川普聊币6688

Today it hit $BTC 85000, $ETH 2800. Theoretically, this position should not go deeper; I have entered 70% of my position. 85000 is the dividing line between the big bear market and the small bear market. It previously fell below 102000, entering a small bear market, but if it doesn't break 85000, it can still oscillate between 85000-100000 to choose the next big direction. Directly breaking below would mean entering a big bear market.

The support mentioned last week of $BTC 105500 has arrived this week. If it holds strong over the next couple of days, there is hope for a rebound to around 113000 in about a week; $ETH 4000-4100; of course, if it breaks directly, that is actually good news, buy blindly below ETH3400 and below BTC102000.

SUI is going live on Coinbase futures, which previously only had large-cap tokens like BTC, ETH, XRP listed, which is somewhat positive;
From a fundamental perspective, this provides the possibility for SUI to go live with ETFs in the future, as the listing of Coinbase futures is very strict and is offered for trading by U.S. users, regulated by the CFTC. Meanwhile, perpetual contract trading is offered to non-U.S. users, with looser regulations.
Due to the poor market conditions, SUI can only be said to potentially have a short-term rebound opportunity, provided it does not break the day's lowest point; in the short term, it may rebound to 2.5-2.55; breaking below the previous low would indicate a breakdown, representing a high-risk opportunity; the medium-term trend is still bearish;
$SUI

After last week's decline, the analysis suggests a possible rebound target of over 110,000; it just hit that yesterday; currently, expectations for the market should be lowered. If there is another significant resistance above at 112,000-114,000, the probability is low, but we should be cautious;
For support below, pay attention to 107,000-108,000. If it doesn't break, it will lead to a narrower range of fluctuations. The coming week will enter a 'garbage time,' and if it breaks, it will continue to decline;
In the next period, just focus on some hot coins, like Chinese meme coins or new alpha coins, or meme coins in other languages, and pay more attention to CZ's Twitter. Basically, the current hot topics are all driven by CZ.

The short-term feeling is that it has dropped to the right level. BTC103000-105000 is the target level for the downward analysis from a month ago. Today it has sharply dropped to that level. Although it hasn't reached the target for a month, the short-term drop is quite severe. First, buy 1/3 to aim for a rebound to 108000-112000. $XPL 0.38 may rebound to 0.45;#加密市场回调
$BTC

Today continues the decline test, with a high probability of short-term bottoming;
This morning $BTC and $ETH underwent a second test, showing signs of stabilizing; ETH's performance is slightly stronger; altcoins have severely overcorrected, and even if there are multiple declines afterwards, altcoins should outperform BTC;
Among altcoins, tokens like $XPL and $EIGEN have seriously overcorrected, while $AVNT rebounded too quickly without providing a buying point, so I will continue to monitor; planning to buy in batches, with the first batch set to buy in the next 1-2 weeks in three phases at lower prices.

The market crash is nearing its end, buying in batches

$ETH

ETH target price of 3300-3500 has been reached, take profit on short positions, reverse to go long, one week target price 3700

The market is weakening again, and this drop is likely to be realized

Although BTC is still holding strong, ETH has already broken down, fluctuating around 3800 and has completely weakened. The 12-hour moving average middle line is being tested back and forth, which is a phenomenon not seen since the start of this round of market. Coupled with Powell's hawkish comments last night and tonight's PCE data exceeding expectations, funds are starting to prepare for tomorrow's non-farm data. Currently, going long is undoubtedly high risk; it is better to quietly wait for a good opportunity to buy the dip, waiting around 3300-3500 for 1-2 weeks

#以太坊十周年 $BTC $ETH

BTC 112,000, ETH 3,200 seen, today and tomorrow may be Black Thursday, Friday
$ETH

PENGU recommended entry at 0.014 by the end of June, initially seeing a potential of 2-3 times, now it has already doubled.

PENGU has reached the first phase of resistance, and next week the entire crypto market will face the largest token unlock in the next two months, along with uncertainties around this tax issue. BTC is facing a flag formation target of 119500, while ETH is encountering a three-year trend resistance line at 3000. It is highly likely that there will be a 1-2 week washout at this position; if there is a direct sharp drop, the washout time will be shortened. BTC should focus on 110000-115000, and ETH should focus on 2650-2850.
PENGU is different; I plan to wait for a pullback in these two weeks to consider increasing my position.
#pengu $PENGU

Kaito suddenly plummeted, two days of hard work went to waste

Now there are indeed very few altcoins that can be played, in a volatile market, rapid rises and falls are most likely to occur, so it's better to wait a bit; for the BTC and ETH positions, add to the position when it dips, let's wait for the altcoins to flush out
$KAITO

The last wave of the bull market for altcoins in this round, potential leading altcoins sorted
Below are personal estimates; let's see if they can materialize before September. Writing multiples only indicates that there is potential, but it doesn’t necessarily mean it will reach that point. If there is no potential at all, it’s even less likely to reach it.

