juice13

In the cryptocurrency world for seven years, I have learned to keep my mouth shut.

In 2023, an older sister listened to my advice and bought Ethereum. After a 50% increase, she kept asking, "Should I sell?"

I advised her to HODL, but she kept asking, and I understood: she only wanted me to nod. I said, "Sell it." She placed the order in seconds, and later ETH doubled again. When she asked me about coins, I reminded her of the dinner debt that had been overdue for two years, and from then on, she fell silent.

Entering the scene in 2018, seven years have passed. The higher my level, the fewer friends I have. Thousands of fans, endless likes, yet not a single one truly understands.

They ask, "What do you think of this altcoin?" I reply, "I don’t know." They are shocked, thinking I’m playing coy. But I genuinely don’t know. To study a project, one must look at the whitepaper, unlock schedules, on-chain data, and a month is considered fast. When they ask how much it can rise, I still don’t know. Experts are not fortune-tellers.

I advised relatives to buy BTC in a bull market, and they said, "Wait for the MEME to break even." I smiled wryly, "By the time you break even, Layer 2 will be on its third generation." They acknowledge you as an expert, yet want you to play by the logic of a novice: only buy at low prices, only buy what they are stuck with, only sell when they want to sell. It's like a wife who can't drive but directs the experienced driver every day.

Someone followed my trade, boasted in the group after making a profit, even leveraged to surpass me. Next time they ask, I counter, "What do I gain?" Three years without a red envelope, I’m tired of it. I stay up late analyzing data while they go all-in in five minutes and blame me when they get liquidated. Help once, bear a lifetime of burden.

There was a time when ETH's pattern was perfect; I advised a friend to liquidate, saying there were anomalies on-chain. Later, it really crashed. He avoided the loss but never contacted me again, thinking I was in the know. Another time, I helped a friend double her SOL and escape at the peak; she blamed me for not calling it at the highest point. I was speechless.

Later, when a friend asked about profits, I screenshot my wallet, and we parted ways forever. They said I was showing off; back then, they had villas and luxury cars while I worked odd jobs. Who's showing off?

The loneliness of the cryptocurrency world is that you increase your position in a bear market while others cut their losses; when you escape at the peak, others say you’re just lucky. No more advice, no more explanations.

After seven years, I have learned to keep my mouth shut. If you also look at on-chain data and calculate unlocks, we don’t need to talk to understand each other. @juice13

A fan who trades spot asked me: Master, why are you always so leisurely, only making three or four waves a year, yet you can always double your money?

I pushed my teacup aside and shared the following with him.

First, enlarge the cycle. Treat all fluctuations below the daily line as noise; the 4-hour chart is only for viewing structure, while the real signals for betting must appear on the daily or even weekly charts.

Use very light positions for trial trades, like throwing stones to ask for directions. Once the weekly close confirms the direction, gradually increase the positions, placing stop-losses just outside the opposing low points on the weekly K—wide enough for the market to breathe freely and wide enough for oneself to sleep well.

From opening to closing, it takes at least a month.

During this time, I don’t watch the market; I only spend three minutes after the daily close to compare with my plan: where am I in the current segment, is it a trend continuation or a consolidation? Just having it in mind is enough.

The rest of the time is spent reading, working out, coding, and even taking on a part-time job, treating trading as a side business.

People around me only know I “make some investments”; no one knows I actually hold a seven-figure position.

They can’t hold on because all they see are floating profits and losses.

I only see the life and death of trends: as long as the structure isn’t broken, I treat this position as if it doesn’t exist.

Nine out of ten small stop losses are in vain, but the tenth can recover all costs in one go, plus an entire year’s living expenses. Big money is given by the market, not pointed out by fingers.

Afraid of being anxious? Then start with 0.1 lots and double up as you go. Lower the frequency, and the leverage can naturally increase; if the frequency is high, even gods can’t save you. Remember, no matter how sharp a system is, it can’t withstand high-frequency wear and tear.

Capture three or four waves in a year, with each wave targeting 50%; when compounded, that’s a double.

Don’t be afraid of fewer market movements; the crypto space is never short of fluctuations; what’s scary is treating every fluctuation as a market movement.

Follow @juice13 to reduce trading frequency, allowing the market to work for you; this is the only way to live long and prosper increasingly.

Don't rush to place orders with a small capital!

I have seen too many beginners with a few hundred to a thousand U, thinking of "doubling their money in one go," and as a result, they are out of the market in less than half a month due to liquidation.

But I have guided a complete novice, starting with 1200U, who turned it into 25,000 U in 4 months, and now their account is stable at over 38,000 U+, without once being liquidated.

This is not luck; it is the core logic that helped me go from over 8000 U to financial freedom, which I will share with you today:

First, divide the funds into three parts; staying alive brings opportunities.

Split 1200U into three parts of 400U:

One part for day trading, only focusing on 1 order daily, take profit once the target is hit, and never get attached to a losing trade;
One part for swing trading, do not chase small fluctuations, wait for clear trends before acting, aiming for profits of over 10%;
The last part as a reserve, absolutely do not touch — this is the capital for recovery during poor market conditions.
Many people fail because they think "all in with no way back"; remember: staying alive makes it possible to earn back.

Second, only catch the major trends; random actions equal giving away money.

