📍#SOL Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/23)

【Core View】: 126 level becomes stagnant, daily bearish pressure is high, short-term rebound can't even surpass 126.3.

Solana current price 126.06, the market is trapped in a suffocating narrow fluctuation. The daily level is clearly in a 'bearish' structure, with layers of moving averages overhead, compressing the rebound space to a minimum. The short-term 1-hour level has also weakened, and even a slight pressure of 126.30 can push the price back down. This indicates that the bulls have already laid flat, and the main force is using this 'garbage time' to wear down retail investors' patience. Once the critical levels of 123.83 or even more crucial 116.80 are breached, the door to $80 will be kicked open.

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📊 Long-term trend: Bearish (1D)

Current situation interpretation:

The daily closing price of 126.06 has broken below all short-term moving averages (126.68, 130.17) and is suppressed below 128.68. This is a very weak signal. Although 148.09 is the final defense line for the bears, given the current momentum, don't even mention 148; even reaching 130 is very difficult. The bears are completely in control, targeting 107.05.

[1D Swing Strategy]

• Key operation: Short positions dominate. The rebound is an opportunity for bears to increase their positions; breaking below 107.05 is a signal for chasing down.

• Defense/Boundary between long and short: 148.09 (Returning here invalidates the bearish trend)

🛑 Short position layout:

• Shorting on rebound (limit order): 148.09 ~ 107.05 (Note: This is a large range; actual operations can be closer to short-term pressure)

• Chasing price after breaking down: Closing price below 107.05

• Take profit target (TP): 107.05 / 80.62

• Stop loss (SL): 154.00

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📊 Medium-term trend: Consolidation (4H)

Current situation interpretation:

The 4-hour price level is stuck like an ECG flatline, tightly hovering around 126.06, grinding at the critical point of 126.11. This period represents 'ineffective fluctuations,' with both bulls and bears waiting for a change. It is recommended to operate at the edges of the range (116-135), avoiding the middle fluctuations.

[4H Swing Strategy]

• Key operation: Watch the range. Only bullish after breaking 135, only bearish after breaking 116.

• Defense/Boundary between long and short: 116.80

🛑 Watch Zone:

• Strengthening observation point: 135.35

• Weakening observation point: 116.80 (Breaking below this point invalidates the bullish range)

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📊 Short-term trend: Mild bearish (1H)

Current situation interpretation:

The short-term trend has weakened, with the closing price continuously below 126.30. This means that even extremely short-term rebounds are facing selling pressure. Market sentiment is pessimistic; as long as the price cannot return to 128.41, all short-term rebounds are 'a trap for bulls.'

[1H Day Trading Strategy]

• Key operation: Short when rebounding to around 126.30 faces pressure, and chase price after breaking below 123.83.

• Capital suggestion: Patience with limit orders 60% + chasing price after breaking down 40%

🛑 Short position layout:

• Shorting on rebound (limit order): 126.30 ~ 128.41

• Chasing price after breaking down: 123.83

• Take profit target (TP): 121.72 / 119.25

• Stop loss (SL): 129.96

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📝 Summary and operational suggestions

• For holders: SOL currently has no vitality, and the bearish outlook on the daily chart is the biggest concern. It is advisable to reduce positions during rebounds before the price collapses. There is a real risk below 80 dollars.

• For those with no positions: This is a sluggish market. Patiently wait for a rebound to the range of 126.30-128 to lay out short positions, or wait to enter after breaking below 123.83. Don’t try to guess the bottom; the bottom is established by the market, not guessed.