ohiduz zaman 26

Better will be best remember always
Open Trade
Frequent Trader
1.2 Years
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119 Followers
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Bullish
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Bearish
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Bearish
$BTC A lot of people are asking how I landed on $42K to $47K as my target for this cycle’s $BTC low and thought I’d share it publicly Bitcoin has always went below its average buy price (Realized Price - Market Price) / Realized Price) each bear market Here’s the data from previous cycles: - 2011 to 2012 cycle: dropped 61% below the average buy price - 2014 to 2015 cycle: dropped 45% below - 2018 to 2019 cycle: dropped 30% below - 2022: dropped around 24–30% below As you can see, from cycle-to-cycle the drop is lower and lower If you assume the following drops from average buy price this cycle, you will see the following: - 10% drop = $47.4K - 15% drop = $44.8K - 20% drop = $42.1K - 25% drop = $39.5K - 30% drop = $36.9K Assuming it only goes 10% to 20% below is how I got my figures But here’s the thing, people have experienced a few cycles and now understand more how Bitcoin has historically behaved so this all may get front runned Also since Bitcoin became significantly more institutional - it’s been trading along the stock market on red days so if you also think the stock market will correct until the midterm elections like it historically has, then we may see the scenario above play out (at least getting to the realized buy price) Buying here at $60K is also not a bad idea to start a DCA as a hedge I’m personally starting a DCA here of 2% of my capital per week and expecting we range in the $60K’s for 16-20 weeks before the next move up or down GLHF remember the goal is to get close to the bottom not try and time it exactly Last point - I don’t think “the low” happens in Q4 {spot}(BTCUSDT) #TrumpSaysUSWouldHelpIranDestroyEnrichedUranium #Whale.Alert ,:;; $ZEN {spot}(ZENUSDT)
$BTC A lot of people are asking how I landed on $42K to $47K as my target for this cycle’s $BTC low and thought I’d share it publicly
Bitcoin has always went below its average buy price (Realized Price - Market Price) / Realized Price) each bear market
Here’s the data from previous cycles:
- 2011 to 2012 cycle: dropped 61% below the average buy price
- 2014 to 2015 cycle: dropped 45% below
- 2018 to 2019 cycle: dropped 30% below
- 2022: dropped around 24–30% below
As you can see, from cycle-to-cycle the drop is lower and lower
If you assume the following drops from average buy price this cycle, you will see the following:
- 10% drop = $47.4K
- 15% drop = $44.8K
- 20% drop = $42.1K
- 25% drop = $39.5K
- 30% drop = $36.9K
Assuming it only goes 10% to 20% below is how I got my figures
But here’s the thing, people have experienced a few cycles and now understand more how Bitcoin has historically behaved so this all may get front runned
Also since Bitcoin became significantly more institutional - it’s been trading along the stock market on red days so if you also think the stock market will correct until the midterm elections like it historically has, then we may see the scenario above play out (at least getting to the realized buy price)
Buying here at $60K is also not a bad idea to start a DCA as a hedge
I’m personally starting a DCA here of 2% of my capital per week and expecting we range in the $60K’s for 16-20 weeks before the next move up or down
GLHF remember the goal is to get close to the bottom not try and time it exactly
Last point - I don’t think “the low” happens in Q4

#TrumpSaysUSWouldHelpIranDestroyEnrichedUranium
#Whale.Alert

,:;;
$ZEN
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Bullish
Today i am going with $DOGE coin huge long no doubt it will go to the moon Here is the chart and see what happened next 1-5 days boys #WhaleWatch #MarketMoves and now i close this $1000LUNC coin i profit last 20 days huge for me so i don,t risk my self very much $BNB
Today i am going with
$DOGE coin huge long
no doubt it will go to the moon
Here is the chart and see what happened next 1-5 days boys
#WhaleWatch
#MarketMoves
and now i close this
$1000LUNC coin
i profit last 20 days huge for me
so i don,t risk my self very much

$BNB
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Bullish
BTCSurpasses$80K Few days ago what i said my friend,s and its happened if u r new in my then check that in my profile $BTC Now the exact time for exact leave from here then i write and share with you i wll finish my target and this is here all of my prove and #zec $GOOGL this too coin also my brothers and sisters i will go now for short some time wish all you good luck #Whale.Alert #BuyTheDip
BTCSurpasses$80K
Few days ago what i said my friend,s
and its happened
if u r new in my then check that in my profile

$BTC Now the exact time for exact leave from here
then i write and share with you
i wll finish my target
and this is here all of my prove

and #zec $GOOGL
this too coin also my brothers and sisters

i will go now for short some time

wish all you good luck

#Whale.Alert

#BuyTheDip
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Bullish
Nice coin only for today don,t hesitate just see what,s going on $MMT and 1st on like my little love $APR good to see you later #Megadrop
Nice coin only for today
don,t hesitate
just see what,s going on
$MMT

and 1st on like my little love

$APR

good to see you later

#Megadrop
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Bearish
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Bearish
$HOME Go short dont miss leverage also
$HOME

Go short dont miss leverage also
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