80% of the time in the crypto market is spent in consolidation; frequently opening trades just incurs transaction fees for the market. When there's no trend, be patient; for example, if BTC is sideways for over 3 days, close the software; wait until it breaks the consolidation range or stabilizes at key moving averages, then enter when the trend is clear. Moreover, if profits exceed 20% of your capital, withdraw 30% to secure profits. "Stay inactive most of the time, but when you act, do it steadily," is much more reliable than trading every day.

Third, use rules to lock emotions; don’t rely on feelings to place orders.

Set three strict rules in advance: set a stop-loss at 2%, cut the position at the target even if there’s a subsequent rebound; if profits exceed 4%, reduce the position by half and let the remaining profits run; never increase your position during losses; don’t fantasize about "lowering the average price." You don’t need to be accurate every time, but execution must be in place — the highest level of making money is letting rules handle your emotions, and not letting greed or panic disrupt your rhythm.

Small capital has never been the issue; the problem is always thinking about "getting rich overnight."

Turning 1200U into 38,000 U is not about gambling, but about controlling risks and waiting for opportunities systematically.

If you are still losing sleep over the fluctuations of a few hundred U, not knowing how to allocate funds or find trends, I would be happy to slowly share this method with you.

Avoid three years of detours; sometimes, it just takes understanding "how to be steady," rather than "how to be fast." @juice13 #ETH走势分析

That early morning, a fan suddenly messaged me: “Brother, there are only 1000U left in the account, is it completely hopeless?”

At that time, I was staring at the market; his words revealed despair — losing to the point of numbness, the account was at rock bottom, with only a last breath hanging on.

I didn't beat around the bush and directly asked him: “If you want to turn things around, listen to me; from now on, no reckless operations.”

In the eyes of many, a thousand U is just a “wasted account balance,” but those who truly understand trading know that this is precisely the stage most suitable for a breakthrough. I told him to steady his hands first, to replace the thoughts of “hurrying to recover losses” with “focusing on executing rules.”

After half a minute of silence, he replied with three words: “Brother, I believe.”

In the next three days, we moved step by step like overcoming levels.

On the first day, locking in $ZEC , the moment the breakout pattern was confirmed, I had him enter the market with 200U.

Two hours later, when he messaged me with a trembling voice: “So this is how money can be made?” The second night, watching the rhythm of Ethereum, the market gave a clear signal, and I shouted “Go,” he held steady, and when the account returned to 800U, he said he laughed out loud.

The third challenge was the most critical, and he was surprisingly steady. No impulsive gambling behavior, just patience, rhythm, and rules. After three challenges, 1000U turned into 2400U.

I immediately told him to stop: “That's enough, no more moves.” He said: “Brother, for the first time, I feel that I can survive in the crypto world.”

Later, I helped him replan: withdraw part of the funds for long-term investment, and slowly roll the remaining funds, strictly controlling the position, steady and deliberate.

In fact, many people don't lose because they have little capital, but because the more they lose, the more anxious they become, and the more anxious they are, the more chaotic it gets, ultimately leading to a total collapse. His turnaround was simply because he was willing to let go of impulse at the lowest point and follow the right direction.

Now his account grows steadily every day, neither spiking nor crashing, shifting from “wanting to turn things around” to “growing.”
I’ve always said that the crypto world is never a casino, but a place that amplifies understanding and discipline. What you lack is never luck, but a person who can guide you in the right direction.

If at this moment you also have only a few hundred or a few thousand U left, don’t rush to abandon yourself.

If you want to turn things around, come find me. It’s not about luck; it’s all about practical combat logic.

As long as you are willing to settle down, I will guide you step by step. @juice13

As a person from Hunan, being 30 years old and owning two apartments in Shanghai, one for my family and one for daily life, this stability comes from my relentless efforts in the cryptocurrency world for 7 years.

When I first entered the crypto space, I had no strategy and lost over 200,000, leaving me with only 50,000.

But I didn't give up; instead, I grasped the core of profitability:

The speed of making money is inversely proportional to the number of trades.

My comeback was in three steps:

From 50,000 to 2 million took exactly 2 years;

From 2 million to 10 million took one year;

From 10 million to 50 million took only 3 months.

I only focused on the "N" shape candlestick pattern throughout:

Spike, retracement, breakout; once the rhythm is established, I enter the market;

If the pattern breaks, I cut my position immediately.

No averaging down, no holding positions, no leverage; fixed stop loss at 2%, take profit locked at 10%. Later calculations showed that as long as the win rate reached 35%, I could make a profit.

Many people are addicted to MACD and RSI indicators, drawing trend lines and refreshing news every day, but the smarter they think they are, the faster they lose.

I instead simplified the chart, leaving only a light-colored 20-day moving average to avoid interference in judgment.

Every day, I open the exchange and scan the 4-hour chart; if there’s no suitable "N" shape pattern, I close the software. If there’s a suitable setup, I set my stop loss and take profit, and my total trading time doesn’t exceed 5 minutes a day. The rest of the time is either spent drinking coffee or walking my dog.

After making money, I never hesitate:

When I reached 2 million, I first withdrew 50,000 as a safety net;

When I reached 6 million, I took out half to invest in U.S. stocks as a safety net, and continued to snowball the rest.

Even if the market crashes, I have an exit strategy.

