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Daily Briefing (Understand Today's Key Points in 1 Minute｜2025.12.09)
📌Key Signal
1. Short-term Trend of Bitcoin
Current Price: $90,381.01 (↓1.69%)
Market Structure: The price has retreated from the high, but open contracts remain at a high of $28 billion and have slightly increased (↑1.33%), while the funding rate has soared over 52% within 24 hours. This is a typical divergence of 'price drop and leverage increase', indicating that yesterday's extreme bullish sentiment has not been alleviated, and a large number of highly leveraged longs have fallen into floating losses. The pressure for market correction is rapidly increasing.
Liquidation Warning: The key resistance level above is around $93,000; the $90,000 integer mark below is the core lifeline of the current long-short battle. If it effectively breaks down, it may trigger a chain liquidation of highly leveraged longs, causing the price to quickly dive to the $88,000 support area.
1. Short-term Trend of Bitcoin
Current Price: $90,381.01 (↓1.69%)
Market Structure: The price has retreated from the high, but open contracts remain at a high of $28 billion and have slightly increased (↑1.33%), while the funding rate has soared over 52% within 24 hours. This is a typical divergence of 'price drop and leverage increase', indicating that yesterday's extreme bullish sentiment has not been alleviated, and a large number of highly leveraged longs have fallen into floating losses. The pressure for market correction is rapidly increasing.
Liquidation Warning: The key resistance level above is around $93,000; the $90,000 integer mark below is the core lifeline of the current long-short battle. If it effectively breaks down, it may trigger a chain liquidation of highly leveraged longs, causing the price to quickly dive to the $88,000 support area.
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Rooting in the Ruins: The Extreme Divergence of the Altcoin ETF Market
In November 2025, the U.S. cryptocurrency market witnessed a historic moment—the first wave of altcoin ETFs was finally approved for listing after nearly two years of successful operation of Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs.
Four altcoin ETFs—Litecoin, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin—showed drastically different fates. XRP and Solana together attracted over $1.3 billion in institutional funds, making them the absolute winners in the market; while Litecoin and Dogecoin faced complete neglect, with combined inflows of less than $8 million.
This report conducts a horizontal comparison of the performance of the four major altcoin ETFs, deeply analyzes their impact on market interconnectivity, and predicts how subsequent ETFs will leverage market trends.
Four altcoin ETFs—Litecoin, XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin—showed drastically different fates. XRP and Solana together attracted over $1.3 billion in institutional funds, making them the absolute winners in the market; while Litecoin and Dogecoin faced complete neglect, with combined inflows of less than $8 million.
This report conducts a horizontal comparison of the performance of the four major altcoin ETFs, deeply analyzes their impact on market interconnectivity, and predicts how subsequent ETFs will leverage market trends.
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99.63% Winning Rate’s “Sweet Trap”! High-frequency short-term trading, a pitfall guide for the 28,000 copy trading loss
The trader himself has made a profit of 44,900, but the copy traders have lost 28,000, with a 99.63% winning rate hiding the risk of “a hundred wins and one loss”. This article deeply analyzes the profit logic and fatal flaws of the strategy, clarifying “who can copy, how to copy, and how to stop loss”, providing a directly applicable copy trading plan to help you protect your capital in high-risk trading.
Source: Weishi Spectrum
The public data of the trader “Mr. Fox” is called “magical”: 180 days ROI 42.44%, nominal winning rate as high as 99.63% (only 15 losses out of 1634 transactions), balanced long and short strategies (812 long / 822 short), the labels seem perfect; but the core warning signal is equally glaring — the total profit and loss of the copy trading community is -28,767.73 USDT, the trader himself has made a profit of 44,900 USDT, but the copy traders are collectively at a loss. This contradiction of “high winning rate ≠ high copy trading profit” stems from the core flaw of its high-frequency short-term strategy, which needs rational disassembly before making decisions.