Core leaders:
Stablecoin public chains: (5x potential) SEI; PLASMA (not yet launched, waiting); zro; W; apt (this has 3x potential)
Altcoin ETF related: (2-3x potential) LTC, XRP, SOL; ADA, ALGO; WIF, bnb, PENGU;
AI agent (3-5x potential): AIXBT; KAITO; ZEREBRO; SWARMS; Hong Kong and US stock AI, crypto-related stocks (5-10x potential) this has not been fully sorted yet, but for the long-term trend, I also plan to allocate 30% of my funds to Hong Kong and US stocks.
On-chain meme: (5x potential) uptop, brocolin; cat
#上市公司山寨币财库 #山寨币热点

The largest options expiration in history, the sharp drop in BTC is an opportunity to buy the dip

Today, Deribit will have Bitcoin options contracts worth over 14 billion USD expiring, setting a historical record. With such a large expiration, market fluctuations are inevitable. The maximum pain point is 100,000 USD, and currently, we are relatively far from this pain point, indicating a certain need for a pullback. The pullback range to watch is 103,000-105,500; a pullback is an opportunity to increase positions, with resistance above at 113,000;

Let's talk about the changes in the current environment. Powell has completely shifted stance after half a year, for the first time, he is dovish under pressure from Trump. Although there may still be variables before the interest rate meeting at the end of July, this significant directional change will greatly improve liquidity in the coming months. Funds have already started to run ahead, and in the next few months, BTC is expected to challenge 120,000-130,000 USD, and ETH to challenge 3,200-3,500 USD
#下一任美联储主席人选

US military bombed Iran, the crisis has just begun

A few days ago, risk warnings were issued, and today the first wave of decline has started. There's no need to rush to bottom-fish. The first wave of ETH may consolidate between 2150-2350 before continuing to drop below 2000; BTC may consolidate between 100000-103000 before potentially dropping to 95000-98000; waiting for a significant bottom-fishing opportunity
#加密市场回调 #以色列伊朗冲突

Today's Hot Topics:
1. The Federal Reserve maintains interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations; however, Powell's hawkish remarks indicate a strong labor market and no rush to cut rates. The market expects two rate cuts in 2025, but this changes to one in 2026.
2. Circle's after-hours trading peaked at $214, with a nearly 40% increase in a single day; the stablecoin concept stocks continue to be hot, with CIRCLE rising 590% since its issuance.

Is the Altcoin Season Turning into an Altcoin Festival? Altcoins May Accelerate Their Plunge

From 2023 to 2025, aside from the on-chain MEME and the popularity of AI agents, as well as the fleeting moments of inscriptions, there have been no significant technological upgrades, no ample liquidity support from interest rate cuts, and increasingly clear regulations have led to a loss of regulatory arbitrage opportunities. The era of wild growth has ended. The previous scenario where project teams could endlessly issue tokens for profit, and ordinary users enjoyed the dividends of rapid industry development, has now shifted; users have been exploited, and project teams have been completely replaced by real giant institutions and compliant companies. The soil that once fostered the explosion of altcoin seasons no longer exists.

To analyze altcoin trends, one must first look at the movements of BTC and ETH. It has been previously noted that the range of 108,000-112,000 has now formed strong resistance, serving as a significant battleground for capital. Even if the genius bill passes today, companies continuously increasing their BTC holdings have still failed to break through 110,000 strongly. In this situation, one must be cautious about risks.

If BTC returns to solid support around 95,000, and ETH returns to around 2,200, then altcoins may see a decline of 30-50%. Currently, I do not hold any altcoin positions and am prepared to continue waiting. If BTC continues to choose mild adjustments and experiences fluctuations, then we need to wait until BTC's market share falls below 60% for altcoins to have a better rebound opportunity to escape.
#山寨祭 #山寨季将持续多久 $BTC

ETH reached the first take profit near 2880 last night, 2880-2920 is the first strong resistance. Those holding long positions can continue to hold, and for short-term traders, remember not to chase high at this position. Pay attention to the pullback range of 2550-2680; #以太坊生态回暖

BTC has reached a new high, and I've been emphasizing that those who are bearish will miss the entire bull market since last month. A good man doesn't talk about past glories; let's talk about the present. Many people are confused about the next steps.

Here's a direction for everyone: blindly go long; this is the real start of a bull market that happens once every four years!!!

#比特币突破11万美元

BTC has truly broken through again, this wave of BTC series leaders is BB, expecting to welcome a doubling market this week
#山寨季何时到来？ $BTC $BB

CPI lower than expected, then music plays and then we dance #CPI数据来袭