In these years, I have always adhered to three iron rules:

Do not chase prices; wait for the "N" shape pattern to complete before taking action;

Do not hold positions; if the stop loss is breached, exit immediately;

Do not be attached to the battle; once I reach my target, I take some profits.

There is no holy grail in crypto that guarantees profits; only patience to filter out distractions and greed.

Don’t always think about hundredfold coins; if you can consistently achieve 10% returns 20 times in a row, reaching 10 million is just a matter of time.

I have endured the darkest phase, and now I share this "foolproof method" with you. May you take fewer detours and shine on your own track as soon as possible. @juice13 #加密市场反弹

Meet an old expert in the cryptocurrency circle, turning 100,000 in capital into a market value of 42 million,

He said something that enlightened me: “The cryptocurrency market is full of a crowd chasing rises and falls; keeping your emotions in check, this market will be your ATM.”

Having been in the cryptocurrency space for these years, I have also figured out a foolproof method to make money, which boils down to three points: don’t earn small money, don’t lose big money, and only follow trends.

This sounds simple, but it’s very difficult to put into practice. Many people open a position at 80,000, feel great when it rises to 84,000 and take profits, earning 5% but missing out on a subsequent 50% increase; $BTC

Next time they try to be smart and want to make big money, they hold their position when it rises from 80,000 to 84,000, but the market falls back below 80,000, resulting in a stop-loss and a loss instead.

Many people spend their whole lives caught in this dilemma, unable to find a way out.

My approach is simple but solid:

Only focus on mainstream coins that drop deep and then slowly stabilize, and I don’t touch new coins no matter how flashy they are.

I don’t guess where the bottom is; I wait for it to clearly stabilize, first throwing in 10% of my position as a bottom position, never impulsively trying to catch the bottom.

When the trend is confirmed to go up, I add another 20%-30% position during the pullback.

Others always think of buying at the lowest point, but I do not — I add to my position only when the trend is stable, even if the cost is a bit higher, it is better than being stuck halfway up the mountain.

The key is to take profits:

Every time there’s a price increase, first take out the principal and half of the profits to secure them, letting the remaining position be tossed around by the market.

No matter how crazy the market is, I sell when I hit my preset target, never being greedy. Money in hand is real profit.

Last year, I helped a brother who lost over 600,000 using this method; within six months, he not only broke even but earned enough for a Mercedes Benz e-class.

The cryptocurrency space is never short of smart people; what it lacks are the 'foolish' people who can control their hands and endure.

When everyone is chasing rises and falls, if you methodically follow the trend, you can actually pick up the money others drop.

Either continue losing with the 'smart moves' or follow my foolish method — steady approach, no greed, every penny earned is solid. @juice13

I once faced liquidation 3 times, heavily in debt, owing up to 200,000 at my peak. $BTC

At that time, I wanted to give up countless times, but in the end, I gritted my teeth and persevered.

In the last instance, I took the remaining 50,000 and used the simplest strategy to gradually roll over my positions, ultimately achieving an 8-digit amount.

My biggest realization along this journey is:

Small losses, big gains; cut losses short, let profits run.

I no longer pursue a high win rate but focus on the risk-reward ratio.

I use the simplest indicators to identify long and short positions, only going long in a bullish market and never taking contrarian positions.

I choose my entry points at critical trend locations, such as bottom areas or the early stages of a trend, where stop losses are small; if I'm wrong, the cost is also minimal.

My base position is always light, and risk is always my top priority.

My position must be able to withstand the maximum historical consecutive losses, and I have to be even more conservative.

Stop loss is my bottom line for trading; once a key point is breached, I immediately cut my losses without hesitation. Even if the price bounces back, I wait for the next opportunity and never hold onto a losing position, nor do I increase my position size when in loss.

After floating profits appear, I begin to add to my position.

When there is a pullback or a breakout past previous highs, I add to my position in a pyramid manner and move my stop loss accordingly. The base position is already secure; the added portion is where the risk lies.

If the market continues to rise, I firmly hold my position, continue to await pullbacks to add to my position, and keep moving up my stop loss until the last movement is stopped out or there are clear topping signals.

As for taking profits, I never exit easily.

I patiently wait for classic topping patterns or divergence signals, even if the floating profits pull back a bit, I accept it.

Because I know, it's impossible to sell at the highest point, and V-shaped reversals occasionally happen; that's part of the market and not money I should earn.

This method is not complicated; it can even be said to be tedious.

But it is this tedium that allowed me to grow from 50,000 to an 8-digit amount.

There is no holy grail in trading, only discipline and consistency.

As long as you are willing to stick to your principles, even using the simplest indicators, you can thrive in the market. @juice13 #ETH走势分析

There are too many retail investors in the crypto world who fall for floating profits, and my friend's experience still makes me sigh.

At the end of 2022, he invested 100,000 to buy the dip at $BTC , with a cost of 17,000. By March 2024, BTC had surged to 73,000, and his account skyrocketed to 430,000.

I advised him to take some profits, but he was determined to wait for 100,000 USD, stubbornly holding a full position.

In August, BTC retraced to 49,000, and his account shrank to 290,000, yet he clung to fantasies of a rebound; in November, BTC unexpectedly broke 100,000, peaking his account at 590,000, and he raised his target to 150,000 USD.

As a result, it has now retraced to 91,000, leaving only 530,000 in his account. In such ups and downs, the profits that should have been secured slipped away.

