onarcism
148 Posts
onarcism
Report
Block User
BP-A7D1F66EBADD
11 Following
12 Followers
21 Liked
Posts
·
--
44.7. The lowest Current Conditions reading in UMich history.
Headline sentiment 46.3 in October, missing the 47.8 estimate and down from 48.1. One-year inflation expectations climbed to 4.7%, up for the second straight month. Highest since May.
Nasdaq took it personally: -1.25%, its worst day in ~2 months, after FT reported OpenAI's annualized revenue is 20B below what it signaled. Oracle -5.5%, Nvidia -3%, semis -3.4%.
Brent +4% to 104.28 after an Iran strike on a vessel near Qatar. The 10Y yield eased to 5.23% on a strong 30Y bond auction.
Crypto overnight: BTC bounced +2.6% to ~82.8K off the 80.4K low, $ETH flat at ~2.5K (-8.4% on the week). Two straight days of ETF outflows (-731M since Oct 7).
Record-low consumer confidence plus rising inflation expectations is the mix that keeps the Fed hiking. CPI lands Oct 14, just 4 days away. $BTC holding 82K into the print makes the AI-scare look like noise; lose 80K and this reprices lower.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Inflation
---
44.7. The lowest Current Conditions score in UMich survey history.
Headline sentiment was 46.3 in October, missing the 47.8 estimate and down from 48.1. One-year inflation expectations rose to 4.7%, marking a second consecutive monthly increase and the highest level since May.
Nasdaq fell 1.25%, its worst day in ~2 months, after FT reported that OpenAI's annualized revenue was 20B below what it had indicated. Oracle fell 5.5%, Nvidia 3%, and chip stocks 3.4%.
Brent rose 4% to 104.28 after Iran struck a vessel near Qatar. The 10Y yield fell to 5.23% following a strong 30Y bond auction.
Crypto overnight: BTC rebounded 2.6% to ~82.8K from its 80.4K low, while ETH was flat at ~2.5K (-8.4% for the week). ETF outflows continued for a second straight day (-731M since Oct 7).
Record-low consumer confidence plus rising inflation expectations is the mix that keeps the Fed hawkish. CPI is released on Oct 14, just 4 days away. BTC holding 82K into the release would make the AI scare look like noise; lose 80K and the market reprices lower.
44.7. The lowest Current Conditions reading in UMich history.
Headline sentiment 46.3 in October, missing the 47.8 estimate and down from 48.1. One-year inflation expectations climbed to 4.7%, up for the second straight month. Highest since May.
Nasdaq took it personally: -1.25%, its worst day in ~2 months, after FT reported OpenAI's annualized revenue is 20B below what it signaled. Oracle -5.5%, Nvidia -3%, semis -3.4%.
Brent +4% to 104.28 after an Iran strike on a vessel near Qatar. The 10Y yield eased to 5.23% on a strong 30Y bond auction.
Crypto overnight: BTC bounced +2.6% to ~82.8K off the 80.4K low, $ETH flat at ~2.5K (-8.4% on the week). Two straight days of ETF outflows (-731M since Oct 7).
Record-low consumer confidence plus rising inflation expectations is the mix that keeps the Fed hiking. CPI lands Oct 14, just 4 days away. $BTC holding 82K into the print makes the AI-scare look like noise; lose 80K and this reprices lower.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Inflation
---
44.7. The lowest Current Conditions score in UMich survey history.
Headline sentiment was 46.3 in October, missing the 47.8 estimate and down from 48.1. One-year inflation expectations rose to 4.7%, marking a second consecutive monthly increase and the highest level since May.
Nasdaq fell 1.25%, its worst day in ~2 months, after FT reported that OpenAI's annualized revenue was 20B below what it had indicated. Oracle fell 5.5%, Nvidia 3%, and chip stocks 3.4%.
Brent rose 4% to 104.28 after Iran struck a vessel near Qatar. The 10Y yield fell to 5.23% following a strong 30Y bond auction.
Crypto overnight: BTC rebounded 2.6% to ~82.8K from its 80.4K low, while ETH was flat at ~2.5K (-8.4% for the week). ETF outflows continued for a second straight day (-731M since Oct 7).
Record-low consumer confidence plus rising inflation expectations is the mix that keeps the Fed hawkish. CPI is released on Oct 14, just 4 days away. BTC holding 82K into the release would make the AI scare look like noise; lose 80K and the market reprices lower.
Headline sentiment 46.3 in October, missing the 47.8 estimate and down from 48.1. One-year inflation expectations climbed to 4.7%, up for the second straight month. Highest since May.
Nasdaq took it personally: -1.25%, its worst day in ~2 months, after FT reported OpenAI's annualized revenue is 20B below what it signaled. Oracle -5.5%, Nvidia -3%, semis -3.4%.
Brent +4% to 104.28 after an Iran strike on a vessel near Qatar. The 10Y yield eased to 5.23% on a strong 30Y bond auction.
Crypto overnight: BTC bounced +2.6% to ~82.8K off the 80.4K low, $ETH flat at ~2.5K (-8.4% on the week). Two straight days of ETF outflows (-731M since Oct 7).
Record-low consumer confidence plus rising inflation expectations is the mix that keeps the Fed hiking. CPI lands Oct 14, just 4 days away. $BTC holding 82K into the print makes the AI-scare look like noise; lose 80K and this reprices lower.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Inflation
---
44.7. The lowest Current Conditions score in UMich survey history.
Headline sentiment was 46.3 in October, missing the 47.8 estimate and down from 48.1. One-year inflation expectations rose to 4.7%, marking a second consecutive monthly increase and the highest level since May.
Nasdaq fell 1.25%, its worst day in ~2 months, after FT reported that OpenAI's annualized revenue was 20B below what it had indicated. Oracle fell 5.5%, Nvidia 3%, and chip stocks 3.4%.
Brent rose 4% to 104.28 after Iran struck a vessel near Qatar. The 10Y yield fell to 5.23% following a strong 30Y bond auction.
Crypto overnight: BTC rebounded 2.6% to ~82.8K from its 80.4K low, while ETH was flat at ~2.5K (-8.4% for the week). ETF outflows continued for a second straight day (-731M since Oct 7).
Record-low consumer confidence plus rising inflation expectations is the mix that keeps the Fed hawkish. CPI is released on Oct 14, just 4 days away. BTC holding 82K into the release would make the AI scare look like noise; lose 80K and the market reprices lower.
86
·
--
EN:
113,000.
Citibank's new 12-month Bitcoin target, raised from 82K. A ~38% upgrade, dropped on the same day the WSJ headline read "a third below its all-time high."
One is the narrative. The other is where the money is moving.
What actually happened this week: 1.19B in leveraged bets liquidated, Bitcoin ETFs bled ~986M in October, BTC tapped 80.4K. All on the Iran-strike headline + oil at 103.
Then Trump posted on Truth Social: no Iran strike before the Nov 3 midterms. BTC bounced off 80.4K back above 83K. Brent fell 1.5%.
The whole fear trade was ~one headline deep.
The setup now: $BTC is holding the 83K reclaim. A daily close above 84.2K reopens 86K–87K, and Coin Bureau's Nic Puckrin has 90K as the next target past that.
Banks don't raise targets 38% into weakness they believe in. They raise them when they see the bid coming back.
Trade the level, not the headline. 📈
#BitcoinReboundsTo83K #Bitcoin #Crypto
---
ID:
113,000.
Citibank's 12-month Bitcoin target, raised from 82K. A ~38% upgrade, announced the same day the WSJ headline said BTC was "a third below its ATH."
One side is the narrative. The other is where the real money is flowing.
What happened this week: 1.19B in leveraged positions were liquidated, Bitcoin ETFs saw ~986M in outflows during October, and BTC briefly touched 80.4K. All because of the Iran-strike headline + oil at 103.
Then Trump posted on Truth Social: no strikes on Iran before the Nov 3 midterms. BTC bounced from 80.4K back above 83K. Brent fell 1.5%.
The entire "fear trade" turned out to be only one headline deep.
The setup now: Bitcoin is holding above the reclaimed 83K level. A daily close above 84.2K opens the way to 86K–87K, and Nic Puckrin of Coin Bureau has 90K as the next target.
Banks don't raise targets by 38% if they believe the weakness will persist. They raise them when they see buyers coming back.
Trade the levels, not the headlines.
EN:
113,000.
Citibank's new 12-month Bitcoin target, raised from 82K. A ~38% upgrade, dropped on the same day the WSJ headline read "a third below its all-time high."
One is the narrative. The other is where the money is moving.
What actually happened this week: 1.19B in leveraged bets liquidated, Bitcoin ETFs bled ~986M in October, BTC tapped 80.4K. All on the Iran-strike headline + oil at 103.
Then Trump posted on Truth Social: no Iran strike before the Nov 3 midterms. BTC bounced off 80.4K back above 83K. Brent fell 1.5%.
The whole fear trade was ~one headline deep.
The setup now: $BTC is holding the 83K reclaim. A daily close above 84.2K reopens 86K–87K, and Coin Bureau's Nic Puckrin has 90K as the next target past that.
Banks don't raise targets 38% into weakness they believe in. They raise them when they see the bid coming back.
Trade the level, not the headline. 📈
#BitcoinReboundsTo83K #Bitcoin #Crypto
---
ID:
113,000.
Citibank's 12-month Bitcoin target, raised from 82K. A ~38% upgrade, announced the same day the WSJ headline said BTC was "a third below its ATH."
One side is the narrative. The other is where the real money is flowing.
What happened this week: 1.19B in leveraged positions were liquidated, Bitcoin ETFs saw ~986M in outflows during October, and BTC briefly touched 80.4K. All because of the Iran-strike headline + oil at 103.
Then Trump posted on Truth Social: no strikes on Iran before the Nov 3 midterms. BTC bounced from 80.4K back above 83K. Brent fell 1.5%.
The entire "fear trade" turned out to be only one headline deep.
The setup now: Bitcoin is holding above the reclaimed 83K level. A daily close above 84.2K opens the way to 86K–87K, and Nic Puckrin of Coin Bureau has 90K as the next target.
Banks don't raise targets by 38% if they believe the weakness will persist. They raise them when they see buyers coming back.
Trade the levels, not the headlines.
113,000.
Citibank's new 12-month Bitcoin target, raised from 82K. A ~38% upgrade, dropped on the same day the WSJ headline read "a third below its all-time high."
One is the narrative. The other is where the money is moving.
What actually happened this week: 1.19B in leveraged bets liquidated, Bitcoin ETFs bled ~986M in October, BTC tapped 80.4K. All on the Iran-strike headline + oil at 103.
Then Trump posted on Truth Social: no Iran strike before the Nov 3 midterms. BTC bounced off 80.4K back above 83K. Brent fell 1.5%.
The whole fear trade was ~one headline deep.
The setup now: $BTC is holding the 83K reclaim. A daily close above 84.2K reopens 86K–87K, and Coin Bureau's Nic Puckrin has 90K as the next target past that.
Banks don't raise targets 38% into weakness they believe in. They raise them when they see the bid coming back.
Trade the level, not the headline. 📈
#BitcoinReboundsTo83K #Bitcoin #Crypto
---
ID:
113,000.
Citibank's 12-month Bitcoin target, raised from 82K. A ~38% upgrade, announced the same day the WSJ headline said BTC was "a third below its ATH."
One side is the narrative. The other is where the real money is flowing.
What happened this week: 1.19B in leveraged positions were liquidated, Bitcoin ETFs saw ~986M in outflows during October, and BTC briefly touched 80.4K. All because of the Iran-strike headline + oil at 103.
Then Trump posted on Truth Social: no strikes on Iran before the Nov 3 midterms. BTC bounced from 80.4K back above 83K. Brent fell 1.5%.
The entire "fear trade" turned out to be only one headline deep.
The setup now: Bitcoin is holding above the reclaimed 83K level. A daily close above 84.2K opens the way to 86K–87K, and Nic Puckrin of Coin Bureau has 90K as the next target.
Banks don't raise targets by 38% if they believe the weakness will persist. They raise them when they see buyers coming back.
Trade the levels, not the headlines.
25
·
--
986M USD walked out of BTC+ETH spot ETFs this month (Cointelegraph/Farside, October to date).
$BTC still sits at ~82.4K, parked mid-range (81.6K–83.5K this weekend).
The outflow narrative says bearish. The tape says absorbed.
The board is clean into the weekend: 1.06B in liquidations flushed this week (CoinGlass, 86% longs), Friday's 2.16B options expiry settled, US bonds closed Monday for Columbus Day — no macro cover, thin TradFi liquidity.
Scheduled prints: 11.31M $APT (~9M USD) unlocks Sunday, then CPI Wednesday (cons 3.6% vs 3.4% prior — shutdown may delay it).
So what: thin tape + light positioning = weekend moves cut both ways, and there's nothing to lean on until Wednesday.
Hold 81.6K → 84.2K–86K resistance probably comes into play (Square levels). Lose it → 80K magnet.
$BTC decides Sunday night.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
---
986M USD flowed out of BTC+ETH spot ETFs this month (Cointelegraph/Farside, October to date).
BTC is still parked at ~82.4K, in the middle of the 81.6K–83.5K weekend range.
The narrative is bearish, but the price is refusing to drop.
The board is clean heading into the weekend: 1.06B in liquidations flushed this week (CoinGlass, 86% longs), Friday's 2.16B options expiry has settled, and US bonds are closed Monday for Columbus Day — no macro cover, thin TradFi liquidity.
