📍#BNB Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/22)
【Core Viewpoint】：Golden Shovel loses its shine. Daily chart turns bearish. 857 is the Gate of Hell for bulls.
BNB is currently trading at 855.61. Compared to the consolidation seen in other assets, BNB has taken the lead in forming a "Mid-Bearish" structure on the Daily chart. Price has broken below key supports at 859 and 872, and is now firmly suppressed below 857.48. Although the 4H and 1H charts are trying to build a base near 855, this looks more like a weak struggle after a drop rather than a reversal. If the bounce cannot clear 857, this is free money for bears. Losing 849 will open the floodgates to 819 and even 742.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Consolidation (1W)
Market Interpretation:
The Weekly price has retreated to 855.61, losing the short-term averages at 908 and 909. This means long-term bullish momentum has stalled. While there is ultra-long-term support at 594, the gap between here and there is massive. Without reclaiming 901, long-term capital is clearly staying on the sidelines.
【1W Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: 100% Watch. No value in trading the Weekly timeframe here; do not gamble in no-man's land.
• Defense/Pivot: 901.61
🛑 Watch Zone:
• Resistance: 901.61
• Support: 594.55
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Mid-Bearish (1D)
Market Interpretation:
This is the most critical timeframe right now. The Daily close confirms a breakdown of key support, shifting to a bearish alignment. Price is capped below 857.48, severely limiting upside potential. This is a clear "Short Signal." Whales have shown their hand: bounces are for exiting.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Short dominance. Short heavily in the 857-896 zone; add to shorts on a break of 819.
• Defense/Pivot: 872.11 (Bearish script invalid only if reclaimed)
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 857.48 ～ 896.58 (Alloc: 60%)
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): Close below 819.55
• Take Profit (TP): 819.55 ／ 780.45 ／ 742.52
• Stop Loss (SL): 942.58
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Consolidation with Bullish Bias (4H) / Consolidation (1H)
Market Interpretation:
There is weak resistance in the short term. 4H closed barely above 854, and 1H is chopping. This is just bears taking a breather after the drop. However, note that resistance at 857.48 is inches away. If the short-term bounce can't even pass this level, it's not a stabilization; it's a "Bull Trap."
【4H/1H Integrated Strategy】
• Key Action: Do not chase longs. Wait for bounce exhaustion. If you must long, strictly defend 849.
• Fund Allocation: Limit Orders 70% + Chase Breakdown 30%
🟢/⚪️ Short-Term Setup:
• Long on Dip: 854.68 ～ 849.46 (Scalping only)
• Confirm Short: Close below 849.46 (Bulls defeated, flip short)
• Confirm Long: Close above 857.48 (Only after breakout)
• Defense (SL): Close below 840.27 (All bullish ideas invalid)
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📝 Summary & Advice
• For Holders: BNB turning bearish on the Daily is a dangerous signal. 857.48 is your last chance to reduce positions. Don't wait until 819 breaks to regret it.
• For Non-Holders: Focus on the Daily shorting opportunities. Ignore the short-term chop at 850. Wait for rejection at 857 or a breakdown of 849 to enter and catch the main body of the drop.