The core problem is just holding a full position—this is not aggressive at all; it’s akin to running naked in a gamble. Retail investors' so-called 'full position' often means 100% exposure, even leveraging to hold on; but institutions, even when claiming 'full position,' will reserve 30% cash to deal with volatility, and the difference lies in position management.

I have summarized three highly practical rules that I have personally tested and found effective:

First is the 333 rule for building positions at the bottom: enter in three batches, investing 1/3 each time. When I bought BTC at the bottom in 2022, I divided 150,000 into three purchases: 17,000 to build a position of 50,000, added another 50,000 when it dropped to 16,200, and when it rose back to 17,500, I added another 50,000, with an average cost of 16,900. Buying in batches not only helps to average down the cost but also gives confidence to buy more when it drops and keeps one calm when it rises.

Second is the 721 rule for position management: hold 70% of the base position long-term, use 20% for swing trading to reduce costs, and keep 10% as cash reserves. Having cash on hand means that a crash is an opportunity to add to positions; being fully invested means only passively enduring volatility.

Third is the 251 rule for profit-taking management: when it doubles, sell 20% to recover the cost, when it increases fivefold, sell 50% to lock in profits, and when it increases tenfold, liquidate the entire position.

With less capital, learning to operate in batches is even more essential; if you’re already fully invested, you can wait for a 10%-15% increase to sell 20%, then buy back after a retracement, gradually adjusting your position. These rules are not difficult; the challenge lies in resisting greed. Keep 333, 721, and 251 posted next to your computer as a constant reminder: position management is not about earning less, but about surviving. In this market, being alive is the only way to have a chance to make big money.

Investment has never been a solitary endeavor; I have paved the path of practical experience here. Do you want to walk steadily together? @juice13

Small capital wants to break through in the crypto world? $ZEC

Don't blindly follow the trend; first engrave these 3 rules in your heart.

Last year, I guided a beginner with only 1500U in capital, from not being able to distinguish between limit orders and market orders, to making a guaranteed profit of 30,000 U in three months, with zero liquidation throughout.

The core is never luck, but solid trading logic.

First, split the capital and leave a safe exit.

1500U split as 1:1:1:
500U for day trading, only focus on mainstream coins like $BTC and $ETH , take profits when there’s a fluctuation of 3%-5%, and operate a maximum of 1-2 trades a day, definitely avoid altcoins;

500U for swing trading, wait for the 4-hour K-line to break through the range and for the trading volume to increase before entering, hold for 3-5 days, and decisively exit with a profit of 15%-20%;

The remaining 500U as “emergency funds,” never to be touched even in extreme market conditions, because if small capital loses its exit, it completely loses the chance to turn around.

Second, closely follow the trend and stay away from fluctuations.

80% of the time in the crypto market is sideways; frequent trading will only waste transaction fees. Wait patiently for clear signals, and once profits reach 12%, take out half of the earnings to secure them. Small capital seeks stability, not abundance; accumulating small amounts can lead to steady growth.

Third, rules are paramount, and control your hands.

Each trade's stop-loss must strictly be controlled within 3% of the capital, and exiting at the set point is mandatory; never harbor any illusions; if the profit exceeds 5%, reduce the position by half, set the remaining position's stop-loss at the cost price, and protect the existing profits; even in loss, never blindly increase the position, avoid getting swayed by emotions; there are too many lessons about losing more by adding positions, so don't repeat the same mistakes.

The advantage of small capital lies in flexibility, but the greatest fear is the gambling nature of “one big turn.”

Adhere to the rules, be patient, protect the capital, and accumulate profits; turning 1500U into 30,000 U is actually not difficult.

I once navigated the crypto world in the dark, and now I have finally found a reliable direction; this “light” has been shining all along, it just depends on whether you are willing to follow it. @juice13 #ETH走势分析

“The police called and said your virtual currency transactions are involved in a case?

Don't panic, responding this way is both compliant and worry-free.”

“Hello, this is the police station. You have recent records of virtual currency transactions, please cooperate with the investigation.”

Upon receiving such calls, even longtime participants in virtual currency investment, “old players,” can easily fall into panic.

In fact, personal transactions in virtual currency are not illegal, and there is no need to be overwhelmed by anxiety. Remember three phrases to cooperate calmly with the investigation and avoid being innocently implicated.

First phrase, clarify boundaries and do not blindly take responsibility.

If asked about the legality of the transactions, you can respond clearly: “Personal legal virtual currency transactions are not illegal; responsibility only arises when the source of funds is unclear or involves illegal purposes.

I invest in my personal capacity, all transactions are conducted through legitimate channels, and the flow of funds is traceable.” Explaining the situation legally can reduce misunderstandings.

Second phrase, cooperate with checks more efficiently.

If the other party claims, “we need to return the funds involved in the case,” there is no need to rush to deny or argue. You can calmly state: “I am willing to fully cooperate with the investigation and can provide complete transaction records, on-chain evidence, and the flow of funds, following legal procedures throughout.”

Detailed evidence is key to clarification; emotional confrontation will only delay progress. Calm cooperation can clear up relationships more quickly.

Third phrase, clarify consequences and do not panic.

Investigation results fall into two categories: direct involvement may lead to account freezing or further processing; if it’s merely an ordinary transaction with questionable funds, most cases will only involve single card control. The key

Finally, remember the “three verifications”:

Verify the identity of the counterparty, verify the source and history of funds, verify the security of the wallet address.