Scheduled events: 11.31M APT (~9M USD) unlocks Sunday, followed by CPI on Wednesday (consensus 3.6% vs 3.4% prior — the shutdown could delay it).
So: thin tape + light positioning = weekend moves can go either way, and there's nothing to lean on until Wednesday.
Hold 81.6K → 84.2K–86K resistance likely comes into play. Break down → 80K magnet.
BTC decides Sunday night.
986M USD walked out of BTC+ETH spot ETFs this month (Cointelegraph/Farside, October to date).
$BTC still sits at ~82.4K, parked mid-range (81.6K–83.5K this weekend).
The outflow narrative says bearish. The tape says absorbed.
The board is clean into the weekend: 1.06B in liquidations flushed this week (CoinGlass, 86% longs), Friday's 2.16B options expiry settled, US bonds closed Monday for Columbus Day — no macro cover, thin TradFi liquidity.
Scheduled prints: 11.31M $APT (~9M USD) unlocks Sunday, then CPI Wednesday (cons 3.6% vs 3.4% prior — shutdown may delay it).
So what: thin tape + light positioning = weekend moves cut both ways, and there's nothing to lean on until Wednesday.
Hold 81.6K → 84.2K–86K resistance probably comes into play (Square levels). Lose it → 80K magnet.
$BTC decides Sunday night.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
---
986M USD flowed out of BTC+ETH spot ETFs this month (Cointelegraph/Farside, October to date).
BTC is still parked at ~82.4K, in the middle of the 81.6K–83.5K weekend range.
The narrative is bearish, but the price is refusing to drop.
The board is clean heading into the weekend: 1.06B in liquidations flushed this week (CoinGlass, 86% longs), Friday's 2.16B options expiry has settled, and US bonds are closed Monday for Columbus Day — no macro cover, thin TradFi liquidity.
Scheduled events: 11.31M APT (~9M USD) unlocks Sunday, followed by CPI on Wednesday (consensus 3.6% vs 3.4% prior — the shutdown could delay it).
So: thin tape + light positioning = weekend moves can go either way, and there's nothing to lean on until Wednesday.
Hold 81.6K → 84.2K–86K resistance likely comes into play. Break down → 80K magnet.
BTC decides Sunday night.
$BTC still sits at ~82.4K, parked mid-range (81.6K–83.5K this weekend).
The outflow narrative says bearish. The tape says absorbed.
The board is clean into the weekend: 1.06B in liquidations flushed this week (CoinGlass, 86% longs), Friday's 2.16B options expiry settled, US bonds closed Monday for Columbus Day — no macro cover, thin TradFi liquidity.
Scheduled prints: 11.31M $APT (~9M USD) unlocks Sunday, then CPI Wednesday (cons 3.6% vs 3.4% prior — shutdown may delay it).
So what: thin tape + light positioning = weekend moves cut both ways, and there's nothing to lean on until Wednesday.
Hold 81.6K → 84.2K–86K resistance probably comes into play (Square levels). Lose it → 80K magnet.
$BTC decides Sunday night.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
---
986M USD flowed out of BTC+ETH spot ETFs this month (Cointelegraph/Farside, October to date).
BTC is still parked at ~82.4K, in the middle of the 81.6K–83.5K weekend range.
The narrative is bearish, but the price is refusing to drop.
The board is clean heading into the weekend: 1.06B in liquidations flushed this week (CoinGlass, 86% longs), Friday's 2.16B options expiry has settled, and US bonds are closed Monday for Columbus Day — no macro cover, thin TradFi liquidity.
Scheduled events: 11.31M APT (~9M USD) unlocks Sunday, followed by CPI on Wednesday (consensus 3.6% vs 3.4% prior — the shutdown could delay it).
So: thin tape + light positioning = weekend moves can go either way, and there's nothing to lean on until Wednesday.
Hold 81.6K → 84.2K–86K resistance likely comes into play. Break down → 80K magnet.
BTC decides Sunday night.
114
·
--
12,267 $BTC(1.01B USD) moved by a US government wallet Thursday.
Destination: an unlabeled address. Not an exchange.
"To exchange" = possible sell pressure. "To a wallet nobody can name" = reshuffle. Feds shuffle seized coins between their own drawers every few months. (CoinDesk/Arkham)
The real exchange-bound moves came ~24h earlier: ~3,200 BTC + 119M USDT into Coinbase Prime. Even that isn't a sale. Prime is custody + OTC desk, not spot market.
But the timeline read "US GOVT MOVED 1B" and panic-sold anyway. Longs paid: 411M USD liquidated in 24h, 86% longs. $BTC tagged ~80.4K, then printed +1% to 82,389.
10-second whale-alert checklist:
1. Destination label first. Exchange = watch. Unlabeled = probably nothing.
2. Wallet history. Aug 2024: same govt wallets moved ~10,000 BTC to Prime.
3. Trade the headline gap. Money moves in the ~30 minutes before the correction goes viral.
The panic was the entry. $BTC 82.4K: 82.8K is the line, reclaim probably reopens 84-85K.
#Bitcoin #CryptoEducation
---
12,267 BTC (1.01B USD) moved from a US government wallet Thursday.
Destination: an unlabeled address. Not an exchange.
"To an exchange" = potential selling pressure. "To an anonymous wallet" = reshuffling. The US moves seized coins between its own wallets every few months. (CoinDesk/Arkham)
The moves that actually went to an exchange happened ~24 hours earlier: ~3,200 BTC + 119M USDT to Coinbase Prime. Even that doesn't necessarily mean a sale. Prime is custody + an OTC desk, not the spot market.
But the timeline read "US GOVT MOVED 1B," and people panic-sold anyway. Longs paid the price: 411M USD liquidated in 24 hours, 86% of them long positions. BTC touched ~80.4K, then rose +1% to 82,389.
10-second whale-alert checklist:
1. Check the destination label first. Exchange = be alert. Unlabeled = probably nothing.
2. Check the wallet history. Aug 2024: the same government wallets moved ~10,000 BTC to Prime.
3. Trade the headline gap. Money moves in the ~30 minutes before the correction goes viral.
The panic was the entry. 82.8K is the line; a clean reclaim will probably open the way to 84-85K.
12,267 $BTC (1.01B USD) moved by a US government wallet Thursday.
Destination: an unlabeled address. Not an exchange.
"To exchange" = possible sell pressure. "To a wallet nobody can name" = reshuffle. Feds shuffle seized coins between their own drawers every few months. (CoinDesk/Arkham)
The real exchange-bound moves came ~24h earlier: ~3,200 BTC + 119M USDT into Coinbase Prime. Even that isn't a sale. Prime is custody + OTC desk, not spot market.
But the timeline read "US GOVT MOVED 1B" and panic-sold anyway. Longs paid: 411M USD liquidated in 24h, 86% longs. $BTC tagged ~80.4K, then printed +1% to 82,389.
10-second whale-alert checklist:
1. Destination label first. Exchange = watch. Unlabeled = probably nothing.
2. Wallet history. Aug 2024: same govt wallets moved ~10,000 BTC to Prime.
3. Trade the headline gap. Money moves in the ~30 minutes before the correction goes viral.
The panic was the entry. $BTC 82.4K: 82.8K is the line, reclaim probably reopens 84-85K.
#Bitcoin #CryptoEducation
---
12,267 BTC (1.01B USD) moved from a US government wallet Thursday.
Destination: an unlabeled address. Not an exchange.
"To an exchange" = potential selling pressure. "To an anonymous wallet" = reshuffling. The US moves seized coins between its own wallets every few months. (CoinDesk/Arkham)
The moves that actually went to an exchange happened ~24 hours earlier: ~3,200 BTC + 119M USDT to Coinbase Prime. Even that doesn't necessarily mean a sale. Prime is custody + an OTC desk, not the spot market.
But the timeline read "US GOVT MOVED 1B," and people panic-sold anyway. Longs paid the price: 411M USD liquidated in 24 hours, 86% of them long positions. BTC touched ~80.4K, then rose +1% to 82,389.
10-second whale-alert checklist:
1. Check the destination label first. Exchange = be alert. Unlabeled = probably nothing.
2. Check the wallet history. Aug 2024: the same government wallets moved ~10,000 BTC to Prime.
3. Trade the headline gap. Money moves in the ~30 minutes before the correction goes viral.
The panic was the entry. 82.8K is the line; a clean reclaim will probably open the way to 84-85K.
Destination: an unlabeled address. Not an exchange.
"To exchange" = possible sell pressure. "To a wallet nobody can name" = reshuffle. Feds shuffle seized coins between their own drawers every few months. (CoinDesk/Arkham)
The real exchange-bound moves came ~24h earlier: ~3,200 BTC + 119M USDT into Coinbase Prime. Even that isn't a sale. Prime is custody + OTC desk, not spot market.
But the timeline read "US GOVT MOVED 1B" and panic-sold anyway. Longs paid: 411M USD liquidated in 24h, 86% longs. $BTC tagged ~80.4K, then printed +1% to 82,389.
10-second whale-alert checklist:
1. Destination label first. Exchange = watch. Unlabeled = probably nothing.
2. Wallet history. Aug 2024: same govt wallets moved ~10,000 BTC to Prime.
3. Trade the headline gap. Money moves in the ~30 minutes before the correction goes viral.
The panic was the entry. $BTC 82.4K: 82.8K is the line, reclaim probably reopens 84-85K.
#Bitcoin #CryptoEducation
---
12,267 BTC (1.01B USD) moved from a US government wallet Thursday.
Destination: an unlabeled address. Not an exchange.
"To an exchange" = potential selling pressure. "To an anonymous wallet" = reshuffling. The US moves seized coins between its own wallets every few months. (CoinDesk/Arkham)
The moves that actually went to an exchange happened ~24 hours earlier: ~3,200 BTC + 119M USDT to Coinbase Prime. Even that doesn't necessarily mean a sale. Prime is custody + an OTC desk, not the spot market.
But the timeline read "US GOVT MOVED 1B," and people panic-sold anyway. Longs paid the price: 411M USD liquidated in 24 hours, 86% of them long positions. BTC touched ~80.4K, then rose +1% to 82,389.
10-second whale-alert checklist:
1. Check the destination label first. Exchange = be alert. Unlabeled = probably nothing.
2. Check the wallet history. Aug 2024: the same government wallets moved ~10,000 BTC to Prime.
3. Trade the headline gap. Money moves in the ~30 minutes before the correction goes viral.
The panic was the entry. 82.8K is the line; a clean reclaim will probably open the way to 84-85K.
39
·
--
US government wallets just moved 10,000 BTC (~1B) to Coinbase Prime.
This is the headline that used to nuke markets: government coins on an exchange means supply overhang. Every desk's nightmare.
BTC printed +1.2% to ~82.5K anyway.
Context: the market already absorbed ~731M in spot ETF outflows over two days (-487.1M on Oct 7 alone) plus a 513M long-liquidation flush, 86% from longs. The weak hands are gone.
Fear and Greed reads 56. Neutral. No fear pricing in a 1B overhang.
Watch 82.8K. A clean reclaim probably reopens 84–85K. $BTC
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BitcoinReboundsTo83K
---
Wallet pemerintah AS baru saja memindahkan 10.000 BTC (~1B) ke Coinbase Prime.
Ini headline yang dulu bisa membantai pasar: koin pemerintah masuk ke exchange berarti supply overhang. Mimpi buruk setiap desk trading.
BTC malah cetak +1,2% ke ~82.5K.
Konteks: pasar sudah menyerap ~731M outflow ETF spot dalam dua hari (-487.1M pada 7 Okt saja) plus 513M likuidasi long, 86% dari posisi long. Yang lemah sudah tersingkir.
Fear and Greed di 56. Netral. Tidak ada fear yang mem-price 1B overhang.
Awasi 82.8K. Reclaim yang bersih kemungkinan membuka jalan ke 84–85K.
US government wallets just moved 10,000 BTC (~1B) to Coinbase Prime.
This is the headline that used to nuke markets: government coins on an exchange means supply overhang. Every desk's nightmare.
BTC printed +1.2% to ~82.5K anyway.
Context: the market already absorbed ~731M in spot ETF outflows over two days (-487.1M on Oct 7 alone) plus a 513M long-liquidation flush, 86% from longs. The weak hands are gone.
Fear and Greed reads 56. Neutral. No fear pricing in a 1B overhang.
Watch 82.8K. A clean reclaim probably reopens 84–85K. $BTC
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BitcoinReboundsTo83K
---
Wallet pemerintah AS baru saja memindahkan 10.000 BTC (~1B) ke Coinbase Prime.
Ini headline yang dulu bisa membantai pasar: koin pemerintah masuk ke exchange berarti supply overhang. Mimpi buruk setiap desk trading.
BTC malah cetak +1,2% ke ~82.5K.
Konteks: pasar sudah menyerap ~731M outflow ETF spot dalam dua hari (-487.1M pada 7 Okt saja) plus 513M likuidasi long, 86% dari posisi long. Yang lemah sudah tersingkir.
Fear and Greed di 56. Netral. Tidak ada fear yang mem-price 1B overhang.
Awasi 82.8K. Reclaim yang bersih kemungkinan membuka jalan ke 84–85K.
This is the headline that used to nuke markets: government coins on an exchange means supply overhang. Every desk's nightmare.
BTC printed +1.2% to ~82.5K anyway.
Context: the market already absorbed ~731M in spot ETF outflows over two days (-487.1M on Oct 7 alone) plus a 513M long-liquidation flush, 86% from longs. The weak hands are gone.
