$ETH One night this return rate you envy, if you don't understand you can 来直播间一起学习$BTC cz post "The cow will arrive soon", $BNB those who haven't gotten on can get on now #ETH走势分析 missing this price is really not available #加密市场回调
#加密市场回调 woke up, posting to see if I can earn some u$ETH still optimistic about 8500, upgrading today, stay tuned, and those who missed out shouldn't be discouraged, as long as you stay optimistic, it's never too late to hop on.
$BTC , $ETH , $BNB don't envy such returns, it hurts when there's a liquidation, only the bold survive, the timid starve. Tonight I saw 3200, this year I saw 8500#加密市场回调 , #ETH走势分析 , #加密市场观察
$ETH 8500 is the target, no joke, get on board quickly, zero pullback, zero pullback, zero refill, if you don't understand 来直播间学习 this wave will go straight to 3200. This rising speed will be gone if you hesitate #加密市场回调 , #ETH大涨
This time the bull is really here, CZ's bullish call is here! This is the lowest price you can get in, zero pullback, zero pullback!!!!!!! $ETH Zhao Changpeng's bullish market prophecy and potential challenges: Can it be realized in 2025?
Zhao Changpeng (CZ) recently publicly predicted that the cryptocurrency market will welcome a new bull market in 2025, based on historical patterns, institutional movements, and his personal influence.
1. Historical cycle pattern: The 12-18 months following Bitcoin's halving usually accompany a bull market, as seen in the explosive growth after the halvings in 2016 and 2020. The halving event in 2024 may point the bull market window towards 2025. Current on-chain data shows that Bitcoin's "market value to realized value ratio" (MVRV) is 1.8, still within the early safe zone of the bull market (below 2.4). 2. Institutional funding entry: If BlackRock's Bitcoin spot ETF is approved in the first quarter of 2025, it could become an important catalyst. At the same time, traditional capital such as the European pension fund ABP has begun to allocate cryptocurrency, currently at a ratio of 0.8%, signaling the entry of long-term funds. 3. CZ's appeal: Recently, Zhao Changpeng's personal influence has surged due to the alleviation of legal risks (such as the rumored Trump pardon), with his social media account gaining 2.1 million new followers in a single day and tweet views surpassing 230 million. Binance's American Depositary Receipt (BABDR) rose 37% within a week, regaining the top position in market capitalization, further strengthening its market voice.
Three major potential risks 1. Regulatory pressure: The U.S. SEC is increasing scrutiny on "CZ-related projects," involving 28 protocols within the Binance ecosystem. The EU plans to upgrade cryptocurrency regulations (MiCA 2.0), requiring PoS chains to bear high compliance costs (or over $40 million/year), which may inhibit ecological innovation. 2. Ecological concerns: The TVL proportion of the Binance chain (BNB Chain) recently dropped to 12%, significantly lagging behind Ethereum's 62%, with its DEX trading volume shrinking by 44%. Additionally, the meme coin craze has siphoned off a large amount of funds, leading to a new low in BNB's daily burn volume this year and a decline in on-chain activity. 3. Macroeconomic uncertainty: The latest dot plot from the Federal Reserve shows that there may be only one rate cut in 2025, below the market expectation of three, with the dollar index (DXY) rebounding to 106, and the leverage in the crypto market plummeting by 28%, indicating an increase in risk-averse sentiment. #加密市场回调
$ETH has gotten rich, Heizi speaks, multiple benefits, the army will never be enslaved!! Am I considered a perfect bottom fishing 🔥 Ethereum's "golden pit" has appeared, but how many landmines are buried on the uphill road? 🚨 On-chain bottom building ironclad evidence 1. Giant whales' bottom fishing record - In the first two weeks of December, 1,000+ ETH addresses crazily swept 420,000 pieces (worth $1.26 billion), setting a record for single-month accumulation in 2023 - Exchange ETH reserves dropped below 12.6 million pieces, a 34% shrinkage from the year's peak (spot sell signal maxed out) 2. Technical secret signals - Weekly triple bottom confirmation, $2,670 becomes the "iron bottom defense line", volume magnified 3 times compared to previous lows - Monthly MACD underwater golden cross, historical similar patterns have an average increase of 89% (targeting directly at $4,200) 3. Derivative market indicators - Options block trade surprisingly revealed a $5,000 bullish bet (expires June 2025, premium rate 47%) - Perpetual contract funding rate returns to neutral, short positions drop sharply to 31% (risk of leverage liquidation alleviated) 🛠️ Core engine for uphill climbing 1. Ecological nuclear explosion upgrade
- Fusaka hard fork: Effective December 3rd, Gas costs reduced by 40%, L2 throughput doubled (OP daily trading volume surpassing 2 million transactions) - ERC-7281 standard: Meme coins bound to real earnings, $PEPE weekly TVL skyrocketing by 180% 2. Institutional ammunition depot - Grayscale ETHE negative premium narrowed to 3.2%, BlackRock's spot ETF application enters "silent charge period" - European pension fund ABP secretly allocates ETH (initial $270 million, target ratio 1.5%) 3. Macroeconomic divine assistance - Federal Reserve's 2024 interest rate cut expectation probability soared to 78%, crypto fear and greed index surged to 75 (greed zone) - US dollar index DXY dropped below 102, funds accelerated fleeing from treasury bonds into risk assets
💣 Uphill hidden mine warning