Virtual currency transactions are fraught with risks, compliance is the bottom line.

Subsequently, we will break down the key points of transaction compliance and case response details, helping everyone avoid pitfalls within the compliance framework. After all, safety must come first in transactions for lasting profits. @juice13

3800U 翻 20 倍后爆仓：我用善意，换了币圈最痛的一课

他找我时，3800U 本金只剩一半，接连爆仓后语气近乎哀求：

“哥，求你带带我，赚了我分你一半！”

我本想拒绝，看着他急于回本的模样，终究心软：“我帮你，不是为了分成，只求你守纪律。”

我和他约定：仓位拆成八份，单票不超 12%，盈利先提独立账户锁定，止损绝不拖。

前 22 天，我们稳扎稳打：盘前推演行情，盘中严守止盈止损，回撤连夜复盘。账户从 3800U 一路涨到 7.6 万 U，翻了近 20 倍。

他愈发亢奋，频繁说：“再冲一波，就能彻底翻身了！” 我反复劝：“守住盈利比翻倍难十倍。” 他嘴上应着，行动却渐渐跑偏。

第 25 天，他背着我梭哈热门山寨币，没设止损。我发现时账户已回撤 51%，质问他，他却说：“这次机会难得，错过就没了。” 我让他立刻止损，他却固执等待反弹。

第 28 天，币价崩盘，7.6 万 U 只剩 8000U。他反过来埋怨我：“你怎么不拦着我！” 我没辩解，默默终止了帮扶。

我本是出于善意伸手，却忘了：币圈最可怕的不是亏损，而是盈利后丢掉敬畏。能从几千 U 翻到几万 U 的人不少，能守住盈利不膨胀的寥寥无几。

那次之后，我把当初的聊天记录存了下来。

时刻提醒自己：善意要配规则，帮扶抵不过贪婪。币圈最难的从不是翻倍，而是赢了之后，还能记得当初为何出发。

真正的翻身，从来不是账户数字的暴涨，而是守住本心与纪律的清醒。@juice13 #加密市场反弹

5 年未爆仓，2700U 三月滚到 5 万 U：老韭菜的三条保命铁律

我从不是币圈导师，不售课不赚返佣，只是个踩遍坑、爆过仓的老韭菜。

去年有兄弟带着 2700U 找我，想挽回之前的亏损，我没扯复杂的均线、MACD，只给了三句摔出来的经验。他照做三个月，账户冲到 5 万 U，全程零爆仓。这三条规矩，能不能悟透，全看你对市场有没有敬畏心。

第一，资金分三档，保命优先谋利。

这是我当年全仓爆仓、彻夜难眠嚼碎的教训：

把 2700U 拆成三笔 900U，一分都不能乱挪。

第一笔做短线，每天最多开两仓，完事就关软件，多盯一秒都容易贪念上头；

第二笔等趋势，周线没出多头形态、没放量破关键位，就老实空仓，震荡里乱冲纯属送钱；

第三笔是救命钱，行情插针要爆仓时补仓，至少能留在市场里等机会。爆仓顶多断根手指，本金亏光就是砍头，没本钱再大的行情也与你无关。

第二，只吃趋势一口，其余当缩头龟。

早年我在震荡市栽了无数跟头，10 次操作 9 次被割。

后来只认三个进场信号：日线均线没排多头，坚决空仓，别总怕 “错过机会”；

行情放量破前高，且日线收线稳住，才敢小仓位介入；盈利到本金 30%，先提走一半利润，剩下的设 10% 移动止盈 —— 落袋的才是真钱，别想着吃满整波行情。

第三，锁死情绪，机械执行方长久。

进场前必须写好交易计划，死磕执行：

止损定死 3%，到点自动平仓，别抱 “再等等” 的侥幸；
盈利到 10%，就把止损拉到成本价，后面赚的都是市场红包；
每天半夜 12 点准时关电脑，再诱人的 K 线也不盯，实在睡不着就卸 APP—— 盯盘越久情绪越乱，一乱必出错。

行情天天有，本金就一次。先把这三条做到位，再去琢磨波浪、指标也不迟。@juice13

Many people often ask me: Will $BTC rise or fall next?

In fact, the core of trading is never about prediction, just like winning at Mahjong is not about guessing what the next tile will be.

What is referred to as 'prediction' in trading should be called 'advantage'—this is a casino term that refers to having a winning probability of over 50%:

When bulls have the advantage, the outlook leans bullish; when bears are strong, the focus is on bearishness, similar to the logic of Mahjong.

A skilled player never bets on a single tile, but closely observes the board to assess the situation:

Which players have melded or declared a Pong, what tiles have been discarded by others, and based on this, selects the tile type with the highest probability of winning. It’s best to self-draw; if the target tile is scarce, decisively declare a cannon;

If someone is going for a big hand, quickly dismantle dangerous tiles and prioritize playing safe tiles.

Trading strategies are akin to the tactics in Mahjong, and technical analysis is the skill of observing the board; the core is to understand the present and secure a certain advantage.

Long-term winners in Mahjong focus on small losses and big wins:

First, ensure that you don’t self-draw a cannon; never play dangerous tiles recklessly, and don’t dwell on the money that is meant to be lost;

The same applies to trading; relying on the probability from holding onto positions is meaningless; true winning probability comes from reading the board—no matter how great the advantage, there's never a 100% guarantee, and the odds (risk-reward ratio) are key. Protecting small losses enables one to catch big wins.