Fear and Greed reads 56. Neutral. No fear pricing in a 1B overhang.
Watch 82.8K. A clean reclaim probably reopens 84–85K. $BTC
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BitcoinReboundsTo83K
---
Wallet pemerintah AS baru saja memindahkan 10.000 BTC (~1B) ke Coinbase Prime.
Ini headline yang dulu bisa membantai pasar: koin pemerintah masuk ke exchange berarti supply overhang. Mimpi buruk setiap desk trading.
BTC malah cetak +1,2% ke ~82.5K.
Konteks: pasar sudah menyerap ~731M outflow ETF spot dalam dua hari (-487.1M pada 7 Okt saja) plus 513M likuidasi long, 86% dari posisi long. Yang lemah sudah tersingkir.
Fear and Greed di 56. Netral. Tidak ada fear yang mem-price 1B overhang.
Awasi 82.8K. Reclaim yang bersih kemungkinan membuka jalan ke 84–85K.
19
·
--
6,400,000 $BTC (~520B USD) underwater.
Thursday's dip below $81K — the lowest since Sept 21 — pushed 6.4M coins into loss, according to Glassnode. The biggest surrender print since Sept 18.
But bottom callers are too early: 13.7M BTC are still in profit. More than 2:1.
Bear-market bottoms form when the supply in profit ≈ the supply at a loss. In summer, 10.5M coins were at a loss with BTC at $60K. Nowhere near that ratio. Capitulation still has another leg to go.
Tonight's US session will decide the weekend's direction. 21:00 WIB: UMich sentiment — consensus 47.7, previous 48.1, 1-year inflation expectations 3.4%. Amid the shutdown data blackout, this is the only number left that can move markets. KC Fed's Schmid is also speaking today.
80K is the line. If it breaks, the next cushion is the 50 MA at ~77K. Reclaim 82.8K and 84–85K is back in play.
$BTC is parked at ~81.6K heading into all of this. A hot print + sticky inflation expectations = risk-off heading into a weekend with CPI (Oct 14) looming. Positioned for the downside trigger, not the bottom.
$ETH
#Bitcoin #Macro #Crypto
---
6,400,000 BTC (~$520B USD) underwater.
Thursday's drop below $81K — the lowest since Sept 21 — pushed 6.4M coins into loss, according to Glassnode. The biggest surrender print since Sept 18.
But bottom callers are too early: 13.7M BTC are still in profit. More than 2:1.
Bear-market bottoms form when the supply in profit ≈ the supply at a loss. In summer, 10.5M coins were at a loss with BTC at $60K. Nowhere near that ratio. Capitulation still has another leg to go.
Tonight's US session will decide the weekend's direction. 21:00 WIB: UMich sentiment — consensus 47.7, previous 48.1, 1-year inflation expectations 3.4%. Amid the shutdown data blackout, this is the only number left that can move markets. KC Fed's Schmid is also speaking today.
80K is the line. If it breaks, the next cushion is the 50 MA at ~77K. Reclaim 82.8K and 84–85K is back in play.
BTC is parked at ~81.6K heading into all of this. A hot print + sticky inflation expectations = risk-off heading into a weekend with CPI (Oct 14) looming. I'm positioned for the downside trigger, not the bottom.
6,400,000 $BTC (~520B USD) underwater.
Thursday's dip below $81K — the lowest since Sept 21 — pushed 6.4M coins into loss, according to Glassnode. The biggest surrender print since Sept 18.
But bottom callers are too early: 13.7M BTC are still in profit. More than 2:1.
Bear-market bottoms form when the supply in profit ≈ the supply at a loss. In summer, 10.5M coins were at a loss with BTC at $60K. Nowhere near that ratio. Capitulation still has another leg to go.
Tonight's US session will decide the weekend's direction. 21:00 WIB: UMich sentiment — consensus 47.7, previous 48.1, 1-year inflation expectations 3.4%. Amid the shutdown data blackout, this is the only number left that can move markets. KC Fed's Schmid is also speaking today.
80K is the line. If it breaks, the next cushion is the 50 MA at ~77K. Reclaim 82.8K and 84–85K is back in play.
$BTC is parked at ~81.6K heading into all of this. A hot print + sticky inflation expectations = risk-off heading into a weekend with CPI (Oct 14) looming. Positioned for the downside trigger, not the bottom.
$ETH
#Bitcoin #Macro #Crypto
---
6,400,000 BTC (~$520B USD) underwater.
Thursday's drop below $81K — the lowest since Sept 21 — pushed 6.4M coins into loss, according to Glassnode. The biggest surrender print since Sept 18.
But bottom callers are too early: 13.7M BTC are still in profit. More than 2:1.
Bear-market bottoms form when the supply in profit ≈ the supply at a loss. In summer, 10.5M coins were at a loss with BTC at $60K. Nowhere near that ratio. Capitulation still has another leg to go.
Tonight's US session will decide the weekend's direction. 21:00 WIB: UMich sentiment — consensus 47.7, previous 48.1, 1-year inflation expectations 3.4%. Amid the shutdown data blackout, this is the only number left that can move markets. KC Fed's Schmid is also speaking today.
80K is the line. If it breaks, the next cushion is the 50 MA at ~77K. Reclaim 82.8K and 84–85K is back in play.
BTC is parked at ~81.6K heading into all of this. A hot print + sticky inflation expectations = risk-off heading into a weekend with CPI (Oct 14) looming. I'm positioned for the downside trigger, not the bottom.
Thursday's dip below $81K — the lowest since Sept 21 — pushed 6.4M coins into loss, according to Glassnode. The biggest surrender print since Sept 18.
But bottom callers are too early: 13.7M BTC are still in profit. More than 2:1.
Bear-market bottoms form when the supply in profit ≈ the supply at a loss. In summer, 10.5M coins were at a loss with BTC at $60K. Nowhere near that ratio. Capitulation still has another leg to go.
Tonight's US session will decide the weekend's direction. 21:00 WIB: UMich sentiment — consensus 47.7, previous 48.1, 1-year inflation expectations 3.4%. Amid the shutdown data blackout, this is the only number left that can move markets. KC Fed's Schmid is also speaking today.
80K is the line. If it breaks, the next cushion is the 50 MA at ~77K. Reclaim 82.8K and 84–85K is back in play.
$BTC is parked at ~81.6K heading into all of this. A hot print + sticky inflation expectations = risk-off heading into a weekend with CPI (Oct 14) looming. Positioned for the downside trigger, not the bottom.
$ETH
#Bitcoin #Macro #Crypto
---
6,400,000 BTC (~$520B USD) underwater.
Thursday's drop below $81K — the lowest since Sept 21 — pushed 6.4M coins into loss, according to Glassnode. The biggest surrender print since Sept 18.
But bottom callers are too early: 13.7M BTC are still in profit. More than 2:1.
Bear-market bottoms form when the supply in profit ≈ the supply at a loss. In summer, 10.5M coins were at a loss with BTC at $60K. Nowhere near that ratio. Capitulation still has another leg to go.
Tonight's US session will decide the weekend's direction. 21:00 WIB: UMich sentiment — consensus 47.7, previous 48.1, 1-year inflation expectations 3.4%. Amid the shutdown data blackout, this is the only number left that can move markets. KC Fed's Schmid is also speaking today.
80K is the line. If it breaks, the next cushion is the 50 MA at ~77K. Reclaim 82.8K and 84–85K is back in play.
BTC is parked at ~81.6K heading into all of this. A hot print + sticky inflation expectations = risk-off heading into a weekend with CPI (Oct 14) looming. I'm positioned for the downside trigger, not the bottom.
60
·
--
$1.02B liquidated in 24 hours.
164,899 traders wiped — per Coinglass.
That was the bear case at full volume: oil ~105, Iran headlines, Wednesday's -487M BTC ETF redemptions, and BTC still bounced ~+2% off the 80,393 low to 81.7K.
The viral 115K-view "87K was a final bull trap" call? Late. You fade the top before the flush — not after it.
Bears got their perfect setup and couldn't hold BTC under 80.4K. Now the crowded trade is short.
82.8K is the line. Reclaim there and the shorts' stops start running — $BTC is the trade to watch.
#Bitcoin #Crypto
---
$1.02B liquidated in 24 hours.
164,899 traders wiped out — according to Coinglass.
That was the perfect bearish scenario: oil at ~105, Iran headlines, Wednesday's -487M BTC ETF outflows — and BTC still bounced ~+2% from the 80,393 low to 81.7K.
The viral "87K was the final bull trap" narrative? Too late. You fade the top before the flush — not after.
Bears got the perfect setup but still failed to keep BTC below 80.4K. Now the most crowded trade is short.
82.8K is the line. Reclaim it and the shorts' stops start getting swept — keep an eye on BTC.
#BitcoinDipsBelow81K
$1.02B liquidated in 24 hours.
164,899 traders wiped — per Coinglass.
That was the bear case at full volume: oil ~105, Iran headlines, Wednesday's -487M BTC ETF redemptions, and BTC still bounced ~+2% off the 80,393 low to 81.7K.
The viral 115K-view "87K was a final bull trap" call? Late. You fade the top before the flush — not after it.
Bears got their perfect setup and couldn't hold BTC under 80.4K. Now the crowded trade is short.
82.8K is the line. Reclaim there and the shorts' stops start running — $BTC is the trade to watch.
#Bitcoin #Crypto
---
$1.02B liquidated in 24 hours.
164,899 traders wiped out — according to Coinglass.
That was the perfect bearish scenario: oil at ~105, Iran headlines, Wednesday's -487M BTC ETF outflows — and BTC still bounced ~+2% from the 80,393 low to 81.7K.
The viral "87K was the final bull trap" narrative? Too late. You fade the top before the flush — not after.
Bears got the perfect setup but still failed to keep BTC below 80.4K. Now the most crowded trade is short.
82.8K is the line. Reclaim it and the shorts' stops start getting swept — keep an eye on BTC.
#BitcoinDipsBelow81K
164,899 traders wiped — per Coinglass.
That was the bear case at full volume: oil ~105, Iran headlines, Wednesday's -487M BTC ETF redemptions, and BTC still bounced ~+2% off the 80,393 low to 81.7K.
The viral 115K-view "87K was a final bull trap" call? Late. You fade the top before the flush — not after it.
Bears got their perfect setup and couldn't hold BTC under 80.4K. Now the crowded trade is short.
82.8K is the line. Reclaim there and the shorts' stops start running — $BTC is the trade to watch.
#Bitcoin #Crypto
---
$1.02B liquidated in 24 hours.
164,899 traders wiped out — according to Coinglass.
That was the perfect bearish scenario: oil at ~105, Iran headlines, Wednesday's -487M BTC ETF outflows — and BTC still bounced ~+2% from the 80,393 low to 81.7K.
The viral "87K was the final bull trap" narrative? Too late. You fade the top before the flush — not after.
Bears got the perfect setup but still failed to keep BTC below 80.4K. Now the most crowded trade is short.
82.8K is the line. Reclaim it and the shorts' stops start getting swept — keep an eye on BTC.
#BitcoinDipsBelow81K
108
·
--
83.7%.
That's the market's probability the Fed has hiked up to 50bps by December 9 — while the October 28 meeting is priced at just 17.7%.
Read the CME FedWatch screen like a trader, not a tourist.
FedWatch isn't a forecast. It's Fed funds futures prices converted into odds — real money, real positioning.
4 rules to read it right:
Cumulative ≠ per-meeting. December's 83.7% counts every meeting until then. October's 17.7% is one night only.
17.7% ≠ zero. It's ~1 in 6. Tails move markets when they land.
Watch the change, not the level. Waller said "additional hikes" — Goldman now expects December. That's how 17.7% becomes 30%.
0% chance of any cut through January. The floor only goes up.
FOMC October 28 is 19 days out. $BTC sits at ~80.4K. Hike odds break above 30% → 80K becomes the line. Odds collapse toward 10% → that's the repricing bulls want.
Don't watch the price. Watch the odds move. Trade the move.
---
83.7%.
That's the market's probability that the Fed will have raised rates by up to 50bps by December 9 — while the October 28 meeting is priced at just 17.7%.
Read the CME FedWatch screen like a trader, not a tourist.
FedWatch isn't a forecast. It's Fed funds futures prices converted into odds — real money, real positioning.
4 rules to read it right:
Cumulative ≠ per-meeting. December's 83.7% counts every meeting through December. October's 17.7% is for one night only.
17.7% ≠ zero. That's ~1 in 6. Tails move markets when they hit.
Watch the change, not the level. Waller said "additional hikes" — Goldman now expects a December hike. That's how 17.7% becomes 30%.
0% chance of any cuts through January. The floor only goes up.
The October 28 FOMC meeting is 19 days away. BTC is at ~80.4K. If hike odds break above 30% → 80K becomes the line. If odds collapse toward 10% → that's the repricing bulls want.
Don't just watch the price. Watch the odds move. Trade the move.
#Fed #Bitcoin #CryptoEducation
83.7%.
That's the market's probability the Fed has hiked up to 50bps by December 9 — while the October 28 meeting is priced at just 17.7%.
Read the CME FedWatch screen like a trader, not a tourist.
FedWatch isn't a forecast. It's Fed funds futures prices converted into odds — real money, real positioning.
4 rules to read it right:
Cumulative ≠ per-meeting. December's 83.7% counts every meeting until then. October's 17.7% is one night only.
17.7% ≠ zero. It's ~1 in 6. Tails move markets when they land.
