Family, the I Ching directly states the point: a ‘whale insider’ with a position of 744 million dollars has an unrealized loss of 21.85 million dollars in ETH long positions — but he hasn’t run! Is he holding on until the end, or is there another plan?
The four-hour chart has already issued a key signal; tonight ETH will either surge and then pull back or directly test the bottom. Those who understand have already quietly positioned themselves…
News:
This code 0xb31's whale is currently holding 617 million in 5x long ETH positions, with an average price of $3147 and a liquidation price of $2150.
Although the unrealized loss has narrowed from 76.1 million to 26.6 million, he remains motionless.
What does this indicate?
Either he is extremely optimistic about the future market, or—he is waiting for a rise to break free.
If large funds do not move, retail investors should not rush to follow the trend, but must closely monitor their position changes. Once they close their positions, it may be a turning point for the market!
Technical aspects:
Looking at the four-hour chart, ETH is currently in a critical period of choosing a direction during fluctuations.
Pressure above: 3090 → 3250
Support below: 2940 → 2810 → 2650
MACD death cross turning into golden cross, the white and yellow lines just above the 0 axis, it looks like it will rise—but be careful: the volume hasn't kept up, the red bars are still rising, this is a typical 'bullish trap signal'!
RSI and MFI are both on the sidelines, indicating that the market is waiting for a big movement.
Zhouyi's opinion:
From tonight to tomorrow, ETH is likely to first surge to test 3090, even touching 3250, and then quickly retreat.
The giant whale needs to break free, and it must rise to sell; however, the pressure above is heavy, and without sustained volume, it's hard to break through.
Therefore, shorting on rallies remains the main strategy, especially at the two positions of 3090 and 3250. Enter short positions and aim for the 2940-2810 range first.
Zhouyi suggests:
If your position is light, you can try shorting near 3090, with the stop loss set at 3300 and the target at 2940.
If it directly falls near 2810, you can catch a rebound, in and out quickly.
The major support is at 2650; if it reaches this, it will be a good opportunity for medium-term long positions.
Remember: during market fluctuations, do not chase highs or panic sell, only make rebounds or pullbacks at key positions.
If you also find that although you see the right direction, you always can't grasp the rhythm?
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