区块链森阳

Understanding Bitcoin isn't that difficult; a story about a small island can explain it:

There is a secluded island where 100 villagers live. Some grow corn, some fish, and others pick coconuts. They usually rely on barter to get by—"I’ll trade you 2 fish for 3 corns, I’ll trade 1 coconut for a sickle." But carrying items around for barter is too cumbersome, so they first thought of "keeping accounts": each of us privately keeps a small ledger, for example, I owe you 5 fish, you owe me 2 coconuts. But if the numbers don’t match, trouble arises.

Later, someone discovered that there were unique patterned stones in the island's volcano crater that no one could replicate. They agreed that "1 stone = 1 fish" and used stones as currency. Bartering became much easier, but as transactions increased, it became hard to keep track, so they pooled money to build a "trading station" and appointed two people to manage the ledger, making sure it wasn’t altered—this was the earliest form of a "bank."

However, trouble struck! One of the ledger keepers became greedy and secretly recorded 10 extra stones under their name, trading fake numbers for others' corn. Everyone panicked: if money could be altered at will, wasn’t all their hard work in vain? This is what is commonly referred to as inflation.

Then came the crucial turning point! A clever person suggested: let's not let a few people manage the ledger! Let’s give each of the 100 people a blank ledger, and from now on, whenever a trade occurs, the person must shout it out loud enough for everyone to hear, and then everyone writes down clearly in their own ledger, "Zhang San trades 2 stones for Li Si’s 5 fish." This way, everyone’s ledger is identical; even if someone loses their ledger, they can recover it by comparing with the majority. Want to alter the ledger? Unless you can convince 51 people to change it together—only the ledger recognized by more than half of the people counts, which is the "distributed ledger" of Bitcoin. The "51% attack" for cheating becomes nearly impossible.

But a new problem arose: shouting for every transaction is too cumbersome. Why help others keep accounts? Later, the internet arrived, and there was no need to shout! Everyone installed the same accounting software, and whenever someone made a trade, the software automatically sent a message to everyone, synchronizing their mobile ledgers. As for the motivation for keeping accounts, during each transaction, the payer would offer a small "reward"; whoever first correctly records the transaction (and aligns with everyone’s ledger) receives the reward—this "reward" is Bitcoin, and the process of keeping accounts is called "mining."

If Mr. Wang's son had had more foresight back then and had properly planned the 500 million yuan startup capital given by his father, the outcome might have been completely different.

If he hadn't gone astray and instead invested all 500 million into Bitcoin—it's important to note that in 2014, this money could have bought as many as 1.4 million Bitcoins—perhaps he wouldn't have been forced to leave his homeland, and the family wouldn't have fallen into the later dire straits.

Thinking in a more ideal direction, if we consider the present, the value of these Bitcoins could easily help the family pay off hundreds of billions in debt, and he himself might have become the person holding the most Bitcoins in China, even having the chance to sit on the throne of China's richest.

Bitcoin has long become the focus of the world, with price fluctuations affecting countless people's nerves, yet its founder “Satoshi Nakamoto” remains the biggest mystery in the cryptocurrency space—this name that sounds like a random alias hides 1,100,000 Bitcoins, which, at a price of $100,000 each, amounts to at least $110 billion.

It all started during the 2008 global financial crisis, when people were full of disappointment and anger towards banks and large institutions. At that moment, a white paper on Bitcoin suddenly appeared on an online forum, proposing to create a digital cash system that does not require intermediaries. The person claiming to be Satoshi Nakamoto also sent out operational instructions via email, stating that with “blockchain” technology, everyone could maintain the ledger and transactions themselves, no longer fearing bank collapses or tampered accounts.

Initially, Bitcoin was ignored, with each coin having almost no value. Satoshi Nakamoto mined the first batch of Bitcoins using his computer, more like conducting a technical experiment, and later a small number of geeks gradually joined in. But by 2010, this account suddenly disappeared—emails went unanswered, and technical discussions vanished, leaving behind those 1,100,000 Bitcoins, quietly appreciating like a treasure in the deep sea, yet never touched.

There are many theories about Satoshi Nakamoto's disappearance: some say it was for the sake of Bitcoin's “decentralization”—the founder not showing up would lead everyone to focus on the rules and ideas, rather than on any individual; others believe he was well aware of the risks of challenging traditional finance, and showing up would bring trouble; and some speculate he was just a technology enthusiast who chose to step back after completing his experiment.

As for that enormous wealth, it is even more of a mystery: some say that using it would expose his identity through tracking; others feel that he was never in it for the money, but rather enjoyed the recognition of his technology; and some even guess he lost the key and can no longer access the money. Today, Bitcoin has integrated into the global financial system, with companies treating it as an asset reserve, and some countries exploring its applications, yet no one can truly control it. Satoshi Nakamoto's disappearance may very well be the best footnote for Bitcoin's “decentralization”—making this invention truly belong to everyone, rather than to a single “creator.”

Having been in the crypto world for so many years, I have seen too many people fall due to 'greed' and 'impatience', but I have always remembered Xiao Huang's case.