Watch the change, not the level. Waller said "additional hikes" — Goldman now expects December. That's how 17.7% becomes 30%.
0% chance of any cut through January. The floor only goes up.
FOMC October 28 is 19 days out. $BTC sits at ~80.4K. Hike odds break above 30% → 80K becomes the line. Odds collapse toward 10% → that's the repricing bulls want.
Don't watch the price. Watch the odds move. Trade the move.
---
83.7%.
That's the market's probability that the Fed will have raised rates by up to 50bps by December 9 — while the October 28 meeting is priced at just 17.7%.
Read the CME FedWatch screen like a trader, not a tourist.
FedWatch isn't a forecast. It's Fed funds futures prices converted into odds — real money, real positioning.
4 rules to read it right:
Cumulative ≠ per-meeting. December's 83.7% counts every meeting through December. October's 17.7% is for one night only.
17.7% ≠ zero. That's ~1 in 6. Tails move markets when they hit.
Watch the change, not the level. Waller said "additional hikes" — Goldman now expects a December hike. That's how 17.7% becomes 30%.
0% chance of any cuts through January. The floor only goes up.
The October 28 FOMC meeting is 19 days away. BTC is at ~80.4K. If hike odds break above 30% → 80K becomes the line. If odds collapse toward 10% → that's the repricing bulls want.
Don't just watch the price. Watch the odds move. Trade the move.
#Fed #Bitcoin #CryptoEducation
That's the market's probability the Fed has hiked up to 50bps by December 9 — while the October 28 meeting is priced at just 17.7%.
Read the CME FedWatch screen like a trader, not a tourist.
FedWatch isn't a forecast. It's Fed funds futures prices converted into odds — real money, real positioning.
4 rules to read it right:
Cumulative ≠ per-meeting. December's 83.7% counts every meeting until then. October's 17.7% is one night only.
17.7% ≠ zero. It's ~1 in 6. Tails move markets when they land.
Watch the change, not the level. Waller said "additional hikes" — Goldman now expects December. That's how 17.7% becomes 30%.
0% chance of any cut through January. The floor only goes up.
FOMC October 28 is 19 days out. $BTC sits at ~80.4K. Hike odds break above 30% → 80K becomes the line. Odds collapse toward 10% → that's the repricing bulls want.
Don't watch the price. Watch the odds move. Trade the move.
---
83.7%.
That's the market's probability that the Fed will have raised rates by up to 50bps by December 9 — while the October 28 meeting is priced at just 17.7%.
Read the CME FedWatch screen like a trader, not a tourist.
FedWatch isn't a forecast. It's Fed funds futures prices converted into odds — real money, real positioning.
4 rules to read it right:
Cumulative ≠ per-meeting. December's 83.7% counts every meeting through December. October's 17.7% is for one night only.
17.7% ≠ zero. That's ~1 in 6. Tails move markets when they hit.
Watch the change, not the level. Waller said "additional hikes" — Goldman now expects a December hike. That's how 17.7% becomes 30%.
0% chance of any cuts through January. The floor only goes up.
The October 28 FOMC meeting is 19 days away. BTC is at ~80.4K. If hike odds break above 30% → 80K becomes the line. If odds collapse toward 10% → that's the repricing bulls want.
Don't just watch the price. Watch the odds move. Trade the move.
#Fed #Bitcoin #CryptoEducation
63
·
--
$550M in longs got flushed this week — and funding is STILL positive.
BTC perp funding flipped from -0.0043% to +0.0069% per 8h... while BTC dropped ~$3,600.
Capitulation bottoms come when shorts pay longs — Feb's $60K bottom had the most negative funding in 3 months. Longs paying to hold while price bleeds is not a bottom recipe.
Meanwhile OI rebuilt from $54.2B to $55.3B DURING the Oct 7 selloff — rising OI into a falling market means fresh longs catching the knife.
Book is thin: $6.93B spot volume vs $85.22B futures, a 12:1 ratio.
Offset: Binance logged its biggest BTC withdrawals since mid-2023 while whales deposited stablecoins — somebody big is preparing to bid lower.
$BTC is at 81-82K. With funding positive there's no short-squeeze fuel — longs have no cushion. Lose 81K and it's forced selling part two; reclaim 82K on real spot volume and the shorts finally have something to fear.
---
$550M in long positions got wiped out this week — and funding is still POSITIVE.
BTC perp funding flipped from -0.0043% to +0.0069% per 8 hours... even though BTC dropped ~$3,600.
Capitulation bottoms usually come when shorts pay longs — the $60K bottom last February had the most negative funding in 3 months. Longs paying to hold while the price bleeds is not a bottom recipe.
Meanwhile, OI actually rose from $54.2B to $55.3B IN THE MIDDLE of the Oct 7 dump — rising OI as prices fall means new longs are catching a falling knife.
The order book is thin: $6.93B in spot volume vs $85.22B in futures, a 12:1 ratio.
A counterweight: Binance just recorded its biggest BTC withdrawals since mid-2023, while whales deposited stablecoins — a big player is getting ready to bid lower.
$BTC is at 81-82K. As long as funding is positive, there's no fuel for a short squeeze — longs have no cushion. Break below 81K and it's forced selling, round two; reclaim 82K on genuine spot volume and shorts will finally have something to fear.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Funding
$550M in longs got flushed this week — and funding is STILL positive.
BTC perp funding flipped from -0.0043% to +0.0069% per 8h... while BTC dropped ~$3,600.
Capitulation bottoms come when shorts pay longs — Feb's $60K bottom had the most negative funding in 3 months. Longs paying to hold while price bleeds is not a bottom recipe.
Meanwhile OI rebuilt from $54.2B to $55.3B DURING the Oct 7 selloff — rising OI into a falling market means fresh longs catching the knife.
Book is thin: $6.93B spot volume vs $85.22B futures, a 12:1 ratio.
Offset: Binance logged its biggest BTC withdrawals since mid-2023 while whales deposited stablecoins — somebody big is preparing to bid lower.
$BTC is at 81-82K. With funding positive there's no short-squeeze fuel — longs have no cushion. Lose 81K and it's forced selling part two; reclaim 82K on real spot volume and the shorts finally have something to fear.
---
$550M in long positions got wiped out this week — and funding is still POSITIVE.
BTC perp funding flipped from -0.0043% to +0.0069% per 8 hours... even though BTC dropped ~$3,600.
Capitulation bottoms usually come when shorts pay longs — the $60K bottom last February had the most negative funding in 3 months. Longs paying to hold while the price bleeds is not a bottom recipe.
Meanwhile, OI actually rose from $54.2B to $55.3B IN THE MIDDLE of the Oct 7 dump — rising OI as prices fall means new longs are catching a falling knife.
The order book is thin: $6.93B in spot volume vs $85.22B in futures, a 12:1 ratio.
A counterweight: Binance just recorded its biggest BTC withdrawals since mid-2023, while whales deposited stablecoins — a big player is getting ready to bid lower.
$BTC is at 81-82K. As long as funding is positive, there's no fuel for a short squeeze — longs have no cushion. Break below 81K and it's forced selling, round two; reclaim 82K on genuine spot volume and shorts will finally have something to fear.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Funding
BTC perp funding flipped from -0.0043% to +0.0069% per 8h... while BTC dropped ~$3,600.
Capitulation bottoms come when shorts pay longs — Feb's $60K bottom had the most negative funding in 3 months. Longs paying to hold while price bleeds is not a bottom recipe.
Meanwhile OI rebuilt from $54.2B to $55.3B DURING the Oct 7 selloff — rising OI into a falling market means fresh longs catching the knife.
Book is thin: $6.93B spot volume vs $85.22B futures, a 12:1 ratio.
Offset: Binance logged its biggest BTC withdrawals since mid-2023 while whales deposited stablecoins — somebody big is preparing to bid lower.
$BTC is at 81-82K. With funding positive there's no short-squeeze fuel — longs have no cushion. Lose 81K and it's forced selling part two; reclaim 82K on real spot volume and the shorts finally have something to fear.
---
$550M in long positions got wiped out this week — and funding is still POSITIVE.
BTC perp funding flipped from -0.0043% to +0.0069% per 8 hours... even though BTC dropped ~$3,600.
Capitulation bottoms usually come when shorts pay longs — the $60K bottom last February had the most negative funding in 3 months. Longs paying to hold while the price bleeds is not a bottom recipe.
Meanwhile, OI actually rose from $54.2B to $55.3B IN THE MIDDLE of the Oct 7 dump — rising OI as prices fall means new longs are catching a falling knife.
The order book is thin: $6.93B in spot volume vs $85.22B in futures, a 12:1 ratio.
A counterweight: Binance just recorded its biggest BTC withdrawals since mid-2023, while whales deposited stablecoins — a big player is getting ready to bid lower.
$BTC is at 81-82K. As long as funding is positive, there's no fuel for a short squeeze — longs have no cushion. Break below 81K and it's forced selling, round two; reclaim 82K on genuine spot volume and shorts will finally have something to fear.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Funding
73
·
--
$547M in longs wiped. $BTC closed Oct 8 at 81,097 (-2.62%), after its first sub-82K print since Sept 20.
US equities closed red: Dow -0.66%, S&P -0.22%, Nasdaq -0.22%. Oil +1.5%, gold +0.41% — textbook risk-off rotation. $ETH ~2,578, clinging to 2,500.
CoinGlass counted ~546.9M in crypto liquidations, 479.7M of it longs. Meanwhile Robinhood quietly bought 25M of BTC on Oct 7 — dip buyers are already in the building.
Yet Fear & Greed reads 60. Still Greed. Nobody's scared yet — and that's the problem. Bottoms don't form at Greed.
Asia-open setup: 80,000 is the line. Lose it and ~77K (50 MA) is the next cushion. Hold it into UMich (10:00 ET / 21:00 WIB, exp 47.7) and the $BTC shorts start sweating.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Liquidations
---
547M posisi long dilikuidasi. $BTC tutup 8 Okt di 81,097 (-2,62%), setelah print pertama di bawah 82K sejak 20 Sep.
Saham AS tutup merah: Dow -0,66%, S&P -0,22%, Nasdaq -0,22%. Minyak +1,5%, emas +0,41% — rotasi risk-off klasik. $ETH ~2.578, bertahan di atas 2.500.
CoinGlass mencatat ~546,9M likuidasi kripto, 479,7M diantaranya long. Sementara Robinhood diam-diam beli 25M BTC pada 7 Okt — pembeli dip sudah masuk.
Tapi Fear & Greed masih 60. Masih Greed. Belum ada yang takut — dan itu masalahnya. Bottom nggak terbentuk di level Greed.
Setup Asia open: 80.000 adalah garisnya. Jebol, ~77K (50 MA) jadi bantalan berikutnya. Tahan sampai UMich (21:00 WIB, ekspektasi 47,7) dan kubu short $BTC mulai keringatan.
$547M in longs wiped. $BTC closed Oct 8 at 81,097 (-2.62%), after its first sub-82K print since Sept 20.
US equities closed red: Dow -0.66%, S&P -0.22%, Nasdaq -0.22%. Oil +1.5%, gold +0.41% — textbook risk-off rotation. $ETH ~2,578, clinging to 2,500.
CoinGlass counted ~546.9M in crypto liquidations, 479.7M of it longs. Meanwhile Robinhood quietly bought 25M of BTC on Oct 7 — dip buyers are already in the building.
Yet Fear & Greed reads 60. Still Greed. Nobody's scared yet — and that's the problem. Bottoms don't form at Greed.
Asia-open setup: 80,000 is the line. Lose it and ~77K (50 MA) is the next cushion. Hold it into UMich (10:00 ET / 21:00 WIB, exp 47.7) and the $BTC shorts start sweating.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Liquidations
---
547M posisi long dilikuidasi. $BTC tutup 8 Okt di 81,097 (-2,62%), setelah print pertama di bawah 82K sejak 20 Sep.
Saham AS tutup merah: Dow -0,66%, S&P -0,22%, Nasdaq -0,22%. Minyak +1,5%, emas +0,41% — rotasi risk-off klasik. $ETH ~2.578, bertahan di atas 2.500.
CoinGlass mencatat ~546,9M likuidasi kripto, 479,7M diantaranya long. Sementara Robinhood diam-diam beli 25M BTC pada 7 Okt — pembeli dip sudah masuk.
Tapi Fear & Greed masih 60. Masih Greed. Belum ada yang takut — dan itu masalahnya. Bottom nggak terbentuk di level Greed.
Setup Asia open: 80.000 adalah garisnya. Jebol, ~77K (50 MA) jadi bantalan berikutnya. Tahan sampai UMich (21:00 WIB, ekspektasi 47,7) dan kubu short $BTC mulai keringatan.
US equities closed red: Dow -0.66%, S&P -0.22%, Nasdaq -0.22%. Oil +1.5%, gold +0.41% — textbook risk-off rotation. $ETH ~2,578, clinging to 2,500.
CoinGlass counted ~546.9M in crypto liquidations, 479.7M of it longs. Meanwhile Robinhood quietly bought 25M of BTC on Oct 7 — dip buyers are already in the building.
Yet Fear & Greed reads 60. Still Greed. Nobody's scared yet — and that's the problem. Bottoms don't form at Greed.
Asia-open setup: 80,000 is the line. Lose it and ~77K (50 MA) is the next cushion. Hold it into UMich (10:00 ET / 21:00 WIB, exp 47.7) and the $BTC shorts start sweating.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Liquidations
---
547M posisi long dilikuidasi. $BTC tutup 8 Okt di 81,097 (-2,62%), setelah print pertama di bawah 82K sejak 20 Sep.
