负百万

The expectation of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next week has become the core barometer of the crypto market. This adjustment in monetary policy will have a profound impact on the prices of crypto assets and market structure through multiple channels, including liquidity release, fluctuations in the dollar exchange rate, and the reconstruction of market risk appetite. From historical patterns and the current market environment, the stimulating effect of rate cuts on the crypto market is not a one-way linear relationship; the volatility risks after the short-term benefits are realized and the structural opportunities in the medium to long term will coexist.

1. Direct transmission of interest rate cuts: short-term boost driven by liquidity
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut will directly release market liquidity, reducing the opportunity cost of holding cryptocurrencies, and becoming the core driving force for the short-term upward movement of crypto assets. On one hand, in a low-interest-rate environment, the yields of traditional fixed-income products continue to decline, causing funds to accelerate towards high-risk, high-return assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, especially as institutional funds may increase their allocation through compliant channels like spot ETFs; on the other hand, the rate cut will create depreciation pressure on the dollar, and mainstream cryptocurrencies priced in dollars will thus gain purchasing power support, attracting holders of non-dollar currencies to enter the market at lower prices.