Reading the board is the fundamental skill in trading; if you can’t understand the board, it’s guesswork, and winning would be mere luck.

Understanding the board allows you to know your position, what countermeasures you have, and thus select the one that suits you best.

Over time, a fixed pattern forms, and trading will become increasingly smooth, without hesitation in front of opportunities.

Opportunities within the strategy must be clear: where the stop-loss is, what the logic is, what the pros and cons are, all must be clear.

Cognitive change comes either from awakening or from sudden realization, but the ability to read the board relies on continuous practice and refinement.

The market is ever-changing, much like an athlete's training; only through hard work can one stand firm amidst the fluctuations. @juice13

In the cryptocurrency world for 7 years, experiencing liquidation 3 times, with a debt of 50,000, I had to be frugal even for meals. Now, having earned my first million by understanding the principles, I want to tell you:

Earning a million is really not difficult, and contracts are not as mysterious as they seem.

There is only one core principle — grasp the underlying rules. $BTC

This is not empty talk; it is the truth I discovered after suffering a lot.

The underlying rules are your only weapon in the cryptocurrency world, a strategic knowledge to escape losses and reverse your fate. Master it, and you will no longer be someone who looks up to follow the market's ups and downs but someone who looks down to see the essence, no longer led by K-lines.

Too many people are like I used to be, climbing to the top of the ladder only to find they leaned against the wrong wall.

Staying up late to monitor the market, memorizing technical indicators, frequently changing contract strategies may seem like extreme diligence. In reality, it is tactical busyness that masks strategic laziness.

I now understand that strategy determines success or failure, while tactics only affect the details.

Those who only emphasize moving averages, MACD, and short-term operations either do not truly understand the principles or want to exploit you.

Ask yourself: are you stubbornly sticking to meaningless indicators, or are you studying the underlying logic? Are you entangled in tactical details or building a strategic framework?

Whether your goal is 1 million or 10 million, only strategy can take you there, and only underlying rules and awareness can guide you forward. These four fundamental rules are ingrained in my bones:

1. Trend is the effect of making money that attracts more people to the market, with the flow of funds pushing the market forward;

2. Inertia means more and more people enter the market, the buying power continues to accumulate, and the market becomes more vigorous;

3. Regression is when profit-takers fear profit loss, concentrating on cashing out, causing market corrections;

4. Repetition is that human nature has never changed, with greed and fear cycling continuously, trends, inertia, and regression repeat endlessly.

After 7 years of ups and downs, I finally understand: making big money in the cryptocurrency world has never relied on luck and frequent operations, but on those who play the underlying rules to the fullest.

In this market, it's too difficult for one person to walk alone. I have already paved the way; do you want to follow? @juice13

After three liquidation events, 50,000 in debt was suffocating me, with only 1800U left in my account.

I turned off my phone and sat on the balcony until dawn, looking at the moon and suddenly realized: the market never has absolute certainty, only manageable price space.

I deleted all the flashy indicators overnight, leaving only the weekly and monthly charts on the screen.

On my first attempt, the weekly line of $ETH showed increased volume and upper shadows, so I bet all 1800U, setting the stop loss at the top of the shadow line.

Two weeks later, the price fell and triggered the stop loss, resulting in a loss of 400U, but I slept particularly soundly — it turned out that a "controllable small loss" can also be part of a trading plan.

With the remaining 1400U, I split it into three parts, establishing two iron rules: only enter at weekly or monthly turning points; stop losses must not exceed 5% of principal, and profits must not be withdrawn unless doubled.

For the second trade, $BTC saw the monthly line breaking the three-year downward trend line, and I decisively entered with 400U, setting a stop loss at 1000 points.

Four months later, this trade tripled, and I withdrew my principal, allowing profits to continue running in the market, with my account first reaching 10,000U.

For the third trade, LTC's weekly line completed the full pattern of "increased volume + breakthrough + pullback," I increased my position to 2000U, tightening the stop loss to 6%. Eight months later, my funds multiplied five times, and the account soared to 50,000U. I paid off all my debts at once, yet my hands were steady without a tremor — it turned out that "protecting the principal from large losses" is more reassuring than making quick money.

For the fourth trade, $SOL saw the monthly line rise from 80 and stabilize upward, and I invested 10,000U, leaving a 10% stop loss margin. After 11 months, it rose to 250 dollars, and the account net value exceeded 200,000U.

I closed all positions at 250, not because I was pessimistic about the future, but because I had already fully understood the price space within the rules.

Looking back, from 1800U to 200,000U, the core message is simple: abandon the noise of intraday fluctuations, measure the height of trends with weekly and monthly lines; treat every stop loss as a "lifesaver," and let every doubling be entrusted to the passage of time.

Now, I still only use two moving averages and a sticky note that says, "Don’t earn small money, don’t lose big money."

The market is still that unpredictable river; I have simply learned to only enter the deep water and, before the wave arrives, tie the lifeline.

This market is exhausting to explore alone. I have leveled the pits on the road and paved a feasible path. Would you like to walk together? @juice13

In the cryptocurrency world for three and a half years, I earned my first 10 million by relying on "simplicity".

