

From the current market perspective, after a slight rebound in consecutive green candles, it has formed a series of red candles. Today's session closed with a long upper shadow, forming a bearish k-line, and it shows some continuation. The daily level is operating below the middle track, and the overall trend remains bearish. On the short term, the 4-hour level frequently alternates between green and red, with rebounds accompanied by retracements, and retracements also followed by rebounds. In the short term, there is fierce competition between bulls and bears, but the volatility is relatively small. However, the strength of the bears is still somewhat stronger than that of the bulls, so for the morning's operations, we still maintain a primary bearish stance.

Bitcoin: Short near 87500 Target 84500
Ethereum: Short near 2850 Target 2700#加密市场回调

$ETH The market has experienced a drastic decline, with Bitcoin showing a one-sided volatility of over 6000 points during the day, and Ethereum dropping by 230 points simultaneously. Currently, the market is undergoing a consolidation phase. The bullish outlook provided in the morning has regrettably resulted in a small loss upon exit, with significant pullback intensity and speed.

From the current chart, Bitcoin's four-hour line shows a consecutive bearish trend. The overall movement is above the middle track, having slightly come under pressure after hitting the upper track last week, and is now moving lower. There are signs of testing the middle track support again in the short term. If this position breaks down, it will lead to a substantial and continued decline. The four-hour level has formed a continuous wave-like decline after being pressured from the upper track last week and is currently in a second downward wave, with the swing from the upper track dropping below the lower track and continuing to move down closely along the lower track. The short-term trend has been taken over by bears. Therefore, today's operation suggests primarily short-selling on rebounds.

Bitcoin: Short near 88000 Target 85000
Ethereum: Short near 2860 Target 2750#加密市场反弹

$BTC The market has experienced a sudden decline, with Bitcoin showing an intraday range of over 6000 points, and Ethereum simultaneously dropping by 230 points. The current market is entering a consolidation phase, and the bullish outlook given earlier in the morning has regrettably resulted in a small loss upon exit, due to the significant pullback and rapid pace.

From the current market perspective, Bitcoin's four-hour chart shows two consecutive bearish candles, and it is currently operating above the middle band. After touching the upper band last week, it has faced slight pressure and started to decline. There are signs of continued testing of the middle band support in the short term, and if this position is broken, it will lead to a substantial and sustained decline. After being pressured at the upper band last week, the four-hour level has formed a continuous wave-like decline, currently forming a second wave down. The price has dropped from the upper band to below the lower band and is closely following the lower band line, continuing to decline. In the short-term trend, bearish sentiment has taken over. Therefore, for today's operations, we recommend primarily focusing on shorting during rebounds.

Bitcoin: Short around 88000 Target 85000
Ethereum: Short around 2860 Target 2750#加密市场反弹

#加密市场反弹 $ETH Common Solutions for Being Stuck in a Position!\n　　The following methods for resolving being stuck in a position are based on the practical experience of Teacher Duan Chen over many years, and hope to provide some inspiration for everyone:\n　　Once a position is stuck (for example, a long position), we can take the following actions based on technical analysis:\n　　1. When stuck, based on chart analysis, if the buying price is at a high level, we must immediately cut losses.\n　　2. If the buying price is at a middle level, we can temporarily observe based on the situation at the time, aiming for a way out or reducing positions to lower losses when the price rises.\n　　3. If the buying price is at a low level, there is no need to rush to cut losses. We should wait for the price to stabilize after a decline below the buying price, and be bold to add positions at important support levels to average down costs, rescuing the high-level stuck positions in the upcoming rebound market.\n　　4. If the buying price is in an upward trend, there is no need to cut losses. Patiently holding for a while will inevitably lead to a way out, and there may even be a significant profit potential.\n　　5. If the buying price is in a balanced oscillation trend, there is also no need to cut losses immediately. Patiently wait for that price to enter a high level in the oscillation cycle. Once the position is freed or the loss is very small, one should decisively exit.\n　　6. If the buying price is in a downward trend, once the downward trend is confirmed, one should immediately cut losses and must not have any illusions. Any hesitation may lead to deep entrapment that is hard to escape.\n　　Regarding reducing positions or cutting losses after being stuck, from my experience, investors must be decisive and ruthless when doing such operations, especially in a downward trend. Many investors have had such experiences; after being stuck, they look forward to being freed every day, and finally, when the day comes, they feel unwilling: having held for so many days, they want to make some profit. As a result, they miss the best opportunity to close positions, and when the market re-enters a downward trend, they get stuck again. Ultimately, they become completely desperate, lose confidence, and cut losses to exit. This is the most taboo in a downward trend.

#加密市场反弹 $BTC Common Solutions for Being Stuck in a Position!
　　The following solutions for being stuck in a position are based on the practical experience of Teacher Duan Chen over the years, and I hope they can provide some inspiration for everyone:
　　After being stuck with a position (for example, a long position), we can make the following operations based on technical analysis:
　　1. When stuck, analyze the chart; if the price level at which you bought is at a high, you must immediately cut losses.
　　2. If the price level at which you bought is at a medium level, you can observe the situation temporarily in order to seek an opportunity to exit or reduce your position at a high to minimize losses.
　　3. If the price level at which you bought is at a low level, you should not rush to cut losses. After the price stabilizes below the purchase level, you should dare to add to your position at important support levels to average down costs, and rescue the positions that are stuck at high levels during the subsequent rebound.
　　4. If the price level at which you bought is in an upward trend, you do not need to cut losses. Hold on patiently for a while; it will inevitably free you from being stuck, and there may even be a significant profit potential.
　　5. If the price level at which you bought is in a balanced oscillation trend, you also do not need to cut losses immediately. Patiently wait for the price to enter a high position in the oscillation cycle. Once you are free from being stuck or the loss is very small, you should decisively exit the position.
　　6. If the price level at which you bought is in a downward trend, once the downward trend is confirmed, you should immediately cut losses. You must not let yourself be lost in fantasies. Any hesitation or doubt may lead to being deeply stuck and hard to extricate.
　　In my experience regarding reducing positions or cutting losses after being stuck, investors must act decisively and resolutely, especially in a downward trend. Many investors have such experiences; after being stuck, they hope every day to be freed, and when the day finally comes, they become reluctant: I've held on for so long, I must make some money. As a result, they miss the best opportunity to close their positions, and when the market re-enters a downtrend, they are stuck again. Ultimately, they become completely desperate, lose confidence, and cut losses to exit. This is the most taboo in a downward trend.

The pancake weekend market fluctuated and rose sharply, encountering resistance and falling back. The coin price reached a peak of 91900, constrained by strong resistance above. The upward channel is officially blocked, and short-term upward momentum has significantly weakened.
Subsequently, the price fell back to around 90500 for consolidation. Coupled with the uncertainty of weekend news, market sentiment has become cautious. It is expected that the subsequent market will enter a wide fluctuation range. #加密市场反弹