She had been trading cryptocurrencies for two years, staying up until the early hours every night staring at the market, her mind filled with thoughts of doubling her assets. In the end, she lost her entire 800,000 principal. When I saw her again, she looked completely lost, speaking weakly, and her eyes were vacant.

If it were someone else, they would either gamble recklessly to try to recover their losses or delete the app and give up. But on the day Xiao Huang found me, she sat on the sofa holding a cup, her eyes still red, and said hoarsely, 'I won't mess around this time; you tell me how to do it, and I will follow.'

In the following six months, she worked steadily with me. In terms of positions, I had her divide her remaining money into ten parts, controlling each trade to within 10%, never going all-in; the profits continued to compound, but the principal was held tightly, ensuring a solid base; stop-losses were stricter, with a single loss capped at 2%, regardless of market conditions, it had to be closed immediately, no hesitation.

That six months saw significant market fluctuations, with some people loading up on popular coins and being forcibly liquidated the same day; others rushed to bottom-fish, only to be trapped and forced to sell at a loss. But Xiao Huang remained calm, following the strategy every day, never adjusting her positions privately. After six months, she actually managed to earn back all of the 800,000 she had lost, bit by bit.

Yesterday she invited me for tea, smiling as she said, 'The principal is back; I’m ready to exit the market. This market tests one's patience; it’s best to take profits when they are there.'

Ultimately, recklessly charging forward will lead to falls sooner or later; finding the right person to manage risk and timing is key to stability. If you really want to turn things around in this market, it’s better to follow a reliable rhythm early on.

The cryptocurrency world has always been chaotic, with scams emerging one after another. Ironically, these scammers often scheme against each other, ultimately falling prey to their own kind. Today, let's share a few real 'black eats black' cases that are both satisfying and a wake-up call.

First, let's talk about those money launderers. They specialize in receiving 'dirty money' in exchange for USDT, causing many friends selling coins to have their bank accounts frozen, suffering immensely. However, they don't get off scot-free either: some people have figured out their tricks, pretending to be buyers to negotiate deals. Once the money launderers transfer the coins, the other party disappears without paying a dime. Ironically, since the money launderers' funds come from illegal sources, they can only watch helplessly as their coins go to waste, unable to report to the police out of fear.

Now for a more dramatic case: previously, a hacker stole over $600 million in assets from the Poly Network platform. After the theft, they arrogantly left messages mocking the platform's poor security. However, they didn't anticipate that the entire industry of exchanges would quickly collaborate to block all the addresses they used for receiving funds, rendering the stolen USDT completely unusable. With no way out, the hacker ultimately had no choice but to return the money, ending up with nothing to show for their efforts.

Then there are some small exchanges that intended to scam money from the very beginning—absconding with users' funds while falsely claiming their website was hacked. However, just as they were preparing to divide the spoils, an internal dispute over profit-sharing erupted. Some felt they were getting less than they deserved and, in a fit of anger, reported the situation to the police. As a result, the entire scam group was arrested, and their illegal gains were confiscated, purely an internal conflict that landed them in jail.

Finally, let's talk about the young people selling their bank cards. In their pursuit of quick money, they sold their cards to money laundering groups, thinking they could profit easily. Ultimately, the money laundering group used the cards to take out money and then disappeared, leaving no promised compensation. These young people not only failed to make money but also faced legal risks due to aiding in money laundering, ending up worse off than before.

In the end, those who try to be clever and take shortcuts in the cryptocurrency world shouldn't think they can gain an advantage—often, they end up paying a heavy price, making it not worth the risk.

If you really hit the market in the cryptocurrency world and made far more money than expected, don’t rush to celebrate. Here are 10 solid suggestions that you must keep in mind:

First, never show off your wealth. Even with family and friends, don’t casually mention specific amounts. Money can easily stir people's hearts; once it’s out there, you might be asked to take on trades or lend money, or you could face jealousy and suspicion. Keeping a low profile is the safest approach.

Second, prioritize clearing your debts. Credit card bills, online loans, personal debts—pay off everything you can at once. Being debt-free allows you to move forward with confidence.

Third, don’t rush to withdraw all your funds at once. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile; staggered operations are safer. Keep some funds on compliant platforms to observe market trends, to avoid rushing to cash out just when a correction hits. Being cautious is more important than the obsession with “locking in profits.”

Fourth, don’t impulsively buy high-end properties. Expensive real estate has poor liquidity; when you urgently need cash, it’s hard to liquidate. A regular home that meets your needs is sufficient; don’t get trapped by the hype of “asset appreciation.”

Fifth, absolutely do not quit your current job. Full-time trading may seem liberating, but it’s equivalent to putting all your risks on the market. If the trend reverses, you could lose your basic income.

Sixth, restrain the desire to buy luxury goods. High-end cars and designer bags depreciate the moment you purchase them, and you might easily fall into the “show-off trap,” leading to a restless mindset.

Seventh, don’t believe in “guaranteed profits” projects. There are no absolutely safe investments in the cryptocurrency world; those exaggerated “high returns” are just traps to harvest your principal. Protecting your current money is more important than earning another sum.

