Crypto Web3 Today
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🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸 FED CHAIR POWELL IS STILL SCHEDULED TO GIVE A "BIG" SPEECH DESPITE SHUTDOWN TOMORROW
Markets don’t fear the speech, they fear the signal behind it.
Powell speaking during a shutdown means messaging matters more than policy.
Will he calm markets or test their conviction again?
EXPECT HIGH VOLATILITY!
$NOT
$DF
$DYDX
Markets don’t fear the speech, they fear the signal behind it.
Powell speaking during a shutdown means messaging matters more than policy.
Will he calm markets or test their conviction again?
EXPECT HIGH VOLATILITY!
$NOT
$DF
$DYDX
PINNED
Someone launched a coin and spent seven hours buying it from… themselves. Waited for others to join, nobody did, then rage-sold it all.
I wonder what that was. A tragic little DeFi drama, or a noble act saving the world from one more shitcoin?
$DOGS
$NOT
$BONK
I wonder what that was. A tragic little DeFi drama, or a noble act saving the world from one more shitcoin?
$DOGS
$NOT
$BONK
🇺🇸 ETF Flows for December 4th
SOL and XRP spot funds saw positive inflows,
while BTC and ETH experienced notable outflows:
📉 BTC: -$194.64 million
📉 ETH: -$41.57 million
🟩 SOL: +$4.59 million
🟩 XRP: +$12.84 million
⚡️ The shift in institutional sentiment continues… with declining interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum yesterday, while buying into Solana and XRP increased.
$BTC
$SOL
$XRP
SOL and XRP spot funds saw positive inflows,
while BTC and ETH experienced notable outflows:
📉 BTC: -$194.64 million
📉 ETH: -$41.57 million
🟩 SOL: +$4.59 million
🟩 XRP: +$12.84 million
⚡️ The shift in institutional sentiment continues… with declining interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum yesterday, while buying into Solana and XRP increased.
$BTC
$SOL
$XRP
🇺🇸 BESSENT: "2026 WILL BE A GREAT YEAR FOR THE U.S. ECONOMY"
“I am very, very optimistic on 2026. We have set the table for a very strong, noninflationary growth economy,” he told NBC's Kristen Welker.
A strong U.S. economy could drive institutional adoption and restore investor confidence, helping markets recover from current fear levels.
$BTC
$DYM
$PLUME
“I am very, very optimistic on 2026. We have set the table for a very strong, noninflationary growth economy,” he told NBC's Kristen Welker.
A strong U.S. economy could drive institutional adoption and restore investor confidence, helping markets recover from current fear levels.
$BTC
$DYM
$PLUME
🚨BREAKING: IBIT'S LONGEST WEEKLY OUTFLOW STREAK.
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust just posted its longest run of weekly outflows since launching in January 2024. Investors pulled more than $2.7 BILLION from the fund.
even after five outflow weeks, IBIT still manages over $71B in assets after nearly touching $100B at its peak, and another ~$113M left Thursday, putting it on track for a sixth straight week of redemptions as BTC sits ~27% off highs.
$BTC
$CVC
$CITY
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust just posted its longest run of weekly outflows since launching in January 2024. Investors pulled more than $2.7 BILLION from the fund.
even after five outflow weeks, IBIT still manages over $71B in assets after nearly touching $100B at its peak, and another ~$113M left Thursday, putting it on track for a sixth straight week of redemptions as BTC sits ~27% off highs.
$BTC
$CVC
$CITY
We are seeing historic market gains:
The S&P 500 has gained +68% over the last 36 months, the best 3-year performance since 2021.
This is also the 2nd-strongest run since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble, even surpassing the recovery following the 2008 Financial Crisis.
The last time the market was this was was in the 1990s, when the S&P 500 delivered a +120% gain over a 3-year span.
This marks the 16th time since 1930 that the 3-year rolling return has been +1.5 standard deviations above its long-term average.
All while the market has not experienced a negative 36-month return in 13 years.