Source: Weishi Spectrum
The public data of the trader “Mr. Fox” is called “magical”: 180 days ROI 42.44%, nominal winning rate as high as 99.63% (only 15 losses out of 1634 transactions), balanced long and short strategies (812 long / 822 short), the labels seem perfect; but the core warning signal is equally glaring — the total profit and loss of the copy trading community is -28,767.73 USDT, the trader himself has made a profit of 44,900 USDT, but the copy traders are collectively at a loss. This contradiction of “high winning rate ≠ high copy trading profit” stems from the core flaw of its high-frequency short-term strategy, which needs rational disassembly before making decisions.
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95% win rate but a loss of 173,000! The copy trading paradox behind high win rates
The trading data of the signal provider 'North-South Btc' presents a highly deceptive contrast: personal accounts achieve a 25.03% ROI over 180 days, with a total profit of 159,000 USDT and a nominal win rate as high as 95.24%; however, the total profit and loss of the copy trading community is - 173,000 USDT, with over a hundred followers falling into losses. This paradox of 'signal provider profit, follower huge loss' is fundamentally rooted in the inherent conflict between its unique trading strategy and the copy trading mechanism, which needs to be rationally dissected before making decisions.
source; Veriscope
1. Objective analysis of trading characteristics: high win rate ≠ low risk
source; Veriscope
1. Objective analysis of trading characteristics: high win rate ≠ low risk
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Saylor's 50 Trillion "Bitcoin Bank" Blueprint: National Teams Entering, Is Global Finance About to Restart?
Michael Saylor dropped a bombshell in Abu Dhabi: using over-collateralized BTC to build a digital bank, high-yield accounts overshadowing traditional deposits, easily siphoning off 20-50 trillion! This isn't science fiction — MicroStrategy has transformed from 500 million in cash to a 56 billion BTC empire, and Middle Eastern funds are ready to pounce.
Imagine: Singapore or the UAE becoming the "Digital Switzerland," with Bitcoin evolving from meme to the global settlement layer. Saylor isn't selling coins; he's reshaping the world of money. HODLers, are you ready to witness the viral spread?
#Saylor #比特币银行 $BTC
Michael Saylor dropped a bombshell in Abu Dhabi: using over-collateralized BTC to build a digital bank, high-yield accounts overshadowing traditional deposits, easily siphoning off 20-50 trillion! This isn't science fiction — MicroStrategy has transformed from 500 million in cash to a 56 billion BTC empire, and Middle Eastern funds are ready to pounce.
Imagine: Singapore or the UAE becoming the "Digital Switzerland," with Bitcoin evolving from meme to the global settlement layer. Saylor isn't selling coins; he's reshaping the world of money. HODLers, are you ready to witness the viral spread?
#Saylor #比特币银行 $BTC
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The Short Selling Myth of Invincible Little Trader: A Copy Trading Guide and Risk Analysis
The public data presented by the copy trader 'Invincible Little Trader' reveals a highly misleading contradiction: the platform shows a 30-day win rate of 100%, a 30-day return rate of 51.32%, and a total profit and loss of +2633.16 USDT, with labels indicating 'High Win Rate', 'High Profit-Loss Ratio', and 'Stable Drawdown'; however, core data reveals that 147 copy traders lost money, with only 24 making a profit (loss rate of 86%), and the trader has not executed any trades for 22 days. This phenomenon of 'eye-catching on the surface, but difficult to profit from copy trading' stems from its extreme trading style and the adaptability issues of the copy trading mechanism, which need to be rationally analyzed before making decisions.
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Insider trading confirmed a rebound of 20%! Why did the 'bad news' in the cryptocurrency world become a FOMO catalyst?
When Binance announced the confirmation of 'insider trading by related personnel', the market did not vote with its feet, instead interpreting the $1 million fine and account freezes as 'official endorsement'—$HGYN's 24-hour trading volume skyrocketed to $820 million, with RSI reaching an overbought level of 85, retail investors rushed in shouting 'let's go at $0.001'.
This absurd scene exposes the core paradox of the crypto market: in the game of 'narrative > value', bad news will become speculative fuel as long as it reinforces the expectation that 'the project has hype and insider information to leverage'.