Eighth, don’t let people think you make money easily. Avoid bragging about how “simple trading is” or how “good the market is;” if people feel that your money comes easily, you might end up being asked to guide their trades or face doubts about “taking the wrong path.” Stay low-key to avoid trouble.

Ninth, live your life as usual. Don’t disrupt your daily rhythm just because you made money; maintaining your original state can provide you with a greater sense of security.

Tenth, being able to read these reminders actually tells you: making money in the cryptocurrency world relies more on self-control than luck, and preserving your profits is harder than making them.

How to plan your funds, seize opportunities, and control the tempo, I can slowly discuss these with you. Avoid taking detours for several years; sometimes, it just takes a few practical words.

Last year, I met a female fan, and I still remember her vividly—she had previously lost 300,000 U in a crypto crash, and only had 10,000 U left in her account. She was almost at her breaking point when she contacted me, her voice choked with tears, saying, "I feel like I will never turn my life around."

Unexpectedly, five months later, she came back excitedly to share good news: not only had she recovered all her losses, but she also made an additional 50,000 U. The method she used was actually not complicated, even a bit 'foolish,' but it perfectly captured the essence of making money in the crypto market.

Looking back at her previous trading records, they were filled with the common pitfalls that new traders often fall into: seeing coins skyrocket and unable to resist chasing after them, holding on with the belief that 'it will rebound' when prices fall, and going all in impulsively when emotions ran high, completely lacking any strategy.

I had her stop trading for a week, not to make any trades, and to calmly review all her losing positions. In the end, she figured out that 90% of her losses boiled down to two issues: first, she couldn't control her hands and was always led astray by her emotions; second, there was no discipline, and she had never truly implemented stop losses.

To address these two issues, I had her establish two strict rules: a single trade's loss could never exceed 5%, and if total losses in a day reached 10%, she had to stop immediately, even if there were better opportunities afterward. Next, I taught her the approach of 'steady profit management': only opening positions at key support or resistance levels for mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, with stop losses precisely set at 1.5% outside the key levels, never leaving anything to chance; once a position gained 5%, she would withdraw her principal and leave only the profits for further speculation—this way, even if she incurred losses afterward, her principal remained intact, significantly reducing risk.

Finally, I added a little trick: taking 2,000 U from the 10,000 U and dividing it among three smaller coins—but definitely not randomly selecting them. Each one was carefully checked against two conditions: first, the on-chain data showed that large holders were still holding positions and had not exited; second, the circulating supply of the coin on the exchange was continuously decreasing, which is usually a signal that funds are quietly accumulating, preparing for a price surge.

With just these three strategies, in three months, the 10,000 U grew to 150,000 U; five months later, not only had she completely recovered her capital, but she also made an additional 50,000 U. In fact, in the crypto market, 10,000 U is never a dead end; 99% of people fall into the obsession of wanting to recover quickly, always thinking about making a big score, which ironically leads to even greater losses.

Remember: trading crypto is not about who makes money quickly, but rather, who can last the longest.

A friend held up his phone and complained to me: "If I had known not to touch contracts, I would have lost all my 800U principal in just five days. It's better to stick to spot trading from the start!" As soon as he said this, I instantly recalled how I looked when I first entered the crypto world—my mind was full of shortcuts, and in the end, I fell harder than he did.

At that time, I always heard people say that contracts could 'double in a day,' while spot trading 'was slower than a snail.' Holding 600U in my hand made me itch, so I directly opened a 10x leverage BTC contract. Who would have thought that on the first day, I encountered market fluctuations, and after a mere 8% drop, I received a liquidation warning. I panicked and lost my composure, impulsively increasing my position, and in the end, not only did I fail to stabilize, but I also lost an additional 200U. Thinking back on it now, it seems absurd.

After falling a lot, I gradually figured out the way: whether to choose spot or contracts is not fundamentally a question of 'which earns faster,' but whether you can hold on. Over the past few years, based on these points, I have also advised many newcomers like my friend.

First, look at how much principal you have—newcomers with a principal of less than 1500U, I sincerely advise you to stick with spot trading first. My friend jumped into contracts with 800U, and under 10x leverage, when BTC dropped 10%, he was liquidated. He saw green in his account and started increasing his position chaotically, ultimately wiping out his principal. But with spot trading, 'the coins are in your hands'; even if the price drops 20%, as long as you don’t panic sell, there’s always room to wait for a rebound. Now, when I encounter newcomers with little principal, I advise them to play with spot trading first, as it at least allows them to preserve their principal and gradually understand market trends.

Next, consider whether you can withstand the volatility. Contract volatility is not something that ordinary people can handle; for example, if ETH spot drops 5%, a 10x contract would lose 50%, and newcomers can easily panic and make erratic trades. When I played with ETH spot, I didn’t rush even when it fell 15%; I waited half a month for it to rebound. If it were a contract, I would have been liquidated long ago.

Finally, you need to clarify your goals—if you want to make quick money, you must first accept the cost of 'possibly losing everything.' My friend initially focused on 'earning 300U in a week' and dived headfirst into contracts; however, spot trading earns 'long-term money.' For instance, when I bought SOL spot last year, after holding for four months, it increased by 40%. Although slow, it doesn’t carry the risk of liquidation. If you want to play it safe and steady, spot trading is the first step for newcomers.