Bullish momentum is incredibly strong.
$BTC
$SOL
$LTC
The S&P 500 has gained +68% over the last 36 months, the best 3-year performance since 2021.
This is also the 2nd-strongest run since the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble, even surpassing the recovery following the 2008 Financial Crisis.
The last time the market was this was was in the 1990s, when the S&P 500 delivered a +120% gain over a 3-year span.
This marks the 16th time since 1930 that the 3-year rolling return has been +1.5 standard deviations above its long-term average.
All while the market has not experienced a negative 36-month return in 13 years.
Bullish momentum is incredibly strong.
$BTC
$SOL
$LTC
Whenever the Chinese yuan bottoms, global liquidity turns up.
Bitcoin stabilizes first, but risk rotation always follows.
→ ETH/BTC bottoms right at the yuan bottom.
→ Then ETH enters its strongest outperformance phase of the entire cycle.
This pattern held in 2016, 2019, and 2025.
$BTC
$ETH
Bitcoin stabilizes first, but risk rotation always follows.
→ ETH/BTC bottoms right at the yuan bottom.
→ Then ETH enters its strongest outperformance phase of the entire cycle.
This pattern held in 2016, 2019, and 2025.
$BTC
$ETH
🚨Over $710 Million Shorted on ZEC!
A rapid surge in ZEC's market capitalization from $6.3 billion to $6.7 billion in a very short time forced short sellers to cover their positions, resulting in:
💥 $710 million in short liquidation in just one hour!
$ZEC
A rapid surge in ZEC's market capitalization from $6.3 billion to $6.7 billion in a very short time forced short sellers to cover their positions, resulting in:
💥 $710 million in short liquidation in just one hour!
$ZEC
🔴Multiple sources are now circulating rumours that the Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates in December, potentially bringing them to the highest level in 30 years.
According to these reports, the BOJ is likely to hike rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% at its 19 December meeting – the highest level since 1995. Recent comments from Governor Ueda have led markets to price in roughly a 90% probability that the decision to hike is effectively “sealed”, especially as the economic outlook has improved on the back of strong corporate profits and expectations of wage growth.
The BOJ still describes this as a move away from ultra-easy policy rather than outright tightening, but signals it could continue raising rates if incoming data supports it. This scenario is putting upward pressure on the yen, as markets are seen as not fully pricing in the next phase of the BOJ’s rate-hike cycle.
$GIGGLE
$ALLO
$ZEC
According to these reports, the BOJ is likely to hike rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% at its 19 December meeting – the highest level since 1995. Recent comments from Governor Ueda have led markets to price in roughly a 90% probability that the decision to hike is effectively “sealed”, especially as the economic outlook has improved on the back of strong corporate profits and expectations of wage growth.
The BOJ still describes this as a move away from ultra-easy policy rather than outright tightening, but signals it could continue raising rates if incoming data supports it. This scenario is putting upward pressure on the yen, as markets are seen as not fully pricing in the next phase of the BOJ’s rate-hike cycle.
$GIGGLE
$ALLO
$ZEC
EX-SIGNATURE BANK EXECUTIVES LAUNCH BLOCKCHAIN BANK N3XT.
CEO Jeffrey Wallis, formerly Signature’s digital assets and Web3 director, says:
“Money should move as seamlessly as information.”
A team of former Signature Bank leaders has launched N3XT, a blockchain-powered, state-chartered bank built for instant, 24/7 payments.
The bank says it will also publish its reserve holdings daily.
Traditional finance will soon be replaced by $BTC and blockchain ; the transition is already happening in front of our eyes.
$BTC
CEO Jeffrey Wallis, formerly Signature’s digital assets and Web3 director, says:
“Money should move as seamlessly as information.”
A team of former Signature Bank leaders has launched N3XT, a blockchain-powered, state-chartered bank built for instant, 24/7 payments.
The bank says it will also publish its reserve holdings daily.
