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The primary goal of American political figures is winning elections, and the key to winning elections lies in economic performance—specifically, the growth of nominal GDP. The most direct way to boost nominal GDP is through credit expansion, commonly known as 'printing money.' However, printing money drives up inflation, especially in food and energy prices, which can anger voters. Thus, those in power face a dilemma: they must print money, yet must also suppress energy inflation, represented by oil prices.
Therefore, geopolitical actions—such as the hypothetical U.S. taking a hardline stance against Venezuela to control its oil—essentially serve as tools for domestic monetary policies. The goal is to ensure sufficient energy supply, thereby keeping oil prices down and removing political obstacles to rampant credit expansion.
Bitcoin's role becomes very clear: it is the ultimate beneficiary after the printing presses start running. As 'digital gold,' Bitcoin's price is directly driven by global U.S. dollar liquidity. As long as money printing continues, its price will rise. Oil prices themselves do not directly affect Bitcoin, but they serve as a crucial leading indicator—if oil prices spiral out of control, political figures may be forced to tighten credit, which would be bearish for Bitcoin. Conversely, low oil prices mean the green light for money printing remains on. #ton 帖子黄色下横线点进去无限♾️循环🔄

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