First, understand spot trading well. Once your principal is sufficient and your mindset is stable, it won’t be too late to try low-leverage contracts.

Family, the most explosive news in the cryptocurrency world recently must be discussed thoroughly with you! The Federal Reserve's expectation of interest rate cuts has directly brought the market heat to its peak!\n\nI specifically checked the latest predictions, and next week the Federal Reserve will make a decision, with a probability of a 25 basis point cut actually soaring to 97.8%, basically a done deal. Seeing this number, I can't help but get excited—this is definitely a nuclear-level positive for the cryptocurrency world!\n\nThink about it, what will happen when the interest rate cut is implemented? The idle money in banks will come alive! With lower savings interest, everyone will definitely look for high-yield channels, and given the momentum and potential of cryptocurrencies in recent years, capital will definitely prioritize targeting them, leading to a likely surge of funds into the cryptocurrency market!\n\nMore importantly, the interest rate cut will weaken the dollar, and when fiat currency depreciates, everyone will definitely rush to safe-haven hard assets. The safe-haven property of cryptocurrencies has been increasingly recognized in recent years, and at that point, the market might just take off, and it will be unstoppable!\n\nAs for the institutions, they have long been busy! Giants like BlackRock and Fidelity have already been secretly preparing for Bitcoin ETFs, just waiting for this signal of interest rate cuts—once the policy is announced, they are likely to increase their efforts, and no one wants to miss this opportunity!\n\nData does not lie: Bitcoin has just crossed the $120,000 mark, and momentum is strong; looking back at historical trends, Bitcoin has averaged nearly an 80% surge in the fourth quarter, which is a solid pattern; recent inflows into spot ETFs have repeatedly set new highs for the past seven weeks, and the heat is simply uncontainable!\n\nNow, this situation is a perfect combination of market factors: historic interest rate cuts providing a floor, institutions frantically accumulating, plus the upcoming halving event—putting these three together might just create the strongest bull market in cryptocurrency history! I've already secured my position in advance; family, are you also ready to welcome this wave of bull market feast?

Recently, the opportunities in the cryptocurrency world are clear to those with keen eyes—today, I'll explain it in plain language. If you don't understand the technical terms, that's okay; just remember the key points.

First, we need to keep an eye on the Federal Reserve. This month, there is a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. In simple terms, there will be more money in the market: previously, everyone was holding onto their cash with no good place to invest, but now, idle funds might just flow into the cryptocurrency market, as it is highly elastic and has always been a good place for idle money chasing returns.

More importantly, the tapering will stop! Previously, the Federal Reserve was continuously "withdrawing liquidity," making money tighter in the market. Now, it has stopped tightening, and in the future, it may even gradually "inject liquidity." Historical data shows that every time tapering stops, the cryptocurrency market generally benefits: once liquidity increases, it's hard to suppress token prices—this is a clear pattern.

There’s also a reassuring factor: currently, employment and the economy are not too bad, and inflation is not broadly rising; it's mainly due to tariffs. This indicates that policies won't suddenly tighten, so there's no need to fear a "black swan" event catching us off guard, allowing us to feel a bit more secure.

For the cryptocurrency market, there are three points: opportunities have arrived, get on board when needed, and don’t panic unnecessarily. Once liquidity eases, not only will the stock market benefit, but the highly elastic cryptocurrency market will definitely attract significant funds. Whether it's mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or promising altcoins, they could all be lifted. With the expectation of rate cuts, those who were previously hesitant might decisively enter the market; as more people buy, prices will naturally rise.

However, I must remind you: Powell said that policy will depend on data, so it's not 100% stable. The market may experience some short-term volatility, and some may panic buy or sell, causing prices to fluctuate. But we need to focus on the bigger direction; the upward trend is quite clear, and both the primary and secondary markets have opportunities.

Lastly, to be frank: seizing opportunities in the cryptocurrency market does not depend on how frequently you operate, but rather on whether you can remain calm and hold onto your assets. This wave, with Powell having opened the "opportunity window," don’t hesitate to miss out—get on board when you should, and stealthily position yourself when needed, let's wait for this wave of market activity together!

A few days ago in the early morning, a friend who has been following me for more than half a year suddenly sent a barrage of voice messages, sounding panicked: “Bro, I just converted 800,000 USDT from the exchange to cash and transferred it to my bank card. Just two hours later, I received a text from the bank saying — ‘Off-counter transactions have been suspended,’ and the money is frozen in the card, making it difficult to even check the balance!”

He said he stared at the mobile banking app for half an hour, the numbers were still there, but his heart went cold. After all, this money was made after countless nights of watching the market, it wasn't lost in the market conditions, but instead got stuck at the “final step of withdrawal,” this gap is even more painful than losing money.

In fact, many people enter the cryptocurrency world only focusing on the rise and fall of K-lines, thinking that as long as they can withstand market fluctuations, everything will be fine, forgetting that a more pitiful situation than losing money in the market is — the money has been earned, but can't be taken out. The core issue is “funds contamination”: for example, someone uses dirty money from fraud or money laundering to buy USDT, this money circulates several times before it reaches you, and on the surface, it looks like a normal transaction, but once the upstream issues arise, all accounts on the funding chain will be frozen.