Traditional finance will soon be replaced by $BTC and blockchain ; the transition is already happening in front of our eyes.
$BTC
A statement from Kevin Hassett is shaking the markets.
The leading candidate for the Federal Reserve chairmanship hints that an interest rate cut could happen next week… and market expectations are already pricing in a 90% probability of a 25-basis-point cut!
⬅️ Why is this important?
Because any move towards easing monetary policy means one thing:
🔺 US stocks: Stronger upward momentum
🔺 Crypto and high-risk assets: An ideal environment for any potential price rally
Next week… could be very different. 🚀
Do you think the market has priced in the next rate cut?
$BTC
$BCH
$DYDX
The leading candidate for the Federal Reserve chairmanship hints that an interest rate cut could happen next week… and market expectations are already pricing in a 90% probability of a 25-basis-point cut!
⬅️ Why is this important?
Because any move towards easing monetary policy means one thing:
🔺 US stocks: Stronger upward momentum
🔺 Crypto and high-risk assets: An ideal environment for any potential price rally
Next week… could be very different. 🚀
Do you think the market has priced in the next rate cut?
$BTC
$BCH
$DYDX
REMINDER 🚨
🇺🇸 US PCE and Core PCE data will be released today at 8:30am ET.
PCE Expectations: 2.9%
Core PCE Expectations: 2.8%
$BNB
$ETH
$BTC
🇺🇸 US PCE and Core PCE data will be released today at 8:30am ET.
PCE Expectations: 2.9%
Core PCE Expectations: 2.8%
$BNB
$ETH
$BTC
Solana Phone Drops A Token… And An Unfixable Exploit.
📲 Solana’s Seeker ships with SKR token, guardians, dApp store and all the Web3 buzzwords, so your phone can finally farm governance while you scroll.
😬 Tiny catch: Ledger says the Dimensity 7300 chip has a built-in hardware hole that lets someone with your phone in hand basically own it - and your keys - in minutes, no software patch possible.
$SOL
📲 Solana’s Seeker ships with SKR token, guardians, dApp store and all the Web3 buzzwords, so your phone can finally farm governance while you scroll.
😬 Tiny catch: Ledger says the Dimensity 7300 chip has a built-in hardware hole that lets someone with your phone in hand basically own it - and your keys - in minutes, no software patch possible.
$SOL
🇺🇸 Trump says the U.S. economy could generate up to $10 TRILLION in new activity.
Not a promise - but a blueprint for the next macro cycle.
If the liquidity engine fires up,
crypto will be the first market to explode.
A perfect storm is building.
$TRUMP
$SOL
$ZEC
Not a promise - but a blueprint for the next macro cycle.
If the liquidity engine fires up,
crypto will be the first market to explode.
A perfect storm is building.
$TRUMP
$SOL
$ZEC
🔥 CZ WON THE BITCOIN DEBATE IN LESS THAN A MINUTE.
CZ pulled out a gold bar during the Bitcoin v. Gold debate and asked Peter Schiff to verify if it was real. Schiff was unable to verify it without having extra tools.
CZ seized the moment to push the point that Bitcoin transactions are verified instantly, on the blockchain— while gold still struggles with basic authentication.
$BNB
CZ pulled out a gold bar during the Bitcoin v. Gold debate and asked Peter Schiff to verify if it was real. Schiff was unable to verify it without having extra tools.
CZ seized the moment to push the point that Bitcoin transactions are verified instantly, on the blockchain— while gold still struggles with basic authentication.
$BNB
BREAKING: AMD, $AMD, CEO Lisa Su announces that the company will pay a 15% tax on MI308 chip exports to China.
Last night, reports emerged that President Trump is considering allowing Nvidia to sell their H200 chip to China.
This is beginning to sound a lot like the Nvidia and AMD deal with President Trump which was rumored on August 10th.
Under the August 10th rumored deal, Nvidia and AMD could export certain AI chips to China for a 15% tariff.
If the US AI chip market even partially reopens to China, it could be the market's biggest catalyst of the year.
