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The market is either fluctuating or breaking through! Pay attention to risk points on Monday.
What is the key position for Ethereum? #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐
What is the key position for Ethereum? #ETH走势分析 #美联储重启降息步伐
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Air Force rested, band players ready! Interval fluctuations, golden pit! #比特币VS代币化黄金 #ETH走势分析
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Air Force assembly Air Force assembly! 😘 Daily increase, four hours to the top, when will the market reverse significantly. #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #ETH走势分析
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Beginning of December, tapering paused, Ethereum gathers strength, aiming to continue pushing upwards.
The spot bottom position is suitable, but others are not. #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐
The spot bottom position is suitable, but others are not. #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐
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Long and short divergence prevents Monday's banking risks, Ethereum's upward and downward pressure is approaching. #美联储重启降息步伐
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Is the pullback coming in four hours? How much has the spot risen? The second buying point on the daily line is coming! #ETH走势分析
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The Ethereum four-hour increase has reached a resistance level near 3050.
There is some risk, but looking at this trend, it hasn't completely finished the segment of the market yet, with the extreme resistance at 3300-3200 on the daily chart, and 3120 is also a pressure point.
The intraday support level is around 2970, and pullbacks are still mainly for long positions. The daily chart is temporarily a corrective rebound market.
Continue to go long on intraday pullbacks, with pressure continuing to act as stop-loss for shorts; the market is still showing a four-hour increase. #加密市场反弹
There is some risk, but looking at this trend, it hasn't completely finished the segment of the market yet, with the extreme resistance at 3300-3200 on the daily chart, and 3120 is also a pressure point.
The intraday support level is around 2970, and pullbacks are still mainly for long positions. The daily chart is temporarily a corrective rebound market.
Continue to go long on intraday pullbacks, with pressure continuing to act as stop-loss for shorts; the market is still showing a four-hour increase. #加密市场反弹
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All Ethereum positions exited today at 2970 since the 23rd, and for the upcoming market, the subjective divergence in the four-hour timeframe still indicates no end to the price increase.
However, the hourly level's increase has basically reached its target, and at 3050, there will also be a significant sell-off pressure. The bullish logic for a price pullback remains.
The four-hour bottom is around 2770-2810, and it is still possible to enter with a stop loss. The target can be set at the four-hour extreme position of 3180.
For now, all current positions can wait for the sell-off to stabilize before looking for entry opportunities. #ETH巨鲸增持
However, the hourly level's increase has basically reached its target, and at 3050, there will also be a significant sell-off pressure. The bullish logic for a price pullback remains.
The four-hour bottom is around 2770-2810, and it is still possible to enter with a stop loss. The target can be set at the four-hour extreme position of 3180.
For now, all current positions can wait for the sell-off to stabilize before looking for entry opportunities. #ETH巨鲸增持
The interest rate cut time has not yet arrived, no wonder Ethereum is performing so weakly! It still needs to oscillate.
Ethereum market analysis: First, look at the four-hour divergence rebound, and then the weekly pressure suppresses it.
The pressure for Ethereum is around 2960, temporarily this position shows a bottom divergence on the four-hour chart. If it drops again, it can still bring stop-loss to enter. However, the weekly level is still in a downtrend state, and it's uncertain if this is the bottom. Conversely, if it continues to drop, it may reach the limit of 2550.
The weekly pressure for Ethereum is between 2950-3020, with daily pressure around 2820. The first small target of the four-hour level rebound is to break through near 2810, and then break through the pressure at 2880 to look at the weekly level pressure.
Currently, there is no sign of a bottom; it can only be said that the bottom is temporarily unable to move. The first possibility is that after the rebound, there is still a chance that the weekly level will overshoot once more to the limit of 2550 and then start to rebound.
The second possibility is to be pushed down near 2960, and then without breaking the bottom, it will start an oscillation within a few hundred dollars until December 1 to see the end of the balance sheet reduction situation or close to the interest rate cut on December 10.
The third possibility is that there will be several data releases in November, and each time this data is released, it will give the market confidence, allowing Ethereum to gradually oscillate and rise.
Regardless of any logic, the biggest factor that can rekindle market confidence right now is the expectation of an interest rate cut; otherwise, funds will continue to seek safety. Every December, close to Christmas, the risks are extremely high, and there has been a drop every year. #美国非农数据超预期
Ethereum market analysis: First, look at the four-hour divergence rebound, and then the weekly pressure suppresses it.
The pressure for Ethereum is around 2960, temporarily this position shows a bottom divergence on the four-hour chart. If it drops again, it can still bring stop-loss to enter. However, the weekly level is still in a downtrend state, and it's uncertain if this is the bottom. Conversely, if it continues to drop, it may reach the limit of 2550.
The weekly pressure for Ethereum is between 2950-3020, with daily pressure around 2820. The first small target of the four-hour level rebound is to break through near 2810, and then break through the pressure at 2880 to look at the weekly level pressure.