Saham AS tutup merah: Dow -0,66%, S&P -0,22%, Nasdaq -0,22%. Minyak +1,5%, emas +0,41% — rotasi risk-off klasik. $ETH ~2.578, bertahan di atas 2.500.
CoinGlass mencatat ~546,9M likuidasi kripto, 479,7M diantaranya long. Sementara Robinhood diam-diam beli 25M BTC pada 7 Okt — pembeli dip sudah masuk.
Tapi Fear & Greed masih 60. Masih Greed. Belum ada yang takut — dan itu masalahnya. Bottom nggak terbentuk di level Greed.
Setup Asia open: 80.000 adalah garisnya. Jebol, ~77K (50 MA) jadi bantalan berikutnya. Tahan sampai UMich (21:00 WIB, ekspektasi 47,7) dan kubu short $BTC mulai keringatan.
94
·
--
Partly True
80,393 — $BTC tagged the overnight low, then bounced ~2% in the same session.
First trip under 82K since Sept 20, and buyers showed up right at 80.4K.
What moved overnight:
- 10Y yield touched 5.36%, then the bond bears blinked: 5.276%. Risk assets followed yields down, not up (CoinDesk).
- $ETH took the real damage in this week's flush: 232.7M liquidated over 24h, 95% of it longs. Biggest single print: 26.64M (CoinGlass).
- Brent ~105, WTI ~92.5 — the oil bid isn't going away, so the inflation scare stays on the table.
Today:
UMich sentiment + inflation expectations, 21:00 WIB. Consensus 48.1, flat. The number that matters isn't sentiment — it's the 1-year inflation expectation. A hot print while BTC hugs 81K turns that 80K low into a magnet again.
The trade:
$BTC sits at 81,800, pinned between the overnight low and 82K. Reclaim 82K and yesterday's short-sellers start covering. Lose 80K and there's air below.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
---
80.393 — BTC touched the low last night, then bounced ~2% in the same session.
First time below 82K since Sept 20, and buyers showed up right at 80.4K.
What moved overnight:
- 10Y yield touched 5.36%, then bond bears backed off: 5.276%. Risk assets tracked yields lower, not higher (CoinDesk).
- ETH got hit the hardest in this week's flush: 232.7M liquidated in 24h, 95% of it longs. Biggest single print: 26.64M (CoinGlass).
- Brent ~105, WTI ~92.5 — the oil bid isn't finished yet, so the inflation ghost still sits at the table.
Today:
UMich sentiment + inflation expectations, 21:00 WIB. Consensus 48.1, flat. The important number isn't sentiment — it's the 1-year inflation expectation. If the print is hot while BTC sticks around 81K, the 80K low will be a magnet again.
Setup:
BTC at 81,800, squeezed between last night's low and 82K. Reclaim 82K and yesterday's short-sellers begin covering. Break 80K and it's empty underneath.
80,393 — $BTC tagged the overnight low, then bounced ~2% in the same session.
First trip under 82K since Sept 20, and buyers showed up right at 80.4K.
What moved overnight:
- 10Y yield touched 5.36%, then the bond bears blinked: 5.276%. Risk assets followed yields down, not up (CoinDesk).
- $ETH took the real damage in this week's flush: 232.7M liquidated over 24h, 95% of it longs. Biggest single print: 26.64M (CoinGlass).
- Brent ~105, WTI ~92.5 — the oil bid isn't going away, so the inflation scare stays on the table.
Today:
UMich sentiment + inflation expectations, 21:00 WIB. Consensus 48.1, flat. The number that matters isn't sentiment — it's the 1-year inflation expectation. A hot print while BTC hugs 81K turns that 80K low into a magnet again.
The trade:
$BTC sits at 81,800, pinned between the overnight low and 82K. Reclaim 82K and yesterday's short-sellers start covering. Lose 80K and there's air below.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
---
80.393 — BTC touched the low last night, then bounced ~2% in the same session.
First time below 82K since Sept 20, and buyers showed up right at 80.4K.
What moved overnight:
- 10Y yield touched 5.36%, then bond bears backed off: 5.276%. Risk assets tracked yields lower, not higher (CoinDesk).
- ETH got hit the hardest in this week's flush: 232.7M liquidated in 24h, 95% of it longs. Biggest single print: 26.64M (CoinGlass).
- Brent ~105, WTI ~92.5 — the oil bid isn't finished yet, so the inflation ghost still sits at the table.
Today:
UMich sentiment + inflation expectations, 21:00 WIB. Consensus 48.1, flat. The important number isn't sentiment — it's the 1-year inflation expectation. If the print is hot while BTC sticks around 81K, the 80K low will be a magnet again.
Setup:
BTC at 81,800, squeezed between last night's low and 82K. Reclaim 82K and yesterday's short-sellers begin covering. Break 80K and it's empty underneath.
First trip under 82K since Sept 20, and buyers showed up right at 80.4K.
What moved overnight:
- 10Y yield touched 5.36%, then the bond bears blinked: 5.276%. Risk assets followed yields down, not up (CoinDesk).
- $ETH took the real damage in this week's flush: 232.7M liquidated over 24h, 95% of it longs. Biggest single print: 26.64M (CoinGlass).
- Brent ~105, WTI ~92.5 — the oil bid isn't going away, so the inflation scare stays on the table.
Today:
UMich sentiment + inflation expectations, 21:00 WIB. Consensus 48.1, flat. The number that matters isn't sentiment — it's the 1-year inflation expectation. A hot print while BTC hugs 81K turns that 80K low into a magnet again.
The trade:
$BTC sits at 81,800, pinned between the overnight low and 82K. Reclaim 82K and yesterday's short-sellers start covering. Lose 80K and there's air below.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
---
80.393 — BTC touched the low last night, then bounced ~2% in the same session.
First time below 82K since Sept 20, and buyers showed up right at 80.4K.
What moved overnight:
- 10Y yield touched 5.36%, then bond bears backed off: 5.276%. Risk assets tracked yields lower, not higher (CoinDesk).
- ETH got hit the hardest in this week's flush: 232.7M liquidated in 24h, 95% of it longs. Biggest single print: 26.64M (CoinGlass).
- Brent ~105, WTI ~92.5 — the oil bid isn't finished yet, so the inflation ghost still sits at the table.
Today:
UMich sentiment + inflation expectations, 21:00 WIB. Consensus 48.1, flat. The important number isn't sentiment — it's the 1-year inflation expectation. If the print is hot while BTC sticks around 81K, the 80K low will be a magnet again.
Setup:
BTC at 81,800, squeezed between last night's low and 82K. Reclaim 82K and yesterday's short-sellers begin covering. Break 80K and it's empty underneath.
195
·
--
82K GONE
BTC fell below 82K at the US open, touched 81,060 intraday. First sub-82K print since Sept 20.
Claims came in hot: 197K vs 200K expected. Waller says 75 bps of hikes are still coming. Spot ETFs bled 487M in a single day, and $ETH fell harder at ~2,578 (-2.7%).
The rate-relief crowd is getting faded by every data point. Tomorrow 10:00 ET: UMich sentiment + inflation expectations (exp 47.7, last 48.1).
Trade the level: reclaim of 82K is the squeeze setup for $BTC. Lose 81K and 80K is the next magnet.
---
82K JEBOL
BTC fell below 82K as the US session opened, tapping 81,060 intraday. First print below 82K since Sept 20.
Hot unemployment claims data: 197K vs 200K expectations. Waller says there are still 75 bps of rate hikes coming. Spot ETFs plunged 487M in a single day; ETH dropped even harder at ~2,578 (-2.7%).
Every data release is fading the rate-relief narrative. Tomorrow 10:00 ET: UMich sentiment + inflation expectations (exp 47.7, previous 48.1).
Reclaim 82K = squeeze setup. If 81K breaks, 80K is the next magnet. Trade the level, not the hope.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed
82K GONE
BTC fell below 82K at the US open, touched 81,060 intraday. First sub-82K print since Sept 20.
Claims came in hot: 197K vs 200K expected. Waller says 75 bps of hikes are still coming. Spot ETFs bled 487M in a single day, and $ETH fell harder at ~2,578 (-2.7%).
The rate-relief crowd is getting faded by every data point. Tomorrow 10:00 ET: UMich sentiment + inflation expectations (exp 47.7, last 48.1).
Trade the level: reclaim of 82K is the squeeze setup for $BTC . Lose 81K and 80K is the next magnet.
---
82K JEBOL
BTC fell below 82K as the US session opened, tapping 81,060 intraday. First print below 82K since Sept 20.
Hot unemployment claims data: 197K vs 200K expectations. Waller says there are still 75 bps of rate hikes coming. Spot ETFs plunged 487M in a single day; ETH dropped even harder at ~2,578 (-2.7%).
Every data release is fading the rate-relief narrative. Tomorrow 10:00 ET: UMich sentiment + inflation expectations (exp 47.7, previous 48.1).
Reclaim 82K = squeeze setup. If 81K breaks, 80K is the next magnet. Trade the level, not the hope.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed
BTC fell below 82K at the US open, touched 81,060 intraday. First sub-82K print since Sept 20.
Claims came in hot: 197K vs 200K expected. Waller says 75 bps of hikes are still coming. Spot ETFs bled 487M in a single day, and $ETH fell harder at ~2,578 (-2.7%).
The rate-relief crowd is getting faded by every data point. Tomorrow 10:00 ET: UMich sentiment + inflation expectations (exp 47.7, last 48.1).
Trade the level: reclaim of 82K is the squeeze setup for $BTC . Lose 81K and 80K is the next magnet.
---
82K JEBOL
BTC fell below 82K as the US session opened, tapping 81,060 intraday. First print below 82K since Sept 20.
Hot unemployment claims data: 197K vs 200K expectations. Waller says there are still 75 bps of rate hikes coming. Spot ETFs plunged 487M in a single day; ETH dropped even harder at ~2,578 (-2.7%).
Every data release is fading the rate-relief narrative. Tomorrow 10:00 ET: UMich sentiment + inflation expectations (exp 47.7, previous 48.1).
Reclaim 82K = squeeze setup. If 81K breaks, 80K is the next magnet. Trade the level, not the hope.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Fed
159
·
--
4M views in 24h on a post saying crypto's math could break in months.
Justin Drake (Ethereum Foundation researcher) called for 'bunker mode': migrate wallets to fresh addresses in case AI-driven math cracks elliptic-curve crypto. 'Months, not years.'
Then Vitalik went further. Oct 8: lattice-based crypto — NIST's 'quantum-resistant' schemes — could take 'serious hits' from 2 years of AI math progress. The comfort line ('curves broken, hashes safe, lattices safe') just lost its third leg.
No keys broken today. But it's a fight: Drake + Vitalik vs Samson Mow ('no need to panic').
My flag: when the two people who know Ethereum's cryptography best hedge publicly, ignoring it is free, panicking is expensive. Vitalik: don't scramble — if easy, park funds in addresses that never signed.
BTC bled to ~82.3K, ~4% under Tuesday's ~86.6K high. $BTC: 82K is the line — hold = noise, lose = repricing. Watch it before you pick a side.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto
---
4 million views in 24 hours: a post saying crypto's math could break within months.
Justin Drake (Ethereum Foundation researcher) called for 'bunker mode': migrate wallets to fresh addresses in case AI math breaks elliptic-curve cryptography. 'Months, not years.'
Vitalik went even further. Oct 8: lattice-based cryptography — NIST's 'quantum-resistant' schemes — could take 'serious hits' from two years of progress in AI math. The industry's comforting line ('curves broken, hashes safe, lattices safe') just lost its third leg.
No keys have been broken today. But now it's a fight: Drake + Vitalik vs. Samson Mow ('no need to panic').
My take: when the two people who know Ethereum's cryptography best publicly hedge, ignoring it is free; panicking is expensive. Vitalik's advice: don't panic — if it's easy, move funds to addresses that have never signed.
BTC fell to ~82.3K, ~4% below Tuesday's ~86.6K high. The line is 82K: holding = noise, breaking below = repricing. Watch the level before you pick a side.
4M views in 24h on a post saying crypto's math could break in months.
Justin Drake (Ethereum Foundation researcher) called for 'bunker mode': migrate wallets to fresh addresses in case AI-driven math cracks elliptic-curve crypto. 'Months, not years.'
Then Vitalik went further. Oct 8: lattice-based crypto — NIST's 'quantum-resistant' schemes — could take 'serious hits' from 2 years of AI math progress. The comfort line ('curves broken, hashes safe, lattices safe') just lost its third leg.
No keys broken today. But it's a fight: Drake + Vitalik vs Samson Mow ('no need to panic').
My flag: when the two people who know Ethereum's cryptography best hedge publicly, ignoring it is free, panicking is expensive. Vitalik: don't scramble — if easy, park funds in addresses that never signed.
BTC bled to ~82.3K, ~4% under Tuesday's ~86.6K high. $BTC : 82K is the line — hold = noise, lose = repricing. Watch it before you pick a side.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto
---
4 million views in 24 hours: a post saying crypto's math could break within months.
Justin Drake (Ethereum Foundation researcher) called for 'bunker mode': migrate wallets to fresh addresses in case AI math breaks elliptic-curve cryptography. 'Months, not years.'
Vitalik went even further. Oct 8: lattice-based cryptography — NIST's 'quantum-resistant' schemes — could take 'serious hits' from two years of progress in AI math. The industry's comforting line ('curves broken, hashes safe, lattices safe') just lost its third leg.