Especially as Nvidia has almost entirely written off their China business in recent guidance.
AI chip policy could change very soon.
$LTC
$ZEN
$BNB
Last night, reports emerged that President Trump is considering allowing Nvidia to sell their H200 chip to China.
This is beginning to sound a lot like the Nvidia and AMD deal with President Trump which was rumored on August 10th.
Under the August 10th rumored deal, Nvidia and AMD could export certain AI chips to China for a 15% tariff.
If the US AI chip market even partially reopens to China, it could be the market's biggest catalyst of the year.
Especially as Nvidia has almost entirely written off their China business in recent guidance.
AI chip policy could change very soon.
$LTC
$ZEN
$BNB
Central banks are ramping up gold purchases:
Global central banks purchased +53 tonnes of gold in October, the most since November 2024.
This marks a +194% jump compared to July, and the 3rd-straight monthly acceleration.
In the first 10 months of the year, central banks have purchased 254 tonnes of gold, on track for the 4th-highest annual purchase this century.
The surge was led by the National Bank of Poland, which re-entered the market in October, buying 16 tonnes of gold.
This pushed its reserves to a record 531 tonnes, or ~26% of their total FX reserves.
Official central bank gold demand is historically high.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Global central banks purchased +53 tonnes of gold in October, the most since November 2024.
This marks a +194% jump compared to July, and the 3rd-straight monthly acceleration.
In the first 10 months of the year, central banks have purchased 254 tonnes of gold, on track for the 4th-highest annual purchase this century.
The surge was led by the National Bank of Poland, which re-entered the market in October, buying 16 tonnes of gold.
This pushed its reserves to a record 531 tonnes, or ~26% of their total FX reserves.
Official central bank gold demand is historically high.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
We now have:
1. The biggest technological boom since the internet
2. Ongoing Fed interest rate cuts into the AI boom
3. Trump's impending new Fed Chair announcement
4. $700B+ in annual technology CapEx
5. The end of Quantitative Tightening (QT)
6. Widespread deregulation initiatives by SEC
7. The most market-conscious US President ever
8. $2+ trillion in annual deficit spending
9. 13% YoY earnings growth in the S&P 500
10. The return of global fiscal stimulus
What's the bear case here?
$RED
$TRX
$BTC
1. The biggest technological boom since the internet
2. Ongoing Fed interest rate cuts into the AI boom
3. Trump's impending new Fed Chair announcement
4. $700B+ in annual technology CapEx
5. The end of Quantitative Tightening (QT)
6. Widespread deregulation initiatives by SEC
7. The most market-conscious US President ever
8. $2+ trillion in annual deficit spending
9. 13% YoY earnings growth in the S&P 500
10. The return of global fiscal stimulus
What's the bear case here?
$RED
$TRX
$BTC
THE 4-YEAR CYCLE WAS A LIE!
THE REAL BULL MARKET ONLY STARTS NOW!
Even though the Bitcoin top happened exactly at the end of the “4-year cycle”, the data shows it was a lie and that there was another driver that coincidentally lined up at exactly the same time!
The uncomfortable truth in the data is that the halving didn’t drive the last 3 bull markets.
It only lined up perfectly with the real driver: global liquidity expansion.
See the chart below.
2013: Fed QE
2017: ECB, BOJ & China pumping
2020: The biggest QE in history
Bitcoin followed liquidity, not the halving clock.
Every time there was a global liquidity surge, the economy expanded, and this flowed into crypto!
The one metric that exposes this clearly: PMI.
PMI < 50 = contraction
PMI > 50 = recovery
PMI > 55 = Bitcoin liftoff
PMI > 60 = altcoin mania
That sequence matched every bull market.
The reason this cycle was so disappointing is that this cycle broke the pattern.
The halving happened…
Liquidity didn’t.
PMI never recovered.
The Fed was still draining money through QT.
That’s why 2025 was messy; the liquidity cycle never started.
