Scarface_Trades

$BTC The Most Important Bitcoin Article You Will Read Before 2026 Begins

1. 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐆𝐑𝐄𝐀𝐓 𝐋𝐈𝐐𝐔𝐈𝐃𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍 𝐈𝐒 𝐀𝐋𝐑𝐄𝐀𝐃𝐘 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑
November 20–21, 2025 – $85,750 became the FINAL MAJOR LOW of this cycle.
- Over $4.8 Billion in long positions were wiped out in 48 hours
- CME Gap at $84,900 filled perfectly
- Binance liquidation heatmap now shows almost ZERO leveraged longs below $89,000
→ This was the classic “capitulation wick” that ends every bear phase inside a bull market.

2. 𝐌𝐀𝐂𝐑𝐎 𝐇𝐀𝐒 𝐎𝐅𝐅𝐈𝐂𝐈𝐀𝐋𝐋𝐘 𝐅𝐋𝐈𝐏𝐏𝐄𝐃 𝐁𝐔𝐋𝐋𝐈𝐒𝐇 (No One Is Talking About This Yet)
- U.S. Treasury 10-Year Yield dropped from 4.71% → 4.38% in 14 days
- DXY broke below 104 – the EXACT level that triggered the 2021 bull run
- Trump’s Treasury Secretary pick (Scott Bessent) is publicly pro-crypto and anti-CBDC
- Federal Reserve minutes (Nov 20) removed the word “restrictive” for the first time since 2022
→ Risk-on environment just activated. Bitcoin always leads.

3. 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐄𝐓𝐅 𝐈𝐍𝐅𝐋𝐎𝐖 𝐒𝐔𝐏𝐄𝐑-𝐂𝐘𝐂𝐋𝐄 𝐇𝐀𝐒 𝐎𝐍𝐋𝐘 𝐉𝐔𝐒𝐓 𝐁𝐄𝐆𝐔𝐍
BlackRock IBIT + Fidelity FBTC did $1.4 Billion inflow in ONE week (Nov 15–21).
Gold needed 7 years to absorb $100B institutional money.
Bitcoin did it in 11 months.
Wirehouses (Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, UBS) open BTC access to clients in Q1 2026.
→ We are still in the FIRST INNING of the institutional adoption curve.

4. 𝐁𝐈𝐓𝐂𝐎𝐈𝐍 𝐃𝐎𝐌𝐈𝐍𝐀𝐍𝐂𝐄 𝐈𝐒 𝐀𝐁𝐎𝐔𝐓 𝐓𝐎 𝐄𝐗𝐏𝐋𝐎𝐃𝐄 (Altseason Delayed Until $150K+)
Current BTC.D = 56.9%
Historical pattern:
- 2017 peak → 69%
- 2021 peak → 73%
Next logical target = 76–78%.
That means another 26–30% of altcoin market cap will flow INTO Bitcoin before any real altseason.

5. 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐒𝐔𝐏𝐏𝐋𝐘 𝐒𝐇𝐎𝐂𝐊 𝐈𝐒 𝐍𝐎𝐖 𝐌𝐀𝐓𝐇𝐄𝐌𝐀𝐓𝐈𝐂𝐀𝐋𝐋𝐘 𝐆𝐔𝐀𝐑𝐀𝐍𝐓𝐄𝐄𝐃
- 19.78M BTC already mined
- 2.1M+ BTC locked in lost wallets (Chainalysis 2025 report)
- 3.1M+ BTC held by ETFs (growing $1B+ per week)
- 1.4M+ BTC held by public companies (MicroStrategy alone added 118,000 BTC in 2025)
- Only ~9 Million BTC left as true liquid supply
Daily miner sell pressure = ~450 BTC
Daily ETF demand = 3,000–7,000 BTC
→ Supply crunch is 10× worse than 2021.

6. 𝐘𝐄𝐀𝐑-𝐄𝐍𝐃 𝐓𝐀𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐓𝐒 𝐅𝐑𝐎𝐌 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐌𝐎𝐒𝐓 𝐀𝐂𝐂𝐔𝐑𝐀𝐓𝐄 𝐀𝐍𝐀𝐋𝐘𝐒𝐓𝐒 (2025 Edition)
- PlanB (Stock-to-Flow): $135,000–$155,000
- Willy Woo (NVT + on-chain): $141,000 average
- Benjamin Cowen: $133,000 (log regression band)
- Raoul Pal: $200,000–$250,000 (if liquidity cycle repeats 2021)
Consensus range by December 31, 2025: $130,000 – $160,000