No keys have been broken today. But now it's a fight: Drake + Vitalik vs. Samson Mow ('no need to panic').
My take: when the two people who know Ethereum's cryptography best publicly hedge, ignoring it is free; panicking is expensive. Vitalik's advice: don't panic — if it's easy, move funds to addresses that have never signed.
BTC fell to ~82.3K, ~4% below Tuesday's ~86.6K high. The line is 82K: holding = noise, breaking below = repricing. Watch the level before you pick a side.
Justin Drake (Ethereum Foundation researcher) called for 'bunker mode': migrate wallets to fresh addresses in case AI-driven math cracks elliptic-curve crypto. 'Months, not years.'
Then Vitalik went further. Oct 8: lattice-based crypto — NIST's 'quantum-resistant' schemes — could take 'serious hits' from 2 years of AI math progress. The comfort line ('curves broken, hashes safe, lattices safe') just lost its third leg.
No keys broken today. But it's a fight: Drake + Vitalik vs Samson Mow ('no need to panic').
My flag: when the two people who know Ethereum's cryptography best hedge publicly, ignoring it is free, panicking is expensive. Vitalik: don't scramble — if easy, park funds in addresses that never signed.
BTC bled to ~82.3K, ~4% under Tuesday's ~86.6K high. $BTC : 82K is the line — hold = noise, lose = repricing. Watch it before you pick a side.
#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto
---
4 million views in 24 hours: a post saying crypto's math could break within months.
Justin Drake (Ethereum Foundation researcher) called for 'bunker mode': migrate wallets to fresh addresses in case AI math breaks elliptic-curve cryptography. 'Months, not years.'
Vitalik went even further. Oct 8: lattice-based cryptography — NIST's 'quantum-resistant' schemes — could take 'serious hits' from two years of progress in AI math. The industry's comforting line ('curves broken, hashes safe, lattices safe') just lost its third leg.
No keys have been broken today. But now it's a fight: Drake + Vitalik vs. Samson Mow ('no need to panic').
My take: when the two people who know Ethereum's cryptography best publicly hedge, ignoring it is free; panicking is expensive. Vitalik's advice: don't panic — if it's easy, move funds to addresses that have never signed.
BTC fell to ~82.3K, ~4% below Tuesday's ~86.6K high. The line is 82K: holding = noise, breaking below = repricing. Watch the level before you pick a side.
99
·
--
"83,000."
That was the line $BTC lost today — down to 82,227 intraday, -1.38% in 24h.
Crypto did nothing wrong. Here's how an Iran headline reaches your portfolio:
Strike-plan report → oil spikes. Brent over 102.
Oil spike = inflation scare → bond selloff → yields rip. 30Y at 5.70%, highest since 2002.
Higher yields = safer returns elsewhere + tighter financial conditions. Risk assets reprice down.
Proof BTC trades like high-beta tech, not digital gold: BTC -1.38%, gold only -0.3%. Gold gets the safe-haven bid; BTC takes the risk-off dump.
The trade: 83K is now the line. Reclaim it and the 84,280 24h high is back in play; fail and FxPro sees a quick path to 80,000. $BTC is the trigger — the level is set.
#Bitcoin #Macro
---
"83,000."
That was the level that broke today — BTC fell to 82,227 intraday, down 1.38% in 24 hours.
Crypto did nothing wrong. Here's how an Iran headline reaches your portfolio:
Strike-plan report → oil spikes. Brent breaks above 102.
Oil spike = inflation scare → bond selloff → yields rip. 30Y at 5.70%, highest since 2002.
Higher yields = safer returns elsewhere + tighter financial conditions. Risk assets reprice down.
Proof BTC trades like high-beta tech, not digital gold: BTC -1.38%, gold only -0.3%. Gold gets the safe-haven bid; BTC takes the risk-off dump.
The trade: 83K is now the line. Reclaim it and the 84,280 24h high is back in play; fail and FxPro sees a quick path to 80,000. The level is clear.
#CryptoEducation
"83,000."
That was the line $BTC lost today — down to 82,227 intraday, -1.38% in 24h.
Crypto did nothing wrong. Here's how an Iran headline reaches your portfolio:
Strike-plan report → oil spikes. Brent over 102.
Oil spike = inflation scare → bond selloff → yields rip. 30Y at 5.70%, highest since 2002.
Higher yields = safer returns elsewhere + tighter financial conditions. Risk assets reprice down.
Proof BTC trades like high-beta tech, not digital gold: BTC -1.38%, gold only -0.3%. Gold gets the safe-haven bid; BTC takes the risk-off dump.
The trade: 83K is now the line. Reclaim it and the 84,280 24h high is back in play; fail and FxPro sees a quick path to 80,000. $BTC is the trigger — the level is set.
#Bitcoin #Macro
---
"83,000."
That was the level that broke today — BTC fell to 82,227 intraday, down 1.38% in 24 hours.
Crypto did nothing wrong. Here's how an Iran headline reaches your portfolio:
Strike-plan report → oil spikes. Brent breaks above 102.
Oil spike = inflation scare → bond selloff → yields rip. 30Y at 5.70%, highest since 2002.
Higher yields = safer returns elsewhere + tighter financial conditions. Risk assets reprice down.
Proof BTC trades like high-beta tech, not digital gold: BTC -1.38%, gold only -0.3%. Gold gets the safe-haven bid; BTC takes the risk-off dump.
The trade: 83K is now the line. Reclaim it and the 84,280 24h high is back in play; fail and FxPro sees a quick path to 80,000. The level is clear.
#CryptoEducation
That was the line $BTC lost today — down to 82,227 intraday, -1.38% in 24h.
Crypto did nothing wrong. Here's how an Iran headline reaches your portfolio:
Strike-plan report → oil spikes. Brent over 102.
Oil spike = inflation scare → bond selloff → yields rip. 30Y at 5.70%, highest since 2002.
Higher yields = safer returns elsewhere + tighter financial conditions. Risk assets reprice down.
Proof BTC trades like high-beta tech, not digital gold: BTC -1.38%, gold only -0.3%. Gold gets the safe-haven bid; BTC takes the risk-off dump.
The trade: 83K is now the line. Reclaim it and the 84,280 24h high is back in play; fail and FxPro sees a quick path to 80,000. $BTC is the trigger — the level is set.
#Bitcoin #Macro
---
"83,000."
That was the level that broke today — BTC fell to 82,227 intraday, down 1.38% in 24 hours.
Crypto did nothing wrong. Here's how an Iran headline reaches your portfolio:
Strike-plan report → oil spikes. Brent breaks above 102.
Oil spike = inflation scare → bond selloff → yields rip. 30Y at 5.70%, highest since 2002.
Higher yields = safer returns elsewhere + tighter financial conditions. Risk assets reprice down.
Proof BTC trades like high-beta tech, not digital gold: BTC -1.38%, gold only -0.3%. Gold gets the safe-haven bid; BTC takes the risk-off dump.
The trade: 83K is now the line. Reclaim it and the 84,280 24h high is back in play; fail and FxPro sees a quick path to 80,000. The level is clear.
#CryptoEducation
96
·
--
83,065 — that's where BTC $BTC traded within minutes of last night's hawkish FOMC minutes.
Most FOMC participants now expect another rate hike by year-end. The minutes were released at 14:00 ET. BTC fell from ~86K, while ETH $ETH dropped 4.7% to 2,564.
$46M in leveraged positions were liquidated in 4 hours.
But here's the real takeaway: the market had already cut risk BEFORE the release. More than $600M in long positions were liquidated in the preceding 24 hours.
This is a leverage reset, not spot distribution. The order book is clean. Funding flipped to -0.0001%/8h — longs capitulated.
Today: jobless claims at 8:30 ET (expected: 200K), Fed's Musalem speaks at 13:40 ET.
Tomorrow night: U Michigan sentiment. Then September CPI on October 14.
Levels: 82–83K support has held three times. 84–85K is the wall to reclaim.
---
83,065 — that's where BTC traded within minutes of last night's hawkish FOMC minutes.
Most FOMC participants now expect another rate hike before year-end. BTC fell from ~86K, while ETH was down 4.7% to 2,564.
$46M in leveraged positions were liquidated in 4 hours.
But here's what matters: the market had already cut risk BEFORE the release. More than $600M in long positions were liquidated in the preceding 24 hours.
This is a leverage reset, not spot distribution. Funding flipped to -0.0001%/8 hours — longs gave up.
Today: jobless claims at 8:30 ET (expected: 200K), Fed's Musalem speaks at 13:40 ET.
Tomorrow night: U Michigan sentiment. Then September CPI on October 14.
Levels: 82–83K support has held three times. 84–85K is the wall to reclaim.
#FOMC #Bitcoin #Crypto
83,065 — that's where BTC $BTC traded within minutes of last night's hawkish FOMC minutes.
Most FOMC participants now expect another rate hike by year-end. The minutes were released at 14:00 ET. BTC fell from ~86K, while ETH $ETH dropped 4.7% to 2,564.
$46M in leveraged positions were liquidated in 4 hours.
But here's the real takeaway: the market had already cut risk BEFORE the release. More than $600M in long positions were liquidated in the preceding 24 hours.
This is a leverage reset, not spot distribution. The order book is clean. Funding flipped to -0.0001%/8h — longs capitulated.
Today: jobless claims at 8:30 ET (expected: 200K), Fed's Musalem speaks at 13:40 ET.
Tomorrow night: U Michigan sentiment. Then September CPI on October 14.
Levels: 82–83K support has held three times. 84–85K is the wall to reclaim.
---
83,065 — that's where BTC traded within minutes of last night's hawkish FOMC minutes.
Most FOMC participants now expect another rate hike before year-end. BTC fell from ~86K, while ETH was down 4.7% to 2,564.
$46M in leveraged positions were liquidated in 4 hours.
But here's what matters: the market had already cut risk BEFORE the release. More than $600M in long positions were liquidated in the preceding 24 hours.
This is a leverage reset, not spot distribution. Funding flipped to -0.0001%/8 hours — longs gave up.
Today: jobless claims at 8:30 ET (expected: 200K), Fed's Musalem speaks at 13:40 ET.
Tomorrow night: U Michigan sentiment. Then September CPI on October 14.
Levels: 82–83K support has held three times. 84–85K is the wall to reclaim.
#FOMC #Bitcoin #Crypto
Most FOMC participants now expect another rate hike by year-end. The minutes were released at 14:00 ET. BTC fell from ~86K, while ETH $ETH dropped 4.7% to 2,564.
$46M in leveraged positions were liquidated in 4 hours.
But here's the real takeaway: the market had already cut risk BEFORE the release. More than $600M in long positions were liquidated in the preceding 24 hours.
This is a leverage reset, not spot distribution. The order book is clean. Funding flipped to -0.0001%/8h — longs capitulated.
Today: jobless claims at 8:30 ET (expected: 200K), Fed's Musalem speaks at 13:40 ET.
Tomorrow night: U Michigan sentiment. Then September CPI on October 14.
Levels: 82–83K support has held three times. 84–85K is the wall to reclaim.
---
83,065 — that's where BTC traded within minutes of last night's hawkish FOMC minutes.
Most FOMC participants now expect another rate hike before year-end. BTC fell from ~86K, while ETH was down 4.7% to 2,564.
$46M in leveraged positions were liquidated in 4 hours.
But here's what matters: the market had already cut risk BEFORE the release. More than $600M in long positions were liquidated in the preceding 24 hours.
This is a leverage reset, not spot distribution. Funding flipped to -0.0001%/8 hours — longs gave up.
Today: jobless claims at 8:30 ET (expected: 200K), Fed's Musalem speaks at 13:40 ET.
Tomorrow night: U Michigan sentiment. Then September CPI on October 14.
Levels: 82–83K support has held three times. 84–85K is the wall to reclaim.
#FOMC #Bitcoin #Crypto
123
·
--
ETF flow 101: yesterday's -89.9M USD outflow from $BTC spot ETFs is not the sell signal it looks like.
1) Flow ≠ spot selling. A net outflow means more ETF units were redeemed than created that session. Units redeemed ≠ BTC dumped.
2) Size it against the totals. 89.9M vs 57.7B cumulative inflow = 0.16%. Monday's ETF volume was 2.18B — the outflow was ~4% of one day's turnover. Noise, not signal.
3) Read streaks, not days. That outflow broke two +293M days; the week still closed +241M — a third straight inflow week (SoSoValue/Farside).
4) Watch the MVRV, not the daily print. Glassnode: ETF-holder MVRV at 1.5 — the average buyer sits on big unrealized gains, and that's when profit-taking hits. It explains why the redemptions came.
$ETH same pattern: -51M Monday, 5 straight outflow days, -206M total vs 13.8B cumulative. Orderly de-risking, not capitulation.
Rule: don't trade the headline number. Trade the streak, the scale, and who sits on profit.
---
ETF flow 101: yesterday's -89.9M USD outflow from BTC spot ETFs is not a sell signal.
1) Flow ≠ spot selling. Net outflow = more units redeemed than created that session. Units redeemed ≠ BTC dumped.
2) Measure it against the total. 89.9M vs 57.7B cumulative inflow = 0.16%. Monday's ETF volume was 2.18B — the outflow was only ~4% of one day's turnover. Noise, not a signal.
3) Read streaks, not daily figures. That outflow broke two +293M days; the week still closed +241M — a third consecutive week of inflows (SoSoValue/Farside).