Currently, there is no sign of a bottom; it can only be said that the bottom is temporarily unable to move. The first possibility is that after the rebound, there is still a chance that the weekly level will overshoot once more to the limit of 2550 and then start to rebound.
The second possibility is to be pushed down near 2960, and then without breaking the bottom, it will start an oscillation within a few hundred dollars until December 1 to see the end of the balance sheet reduction situation or close to the interest rate cut on December 10.
The third possibility is that there will be several data releases in November, and each time this data is released, it will give the market confidence, allowing Ethereum to gradually oscillate and rise.
Regardless of any logic, the biggest factor that can rekindle market confidence right now is the expectation of an interest rate cut; otherwise, funds will continue to seek safety. Every December, close to Christmas, the risks are extremely high, and there has been a drop every year. #美国非农数据超预期
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Do you know if the four-hour rebound is in place? The fifteen-minute divergence is diverging again!
Where are the weekly pressures for Ethereum and Bitcoin? BTC reversal will take some time! #比特币波动性 #美国非农数据超预期
Where are the weekly pressures for Ethereum and Bitcoin? BTC reversal will take some time! #比特币波动性 #美国非农数据超预期
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Technical knowledge is useless if not understood; how much do you know about the push of Bitcoin at different levels?
Bitcoin market technical analysis: A divergence rebound on the four-hour chart; how can we push it to turn into a daily and weekly reversal!
Firstly, I do not think Bitcoin is in a bear market because, from a quarterly perspective, there is no concept of a bear market for Bitcoin. It can only be considered a complete bear market if it falls below 78000-75000. If it drops to the current position, and the Federal Reserve and macroeconomics start to inject liquidity, then it can also bounce back up from the current level. However, we need to be cautious about the smaller levels breaking support. This means that after a rebound at key positions, we need to see if the smaller levels will continue to exert downward pressure. The influence of smaller levels affects the support of larger levels.
Firstly, I do not think Bitcoin is in a bear market because, from a quarterly perspective, there is no concept of a bear market for Bitcoin. It can only be considered a complete bear market if it falls below 78000-75000. If it drops to the current position, and the Federal Reserve and macroeconomics start to inject liquidity, then it can also bounce back up from the current level. However, we need to be cautious about the smaller levels breaking support. This means that after a rebound at key positions, we need to see if the smaller levels will continue to exert downward pressure. The influence of smaller levels affects the support of larger levels.
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The interest rate cut time has not yet arrived, no wonder Ethereum is performing so weakly! It still needs to oscillate.
Ethereum market analysis: First, look at the four-hour divergence rebound, and then the weekly pressure suppresses it.
The pressure for Ethereum is around 2960, temporarily this position shows a bottom divergence on the four-hour chart. If it drops again, it can still bring stop-loss to enter. However, the weekly level is still in a downtrend state, and it's uncertain if this is the bottom. Conversely, if it continues to drop, it may reach the limit of 2550.
The weekly pressure for Ethereum is between 2950-3020, with daily pressure around 2820. The first small target of the four-hour level rebound is to break through near 2810, and then break through the pressure at 2880 to look at the weekly level pressure.
Currently, there is no sign of a bottom; it can only be said that the bottom is temporarily unable to move. The first possibility is that after the rebound, there is still a chance that the weekly level will overshoot once more to the limit of 2550 and then start to rebound.
The second possibility is to be pushed down near 2960, and then without breaking the bottom, it will start an oscillation within a few hundred dollars until December 1 to see the end of the balance sheet reduction situation or close to the interest rate cut on December 10.
The third possibility is that there will be several data releases in November, and each time this data is released, it will give the market confidence, allowing Ethereum to gradually oscillate and rise.
Regardless of any logic, the biggest factor that can rekindle market confidence right now is the expectation of an interest rate cut; otherwise, funds will continue to seek safety. Every December, close to Christmas, the risks are extremely high, and there has been a drop every year. #美国非农数据超预期
Ethereum market analysis: First, look at the four-hour divergence rebound, and then the weekly pressure suppresses it.
The pressure for Ethereum is around 2960, temporarily this position shows a bottom divergence on the four-hour chart. If it drops again, it can still bring stop-loss to enter. However, the weekly level is still in a downtrend state, and it's uncertain if this is the bottom. Conversely, if it continues to drop, it may reach the limit of 2550.
The weekly pressure for Ethereum is between 2950-3020, with daily pressure around 2820. The first small target of the four-hour level rebound is to break through near 2810, and then break through the pressure at 2880 to look at the weekly level pressure.
Currently, there is no sign of a bottom; it can only be said that the bottom is temporarily unable to move. The first possibility is that after the rebound, there is still a chance that the weekly level will overshoot once more to the limit of 2550 and then start to rebound.
The second possibility is to be pushed down near 2960, and then without breaking the bottom, it will start an oscillation within a few hundred dollars until December 1 to see the end of the balance sheet reduction situation or close to the interest rate cut on December 10.
