Yes, the pain exists right now but more of it is coming.
Just when I was convinced that the "BOTTOM IS IN"
This happened 👀
Bitcoin has already gone through this twice before. After the 2017 bull top, BTC corrected around 83%.
After the 2021 bull top, BTC corrected around 77%.
If 2025 was another cycle top, then a similar correction puts Bitcoin somewhere near or under $30K.
That is the scary part.
Because the market is still pricing this like the bear market is about to be over.
👉 THE FINAL BLEED PHASE
The worst part of every Bitcoin cycle usually comes after people stop believing the crash can go deeper.
Just like in March 2022, when 2 green months made everyone believe that the bottom was in.
At first, the dip feels healthy. Then it becomes frustrating.
Then it becomes boring. Then suddenly the final leg down wipes out everyone who survived the first few drops.
That is where this chart gets uncomfortable.
BTC is already trading far below the 2025 highs, momentum is weak, and the structure looks like it could be entering the same late-cycle bleed zone that destroyed confidence in 2018 and 2022.
👉 ALTS COULD GET HIT HARDER
If Bitcoin really moves toward $30K, altcoins will not just “correct.”
They will get repriced.
Most alts are already bleeding against BTC. Liquidity is thin. Retail attention is gone.
And if Bitcoin loses another major leg, the market will likely rotate into survival mode again.
That means forced selling, broken supports, lower liquidity, and brutal candles across the board.
This is where portfolios can look fine one week and completely wrecked the next.
👉 BUT HERE IS THE TWIST
The same zone that creates the most fear can also create the real bottom.
Every cycle bottom looks obvious only after the recovery starts.
So yes, this chart looks dangerous. Bitcoin under $30K is no longer a crazy thought if the old correction pattern repeats.
But there is another pattern that tells how this is the bottom.
$1,376 (+3%), nearly $1B in volume, and price is bouncing between two lines like it paid for the trampoline. Floor: $1,038, then $1,247. Ceiling already tagged: $1,690.
Party stays on as long as the floor holds.
Bounce, or does the channel eat a hole in the floor?
Altcoin dominance has broken out of its nearly 5-year downtrend, with the monthly MACD in green for 7 consecutive months, the longest streak since 2020.
This is starting to feel a lot like the 2020-21 AltSeason cycle.
BTC closed the week at $86,517, marking its highest weekly close since January 2026 and breaking the downtrend from the 2025 high.
RSI and MACD are both turning bullish, and as long as BTC stays above the 50W MA, the trend remains positive.
Two scenarios this week: - If it breaks above $87.4K, we could see $95K next. - If it loses $81K on the weekly close, the next support is $77.2K (50W MA).
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MOVR has seen a strong parabolic breakout from the 0.622 support region, driven by high trading volume. The price is up over 84%, showing intense buying pressure.
Key Levels:
Current Price: 3.011 24h High: 3.340 Immediate Support: 2.280 Next Resistance: 3.476
As long as the volume stays high, the bullish momentum can continue toward higher targets after any healthy retests.