Without any innate talent or insider information, I simply discarded the burden of "complexity" early on.

From 10,000 to 1 million took 24 months;
From 1 million to 5 million took 12 months;
From 5 million to 10 million required only 6 months.

The faster the speed, the simpler the operation — I focused the entire time on one "N" shape:

A wave of rise, a pullback, another wave of rise, after the back and forth, the direction becomes clear.
Enter when the N shape is formed, cut losses immediately if it fails, do not add positions, do not hold onto trades, do not wait for the "last 5 minutes".
Stop loss at 2%, take profit starting at 10%, a 1:5 profit-loss ratio, a 35% win rate is enough to ensure profits, simple math can clarify the accounts, yet 90% of people prefer to complicate things.

My screen is cleaner than my face:

Only keeping the 20-day moving average, set to gray to avoid stealing the show; trading volume and sentiment indicators turned off, a clear mind is essential for decision-making.

Every day, I spend 5 minutes scanning 4-hour cycles, shut down if no formation is present, set orders with stop-loss and take-profit once a formation appears, and spend the rest of the time walking the dog, reading, and working out. While others stay up late monitoring the market, I stay up late nurturing my spirit, conserving energy for key decisions.

Profitability relies not on prediction, but on classification and risk control.

Class A N shape breaks previous highs with increased volume, considered a "true N", with a position of 30%;

Class B price rises with decreased volume, is a "false N", either take a 10% position or give up. I never use high leverage, 1-2 times is sufficient, anything higher is just giving away money.

The essence of compound interest is emotional management.

When earning 1 million, first withdraw 100,000 of the principal to secure it; when earning 5 million, invest 2 million in index funds, 1 million in large time deposits, leaving 2 million rolling, even in case of liquidation, 3 million is safely pocketed. Maintain a stable mindset, the snowball will naturally roll to the top of the mountain.

The essence of trading can be summarized in one sentence: wait for an N shape, bet on its completion; if it doesn't complete, accept the loss, if it completes, let the profit run.

The market does not reward the diligent, it only favors those who follow the rules: do not chase prices, only wait for formations to complete; do not hold onto losing positions, exit if the structure breaks; do not cling to battles, take profits in batches once targets are met.

There is no holy grail in the cryptocurrency world, only a sieve.

Enlarge the sieve holes to filter out noise and temptations, and only then will the gold remain. Don’t rush to find a hundredfold coin, first learn to steadily secure 10%. When you can continuously pocket 10% for 20 times, you will understand: 10 million is merely a reward from time for those who adhere to the rules. @juice13

30 Years Old 8-Digit Asset Insights: 3 Principles to Avoid Pitfalls in Cryptocurrency + 6 Short-Term Techniques (Proven Useful)

From reviewing trades late at night after a liquidation to now having assets surpassing seven digits, over the years in the cryptocurrency market, the most fortunate thing has been meeting a leading mentor.

The 3 “absolute no-nos” he repeatedly emphasized, combined with my practical summary of 6 short-term techniques, I will share today with my followers without reservation. The core logic remains unchanged, and all is based on real experiences accumulated with real money.

First are the 3 red lines emphasized by the mentor:

First, never chase the price up or sell in panic! “When others are fearful, I am greedy; when others are greedy, I am fearful” is not just a slogan, but a survival rule. In a downtrend, strategically enter in batches, and develop the habit of buying against the trend to avoid the pit of catching a top.

Second, never hold onto losing positions! The market changes rapidly; stubbornly holding onto a position can lead to disaster. Flexibility is key. Third, absolutely do not go all in! The cryptocurrency market is never short of opportunities; being fully invested is not only passive but can also lead to missing better entry points, resulting in high opportunity costs.

Now let’s talk about the 6 short-term techniques that have proven effective:

① After high-level consolidation, it often breaks new highs; after low-level consolidation, it easily breaks new lows. Be patient and wait until the direction of the trend is clear before taking action;

② Do not trade during sideways markets! Many people lose money because they can’t help but trade during volatile periods; controlling your hands can help avoid stepping on landmines;

③ Buy on bearish days and sell on bullish days, follow the candlestick trends, and your win rate will be higher;

④ As the downtrend slows, the rebounds are also slow; as the downtrend accelerates, the rebounds are stronger. Seize the rhythm according to the trend; ⑤ The pyramid building method, this is the unchanging truth of value investing: buy more as prices drop to average down costs;

⑥ After a continuous rise and fall, a sideways trend is inevitable. You don’t need to liquidate at high points or go all in at low points. If the market consolidates and then trends downward, decisively cut losses and exit.

Making money in the cryptocurrency market relies more on discipline than on luck. Remember these principles; taking fewer detours is the fastest shortcut. @juice13

2100U to 75,000 U, I rely on a 'simple method' to make money in the crypto world.

No one could have imagined that with an initial capital of only 2100U, in less than two months it actually rolled up to 75,000 U. Saying this might draw laughter from the 'technical experts'—I don't understand candlestick charts, can't do trading, and don't fully recognize indicators like MACD and RSI, relying solely on a 'simple method' to persist.

What’s more surprising is that among my friends who followed my operations, some have quit their jobs to trade crypto full-time, while others have used their profits to buy cars and houses. Even a 'layman' like me, who doesn’t understand the technology, can get rich; the core is not intelligence, but execution.