7. 𝐇𝐎𝐖 𝐓𝐎 𝐏𝐎𝐒𝐈𝐓𝐈𝐎𝐍 𝐑𝐈𝐆𝐇𝐓 𝐍𝐎𝐖 (Step-by-Step)
A) SPOT BUYERS
→ Dollar-cost average aggressively between $91,000 – $97,000 (final retest zone)

B) FUTURES TRADERS (My Personal Setup – Running Live)
- Entry Zone: $91,800 – $93,500
- Leverage: Maximum 5x (anything higher = liquidation bait)
- First Target: $108,000
- Final Target: $133,000–$141,000
- Stop Loss: $87,900 (invalidates entire thesis)

C) ALTCOIN PLAYERS
→ WAIT. Do NOT rotate until BTC.D breaks 70% and starts rolling over.
𝐅𝐈𝐍𝐀𝐋 𝐖𝐀𝐑𝐍𝐈𝐍𝐆
The people who will regret 2025 the most are NOT the ones who bought at $90,000.
They are the ones who sold at $85,000 thinking “it will come back lower like every cycle.”
This is the first cycle with nation-state adoption, $100 Billion institutions, and zero pre-mine supply left.
There is no historical precedent. Stop trading like it’s 2018 or 2021.
$85,000–$86,000 will be spoken about the same way we speak about $3,000 in 2019 or $16,000 in 2022.
A price that literally never returns.
If you are reading this on Binance Square right now – you are still early.
LIKE if you are holding.
𝐁𝐎𝐎𝐊𝐌𝐀𝐑𝐊 𝐓𝐇𝐈𝐒 𝐏𝐎𝐒𝐓 𝐀𝐍𝐃 𝐂𝐎𝐌𝐄 𝐁𝐀𝐂𝐊 𝐎𝐍 𝐉𝐀𝐍𝐔𝐀𝐑𝐘 𝟏, 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔.
SHARE with one friend who is still waiting for $70K.
FOLLOW for daily updates – I will never delete this thesis. @Scarface_Trades
The bull run is just getting started.
See you at $150,000.
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Let’s make this the most viewed article on Square before December.
We move together. 🚀

I stared at the screen, my hands shaking.
Another altcoin I’d FOMO’d into had collapsed.
My portfolio was a bloodbath. -$7,000.
I felt like a failure. The dream of crypto wealth felt like a lie told to suckers like me.
Then, I made one decision that changed everything.
I stopped trading.
I was so obsessed with finding the "next 100x gem" that I was blind to the golden opportunity right in front of me. The opportunity wasn't in chasing pumps—it was in getting paid to be patient.
My salvation came from a feature I'd always ignored: Binance Earn.
Here’s the exact blueprint I followed:
Step 1: The Triage
I sold the remaining junk coins from my failed trades. I converted everything into two assets: $BTC and $BNB . No more shitcoins. No more gambling.
Step 2: The Setup (My "Money Machine")
I took my remaining capital and did this:
80% into BTC/ETH Flexible Savings. My money started earning yield immediately. It was working while I slept.20% into High-Yield Locked Staking for projects I believed in long-term ($SOL, $ADA). This stopped me from panic-selling.ALL my BNB I staked to get a VIP level on Binance. The trading fee discounts alone saved me thousands.
Step 3: The Aggressive Grind (The Secret Sauce)
I treated staking like a business. I wasn't passive.
I hunted for Launchpools. I’d move my BNB and other coins to stake in every new project. The free token rewards were like finding cash on the ground.I used Auto-Invest with my daily yield. Every dollar earned was automatically reinvested, creating a snowball effect.I WAS GETTING PAID TO HOLD. While others were losing money chasing greens, I was building an unshakable foundation.
The Result?
In 14 months, the combination of:
Price appreciation on my core holdings (BTC & BNB pumped)Thousands in accumulated staking rewardsThousands more from Launchpool rewards
...took my battered portfolio from -$7,000 to a peak of +$38,000.
I didn't win by being the smartest trader.
I won by finally understanding that in crypto, THE PATIENT ARE THE PREDATORS.
The get-rich-quick crowd provides the liquidity.
We, the patient, collect the yield.
The lesson is simple: Stop chasing. Start earning.
If you're tired of the emotional rollercoaster, this is your sign to change your strategy.
👇
🚀 FOLLOW ME for more powerful mindset shifts and strategies. @Scarface_Trades
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$BNB

$BTC

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