As CryptoWhale analysts have stated, from Trump Coin to Huangguonian Coin, the essence of meme coins has never changed: a few people profit from information asymmetry, while the majority chase emotions to take over, and 'insider trading confirmed' is just the latest hype in this zero-sum game.
#黄果之年 #MEME #内幕交易
When Binance announced the confirmation of 'insider trading by related personnel', the market did not vote with its feet, instead interpreting the $1 million fine and account freezes as 'official endorsement'—$HGYN's 24-hour trading volume skyrocketed to $820 million, with RSI reaching an overbought level of 85, retail investors rushed in shouting 'let's go at $0.001'.
This absurd scene exposes the core paradox of the crypto market: in the game of 'narrative > value', bad news will become speculative fuel as long as it reinforces the expectation that 'the project has hype and insider information to leverage'.
As CryptoWhale analysts have stated, from Trump Coin to Huangguonian Coin, the essence of meme coins has never changed: a few people profit from information asymmetry, while the majority chase emotions to take over, and 'insider trading confirmed' is just the latest hype in this zero-sum game.
#黄果之年 #MEME #内幕交易
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US-China Chip Reconciliation? 25% Profit Share Turns Trade War into 'Business'
Trump allows NVIDIA's H200 chip to be exported to China, charging a 25% profit share, marking a shift in the US-China trade war into 'transaction mode'.
For the US, this could inject billions of dollars into the economy, supporting manufacturing and jobs; for China, it alleviates chip shortages and promotes AI industry upgrades. However, the 25% profit share may raise prices, testing the resilience of Chinese enterprises.
In the long run, this could reshape the global supply chain, stimulate domestic chip investments, and avoid over-reliance.
#TRUMP #英伟达 #芯片
Trump allows NVIDIA's H200 chip to be exported to China, charging a 25% profit share, marking a shift in the US-China trade war into 'transaction mode'.
For the US, this could inject billions of dollars into the economy, supporting manufacturing and jobs; for China, it alleviates chip shortages and promotes AI industry upgrades. However, the 25% profit share may raise prices, testing the resilience of Chinese enterprises.
In the long run, this could reshape the global supply chain, stimulate domestic chip investments, and avoid over-reliance.
#TRUMP #英伟达 #芯片
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Daily Briefing (Understand Today's Key Points in 1 Minute｜2025.12.08)
📌Core Signal
1. Bitcoin Short-term Trend
Current Price: $92,093.66 (↑3.01%) Market Structure: Price and Open Interest (↑1.33%) are rising in sync, indicating that the current upward trend has momentum support. However, the funding rate has skyrocketed over 52% in the last 24 hours, suggesting that market leverage is too high, and bullish sentiment is extremely euphoric, with the risk of a pullback sharply accumulating.
Clearing Alert: The key resistance level above is at the psychological level of $95,000. If it breaks through, it may test $100,000 upwards. The key support below is at $90,000, and if it falls below this, it could trigger a chain liquidation of long positions due to high leverage.
1. Bitcoin Short-term Trend
Current Price: $92,093.66 (↑3.01%) Market Structure: Price and Open Interest (↑1.33%) are rising in sync, indicating that the current upward trend has momentum support. However, the funding rate has skyrocketed over 52% in the last 24 hours, suggesting that market leverage is too high, and bullish sentiment is extremely euphoric, with the risk of a pullback sharply accumulating.
Clearing Alert: The key resistance level above is at the psychological level of $95,000. If it breaks through, it may test $100,000 upwards. The key support below is at $90,000, and if it falls below this, it could trigger a chain liquidation of long positions due to high leverage.
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Bitcoin is stagnant ahead of the FOMC meeting!
Well-known analyst Kris van de Poppe warns: don't expect a turnaround before Tuesday. The current price hovers around the $90,000 range, with low trading volume. If the support level of $85,000 is broken, it may test the $80,000 low.
But don't panic! Historical data shows that the average return for Bitcoin in December is +4.75%, and there is huge potential for a Christmas rebound. If the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish rate cut (probability 87%), $100,000 is just around the corner.
Investors are in wait-and-see mode; a short-term breakout above $93,000 is a key signal.