4) Watch the MVRV, not the daily figure. Glassnode: ETF-holder MVRV at 1.5 — the average buyer is sitting on large unrealized gains, which is when profit-taking kicks in. It explains why the redemptions happened.
ETH showed the same pattern: -51M Monday, 5 consecutive outflow days, -206M total vs 13.8B cumulative. Orderly de-risking, not capitulation.
Rule: don't trade the headline number. Trade the streak, the scale, and who's in profit.
#Bitcoin #ETF #CryptoEducation
ETF flow 101: yesterday's -89.9M USD outflow from $BTC spot ETFs is not the sell signal it looks like.
1) Flow ≠ spot selling. A net outflow means more ETF units were redeemed than created that session. Units redeemed ≠ BTC dumped.
2) Size it against the totals. 89.9M vs 57.7B cumulative inflow = 0.16%. Monday's ETF volume was 2.18B — the outflow was ~4% of one day's turnover. Noise, not signal.
3) Read streaks, not days. That outflow broke two +293M days; the week still closed +241M — a third straight inflow week (SoSoValue/Farside).
4) Watch the MVRV, not the daily print. Glassnode: ETF-holder MVRV at 1.5 — the average buyer sits on big unrealized gains, and that's when profit-taking hits. It explains why the redemptions came.
$ETH same pattern: -51M Monday, 5 straight outflow days, -206M total vs 13.8B cumulative. Orderly de-risking, not capitulation.
Rule: don't trade the headline number. Trade the streak, the scale, and who sits on profit.
---
ETF flow 101: yesterday's -89.9M USD outflow from BTC spot ETFs is not a sell signal.
1) Flow ≠ spot selling. Net outflow = more units redeemed than created that session. Units redeemed ≠ BTC dumped.
2) Measure it against the total. 89.9M vs 57.7B cumulative inflow = 0.16%. Monday's ETF volume was 2.18B — the outflow was only ~4% of one day's turnover. Noise, not a signal.
3) Read streaks, not daily figures. That outflow broke two +293M days; the week still closed +241M — a third consecutive week of inflows (SoSoValue/Farside).
4) Watch the MVRV, not the daily figure. Glassnode: ETF-holder MVRV at 1.5 — the average buyer is sitting on large unrealized gains, which is when profit-taking kicks in. It explains why the redemptions happened.
ETH showed the same pattern: -51M Monday, 5 consecutive outflow days, -206M total vs 13.8B cumulative. Orderly de-risking, not capitulation.
Rule: don't trade the headline number. Trade the streak, the scale, and who's in profit.
#Bitcoin #ETF #CryptoEducation
1) Flow ≠ spot selling. A net outflow means more ETF units were redeemed than created that session. Units redeemed ≠ BTC dumped.
2) Size it against the totals. 89.9M vs 57.7B cumulative inflow = 0.16%. Monday's ETF volume was 2.18B — the outflow was ~4% of one day's turnover. Noise, not signal.
3) Read streaks, not days. That outflow broke two +293M days; the week still closed +241M — a third straight inflow week (SoSoValue/Farside).
4) Watch the MVRV, not the daily print. Glassnode: ETF-holder MVRV at 1.5 — the average buyer sits on big unrealized gains, and that's when profit-taking hits. It explains why the redemptions came.
$ETH same pattern: -51M Monday, 5 straight outflow days, -206M total vs 13.8B cumulative. Orderly de-risking, not capitulation.
Rule: don't trade the headline number. Trade the streak, the scale, and who sits on profit.
---
ETF flow 101: yesterday's -89.9M USD outflow from BTC spot ETFs is not a sell signal.
1) Flow ≠ spot selling. Net outflow = more units redeemed than created that session. Units redeemed ≠ BTC dumped.
2) Measure it against the total. 89.9M vs 57.7B cumulative inflow = 0.16%. Monday's ETF volume was 2.18B — the outflow was only ~4% of one day's turnover. Noise, not a signal.
3) Read streaks, not daily figures. That outflow broke two +293M days; the week still closed +241M — a third consecutive week of inflows (SoSoValue/Farside).
4) Watch the MVRV, not the daily figure. Glassnode: ETF-holder MVRV at 1.5 — the average buyer is sitting on large unrealized gains, which is when profit-taking kicks in. It explains why the redemptions happened.
ETH showed the same pattern: -51M Monday, 5 consecutive outflow days, -206M total vs 13.8B cumulative. Orderly de-risking, not capitulation.
Rule: don't trade the headline number. Trade the streak, the scale, and who's in profit.
#Bitcoin #ETF #CryptoEducation
82
·
--
⚡ BTC parked at 85.5K (-0.46% in 24h). The whole market is pinned ahead of the FOMC minutes — out 18:00 UTC today (1am WIB Thu).
Overnight check:
• 113M in shorts liquidated over the weekend — bears got squeezed after BTC failed to break 87.5K.
• Strive just bought 2,000 BTC (~169M at ~84,422 avg) — biggest buy in 4 months, holdings now 29,462 BTC. Corporate bids haven't left.
• BTC spot ETFs went quiet: -3.2M net on Oct 6. ETH steady near 2,697.
• Fear & Greed: 71. Greed is back.
Trading take: last week longs were the exit liquidity, this weekend shorts were. The book is clean into the minutes — whichever way the tape breaks, it breaks fast. Hold 84.6K and 87.5K is still in play; lose it and CPI on Oct 14 is the next test.
$BTC $ETH
#FOMC #Bitcoin #Crypto
---
BTC is parked at 85.5K (-0.46% in 24 hours). The whole market is waiting for the FOMC minutes — released at 18:00 UTC today (1am WIB Thursday).
Overnight recap:
• 113M in shorts were liquidated over the weekend — bears got squeezed after BTC failed to break 87.5K.
• Strive just bought 2,000 BTC (~169M at an average of ~84,422) — its biggest purchase in 4 months, with holdings now at 29,462 BTC. Corporate buyers haven't left.
• BTC spot ETFs were quiet: net outflows of 3.2M on Oct 6. ETH is holding steady near 2,697.
• Fear & Greed: 71. Greed is back.
Trading take: last week, longs were the exit liquidity; this weekend, it was shorts' turn. The order book is clean going into the minutes — whichever way the price breaks, it’ll move fast. Hold 84.6K and 87.5K is still in play; lose that level and CPI on Oct 14 is the next test.
⚡ BTC parked at 85.5K (-0.46% in 24h). The whole market is pinned ahead of the FOMC minutes — out 18:00 UTC today (1am WIB Thu).
Overnight check:
• 113M in shorts liquidated over the weekend — bears got squeezed after BTC failed to break 87.5K.
• Strive just bought 2,000 BTC (~169M at ~84,422 avg) — biggest buy in 4 months, holdings now 29,462 BTC. Corporate bids haven't left.
• BTC spot ETFs went quiet: -3.2M net on Oct 6. ETH steady near 2,697.
• Fear & Greed: 71. Greed is back.
Trading take: last week longs were the exit liquidity, this weekend shorts were. The book is clean into the minutes — whichever way the tape breaks, it breaks fast. Hold 84.6K and 87.5K is still in play; lose it and CPI on Oct 14 is the next test.
$BTC $ETH
#FOMC #Bitcoin #Crypto
---
BTC is parked at 85.5K (-0.46% in 24 hours). The whole market is waiting for the FOMC minutes — released at 18:00 UTC today (1am WIB Thursday).
Overnight recap:
• 113M in shorts were liquidated over the weekend — bears got squeezed after BTC failed to break 87.5K.
• Strive just bought 2,000 BTC (~169M at an average of ~84,422) — its biggest purchase in 4 months, with holdings now at 29,462 BTC. Corporate buyers haven't left.
• BTC spot ETFs were quiet: net outflows of 3.2M on Oct 6. ETH is holding steady near 2,697.
• Fear & Greed: 71. Greed is back.
Trading take: last week, longs were the exit liquidity; this weekend, it was shorts' turn. The order book is clean going into the minutes — whichever way the price breaks, it’ll move fast. Hold 84.6K and 87.5K is still in play; lose that level and CPI on Oct 14 is the next test.
Overnight check:
• 113M in shorts liquidated over the weekend — bears got squeezed after BTC failed to break 87.5K.
• Strive just bought 2,000 BTC (~169M at ~84,422 avg) — biggest buy in 4 months, holdings now 29,462 BTC. Corporate bids haven't left.
• BTC spot ETFs went quiet: -3.2M net on Oct 6. ETH steady near 2,697.
• Fear & Greed: 71. Greed is back.
Trading take: last week longs were the exit liquidity, this weekend shorts were. The book is clean into the minutes — whichever way the tape breaks, it breaks fast. Hold 84.6K and 87.5K is still in play; lose it and CPI on Oct 14 is the next test.
$BTC $ETH
#FOMC #Bitcoin #Crypto
---
BTC is parked at 85.5K (-0.46% in 24 hours). The whole market is waiting for the FOMC minutes — released at 18:00 UTC today (1am WIB Thursday).
Overnight recap:
• 113M in shorts were liquidated over the weekend — bears got squeezed after BTC failed to break 87.5K.
• Strive just bought 2,000 BTC (~169M at an average of ~84,422) — its biggest purchase in 4 months, with holdings now at 29,462 BTC. Corporate buyers haven't left.
• BTC spot ETFs were quiet: net outflows of 3.2M on Oct 6. ETH is holding steady near 2,697.
• Fear & Greed: 71. Greed is back.
Trading take: last week, longs were the exit liquidity; this weekend, it was shorts' turn. The order book is clean going into the minutes — whichever way the price breaks, it’ll move fast. Hold 84.6K and 87.5K is still in play; lose that level and CPI on Oct 14 is the next test.
228
·
--
September threw everything at Bitcoin — and Bitcoin won. ⚡
The FOMC hiked for the first time since 2023. The 10-year Treasury broke 5.2% and now sits at 5.32%, a 24-year high. Oil crossed 100 per barrel as strikes closed the Strait of Hormuz. The CLARITY Act died in the Senate.
Bitcoin's response: dipped to ~75K on the hike, back above 80K within days, printed an 8-month high near 87K, and closed September +6.2% — the fourth straight green September and the best Q3 since 2017. The first weekly close above the 81K–82K band since last November triggered a 7% squeeze and 650M in short liquidations. Sentiment sits in Greed at 67, and $ETH held ~2,700 through the same storm.
Numbers per 21Shares' Q4 outlook report.
The bear case used its entire playbook in four weeks and lost every trade. Q4 doesn't need a wave of new buyers to stay bullish — it just needs the bears to stop selling.
What's your $BTC Q4 target?
---
September threw everything it had at Bitcoin — and Bitcoin won.
The Fed raised interest rates for the first time since 2023. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield broke 5.2% and now stands at 5.32%, its highest level in 24 years. Oil crossed 100 dollars per barrel as strikes closed the Strait of Hormuz. The CLARITY Act failed to pass the Senate.
Bitcoin's response: it dipped to ~75K after the rate hike, climbed back above 80K within days, hit an 8-month high near 87K, and closed September up 6.2% — its fourth consecutive green September and the best Q3 since 2017. Its first weekly close above the 81K–82K band since last November triggered a 7% squeeze and 650 million in short liquidations. Sentiment was in the Greed zone (67).
Figures from 21Shares' Q4 outlook report.
The bears used their entire playbook in four weeks and lost on every trade. Q4 doesn't need a wave of new buyers to stay bullish — the bears just need to stop selling.
What's your Q4 target?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
September threw everything at Bitcoin — and Bitcoin won. ⚡
The FOMC hiked for the first time since 2023. The 10-year Treasury broke 5.2% and now sits at 5.32%, a 24-year high. Oil crossed 100 per barrel as strikes closed the Strait of Hormuz. The CLARITY Act died in the Senate.
Bitcoin's response: dipped to ~75K on the hike, back above 80K within days, printed an 8-month high near 87K, and closed September +6.2% — the fourth straight green September and the best Q3 since 2017. The first weekly close above the 81K–82K band since last November triggered a 7% squeeze and 650M in short liquidations. Sentiment sits in Greed at 67, and $ETH held ~2,700 through the same storm.
Numbers per 21Shares' Q4 outlook report.
The bear case used its entire playbook in four weeks and lost every trade. Q4 doesn't need a wave of new buyers to stay bullish — it just needs the bears to stop selling.
What's your $BTC Q4 target?
---
September threw everything it had at Bitcoin — and Bitcoin won.
The Fed raised interest rates for the first time since 2023. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield broke 5.2% and now stands at 5.32%, its highest level in 24 years. Oil crossed 100 dollars per barrel as strikes closed the Strait of Hormuz. The CLARITY Act failed to pass the Senate.
Bitcoin's response: it dipped to ~75K after the rate hike, climbed back above 80K within days, hit an 8-month high near 87K, and closed September up 6.2% — its fourth consecutive green September and the best Q3 since 2017. Its first weekly close above the 81K–82K band since last November triggered a 7% squeeze and 650 million in short liquidations. Sentiment was in the Greed zone (67).
Figures from 21Shares' Q4 outlook report.
The bears used their entire playbook in four weeks and lost on every trade. Q4 doesn't need a wave of new buyers to stay bullish — the bears just need to stop selling.
What's your Q4 target?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
The FOMC hiked for the first time since 2023. The 10-year Treasury broke 5.2% and now sits at 5.32%, a 24-year high. Oil crossed 100 per barrel as strikes closed the Strait of Hormuz. The CLARITY Act died in the Senate.