However, don't panic, a freeze does not mean illegal activity. As long as you can provide OTC transaction screenshots, chat records with the counterparty, and transfer vouchers, 90% of accounts can be unfrozen. But this process may require running to the bank and coordinating with the police, taking at least a few weeks to several months, consuming energy and causing anxiety, which is far less effective than preventing issues in advance.

Here are three practical suggestions:
1. Get a separate “cryptocurrency-specific card”: specifically for OTC transactions, don’t mix it with salary cards or daily expense cards to avoid affecting your living expenses when frozen;
2. Choose the right trading partner: prioritize older merchants with high credibility scores and over a year of trading history, don't be tempted by a few cents price difference to look for new accounts, the risk is not worth it;
3. Don’t be careless with details: transfer large amounts in batches, try to operate during the day (bank risk control is clearer during the day), observe for 3 days after the funds arrive, and use reasonable purposes like “goods payment” or “technical consulting fee” in the transfer remarks.

In the cryptocurrency world, being able to make money is a skill, but being able to safely put the money in your pocket is true ability. Don't wait until funds are frozen to think of remedies; it’s much better to prepare these details in advance.

In the past two years, I had a female apprentice who started with a capital of 30,000 when she first entered the circle. She couldn't even fully recognize the K-line indicators, yet who would have thought she eventually surged to 10 million. In fact, she relied on neither insider information nor any talent; the core principle was simple: make complex things simple, and then execute simple things to perfection.

Her progression was particularly clear: in the first two years, she slowly grew from 30,000 to 1.2 million, then found her rhythm, and in one year surged from 1.2 million to 6 million, finally breaking 10 million in just 5 months. It became increasingly evident — the speed of making money in the cryptocurrency space inversely correlated with the number of trades.

Initially, I didn’t let her learn those flashy techniques, focusing solely on practicing the 'N shape' pattern: first surge, then pull back to stabilize, and finally break through the previous high; only when all three steps were in place did she enter the market. If the pattern broke, she would immediately cut her position, never averaging down, holding positions, or using leverage. The stop-loss was set at 2%, and the take-profit at 10%. It was calculated that even with a win rate of only 35%, she could still make a steady profit over time.

Many people think this method is 'foolish', always fixating on a bunch of indicators to draw trend lines and chase hot news, resulting in losses the 'smarter' they become. But she was particularly obedient, leaving only a 20-day moving average on the chart, and even deliberately lightened the color, afraid that extra lines would interfere with her judgment.

In terms of capital management, I set strict rules for her: when she reached 1.2 million, she would first withdraw the initial 30,000 to secure her gains; on the day she hit 6 million, she would directly transfer half to buy stable funds and save it for a fixed term, continuing to trade with the rest. Even if the market collapsed, her foundation wouldn’t crumble. I repeatedly emphasized three iron rules to her: don’t chase highs, wait for the pattern to complete before acting; don’t hold positions, immediately exit if the stop-loss line is breached; don’t cling to trades, withdraw part of the profits once the target is achieved.

There is no 'holy grail' in the cryptocurrency market; it is essentially a 'sieve'. Be patient and filter out the complex parts, and execute the remaining simple methods to perfection, and results will naturally follow. You shouldn’t always think about finding a hundred-fold coin; if you can consistently secure 10% for 20 times, you will find that reaching 10 million is just a matter of time. I once accompanied her through many turbulent nights, and now I’m sharing this 'foolish method'. When it's your turn to stay focused and persevere, perhaps you will be the next to create a miracle.

People often ask me: "Can a 100,000 principal turn into 3 million through contracts?" The answer is yes, but first, you need to turn 2,000 into 300 USDT, taking two steps steadily, and never rush in blindly.

The first step is 'small capital snowballing,' aiming to grow from 300 USDT to 1,100 USDT. Each time, only invest 100 USDT, specifically targeting recently popular cryptocurrencies, adhering strictly to two rules: run when you double your money (for example, turning 100 USDT into 200 USDT, exit immediately without lingering), and decisively cut losses if it drops to 50 USDT. If luck is on your side and you win three times in a row, you can grow from 100 USDT to 200 USDT, 400 USDT, and then to 800 USDT, but be sure to take the profit; operate a maximum of three rounds, and stop when you reach around 1,100 USDT. This stage is highly reliant on luck; being greedy and operating once more may lead to losing back all previous profits.

The second step is 'combination punches advancement,' starting from 1,100 USDT and breaking it into three investments:
The first investment of 100 USDT is quick in and out, focusing on stable price cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, watching the 15-minute K-line; for example, the small rises often seen in the afternoon, follow up to earn 3%-5% and then withdraw, making small profits through high volume;
The second investment is a relaxed dollar-cost averaging, investing a fixed 15 USDT weekly to buy BTC contracts, if you believe it will rise from 50,000 USD to 100,000 USD in the long term, treat it as a 'digital piggy bank,' and don’t panic if it drops, hold for six months to a year, suitable for those without time to monitor the market;
The third investment uses the remaining funds to catch trends, for instance, when there is major news like the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, open a large position on BTC, but you must set rules in advance: take profit decisively (exit when you double your earnings), and don’t be soft on stop-loss (maximum loss of 20%), and know how to read news and analyze K-lines, beginners should not blindly test.