The third possibility is that there will be several data releases in November, and each time this data is released, it will give the market confidence, allowing Ethereum to gradually oscillate and rise.
Regardless of any logic, the biggest factor that can rekindle market confidence right now is the expectation of an interest rate cut; otherwise, funds will continue to seek safety. Every December, close to Christmas, the risks are extremely high, and there has been a drop every year. #美国非农数据超预期
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Is there still a chance for Bitcoin to rebound in 2025? Is 78000 likely to be the bottom? Do you know that tapering is favorable while colliding with liquidity being unfavorable (2025-2026 Q1-Q2 analysis II )
The previous article analyzed why the macroeconomic and technical aspects have not hit the bottom, where the bottom might be, or if breaking key positions near 78000-75000 would indicate a bear market. It also analyzed some waiting operations from macroeconomic institutions.
But do you know? The most important thing is often the views of institutions, their actual operations, and how long it will take for quantitative easing money to reach the cryptocurrency market. To put it simply, when can the cryptocurrency market enter a bull market? Or is there still a bull market in the cryptocurrency market?
Macroeconomic situation:
1. Employment standards; from the recent non-farm data, the unemployment rate is favorable for interest rate cuts, but the real situation is that employment data is relatively stable, indicating that the U.S. economy is still stable and has not reached the point where interest rate cuts are necessary. (Negative)
But do you know? The most important thing is often the views of institutions, their actual operations, and how long it will take for quantitative easing money to reach the cryptocurrency market. To put it simply, when can the cryptocurrency market enter a bull market? Or is there still a bull market in the cryptocurrency market?
Macroeconomic situation:
1. Employment standards; from the recent non-farm data, the unemployment rate is favorable for interest rate cuts, but the real situation is that employment data is relatively stable, indicating that the U.S. economy is still stable and has not reached the point where interest rate cuts are necessary. (Negative)
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Is there still a chance for Bitcoin to rebound in 2025? Is 78000 possibly the bottom? Do you know that tapering is beneficial while colliding with liquidity is detrimental (2025-2026 Q1 and Q2 analysis)
For bulls, the most important thing now is how long it will take for the market to rebound or even reverse. Since the official bear market began in 2022, the market has maintained a pattern. Every year at the beginning and end of the year, there is a foolish market, especially this year, where the foolish market at the beginning has been more intense. However, it has not arrived yet. What is hindering the annual cycle law, or has the cycle completely changed?
First, let's talk about the issue of market cycles. In fact, Bitcoin has shifted from a four-year cycle to a macro financial cycle, becoming a plaything of Wall Street rather than following its own halving cycle. More selling pressure and growth come from ETF selling pressure and purchases between institutions.
First, let's talk about the issue of market cycles. In fact, Bitcoin has shifted from a four-year cycle to a macro financial cycle, becoming a plaything of Wall Street rather than following its own halving cycle. More selling pressure and growth come from ETF selling pressure and purchases between institutions.
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Now, holding spot positions or going long requires countless reasons. The continuous selling pressure from ETFs means that today's bottom becomes tomorrow's top.
1. After the non-farm data was released, the overall probability of interest rate cuts in December has become increasingly low, and the market panic about the future is intensifying.
2. The selling pressure from BlackRock and various ETFs, as well as large investors, can be seen every night with significant amounts of capital exiting the market.
3. After the balance sheet reduction on December 1st, although it can be determined that there will be liquidity in the future, when it arrives in the cryptocurrency space becomes very important. If the future expectations are good and Ethereum really drops just over a thousand, does holding the position become meaningful?
4. The technical patterns are extremely poor; aside from the weekly level Bitcoin support approaching, there is no support visible at smaller levels. Therefore, even if a bottom is reached, judging by the weekly trend, reaching the bottom will still require repairing indicators and a long time to build a bottom. It is possible that this bull market is right here, and if Bitcoin breaks below 75,000, it will really look bearish.
#比特币波动性
1. After the non-farm data was released, the overall probability of interest rate cuts in December has become increasingly low, and the market panic about the future is intensifying.
2. The selling pressure from BlackRock and various ETFs, as well as large investors, can be seen every night with significant amounts of capital exiting the market.
3. After the balance sheet reduction on December 1st, although it can be determined that there will be liquidity in the future, when it arrives in the cryptocurrency space becomes very important. If the future expectations are good and Ethereum really drops just over a thousand, does holding the position become meaningful?
4. The technical patterns are extremely poor; aside from the weekly level Bitcoin support approaching, there is no support visible at smaller levels. Therefore, even if a bottom is reached, judging by the weekly trend, reaching the bottom will still require repairing indicators and a long time to build a bottom. It is possible that this bull market is right here, and if Bitcoin breaks below 75,000, it will really look bearish.
#比特币波动性
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It's been a bearish day, to prevent non-farm payrolls from benefiting the market, short it! Set a stop-loss and short it.
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