My 'simple method' has three points, simple enough that smart people might laugh in anger:

First, hold on without fidgeting, only moving 30% of the position.

I never watch the market like others do, frequently buying and selling; I ignore declines and patiently wait during sideways markets, locking in some profits only when the market rises, and rolling over the rest without disrupting due to emotions.

Second, only chase trends, avoid worthless coins.

I won’t touch short-term small coins no matter how lively they are, focusing only on mainstream coins. Those who trade dozens of times a day may seem busy, but in fact, I earn more by capturing a big fluctuation once, as trends are the most stable support.

Third, manage funds conservatively to the end.

I divide my capital into five parts, using only 1-2 parts for trading each time. I only add positions based on trends, never blindly bottom-fishing, seeking stability at every step, not betting on luck or being greedy.

Many people lose not because they don’t understand the technology, but because they are defeated by human nature and emotions. In contrast, I don’t rely on complex judgments, just strictly execute the rules, control positions steadily, and endure patiently.

Here's the real account: at the beginning of June 2100U, it rose to 12,000 U on June 21, broke through 39,000 U on July 5, and surged to 75,000 U on July 18, during which I only withdrew once. This is not luck; it's the inevitable result of compound interest.

Many fans have told me: 'Your method is too simple. Just following it has doubled my money! I used to think I was smart, frequently cutting losses, only to lose more.' In fact, trading crypto doesn’t require so many fancy techniques; holding onto the essence and executing properly is enough.

Market conditions change rapidly; I will synchronize at the first sign of movement. If you want to hold stable chips and seize the next opportunity, hurry up and follow, don’t miss out on profits because of being 'too smart'! @juice13

币圈 7 年浮沉，我把爆仓3次、负债 5 万的血泪，熬成了 1800u 到 100 万的实战心得。

原来交易哪有什么玄学秘诀，核心就藏在四个从未变过的底层规律里。

刚入圈时，我和 99% 的人一样，疯狂追逐所谓的 “神级策略”“独家指标”，迷信各种号称能稳赚的交易系统。

可结果呢？3次爆仓把仅有的本金亏光，还背上 5 万负债，深夜对着账户余额发呆，才明白那些花里胡哨的方法全是伪命题。

真正让我翻身的，是摔够了跟头才悟透的四个本质：

趋势、惯性、回归、重复。

行情永远顺着趋势走，逆势操作就是自寻死路；

一旦趋势形成，惯性会推着行情走更远，别过早离场；

涨多必跌、跌多必涨，回归的规律从不会缺席；

而这一切，都会在市场中反复上演，因为参与交易的始终是人。

人性的贪婪与恐惧，从古至今从未改变。

这正是这些规律能一直生效的核心 —— 如果市场全是机器人，没有情绪波动，反而不会有可遵循的逻辑，没人能真正赚钱。

我带着 1800u 重新入场，不再执着于复杂技巧，只盯着这四大底层逻辑做决策：

顺趋势建仓，借惯性持仓，等回归止盈，靠重复复制盈利。

从 1800u 到 100 万，没有奇迹，只有对本质的坚守。

交易的秘密从不是什么高深方法，而是看透人性不变的规律，守住最朴素的底层认知。

这个市场，一个人走太难。我已经把路铺好了，你要不要跟着走？@juice13

99% of retail investors in the cryptocurrency market make the same mistake:

Following the trend + unable to hold, going against the trend + stubbornly holding $BTC

Many people believe in “taking profits when you can,” but forget that unless you completely exit the market, this mentality is essentially betting on the low-probability event of “selling at the highest point and buying at the lowest point.”

The reality is often that after making a small profit, they exit the market, missing out on subsequent doubling opportunities; while newcomers in futures trading are even more obsessed with intraday trading, fantasizing that “if they lack money, they can come to the market to make a profit,” but they do not understand that the true wealth code is hidden in long-term trends.

What’s even more fatal is that when making mistakes, they stubbornly hold and average down, turning small losses into big losses. The gambler’s theory of losing everything is still about equal gains and losses, but this operation of “limited profits, unlimited losses” will inevitably wipe out the principal over time.

To break the deadlock, the core is to establish a scientific trading system, with two key points: stop-loss and take-profit.

Most books on the market that teach “fixed point stop-loss” are fundamentally wrong! The real core of stop-loss is the support level (the resistance level corresponding to short selling), and you stop-loss when it breaks, rather than stubbornly holding to a fixed loss.

Positioning should also revolve around the stop-loss point:

The further away from the support level, the lighter the position, to the state of “wanting to average down when it falls, and not regretting when it rises,” using hedging thinking to stabilize the mentality, this is the essence of position management.

Take-profit is even simpler:

Rarely take profits actively, and after reducing positions, one can fade away from attention. The purpose of all operations is to improve the holding tolerance rate and reduce costs, while the position itself is the core. The true financial freedom in the cryptocurrency market has never depended on intraday trading, but rather on riding a great wave—holding long-term to realize profits.

The inability to hold long-term is rooted in the cognitive bias towards profits: always staring at the fluctuations of account floating profits, taking the apparent profits seriously, and naturally being easily influenced by short-term ups and downs.

Abandon short-sighted thinking, use stop-loss at support levels, maintain a light hedging mindset, and hold long-term to earn big waves; this is the core logic of making money in the cryptocurrency market. @juice13