Finally, it is essential to highlight:
1. Do not exceed 1/10 of your principal in a single bet, never go All in;
2. Always set a stop-loss for each trade; this is the bottom line;
3. A maximum of three trades per day, if you feel restless, play a game to shift your focus;
4. Withdraw when you reach your target, and don’t always think about 'earning one more wave.'

Those who turn their fortunes around through contracts do not rely on luck, but are tough on themselves and strict in their operations. When asked if I am willing to guide newcomers, I always say: my light has always been on, those who are willing to walk towards the light and learn steadily will naturally see it.

The crazier the gold rises, the more uneasy I feel. Recently, I flipped through the historical trends of gold and found a rather heartbreaking pattern: in almost every round of gold bull market, it is almost unavoidable to encounter a global financial crisis. This is something everyone really needs to be reminded of.

Take the bull market from 1971 to 1980, for instance; the 1974 global financial crisis happened to fall right in the middle. The gold boom that started in 2001 is even more obvious, with the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis crashing right in, essentially confirming the pattern of 'bull market accompanied by crisis'.

What I am most uncertain about now is the direction of the US dollar. I'm afraid it will replicate the collapse-style devaluation of 1971—this risk is not impossible, and if it truly happens, I can't even imagine how crazily gold could rise. Even if it doesn’t reach a collapsing level, if Trump really returns to power, the US dollar is highly likely to continue its long-term weakness. Right now, gold is rising, which has actually preemptively digested a lot of the expectations of US dollar devaluation; when the dollar truly begins to plummet, gold might take the path of 'buying expectations, selling facts': once expectations are traded out, the reality settling in could lead to a pullback.

However, it must be made clear that there might be pitfalls in the short term for gold: if a financial crisis suddenly erupts, initially everyone will sell assets for cash, and gold might very well drop first. But looking at the previous two bull markets, one can tell that after the crisis, gold would still surge significantly before reaching its peak.

So do not blindly chase high gold prices right now; at the very least, one must understand the current price of gold in the context of the overall trend. Moreover, if a crisis truly erupts, global assets will drop, and there are plenty of cheap chips in stocks and commodities, so there’s no need to stubbornly cling to gold.

Ultimately, 'crisis' is half 'danger' and half 'opportunity'; what we should really do now is to make more money and accumulate more capital in reality. Otherwise, when the opportunity really comes, if you have no resources in hand, you can only watch others take advantage—that would be truly painful.

I can't guarantee that this opportunity will definitely come, but if it does, I will definitely remind everyone. The only thing that can be certain is: the crazier gold rises now, the closer the risk of a global financial crisis becomes. Based on this rising trend, I feel that in the next year, something significant might very well happen.

In the cryptocurrency world, many people chase highs and lows, but there is one female trader who impresses me greatly—she started with less than a thousand USDT and achieved steady asset growth in just six months. While others are busy chasing hot trends and new concepts, she always adheres to her own "defensive system," often saying: "Small funds should act like special forces, striking accurately and leaving a backup plan."

The core of this system is three simple yet effective rules:

First, layered fund allocation. She clearly divides her money: 35% for day trading, strictly capping profits at 1.8%, and she exits at the point without being greedy; another 35% waits for swing opportunities, and she never enters without a clear signal; the remaining 30% is "strategic reserve funds," which she never uses lightly. Even during market fluctuations, this money serves as her last safety net. Because of this, no matter how fiercely the market drops, she always has capital to counterattack.

Second, she focuses like a sniper. With thousands of tokens in the crypto space, she only zeroes in on two core targets. "With limited money, it must be used on the most certain opportunities," she always says, "Being distracted by too many coins can cause you to miss key signals, which is the most hidden cost for small funds." By thoroughly understanding the volatility patterns of these two targets, she has developed a sharper market instinct than others, rarely missing the rhythm.

Third, she has ingrained discipline into her very bones. Her trading rules are executed almost "mechanically": if a single trade loses 0.7%, she immediately cuts her losses; if profits reach 1.2%, she locks in half of the position's profit right away; she never chases highs out of fear of missing out (FOMO) and will not blindly add to losing positions to break even. These rules are as natural to her as breathing, and they have helped her avoid the majority of emotional trading pitfalls.

Later, she told me that for small funds to grow large, it has never relied on the miracle of "sudden doubling," but rather on steady and careful steps. Every stop loss is tuition, and every profit is building confidence. The essence of this trade is a zero-sum game; the ones who truly laugh last are not the ones who predict the best, but those who make fewer mistakes and can control risks—the "defensive faction."

How to plan funds, how to grasp timing, how to control rhythm, I can slowly share with you, helping you avoid years of detours; sometimes it just takes these few straightforward words.