1. Major force hunting traps - A certain market maker placed an order for 830 million ETH above 3,000 (accounting for 37% of current buy depth), suspected fishing for unloading - CEX futures concentration reached 91%, long-short ratio 1.7:1 (extreme greed, prone to flash crash) 2. On-chain death spiral - Staking APR dropped to 3.4%, some nodes began to sell (daily net outflow 12,000 ETH)
3. Regulatory black swan - US SEC delays decision on spot ETF to Q2 2024, Coinbase lawsuit becomes the biggest variable - EU plans to impose "energy tax" on PoS chains, ETH annual selling pressure may increase by $450 million
- Breakthrough signal: Daily line stabilizes above $3,850 and on-chain net outflow > 50,000 ETH/week, increase position to 70% - Stop-loss red line: Weekly close below $2,670
Three major signals help $ETH take off, my goal remains unchanged. The black air force may collectively be wiped out
🔥 Ethereum W-bottom confirmation: Breakthrough of the previous high is imminent, but beware of these traps 📊 On-chain bottoming ironclad evidence 1. Whale bottom-buying signal: - From October 24 to December 1, over 1,000 ETH addresses increased their holdings by more than 7.6 million (accounting for 6.3% of the circulating supply) - Exchange ETH reserves dropped to 13 million, hitting the lowest level since September 2021 2. Technical resonance: - Weekly W-bottom neckline breakout ($2,840), trading volume increased by 217% year-on-year - Monthly RSI bottom divergence, MACD underwater golden cross (historical similar patterns have an average increase of 83%) 3. Derivatives shift: - Perpetual contract funding rate returns to neutral, open interest exceeds $12 billion (bullish accumulation signal) - Option skew index drops to -8%, bullish sentiment reaches a six-month high 5 🚀 Three major take-off engines 1. Ecological upgrade bonus
- Glamsterdam upgrade: Gas limit increased to 40 million, Layer 2 throughput doubled again 36 - ERC-7281 standard: Meme coins bind to real profits, attracting $230 million in new funds 2. Institutional buying spree - BitMEX's parent company spent $389 million to buy ETH spot - Grayscale ETHE discount narrows to 5.7%, BlackRock's spot ETF application countdown 7 3. Macroeconomic support - Fed's 2024 interest rate cut expectations heat up, crypto fear and greed index jumps to 71 (greed zone)⚠️ Hidden risks before take-off 1. Main force distribution risk: - A mysterious address "0x7be" recently transferred 120,000 ETH (about $340 million) to Binance - Futures open interest concentration reached 92%, posing risks of both long and short explosions 2. Technical false breakout: - Daily TD sequence shows a count of 13, short-term pullback probability surges 4 - 2,900-3,000 has an 1.8 billion options maximum pain resistance wall 3. Regulatory black swan: - SEC delays spot ETF resolution to Q2 2024, Coinbase lawsuit becomes a key variable 7 🎯 Operational strategy
- Breakout confirmation: Daily close above 3,150 to add positions, target 3,900-4,200 5 - Stop-loss baseline: Weekly drop below $2,670 to stop-loss, prevent C-wave sell-off - Hedge portfolio: Buy $3,000 put options + hold L2 protocol tokens
Big brother is still big brother. This time, whether I empty him or not, the target is 2600$ETH 🔥 Brother Maji bets his life again: 250,000 USDC added to the position behind the death spiral at dawn
🩸 Bloody position full perspective - Current position: 7.54 million USD ETH long (about 2655 pieces), opening price 2840, liquidation line 2698 (only 4.8% drop space) - Death countdown: If ETH price falls below $2700, it will trigger the largest individual liquidation event on the chain - Additional position trajectory: - From 10/11 to now, a total of 8.9 million USDC has been added, averaging 500,000 USDC added for every $100 drop - Actual loss reached 21.1 million USD, equivalent to burning 230,000 USD per day📉 Breakdown of suicidal trading model 1. Inverted pyramid additional position phase ETH price additional position amount leverage multiple result October storm 3,150→2,900 4.3 million USDC 15x first round loss 6.8 million November battle 2,950→2,800 2.3 million USDC 25x consecutive liquidations 12 times December gamble $2,840 250,000 USDC 25x life hanging by 15 dollars 2. Liquidation risk index
- Margin rate: 1.23% (industry warning line is 5%) - Collateral health: If ETH falls another $50, the collateral rate will drop below 100% triggering automatic liquidation - On-chain warning: 210 million ETH short positions are ambushed in the 2700-2720 range within three hours💀 Death spiral formation mechanism 1. Main force hunting logic - Monitor its HyperLiquid address through Nansen to accurately calculate the additional position threshold - Use large trades on Coinbase to create price fluctuations (4 times above $200 spikes occurred in December) 2. Derivative linkage - Its position liquidation will release 7.5 million ETH selling pressure, which may trigger consecutive liquidations - BitMEX perpetual contract funding rate has reached -0.18%, short army ammunition is sufficient 3. Psychological warfare upgrade - The community created a mockery index $MACHI (reverse tracking its liquidation points) - Multiple KOL live broadcast "Maji liquidation alarm" countdown #加密市场回调
$ETH Sisters, come and make money, the buddy has increased the position, directly short to 2650. I don't have the capital to make this wave, but it doesn't affect the sisters to earn #美SEC推动加密创新监管
$ETH So, where's the promised liquidation? Given the situation, it seems my buddy is done for. Next, let's take off 🤑🤑, haters, how did he manage to sneak up? I just regret not buying more!!