But, this is all changing!
QT ended
Rates going down
Liquidity turning
PMI bottoming
Institutions flowing in via ETFs + DATS
And historically, we’ve never entered a bear market while liquidity is expanding.
So maybe the 4-year cycle didn’t “break.”
Maybe it never existed to begin with; it just happened to overlap with the liquidity cycle.
And maybe the real bull market starts now!
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
THE REAL BULL MARKET ONLY STARTS NOW!
Even though the Bitcoin top happened exactly at the end of the “4-year cycle”, the data shows it was a lie and that there was another driver that coincidentally lined up at exactly the same time!
The uncomfortable truth in the data is that the halving didn’t drive the last 3 bull markets.
It only lined up perfectly with the real driver: global liquidity expansion.
See the chart below.
2013: Fed QE
2017: ECB, BOJ & China pumping
2020: The biggest QE in history
Bitcoin followed liquidity, not the halving clock.
Every time there was a global liquidity surge, the economy expanded, and this flowed into crypto!
The one metric that exposes this clearly: PMI.
PMI < 50 = contraction
PMI > 50 = recovery
PMI > 55 = Bitcoin liftoff
PMI > 60 = altcoin mania
That sequence matched every bull market.
The reason this cycle was so disappointing is that this cycle broke the pattern.
The halving happened…
Liquidity didn’t.
PMI never recovered.
The Fed was still draining money through QT.
That’s why 2025 was messy; the liquidity cycle never started.
But, this is all changing!
QT ended
Rates going down
Liquidity turning
PMI bottoming
Institutions flowing in via ETFs + DATS
And historically, we’ve never entered a bear market while liquidity is expanding.
So maybe the 4-year cycle didn’t “break.”
Maybe it never existed to begin with; it just happened to overlap with the liquidity cycle.
And maybe the real bull market starts now!
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
BREAKING: US initial jobless claims data came in at 191,000
Expectations: 220,000
Yesterday, ADP private payrolls data fell to -32K, which is the largest drop since March 2023.
So despite initial jobless claims data coming lower than expected, the overall labor market is still very weak.
This means Fed will have to do more rate cuts, which is good for markets.
$LTC
$SOL
$ETH
Expectations: 220,000
Yesterday, ADP private payrolls data fell to -32K, which is the largest drop since March 2023.
So despite initial jobless claims data coming lower than expected, the overall labor market is still very weak.
This means Fed will have to do more rate cuts, which is good for markets.
$LTC
$SOL
$ETH
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BTCVSGOLD
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Yesterday in Dubai, Peter Schiff walked on stage holding a gold bar.
CZ asked him one simple question: “Is it real?”
Schiff replied: “I don’t know.”
The London Bullion Market Association later confirmed what gold experts already know. There is only one way to verify gold with 100 percent certainty: melt it.
Verification requires destruction.
Bitcoin does not.
It self-verifies in seconds. No experts. No labs. No trust.
A public ledger secured by math, instantly checkable by 300 million people from anywhere in the world.
For 5,000 years, gold’s monetary premium came from scarcity.
But scarcity means nothing if authenticity cannot be proven.
The numbers most people never mention:
Five to ten percent of the global physical gold market is tied to counterfeit gold.
Every vault, every bar, every transfer relies on trusting someone.
Bitcoin requires trusting no one.
Gold’s market cap of 29 trillion dollars is built on “Trust me.”
Bitcoin’s 1.8 trillion is built on “Verify it yourself.”
This is not a battle between speculation and stability.
It is a full inversion of verification costs in the 21st century.
When the leading voice of the gold camp cannot verify the bar in his own hand, the argument writes itself.
Physical assets that cannot prove themselves will lose their monetary premium to digital assets that can prove themselves every 10 minutes, every block, forever.
The question is no longer “Is Bitcoin real money?”
The real question is: “Was gold ever verifiable money in the first place?”
#BinanceBlockchainWeek #BTCVSGOLD
KaiZXBT
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