Crypto mogul Zhao Changpeng (CZ) recently made a statement that directly hit the pain points of many project teams: "If the project is solid, exchanges will rush to list it; if you have to beg to get listed, you should seriously consider who is creating value." Although this statement is straightforward, it reveals the core logic of the crypto world, and beginners can avoid many pitfalls by understanding it.

First, truly capable projects never need to "beg for opportunities." CZ's point is very clear: there is no need to get tangled up in whether the listing fee is expensive or to complain about the strict conditions for airdrops. If a project has real strength, centralized exchanges (CEX) will actively seek them out, fearing they might miss out on traffic dividends. In contrast, many project teams, lacking mature products and stable users, rush to “spend money to buy listing qualifications,” only to have no trading volume after going live and quickly fade into obscurity. Ultimately, the listing fee is never the issue; the key is the project’s inherent weakness.

Secondly, don’t get fixated on competitors; users are the core. CZ also pointed out an important logic: “There is no fixed model in the decentralized space; if you think the listing fee is high, set it to 0; if you want to list for free, decentralized exchanges (DEX) are the choice.” Just like PancakeSwap, which has zero listing fees yet managed to generate trading volume through exceptional user experience and real profits. This indicates that the market does not care about the fee model; it only cares about whether users can “use it comfortably and earn real profits.”

Furthermore, beginners need to understand the CEX listing logic. CZ explained that CEX listings roughly fall into three categories: fully open chains that welcome almost everyone, but where junk projects and scam coins are clustered, posing high risks; screening types that charge listing fees or require airdrops, essentially filtering out inferior projects; and mixed types that rely on deposits and tiered listings to balance safety and returns. Therefore, there’s no need to get bogged down in “whether the fees are justified;” this is merely a strategic choice of the exchange.

Lastly, remember that CZ’s underlying message is clear: project teams should focus on refining their products, strengthening their ecosystems, and retaining users; exchanges should uphold their bottom line to protect users and filter quality projects. The listing fee is just a minor issue; true competitiveness is not about “spending money to buy spots,” but about making exchanges “afraid not to list.” Weak projects, no matter how they struggle, will find it hard to make an impact.

During this period of observing the market, I have always felt that the bull market is not over yet. If this judgment is correct, in the last wave of the market, the upward potential of many popular coins is quite promising. Here are the target levels I have in mind, and I’d like to share my thoughts:

First, let’s look at Bitcoin, which anchors the overall market and serves as the 'stabilizing force' for the entire market. As long as the bull market atmosphere is not dissipated, there is a high probability of another upward surge. I personally estimate it could reach the range of 130,000-150,000, after all, the previous upward trend was very stable, coupled with continuous institutional capital entering the market, this range is not considered aggressive.

As the second in line, ETH's breakout above the previous high is highly probable. The DeFi and NFT ecosystems continue to thrive, and the technological advantages post-merge are gradually being released. The previous high pressure is not significant; I see no problem reaching above 5000, and it might even exceed expectations and go higher.

DOGE, as a long-standing popular coin in the meme coin category, has always maintained a high level of interest. As long as market sentiment rises, it can easily follow the trend and surge, likely approaching its previous high—after all, it has never fallen behind in any market movement.

Next, let’s look at public chains and track coins: APT has recently made impressive progress in establishing its ecosystem, and there is high capital attention; the correction seems to be in place, and I estimate it can reach above 15; SUI and APT are competing products in the same track, and there has been a decent impulse in the past; if the subsequent momentum keeps up, the target of 6 is likely achievable.

ADA's community foundation has always been solid, and there have been many positive developments previously; as long as the market drives sentiment, the space above 1.5 can be opened up; UNI, as the leader in the DEX track, has always maintained trading volume online, and in a bull market, the demand for DEX usage will increase, making the price level of 12 not difficult for it to break through.

There are also a few niche but highly explosive coins: FARTCOIN has recently seen rapid growth, and small-cap coins inherently have explosive potential, looking at a target of 1; ONDO is a standout in the RWA track, with the track's tailwind and capital support, my expectation is 1.5.

However, the market is always full of variables. These are estimates based on the current market situation and the characteristics of the coins. Everyone should make judgments based on their position and risk tolerance. The crypto world is never about luck; finding the right method and having someone to guide you can turn a difficult situation around.

Today, my apprentice called me from the underground parking lot holding her phone, her voice trembling: “Sister! The cryptocurrency market has collapsed 828 million in 24 hours, with BTC accounting for 280 million, and global stock markets are also falling. Should we liquidate everything?”

I opened the market software, and indeed, everything was in the red, except for precious metals, coal, and bank stocks which barely showed some gains, but panic solves nothing. I told her to hurry to the office, pulled her down to sit and said slowly: “This drop is caused by three things coming together. First, two regional banks in the US, Zions and Western Alliance, exploded with loan fraud, their stock prices fell over 10%, the KBW Bank Index hit its biggest drop in half a year, and the market is afraid of another ‘Silicon Valley Bank’ situation. The panic index VIX shot up to 25.31, and all the money rushed to gold, pushing the gold price to a new high of over 4300 dollars.”