Bitcoin's response: dipped to ~75K on the hike, back above 80K within days, printed an 8-month high near 87K, and closed September +6.2% — the fourth straight green September and the best Q3 since 2017. The first weekly close above the 81K–82K band since last November triggered a 7% squeeze and 650M in short liquidations. Sentiment sits in Greed at 67, and $ETH held ~2,700 through the same storm.
Numbers per 21Shares' Q4 outlook report.
The bear case used its entire playbook in four weeks and lost every trade. Q4 doesn't need a wave of new buyers to stay bullish — it just needs the bears to stop selling.
What's your $BTC Q4 target?
---
September threw everything it had at Bitcoin — and Bitcoin won.
The Fed raised interest rates for the first time since 2023. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield broke 5.2% and now stands at 5.32%, its highest level in 24 years. Oil crossed 100 dollars per barrel as strikes closed the Strait of Hormuz. The CLARITY Act failed to pass the Senate.
Bitcoin's response: it dipped to ~75K after the rate hike, climbed back above 80K within days, hit an 8-month high near 87K, and closed September up 6.2% — its fourth consecutive green September and the best Q3 since 2017. Its first weekly close above the 81K–82K band since last November triggered a 7% squeeze and 650 million in short liquidations. Sentiment was in the Greed zone (67).
Figures from 21Shares' Q4 outlook report.
The bears used their entire playbook in four weeks and lost on every trade. Q4 doesn't need a wave of new buyers to stay bullish — the bears just need to stop selling.
What's your Q4 target?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro
189
·
--
Morning market — BTC pressed the $87K zone (8-month high) and faded: $BTC at 85,582 (-0.24%), $ETH at 2,705 (-0.20%).
• BTC's 50/100/200-day moving averages are converging toward their first fully bullish alignment since 2025 — the 3-month recovery is still structurally intact.
• The ETF bid cooled hard: weekly spot inflow only 82.9M, a 96% slowdown from the prior week's multi-billion surge. $ETH ETFs bled 3 straight days (-2.8M, -59.6M, -55.4M).
• The SEC approved a 3x leveraged BTC futures ETF on Cboe BZX — fresh leverage ammo arriving right at the highs.
Today: Eurozone retail sales. Tomorrow: FOMC minutes (Sept 15–16) — could reprice October hike odds.
Kicker: a breakout attempt with ETF demand at a crawl means this run is being built by spot buyers, not flow-chasers. That's the healthy kind — but the fade says 87K needs real volume, not hype.
#Bitcoin #ETF
---
Ringkasan pasar pagi — BTC menekan zona 87K (tertinggi ~8 bulan) lalu memudar: BTC di 85.582 (-0,24%), ETH di 2.705 (-0,20%).
• MA 50/100/200 hari BTC konvergen menuju susunan bullish penuh pertama sejak 2025 — struktur rebound 3 bulan masih utuh.
• Minat ETF mendingin tajam: inflow spot mingguan hanya 82,9M, anjlok 96% dari lonjakan multi-miliar pekan lalu. ETF ETH merah 3 hari beruntun (-2,8M, -59,6M, -55,4M).
• SEC menyetujui ETF futures BTC leverage 3x di Cboe BZX — amunisi leverage baru tepat di level tertinggi.
Hari ini: data retail sales Eurozone. Besok: risalah FOMC (15–16 Sept) — bisa mengubah ekspektasi suku bunga Oktober.
Kicker: upaya breakout dengan permintaan ETF yang lesu artinya rally ini dibangun pembeli spot, bukan pengejar arus. Itu jenis rally yang sehat — tapi penurunannya bilang 87K butuh volume nyata, bukan hype.
#Crypto #FOMC
Morning market — BTC pressed the $87K zone (8-month high) and faded: $BTC at 85,582 (-0.24%), $ETH at 2,705 (-0.20%).
• BTC's 50/100/200-day moving averages are converging toward their first fully bullish alignment since 2025 — the 3-month recovery is still structurally intact.
• The ETF bid cooled hard: weekly spot inflow only 82.9M, a 96% slowdown from the prior week's multi-billion surge. $ETH ETFs bled 3 straight days (-2.8M, -59.6M, -55.4M).
• The SEC approved a 3x leveraged BTC futures ETF on Cboe BZX — fresh leverage ammo arriving right at the highs.
Today: Eurozone retail sales. Tomorrow: FOMC minutes (Sept 15–16) — could reprice October hike odds.
Kicker: a breakout attempt with ETF demand at a crawl means this run is being built by spot buyers, not flow-chasers. That's the healthy kind — but the fade says 87K needs real volume, not hype.
#Bitcoin #ETF
---
Ringkasan pasar pagi — BTC menekan zona 87K (tertinggi ~8 bulan) lalu memudar: BTC di 85.582 (-0,24%), ETH di 2.705 (-0,20%).
• MA 50/100/200 hari BTC konvergen menuju susunan bullish penuh pertama sejak 2025 — struktur rebound 3 bulan masih utuh.
• Minat ETF mendingin tajam: inflow spot mingguan hanya 82,9M, anjlok 96% dari lonjakan multi-miliar pekan lalu. ETF ETH merah 3 hari beruntun (-2,8M, -59,6M, -55,4M).
• SEC menyetujui ETF futures BTC leverage 3x di Cboe BZX — amunisi leverage baru tepat di level tertinggi.
Hari ini: data retail sales Eurozone. Besok: risalah FOMC (15–16 Sept) — bisa mengubah ekspektasi suku bunga Oktober.
Kicker: upaya breakout dengan permintaan ETF yang lesu artinya rally ini dibangun pembeli spot, bukan pengejar arus. Itu jenis rally yang sehat — tapi penurunannya bilang 87K butuh volume nyata, bukan hype.
#Crypto #FOMC
• BTC's 50/100/200-day moving averages are converging toward their first fully bullish alignment since 2025 — the 3-month recovery is still structurally intact.
• The ETF bid cooled hard: weekly spot inflow only 82.9M, a 96% slowdown from the prior week's multi-billion surge. $ETH ETFs bled 3 straight days (-2.8M, -59.6M, -55.4M).
• The SEC approved a 3x leveraged BTC futures ETF on Cboe BZX — fresh leverage ammo arriving right at the highs.
Today: Eurozone retail sales. Tomorrow: FOMC minutes (Sept 15–16) — could reprice October hike odds.
Kicker: a breakout attempt with ETF demand at a crawl means this run is being built by spot buyers, not flow-chasers. That's the healthy kind — but the fade says 87K needs real volume, not hype.
#Bitcoin #ETF
---
Ringkasan pasar pagi — BTC menekan zona 87K (tertinggi ~8 bulan) lalu memudar: BTC di 85.582 (-0,24%), ETH di 2.705 (-0,20%).
• MA 50/100/200 hari BTC konvergen menuju susunan bullish penuh pertama sejak 2025 — struktur rebound 3 bulan masih utuh.
• Minat ETF mendingin tajam: inflow spot mingguan hanya 82,9M, anjlok 96% dari lonjakan multi-miliar pekan lalu. ETF ETH merah 3 hari beruntun (-2,8M, -59,6M, -55,4M).
• SEC menyetujui ETF futures BTC leverage 3x di Cboe BZX — amunisi leverage baru tepat di level tertinggi.
Hari ini: data retail sales Eurozone. Besok: risalah FOMC (15–16 Sept) — bisa mengubah ekspektasi suku bunga Oktober.
Kicker: upaya breakout dengan permintaan ETF yang lesu artinya rally ini dibangun pembeli spot, bukan pengejar arus. Itu jenis rally yang sehat — tapi penurunannya bilang 87K butuh volume nyata, bukan hype.
#Crypto #FOMC
125
·
--
Everyone is staring at the 87K sell wall. The big money is looking somewhere else.
Saylor just posted "More orange than ever" — Strategy's classic pre-filing tease. They already hold 847,666 BTC at an average of 75,437, worth about 72.2B. Nothing confirmed yet, but Monday filings have a habit of telling the story.
And on-chain: reported Glassnode data shows whale net deposits to exchanges ended a 3-month streak back in late August. Coins keep moving OFF exchanges, not onto them. ETF flow cooled to 82.9M last week — but the exchange wallet flow says distribution isn't the game here.
Contrarian read: 87.4K isn't a ceiling built by sellers. It's a ceiling built by people too impatient to wait for the buyers who never left. 📊
$BTC $ETH
---
Everyone is focused on the 87K sell wall. The big money is looking elsewhere.
Saylor just posted "More orange than ever" — Strategy's classic pre-filing tease. They already hold 847,666 BTC at an average price of 75,437, worth about 72.2B. Nothing has been confirmed yet, but Monday filings have a habit of telling the story.
And on-chain: media-reported Glassnode data shows that whale net deposits to exchanges ended a 3-month streak in late August. Coins are moving OFF exchanges, not onto them. ETF flows cooled to 82.9M last week — but exchange wallet flows say distribution isn't the game here.
Contrarian read: 87.4K isn't a ceiling built by sellers. It's a ceiling built by people too impatient to wait for buyers who never actually left. 📊
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Uptober #Strategy
Everyone is staring at the 87K sell wall. The big money is looking somewhere else.
Saylor just posted "More orange than ever" — Strategy's classic pre-filing tease. They already hold 847,666 BTC at an average of 75,437, worth about 72.2B. Nothing confirmed yet, but Monday filings have a habit of telling the story.
And on-chain: reported Glassnode data shows whale net deposits to exchanges ended a 3-month streak back in late August. Coins keep moving OFF exchanges, not onto them. ETF flow cooled to 82.9M last week — but the exchange wallet flow says distribution isn't the game here.
Contrarian read: 87.4K isn't a ceiling built by sellers. It's a ceiling built by people too impatient to wait for the buyers who never left. 📊
$BTC $ETH
---
Everyone is focused on the 87K sell wall. The big money is looking elsewhere.
Saylor just posted "More orange than ever" — Strategy's classic pre-filing tease. They already hold 847,666 BTC at an average price of 75,437, worth about 72.2B. Nothing has been confirmed yet, but Monday filings have a habit of telling the story.
And on-chain: media-reported Glassnode data shows that whale net deposits to exchanges ended a 3-month streak in late August. Coins are moving OFF exchanges, not onto them. ETF flows cooled to 82.9M last week — but exchange wallet flows say distribution isn't the game here.
Contrarian read: 87.4K isn't a ceiling built by sellers. It's a ceiling built by people too impatient to wait for buyers who never actually left. 📊
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Uptober #Strategy
Saylor just posted "More orange than ever" — Strategy's classic pre-filing tease. They already hold 847,666 BTC at an average of 75,437, worth about 72.2B. Nothing confirmed yet, but Monday filings have a habit of telling the story.
And on-chain: reported Glassnode data shows whale net deposits to exchanges ended a 3-month streak back in late August. Coins keep moving OFF exchanges, not onto them. ETF flow cooled to 82.9M last week — but the exchange wallet flow says distribution isn't the game here.
Contrarian read: 87.4K isn't a ceiling built by sellers. It's a ceiling built by people too impatient to wait for the buyers who never left. 📊
$BTC $ETH
---
Everyone is focused on the 87K sell wall. The big money is looking elsewhere.
Saylor just posted "More orange than ever" — Strategy's classic pre-filing tease. They already hold 847,666 BTC at an average price of 75,437, worth about 72.2B. Nothing has been confirmed yet, but Monday filings have a habit of telling the story.
And on-chain: media-reported Glassnode data shows that whale net deposits to exchanges ended a 3-month streak in late August. Coins are moving OFF exchanges, not onto them. ETF flows cooled to 82.9M last week — but exchange wallet flows say distribution isn't the game here.
Contrarian read: 87.4K isn't a ceiling built by sellers. It's a ceiling built by people too impatient to wait for buyers who never actually left. 📊
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Uptober #Strategy
76
Log in to explore more content
Join global crypto users on Binance Square
⚡️ Get latest and useful information about crypto.
💬 Trusted by the world’s largest crypto exchange.
👍 Discover real insights from verified creators.
Email / Phone number
Trending Topics
STRKRisesAbout20%In24Hours
3,005 views
103 Discussing
#STRKRisesAbout20%In24Hours 🚀🚀🚀
STRK +31.65% TODAY - $0.07392 - 9 MONTH HIGH!
While BTC crashed to $80,393 (-0.54%) with $1.02B liquidations, STRK PUMPED +31%!
Why?
Oct 8 Starknet announced: "Actively considering becoming L1" to be first quantum-resistant network by 2027
CEO Eli Ben-Sasson: If Ethereum too slow, we become independent L1
This is HUGE:
- From L2 to L1 = controls own security, consensus, upgrades
- Quantum resistant by 2027 vs Ethereum 2029 = 2 years ahead
- STARK proofs already quantum-resistant
- v0.14.4 upgrade live Monday
Data:
Price: $0.07392 +31.65%
Vol: $1.24B futures + $178M spot = $1.4B total!
OI: $159M - $298M
MC: $515M
TVL: $345M
RSI: 78.2 Overbought
From $0.052 Oct 7 to $0.07392 Oct 9 = +42% in 2 days
ATH $4.41 - Now $0.073 = still -98% from ATH = room to $0.50?
Are you buying STRK at $0.073 or waiting pullback to $0.065?#Starknet #QuantumSecurity #BinanceSquareBTC #TopGainer
cryptogirl_
·0 Likes
·96 views
TetherFreezesUSDTLinkedToLedgerTheft
1 views
19 Discussing
CFTCMovesToFoldEventContractsIntoSwapsRules
5 views
11 Discussing