#bitcoin #fomc #CryptoAnalysis #BTC
Well-known analyst Kris van de Poppe warns: don't expect a turnaround before Tuesday. The current price hovers around the $90,000 range, with low trading volume. If the support level of $85,000 is broken, it may test the $80,000 low.
But don't panic! Historical data shows that the average return for Bitcoin in December is +4.75%, and there is huge potential for a Christmas rebound. If the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish rate cut (probability 87%), $100,000 is just around the corner.
Investors are in wait-and-see mode; a short-term breakout above $93,000 is a key signal.
#bitcoin #fomc #CryptoAnalysis #BTC
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21.58% ROI yet a loss of 200,000! The trading truth behind the data disparity
The public trading data of the trader 'Good Luck 777' presents significant contradictions, with personal profits strongly contrasting with copy trading losses, providing a typical sample for the risks and adaptability of crypto copy trading.
Personal core indicators: 180 days ROI 21.58%, maximum single profit 146,896.33 USDT, margin balance approximately 50,000 USDT;
Copy trading market feedback: Total profit and loss of the copy trading community -201,988.98 USDT (over 200,000 USDT loss), nominal win rate is only 41.46%, which differs from the self-description of 'high win rate'.
This phenomenon of 'personal profit, massive copy losses' fundamentally stems from its extremely aggressive trading model, requiring rational judgment of copy trading value based on individual circumstances.
Personal core indicators: 180 days ROI 21.58%, maximum single profit 146,896.33 USDT, margin balance approximately 50,000 USDT;
Copy trading market feedback: Total profit and loss of the copy trading community -201,988.98 USDT (over 200,000 USDT loss), nominal win rate is only 41.46%, which differs from the self-description of 'high win rate'.
This phenomenon of 'personal profit, massive copy losses' fundamentally stems from its extremely aggressive trading model, requiring rational judgment of copy trading value based on individual circumstances.
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A set of data contrasts that reveal the complexity of copy trading.
The public trading data of trader King_Jameesss shows a significant contrast, demonstrating strong personal profitability while exposing many challenges in copy trading practice:
Personal Core Indicators: 180-day ROI 93.80%, margin balance 176,500 USDT, maximum single profit 44,329 USDT, maximum single loss 40,916 USDT;
Copy trading market feedback: Among 114 copy traders with profit and loss records, 4 are profitable, and 110 are at a loss (profitability ratio 3.5%), with a total profit and loss of the copy trading community of - 551,190 USDT.
The phenomenon of 'personal profits and copy trading losses coexisting' provides a typical observation sample for the risks and adaptability of crypto copy trading.
Personal Core Indicators: 180-day ROI 93.80%, margin balance 176,500 USDT, maximum single profit 44,329 USDT, maximum single loss 40,916 USDT;
Copy trading market feedback: Among 114 copy traders with profit and loss records, 4 are profitable, and 110 are at a loss (profitability ratio 3.5%), with a total profit and loss of the copy trading community of - 551,190 USDT.
The phenomenon of 'personal profits and copy trading losses coexisting' provides a typical observation sample for the risks and adaptability of crypto copy trading.
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400 people are eager to follow the master trader, how strong is the performance?
The single order trader 'Btc Star' has single-handedly dominated the crypto-following community: 180 days ROI 74.63%, a terrifying win rate of 96.97% (65 trades with 63 profitable), personally earning 84,000 USDT, and 400 followers collectively profiting over 307,000 USDT, with a margin balance of 174,000 USDT never withdrawn — from the data, it shows the strength of 'blindly following and earning'.
source: Veriscope
However, upon deeper investigation, this impressive performance hides a 'sweet trap': the average single loss is 1.5 times the profit, there was a 27% drawdown over 3 days, and recently there have been setbacks in high-risk assets. Behind the full 400-person following is the 'dependency on high win rates' and the undeniable risk of volatility.
source: Veriscope
However, upon deeper investigation, this impressive performance hides a 'sweet trap': the average single loss is 1.5 times the profit, there was a 27% drawdown over 3 days, and recently there have been setbacks in high-risk assets. Behind the full 400-person following is the 'dependency on high win rates' and the undeniable risk of volatility.
