The easiest pitfall in trading is the obsession with 'guessing the bottom'.

When prices drop, one can't help but imagine 'this must be the bottom' or 'this time it will definitely bounce back';

the sharper the decline, the more one feels it's an opportunity to get a bargain, diving in headfirst.

But the market never follows people's fantasies — bottoms are never guessed; they emerge slowly through the game of capital and a gradual shift in trends.

Why is guessing the bottom often the start of losses? The core issue is clashing with the trend.

In a downward trend, the price floor is much lower than imagined; what you think is the 'floor price' might just be 'halfway down the mountain' during the decline.

The market will not stop falling just because you think it's 'cheap'; instead, it will repeatedly oscillate around your perceived 'bottom', gradually consuming your capital and patience until you can no longer hold on and have to stop-loss and exit.

Mature traders never get tangled up in 'buying at the lowest point'.

They focus more on three core aspects:

Is the downward structure complete? Has the potential risk been fully released? Are the signals for trend reversal clear?

Even if the buying price is slightly higher, it's not a problem as long as the trend confirms upward, the stop-loss position is clear, and the subsequent profit potential is sufficient. This 'right-side entry' is actually more stable, allowing one to avoid the risk of buying at 'halfway down the mountain'.

I have always adhered to a trading principle:

I would rather miss the absolute bottom than perish during the decline.

Betting on a 'precise low price' is not as good as waiting for a 'reliable signal'. The true bottom can never be confirmed by a single K-line rebound; it often requires repeated oscillation and trading time for space until the trend completely reverses.

If you can't help but want to catch the bottom, remind yourself more:

You come to the market to make money, not to prove how accurate your judgment is.

Being able to survive in the market and achieve steady profits is far more important than 'buying at the lowest point'.

The market will always provide opportunities, but it will not align with your emotions. Learn to let go of the obsession with 'guessing the bottom', and only then will your trading truly mature. @juice13