“Then there’s trade; the US is again shouting about imposing a 500% tariff on China. Although it has no practical significance, it adds to the chaos. Plus, the US government has been shut down for three weeks, losing 15 billion every day. Everyone has lost confidence in economic recovery. And the AI tech stocks and blockchain sector that rose too quickly earlier are now deflating, and institutions are withdrawing funds to buy stable assets like banks and oil.”

The apprentice frowned and asked, “Could there still be black swans?”

I chuckled: “The worst is probably this much. Think about it, the impact of the bank failures will gradually be digested, trade frictions are likely just talk, and the government can’t stay out of work forever, right? Moreover, interest rate cuts are already on the way; even if it’s just 25 basis points, it will release liquidity. Investors won’t keep their money tightly clenched forever.”

As I spoke, I opened the trading software and taught her how to adjust the pyramid orders: “What we practiced before ‘stability’ is going to be useful now; don’t panic with the market. There’s room to pick up cheap chips when the market is down; just buy in batches and manage your positions well. Did you forget? We went from 13,000 U to 450,000 before, relying on staying steady when others were panicking, right? Be confident, let’s keep practicing this time!”

People often ask me if I’m willing to mentor newcomers, and I always say: my light is always on. Those who are willing to walk towards the light and learn earnestly will naturally see it.

Staring at the fluctuating K-lines on my phone, I suddenly recalled eight years ago — with 50,000 yuan in capital, I ventured from Changsha to Shanghai, even choosing the cheapest rental apartment. Who would have dared to think that now I could own a large flat in both my hometown and Shanghai, and save up a fortune of 20 million.

Don't think that I relied on insider information or luck; after eight years in the crypto world, I know best: what can stand the test of time is never some 'shortcut smart trick', but rather a seemingly 'foolish' yet extraordinarily reliable approach.

Today, I will share with you three insights gained from these eight years of practical experience: understanding each one might help you lose tens of thousands less; if you can master all three, you would have outperformed 90% of retail investors by now.

First, going with the flow is fundamental. The core of trading is to go with the trend; whether buying low and selling high or selling high and buying low, to make big money you must follow the trend — the level of the trend directly determines the profit ceiling. In the past two years, Bitcoin has become so hot that everyone was talking about it, and many people around me were frantically chasing high positions, only to be repeatedly harvested by the market. In fact, the upward space had already peaked at that time. I always remind myself to stay calm like watching the waters of the Huangpu River, not to force emotions onto the market, and certainly not to go against the trend.

Second, extreme patience is key. Those who achieve great things understand 'endurance', just like Sima Yi who steadfastly defended the camp and exhausted the Shu army. This is even more important in trading: the capital market is mostly chaotic and volatile, and clear major trends are rare. To seize significant opportunities, one must endure the wait. Those without patience who frequently place orders will not go far; I once waited three whole months for a clear trend without making a single trade, watching others operate back and forth, losing and gaining. I resisted the temptation, and the last time I entered the market, I earned back half a year's target profits.

Third, stay away from high leverage. Leverage is a 'double-edged sword'; even if you can handle it a hundred times, just one backlash can bring you back to square one. Many of my friends who trade futures have fallen victim to this — the more experienced they are, the more prone to arrogance they become. As the saying goes: 'those who drown are often good swimmers.' High leverage magnifies human weaknesses infinitely, distorting operations; being correct 99 times does not withstand one mistake.

Ultimately, the crypto world is not a place to gamble on luck. Find the right method, have someone guide you, and even the toughest situation can be turned around.

Sun Yat-sen once said that in a fast-paced era, the allocation of resources and directional anchoring for young people often determines their future heights. I deeply agree: before 30, one should not be bound by traditional labels—there's no need to be obsessed with buying a house or a car, nor rush into marriage. Instead, it's better to invest limited cash flow into self-improvement and high-potential areas.

The fixed pressure of mortgage in county towns is far less valuable than the information density in first-tier cities—opportunities and perspectives there are the growth nutrients that young people should capture. Marriage is essentially a deep partnership; before 30, most people have not yet developed mature collaborative thinking, and rashly tying oneself down can easily lead to internal strife.

As for 'investing in oneself', it is by no means a formalism of signing up for a bunch of courses. The core is to leave 20% of the time for trial and error exploration, using 80% of the energy for review and iteration, so that each practice can be transformed into growth nutrients. I often remind myself to treat my personal social media account as a 'digital asset'—followers are not just cold numbers but a value stream that can accumulate infinite leverage for long-term development.

When it comes to wealth, I have always believed that making money legally is fundamental: one must first have the ability to create wealth to have the confidence to care for others and participate in social change. True wealth freedom is never just a numbers game in an account, but rather not having to compromise emotions for money, relinquish dignity, or be consumed by trivial matters that drain core attention. This requires us to confront our limitations early on—acknowledging shortcomings can actually help us find entry points for wealth faster, after all, 'acknowledgment' is the first step to change.

What truly supports the expansion of a career is the triple resonance of capital, traffic, and policy; missing any link makes it difficult to form a climate. Moreover, compound interest does not only belong to money; the healthy accumulation, enhancement of knowledge, and sedimentation of personal brands all have their own growth curves. With sustained effort, one will eventually see the power of compound interest. These reflections are not dogma, but help us maintain clarity and determination amidst complex choices.