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User data has been accessed! NFT players have become the focus of tax audits, and the regulatory climate in Canada has changed.
NFT users are becoming key targets for tax audits in Canada. Following exchanges, the CRA is turning its investigative focus to NFT platforms, obtaining user data from Dapper Labs for 2,500 users through court orders, covering participants in popular projects like NBA Top Shot and CryptoKitties.
This action sends a clear signal: tax regulation of crypto assets has extended from mainstream cryptocurrencies to the field of NFTs and other digital collectibles. CRA data shows that 40% of users on crypto platforms have tax compliance risks, and the reporting of profits from NFT transactions is often overlooked by investors, creating a regulatory gap.
For crypto investors, the regulatory trend is clear. Whether trading on exchanges or buying and selling NFTs, tax reporting will become a necessity. With the establishment of a dedicated financial crime agency in 2026, the requirements for crypto tax compliance in Canada may further increase.
#加密监管
NFT users are becoming key targets for tax audits in Canada. Following exchanges, the CRA is turning its investigative focus to NFT platforms, obtaining user data from Dapper Labs for 2,500 users through court orders, covering participants in popular projects like NBA Top Shot and CryptoKitties.
This action sends a clear signal: tax regulation of crypto assets has extended from mainstream cryptocurrencies to the field of NFTs and other digital collectibles. CRA data shows that 40% of users on crypto platforms have tax compliance risks, and the reporting of profits from NFT transactions is often overlooked by investors, creating a regulatory gap.
For crypto investors, the regulatory trend is clear. Whether trading on exchanges or buying and selling NFTs, tax reporting will become a necessity. With the establishment of a dedicated financial crime agency in 2026, the requirements for crypto tax compliance in Canada may further increase.
#加密监管
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The showdown between bulls and bears is escalating! Who will dominate Bitcoin's future: the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts or technical breakdowns?
On one side, seasoned traders are issuing warnings of a sharp decline, while on the other, the potential benefits of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are creating fierce competition in the Bitcoin market.
The bearish camp is fully armed, with Peter Brandt's technical analysis resonating with Titan of Crypto's warnings about support levels, coupled with the shadow of Bitcoin's largest drawdown of 36.45% in this cycle last November, revealing emerging market panic.
The bullish forces are also not to be underestimated, as the upcoming FOMC meeting is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. Historical data shows that rate-cutting cycles often benefit risk assets. More crucially, the flow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs has reversed, with eight out of the past ten trading days recording net inflows, sharply contrasting with the net outflows in November, indicating a clear return of institutional capital.
Polymarket data shows that the market's expectation for Bitcoin to reach $95,000 by the end of the year remains as high as 61%, suggesting that volatility amid the divergence between bulls and bears may further amplify.
#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场 $BTC
On one side, seasoned traders are issuing warnings of a sharp decline, while on the other, the potential benefits of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are creating fierce competition in the Bitcoin market.
The bearish camp is fully armed, with Peter Brandt's technical analysis resonating with Titan of Crypto's warnings about support levels, coupled with the shadow of Bitcoin's largest drawdown of 36.45% in this cycle last November, revealing emerging market panic.
The bullish forces are also not to be underestimated, as the upcoming FOMC meeting is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. Historical data shows that rate-cutting cycles often benefit risk assets. More crucially, the flow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs has reversed, with eight out of the past ten trading days recording net inflows, sharply contrasting with the net outflows in November, indicating a clear return of institutional capital.
Polymarket data shows that the market's expectation for Bitcoin to reach $95,000 by the end of the year remains as high as 61%, suggesting that volatility amid the divergence between bulls and bears may further amplify.
#美联储重启降息步伐 #加密市场 $BTC
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If Saylor sells BTC, will you curse him or thank him?
J.P. Morgan says: The mNAV of Strategy is only 1.1, and if it drops another 10%, Saylor might be forced to sell coins to save himself!
The belief of "never selling" has now turned into a last resort.
What do you think?
