📍#SOL Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/20)
【Core Viewpoint】:Sandwiched market. Short-term party, but it's still a bear's playground until 134 is breached.
Solana is currently stuck around 126, in an extremely awkward position. On the 12H chart, price is sandwiched between moving averages with zero direction. While the 1H chart shows small bullish signals that might look like a liftoff, look up at the heavy resistance at 134 on the 4H chart. This is not a reversal; this is whales grinding your patience. For bulls to flip the table, they must forcefully break 134; otherwise, this bounce is just setting up a better entry for bears.
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Consolidation (12H)
Market Interpretation:
Closing at 126.37, price is trapped exactly between EMA9 (126.19) and EMA21 (128.60). This "stuck in the middle" action is painful. Broadly speaking, as long as price remains below 148.09, the bearish structure is intact. Big money is sitting on the sidelines waiting for a clear break.
【12H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Range trading; observe more. Reclaiming 128.60 suggests strength; breaking 107.05 means bottomless.
• Defense/Pivot: 148.09 (Trend Watershed)
🛑 Watch Zone:
• Resistance: 128.60
• Support: 107.05
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Consolidation (4H)
Market Interpretation:
The 4H price barely stands above short-term EMAs, but this is merely "interval repair" after a deep drop. The level of 134.10 overhead is an iron plate; bulls often exhaust themselves there. The current rise has a condition: it cannot lose 125.63, or the bounce structure collapses instantly.
【4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Watch 134.10 closely. Failure to break it is a prime shorting spot.
• Defense/Pivot: 125.63
🛑 Watch Zone:
• Breakout Watch: 134.10
• Weakness Watch: 123.28
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Small Bullish (1H)
Market Interpretation:
This is the only reason to long. Short-term EMAs have turned bullish and RSI is above 50, indicating scalpers are entering. As long as 123.92 holds, there is room for upside. This is a battlefield for aggressive traders—speed is key.
【1H Intraday Strategy】
• Key Action: Long on dip if support holds, targeting the 130-134 resistance zone.
• Fund Allocation: Limit Orders 60% + Breakout Chase 40%
🟢 Long Setup:
• Long on Dip (Limit Order): 126.10 ~ 126.30
• Long on Breakout (Chase): 130.22
• Take Profit (TP): 134.18 / 140.48
• Stop Loss (SL): 121.67
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📝 Summary & Advice
• For Holders: Use this 1H short-term bounce to reduce positions as price nears 130-134. Don't forget the major trend belongs to the bears. Cash is king.
• For Non-Holders: Scalpers can follow the 1H signal for a quick long, but set tight stops. The most robust strategy is to wait for the price to hit resistance near 134 and reject, then flip short for a higher win rate.
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