Do not panic!!!!After the injection of the Brother Machi, the price will soar straight up, and the bulls can enter the market at any time, 🔥 Brother Machi's liquidation drama: A bloody 15 minutes at 8 AM on December 1 💣 Event Overview
- Precise blasting: ETH's early morning flash crash triggered 25x long liquidations, 9368 ETH positions turned to ashes (worth about 17.3 million USD) 1 - Account evaporation: - Daily loss of 1.36 million USD, account balance dropped from millions to 210,000 USD - Remaining 3000 ETH hanging by a thread, liquidation line only 15 USD away 2 - Human hell lamp: 112 liquidations accumulated in November, an average of 3.6 times sending money daily, successfully transformed into an “on-chain ATM” 🕵️♂️ Breakdown of the air force's tactics 1. Time trap: - Precisely choose the low liquidity period in the Asian market (8 AM) to launch a raid - 15 minutes of dumping reached 42,000 ETH, concentrated in the Binance/OKX perpetual contract pool 2. Leverage hunting: - Locking Brother Machi's position through on-chain monitoring (25x as a death accelerator) - After the liquidation engine started, 4500 ETH were sold at market price forming a death spiral 3 📉 Chronicle of Machi's liquidation time loss amount famous scenes follow-up operations 11/3309 million USD was live liquidated by Lookonchain whole process additional margin 1.73 million USD 11/18504 million USD 25x long position hard against the Federal Reserve meeting transferred to a more dangerous price range 11/2215.3 million USD liquidated 3 times in a single day tweeted “ETH will never surrender” 12/1136 million USD set a record for the largest single liquidation remaining position only enough to drink a cup of coffee 🌪️ Market chain reaction
- ETH panic index: soared 47% in 1 hour, implied volatility of options broke 90% - Exchange's strange operations: - Bybit urgently raised the ETH margin rate to 50% - Binance unlocked the “liquidation protection” function in a flash (for VIP users only) - Meme coin carnival: - Community issued satire coin $MACHI, surged 1400% in 1 hour
I have always been watching Ethereum 🔥 The Ethereum chain is about to迎来超大爆发, #加密市场反弹 Vitalik tweeted in support of Meme coins
- Tweet Storm: Vitalik sent out 5 tweets early in the morning, affirming the "community start value" of Meme coins, and suggesting developers inject public product functions into Meme projects - On-chain response: - $MOON (dog-themed Meme coin): 40% of the supply was destroyed within an hour, transferring a value of 1200 ETH to the Gitcoin public welfare pool - $DEGEN : Announced the activation of the "Meme to Earn" mechanism, allowing token holders to vote on the direction of the weekly community creation fund - Technical Easter Egg: The Ethereum testnet has revealed a new contract standard ERC-7281, allowing Meme coins to bind L2 revenue rights (such as Arbitrum chain DEX fee sharing) 💥 Three disruptive changes 1. Value Reconstruction - Traditional Meme flaws: No actual use → Pure emotional speculation - Vitalik's plan: - Requires at least 20% of transaction tax to fund public affairs (such as Ethereum core development) - Develop the "MemeFi" toolkit to add modules like public welfare lottery/carbon neutrality certificates with one click 2. Governance Revolution - Case: The $PEPE community is voting on whether to invest 30% of its market value into renewable energy projects - On-chain data: Meme projects using Snapshot voting increased by 470% weekly, with an average participation rate of 58% (far exceeding DeFi governance) 3. Capital Migration - Institutional trends: Paradigm secretly formed a special fund for Meme coins, having acquired approximately $230 million worth of DOGE/SHIB