Follow me + comment 666 to receive a red envelope🧧
J.P. Morgan says: The mNAV of Strategy is only 1.1, and if it drops another 10%, Saylor might be forced to sell coins to save himself!
The belief of "never selling" has now turned into a last resort.
What do you think?
Follow me + comment 666 to receive a red envelope🧧
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Earning 18,000 can also lead to a loss of 15,000! Behind the gamble on ETH short positions, why have most followers stumbled?
This article analyzes the trading data and historical position records of the signal provider "Big Head - Enlightenment in the Middle" from four dimensions: core data features, trading behavior patterns, risk points, and following trading suggestions. The data shows that the 180-day ROI for "Big Head - Enlightenment in the Middle" is 33.05%, with a current margin of 24,000 USDT, and it can capture single profit opportunities exceeding 18,000 USD; however, paradoxically, the total loss for followers is 33,521.99 USDT, with 82% of followers in a losing state. The article deeply dissects its extreme bearishness on ETH, the coexistence of short-term high frequency and long-term holding, and heavy betting trading characteristics, analyzing the core reasons for the signal provider's profitability and the followers' losses, ultimately providing targeted following trading suggestions to assist rational decision-making.
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Beware of One-Sided Bullish Traps! Risk Dissection of the High Win Rate Strategy of Trader 'Century Avenue'
This article is based on the trading data and historical position records of the trader 'Century Avenue'. It analyzes from four major dimensions: core data features, trading behavior patterns, risk points, and copy trading suggestions. The data shows that 'Century Avenue' achieved a return rate of 12.42% over 180 days with a margin volume of 427,000 USDT, setting a remarkably high nominal win rate of 88.89%; however, ironically, the total loss for copy traders reached 288,556 USDT. The article deeply dissects the suspected grid/batch increasing trading strategies, extreme one-sided bullish tendencies, and other behavioral characteristics, analyzing the core reasons for the high win rate and the significant losses in copy trading. Ultimately, it provides targeted copy trading suggestions for investors to assist in rational decision-making.
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How can day trading achieve nearly 30% returns in half a year by "betting big to gain small"?
This article analyzes trading data and historical position records based on the lead trader APOLLOPLAN from three dimensions: core data features, trading behavior patterns, and data contradictions. The data shows that APOLLOPLAN, with a margin size of nearly one million dollars, adopts a "low win rate, high risk-reward ratio" day trading strategy, focusing on the two major cryptocurrencies ETH and BTC. By capturing trend movements, it achieves a return rate of 29.54% over 180 days, but there is a significant divergence between the profits of lead traders and the total losses of followers, which amounts to -3,792.79 USDT. The article further dissects its flexible switching between long and short positions, subjective stop-loss operations, and analyzes the causes of data contradictions, ultimately providing suitable following suggestions to offer objective references for investors.
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Polymarket officially joins MetaMask mobile, the prediction market has gone crazy!
Last night, without a sound, MetaMask directly integrated Polymarket into the wallet!
Open the latest version of the App → Predict tab → Enter the market in seconds → One-click buy YES/NO with USDC
In the subway, in the bathroom, in the live broadcast room, anytime betting on "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates?" "Will BTC break 100k?"
Launched for 24 hours, Polymarket's trading volume has surged by 25%, and MetaMask downloads have skyrocketed by 15%
This is the true Web3 super application!
From now on, if anyone says the prediction market is niche, I will directly let them open MetaMask and take a look!
#Polymarket #MetaMask #预测市场
Last night, without a sound, MetaMask directly integrated Polymarket into the wallet!
Open the latest version of the App → Predict tab → Enter the market in seconds → One-click buy YES/NO with USDC
In the subway, in the bathroom, in the live broadcast room, anytime betting on "Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates?" "Will BTC break 100k?"
Launched for 24 hours, Polymarket's trading volume has surged by 25%, and MetaMask downloads have skyrocketed by 15%
This is the true Web3 super application!
From now on, if anyone says the prediction market is niche, I will directly let them open MetaMask and take a look!
#Polymarket #MetaMask #预测市场
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